Episode 2269 Scott Adams: CWSA 10/22/23
Date: 2023-10-22 | Duration: 53:56
Topics
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Rough Transcript
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Transcript
[0:03]
so there’s a big breakthrough in Quantum Computing some kind of materials breakthrough with Amino ferine and graphine and it’s a it’s going to be a real big deal for Quantum Computing I I don’t think we have any idea what’s going to happen with Quantum Computing yeah I’ve said this before but I feel like it’s the only story that matters because every other one of our problems will be folded into whatever ever happens when we have quantum computers and AI so uh can we make an agreement I I would like to ask you for something could you just as a favor to me never mention sticks his technical setup again please never never again it’s just different yeah let’s just never talk about it again all right uh and if we could let the
[1:04]
all right uh and if we could let the technical and sound conversation stop that’d be great because otherwise I’m just so here’s the problem with it even though you notice that I do a pretty good job of noticing the comments as I’m talking about uh the topics but here’s the thing that’s not as obvious to you I can do that when the topic is about the news so if I’m talking about the news news and then you’re talking about the news and then I’m talking about the news I can I can blend and vend diagram all of that information but there’s a part of my head that is completely different from that mode and that’s the problem solving like technical head so the problem is not that it’s a distraction it’s a a specific kind of distraction that uses a different part of my brain and then the uh the resources I needed my head to get from technical problem solving to talking about the news is such a big
[2:06]
talking about the news is such a big leap that I can’t do it in real time but I can do all of the newsy topics in real time they don’t they don’t distract they actually add more additive does that make sense it it’s a brain processing thing it’s almost like real state in the brain if you take me to the wrong real State then I can’t I can’t use the right real estate so that’s why I seem um extra extra prickly about that it’s not that it bothers me it’s that I can’t do the job under those conditions all right um Mark andreon had this big Manifesto about everything that’s wrong with the business world and I love the fact that he says directly that ESG could be one of the things that’s destroying the world you know it’s on his list with some other stuff uh and he calls it a mass demoral ization campaign against progress that has lasted 60 years but he calls out everything trust
[3:07]
years but he calls out everything trust and safety and Tech ethics and social responsibility and ba basically all these well-intended things um are basically destroying the world but I would like to add my own theory about why Empires rise and fall this will be the best theory you’ve ever heard so you heard P Buchanan’s theory that is war that all the prior Empires were destroyed by War but well I I get that I mean it’s highly correlated I’ve got a slightly different take that you’re going to like better it goes like this all Empires are luck that’s it you have to be lucky to become an empire in the first place it’s not just you know that you had some good leaders and
[4:08]
know that you had some good leaders and you performed well or you had a good system right it’s luck and the one thing you can guarantee about luck is that it doesn’t last that’s it that’s the whole that’s the whole description of Empires for example it was lucky that the United States was geographically um protected from World War II nobody planned it right people didn’t move here because they said oh in case there’s a World War II it was just luck yet I also consider it luck that our Founders were alive and in America at the same time I mean what were the odds that Ben Franklin Thomas Jefferson George Washington Monroe Hamilton what of the odds they would all be alive at the same time and have the same the same purpose what are the odds that Steve Jobs would meet wnc what were the odds if you don’t put
[5:10]
wnc what were the odds if you don’t put them to those two together there’s no Apple computer there’s no smartphone maybe who knows so so my take on America and all the other Empires is that something weirdly rare had to happen for any Empire to form in the first place but that that level of lock that it takes to stay in power can’t be sustained just nobody can be that lucky for a thousand years now once you are successful you can do what any Monopoly does you can put up walls so you can last way longer than you should because you can put up you know ways to protect yourself but in the long run it’s still luck maybe there’s a climate change thing maybe there’s a you know somebody’s nuclear bomb goes off by accident um there’s a pandemic that one one person mismanaged but another one
[6:10]
