Coffee with Scott Adams 2025-09-29
Good morning, everybody. Come on in. It is great to see you. Grab a beverage, grab a seat, and get ready for, well, you know. You know. Stocks are up a little bit. Good for us. Let me get your comments working, and then I’ll feel like we’re ready. Come on in. Pull up a chair.
Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It’s called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you’ve never had a better time. But if you’d like to elevate your experience up to levels that nobody could even understand with their tiny, shiny human brains, all you need for that is a cup, or a mug, or a glass, a tankard, a stein, a canteen, a jug, or a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid—I like coffee—and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It’s called the Simultaneous Sip, and it happens now. Go.
If you haven’t already seen it, there was a surprise podcast yesterday afternoon. Greg Gutfeld and Dr. Drew were in the area for other business, and we decided to get together. We did a special podcast with the three of us in my kitchen, and people are saying they like it. You might want to check that out. It’s on the usual platforms. Wherever you watch this show, it will also be there from yesterday.
The Science of “Phubbing”
Let’s see if there’s some science that didn’t need to happen because you could have just asked me. Eric Dolan of PsyPost is writing about affection deprivation. It may explain why “phubbing”—have you ever heard of that? Phubbing, P-H-U-B-B-I-N-G. Apparently, phubbing is when you look at your phone when you should be being social. So if you’re in a relationship but you spend too much time on your phone in front of your partner, you are phubbing. I never heard of that until today.
Anyway, apparently, can you believe it, that when people phub in front of them, the person who’s getting phubbed on—if that’s right, I don’t know if that’s the way to say it—the person getting phubbed on will not be happy and won’t feel it’s a good relationship. Did you really need to do that study? You could have come to me and said, “Scott, how would you feel if your date pulled out her phone and started paying attention to the phone instead of you? How would you feel?” I’d say, “Well, not ideal.” And then they’d say, “We’re going to do a study to see if other people would feel the same way.” And I’d say, “Whoa, slow down there, slow down. You don’t need to do that study. They will feel the same way. I promise you. Save some money.”
Theo Von
Well, there’s something going on with comedian Theo Von. Apparently, he was recording a comedy show at the Beacon Theatre, and after the show, he said something that got caught on camera. He said it to the audience as he was interacting with them personally. And he said, “I’m having a long month. I’m trying not to take my own life.” Wow. Now, he did not say that with a big old smile on his face. He kind of said it like that was real.
So, Theo, we’re all going to send you some positive vibes. Whatever it is that’s plaguing you this month gets worked out. I didn’t realize that, separate from this story, I noticed that Theo’s audience size for his podcast is enormous. Did you know that? I knew he was doing really well and that he was one of the big ones, but his audience is enormous now. So, good for you, Theo. I hope everything works out.
Oregon and the Military
Well, as you know, Oregon doesn’t want Trump to send in his military to take care of all the alleged unrest and crime. But it’s going to happen anyway, I think. And Oregon is going to try to sue him to stop it.
There’s a little bit of a “fake news” kind of element to this, and I don’t know which way it goes. I don’t know which part’s the fake part. But the officials in Oregon and some people who live there say, “What problem? There’s no problem. Look how great everything is.” And they’ll show you video of walking through the streets and everything looks peaceful and happy. And then you talk to anybody on the right and they’ve got different video that just looks awful.
So, I actually don’t know. I don’t know if Oregon is any worse than it ever was. I can’t tell. I’m guessing it probably is, otherwise they wouldn’t bother sending in the military, but there you go.
Trump’s Truth Social Posts
Well, Trump sent out two “Truths” from Truth Social that honestly don’t look like he sent them. So I’m waiting to see if there’s more to this story because neither of them would be really something he would post online.
One of them looks like it’s an entirely AI-made thing where even he’s talking, but it looks like just AI voice. It sounds like him, but it’s AI. And it was announcing something called “Medbed,” some kind of medical card that he was announcing, which isn’t real. So we don’t know why he sent that around when it doesn’t seem to be real. It’s not something that anybody’s doing, and it’s not that funny. It wasn’t funny and it wasn’t real. So is it possible he thought it was real? I don’t think so because it was talking about what he was doing, and he’s not doing that. There’s no Medbed card as far as I can tell. But he sent that around, which made me think maybe somebody else had access to his account.
