Episode 1245 Scott Adams: Let’s Discuss the Capitol Protest and Elon Musk’s Prediction

Date: 2021-01-07 | Duration: 1:06:13

Topics

Find my “extra” content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.com

Rough Transcript

This is an auto-generated transcript and may contain errors.

Transcript

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• We NEED to know elections are credible

• Why not take 10 days for a confidence audit?

• We NEED an honest free press…we don’t have one

• Supporting protests while condemning violence

• NO fraud evidence has been court reviewed

• Why they don’t want Assange free to speak

If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
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[0:11]

good morning everybody come on in come on in you'll be fine everything's going to work out now you might be wondering why the sound quality is not so good if you're watching this on the live stream on youtube and it's because i haven't yet ordered my adapter so i can charge my ipad at the same time i can have my microphone plugged in so if you want the better sound quality you go over to periscope live stream
why are you here this morning i think i know i think i know and it starts with a simultaneous sip and all you need is a cough copper mega i got up a little early this morning speaking might be a problem but all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass a tank or chelsea steiner canteen jugger flask vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and somebody says are you missing a

[1:11]

microphone the plug in the audio all right so those of you just coming in i just told you that the audio on youtube will be low because i'm not using a microphone i have it plugged in for charging go to go to my twitter feed and go to well if you go to my twitter feed you'll see the live stream with microphone on the other platform so um i will be ignoring the rest of you all right you i'm just gonna turn off youtube all right youtube is cancelled
because they couldn't handle the they couldn't handle the sound
so just you today uh periscope uh turns out the youtube people complained too much so i had to i just turned them off let us begin again with less complaints

[2:17]

here's the most interesting thing that happened today and it wasn't the capital protest we'll get those in a minute elon musk tweeted that the most entertaining outcome is the most likely the most entertaining outcome is the most likely what do you think well it may be something you've heard me say before and is a coincidence that two people who are known to believe that we are in a software simulation and not a classic reality believe that the outcomes tend to be biased toward whatever is the most entertaining why would that be can uh can uh can there be any logical reason why if we're a simulation or even if we're not the outcomes would be biased toward what is most entertaining and the answer is yeah yeah

[3:20]

oh i know what happened i got uh i got sidetracked in the middle of the simultaneous sip and i realized that i've primed you so much that if you don't get it something's gonna be wrong with your day back up back up for those of you who are not addicted to the simultaneous sip please bear with us we'll only take a second you ready let's go from the top a couple of muggle glasses all you need attacker tells you challenger steiner can't enjoy your classic vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee join me now for the dopamine of the day the thing makes everything better go
ah now there you go wasn't that what you wanted i think so i think so all right there is a reason that reality tends to trend toward whatever is most entertaining and it is this i believe that artificial intelligence is making a lot more decisions for us than we know and if there's one

[4:21]

for us than we know and if there's one thing that artificial intelligence wants at least if that artificial intelligence is being used as part of a social media platform that artificial intelligence wants the most interesting outcome that's what gets the most clicks so when elon says the most entertaining outcome is the most likely i agree because we do have a system that is biased in that direction
the department of energy released the statement and says they're going big on energy for space strategy a big part of that is nuclear energy which means that well i won't say it means that but the only way you can have a good nuclear power program for space is if you've got a robust private industry of nuclear energy right now
now it's kind of shrinking or staying the same but unless we grow our private nuclear energy industry we won't have the experts we need to take that expertise

[5:23]

need to take that expertise into space so this is a really really big deal for the country and the world and the fate of humanity but it just sounds like a boring little press release oh yeah we're gonna work really hard for energy sources for space it's a big deal all right those are the good news let's talk about the protests uh here's the bad news first according to the dc police there were four deaths one shooting and then three had some kind of medical problems that are unclear might have been coincidence i don't know about four people dead that's horrible 52 arrested that's horrible and 14 metropolitan police department's officer is wounded now isn't wounded and interesting choice of words isn't injured maybe more objective wounded sounds like people were trying to hurt them were they all hurt

[6:23]

they all hurt because people were trying to hurt them because that wound it would make sense i don't know i would say that injured would be you know injured in the course of the job would be at least more objective now are do we do we have only adults watching this today because if there are any children watching there's something that i need to explain to the children you can be in favor of things even if there's a big cost to them that's the children don't understand that i know the adults understand it that you could still be in favor of let's say a defensive war knowing that people will die so you're not in favor of death in favor of self-defense that would be one example likewise with these protests at the capitol i would like to unambiguously say that i support them while still unambiguously saying i don't