one person mismanaged but another one didn’t I think it’s just that it’s just luck so that would suggest that every Empire goes away eventually there’s a uh uh but I wouldn’t worry about ours right away think oh that is so weird that your comment said something the Warren Commission that was something I was going to talk about today Warren Commission I’ll talk about that right now actually so I I started watching uh uh Oliver Stone’s update to his original movie JFK about the assassination so there’s there were more documents are Declassified Etc so he’s got an updated version of it and what I always say about documentaries is that they’re 100% persuasive usually they’re 100% persuasive as long as you don’t see the counter argument so I’m aware while I’m watching
[7:12]
argument so I’m aware while I’m watching it I’ve only watched the first episode but I was completely aware of two things number one it was completely persuasive of its point of view that Kennedy was basically assassinated by the CIA and the mafia now does that mean it’s true I don’t know because I’d have to hear some kind of CounterPoint to really have an opinion but it’s completely convincing and let me tell you the most convincing part and this part does not require any speculation this is a real thing that I found out yesterday I did not know this till yesterday do you know who so there was this thing called the warrant commission the government put together in order to find out for sure who killed Kennedy you know was it a lone gunman was it a conspiracy Etc well they came up with the answer there was a lone gunman no conspiracy now the thing I didn’t know is that the chairperson of the Warren
[8:14]
is that the chairperson of the Warren Commission was the only person who didn’t have a regular job so he was the most active because he didn’t have a day job to go to he was the recently fired uh head of the CIA Dallas right now you say to yourself well that’s probably a pretty good person right because it’s somebody who’s really connected a high level executive type wouldn’t know all the players yeah Ellen Ellen delis here’s a thing that I did not know about until today the chairman of the group who are trying to find out for sure who killed Kennedy and just listen to this carefully it’s all you need to know the chairperson of the group that was by by far had the most power on the warrant commission was also the major suspect in the actual assassination so the the main
[9:15]
assassination so the the main suspect was the person who was put in charge of the commission to find out who the murderer was that’s a real thing I didn’t know that till yesterday that’s a real thing there’s no there’s no question about what happened of course the CIA killed him there’s no way that you put the main suspect in charge of the investigation unless unless it’s exactly what it looks like it’s exactly what it looked like do you need to hear anything else is there anything else you need to hear about this the main suspect who had been fired by Kennedy do you know why he’d been fired as the head of the CIA so first of all he was a disgruntled employee so that’s a reason to kill somebody second of all he was a CI head of the CIA so he had all the ability to set up some kind of a fake assassination
[10:18]
set up some kind of a fake assassination if he wanted to and then but more importantly I learned that Kennedy found out that the CIA was running its own foreign policy and even the president wasn’t aware of it and they didn’t care about the president they thought they were in charge did you know that did you know that even Kennedy and it’s on record said that he didn’t think he had any control of the CA and didn’t know what they were doing and there were well documented cases where they were overthrowing governments and murdering people without the president having ordered it they were running their own government you think that’s bad enough no we’re not done yet Jay Edgar Hoover who ran the FBI same problem the FBI was not doing what the president wanted the FBI was its own domain and uh it was just doing its own thing so Kennedy had an FBI that
[11:19]
its own thing so Kennedy had an FBI that reported to him on paper but didn’t and a CIA that reported to him on paper but didn’t so it’s exactly what it looked like the people who were really in power didn’t like that there was this guy who was called president and so they killed him and covered it up yeah amazing so uh Earl Warren yeah it was Earl Warren so you know I don’t have any question about what happened I don’t have any question about what went down to me that’s confirmed for confirmation or something yeah all right well so that uh begs a interesting question what happens if uh RFK Jr had it his way and he could dig into all the cia’s business and suppose he were in charge of the CIA that would be
[12:20]
CIA that would be interesting uh but there’s a new pole Harvard uh and Harris poll so I guess it’s a respected poll and they did a poll of presidential preferences as we stand now and if it were just Trump and Biden Trump would win by he’s up four four points now remember these are National so that doesn’t mean you would win in all the right districts to win the electoral vote but it does give you kind of a general feeling of the attitude of the country but if you throw into the mix uh Kennedy um Trump’s lead increases es by 50% he goes from up four to up six six now can we can we conclude that Kennedy takes votes away from Biden more than he takes votes from Trump I think so so this is the first
[13:20]