And then also, yesterday he sent out something that was praising CBD for its many medicinal uses. Now, you could sort of imagine maybe he would send that out, but I don’t think so. I’ve never seen him promote anything that was pro-weed, even if it was something we already knew that was used medicinally. So I don’t know what’s going on. There might be more to this story, but it does not seem that Trump himself sent those two messages. I just don’t know.
Voting Integrity Executive Order
Median Politics on X is looking at Trump’s executive order to the states. Back in March, he signed some executive orders, or one executive order, to improve the voting integrity in the states. Now, the states, of course, have control over how they do voting, but Trump thinks he can impose some standards.
What would happen when Trump tries to impose some voting process standards on a state that’s blue and doesn’t love Trump? What would happen? Well, apparently they do the Dilbert technique, which is, “Sure, I’ll do that. Okay, is it done yet? Oh, didn’t have time. Okay, but you’re working on it now, right? Oh yeah, yeah, totally working on it now. Check back in a few weeks.” “Are you done yet?” “Oh, something came up. Yeah, no, and I’ve got to talk to somebody before I do anything.”
So basically, they’re slow-walking it so it doesn’t happen. And what else are they doing? They’re doing court challenges, they’re putting political pressure to try to make it go away. They’re missing deadlines because apparently, it looks like there’s no penalty. So if you just say, “Oh yeah, yeah, we see your executive order. Yeah, we’ll take care of that,” then if you just don’t do it, it doesn’t look like there’s a penalty. So I think they just don’t do it. At this point, it does not look like the executive order is going to make a difference. I think it’s going to be too easy for the states to say, “Nah, we’re in charge of this. Get out of here.”
Budget Compromise Meetings
Well, I guess Trump and the top Democrats are going to talk today as a last-ditch effort to try to work out a budget compromise. I don’t think there’s any chance that’ll happen, do you? I mean, I think Trump has to do it, have the meeting, so it looks like he’s trying. But correct me if I’m wrong—I’ll take a fact-check on this—but don’t the smart people say that they think the Democrats will be blamed for closing the government? If the Democrats are predictably easily going to be blamed for it, why would Trump ever agree to their demands that are things he definitely doesn’t want to do, like healthcare for illegal aliens and stuff?
So I don’t really think there’s any possibility that anything will get fixed. They might agree to kick it down the road; that was one of the possibilities, just to delay it again. That might happen. But he’s not going to agree to their demands or anything like that.
FBI and Christopher Wray
Trump was asked about Christopher Wray, who is his FBI head, and he said that he would imagine, quote, “would imagine the Justice Department is investigating him.” And one of the reasons that Trump gave is that apparently Wray had said that he didn’t know how many FBI people were attending the January 6th thing. But now we know that there might have been close to 300.
But what I don’t know yet, because this is divided into two movies on one screen, I don’t know which one’s true. One of the movies is, “Oh, now we have proof that the FBI was behind instigating the trouble because now we know there were 274 of them, and why would there be that many unless they were there to influence the bad result?” The other movie says, “No, these are people who were called in after the people had already penetrated the building, and they were there to try to assist with law enforcement and maintain order. But they were in plain clothes and no way to identify them, so I don’t know how much they could have helped.”
So what do you think? Which movie are you in? Are you in the movie where the FBI has now admitted that they had so many people there on January 6th that they were, in fact, to blame for the bad outcomes? Or it’s complete bullshit and all of those law enforcement types—FBI—came in after the people had already entered the building? Which one do you think is real? I don’t know. I don’t know which one’s real. And I don’t think there’s any way to find out because everything’s a lie. Everything’s fake, everything’s a lie. I don’t even think we’ll ever know. So all it does is give people an opportunity to believe whatever it was that they were inclined to believe before they found out there were 274 FBI people there.
NYC Mayor Race
Well, Eric Adams—no relation—dropped out of the New York City Mayor race. So that means it’s Mamdani and Sliwa and Cuomo. And it turns out that Sliwa is spell-checked to “slow.” I just realized that because it says “slow” instead of “Sliwa” in my notes.
But nobody thinks that Adams dropping out will swing enough votes to one of the others for anybody else to win except Mamdani. So Mamdani is on a glide path to easily winning. Then the big question would be: what if Curtis Sliwa also dropped out? Would that be enough? Would that get the race close enough that Cuomo could win? And do you want that? I mean, maybe that’s worse than Mamdani because there is an argument that if we sacrifice New York City with a terrible mayor who would destroy everything, that would be pretty expensive, but it would give us another 20 years without a socialist in office because we would just say, “All right, come on. Look what this guy did. He just ruined New York City. You can’t vote for that guy.”