[7:24]

while still unambiguously saying i don't support any violence of any kind now and certainly the the types of numbers that we saw under this protest are disturbing the the death is extra tragic the deaths and um i don't minimize that so for the benefit of the children watching i'm not minimizing the death and destruction they're real and you don't want more of that but at the same time the the energy of this protest the purpose of the protest the intention of it the i think the well-meaning purpose of it i support 100 now when i say i support the protesters i am saying that i personally have you know proof of election fraud and you know i've seen it nothing like that i'm just saying that we had a non-transparent non-credible election for a variety of

[8:25]

non-credible election for a variety of reasons some of them nobody's fault you know the the coronavirus situation made it hard to do it right so we did it didn't do it right in terms of credibility i don't know about the vote count but the credibility of it was low so is there anything more important than that to protest i can't think of anything i i think black lives matter had an important issue which is a concern that you know the police were treating people differently now you could argue about the facts of that but that's a pretty good issue so if you're asking me should black lives matter you know is it moral or ethical for them to
to protest that issue i'd say yeah that's totally ethical totally moral probably get a better world out of it if you can keep the violence and the destruction down now black lives matter especially because anti-fog got in on it didn't really keep

[9:27]

got in on it didn't really keep violence and destruction down to a minimum so that's suboptimal nobody can be happy about that but i think their issue was absolutely worth airing out even if some of the facts behind it maybe were not exactly what they thought they were but the issue is still worth it
it to find out what are the facts do we have a problem how big is the problem what can you do about it absolutely worthwhile but then the violence is not you know that's the violence the destruction are condemned so i will condemn them exactly the way i condemned black lives matter exactly the same so i'll be maybe the one person who's uh consistent today you're not going to see a lot of consistency in the next few days but i'll try to be i'm going to say that uh same standard for these protesters uh if if anything they did led to destruction and or injury especially injury of police then that then i disavow them and

[10:29]

then that then i disavow them and condemn them in the same language okay that said here are some things we don't know about this protest yet and i'd like to number one how much damage was there because i feel as if one of the stories is the low amount of damage now have you seen the video yet of a protester who was at least in the crowd with the the trump supporting people and he had some kind of a club and he was trying to break a window and the mega people were trying to stop him
him and eventually one of them physically you know tackled him now the allegation is that the person's trying to break the window that one that i saw on video and apparently there are a number of other videos of similarly sketchy behavior that looks exactly like it was pretending to be trump supporters

[11:29]

it was pretending to be trump supporters in fact the guy beating on the window had an anti-fog black block outfit on with a bumper sticker that said trump on the back of his helmet didn't look exactly like a trump supporter if you know what i mean looked exactly like antifa being stopped by trump supporters that's what it looked like so i would say the jury is out about who exactly was doing what still the fog of war if you're saying that antifa is confirmed to have been there i would say not yet if i had to put money on it they looked antifa to me but i'm not in the 80 percent likelihood i'm 60 percent maybe so i don't think i would uh bet my life that antifa was actually infiltrating the group there could have easily been you know trump supporters who went a little too far and the other

[12:30]

who went a little too far and the other one stopped them we don't know but it's definitely a good question so don't let me minimize the uh potential or the risk that that had been infiltrated let me ask you this if you were a uh an enemy of this country wouldn't it be the perfect thing to do infiltrate that group and cause more trouble than the group itself was likely to cause it'd be a good strategy so if nobody tried to do it if nobody tried to put some troublemakers in there to make things worse well then our enemies are not as capable as we thought
so there's a good chance that there were some troublemakers in the crowd that were not technically mega people but we don't know now the big story of course and the most concerning one is that one of the protesters a woman who's actually a veteran which i think is

[13:32]

actually a veteran which i think is important to the story uh was shot in the neck at fairly close range as she was trying to breach through a i guess a broken large window and a door she was trying to climb through it and somebody we don't know who in the security side of things for the building could be secret service maybe somebody else you you could see a gun come out point directly at her take one shot and killed her now i asked dan bongino this morning and by the way how amazing is it that i can just have a question and just type it out on my keyboard here in california and somebody who actually knows the answers to this sort of thing gives me a direct answer so dan bongino answered almost right away and he said this he said well the question i asked was this is there ever a strategy an intentional strategy that involves

[14:33]

an intentional strategy that involves shooting a woman in a crowd as a strategy to suppress the crowd now i just asked that question it's not an accusation it's just i don't know and the reason i asked the question is i was thinking what would i do let's say a crowd of people gathered around my home and i knew that they all wanted to to cause me harm some were women some were men but they were all there to cause me harm so they were all kind of equally guilty in this artificial scenario and i've thought to myself what would i do if i had one gun but it was a big crowd and maybe they weren't so armed but i wanted to stop them from getting in the house
i probably shouldn't say this in public but i'd probably take out a woman because here's my theory and this is what i was checking with people who actually know this world this is a world i don't know so i'm just