Trump I think so so this is the first confirmation and uh this is what I thought would happen I I thought he would take more from Biden but um if you throw in uh West so that there are two third party people running Kennedy and West Trump’s lead goes up to seven every time you throw in a third party uh Trump’s base tends to be sticky and other candidates are a little less sticky so they lose support whenever there’s another person there ornell West yes yes um if Trump ran against against Harris instead he would be up by seven and if he and if Biden ran against Nikki Haley Biden would win by four I don’t know how Trump can survive I mean I feel like they’re GNA have to I hate to say it but I don’t short of
[14:22]
it but I don’t short of him you know being the victim of something horrible how did they keep him out of office and can they allow him to get back in office knowing that he’s going to rip the lid off of everything or at least he try I don’t know I’m real worried about his health I gotta be honest well here’s some fake news based on real news um China has moved multiple warships into the Middle East so they’re China’s big boats are over there with America’s Strike Force I guess we’ve got two carrier strike groups over there but it sounded on first report it sounded like this was to counter the American power on second look it looks like it was just a planned um they had some planned Maritime Naval practice what do you call it what do you call it when the military
[15:23]
it what do you call it when the military practices what’s that called exercise yes so they had some ex it might be just that um but the United States does it seem to you like Biden is stealthily preparing for war that would involve America when now was saying hey we’re getting ready for War I feel like there’s something missing in the process as in some honesty as in if this happens American boots will be on the ground I don’t like just sort of being over there and being ready and then America not being told at the same time that we don’t have a speaker of the house I don’t like anything about this I I think it probably makes sense from a commander-in-chief perspective you got to put your military where it might make a difference it definitely might make a difference at least me mentally the psychology of the situation
[16:26]
mentally the psychology of the situation is certainly different because or military there but um I do worry that we’re preparing for for war without the permission of Congress and without the full knowledge of the citizens that’s what it feels like well let’s talk about why Israel has not attacked yet in terms of their ground attack um one theory is that Biden is restraining them in other words Biden said don’t go in and kill a bunch of uh innocent people while trying to get the bad guys so that’s possible so that that’s certainly a force that’s working on them it’s not the only Force that’s happening uh anat told lubarski added uh that it probably takes three weeks after mobilization to actually be ready to launch now that that matches my point of view that it just takes longer than they
[17:28]
view that it just takes longer than they have they’ve had so far to just get ready because they don’t want to be partly ready right now here’s a really ugly thought the ground Invasion or not or how it goes or how it doesn’t go is largely an economic decision isn’t that ugly it’s an economic decision and the reason is because it would be really expensive to surround Gaza and just wait waiting is very expensive I mean war is expensive too but if they’re going to have the war anyway you don’t want to have the war plus the expense of The Siege that’s a lot of expense so there’s I hate to say it but there’s an economic Force which is they they can’t wait forever it would just be too expensive you can’t turn it into a permanent outdoor jail and and just do a better job of security I think that’s the comic
[18:29]
job of security I think that’s the comic Dave Smith approach just to better security and not just but that being a big part of it um so the the timing of it is going to be based on economics probably which is the the creepiest most disgusting thought you could ever have in your life but it’s also the real world right money is an asset of the military you don’t have money you don’t have an army so it’s always money it’s just just that there are bullets flying at the same time all right um apparently uh Israel has created a special unit to hunt and kill every participant in the Hamas terror attack how would they know exactly I guess somehow they might be able to capture a list of who was involved so I don’t even know how they would know who to go after but that’s very Israel I think the psychology of that is great the the psychology of it is to tell the
[19:31]
the the psychology of it is to tell the citizens no matter how long it takes because they’ve done this before you know no matter how long it takes we will get every one of them and I think they mean it and I think they will take as long as it takes so uh Joel Pollock is over there now reporting and uh I can’t stop thinking about how terrible that would be to be over there to to actually just put yourself in the most stressful country in the world right now where apparently the entire country is just in war mode and everybody’s mind is focused on this as it should be H and I can’t even imagine it just seeing the evidence of the devastation and uh having to just put your head in that situation it definitely makes me feel has anybody had this feeling this week that I’d have moments where I’m just petting my dog and you know completely relaxed and then I would
