Episode 1088 Scott Adams: School Openings, Herd Immunity, Biden’s Cadaver Strategy, Teachers Unions

Date: 2020-08-11 | Duration: 1:00:42

Topics

Find my “extra” content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.com

Rough Transcript

This is an auto-generated transcript and may contain errors.

Transcript

---

• George Conway’s WaPo article and tweet

• Green New Deal, a child’s plan

• Achieving herd immunity at 20%

• Declining opinion of teachers unions

• Qanon has gone worldwide

• Russian vaccine for COVID19

If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
---
[0:13]

hey everybody come on in it's time for coffee with scott adams one of if not the best moments of your entire life sure you're thinking to yourself well what about the birth of my first child well that was cool too i'm not going to minimize that but it was no simultaneous sip i think we can agree and to enjoy the simultaneous setball you need is a copper mug or a glass of tanker shells or sign they can't eat your flask a vessel of any kind preferably with no hole in it fill it with your favorite beverage i like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopa bean hit of the day the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip and it's coming up now go
oh wait there's a problem usually it makes everything better well hold on hold on i get i have to do another sip there's something that's not working

[1:19]

damn it it doesn't make everything better george conway is still a big pimple
i guess i guess there's some things that even the simultaneous sip can't fix
speaking of george conway he's uh he wrote a scathing article a scathing article in the washington post and if you if you saw the tweets about the article you would know that if you're a trump supporter he just trashed you he showed you with his sarcasm that's right the democrats once by the way once you see this you can't unsee it the republicans by and large try to argue with data and reasons sometimes their data is incomplete sometimes the reasons are not perfect but they're at least trying to use reasons

[2:22]

trying to use reasons and they're trying really hard to use data and they're trying to use science it's just really hard because the science is changing the data is always incomplete and we're not really that good at using logic if you talk about the whole world we're not all good at it but democrats seem to have completely abandoned that fool's errand because trying to be rational in the irrational world it doesn't work as well as you would hope it would but the democrats have completely abandoned that model in favor of replacing it all with sarcasm once you see it you cannot see it they literally use sarcasm as a substitute for reasons and you'll see that all the time now that i mention it and certainly the whole george conway article was that included in his article he continued he's he's trying to dump on the president for

[3:24]

the president for you know being wrong or being silly or being crazy and he spreads the fake news that the president suggested drinking disinfectant now if you're going to spread the most obvious fake news as if it's true you don't have any respect for the people reading your stuff and i can see why he wouldn't oh i want to
to call out one of president trump's best persuasion plays and i didn't see it live but i heard about it so so give me a fact check on this it is true that the president referred to the green new deal as a as a child's plan that happened right so i want to call out
out that that is really really good framing because first of all you've got greta who looks who looks young and looks younger than she is so she's not quite a child anymore she's probably pushing 18 not quite 18

[4:26]

she's probably pushing 18 not quite 18 but you know she's she's approaching adulthood but because she looks young and because the children are the ones who are protesting etc there is very very much a young flavor to the green new deal even aoc is young for a politician so there is in your in your biased irrational mind it does bias toward young people who want to you know get the most active and fixing climate change as they see it now what's good about this is that it's what i call a high ground maneuver once you say something is a child's plan yeah you can kind of walk away you don't need to get into the details because once you've so labeled it it starts looking like it now here's what a child's plan look like and i'll tell you from my own child's plan when i was a kid i was very

[5:27]

child's plan when i was a kid i was very angry at my father i don't know how old i was maybe six i was angry at my father that he would not help me build a functional airplane so that i could fly around my town and i thought how hard is it really to build an airplane come on it's wood it's nails we got wood we got nails plain needs an engine look we got we got lawn mowers they've got engines how hard is it to put an engine on a little airplane that you build in the backyard you've got lumber you know how to measure things you know what an airplane looks like come on father build me a functioning airplane or you're worthless to me really what kind of a unscientific father do i have who can't build me a functioning airplane on a wood freaking loser

[6:27]

that's a child's plan a child's plan is build me an airplane out of wood dad right you recognize that as a child's plan you don't need to get into the details scott scott scott there might be more to this than you think i'm not sure your father has all of the lightweight materials and tools necessary to build a functioning airplane but you don't even need to get into it it's just a child's plan likewise the green new deal when you throw in the get rid of meat and airplanes and stuff like that you don't need to argue that stuff and i think that it's sort of a waste of time to engage it like it's serious simply calling it a child's plan is really good because it's not as if we're capable of hashing out the details it's not like we're capable of knowing if those long-range projection models are accurate and or accurate enough you know within a range we don't know what the economic outcome will be