[15:34]

this is a world i don't know so i'm just sort of speculating and guessing you know how things might go if you took out a man i believe the crowd would say get him because it's war now when a man gets killed in a conflict that's just war so war is on the crowd goes nuts flames passions are inflamed they surround me they kill me but and this is just the hypothesis just a hypothesis that if you take out a woman the crowd instead of saying it's war let's attack the crowd immediately reevaluates their lives you see the difference kill a man in some kind of a dangerous situation and people go ah men get killed because if we're being honest society doesn't really care that much about men let's be honest that's that's why men do the dangerous work and nobody nobody looks to change that situation

[16:35]

situation men are a little bit expendable so if you shoot a man as your strategy for stopping the crowd you have to accept that the crowd doesn't give a about men now the people who know him personally would you know it wouldn't be nothing but compared to shooting a woman it's not the same i think shooting a woman takes all the energy out of the crowd because then they say to themselves my god am i involved in something that's killing women it's different let me tell you male brain strategy if i'm involved in something let's say i've got a good point to it you know i think i'm in the right but i'm involved in something that might get a man killed do i care nope nope not if the thing i'm fighting for is more important than some lives and that that could easily be the the case but if you told me i'm involved in something and it's very important but i'm going to get it a woman killed

[17:37]

but i'm going to get it a woman killed i might stop immediately now not for any logical reason it's just purely psychological if women are getting killed i just reassess my whole life if men are getting killed it's just a tuesday true right so i simply ask the question whether it could ever be an intentional strategy because i don't know how many women were there now obviously she was breaching the door so that's all the reason you need if if shooting had been allowed but i asked dan bongino and he said this he said their use of force guidelines are clear and unless there's a threat of spi which i don't know what that is but it must be a threat of you know physical danger or death they can't use deadly force so here is my second follow-up question i totally agree with dan bangido that there there would be nothing in writing in terms of use of force guidelines

[18:38]

guidelines there's definitely nothing in writing that says shoot the woman in the crowd so here dan and i completely agree i don't think there's any chance that that's written down somewhere right but here's my follow-up question regardless of what their guidelines say is it a known as in not just scott speculating but is it an understood and known strategy to shoot one protester if you think you're at risk of a breach that could get
get elected politicians captured so so let's boil down the question to the simplest specific could forget about the police now i'm going to make a change from police officers and what what use of force they have because i think that police officers would have a different standard than secret service protecting the president let me give you an example

[19:40]

president let me give you an example if uh and i don't know this is real by the way this is just speculation pure speculation do not take anything away from this next part as being true or fact or or credible right just speculation that a police officer would never be allowed to shoot a civilian to save somebody else would you say that's true no police officer could shoot in a civilian who was not causing you know imminent problems uh no matter the reason there just wouldn't ever be a reason to shoot an innocent person but suppose you're the secret service and you're protecting maybe a vice president who might be somewhere behind these doors if you're protecting a vice president and you're not a cop your secret service and there is an opportunity to protect your vice president but to do it you might have to shoot an

[20:41]

but to do it you might have to shoot an innocent person would you do it
i kind of hope yes now it would be a strange situation where you would ever have to do that but if there's a choice between shooting one innocent person innocent meaning they haven't done something that's quite a a shootable crime yet but might they haven't done it yet
could you do that to protect the government meaning meaning the leaders who give stability to the entire situation and i feel as though it would never be taught that you should do it i feel as though people with deep military training might see it as the best path i'm just speculating i would like to be wrong about that but when i watched the video

[21:42]

when i watched the video what i saw was somebody who was not making a mistake because it was too intentional and they were not quite in the heat of the moment meaning there was some distance between the person they shot who is not threatening them at the moment you know not directly and it looked really intentional as if it had been a strategy now if it had been a panic i would have expected more bullets shot in it when it got a little bit more maybe dangerous than it was at that point but you know it's fog of war anything anything could be true at this point don't commit to any of your assumptions yet okay we're all making a lot of assumptions about that but don't commit to any of them you're going to find out a lot of new stuff
why is it that given that ted cruz and the other people were asking for a 10 day
day basically 10 days to do a an

[22:45]

basically 10 days to do a an audit and it wouldn't even stop the inauguration in other words it wouldn't even slow down the process that's already happening so how unreasonable is it to ask for 10 days of an audit when you have 10 days is that unreasonable because the way the fake news is is framing this is that ted cruz and the other politicians the republicans who are going to challenge the election integrity that they've inspired the riots and inspired the violence and that they're guilty of it now here's what inspiring violence would sound like hey you people pick up your weapons and go down there and do something bad that's what inspiring violence sounds like but if instead of that you say something like can we use the 10 days that we have to do an audit so that the public feels more confidence in our election process

