Episode 1082 Scott Adams: Beirut, Biden, Rapid Testing, Tik Tok to Microsoft, Pandemic Leadership

Date: 2020-08-05 | Duration: 53:05

Topics

Find my “extra” content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.com

Rough Transcript

This is an auto-generated transcript and may contain errors.

Transcript

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• Beirut explosion, interesting revelations

• Fading empathy for Portland

• Oprah is an open racist

• Comparing COVID19 results by country

• If HCQ is effective, CNN has killed

• Latest Biden brain not working video

If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
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[0:06]

you're probably thinking to yourself hey where is he he's late well it's because i'm trying to solve the world's problems here and sometimes that takes more than three minutes so if you don't mind i'm going to print out my show notes
while we get ready and everybody's pouring in for the best part of the day yeah best part of the day it's coming up and it doesn't take much does it it doesn't take much all you need is the copper marker glass of tanker chelsea stein the canteen junior flask a vessel of any kind sorry i made you wait were you worried so i like coffee join me now for the dope media of the day
day the thing makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now go

[1:12]

so good stay right there hold on hold on don't go anywhere here i am all right there we go so the biggest news i would have to think is that explosion in beirut you've all seen the video by now
now holy whatever that is some scary stuff um i've never seen anything quite like it and
and i'll bet all of you have the same feeling i did which is you're trying to decide if you're a good person because you can't stop watching that explosion because it's really quite a spectacle at the same time you know that people are dying at that moment and you're thinking to yourself how many times can i watch this video for entertainment before i'm actually the devil you know it's a sensitive situation so what are we going to learn about this the first thing i will tell you

[2:12]

the first thing i will tell you is that whatever we eventually learn about this is probably wrong it's probably just fake i feel as though this is this is in the class of stories that you're just never going to know what happened there might be an official story there might be one that even all the governments agree but i feel like we're not really going to know the story here sort of ever but here are some things we do know the it's almost certainly that this was the chemical uh what it was ammonium nitrate which i believe is the same stuff that uh tim mcphee used and it's it's a known amateur bomb material now if a an area that's uh hezbollah is a hezbollah controlled or just hezbollah heavy if they've got enough of this sitting in a warehouse to destroy much of much of the city of

[3:15]

to destroy much of much of the city of beirut and apparently one of the customs people was aware of it and a customs person you may not have heard this yet i just saw it a moment ago
ago apparently he had in the past sent six different memos to the judiciary officials warning that there was a dangerous substance that could explode so the government had been warned at least six times by somebody who knew what he was talking about and knew it was there and they decided not to act does that tell you anything not necessarily because it could be just a bureaucratic thing it could have been they didn't know what to do with it it could have been they had plans to do with it something with it later i think he was a he was recommending that they export it in other words basically sell it because it probably had some value but you don't want to keep that much in one place now in a related story the jerusalem post is saying that

[4:17]

the jerusalem post is saying that hezbollah kept it there so they're saying that it was hezbollah who was in charge of that ammonium nitrate but did you know that in a storehouse in london until mi5 found it they also had a bunch of ammonium nitrate and did you know that the hezbollah also stored hundreds of kilograms of it in southern germany until that was uncovered now what does it mean to you that the massive amounts of this material which is
is i think in this context you know given the context was used for bombs is is massively deployed all over the place is there any doubt that they were trying to blow up a lot of stuff that maybe you didn't want to get blown up so i ask you this what are the odds that that blew up on its own

[5:17]

its own do you think that israel for example do you think that israel was aware that these chemicals were there remember mi5 found him in england germany found him in germany so we know that you know intelligence agencies can find this stuff and we know that uh apparently wasn't the biggest kept secret in the world because this customs guy in lebanon was asking them to get rid of it so what are the odds that israel was aware that there was a gigantic facility of bomb-making material what were the odds that they knew that not
not zero right we don't know but not zero there was certainly a good chance they knew about it now what would be the chances that israel would act on it and let's say do something to sabotage it or blow it up