So it could be that both the left and the right want Mamdani to win, but for different reasons. The left wants him because they like him. Some members of the right might want him—obviously not people who live in New York City, but people who don’t live in New York City might be saying, “You know, the very best thing that could happen, all things being equal, is that the left finds out that their philosophy doesn’t work by trying it and just showing that none of it works.”
As you know, the problem with the left is that they do not have a cause-and-effect gene where they can tell, “If we do this, the way people will react will be that, and we don’t want that.” They can’t do that. Apparently, that’s only something people on the right can do. “Oh, if you make it free, everybody’s going to come here to get it.” Like the right just automatically sees cause and effect. The left? Nope. They see some kind of weird ideal principle. But then the way that they try to attack that principle is by doing something that couldn’t possibly work. I mean, it’s just batshit crazy.
There’s some bad behavior going on cat-wise. I’ve got one cat with his head in my shoe, and now two cats. They both came over and just put their heads in my shoes.
Recent Shootings
All right. There were two shootings yesterday. One with multiple victims—we don’t have a full complete count because one of them shot up a church and then set it on fire, so there might be more victims that they haven’t found yet. Just truly horrible.
This one was in Michigan. It’s a Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, so it’s a Mormon church. And you know, that should be the first thing in the story, should be where it happened. Somehow I did not write down the state. What was the state where the first shooting happened? Is it Michigan? Michigan, okay. Michigan it is.
Apparently, it’s an ex-military guy, ex-Marine, I think. And he drove his vehicle into the church—just drove it right through a window or something—and then started shooting and then set it on fire. And by the time the law enforcement got there, they took him out in the parking lot. So he’s dead now.
But was that the only shooting yesterday? No. There was a gunman that fired from a boat into a North Carolina restaurant, killing three and wounding five. Wow. And believe it or not, that man was also an ex-military guy. Yep. Two ex-military guys decided to shoot up a populated place. They were both white, in case you’re wondering. But we don’t know about their political leaning or anything like that. We’ll find that out. Anyway, the one who shot up the restaurant is known to local police. So that could be almost anything.
Bill Clinton and MAGA
Well, there’s a lot of chatter on social media about whether Bill Clinton was basically a MAGA-compatible leader in his day. And the argument for that is that he liked strong borders, I think he cut welfare at one point, right? Or made people work to get it.
But the counter-argument is that he expanded healthcare and so forth. So some say he was basically Trump, but not quite. Hillary was for strong borders and shipping people back as soon as possible. So she was basically Trump not that many years ago. Elon Musk was noting the similarities, but other people say, “No, no, there are too many differences. You can’t call him that.”
Arctic Sea Ice and Climate Models
Well, according to the NoTricksZone publication, P. Gosselin is writing that in 2025, the Arctic sea ice minimum—but essentially, it’s been rising steadily for almost two decades. So climate change models would tell you that that ice would melt almost every year, so it should be a lot less after two decades, but in fact, it went up. So there’s one of your climate change predictions: nope, opposite.
But at the same time, also on climate change, they found some overestimate they were making. This is from Mandy Carr, The Cool Down. She cited a new study in Greenland, and they learned more about melting ice sheets and realized that the climate models were totally wrong on that one variable: the melting ice sheets. And that it was a kind of a big deal and could change the results in what you think of it.
Now, that’s just two stories that were in the news just today. How many stories have I read you in the past year or two that were, “Uh-oh, we just found out something in our climate model was terribly wrong”? Now, at this point, the only way you could believe that climate change is the threat that people say—the only way you could believe that is if you believe that climate change is the only science that’s valid, because almost everything else is complete bullshit. Why would climate change be the only exception? Oh yeah, everything else is fake data from our job numbers—job numbers are fake—everything. Basically, everything’s fake. Everything except climate change. So in order to believe it, you’d have to believe everything’s fake except climate change.
Keir Starmer and Migration
The UK Prime Minister, Keir Starmer, he says that climate change is one of the main reasons he believes why the millions of Third World military-age Muslim men are coming to the UK, according to Wall Street Mav on X. So apparently Wall Street Mav is pointing out: apparently they weren’t safe from climate change in any of the other 50-plus countries. No, the only place they would be safe is in the UK. So that’s why they came? No, Keir Starmer, apparently you don’t know anything about anything. Nobody came because of climate change. Nobody. Not one person said, “You know what? Given this climate change, I better get myself to the UK right away.” Not one person. And he’s trying to sell that. Now, I wonder why Starmer has the lowest approval that we’ve ever seen from a UK Prime Minister. Well, it could be because he says dumb shit like that.