[7:29]

what the economic outcome will be we don't know what new technologies will come up what changes will will surprise us
it's just a child's plan it's very good all right um one of the things that this whole covert thing is doing and i talk about this in the terms of persuasion everything that's associated with everything else gets smeared by anything that happens to one of them so let's say you were a twin and your twin causes a horrible murder well even if you had nothing to do with it it kind of washes over onto you shouldn't but people aren't going to look at you the same it's just the way our world works that one that if there's any relationship with two things whatever happens to one just bleeds over into the other in our irrational minds and look what's happening as we collectively we citizens of earth try to figure out what is scientific and what is not scientific in this covet

[8:31]

and what is not scientific in this covet situation and the more we wrestle with this and the more we see science of failing and failing and failing correcting failing correcting now the correcting part is a good part and of course as we all are sophisticated to know science is mostly about failing but you're failing forward well that didn't work that didn't work hey try this oops it didn't couldn't reproduce it try this oh there you go you reproduced it so you're mostly failing until you you hit that little nugget of truth that maybe you can hold on to for a while but when you're in it it looks like mostly failing right if you get to just check out the end result it's like hey good job scientists uh we figured out uh gravity and what and whatever else but if you if you're actually in the process of the science creating the answers and not knowing the answers it just looks like science is completely incompetent

[9:32]

completely incompetent it's not it's not science is every bit as good as it was last year when you trusted it more it's just that you're in the fight and you get to see all the ugly stuff because they can't hide it now what's that do to your thoughts about climate change well there should be no effect if we were rational creatures we would say oh you can't compare these two things one is the fog of war it's brand new it's a novel coronavirus trying as hard as we can of course we're wrong more than we're right that's how science works until you become more right then you're wrong don't know how long that takes we're gonna have to test a lot of stuff and make sure we can reproduce those tests and everything else but what about climate change suddenly suddenly whatever bad feelings you're going to develop from this about science and you know you are right

[10:32]

about science and you know you are right i don't care who you are if you're watching this it's hard to be just as confident about scientists as it was a year ago a year ago i bet you
you felt a little bit better about the accuracy of science now you're going to take that to the climate change discussion and even if you don't acknowledge that that baggage is coming with you it's coming with you it's common with you and it's healthy because the problem with the climate argument is that there's a bit of an over claim about what they can know about the future uh certainly about the economics of the future and how we'll adjust to higher temperatures etc i am on in case anybody's new to this i'm on the team that says temperatures are almost certainly going up
up and the humans are some part of that but it doesn't mean it's the end of the world because we're really good at adapting so that's my feeling anyway um

[11:41]

here's uh let me give you a anecdote from my past that will be useful in understanding the present we are obsessed with trying to figure out which of our leaders are brilliant and which of them are idiots right it's sort of our our main occupation oh that's swedish prime minister or whatever they have king i don't know what is it what does sweden have do they have a president prime minister i have no idea that's how american i am i'm so american i don't even know the form of government of our allies that's that's as american as you can get am i proud of it not necessarily all right here's my story when uh i was working at crocker bank a big
big bank that was bought by wells fargo later but in san francisco it was a real big bank and my job was to study the performance of the individual branch managers on a variety of measures that senior

[12:42]

variety of measures that senior management would provide they'd say you have to cross-sell this much and bring in these many deposits etc and then i would i was in charge of collecting all the data putting it into some kind of summary reports doing a little programming uh to make reports and to tell management which managers did better but apparently i'm the wrong person for that job because that's not how it went i went into the senior vice president who was sort of the person i mostly reported to for this information and i said you know if i'm being honest you're not really measuring what the managers you're not really measuring the skill of the managers because if you give them a goal and some exceed the goal and some don't meet the goal but the goal is different for each branch right so every branch had its own goal that was customized for their situation

[13:43]

that was customized for their situation i said if you find out that somebody exceeded their goal and somebody did not what have you actually measured have you measured the quality of the the manager i would say no what you measured is the quality of the person who set the goal right because whoever set that target what if they were wrong what if it was unrealistically high what if it was unrealistically low you haven't measured the quality of the management all you've done is measured the quality of your measuring
and you didn't even really do that right on top of that i said you do realize that even the data you know forget about the fact that measuring against these arbitrary goals the senior management made forget about the fact that that's nonsense even the data is wrong and i said to my boss