[6:21]

something to sabotage it or blow it up just to remove that future risk from you know ending up in israel because i don't know how hard it would be to ship this stuff into israel you know if they wanted to a little bit a little bit at a time but you know where was it destined for and i asked you this would it be justified for israel to take it out if they knew that it was going to be a big explosion and the collateral damage would be extensive would it be justified it's a tough one isn't it kind of justified i'm not saying they did it because there's some story about somebody welding a door shut and you know that seems at least reasonably possible that that was part of the problem uh yeah i wouldn't rule that out i wouldn't rule out accident of course but would israel have a moral ability to take that out

[7:22]

take that out because here's my take on this this is way bigger than just removing some potential bomb material from from potential terrorist acts
it's way bigger than that you're given the scope of it and i wonder what this does to the psychology of the middle east if you wanted hezbollah to have a a bloody nose forever in its own backyard so that it didn't look so good the best thing you could do is have hezbollah responsible for destroying the entire city of beirut or much of it in the act of getting ready to do a terrorist attack on some other city now if if this story remains a hezbollah error it doesn't matter who blew it up in a sense you know i'm not saying israel did or did not do anything i'm just saying that we'll

[8:22]

do anything i'm just saying that we'll probably never know and it may actually change how people feel about hezbollah so it might be one of these events that even though it's a anecdote it's a one-off it's not really related to any larger issue it seems like just you know a tragedy in one place but the way we think about this you know anecdotes are and stories are really persuasive and i've got a feeling that the the uh let's say support for hezbollah may take a permanent hit so we'll keep an eye on that the death toll they say is a hundred but lots of people missing and you're probably having the same reason reaction i did which is uh that's a lot more than 100 i mean if you saw that if you saw the damage um i can't imagine it's not in the thousands can you i mean how could such an area have so few people who would die it's got to be in the thousands

[9:28]

let's talk about something else uh did you all see the video on twitter of the portland protesters trying to stop a pickup truck and it didn't go well so far of the genre of protest things that didn't go well for protesters you know it's sort of a growing body of work this might be my favorite might be my favorite if you haven't seen it there's several angles to it and only one of the angles is fun the other angles don't quite tell you what's going on but essentially there's a pickup truck that somehow didn't look like a good idea to me ended up in the middle of the protest the protesters tried to stop it and one of the protesters who was especially bold shall we say bold we'll keep our insults for later let's call him bold he he comes up with some kind of a motorcycle scooter kind of a thing it was a motorcycle and and he pulls it in front of the truck

[10:28]

and he pulls it in front of the truck and then he just like like he's a badass he just pulls in front of the truck and he drops it on the ground to block the truck and then he gets up and he's going to walk over to the driver he's like man i just pulled a batman move i mean i'm feeling like some kind of a superhero i mean i i had my my vehicle my bat motorcycle cut him off cleverly put my my vehicle in front of his truck to block his response and then i'm going to swag her over to that there he goes dragging my motorcycle under his truck one of the funniest things you'll ever see so i don't know who's who gets to talk to the insurance company for that motorcycle vehicle but he's got some explaining to do can you explain the nature of the accident sir um can you talk to my mom hands bomb the phone

[11:28]

phone that's what i think will happen all right does anybody care about portland anymore um my empathy for portland is now basically zero i'd say zero i can't care about portland it's interesting i like seeing the videos like seeing what's happening but don't ask me to care don't ask me to help don't ask me to you know mourn if something bad happens to somebody during the protest don't care now i do think that the portland ears said word who who say well it's been limited to these certain areas that's probably true so there may be a reason that the portland people don't care too much maybe it doesn't have much effect on their lives and if they don't care i certainly don't care speaking of stuff like that uh oprah came out as a racist yesterday sort of surprised me a little bit

[12:29]

bit um you can read about it i i tweeted it but apparently she's just an open racist now
now um i'm not even gonna give you the details right you know i was i was going to tell you what she said and why that's racist i don't even need to it was so racist no i'm gonna i'm gonna do anyway i their basic message was that having white skin is a life advantage just period that's all you need you got white skin it's a life advantage i feel like that's a little oversimplifying and racist it's just racist because it certainly isn't true in employment certainly isn't true in education certainly isn't true in socially i can't think of too many places as true now it would be true let's let me give you some examples where it would be true would it be true in um if you go to a store and you're