Academic Study Replication Crisis
I saw a video by Peter St Onge, PhD. So he’s got a strong resume. And he says that up to 90% of published academic studies are false—meaning they can’t be replicated. 90% of published academic studies are false. And that would include, he points out, things about cancer drugs, global warming, gender mutilation, and even vaccines. So the NIH wants to figure out how to make science real again, because at the moment, science isn’t even real. If 90% of it is just made up and you can’t tell what’s in the 90 and what’s in the 10, science is not real and maybe hasn’t been real for a long time.
Anyway, Professor John Ioannidis—I can’t tell if that’s an I or an L, but anyway, I think it’s an I, Ioannidis—years ago he determined that 97% of studies of pharma drugs are fake. So if you see any study of any pharma test where they’re comparing one—say a new drug—to the existing drug, 97% of the time it’s fake. And that’s the only thing we do to approve drugs: is the thing that’s 97% fake. Not just wrong, not just wrong, but intentionally fake. So there’s your peer review right there. Useless.
So I’ll say it again. Given that 90 or 97% of all studies are fake, in order to believe that climate change is just what they said, you would have to believe that that was a wild exception. And I’m not saying climate change real or not real. I’m saying that all of the subsets of that so-called science—there would be so many elements of that, so many parts that they think they needed to put into the model—that if 90% of the subsets are wrong, well, you’re probably not going to be right with your climate models.
Georgia Election Audit
All right, let’s see what else is happening. The Georgia State Election Board has voted to subpoena 2020 election physical ballots. The Gateway Pundit is writing about this. Now, all this election stuff gets really complicated, but I believe the allegation is that in 2020, if they had access—which they might get now—to the ballots, but also the envelopes that they arrived in. And the main thing they want to check—the easiest thing—is: does the number of ballots match the number of envelopes? Because nobody should be taking any ballots in, like just holding them in their hand. So if you found that there were a whole bunch of ballots but they did not equal the number of envelopes, that would be not proof-proof, but it would definitely be leading toward, “Looks like there’s a whole bunch of fake ballots because they don’t have an envelope.”
So, I don’t know. We’ll see. I think there’s 20,000 votes that are in question for 2020. I don’t want to get excited about any of these possibilities because every time we got excited, it’s like, “Whoa, looks like they got the goods on them this time.” It never really works out, does it? And I’m not sure why that is. Why is it that there have been so many allegations that didn’t work out? Maybe that’s just the way it always is. Maybe it’s always 25 to 1 allegations to reality when it comes to anything complicated like an election. Maybe.
Canadian Gun Bans
I saw somebody say that guns were going to be banned in Canada. And I thought, “What? They’re not going to ban guns in Canada. That’s crazy. There’s no way they’re going to ban guns in Canada.” So I went to Grok to see if Grok agreed. It said, “No, no, they don’t ban guns, you silly goose. They don’t ban any guns. Now, they don’t allow you to buy a handgun. It’s not legal to buy a handgun. If you had one, you can do some paperwork to keep it. But you’ll never be able to buy another one.”
So there’s that. And then they’re trying to get a ban on what they would think would be military-type rifles, but you know. So I believe the only thing, if they got their way—the government—the only thing that would be legal, but still be highly regulated, would be like a bolt-action rifle for hunting and a few other things. But most guns would be banned if they get what they want. So good luck, Canada. Keep bringing in all the foreign nationals and ban the guns. That should work out great.
Again, it’s just another clear example of the left not understanding cause and effect. All right, you’re bringing in massive Islamic people. Simultaneously, you’re disarming the people who are here. That can only go one way. There’s only one way that goes. And if that’s what you planned, to get rid of all the Christians in your country, good job. You’re well on the way.
DEI and Discrimination
According to HR Drive, Laurel Kalser is writing that some biotech conglomerate is being blamed of using DEI to discriminate. And this would be no surprise to any of you: that wherever there is DEI, there’s massive discrimination against white males because that’s how everything works in the real world.