[14:43]

boss it's my job i guarantee you that the data that's coming in is not reliable and i gave reasons you know the state is not reliable for this reason i had to use an estimate i had to make an assumption whatever and this is when the senior vice president looked at me and gave me one of the biggest red pills i've ever choked down are you ready for it you you can live this experience vicariously this is one of the biggest red pills you will ever eat big corporation i'm in charge of figuring out which branches are doing well and which are not i tell my boss that my own data is
is worthless worthless completely worthless and worse than worthless probably harmful because it's so bad you're going to be you're going to be firing people who did a great job i mean that's as bad as data could be right and my senior vice president who was one of these i honestly think he was one of these

[15:44]

i honestly think he was one of these enlightened people he wasn't like a regular boss there was something different about this guy bill riley was his name i hope he's still alive he was a six foot i think he was six foot eight bearded elf of a guy and there was just something a little bit more aware about him you you could tell it it wasn't just that he was smart he was just seeing things a little more clearly and when i told him that my data was completely worthless for the intended task of managing his managers he looked at me and he gave me this red pill that i give to you i don't care i'm only going to use it when it agrees with what i was going to do anyway
how's that taste he wasn't kidding it's exactly what he did when there was a manager that he felt for his own reasons was not doing the job he checked my numbers if they coincidentally said that manager did not meet their numbers he'd say well okay good hey you didn't

[16:46]

he'd say well okay good hey you didn't be your numbers you out of here not because of the numbers because he was going to fire him anyway and if he found somebody you thought was doing a good job but their numbers were bad he'd look at it and say damn we better we better adjust your goals it looks like we messed up
if you think that data is real you're not quite out of the children's table data is
is almost always not real i know i was i was in charge of inventing unreal data it was my professional job to make data that wasn't accurate and we still used it for decisions so if you don't understand that that's the normal way the word world works that's not the exception it's not the exception because when i changed the pacific bell it was just more of the same i had similar kinds of jobs so and of course the dilbert cartoon was born out of that experience

[17:46]

born out of that experience specifically the experience that the insanity that i experienced at one company wasn't limited to that company the moment i changed jobs and i realized uh you know my first thought was i'm free i'm free i'm getting away from that company that makes irrational decisions finally i'm at i'm at the phone company now and now it's all going to be you know good rational no nope that's how the dilbert cartoon was born all right let's talk about some other things
you all know let's talk about some doctors
if you are going to invent a fictional character who was going to appear at this point in history maybe they existed but they're going to appear on the the scene as a hero what would be a good fictional name to give somebody who is going to be really smart but also really strong and take the take the whole world on their shoulders

[18:48]

their shoulders i might give them the name dr scott atlas sounds pretty smart and pretty strong right i mean the scot part tells you that's they're smart the doctor part helps but it's the scott part that tells you there's they're smart and then the atlas part literally based on a mythological creature who could hold the entire earth and heavens on its shoulder what a great character name for this simulation oh it turns out that that's the new white house a medical advisor on the coronavirus now my understanding is um that he's pro going back to school and a little bit more pro let's open things up
up i don't know too much about him so i'm going to look into it a little and get back to you but speaking of doctors uh one of your favorite doctors uh dr tadaros uh and you know of him from the hydroxychloroquine uh videos

[19:50]

the hydroxychloroquine uh videos you know that he's uh he's in favor of at least giving it a chance and letting people um letting people prescribe it and he weighed in recently on this herd immunity question which you've been seeing about and the question is this for this specific virus do we need to get the 60 or 70 infections before we have enough herd immunity and there are lots of smart people who are saying it doesn't seem to be the case that it's it's not a confirmed thing i would say but there's strong indication that some people have some kind of natural t-cell immunity that's not the kind of immunity you pick up on a test because it's not specific to this virus and that there may be so many people that have it that real herd immunity comes at lower than 20 percent
if if real heroin immunity comes at lower than 20 percent of people infected

[20:50]

lower than 20 percent of people infected how would we know that's true what would that look like well it would look a little like sweden because sweden i think is under 20 percent infected and they seem to have driven their infections down to you know nothing or nearly nothing so that would be but that's not a confirmation right that's just one piece of data that is compatible with the hypothesis right being compatible with the hypothesis doesn't prove anything that's why you have the the high quality studies because these things can be so misleading can be confirmation bias can easily be coincidence but let's look at some other examples about the diamond princess cruise ship you got a bunch of people on the cruise ship in the worst possible circumstances so in the end how many of the people on the cruise ship got the coronavirus 19 19

[21:51]