[13:31]

in um if you go to a store and you're black and you're just shopping and maybe people keep an eye on you it's like they think you're a shoplifter just because you're black yeah that i would say that's bad and i would say that's real but it's not it's not high on the list compared to getting a job or going to college or you know those things so as annoying as that must be one has to ask this question is that because of white people or is it because of the statistical reality which causes everybody to be a little bit wary because we're not good at pattern recognition well let me say this we use pattern recognition as our primary mode of understanding our world but we're not good at it we we get false patterns as easily as correct patterns so if there's a high rate of crime in one community is it really reasonable to expect that people outside that community and even within the community

[14:31]

even within the community probably doesn't make any sense if you're black yourself if you're seeing somebody come in who's a member of a community with high crime are you expected to act exactly the same well you should right if you're a good person and you're you're trying to overcome your biases you should but we're also human beings who operate on pattern recognition and that's a big ask that's why i always say that black lives matter is completely discredited in terms of their slogan of thinking that black lives matter because obviously they don't if they did they'd work on the highest priority not the lowest priority the lowest priority is the number of people who get killed by police it's a small number compare that to the number of people who get a bad education that's a big number and it affects everything including the odds of you being stopped by the police including the odds of the shopkeeper giving you a

[15:32]

the odds of the shopkeeper giving you a little extra attention if you fix education a lot of things get fixed and right now it's the racist teachers union that keeps black people from getting a good education i mean i think that's just a fact you know because they they limit competition they limit charter schools and basically all the solutions that would make a difference to black students are are stopped by the teachers units so the teachers unions are clearly racist it's in the worst possible way but that's what i got to say about that i'm very disappointed in oprah coming out
out as being a racist all right cnn has some fake news about marijuana their headline says we can be bad for your heart but the article doesn't the usual the you know the headline doesn't match the article but in any event here's the question you should ask yourself every time you see any article it

[16:34]

every time you see any article it doesn't have to be in cnn any article that says marijuana is bad for you in a way that'll kill you it's obviously is bad for people in terms of lifestyle depending on who you are and how you're using it and by the way i would never argue that point marijuana is one of those weird drugs that well i suppose any drug has this quality that it could be good for some people harmless for other people and it could just ruin other people's lives that is the nature of the drug and you should not you should not downplay the fact that it could ruin your life i've i've seen that um but here's a question you should always ask
ask what is the total mortality rate in other words how soon are people dying if they are chronic users of marijuana versus never used it in their life and turns out it's basically the same somebody says pot saved my life i would say the same thing actually i

[17:36]

i would say the same thing actually i would say that marijuana probably has kept me alive that's a longer story but that that is my
my sincere belief is that it is a life-saving drug in my particular case literally and specifically a life-saving drug other people have had that experience but don't
and if you're wondering how i can say it can be bad for some people and good for others it's not just that there's a different chemical response which i just assume for any drug but also the nature of marijuana is that it tends to make you more of what you already were uh so let me just digress a bit uh if you haven't heard this before it's a good filter on marijuana if you are ambitious by nature and creative by nature you already were those things you are already ambitious and creative marijuana can make you more ambitious and more creative that's my experience but if you are lazy

[18:39]

that's my experience but if you are lazy and unmotivated by nature it might make you lazier and more unmotivated so when i say it can kill you or it can help you that's you know a small part of what i mean by that and that's independent of the mental health independent of the physical health part of it it just makes you more of what you're inclined to be naturally and for some of you you might not want that you know if you're having trouble with motivation i don't know that i would recommend marijuana but if you're terribly motivated in my case i have a i have a problem with over motivation sometimes so yeah i can cut it back a little bit
uh andres back house um was tweeting some german statistics showing the germany's uh
uh death curve and stuff seems to be moving in in the right direction but as andreas pointed out in a