But I’m just going to say this and see how much trouble I get into. Based on what I see online—so this is not a survey or anything, but based on my observations online—I don’t believe, or I’ll say it a different way: most Black Americans believe that the thing that happens 100% of the time at companies happens 0% of the time. The thing that happens 100% of the time, Black Americans think never happens—doesn’t happen at all. And what I’m talking about is if you have DEI, what should happen in principle—like in a perfect conceptual world—is: “Wow, we were discriminating so badly that there were all these qualified Black and brown and female candidates that were not getting jobs, and they really should have because they were just as capable, just as qualified.”
Now, obviously there are people in every group that are at the top level of qualified and capable. So every group has plenty of people that are… but plenty’s not enough. It’s not even close to being enough. So my point on DEI is that you could change the races of everybody involved, and it would still be a disaster. You could say, for example, “All right, not enough Irish are being hired. So we’re going to create a system where we’re really going to encourage you to hire more Irish. And we’ll check on you, and your pay as a manager will depend on if you get enough Irish.” And then you go out and you find out everybody’s trying to hire the limited quantity of Irish people who have the right skills for your high-tech industry, for example. And they would find that, “Uh-oh, the only way I’m going to meet my goal of getting enough Irish is I’m going to have to lower the bar for how capable they will be before I hire them,” right?
That would be how every human would act in that situation. Almost no exception. Close to every single human would act that way. Meaning that the Irish, if you got on an airplane and you saw that the pilot had red hair and looked kind of Irish, you might say to yourself, “Oh crap, they may have lowered the standards to get enough Irish.”
Now, if I change the Irish to Black, people say you’re racist. But it’s the same argument. You can literally switch out—you could put white people in there, you could put Albanians in there—it doesn’t matter who the person is. That’s the part that Black Americans completely miss—or most of them that I’ve seen address the question—they don’t seem to understand, again, it’s not every Black person, blah blah blah, everybody has to say that. They don’t seem to understand that the normal, almost guaranteed way that that will go is that the white people in charge will cover their own asses—which is really a criticism of white people.
Here’s the thing that people don’t understand: when conservatives complain about DEI being racist, they’re normally talking about other white people being the racists. You get that, right? If you’re a Black job candidate and you were lucky enough to be favored and you got a job—or even if you weren’t favored, you just got the job—you’re not to blame for anything. All you did was apply for a job, and you got offered one and you took it. So why would you be the racist? You’re not. So it’s the same when it was Charlie Kirk who said the thing about a Black pilot. The Black pilot would not be the one who’s to blame. It would be whoever said, “I think I have to lower my standards to get the right number of people.” That would be usually some fucking white guy, and that’s the guy who does the bad thing. The Black guy simply took an opportunity that was offered. That’s not racist. That’s not anything but smart—I would have taken the job if offered.
So when I complained about DEI, it’s not 100%, but probably 80% are white people that are the villains. The villains in the story are the white people because they’re the ones saying, “Oh, I better cover my ass and make it look like I hired diversely.”
Banned Documentaries
Do you know about the OCCRP? Which I didn’t see defined, but what it is is an organization of people in the news business internationally who kind of coordinate and, some might say, they coordinate the fake news. But the US has sort of dropped out of that because we’re sort of onto it.
So the Gateway Pundit is writing about this. But apparently, there’s a documentary made in Germany that exposes just how bad the OCCRP is. And what did Germany do when the documentary exposed how bad they were? They banned it. They banned it. So yeah, they’re trying to bury it.
I’m pretty sure that the US made the right play there, thanks to Trump and others. But the OCCRP is not something you should be happy about.
Chicago Federal Deployment
Well, I guess downtown Chicago now has a bunch of federal agents in tactical gear who are deployed there. And Trump has said that border patrol will take no nonsense. So they’re working Chicago. And there’s a bunch of federalized troops there working the streets, and they’re trying to get rid of the worst of the worst, they say. We’ll see if that works. Let’s see if they save Chicago or not.
Political Agitators List
The White House has released a list of “political agitators,” they call them. So these would be people who are calling Republicans Gestapo and Hitler and all that. Jim Hoft at Gateway Pundit is writing about this.
The White House has released a list of the people and what they’ve said. It’s a pretty long list, so I’ll just give you some of them. Governor Tim Walz smeared ICE as the modern-day Gestapo. Interestingly, Gavin Newsom wasn’t nearly as bad; he likened ICE to secret police, calling them authoritarian and proclaimed a right to push back. Okay. But J.B. Pritzker said that the country is becoming Nazi Germany because ICE is grabbing people off the streets and disappearing them. Robin Kelly used Gestapo. Jasmine Crockett compared ICE to slave patrols. It’s a pretty long list, it goes to three pages. It’s just three pages of Democrats who have said horrible things that nobody should say.
