Episode 1059 Scott Adams Twitter Hackers, Biden Plans, Education Improvements, Shy Trump Supporters

Date: 2020-07-16 | Duration: 57:02

Topics

Find my “extra” content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.com

Rough Transcript

This is an auto-generated transcript and may contain errors.

Transcript

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• Twitter got hacked

• The gun debate is over

• The climate change debate is over

• Education is evolving quickly now

• How MSNBC’s Tony Schwartz can test his fear

• Does CNN’s Kaitlan Collins intentionally analyze incorrectly?

If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
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[0:03]

[Music] [Applause]
all right i know what you're used to what you usually see when you come here to visit me at this exact time every day is you think you're going to have the best time of your day because that's what the simultaneous sip is really every time but today it's going to be better than that i'm going to give you the only thing that's better than the simultaneous sip are you ready the only thing that's better than the simultaneous sip i'm just kidding there's nothing better than this simultaneous sip come on get out of here let's have it let's have at it all you need is a cover bugger a glass of tanker trowels or steiner canteen jugger flask have a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hint of the day the thing that makes

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the thing that makes everything better including autocorrect pandemics pretty much everything go
all right somebody was making me laugh in the comments because yesterday uh autocorrect played a little joke on me so i had i had author bjorn lomborg on periscope yesterday most of you saw it and when i typed in the title into periscope periscope changed it to lamborghini so i can't really edit it after it's published in periscope you can change it in youtube and other places but in periscope you can't really go back and change it because it's like a tweet so i i have somebody on to promote his book and i i don't even get his name right but i'll correct that now it's lemberg not lamborghini is lomborg

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not lamborghini is lomborg all right you probably are all aware that twitter got hacked and boy did twitter get hacked talk about a good hack i'm kind of you know do you ever have that feeling when you hear a about a really good serial killer i'm not proud of this but every now and then i'll hear a story about some serial killer who you know built an underground bunker to keep his victims and he had a plan and he operated for years and i'll have two different feelings about it one well that's awful that's that's the worst thing you know i've heard today that's that's one feeling and then the other feeling i get is that's kind of industrious you know if i'm being fair you know he's not lazy he's you know he's gonna executing a plan maybe a systems over goals kind of guy i don't know

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don't know but i'm always impressed when uh when people put a little little effort into it all right um and these hackers for uh for twitter they had a really good plan the plan was and i guess it worked they somehow allegedly we don't know if this part is true yet but there's some suggestion that they may have bribed somebody within twitter to give them some access they took over some accounts some big ones like biden elon musk and then they tweeted from their accounts as if they had been tweeting and they tweeted that uh if for on behalf of some fake charity that if you would send them two thousand dollars no one thousand dollar in bitcoin you would get back two thousand dollars now
now i don't know how many people in the world are dumb enough to fall for that but it turns out it's at least a hundred

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so if you're wondering to yourself scott that you said that was a clever plan that's not a clever plan who in the world would be dumb enough to send some a stranger or a strange charity a thousand dollars on the in the hopes that they would send you two thousand dollars back that doesn't even make sense well it turns out if enough people see that offer you're gonna get a few hundred and that's what happened and the the brilliance of the plan is that because the tweeting came from uh well-established accounts that would not scam you you thought well elon musk isn't gonna you know run some scam and joe biden isn't gonna run some scam in the middle of an election but there it was now what's interesting is
is um you may not know this but joe biden is not actually the only person who's running for president this year there's this other guy you've heard of him trump and uh what does it tell you that biden was selected but trump wasn't

[5:06]

was selected but trump wasn't now it could be it could be that yeah there's a political element to this but probably not here's what i think i think they thought biden would be more convincing i think they just figured that biden would be more likely to do this and that people would trust biden more than trump if it looks suspicious and they're probably right so that was a clever hacker plan probably more clever hacking than it was
anything political all right there are news stories about the so-called refrigerated trucks to put all the bodies from the coronavirus deaths you've heard the refrigerated truck story before maybe it's true this time maybe it was true the other time but what do i tell you about persuasion i tell you that if you can't make it visual it's not nearly as good

[6:08]

visual it's not nearly as good so compare these two versions of a story one hospitals are impacted they're overloaded people are you know there's lots of pressure on them etc all right so that's sort of the generic conceptual description of what's happening in the hospitals compared to uh three refrigerated trucks pulled up to hold all the bodies right those are not comparable one of them is a movie because you can actually see the trucks pulling up in your head that's that's persuasive if you can see it as a movie you're already half persuaded if it's a concept your brain doesn't hold and it doesn't stick to things as well because you want to
to activate your visual part of your brain to to get something done so i would ask you how true is it that these refrigerated trucks are really going to be used and they really exist

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going to be used and they really exist i think in in today's world you just have to doubt that that doesn't mean it's untrue if it turns out that they're really used that would be terrible and and i would say oh okay well that's that's what they reported but you have to at least put a little bit of skepticism in this story i don't know how much 25 minimum i would say i would say dial up your skepticism to at least 25 percent on the refrigerated corpse trucks which might be totally real 75 chance but i don't know um i am amazed at agog i don't know what a gog means exactly but i think i'm a gog alexa define a gog
curiosity eagerness and curiosity yes okay okay