[19:41]

but as andreas pointed out in a follow-up tweet on the same topic he said it was quite fascinating how many people immediately seem to know whether the german statistics is good news or bad news and whether the us is looking better or worse compared to them none of that can be said to a certainty so that's your that's your data analysis lesson for the day so the fact that germany appears with this data it appears to have a better grip on it than the united states can you therefore conclude that that's true nope and if you think you can you don't understand enough about how to compare things enough about the complexity of it you don't understand how many variables are different we'll talk about that in a minute and you don't understand how unreliable data is and you don't understand that we're only at half time and that there's a lot more to play and there's no reason to think that germany or any other country that gets a really good grip on it will

[20:42]

that gets a really good grip on it will keep it what would keep it what would keep your country that gets a really good grip on it and really drives those let's say it drives the deaths down to zero let's say germany drives the deaths down to zero keeps it there for two weeks impressive right i don't know if that'll ever happen but let's say they do but the rest of the world is raging did germany win no no because hey carpe duncan his carpenter isn't back is he
he i need to check into that um
so anyway don't trust any data about anything that's the general thing you should learn in 2020 my new exciting topic which i'm trying to understand and then having a hard time of it is the the idea of the rapid but less sensitive testing

[21:44]

of the rapid but less sensitive testing um so carpe duncan is back on periscope can you be banned on twitter but not on periscope so i don't know what that means all right we'll look into that so anyway about the so there's there's a concept out there that i'm trying to understand its practicality and the idea is that for a dollar maybe five dollars you can make these easy spit tests where you could just test yourself by spitting in something and seeing if it changes color in a few minutes now the downside and here's a correction to what i told you yesterday i think i referred to them as being less accurate that's not the best way to look at it the best way to look at is less sensitive meaning that it's not going to get somebody who has a little bit of virus that they just picked up but if you but if you get a you know a good viral load it will pick it up fairly reliably so and the thinking is that even if you

[22:45]

so and the thinking is that even if you missed some people who just coincidentally were in that little zone of not much virus yet you could miss you can miss all of them and you would still have something that would be so powerful if it caught the people who were really the the big shedders who had presumably you would shed more if you had more viral load but i think that that's subject to verification and so the question is this what is the regulatory uh barrier to that because there's some kind of fda emergency room approval that's hard to get or they don't want it or something so there are a bunch of unknowns i'm trying to suss out of this but the basic idea of could there be a test that is accurate uh sensitive enough i'll stop using the word accurate so you should do that too stop about if we're talking about these cheap spit tests you should talk to them in terms of sensitivity meaning they're not going to get the the small cases

[23:47]

small cases not accuracy per se but of course accuracy is part of the part of the story so here's my question is it possible for a private company in the united states to produce this test in large quantities and also do their own internal testing to find out that it's sensitive enough
so oh somebody says carpe duncan has at 2 pm eastern time as greg got held on so you should watch that um so i'm still looking into this uh i know that the uh i know that the task force has probably looked into this by now or at least they're looking into it but i got some real questions because if a private company can make this thing the demand would here the demand would be off the chart let me ask you this if you could buy a say a one to five dollar test that would

[24:47]

say a one to five dollar test that would be
be sensitive enough to know if you had a bad case but maybe not that first day or so would you buy it i would i'd buy a whole bunch of them i'd be testing away every few days just in my own house if i had them but here's here's the money shot are you ready when masks first became recommended maybe you didn't see this but it's something i saw which is that private companies really needed to get masks and they were scrambling to get them for their employees because if you're a private company and there's something out there that can protect your employees let's say masks you have to get it all right if you think it's optional that a big private a big let's say a fortune 500 company if you think it's optional for them not to make sure that their employees have the right safety equipment which in this case would include masks

[25:48]

include masks if you think that's optional you've never had any experience with corporate america the moment something is known to be safer in other words will protect the employees the moment that's true or looks like it's true they have to get it
it they just have to because otherwise you're explaining later you know why did you let this outbreak rage through your meat packing plant or your call center when this cheap test was available you know how can you this is a hypothetical of the future you can imagine this conversation how could you facebook let your employees get this infection x of them died how could you let that happen when you knew there was this cheap test that probably would have prevented it right it's a big liability it's a it's something they need to explain and and honestly you know corporations are not the devil they're they're staffed by human beings