Representative Lynch smeared ICE agents as the Gestapo and nondescript thugs. Somebody else, John Larson, said ICE is the SS and the Gestapo. So yeah, I think all of that needs to be called out. So I compliment the White House for putting out this document with everybody’s quote on it so you can see how bad it was.
Study on Political Violence
So there’s a study recently that said that right-wing violence had outpaced left-wing violence for 30 years, but now that’s reversed, according to The State Columbia. Brendan Rascius is writing about it. So for the first time in 30 years, they say left-wing terrorism is now outpacing right-wing terrorism.
I’m going to say I don’t believe any of that. It might be true—I don’t have a pushback to that specific claim—but I’m pretty sure that the Democrats are saying it’s the opposite. And if you haven’t personally looked into the data, you can’t really trust either side. You should assume that the Republicans will say the Democrats are the violent ones, even if they’re not, and you should assume that the Democrats will say the Republicans are the violent ones, even if they’re not. So there’s no credibility whatsoever to any of these claims. One of them is true because they’re opposites—one of them is doing more bad things. But I don’t know if you can tell, and I’m not sure I care that much that one does a little bit more than the other, because most of these people are individual nutcases. So I don’t know. It just feels like there’s definitely something to all these people getting worked up by the fake news—that’s something to worry about—but there’s a lot of crazy people.
Conflict in Ukraine
Mario Nawfal is writing about Ukraine. Apparently, Russia launched last night 500 to 650 drones attacking Kyiv and other parts of Ukraine, I guess. It had 55 cruise missiles, eight Kalibrs—I guess that’s a missile—and two hypersonic missiles and several KH-59s. So that was a pretty major attack.
The question is: is Russia increasing its attacks because Trump is now basically saying he’s going to help Ukraine actually just win the war outright? Maybe. I think that’s more negotiating than anything else, but it’s definitely a new look.
Trump has authorized Ukraine, according to OSINTdefender on X, he’s authorized Ukraine to carry out long-range drone and missile strikes against targets inside Russia, but some of them will require Pentagon approval.
Why would Russia treat it like they’re at war with Ukraine if we’re providing the missiles and giving them permission to use them deep inside Russia? Do you think that Russia will be able to forever resist lobbing a missile into the homeland of the United States? I don’t think we’re completely safe from Russia just making a point—just lobbing some missiles into the US, maybe not having the most damage or death, but just saying, “All right, here’s the deal. If you’re going to help Ukraine lob missiles into Moscow, we’re going to help ourselves lob some missiles into your cities, because why wouldn’t they?”
So I do worry that there’s going to be a new level of escalation here that could come to the homeland, but I don’t know. I do also assume that Trump and company know more than we do about what’s up in Russia. One possibility is that our military and our government knows—and I don’t know this to be true, I’m just speculating—that Russia might be in worse shape than we think. And they might be closer to having to fold or give up, maybe for economic reasons, maybe they don’t want to lose their oil business. Maybe they know that if we totally unleash Ukraine with better weapons, they’re in trouble. So maybe Trump knows something we don’t, that Russia might be closer to something like a deal or a surrender. I don’t know. But I’ll tell you, it looks pretty dangerous. We’ll keep an eye on that.
ADL and Turning Point USA
Did you know that Turning Point USA is listed by the ADL in their Glossary of Extremism and Hate? So that’s the ADL. Elon Musk says that’s deeply wrong. Makes me wonder if the ADL should list themselves as a hate group because do they meet all the criteria? What would it take to be a hate group? The ADL says that I’m a Holocaust denier. Is that something that you do if you’re not a hate group? Why would you even do that?
Anyway, you always want to be on the team that gets to label others; you don’t want to be on the team that gets labeled. So the ADL… I think the ADL’s purpose has maybe run its course. If I had to guess, I think there’s a non-zero chance the ADL will not be in business a year from now because I think… remember, the ADL is not Israel. Israel doesn’t run the ADL, and I don’t think that they’re super backing them in everything they do. So if Israel’s not completely backing them, and the United States is not completely backing them, and they’re not helping anybody because I don’t think they are, then I don’t know if they’ll last another year. We shall see.