[20:32]
completely relaxed and then I would think about how bad it is you know in the Middle East and other places and I’d feel kind of guilty and I was also feeling like maybe it won’t last you know I I feel like my peace is not going to last it feels like all of this is coming for us I just don’t know when that’s what it feels like uh but we can be smart and and uh maybe maybe push it back well V ramaswami is uh very outspoken in a good way I think he’s adding lots of good uh context and comparisons and giving us stuff to think about about Gaza and he’s very opposed to combining the funding package into one big let’s go to war package and I’m opposed to that too on on system and process grounds that’s different from being opposed to the funding of each that’s a separate
[21:33]
funding of each that’s a separate question I’m against putting them together we absolutely have to vote on war individually you know what you don’t want to vote on oh how about war but plus the farm package no sorry get the farm pack well that’s not a real thing I’m making that up get the farm package out of there how about war or War plus climate change nope nope War has got to be by itself there’s no wiggle R there and indeed I don’t ever want I don’t ever want a speaker of the house if such speaker of the house is going to put War packages together or war with anything else it’s got to be War by itself some of the other stuff you know the the other uh pork and stuff I can kind of see why maybe there’s some advantages and disadvantages of combining them sometimes but you don’t bundle
[22:34]
sometimes but you don’t bundle War bundling War together is just a big old you to the citizens of the United States that is disrespectful that’s not even politics that is just pure disrespectful and I don’t think I’ve seen anything like this in politics before where where it’s not really an opinion or a preference this is just pure disrespect for the citizens and the voters that’s all I feel like I feel it’s a bad problem and needs to be solved but my visceral feeling is my God you have no respect for the citizens whatsoever to to even imagine that you would combine these two things just to shove it down our throats yeah unacceptable so uh uh I’m 100% behind V on the don’t put funding into one package the other thing he says and again this is a great addition to
[23:34]
and again this is a great addition to the to the debate one of the things that V is so valuable for win or lose is that he broadens and improves the debate wherever he goes even if you disagree with him he has very clear points about it defends his points and even extends the argument into places where it hasn’t been extended but needs to to be it’s so positive but one of the things he says is is that he he wouldn’t be in favor of I think funding unless the unless Israel has a plan for what happens to the Palestinians after the ground defensive do you agree with that or not you say to yourself well screw them it’s not Israel’s problem why should they have a plan now remember the plan doesn’t mean Israel will fix everything doesn’t have to be but it could be a plan for how Palestinians Will Survive the plan could include uh we’re going to we’re going to
[24:35]
include uh we’re going to we’re going to build a let’s say multi-g government Coalition of Arab countries to manage and help the Palestinians something like that right so it doesn’t have to be on Israel’s dime if you tell me Israel shouldn’t spend a penny to help even the innocent suffering Palestinians I would say H I can see that in a normal situation you’d say Humanity has to win over politics and all that other stuff but in this specific situation uh I think Israel has a right to walk away and just say you know what there are a lot of Muslims in the world if you can’t take care of each other don’t ask my religion to do it because that that’s basically what’s happening people are saying hey our religion is failing can your religion come over here and take care of us and how about no and I’m not sure that that’s cruel given that there are many wealthy Arab
[25:36]
given that there are many wealthy Arab Islamic countes surrounding the area with a deep interest in the well-being of these people let them take all of it I think that’s what I do so um I like V’s addition that there should be a plan but I would disagree that that plan should be uh increasing ing the taxes on Israelis you know I I don’t think Israelis should be taxed to take care of the Palestinians that’s too far under the current circumstance before maybe it was more of a conversation before but now nope I I would say complete divorce and make it permanent that would be my take on that uh and I definitely wouldn’t open the border to let anybody come in and work ever again wouldn’t do that just because of the risk um let’s see let’s also talk about what’s going to happen next let’s use I
[26:38]