[26:49]

they're they're staffed by human beings and the human beings even in human resources who are barely human sorry i i create a character named cat bert so i can say that but it's not personal there's there's probably no human who wouldn't want to protect the their co-workers as well so forget about the corporate forget about the liability forget about you know how it looks for their brand corporations are people they're going to protect each other so the demand for such a test if it could be created if it could be sensitive enough and accurate enough at the same time the demand would be unbelievable there's no way we can make enough so um you don't even need to you don't even need the government to lay down any rules if you simply said let's open up you know just open up the businesses do what you can but at the same time tests were widely available if you were a bar would you open up or

[27:52]

if you were a bar would you open up or would you say look it's only five minutes to get into the bar you just stand in the line outside the bar
bar spit in the thing it won't get all of you
you but at least we're doing what we can do all right i think even a bar uses it because you know a dollar per customer might be worth it if you could get it down to that anyway david boxenhorn horn has been helpful in collecting a lot of these tweets and ideas and and uh talking about this so if you want to follow him you'll see him in my in some of my tweets at david boxenhorn b-o-x-e-n-h-o-r-n um i should say that adam townsend on twitter uh if you've if you follow him you know that he uh he probably has the widest talent stack you'll ever see in your life it's like ridiculous the number of things he knows in different areas everything he speaks fluent mandarin

[28:54]

everything he speaks fluent mandarin apparently and he is not sold on this idea of the cheap tests but his explanation for why he's now sold on it i don't understand so that's where i am at the moment so there is an argument by somebody who knows a lot more than i do but i don't understand the argument that's where that's at just be aware that there's a counter argument um george takai you may know him from playing sulu in the original star trek series uh but also at the moment he's a big anti-trumper and he's very funny on twitter uh he's come after me at least once on twitter but i like him i cannot like him because he's so damn entertaining and and i and i think it's hard for me to dislike anybody who clearly has good intentions i mean you could disagree with him on everything but i can't dislike him first of all you know i liked him as an actor i like him even better on

[29:55]

as an actor i like him even better on twitter because he's hilarious uh and he has good intentions i believe i mean that's what i what i see from him so somehow he doesn't bother me at all whereas other people might because i feel like their intentions are not pure you know they just want to win or something i don't think that's the case with george zakai i think he's a good guy
guy he just has a different view of you know what's what a better world looks like but he uh tweeted this uh and i'm paraphrasing because i don't have it in front of me but basically he asked you know he was trying to imagine how hard it would be to be the white house staffer who has asked to make a chart showing that trump had done a good job on the coronavirus in other words compared to other countries or anything else and and i saw that and i thought if i were that a staffer i could do that it wouldn't be hard how hard would it be to come up with some graphs that show that the united states is doing a good job on the coronavirus compared to other countries it wouldn't

[30:56]

compared to other countries it wouldn't even be a little bit hard now if you think it would be hard you've never done this for a living i've done this for a living so in my corporate days this is exactly what i do i would present information to management and i would have control of what i showed them and what i didn't do you know how easy it was for me to make something to look good or to look bad with the same data it's easy you just make some assumptions slap it together and suddenly good becomes bad or bad becomes good so regardless of how the president is actually doing so that there's two parts here is he actually doing well but independent of whether he's doing well or not i could totally put those charts together are you kidding me lying with data is the easiest thing in the world wouldn't even be a challenge i was going to tweet back at him but you know i got i got bored with my own tweet because it was going to be too long but here's what i was going to say well let me show you my no cuomo slide

[31:59]

well let me show you my no cuomo slide you know the slide where we show how the president did if he had no cuomo so i'd call that the no cuomo slide the united states death rate without cuomo now you know again none of these individually are going to tell the case how about comparing the president only to the other countries that have similar strong states rights with governors how would that look i don't even know who that is can anybody tell me who would be our comparables in terms of having 50 or or a lot of states that individual power is there any comparable because if you're not comparing us to countries that have that same state situation is that a is that an accurate comparison i would think not uh how about comparing us to countries with the same average age who's doing that let me ask you this you know you keep