19 19 now that doesn't mean that they reached herd immunity it doesn't mean that that proves that 20 or so is your limit it's just a fact that is compatible with a hypothesis in the same way that sweden is compatible with the hypothesis but not proving it how about jails do we know of any jails in which more than 20 percent of the prisoners got the coronavirus i don't know but i don't think so if that's true that even in jails 20 was sort of the peak
again that wouldn't prove anything it wouldn't even come close to proving anything but it would be compatible with a hypothesis and so i ask you this can you give me a counter factual can you find a group of people who were

[22:51]

can you find a group of people who were as
as let's say in the same place in an extended period of time with massive infections i don't know what kind of group that would be but they also never exceeded 20 now it would have to be more than a family you know a family doesn't count because you can imagine that they they're so close that just everybody gets it but um well no a family would be also the family wouldn't tell you anything because every family is going to be a special case it could be that none of them had those t cells because also they never got colds could be there's something genetic could be if they're african-american four times more likely to have problems so so you can't look at a family so give me a group of non-family people the military the military somebody says the mumbai slums there are closer to 50 percent i i have heard that they're over 20

[23:53]

they're over 20 and then the confounding variable there is lack of nutrition in a general low health so it could be that there are other factors old folks homes all right there's a good one are there any uh senior homes in which over 20 percent of them got it can somebody get back to me on that
the uss uh teddy roosevelt don't know what that is all right um somebody says the homeless community i don't know they're outdoors and they also you know that the thing about the homeless community is that they are probably so exposed to so many things that are bad for them that i wonder if the coronavirus even has a chance i mean i think if you're a homeless person and the coronavirus shows up you're like your body is like coronavirus eric coronavirus is here um you're gonna have to get in the back

[24:54]

um you're gonna have to get in the back of the line do you see tuberculosis yeah get behind that so i'm not sure that the homeless population can tell us anything about those of us who do not have a a persistently challenged immune system as they do
now let's get to the question of kids spreading here's what i believe if you have a definite opinion about whether kids will spread to adults you are not being rational you could definitely have a statistical opinion as in you know i've looked at it and i feel like all things considered it's a good risk well that would be reasonable it's reasonable to say i don't know but it feels like 90 percent sure that would be okay i'm not sure the data would support a 90 certainty but you wouldn't be crazy but if you say

[25:55]

but you wouldn't be crazy but if you say kids do not give it to adults you're not qualified for the rest of the conversation because you don't know that you don't know that and science doesn't know that right so there's speculation only so please remove your certainty about what kids do or do not do and if you're talking about this going back to school question which by the way i'm in favor of
of that we go back to school um don't tell me that you know that that won't affect that that won't take the virus home to grandma and let me give it to you in these terms would you all agree that there are tens of thousands of children infected in this country that fact you can agree on right you can look it up and would you agree that worldwide there are hundreds of thousands of children that are infected do we agree with that so far

[26:55]

so far the hundreds of thousands of children are affected secondly do we agree i think we do that the uh the number of them that are asymptomatic and will never have a problem is nearly all of them it's not a hundred percent but it's close do we agree on that hundreds of thousands of kids have it and almost never do they get sick they do
do there are cases where they do but it's very rare so let's that's the part we agree on here's the question how'd they get it
you ready for that how did the kids get it
it did they all get it from adults don't know do you do you think just just use your experience think about the kids you know who have ever gotten a cold did the kids get the cold at home sometimes sometimes did the cold did the kids get the cold

[27:56]

the cold from other kids pretty much every time i mean not every time but i don't know if i would even put it more than 50 but i think you all have the experience if you've had kids in the house that if something's going around at school not talking about the coronavirus but other things that's a little bit more of an incubator than even at home but at home you could get stuff too of course here's my challenge to you figure out how
how kids got it if kids only get it from parents but kids can't give it to other kids and kids can't give it to adults i would be very very surprised wouldn't you do you think that's what it looks like do you think that all those kids got it from adults but weirdly they can't give it to adults and weirdly they can't give it to each other you think no it's

[28:59]

you think no it's to to me if i had to place a bet on this i'd say that kids get it from other kids they're mostly asymptomatic and that the kids who probably have it because they're playing with their friends you know when they're not in school but they're not playing with as many of them and they're more likely to be outdoors i would think especially since they're keeping away from the adults a little bit so if you can answer me how the kids get it i might be open to the argument that they that they're unlikely to give it to parents but to me the most reasonable expectation is that kids give it to other kids that's how they probably half of them got it and that of course they would give it to adults of course they would are there any cases where teachers have gotten it yes in sweden in sweden there are new stories of a bunch of teachers at some place who got it but they didn't study it so well