what’s going to happen next let’s use I like to use what I call the movie um script prediction method I’ve talked about this many times it’s the idea that reality follows movies and movies have this threea scenario and the key Act is the third act where the heroes have an unsolvable problem that’s where we are Israel has an unsolvable problem from a movie script perspective that is to say if they if they don’t go in with a ground attack that would be like losing because it would just leave Hamas intact they would reconstitute someday they come back and attack so they can’t do nothing they don’t they don’t have an option of not doing a ground attack but if they do the ground attack it’s guaranteed to have uh you know unacceptable uh losses on civilians and you can guarantee that
[27:39]
civilians and you can guarantee that those unacceptable losses will be magnified forever to become a a stain on Israel’s reputation that will hurt them in different ways as much as if they did you know did or didn’t do the ground assault so they have two ways to go and they’re both losing directions don’t do a ground assault you definitely lose do a ground assault there definitely be too many civilian deaths and you lose so they only have two choices and they’re both guaranteed loss do you agree so far that’s what the third act looks like no matter what you do it’s all bad you don’t have a you don’t have any path to Victory so how does a movie get resolved when the third act presents an impossibility to the hero well it’s always the same way some clever solution that was not obvious to the viewers of the movie that’s what makes it fun to watch but in the real world that’s also what happens
[28:39]
the real world that’s also what happens it’s going to be a third option and here’s what I predict I predict the third option the third option is that Israel shows the world the most clever way to handle this situation like so clever it becomes a standard for this kind of Warfare for the rest of time here’s what I don’t think they’re going to do knock on doors and get you know get IED and booby trapped and take huge losses I don’t think that’s going to happen here’s what I think I think that they’re uh getting Super Active the Israelis and allies and figuring out Technical Solutions to Hamas and that would include i’ some people have suggested ideas one would turn um would be to filter the good people out of the Hamas controlled areas which is happening I call it the filter fence the filter
[29:41]
call it the filter fence the filter fence is where you you let all the good people out so that all that’s left is the people want to be there for whatever reason and then you just turn it into a prison now if you make the area small enough if you can chew away at the edges then it’s easier to control the entire perimeter of let’s say a little piece of Northern Gaza you know way way easier than trying to control the entire perimeter now there’s still tunneling and you know paragliding and there ways they can get down but if you are super serious about putting a let’s say a drone permanent drone Army in the air over it you could probably turn it into a technological prism where if anybody gets out drone is activated and hunts them down and and just kills them where they where they’re running you could probably come up with some Technical Solutions for identifying tunnels that we’ve not seen before uh
[30:42]
tunnels that we’ve not seen before uh you want to hear the most low Tech idea I ever had you take a Roomba one of those little uh vacuum cleaner robots and you put it in if you find one of the tunnel openings it wouldn’t be hard to find one you just put the room in there and you let it you let it map the entire inside of the uh the tunnels now you’d have to have some way to get the signal out before they destroyed it so you put the Roomba in and it just goes Roomba Roomba and it figures out where the walls are it kind of maps the place you know until the first terrorist sees it and then blows it up but then you uh you know send something down to kill that terrorist and then send it in another Roomba you just destroy them with roombas you know little little robots with bombs on them um so the problem with using robotics or drones is that you will lose your signal right if you send in a little
[31:42]
signal right if you send in a little drone like a little flying drone into a tunnel eventually it would lose signal but there are new technologies and in fact I just talked about one yesterday uh in which you can put AI onto to the device with the small little chip which they have an alpha version of it right now that would make AI related decisions on its own once it lost signal so we’re pretty close to you know Skylink kind of thing because the intelligence to make their own decisions is going into drones and it’s happening now like that’s current technology is putting an entire AI on to a chip putting it in the robot and then the robot goes off and makes its own decisions from that point on that’s real that’s current technology so could it be that some of the robots that would normally be used clear on the
[32:43]
that would normally be used clear on the tunnel normally you would use it remotely with some remote control but maybe they send some uh independent ones down there and maybe they send as many as you need you know just keep sending them just keep making them in s of them and you know they’d get destroyed but before they did you know maybe some would get back maybe some would find out how to send a signal something like that so You’ end up mapping and killing everything in the tunnels without ever going down in a tunnel if you had enough robots and AI the other possibility is just gas um I believe I saw the Bro the son of the leader of Hamas who is pro-israel and anti Hamas weirdly so he was actually saying you’re probably going to need to use gas to which I said huh what kind of gas and I thought could be all kinds somebody suggested uh