[23:47]

in our election process if you do that that's more like being an accountant right that's that's so far from encouraging violence and is literally intended by its design to reduce the risk of violence because if trump supporters could see that the audit had been done and they said oh okay i thought there were more problems but i guess we would have found them in the audit would that make the world a worse place is that a call to arms let me read you a headline that i just had sent to me from my old local paper which is the times union and of albany the headline says chaos at the capitol so far so good subtitle says pro-trump mob storm site after president's call to arms did anybody hear the president do a call to arms because i heard him

[24:51]

do a call to arms because i heard him say the opposite i heard him say the opposite you know be peaceful go home
but this is a actual newspaper who put an actual subtitle i guess you would call that to the headline saying that the president had a call to arms oh my god oh my god
the thought that we have a press that works for the benefit of the public is ridiculous it's just ridiculous they're not on your team whatever is happening here they're not on your side that's for sure all right um so trump has now announced i guess he couldn't do it on twitter right away because he was still blocked from twitter for claiming that the election was rigged i believe that's why they blocked him i think he i i saw that he deleted his two

[25:51]

think he i i saw that he deleted his two tweets so he should be back in a few hours but he committed publicly with a written statement to a orderly transfer of power now is there anybody as of right now who still thinks that there's a risk that trump will not um go along with an orderly transfer of power here's my take on that everyone who thought that he was going to try to send it out and and i don't know what squat in the white house and pretend he was still running the country you don't know much about the world because that was the worst prediction anybody ever made if you predicted that he was even inclined to do that you've bought into the full fake news narrative that was never credible on top of that if your reading of the situation is that it was even possible you don't know anything about the world

[26:54]

you don't know anything about the world the only way that would have been possible is if trump had a secret army i think we would have known about his secret army you need a private army to do that you can't you can't count on voters who happen to be part of a voluntary army to back you in a freaking coup that's not going to happen you know the the fake news sold this idea that that was an actual literal factual thing that could happen that trump could just decide to stay and and people would rally around him and somehow that would happen no there was never any chance not not the slightest chance that that could have happened even if you imagined which i think would be crazy but at least at least not impossible it's crazy but not impossible if you imagine that trump even wanted to try doing that i i don't think you should make predictions anymore if you thought trump was actually not

[27:55]

if you thought trump was actually not going to go along with an orderly transfer of power you really shouldn't make predictions anymore that was the worst prediction anybody ever made
all right um so a bunch of people in the administration are quitting see stephanie grisham former white house communications director and press secretary and former chief of staffer melania and uh i guess one uh the ex-chief of staff who was now it doesn't matter so a bunch of politicians are quitting over what they they're horrified by trump's behavior um how much does that matter when you only had two weeks left of the job that let let me let me applaud these brave patriots who resigned two weeks before they were going to resign anyway because it wasn't their choice and have already lined up new jobs

[28:57]

and have already lined up new jobs you're you're so brave thank you patriots for taking that big step of resigning after you already had new jobs and two weeks of basically ugliness that you didn't want to experience i don't know if this is the big patriotic move that is being that is being portrayed as or is this just some small people taking an opportunity to look good before they go to their new jobs it feels like a little bit of selfishness more than heroism but you can make your own judgments on that
so representative corey bush a democrat uh tweets uh i believe the republican members of congress who have incited this domestic terror attack through their attempts to overturn the election must face consequences they have broken their sacred oath of office i will be introducing a resolution

[29:59]

i will be introducing a resolution calling for their expulsion so does that seem like the right response look at the the illogical connections so members of congress who are attempting to overturn the election is that what they're doing or are they attempting to make sure that whoever won was the one who got the right amount of votes you know given the electoral college i feel as if what's happening is they're just trying to make sure that the right person won does that equal and is that the same as overturning an election no let me ask you this find me one trump supporter who if they could see the vote in a way that they believed and it showed that biden won fair and square show me one trump supporter who wants trump to be president anyway if they knew he lost

[30:59]

anyway if they knew he lost zero people none want that they just want to know there was a real vote and the right person won now they would prefer trump one of course but not if he lost the vote do you even know what a republican is sorry let me let me let me summarize what a republican is a republican is the one who wants the person who got the most votes according to the electoral college to be the president if you don't want that you're not a republican so stop blaming republicans for wanting something that is literally the opposite of their definition
that bothers me a twitter user named simon seems like a nice guy he said he woke up feeling very shameful as an american he said this is no longer the great country i wanted to be no justice no dignity we are

[32:01]

to be no justice no dignity we are cheaters shame on us so he's feeling bad about the election and the response and i read that and i thought you know simon i like simon i like that simon who has that kind of love of the country you know i guess so good for simon but i don't quite agree with this take and here's my take what i think is that we are exact we are acting we collectively and i'm going to include the protesters in this i think we are acting exactly like a great country exactly like a great country and here's what i mean by that because we're a great country that just discovered a bug in the system the bug is that the election was not credible in a way that half the country can be happy with it that's a bug now what do you do when there's a bug in the