[30:00]

but they didn't study it so well in other words they didn't do contact tracing so we don't know if one teacher got it and gave it to the other teachers or if some student gave it to one teacher who gave it to the right we don't know but the question of whether working teachers will get coronavirus and they'll spread it in a school environment i think is answered the answer is yes how often don't know could be not often all right with all with all of that said how is it we still don't know if if herd immunity is a thing and at what at what level it happens how is it we still don't know if kids spread to adults and if you think you know you really need to talk yourself out of that you don't know it's a little bit of hopeful thinking that it doesn't happen i saw i just saw an article that said there's no evidence of kids spreading to teachers there's no

[31:01]

of kids spreading to teachers there's no evidence of it do you know what there's also no evidence of that if we disbanded the military in this country that we would be in trouble or or taken over by another country it's never happened never happened so let's get rid of our military because there's not a single example of the united states being taken over by another country so no military needed i mean the fact that there's no evidence of a kid giving it to a teacher you should you should discount the value of that information to zero because you know what else we don't know everything you know what else we don't know about the coronavirus and how it spreads and how to treat it everything everything is up we don't know if the masks work or not i mean there's still debate on that we don't know if hydroxychloroquine works we don't know if herd immunity is coming soon or later

[32:03]

if herd immunity is coming soon or later we don't know so as soon as you feel you're certain about any of this i think you're on uncertain territory look at this look at the time it looks like i can tell you that there's there's a new poll out on the question of teachers unions comparing what people think of teachers unions now compared to how they thought last year and this is from rasmussen so rasmussen asked people their opinions on um teachers unions
yeah and what do you think how do you think that came out and so this is brand new i think it's breaking is probably getting published right now as i'm talking 39 percent of american adults still think it's a good thing that most teachers belong to a public employees union all right so at the

[33:05]

employees union all right so at the moment 39 percent think it's good that teachers have a union that's down from 45 last year so they've gone from 45 to 39 in one year that's kind of a big drop uh but it is back to levels measured um several years ago and 33 now say it's a bad thing that teachers are unionized so do you know what i say to the to the popularity of teachers unions from people who are not teachers looking out from the outside do you know what i say about the declining approval of the teachers unions here's what i say hold my beer because i'm going to drive that i want to swear but i'm not going to i pulled myself back from the edge please insert a mental swear word

[34:07]

please insert a mental swear word where it's needed i'm going to leave you space for it okay you can put the you could put the f word in there and you'll you'll feel the space all right it's going like this hold my
okay you filled it in beer i'm gonna drive that
fill in the blank statistic into the blank fill in the blank teens i'm going to blow that number into the teens and then we're going to dismantle the teachers unions and we're going to give the black citizens of this country the first break that they've had in a long time which is maybe a chance at a good education for you know the majority um i think we can do this so

[35:08]

i think we can do this so watch for that
we'll see if that's true uh there's a video of l.a county sheriffs pointing their their weapons at allegedly three black teens who were allegedly victims of a homeless person allegedly attacking them so there's lots of allegedly's in this story so the video is of the police who are clearly aiming their uh their uh rifles i guess at somebody who's not in the in the scene and the thinking is hey hey they're aiming those rifles at the three black teens even though they were the victims so how do you explain that and all the the spectators really young no no no you know they're the victims don't aim your guns at them if you think that you learn something

[36:10]

if you think that you learn something from that story you are so wrong video lies a hundred percent of the time video can't tell the truth it can't because video can't give you context video gives you what it gives you it leaves out context so does video lie a hundred percent of the time it lies it's only a question of how much is lying so if you say i saw the video duh it's true well you don't know how anything works that's not how it works if you saw the video well you should say yes i saw the video i was misled that's what you should say yeah i saw the video so i know what didn't happen what didn't happen is whatever you thought you saw with that video so will it come out that there was a reason that they had they had to worry and a reason that they were pointing their weapons yes yes it's going to come out that there was a reason that they pointed their weapons now it

[37:11]

that they pointed their weapons now it may be that they didn't have all the information because there's some suggestion that they didn't know what they were coming upon so since it looked dangerous and they didn't know it was dangerous in what particular way they just pointed their guns at everybody until they could sort it out now they kept pointing their guns for what seemed like too long do you imagine if you'd seen the rest of the scene whatever was off camera do you think that the three black yous were saying oh okay glad you're here thank you officers i'm glad you're here uh let let us make sure that you know you see we don't have any weapons it's this homeless guy you know i've got a little cut here can you give me some medical do you think it went like that do you think as soon as they saw him that they they immediately broke off from what the trouble was and said ah thank god you're here can you arrest this guy i don't think so i think that there was something happening that made that situation a little ambiguous and we're going to learn that all right