Gaza Peace Plan
Trump and company have released what they call a 21-point Gaza peace plan. Here’s what it would call for: an immediate ceasefire, a freeze on battle lines, a release of all hostages within two days, Hamas’s weapons would be destroyed, fighters would have to accept coexistence with Israel and they’d get amnesty and safe passage abroad so they could leave the country if they were worried. And it would pave the path to a possible Palestinian statehood.
Now, Palestinian statehood is not something that Israel wants, or at least the current leader of Israel. So I don’t know about that one happening. And Israel would free hundreds of Palestinian prisoners in response to having all their prisoners back. Israel would halt plans to demolish or annex Gaza and would gradually withdraw its forces. Anyone who wants to return to Gaza after leaving will be allowed to do so. Gaza would get a temporary government overseen by an international group involving the US and Arab countries and European nations. And they would develop a new economic plan to revitalize it, and the US and Arab allies would craft a stabilization force to build up security in Gaza.
Well, how many of you think any of that’s going to happen? I feel like I’m so beaten down, what, two years of war since October 7th. And I just don’t see any of that happening, do you? I see none of that happening. Like, just none of it. I feel that Israel’s best interest would be to just take the heat and take the country. Because who knows if they could survive that, by the way. That would be quite a step. So Israel would have to deal with the repercussions of that forever, and that would be pretty big repercussions. So they might not even be able to survive it if they try to just take Gaza and absorb it and kick out all the Palestinians that were in Gaza. Might not be survivable. I don’t know. I’m not smart enough to know how much of a danger that would be. But I don’t see either side agreeing to all the important parts. I just don’t see it. Do you? I’d love to be wrong. Wouldn’t it be great if they worked everything out? But I don’t know. I don’t see any chance it could happen.
Iran Sanctions and Taiwan
Well, the UN sanctions on Iran have snapped back into place because they were unable to agree on terms for ongoing inspections of their nuclear facilities. Are you surprised that Iran did not give the West everything it wanted in inspections? No surprise.
Apparently, Russia is arming and training a Chinese airborne battalion with all kinds of their best equipment and everything. And analysts think that maybe what they’re doing is preparing for a Taiwan invasion. Not Russia, but who they’re training in China. Do you think that China is literally preparing for an invasion? I wouldn’t rule it out—or at the very least, they might want us to think they’re planning it to put the pressure on. But I wouldn’t rule it out. I wouldn’t rule it in; I wouldn’t bet on it. But I wouldn’t rule it out. I think there’s a solid 25% chance that China has a specific plan with a date that they’re going to go take Taiwan, and I’m pretty sure they could take it if they wanted to.
Bad Bunny at the Super Bowl
Bad Bunny is a music star that I didn’t know much about, but apparently that will be the Super Bowl halftime entertainment. But Bad Bunny is, I’m learning today, Puerto Rican and his songs are primarily in Spanish with very little English. So people are saying, “Why are you doing that? We’re an English-speaking country. Wouldn’t it make more sense to have English-speaking music?” But Bad Bunny’s very popular, so I mean, Bad Bunny’s popular in this country, too. So I’m not sure that’s a mistake. People will complain, but having a little bit of interesting diversity isn’t the worst thing in the world.
All right, that’s all I got for you today. Keep it a little bit short. I’ll remind you again that if you haven’t seen it, I did a podcast last night with Dr. Drew and Greg Gutfeld, who were nice enough to stop by my place yesterday. So we sat in my kitchen and did a podcast which, according to the comments, people really, really liked. And I got to tell you that one of the many cool things about that experience is that the three of us are so experienced at talking in public that we could just turn on the cameras and do what turned out to be 83 minutes of content without any preparation.
Now, I have to admit, there aren’t too many people who could do 83 minutes of content that people really enjoyed, based on the comments. But we’ve all been doing it for a long time, so it went better than I could have hoped, actually. So if you want to see what my kitchen looks like from one angle, anyway, you can watch that. You can find that on YouTube, or on X, or on Locals, or on Rumble. And so far, everybody likes it a lot. So that’s good.
A lot of people are saying we should do it on a regular basis, but there’s one thing that the three of us have in common: it’s that we each have about four jobs apiece. I don’t think we can add another job. I don’t think that’s an option. But maybe we’ll get to do it again someday. We’ll see.
All right, that’s all I got for now. I’m going to talk to the Locals subscribers, the beloved Locals subscribers, privately. And the rest of you, thanks for joining. I will see you tomorrow, same time, same place.