[33:01]

let me ask you this you know you keep hearing that africa doesn't seem to be having the calamity that you thought it would because you know they have less health care we assume here's here's a reason why maybe the average age in the united states not average the median so half of the people are below it half of the people are above it in the united states the median age for all of our residents is 39. i didn't know what it was until i looked it up very similar to china so the median age in china is 38. italy older 46 and sure enough they had they had a bad outcome and they have one of the oldest countries but what do you think is the average not average the median age in africa what would you guess in the comments before i tell you the answer guess the median age in africa the age upon which half of the country is below it and half of the country is above it what would you guess if the united

[34:02]

what would you guess if the united states is 39 italy is 46. what do you think africa is
it's between 16 and 18. that's right the median age in trick in africa is between 16 and 18 for a number of the countries i didn't look at every country but a lot of the countries in africa yeah it's teenage teenage is the median so is there a reason that uh africa is doing fairly well probably that i mean it's got to be some of that so where are the charts that uh where are the charts that only compare us to countries that have the same median age haven't seen that yet where's the country that shows the vitamin d levels in each country where's the chart that shows the quality of the data so the only countries we're compared to are the ones where we trust the data do you trust china's data i don't how about turkey

[35:03]

don't how about turkey turkey's doing a great job huh
don't know do you believe any data coming out of turkey so the first thing i would do is do a slide of countries that we could trust the data or we think we can how do we look if we're only compared to the countries that have reasonably good data do we still look bad i don't know i'd have to see how about countries with different quality of healthcare that's got to be a factor about different weather different styles of outdoor living and then hydroxychloroquine i hypothesized that if it turns out the hydroxychloroquine works that we should see a cnn effect meaning that the more penetration cnn has on the consciousness of the country in other countries the less likely they would use hydroxychloroquine because cnn's been saying it's poison so the hypothesis is that if you just

[36:06]

so the hypothesis is that if you just took it all the cnn countries and compared them to all the non-cnn countries that the countries who did not watch cnn as much because i think it has penetration everywhere but the ones who didn't watch it
it as much or wait for it didn't watch it in english because if you don't watch the the main let's say american news people in english i don't know if you're watching them at all
all so at the same time that i asked this question and i've i'm keeping my my estimate of whether hydroxychloroquine works at 50 so later if it turns out it doesn't work do not come to me and say scott you said it would work no never never said that i said looks like about a 50 50 chance to me based on the unreliable information we're getting but

[37:08]

we're getting but but turns out there's a little kicker today um not only did the swiss decide that they're going to use hydroxychloroquine and
and by can somebody remind me does switzerland also have doctors and scientists in switzerland because i was pretty sure that doctors and scientists and experts don't think hydroxychloroquine works and yet and yet suspiciously the swiss who i think have doctors i think they have experts they've decided they've looked at all the information and while the rpt gold standard kind of test does not exist for the early use they've decided that it's worth using huh oh that's just an appetizer are you ready are you ready for the main course here it comes the next thing i tell you i don't know how much credibility to put on it i really don't but i'll report it i tweeted it you can see for yourself so

[38:10]

i tweeted it you can see for yourself so uh twitter user gummy bear and if you're not following gummy bear just look for my tweet and you should follow gummy bear is that alias obviously of somebody who knows what they're talking about but does not want to be public and a point alerted me to a test or an analysis by at covet analysis another one you should follow and they're talking about a test a trial a pretty big trial is it a trial or a study i guess it would be a study so what they did is they looked at all the countries where you were pretty sure you know they could verify with experts the hydroxychloroquine was being used early and often and then they compared it to the basket of countries that were not using it or were using it sparingly sparsely i guess what do you think was the difference between the countries that used hydroxychloroquine and the ones that did not well according