[33:02]

what do you do when there's a bug in the system if you ignore it are you a great country nope no you're not if you try to fix it and you meet resistance and then you give up because you met some resistance the swamp tried to slow you down the fake news tried to cover for you the politicians were lying so you got some resistance to fixing this bug and then you just said okay well we got resistance so i guess we'll let it go does that sound like a great country to you is that the country you want to live in oh it's hard it's hard so we quit nope that's not a great country a great country says we got a problem if we can't fix it the easy way we'll fix it the other way right now if you try the other way first well that's not smart that's not a great country but if you try to do it the normal approved way and it doesn't work and it's still the

[34:03]

and it doesn't work and it's still the biggest bug in the system because if you don't have credible elections you don't have anything so could they walk away from this bug and consider themselves patriots could they let this bug persist into the next election and still call this a great country no no you can't what you're seeing is what a great country does now a great country still has bugs because things changed nobody saw the coronavirus we had to we had to improvise at the last minute and that allowed some mischief but we're still a great country and the greatest proof of that is exactly what you just saw exactly what you watched yesterday is the proof that it's a great country because when they saw a bug they went after it tried to fix it when they met resistance they pushed through it at least into the

[35:04]

they pushed through it at least into the capital now are we done let me say this to any politician who might be listening
it is definitely not appropriate to do physical intimidation and to take over the capitol building under any normal situation i can think of
of but this isn't normal
it's not normal the the way the public is viewing this election half of them anyway is not like any time before at least no time i can remember in my memory maybe in ancient history but this isn't like normal times you need an extraordinary solution to an extraordinary situation and i think that giving our government a tap on the shoulder and that's what i would call these protests these protests were not to kill anybody not to capture anybody they're not

[36:06]

not to capture anybody they're not trying to take anybody you know hostage nothing like that was happening this was a tap on the shoulder let me put it to you this way let me give you a little story imagine a president doesn't matter what president you could use biden for this example imagine president biden he's sitting in the oval office and there's an issue and it comes to him and it's on a piece of paper he reads it and he goes okay here's the argument here's the argument against it not too interested yeah seems like a problem but i got other things to do puts it down that's it that's all you got you you saw the problem he didn't do anything about it now imagine that the very person who is most affected by whatever this problem is is standing in the oval office with him and literally puts his hand on his shoulder on the president's shoulder and says to him look mr president let's say it's biden for this example look mr president hand on shoulder

[37:10]

i need you to take this more seriously i know you think the election was fair but just understand that i and 70 plus million people don't that that by itself is a problem we don't you know it's not just a question of what the votes were or were not
not the problem is half of us don't believe it
it hand on the shoulder you need to stop what you're doing you what i don't know what this other stuff is on your desk but mr president hand on shoulder you need to stop that other stuff you need to only work on this this is our top priority now what does biden do in that situation does he respond exactly the same way as he did when he read it on a piece of paper and thought he had other things to do
do nope nope this protest is the people of the united states standing in the oval office figuratively speaking not literally with

[38:13]

figuratively speaking not literally with their hand on the president's shoulder telling the president what our priorities are because apparently they don't understand this isn't a passing phase this is the fundamental fabric of the united states and you up you up mr president mr president trump you blew this there are better ways to handle this congress absolutely disgusting you're up totally local governments i don't know what the pluses and the minuses are in the local stuff but certainly in the key battleground stage you up you up big and if you keep insulting us by telling us the up

[39:13]

insulting us by telling us the up wasn't that big i want to tell you as clearly as you can hear this we're going to be back in the oval office we're going to put our hand on your shoulder again and we're going to remind you this is our top priority anything you're doing that isn't you know national defense this is your top priority not to change the election necessarily not to put trump in office and get rid of biden that's not the top priority the top priority is stop with us about the basic nature of the constitution which is we need a little bit of credibility we need a little bit of comfort we need a little bit of feeling like the government cares about the people and if that requires visiting your house guess what the capitol isn't your house it's our house if i go to your real house well that's

[40:14]

if i go to your real house well that's on me i don't want to go to your real house like you know if you live in the suburbs you're a politician i'm not going to go mess with your family your situation that's way out of bounds but the capital that's our house if you with us in our house we're gonna visit you but we're not gonna kill you we're not gonna capture you we're not gonna blackmail you we're going to put a hand on your shoulder and we're going to remind you where your priorities are and if you forget we're going to come back to your house because it's our house and we're going to remind you again this isn't going to go away the next election better be better transparent better be auditable if i hear again that i can't see the software on our voting machines or at least they can't be audited by people who know what they're doing absolutely unacceptable