[38:13]

and we're going to learn that all right and by ambiguous i don't mean that the black views were guilty of anything i just mean that the situation may have been hard to sort out if when you first showed up that's all i mean
so apparently q or q anon has gone worldwide did you know that so instead of being a silly american thing q has apparently gone worldwide and it's becoming i would argue a bit of a religion now not quite yet but it's moving in that direction and you might say to yourself uh i don't quite understand why that's spreading isn't that so obviously not true that it couldn't possibly spread i mean how do we not have heard immunity against cue you know what i mean there should be should be enough people in your family or your social circle to say

[39:13]

or your social circle to say um yeah bob i i know you're interested in this stuff but i've got to tell you it doesn't look too credible to me well let me suggest this for context let's bring science into it um does science say that you will be more addicted to something if it if it gives you a reward every single time or does science say that you will be more addicted to something if it pays off sometimes but you can't tell when answer you will be more addictive it more addicted if the payoffs are unpredictable meaning sometimes you get to pay off sometimes you don't and you really can't tell in advance when that's going to be that one causes addiction what is q q is a bunch of predictions often with enough vagueness that you could fit them to different situations but does q get big things wrong

[40:15]

but does q get big things wrong such as i think arresting hillary clinton was one of them yes does it matter that they get things wrong because you say to yourself if you see them getting things wrong doesn't that disprove the whole we have insider information thing i mean they'd never be wrong if it was inside of
of information or rarely wrong but that's not how the brain works if you're if you bought into q and you see them get one thing right and three things wrong will you be more attracted to it or less you want to say less don't you you want to say well if i got three out of four things wrong any reasonable person is going to walk away nope nope opposite if it gets one and a four right you make people addicted it becomes a religion at one in four how often do your prayers get answered one in four

[41:17]

prayers get answered one in four if you pray for a promotion one and four times if you wait long enough you might go on was it the prayer well that's for you to decide but what i'm saying is that the the nature of religion which gives you unpredictable payoffs for your praying and your religiosity and the rest of the time you say well you know god is not an atm i mean i don't i don't just like put a prayer in and take money out he works in mysterious ways that's part of the process if i get if i got one in four prayers i'm addicted likewise q if he gets one and four you're addicted um the other thing that it has in common with religion and again i'm not gonna if this sounds like um uh mocking religion then you're hearing it wrong i'm just telling you that there are things which bind things to a movement and they're fairly common and universal and it works for

[42:18]

common and universal and it works for religion it works for q which is which is not to say that either them are false it's just the way people think so the the vagueness of the predictions is very powerful because when you when you have vague predictions um people do the work for you
you and so you let's say you you had four predictions one of them is clearly right but could have been right by coincidence you know could have been a good guess and let's say two of them are a little bit ambiguous well it's going to look like a belief to a believer it's going to look like three and a four were right because they're going to say this one is definitely right and these other two well you know if i didn't have this one that was right maybe i wouldn't believe that there those vague things are true but since i got one right i'm going to say these other two were close enough the way they were worded allows for me to say that this thing

[43:19]

allows for me to say that this thing that happened fits and now suddenly you're three and a four three and a four so vagueness works in favor of belief because it lets you fill in the blanks this is by the way a standard hypnosis trick i use it all the time i use it when i create my comic the reason that dilbert doesn't have a last name company doesn't have a name uh dilbert's boss doesn't have a name not a first name not a last name it's all intentional because it allows the reader to read into it and fill in those uh those open spots and it makes you more addicted to the property here's the here's the other thing that religion and q gets right if you spend time working on something you will be more addicted to it it's just natural just the things you focus on become more important to you over time the nature of cue is that they say do your own research so you take the q as your starting point

[44:19]

so you take the q as your starting point and then you go off and do a bunch of work you invest your time once you've invested your time in something you're done right you you've married yourself to the movement because once you put time into it you can't explain it to yourself except that you believe it and that's part of what you do so religion like you asks the people who are believers to do their own work you read this bible can be interpreted many ways you know go listen to how different religious people are interpreting it find your own connections you know figure it out yourself and i think there's something nerdily delicious about trying to unwind these mysteries be they religious or be they cue so i think the the operative things are that um you get unpredictable rewards there's vagueness and uh that last thing all right so

[45:23]

that last thing all right so so there's a reason that q is growing it's not an excellent all right um
well let me ask you this remember uh 2016. i think you remember it and the the take on trump was that he was a mentally unstable russian agent who will destroy the economy and lead us to nuclear war all right so you remember 2016 those were the things uh mentally unstable russian agent destroyed the economy lead us to nuclear war oh and racist of course racist in there so that was 2016. what is the big problem with trump after we've observed him for three and a half years um here's the big complaint about him lately we can't tell if he's joking about mount rushmore so since we can't tell if he's joking about mount rushmore by the way that's the biggest problem at the moment we'd better nominate a cadaver to run against him