[39:12]

and the ones that did not well according to the study and again remember the context this is 2020. the most important thing you should keep in your mind whenever you hear data is that it's wrong because that is wrong all data is wrong in 2020 all data is unreliable it's just i'm sorry i want this to be true but they say there was a 79 lower death rate in the countries using hydroxychloroquine early 79
79 is that true well all data is wrong so i'm still at 50 50. now the fact that they looked at all those countries it feels like it's something that somebody else could check right doesn't it feel like somebody could say all right show me your work uh you for this country you got wrong take that one out or something so i feel as though in the next week or so
so people are going to pick it apart and they'll either confirm it or they will exclude it and by the way

[40:13]

or they will exclude it and by the way this study also made some adjustments for some of the other factors some of the other factors such as age disease etc now i don't think they probably looked at every factor you could look at but they did take out you know some of the major ones like agent disease 79 lower death rate what if that's true seriously what if that's true do you know how many people cnn killed if that's true and i mean that i mean cnn killed if this is true because i do think there's a cnn effect now i use them as a stand-in for the the anti-trump media but
they might have some explaining to do i think um
um i heard that turkey has a good result because partly they're using hydroxychloroquine

[41:14]

hydroxychloroquine and partly they say that they have an extensive testing and tracing system that's right turkey reports that they have an extensive testing and tracing system so you say to yourself what if turkey can have an extensive testing and tracing system why can't we have that in the united states the united states has mostly testing for people who have some symptoms which is different from testing and tracing in a way that you can actually you know tamp down the virus ours is more a medical diagnosis testing to see if you have it so that they can treat you and by the way keep away from other people for a while but we don't test in the way that we're trying to use testing to suppress the virus we don't have that that's what the chief tests could do if they work now do you believe that turkey really has an extensive testing and chasing system let me say this having

[42:14]

chasing system let me say this having worked with many large organizations and in my capacity not as mind reader but as the dilbert creator who knows a thing about bureaucracy here's my belief there is no country that's doing testing and contact tracing in any real you know useful way oh there are countries that say they are oh yeah yeah there are countries that say they're doing it but it is my belief there's no country doing it i don't believe it for a second and remember all data is wrong don't tell me data is plural i'm not hearing any of it data is wrong and i'm going to make that common usage if it's the last thing i do
yeah so don't believe anything about another country doing all this great testing that's bs all right have you seen today's latest

[43:14]

all right have you seen today's latest biden's brain is not working video i i don't know if they're getting sadder as we go but it's i want to have fun you know with politics because i use it as my entertainment as many of you do i want to enjoy you know the the horse race of it i want to enjoy the election the back and forth the tweets i want to enjoy it but when i watch biden struggle to form sentences i don't have enjoyment from that i really that kind of brings me down because whoever whoever is letting him do this is just unkind it's beyond unkind it's it's just they're just jerks at this point i mean the democrats are just jerks for letting this go on now one assumes they have some kind of plan or backup plan they're working on but
but at this point if you can't manage this

[44:18]

at this point if you can't manage this if you can't manage this it's just one guy who's got a medical problem obvious one if you can't manage this oh don't give me stutters come on we're way past that we're way past it's a stutter i'm not even close to that
i my personal opinion is there isn't the slightest chance that joe biden can win the presidency i think all the polls will just continue narrowing
and they'll just narrow until the president has a solid lead or or at least maybe look at it close actually some of the polls i assume are fake so there should be some polls that show it's close on election day because they'll be trying to get their people out to vote but i think the ones that are accurate if i had to guess i'll bet on election day rasmussen is

[45:20]

i'll bet on election day rasmussen is going to say that trump is ahead so that's my prediction my prediction is that on election day rasmussen may be standing alone or possibly with a few credible uh polls saying that trump is going to win and maybe the others will not if they're maybe not as not as accurate or not as honest if you will so
yeah the the biden situation uh i'd love to tell you that it's stuttering because most of you know i had a voice problem for several years you know 10 years ago and i tried to form sentences that i could say like a stutterer does as opposed to sentences that were the right words so you end up saying all these weird awkward stilted sentences because it's what you think you can get out as opposed to what you think would be