[41:15]

absolutely unacceptable so let's plan today that if our next election does not have these obvious problems fixed we'll be back in the capital literally physically back in the capital with a hand on the president's shoulder by analogy not literally just reminding him what the priorities are do you know who understood it trump trump understood it now the way he presents it as a lot of hyperbole about fake claims of fraud almost everything that the trump that trump said about fraud isn't true not even close uh pretty much i don't think i've heard anything he said that is confirmed to be true but separate from that there are allegations that do have weight in my opinion in the sense that nobody has debunked them yet courts have not nobody else has that i know of so

[42:15]

nobody else has that i know of so let's get to the bottom of this people or
or we will visit again we will visit the capitol again fix it and let me say as clearly as possible all of this is caused by fake news if we had a real press all of these issues would have been uh worked out through the press and we would have a completely different feeling about what our situation is now but because we don't have a real press and they say they they say things such as pro-trump mob storm site after president's call to arms that never happened there was no call to arms it literally the opposite was true if you don't have a free press that is on your side and the free press is not they're definitely not on your side as a citizen you don't really have a system that works and the free press has this special quality that they can blame

[43:16]

special quality that they can blame trump for whatever problems they caused such as division within the country would be the obvious one they can blame somebody else and they can sell it and a lot of people bought it half of the country bought what the fake news was selling and if we don't fix that
probably doesn't matter what else you do fix if you don't fix the news the citizens will be bouncing around like idiots because they won't know what's true and that was true that's what happened this year 2020 is what you get i mean the coronavirus was a special problem but 2020 with its craziness is what you get when you don't have a free press oh an honest free press and we don't have that that's the the basic problem is the fake news you take that away i don't believe the capital would have been stormed i don't um by the way i think all of you know if you're

[44:17]

i think all of you know if you're watching this that i'm going to be taking uh quite a bit of heat today you know that right because i'm not supposed to go in public and say anything positive about the protesters i believe i will have to be punished for that but before that happens and if this is the last that you see me on social media i suppose anything's possible let me say again you to every one of you who who thinks that this wasn't appropriate to
to put a little pressure on the government this was the most appropriate uh probably the most appropriate thing i've ever seen the citizens do i am completely proud of the citizens who are doing this completely now for the children and the idiots let me clarify again that i'm not in favor of violence and destruction so that part's all bad that

[45:17]

so that part's all bad that was that good for the idiots if if you're an idiot or a child do i need to explain that to you more that it's okay to be opposed to the bad parts and and favor the good parts i know a lot of people can't understand that that's a little complicated you can't have a complicated opinion but my regular viewers i think can handle that well
so let me let me say this about trump because uh it's just i think it's time i disavow trump's approach to you know his communication style and his approach to how he's handled the outcome of the election so do i need to say that clear i disavow trump's approach to this because i think too much too many fake allegations just ruined everything he had a real point but he ruined it with all the fake allegations

[46:24]

here's how i disavow him though with a healthy dose of humility and i said this yesterday but it's worth repeating that there are times when i've thought trump was too extreme only to find out that he wasn't you know north korea is an example negotiating with china as an example moving the embassy to jerusalem as an example so he has a pretty long track record of doing things that i thought were too risky that seemed fine which means i probably just calculated the risk wrong or he got really lucky i don't know which it's more likely i calculated the risk wrong so once again he's doing that which is a pattern that he's done successfully forever so if you see trump doing something that seems too risky and you see scott saying i'm gonna have to disavow that that looks too risky just know that i'm doing it with humility that i'm well aware of the pattern that he's usually right in the end and i'm usually wrong

[47:26]

in the end and i'm usually wrong right if you can't say that out loud you probably shouldn't talk in public and give opinions so here's one way he could be right and i'm not on that side yet i'm still disavowing his approach but there is an explanation where it's right and he does use hyperbole to guarantee that you can't look away and he did take the most important question in this country and turned it into the most important question in this country if what happens because of this is more election reform than would have happened without it
it who's the smart one right do you think that the way trump handled that even with me disavowing it the republicans disavowing it basically everybody right you know people at least people from every group are disavowing him but what if
if what if his you know inappropriate

[48:29]

what if his you know inappropriate behavior is the only thing that makes the elections get fixed because that's what focus the heat on it if that's the only outcome he's a legend he's a legend because if you get me to turn on you right i know you're thinking that right if you see me turning on trump he's taking a risk and i just turned on i'm turning on him right in front of you i'm disavowing his approach but i can't ignore the fact that he does this successfully time after time after time and i can't ignore the fact that he's the only person who knew what the top priority for the country was at least in politics gonna have to give that to him at the same time that i disavow you know the
the allegations that that are obviously false yeah so so you can see how much i'm going to get