[33:45]
somebody suggested uh skunk why not why not put a smell down there that’s so bad that you just couldn’t couldn’t exist without a gas mask yeah we could drop uh uh Eric swell down there just dangle him on a rope let him do the rest um or other possibilities are sleeping gas Etc but uh the one that I like to uh suggest is they should be running out of that captagon drug pretty soon if you wait long enough so that’s the one that makes them you know stay up all night and want to fight and do horrible things uh as I’ve said before they Israel should already be making fake versions of captagon so that you know four out of five are either normal captagon or they’re a little underpowered and the fifth one’s just an overdose waiting to happen you know the fifth one’s actually designed to kill you but it’s mixed in
[34:46]
designed to kill you but it’s mixed in with the ones that aren’t so you want to get rid of all of their legal forms so that their only choices are uh Russian roulette with the next pill because I’m guessing that they’re addicted what do you think you think the captagon has already made them addicted like if they run out there’s nothing that they’re going to do not to get some more so if you could give them deadly Capon at the same time they run out and they’re addicted they’re going to start popping the stuff that kills one out of five people right because they’re like well four and a five chance that’s not bad bad yeah um the ADL uh is embarrassing itself in the in the midst of this Hamas situation they put on a statement saying white supremacist is still big problem not not really reading the room right what what are the white
[35:47]
right what what are the white supremacist done lately can you think of anything the white supremacists have done well I can think of something let’s see if you can think of something else here’s something the white supremacists have done recently backed Israel that’s that’s all I need to say about that all right um and not yeah because I don’t think that they’re crazy about Hamas is what I think uh well uh my old Nemesis Chen who some say is a Chinese operative but Chen says no uh he’s just a guy on on the xplatform saying stuff um but he’s talking about the British Broadcasting Company which some call the BBC uh he points out that it said that uh 1400 Israelis were quote massacred but 4,000 Palestinians were quote killed
[36:50]
but 4,000 Palestinians were quote killed and Chen points out it’s extreme bias in choosing the words is staggering well okay it does matter the intention doesn’t it the Hamas were intending to slaughter and you know disembowel people that was literally what they were planning to do and then they did it the Israelis were trying to protect themselves and trying to avoid civilian deaths if they could not really the same Chen but uh I only point it out not because he makes a good point or not even a bad point it’s just sort of a stupid point but uh is sort of anti-israel and he’s a I believe he’s an approved Chinese voice in their foreign influence campaign so that would mean that he’s uh sort of a suggestive of what Chinese leadership would also say so they seem to be taking
[37:52]
say so they seem to be taking sides um have you seen the story that’s partially f F news about uh Biden paying cash for his Beach House the one he uses now so at some point back in 2017 I guess he paid uh 2.75 million in cash for his re reoboth beach home he paid cash who pays cash for a house some people um but it’s suggested by the people who are you know chasing his bad behavior that this is a uh a symbol of the sort of thing he’s doing with or was doing with his ill gotten criminal gains from selling his influence or something like that but to me it just looks like a story you know why so remember the the propaganda isn’t only coming from the left so this this
[38:54]
only coming from the left so this this was pure propaganda I saw on the right right so the story starts out saying blah blah uh Biden crime family so you’re all primed to think this is a criminal thing and then they tell you you paid cash for a 1 million in royalties for his book um isn’t that the whole story he made a lot of money on a book and then he bought a beach house like the the fact that the the anti-biden people tied together what looks like a public and completely understanding source of money but put that at the end of the article here’s how that article should
[39:54]
article here’s how that article should have been I forget who wrote it but it doesn’t matter the article should have said at about the same time he was making millions of dollars on his book he bought a beach house that’s it that should have been the whole story why did we have to why do why do we assume that this money came from some other source when he got paid 11 11 million so the fact that that it was worded all of his bad behavior first oh bad behavior bad behavior but he also he also bought a beach house for cash so the bad behavior and the cash he paid for the beach house that must be the same story right that’s what the Democrats do to you that’s what the Democrats do you know if you see a story like that from your own side you know let’s say you lean right and it’s a right leading entity that writes it that’s just right now I’m not defending Joe Biden I’m saying you’re