[8:13]

yes okay okay all right that's enough calm down all right uh with the eager curiosity uh i look at these stories about uh that they seem to be settled now so apparently gun purchases are way up and in the past when there have been gun purchases because you know whenever there's a big story in the news about any any kind of upheaval in this country there there always are more gun purchases but in the past apparently those gun purchases were primarily uh they were primarily for people who already own guns this time 40 of the gun purchases are people who never owned a gun before 40 what does that mean 40 are new gun owners somebody asked online um somebody asked how many of them were democrats i would also ask how many of them did i

[9:13]

i would also ask how many of them did i answer a poll
but here's the part that's amazing the the gun debate is just over but there are no stories about the gun debate being over because it'll be kind of embarrassing now if you can think way way way back to a year ago and beyond i'm pro-second amendment pro-gun and although i'm left of uh bernie in general i describe myself that way uh gun gun ownership is one of those things that isn't really left or right a gun is a tool would you agree that even thinking of guns as a political topic doesn't exactly make sense to me because i don't think that my my hammer or my saw are political right i just think of them as tools and a firearm for self-defense is just a tool so i don't really think

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is just a tool so i don't really think of that as either left or right which is why i give myself the freedom to just say well all right is it a tool i need is it a tool i might need is it a tool anybody needs so that's the only way i think of guns i don't think of it politically and one of the biggest arguments was what happens if the government goes bad and
and tries to take over the citizens and become a dictatorship and people would argue well it's a good thing we all have guns because that would make that less likely and other people would argue no you can't go up against the government because they have tanks and nuclear weapons and stuff to which i've always said that's not what the fight looks like that's not what it would look like what are you imagining are you imagining a line of tanks and soldiers on the right and then the left a bunch of citizens with their handguns and you know some some rifles and stuff that's not what's going to happen if there were any kind of a dictatorship kind of takeover

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kind of takeover it would be more house to house if you know what i mean so anybody who was on the side of the government would get a visit by their neighbors you know what i'm saying it would be nothing like some big battle it would be let's visit your neighbor because uh your neighbor has a family member who's on the dictator side that's what it would be and and that would be enough to keep the dictator in control because the citizens would would have just too much power one of the things i had not specifically thought of but now you can't unthink it is what happens if there's a civil war that just comes from the citizens themselves because that's sort of the the feeling that you're getting with these protests is this is approaching something like a civil war my opinion is it's not and that your your feeling about it is way overblown but it feels like that and uh

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it feels like that and uh anybody who's lived through this period is done with the the gun conversation it's just over and i don't even think i would address anybody who wanted to talk about it at this point it feels like it is so off the table that if somebody said scott do you want to come and represent one side in the gun debate here would be my answer what gun debate what gun debate are you talking about oh you mean in the past do you have a time machine where i can go back in the past and have a debate back when there was actually something to debate there's no longer a debate this ended it but the other one that that may have ended recently in a very quiet way is climate change have you heard of climate change climate change just got a little uh gut punch by joe biden being in favor of nuclear energy

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biden being in favor of nuclear energy do you know who else is in favor of nuclear energy the trump administration and the the department of energy working quite aggressively for nuclear energy do you know what everybody who can actually do math and science do you know what they think is really the only way you're going to get to some kind of a uh no carbon situation nuclear pretty much i mean everybody's in favor i think of doing more research and if you could figure out you know better batteries or better energy or something sure sure everybody's in favor for that but at the same time if you're not doing nuclear well you're not trying that hard you're not really serious so i think the the climate change argument just sort of disappeared and it got attacked from two different directions in a very important way direction number one
one is what are you going to do about it

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is what are you going to do about it right so there's so how bad is it and what are you going to do about it are the two questions about climate change would you agree how bad is it what are you going to do about it the what are you going to do about it apparently is roughly the same on the left and the right right because biden did not take the extreme green new deal stuff like getting rid of airplanes he just made some aggressive goals that are you know so many years in the future that you don't even care about the deadline it doesn't even mean anything so far in the future and it's just not that different the way it feels from what the republicans are already doing now sure there might be some more investment in green stuff but i don't know has anything as much come out of it yet i'm not sure that the citizens will see much of a difference anymore but here's the other part so that's that's the what do you do about it part the other part is how bad is it which you know drives what do you do about it

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do you do about it and that's where i think these two books that i've talked about this week you know bjorn lomborg's book and here's the important part and this is the same with michael sheldenberger's book apocalypse never which i talked about earlier both books are in the same let's say family of criticism which is yes humans are warming the earth so both of them start with that assumption this is a big deal they start with the assumption that yeah it's true humans are warming the earth but then they make a far stronger argument both uh bjorn lomborg and michael schelmenberger both of them with new books and both of them will make a big impact and it's just eviscerating the argument that there's a problem as big as they say
say they've just eviscerated it and as long as these two books are out there and people like you are willing to tell people hey check out these books