[49:29]

so you can see how much i'm going to get attacked uh today after this should be fun um there's a doctor who's some expert on narcissism which is the funny part of this story uh who is uh he's been trolling me on twitter for the last 24 hours and he's making the claim that not only am i a narcissist but that uh that all of the the fraud claims have been looked at by the courts and rejected now there's your problem with fake news so you're saying that all of the fraud allegations have been reviewed by the courts and rejected now of course republicans believe exactly the opposite of that happened that none of the fraud allegations were dismissed by any of the courts rather they dismissed things for uh technical reasons instead now it is also true that's

[50:29]

now it is also true that's uh some or most of those lawsuits did not have evidence a fraud you know lots of them were on technicalities and constitutional questions so i am aware i'm personally aware of a number of allegations that never made it into any kind of a lawsuit now here's one that i find strong because somebody asked me give me a give me an example of a strong argument that did not make it into any court case and i'll just give you one and it's just an example that would be that and i saw this on i think it was robert barnes's uh podcast with uh viva frey and he was talking about how some counties that were demographically similar let's say there are two counties they sit next to each other demographics are the same as they were in the last election

[51:31]

in the last election and let's say in every election they were you know 80 percent democrat or whatever it is if one of them suddenly becomes wildly different and the other one acts just like it always did
did and they have the same demographics that's a really strong indication that there's something wrong with one of them but if it were only one you could say ah coincidence statistical oddity is just one but apparently there are a number of cases where paired uh voting areas that should have been really really close because they always are and nothing changed and it's the same demographic same number of democrats same number of you know racial difference same age everything and and there are a whole bunch of pairs of those where one went wild and one stayed kind of where it was now suppose you took that to a court you said here are my statistics and when i show you these irregularities

[52:32]

i show you these irregularities i believe mr judge that the odds of this being a fair election are now you know .001 or whatever
not being a lawyer i ask you this question because i have no idea what the answer is would the court say ah a statistical proof that's good you got it or would the court say all you've done with your statistical evidence is suggest maybe where you should look into it but if you don't have the thing in your hand that's a document or the video or the eyewitness you know the things you normally have in court if you don't have those things all you have is some statistics that could be explained another way in other words it just might be a weird year or maybe they did you know better i don't recruit better get out the vote in one county than another right so i have a feeling

[53:34]

right so i have a feeling that uh and by the way i don't know that that particular proof is the strongest one
one i'm just listing one that i know the courts haven't looked at can you give me a fact check on that have the courts ever heard that argument and then the second part of that if they did is it the sort of argument that a court could ever buy into do they buy into purely statistical arguments without some supporting direct evidence i feel like they shouldn't but i don't know if they might you know maybe it's enough to say do a re-election or a recount maybe maybe if all you're asking for is a recount or an audit maybe it's enough i don't know
yes mrs judge let me let me correct it mr or mrs judge
uh yeah somebody's saying that something being unlikely is not proof that something bad happened

[54:35]

is not proof that something bad happened so it could be that we're in this weird situation where there are types of evidence which are completely persuasive to the public but because of the rules of law they just don't fit is that is that what's happening that's a question not a statement all right um so here's how we can fix all of this because this disagreement about what has been educated in the courts could be as simple as a matrix that somebody would have to do a lot of work to produce and on one one column would be all of the separate claims you know claim about the shredding ballots claim about this and that the second column would be what the argument against it is not in court just the argument against it so you can see the point and then the counterpoint and then the third column would be uh which courts have ruled on this specifically i think that column is blank but there

[55:37]

i think that column is blank but there might be a few filled in but if we had that a three column list all the allegations in one column all of the responses and debunks to them in the second column and then what did the court say about any of these in the third column none of this would be happening none of this would be happening because every time somebody would make that argument and say the courts have ruled on all this you would just send them the spreadsheet and say no actually the courts have ruled on two n of 50 things here it is check it for yourself right now why does that not exist you know the reason right because we don't have a we don't have a press a news industry we have a rumor bias industry an entertainment industry but how much work would it have taken for a reporter to simply collect all the allegations collect all the debunks or attempted

[56:37]

collect all the debunks or attempted debunks of those allegations and then list which court dealt with which one doesn't that seem well within the ability of a large news organization i feel like that i feel like that should have been a big story nothing right because if that existed i feel like we'd know about it because somebody would have forwarded it to be in twitter by now so the fact that that doesn't exist tells you that that we don't have anything like a news organization but even worse now that you know that the news has completely fallen down on the most basic question that the public wants to know about and is completely discoverable by the way i'm not talking about something that can't be found fairly easily it's just a lot of work right it's just hours there's nothing that would stop you from finding it all you could literally google every bit of that how much do

[57:37]

google every bit of that how much do reporters like stories where they can just google and that's it they don't even have to talk to humans and they still can't write it just google it google it and write it down oh my god now so the press is bad what about the republicans you got a whole bunch of republicans you know ted cruz etc saying that the election has some questions why is there no republican who has created the chart with those three columns because all they'd have to do is create it
it hand it to the press and say hey we did your work you better fact check it but i think it's pretty good just publish it do you know why that doesn't exist it's because politicians are not competent if the republicans were competent that's the first thing they would have done here's the list here's what's been judged in court look at the difference but instead the republicans allow the fake news