[40:55]
defending Joe Biden I’m saying you’re going to need to do better than that if you’re proving he made a whole bunch of legal money that’s well disclosed and then he spent some of it that should be the whole story separately maybe he did some you know scabby things but that’s separate I wouldn’t put those together so the propaganda is not coming from Just One Direction just be aware of that um is writing a book a good way to make a million well let me explain uh book publishing number one it could be a way to launder funds in other words if he got an unusually high advance for his book you know way more than they expected to sell the books that would be that would be suggestive that maybe there’s a publisher who wanted a favor from somebody in the government so they were willing to overpay a little bit you know
[41:56]
willing to overpay a little bit you know maybe there’s a billionaire involved with the publisher who is willing to subsidize a little bit of their overpayment so there are million ways that you could do some sketchy things that launder money by overpaying for a book and that’s probably what happened given the players involved and the fact that they sell influence for a living you know legally perhaps I don’t know that Jo that Joe or Hunter did anything illegal but it’s obvious they were selling influence that part seems well established by everybody basically so be careful of that um yeah having said that there’s something sketchy happening with the uh Biden family we just don’t know exactly what um oh let me finish one other point about book um advances if you say to yourself Scott the likely number of total sales of a Biden
[42:58]
total sales of a Biden book could never justify an $1 million or whatever the advance was we don’t know what the advanced was uh could never never justify that much of a payment here’s what you need to know about Publishers for the bigname books and he would be a bigname book they don’t often they don’t always try to make money did you know that sometimes they they will overpay for a bigname author so that they can tell the next author well we have this author I mean we just did the big Biden book so you should work with us it’s almost marketing so a big publishing house will overpay a big name uh and how do I know this this happened to me when when Dilbert was a huge well-respected hit uh I I negotiated a big book deal uh after I’d written the de principal and it was a number one book but when they
[44:00]
it was a number one book but when they when they offered the advance for it was like a five book deal even I could tell they were overpaying I mean it was obvious to me that I would never sell that many books uh but the advance was so good that of course I said yes it was their it was their risk to take so I took their money they took the risk and do you think that they sold enough books to justify the advance probably not probably one or two of the books yes but probably the entire five book catalog probably not but they said directly at one point that they like to have you know big names in their stable and as long as I came you know close to break even then it was a marketing thing and they went so I heard that directly so yes Biden might have been overpaid uh because there was something sketchy going on but he could have been overpaid just because that’s exactly how Publishers operate they overpay for the
[45:01]
Publishers operate they overpay for the big name books all right how in cost have doubled since 2019 what uh at least the affordability of a new home has doubled uh wait no your dollar goes half as far as it did at the end of 2020 Yeah so basically same same story uh wow wow all right here’s a little story that uh I have to wonder about you’ll probably wonder the same thing so Trump has a new video out campaign video um in which is shows people being brainwashed by Hillary and uses and even Trump did a truth post on it in which he said brainwashed so they’re using the word brainwashed and they’re using the video of Hillary saying that she wants to deprogram Trump supporters so Trump is going directly at
[46:04]
supporters so Trump is going directly at the brainwashing propaganda part of the Democrat engine which is pretty interesting yeah I don’t know that anybody’s going after that directly before have they but it’s exactly what’s happening it’s a brainwashing operation and if he can if he can convince anybody that it is that’s an interesting line of attack and the beauty of it is you don’t have to argue about policy if you’re arguing about whether there’s a brainwashing operation because the brainwashing operation you can simply point to it it’s like well here’s another example and and it also creates a confirmation bias trap have you ever seen him do that before it’s classic Trump whe when he nicknamed uh Hillary Clinton as crooked Hillary it was because he knew for sure that during the campaign there would be new things to come out allegations that you would
[47:04]