[46:24]

against him that's actually happening i mean joe biden isn't quite a cadaver but i don't think i'm getting too far ahead of myself
isn't that a big change and i asked myself why aren't they using all the things they were using before well the things they were using before in many cases were debunked such as the russia occlusion thing but what about the other stuff the other stuff seems like they would just be evergreens right you could always go with mentally unstable and you know you could always go with you know he's a racist and he lies you know all the basic stuff why are you seeing as much of that well let me suggest here's a reason joe biden's campaign is making it really difficult to criticize trump here's why biden lies in every ad everyone and it's usually like a real blatant obvious lie and they're the kind of lies that even the democrat fact checkers would say okay i grudgingly agree that's a

[47:27]

okay i grudgingly agree that's a complete fabrication so how do you run against the guy who your biggest complaint is that he's a liar when every one of your campaign ads and a lot of stuff you say in public are clearly demonstrably obvious obvious easy to google lies it kind of takes that away from you a little bit because you know you know it would come right back how about the idea that president trump is uh mentally unstable well if you had any other candidate running against trump you'd probably trot that one out and say look at my completely reasonable uh you know completely mentally healthy candidate compare that to trump look at what he's saying about mount rushmore that's crazy right you'd hear that if you had a candidate who was demonstrably and you know inarguably mentally healthy biden's not he's just not i mean he's mentally health unhealthy in a

[48:29]

health unhealthy in a in a old-person way not a specifically crazy way but it kind of takes that approach away so they can't accuse the president of lying because biden is lying in every ad it's hard to say the president's crazy because that just brings up mental health and you don't want to go there how about uh the argument that trump doesn't take his job seriously like he doesn't care about it he's just you know golfing well sure he's still golfing a lot and he's still a trump but if you're looking at the other guy who doesn't leave his basement and he sends his wife out to talk for him once in a while does he look like he's taking this job seriously no no biden doesn't look like he's taking it seriously it looks like he's hiding in his basement and waiting for whatever it is to be over it just feels like he's waiting it out how about the charge that trump would be a puppet for some other power let's say russia

[49:31]

for some other power let's say russia well that's a little difficult because because biden is literally a puppet for another power which is you know whoever's controlling him on the democrat side and he's pro-china so the whole puppet of a foreign power thing doesn't really work when the person you're running against trump is literally a hollow-down puppet how does that work so that's not a good attack anymore used to be and then i'm gonna quote uh trey gowdy who i don't know if he made this up but it's just a perfect term he said that biden keeps committing uh
uh we're saying a bunch of quote racially curious comments racially curious now isn't that just the dog whistle what's the difference between you know it's it's a racist dog whistle versus racially and curious state

[50:32]

versus racially and curious state or racially curious statements they kind of sound the same don't they so biden by his own inability and terrible campaign has removed from the attack list lying because he lies acting mentally unwell because he acts that way not taking his job seriously he doesn't leave the basement much a puppet for other powers that's he's even running as a puppet i mean the man is saying i'm not even going to make it four years barely you know don't count on me for that second term i'd better bring in a whole cabinet to support me you know look at my vice president he's running as a puppet and then of course he says racially curious thing which which partly takes that off the table as well so
so i think the uh the candidate himself is just absolutely torpedoing the campaign and the campaign is torpedoing itself i guess here's a question for you um

[51:36]

here's a question for you um russia apparently is claiming that it has the first vaccine but of course it has not gone through the the longer more rigorous trials that you would do if you really really wanted to be careful and apparently it's already been given to putin's you know daughter or daughters and uh this is really going to challenge what it means to be anti-science isn't it
it because this is going to bleed over into the whole vax or anti-vax thing now if you think you're hearing my opinion on vaccinations it's not going to be here all right so i'm not going to i don't want to even hint my opinion on this topic while i'm talking about it today someday i might i'm not sure i have a fully formed opinion there but this is not it okay so i'm just going to talk about the story don't don't make some assumptions about my opinion
the the big knock against vaccinations has been that they're not fully tested right the