[58:39]

fake news to create the story that has all been judged by the court like you couldn't you could not fail harder than that here's my claim i think i'll just ignore it and talk about other things what that's complete incompetence the republicans should be creating that list and if the press won't do it just give it to them put it on social media that's all it's easy um but if you're lazy it's hard i guess so uh assange had a little video so you know assange has been the subject of you know maybe uh
uh being uh brought to this country for trial and that didn't work out and then um of course there's a question about the pardon and i just saw a video of assange and i finally understand why they don't want him free they meaning i don't know deep state or

[59:40]

they meaning i don't know deep state or intelligence agencies or whoever it is but in the video assange pointed out that all wars in the last 50 years are based on media lies and i thought to myself is that true all of our wars in the last 50 years are based on the press lying to us and i thought to myself i can't really think of an exception and assange points out that populations don't like war even if you've got a really good reason they still don't like it that the only way you can have a war and this is the part that made my head fall off
off the only the only way you can have a war in modern times
is by fooling the popul the population you have to fool the population into war otherwise it can't happen and assange says that's the way it's been

[1:00:40]

assange says that's the way it's been for 50 years the only wars in which the pub the population doesn't know what's going on can happen now how much does that guy need to be in jail forever right because if you think you're living in a military industrial complex is supported by the fake news you would say to yourself uh there's a lot of profit in war and those people who would make that lot of profit would like to sell that war to the public how do they do it they do it through the fake news the fake news creates uh you know public support for a war and then the people who make money selling war equipment and other other ways to make money on war
war get rich and then the public thinks that something like homeland defense happened and nothing like that happened it was literally some people wanted to make some money who invented some lies fed it to the fake press fake press told

[1:01:41]

fed it to the fake press fake press told the population there was a reason for a war
war the population supported it the the politicians that are corrupt started the war and then the people who had this plan got rich
uh i don't think assange is going to get pardoned yeah or let me let me put it this way trump is the only person with enough balls to pardon assange
if it's not trump he's not going to get pardoned by a subsequent president you know you're not going to see it with a biden or anybody who comes after him trump is the only one who has balls big enough to pardon assange and should and should um lastly i would like to point out i've mentioned this a few times but it's so useful that i want to do it again there's have you noticed that some books are are good and some books are bad and some books are just okay but every now and then a book

[1:02:44]

okay but every now and then a book becomes a cultural social phenomenon and it starts to change the actual nature of society i would say in search of excellence years ago by mike peters not mike peters tom peters uh was one of those that it was i think it transformed the way we thought of business it was a phenomena and there are others you know you could think of a half a dozen books um
um what was it uh the uh you know the uh tools of uh there's several others you can think of but my book had failed almost everything and still when big has officially entered that territory um arguably god's debris one of my other books is sort of a phenomenon but that seems to be limited to like a a large cult following so it's more like a cult of phenomenon cultivist in the sense just meaning a

[1:03:47]

cultivist in the sense just meaning a limited number of people liking it not an actual cult but the uh the how to failed almost everything book has entered the general public's thinking all the way from politics and business and and personal life in a way that you know i have a front row seat to it because people are sending me feedback i've never seen anything like it in terms of a book you know the reviews are spectacular in terms of a social phenomenon it's picking up steam seven years after it was published it's kind of crazy what's happening if you see the yeah seven habits of highly successful people thank you that's what i was trying to think of that book i think was a social phenomenon and it lived forever on the best seller list how to fail just seems to have entered that phase this year i'd said when i wrote it when i first wrote it i believed it would be what i would be remembered for i don't believe that dilbert will last

[1:04:48]

i don't believe that dilbert will last much after my you know my death or my irrelevance but i feel like they had a fail book just entered some different kind of phase yeah and look at the in the comments somebody says congratulations i bought three copies the the reason that i point that out is that the number of people who have read that book three times is crazy i don't know how many books you read three times but the most common comment i got is that i'm reading it for the third time right now
now and have already implemented a bunch of the the processes so um i feel uh there's no way to say what i just said without sounding like a jerk making a commercial and that's not why you're here the reason i do it is that the feedback from that book is so positive in terms of it actually changing people's lives not just entertainment but changing people's lives that i'm in this weird bind because i

[1:05:48]

that i'm in this weird bind because i hate doing like over marketing even though you have to sometimes uh it just sort of is an ugly thing but it's just too useful i just don't feel like you should not hear about it and
and so i'll take that hit of looking like the narcissist for a little while all right that's all for now i will talk to you tomorrow