[46:21]

as opposed to what you think would be the best choice of words so i get that but that's not what i'm seeing that's not what i'm seeing at all and you know as a fellow sufferer of exactly that not a stutter but a voice problem that caused me to do workarounds the same way i think i'd know what it'll look like um somebody's asking about kamala well i think she's still top choice um i don't see any of the other candidates that have been mentioned as even being in the top tier i can't even imagine at this point but you know the vice president pick is the hardest to predict you know all all of the smartest political people will tell you the same thing that if there's one thing hard to predict it's it's who the vice president pick will be because lots of times they just come out of left field you know mike pence was not on my radar you know so when i was guessing who trump would pick i just guessed from that small pool of people that i heard of and seemed like they fit and you know so

[47:22]

and seemed like they fit and you know so i missed that one by a mile and i wouldn't be surprised if i'm wrong with the kamala situation but let me ask you this
so and i'd like to remind you of this because if i get this right this will be my greatest prediction and the prediction was from 2018 i said it was kamal harris would be the head of the ticket you know the the nominee when she dropped out i doubled down and said she's going to be the the nominee after she dropped out can you can you sit for a moment and register that in your mind that i predicted in public that she would be the nominee after she dropped out do you realize how how how big of a reach that was now here we are if i had to ask you is it more likely that biden will continue through the nomination process become the nominee and go on to you know finish finish as the nominee on

[48:24]

you know finish finish as the nominee on election day after you saw this video today if you saw it watch this video today and tell me you think that the democrats are going to go ahead and nominate him for the top of the ticket and if he's not at the top of the ticket who is now i ask you this if if kabul harris does not get selected as the vice president is it because they're holding out that she might be the top of the ticket
i'm just putting it out there we've you know i don't think you can guarantee at this point that kamala will be the choice because like i said the vice president's just too hard to pick you know no matter how smart you are no matter how good you are it's just hard to pick so i'd probably bet against myself if i had to place a bet but i'm going to stick with it and you'll stick with it and i'm going to say we've never been so close to kamala harris being the nominee

[49:25]

to kamala harris being the nominee we've never been that close so if it doesn't happen it doesn't happen but workloads all right
um was i using daily affirmations for that prediction i was not um you know i was trying to figure out why what it was that made me think kamal harris was the one and some of it was you know she's senator and she's she she was good in at least the committee hearing she wasn't so good as a campaigner but you know she's she's a woman of color i mean all of that seemed good but i was looking at it the other day and she has a she has predator eyes and i asked myself i wonder if that's predictive predator eyes meaning that you look at her and you say oh yeah she could kill somebody right

[50:26]

oh yeah she could kill somebody right you want your president to be able to kill somebody i want a president that i know if there was a home invasion let's say they weren't actually the president with secret service i want to know that if my president the person whose personality i'm trusting to defend the country i want to know if they were the victim of a home invasion and they got the upper hand on the invader that they would finish him off that they would actually kill them that they could take a life in person could kamala harris just look at her and ask me this does she look like she could take a life in person i think yes right look at hillary clinton okay i don't even have to finish the question right you look at hillary and you say could she take somebody's life in person probably so probably so could trump take somebody's life you know if there was a reason in person

[51:26]

you know if there was a reason in person yeah yeah i think he could think he could so and even obama i would say was a a predator meaning that you look at him and you say does he have what it takes like if he had to shoot bin laden himself maybe that's too easy everybody would shoot him but could obama kill somebody in person if he had to i think so i think so so um has nothing to do with has nothing to do with being white or black so whoever said that you're you're on the wrong planet i think that we may pick our presidents based on uh just a feeling that they look more like predators than prey let's take jimmy carter did jimmy carter strike you as someone who could kill somebody if he had to nope he only served one term how about

[52:27]

he only served one term how about george bush senior that's that's sort of a harder one um but
but but does he seem like he could kill somebody in person well he could george soon you're good i was going to say he was a one-term president but yeah both of the bushes could kill somebody in person they both look like predators to me all right uh that's just a theory that we want predators as presidents because they in effect there being a predator on our behalf that's all i got for you today and i will talk to you tomorrow