to come out allegations that you would say to yourself huh that sounds like Hillary did something crooked oh of course she’s crooked Hillary makes perfect sense and then your brain stores all of her crooked Deeds under his framing crooked Hillary so he’s literally changing the real estate in your brain with these nicknames that make all the information seemed like confirmation but it could be confirmation bias right so now when he calls down brainwashing every time you see something that looks like it’s in that domain you’re going to say instead of that’s a lie which you would have said otherwise you can say oh that’s what Trump’s talking about there’s that brainwashing so he’s created another little uh little rental property in your head and he calls it brainwashing now every time you see something that you would have interpreted as just a lie or just politics or something like that you’re going to say to yourself hey are they trying to brainwash me who are they
[48:06]
they trying to brainwash me who are they trying to brainwash so this is probably brilliant probably brilliant the gaslighting thing never worked because everybody’s gaslighting everybody and nobody knows what the word means exactly but everybody knows what brainwashing means yeah everybody knows what brainwash is so that’s the perfect Trump frame a word we all know that’s a confirmation trap for the future he’s so good at this um I have a way to spot the brainwashed which uh annoys me because I think that I’ve used it myself so I’m going to tell you how to spot brainwashing people but you don’t need to tell me but Scott I feel like I’ve seen you do that to which I say I have done that was I brainwashed if you’re not at least
[49:08]
brainwashed if you’re not at least asking yourself that question you’re brainwashed let me say that as clearly as possible if you’re not continuously asking yourself is somebody brainwashing me right now you know when you’re looking at political stuff you’re being brainwashed the only defense is if you’re asking yourself every single time something happens which I do that doesn’t it’s not a complete protection you know smart people well-informed people could be brainwashed but it’s at least a little bit of something it’s not nothing so I’m asking myself this about this but here’s the tell saw this today on the xplatform a user named James English so he was in a back and forth debate with some folks about what is true or not true about something Trump related but he ends he ends with this uh responding to someone else not to me he goes no it means I follow facts you follow beliefs you should seek help there it is you
[50:08]
you should seek help there it is you should seek help it truly is a sickness or maybe you are a child because only children follow beliefs adults follow facts now that’s that’s a brainwashed person right so let me break it down so here’s somebody who believes that the person they’re talking to is the only person in politics who doesn’t think facts matter and that they’re just operating on belief as just as one person and you know not not just one but uh and that that’s the only problem here is that one of them doesn’t believe in facts and they’re following beliefs now that’s the most universal thing that everybody thinks about everybody but here’s the here’s the one that’s really the tell you should see seek help once a person believes that the other person’s point of view is so crazy that they completely give up on debating it there are one or two possibilities they’re talking to
[51:10]
possibilities they’re talking to somebody who actually is just crazy and they’re you know in their own little world or the person who’s talking is the one who’s brainwashed and and when presented with a good argument or new facts that counter their opinion they immediately go to the Badness of the person so here’s the tell if they start with facts but end up with seek help you don’t believe facts they’re they’re probably brainwashed but it doesn’t it doesn’t eliminate the possibility that the person they’re talking about is brainwashed so it’s a little tricky but certainly if somebody has uh if you’ve retreated from let me say this in a more pris Bo if you’ve completely retreated from the idea of arguing about the facts and now you’ve you’ve gone to there’s something wrong with you you’re just broken uh one of you is brainwashed or
[52:11]
broken uh one of you is brainwashed or both that’s what’s happening there yeah but like I say since I’ve been I’ve been the one to tell people to seek help because in my mind it did look like they just had a mental problem some kind of TDS yes uh so it makes me wonder huh wonder if I’m brainwashed when I say that just something to think about all right ladies and gentlemen um all right I got some questions I could answer I think we’ve done what we need to do today it’s time for brunch exactly you should all go off and have an amazing Sunday today um and uh enjoy uh enjoy all the good times if you have them because it’s a precarious world I do think the United States will be fine uh certainly in your
[53:12]
fine uh certainly in your lifetime but uh we got a lot of stuff to take care of have to fix a lot of stuff so let’s go fix a lot of stuff and uh we’ll be fine and I think Israel is going to be clever so remember my prediction it won’t be a standard ground defensive and it won’t be no ground defensive it will be the most Innovative ground defensive you’ve ever seen there will be things you’ve never seen before so look for that and I will talk to to you maybe in the man cave good night bye for