[52:38]

fully tested right the the vaccinations are not tested when they're put in combination with other vaccinations they've been tested individually but not in combo so that's one of the big problems so now russia comes out with this vaccine that all the people who are in favor of vaccines are going to say oh no you don't want that one because it hasn't been tested sufficiently uh and by the way line up for your vaccinations that haven't been tested sufficiently so it's going to cause the pro-science shall we say you'll argue whether they're pro-science the pro-science pro-vaccination crowd um are gonna have to explain why you can't have the russian vaccination because it's just another vaccination that hasn't been fully tested that looks good hasn't been fully tested so um i don't have an opinion on this i'm just saying that this completely messes up

[53:38]

saying that this completely messes up the whole you know what does it mean to be anti-science because now everybody can be anti-science you know you you don't have to be on the pro science team because apparently there is none there's no pro science team the vaccination question doesn't have a pro-science team it only has a well we feel pretty good about it cost benefit yeah we're fairly sure we like the odds but i'm not sure there's a pro science team anymore
here's a question that uh mike cernovich first you know he uh he inspired me to ask this question by one of his tweets yesterday would the protests have started without all the fake news if you imagine a world and it's hard imagine a world where the news was just accurate and that's it no agenda no no team just accurate news would we be having these protests

[54:41]

would we be having these protests and the scary answer is no these protests are 100 created by fake news and what i mean by that is that you know the the even the initial george floyd stuff the the michael brown stuff it's all fake news in the sense that while a tragedy did happen that part's real the interpretation of what happened has all been fake we know that the in the michael brown situation which sparked riots in the creation of was it the creation of black lives matter did it happen after that but now we know that you know two sets of officials the state and now the federal looked at and said um it looks like a justified shooting the whole thing was fake news and then the george floyd thing comes this guy's you know full of fentanyl he's going to die no matter what i'm not saying the police did the right thing because it looks to me like the police have some explaining to do about you know the way they handle things but

[55:42]

you know the way they handle things but clearly we're not out to murder him there's nothing that would suggest it was a racial component to it and if the news told the news accurately as soon as the issue of systemic racism became a national a national phrase they should have said well where do we find it and how do we dismantle it and that should have led them straight to wait for it the teachers unions the teachers unions i have estimated are 80 of systemic racism because if the teachers unions did not prevent competition in school competition and free market work always improves things we've never seen the opposite you always get a better product with free markets but the teachers unions prevent that if they didn't we'd have more free markets we've had better schools and then while you can't get rid of racism if if your black candidate comes in for a job and you look at the racism as a good college solid college

[56:42]

as a good college solid college performance and you've you'd like to get some diversity in your business anyway you'd say
say oh hell yes hell yes look at this this is a good good educated person that's what we're asking for so racism will always exist because our brains are just wired for pattern recognition but we're not good at it so we see patterns that are not really patterns and then we act on them so you're always going to have that but you can make it a lot less important in other words as i like to say michael jordan doesn't worry about racism much during his day he might worry about it for other people's benefit and i guess he does but i doubt he thinks about it in his personal experience today maybe in his past but not today and the point is you can't all be michael jordan but if you're financially success and you're successful and you're doing well racism isn't going to hurt as much

[57:43]

well racism isn't going to hurt as much so you could you could take away 80 of the pain of system systemic racism by getting rid of the teachers unions and i'm going to drive their popularity into the teens if it's the last thing i do
do so yeah it is literally true in my opinion that the fake news is causing all of these protests and now the fake news is trying to stop it because they realize that that they've created a monster that will get trump reelected and it will let's be honest the protests will get trump re-elected if that doesn't happen i'm gonna have real questions about the accuracy of those polls or the accuracy of the vote if it's at this point it's kind of a layup for the president i don't even know if the challenge is still in it because the public is really done the public is done with lawlessness and there's only one candidate promising an end to it with a specific

[58:43]

promising an end to it with a specific solution i've got the national guard they're waiting now what's the other thing that uh everybody said about this president a month ago but they stopped saying he's a dictator right would your dictator have already sent troops into chicago yeah of course he would would your dictator have already sent troops into portland to calm that situation down yeah probably on day two it wouldn't be day 55 any dictator would have taken care of that stuff right away but he's not
not and it's so obvious that he's not because of this very thing that he just won't send the troops until they're requested i think that argument is gone too so there's not much left
um all right so let's see if i covered everything and

[59:44]

so let's see if i covered everything and well it looks like i did it looks like i did
did enjoy your last months of relevancy cartoon boy says this guy in all caps i hate to block the all caps shouting trolls but they will be missed um
yeah i think everybody's saying what i'm saying now i don't believe there's anybody who thinks that the looting is going to do anything except get trump elected it's pretty it's pretty direct line at this point um happy birthday to uh sue happy birthday all right that's all i got for now and i will uh talk to you later