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people hey check out these books you're really completely eliminating the how big a problem is it part of the equation at the same time you're saying it's not that big of a problem if we do everything right and by the way we're doing everything right because we kind of are which is pursuing every form of energy fairly aggressively is exactly what you should do every form of cleaner energy so i would say that climate change just went from the biggest problem in the world to oh that looks like that's heading in the right direction so a lot of the a lot of the energy is just going to come right out of it i think
education is continuing to evolve and i'm loving the conversations where people are really starting to let's say they're trying they're picking it apart to redesign it a lot a lot of us are doing that in our minds but they're

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minds but they're no doubt lots of people working very hard to figure out which part of the education is the important part which is really an interesting process isn't it if you think that the education system just was you know designed hundreds of years ago and just evolved a little bit and still basically reading and writing and sitting in the classroom and listening to a teacher and the fact that we're picking that apart now and saying all right throw away all the assumptions maybe it doesn't need to be a teacher maybe they don't need to be in the same place what about these classes do you need a college education ivanka says companies will change train you to do the specific job so having everything in question about maybe the most important thing that society does which is educate because everything everything good follows from that right you know once you get your people up to speed good people create good outcomes so the fact that our most

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fact that our most basic and important and i would say our alpha our alpha system can i call it that the the the or the apex system the system that makes all the other systems work education is now going to really probably have a complete overhaul i think here here's my uh suggestion for how to improve it i don't know if this is high school or this is college or maybe it doesn't matter but here are the here are the class categories that i would have this is sort of evolving over time so you've heard a little of this one would be a class on or maybe it's even a major on life strategy things that you would see
see in such as in my book had a failed almost everything and still win big where i teach things like systems are better than goals and skill stacks are good so knowing knowing the user interface for life feels like that just should be a course or even a major

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or even a major that's so important because if you don't get the basics of oh wait how does the world work if you do more of this and less of this do you get a better result the answer is if you know which button yes but you got to know which button to push i would have a course on how to make decisions um i do that a little bit of that in my book loser think actually that's mostly what the book is about but that could be taken further if you look at most of the problems in the news today from guns to green technology to racism to everything else they all seem to have a common problem what is the common problem with you know everything guns racism green technology the common problem is that the differences in our opinions are differences in ability to analyze they're not actually political opinions these are fake disagreements if people knew how to

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disagreements if people knew how to analyze things properly they just knew how to compare two things you know can i compare this pen to this pencil now you think it's common sense well you know you don't need to take a class to compare a pencil to a pen it's just obvious and that's where everybody goes wrong because it's not it's just not you've got to take into a lot of a lot of things into account to do a proper comparison and you do need to learn it it's not something that's common sense i would have a course on persuasion similar to my book win bigly because if you can't persuade you can't get much done can't get a job can't sell something you can't get a mate you know persuasion is pretty important and then computer communication in general which persuasion might be a subset of so that's what i would teach and then maybe entrepreneurship so a little bit about how would you start a business if you wanted to and what would you need to do

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wanted to and what would you need to do if you started a business you know what's a corporation what's a partnership just some basics and these would be my at least the beginning of a core platform now obviously you need the reading and writing and science background etc so you need you need some basics but this is where i'd go uh here's a little thing that you don't learn in school but look just consider if you will i'm going to give you a little tip on one topic that is not covered in school and yet it could be one of the most basic important skills that a person can have and most of you are not good at it but you could be and with maybe half an hour of of instruction and that is sleep sleep should be considered a skill not the default condition of your body when it's night and you're tired we kind of think of

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of think of of sleep as just the thing that sort of happens at night and how hard is it you know there's no skill involved in sleeping but there is now there may not have been skill involved in sleeping in the past because it was a simpler world and things weren't complicated maybe it was different i don't know maybe people didn't drink as much coffee in the caveman days but in the modern days sleep is so important to your performance and really your whole quality of life then if you don't do it right it makes a big difference and you should now i've given you sleep tips before but here's a new one and this won't work for everyone this is a sleep tip that worked for me i would be interested if any of you want to try it out with the open-mindedness of well if this doesn't work you know i lost a week of trying something that didn't didn't hurt me right so i'd like you to just try it but you know some of you this won't work

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but you know some of you this won't work you'll know if you'll know if you're one of the people that it works for it goes like this if i go to bed and i can't sleep because i'm just too wound up
up here's what i tell myself you probably tell yourself or the average person would say darn it i can't sleep i can't sleep what happens when you tell yourself over and over again you can't sleep well it doesn't help doesn't help so that would be a bad mindset let me tell you what i do when i can't sleep because because my body is just wound up and i'm not ready to sleep i tell my body that i didn't work hard enough that day now your immediate reaction should be uh why does that work you need a little more explanation right it goes like this it helps me not a bit that night so that night i'm just going to struggle to fall asleep so that tip doesn't help me one bit the

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so that tip doesn't help me one bit the day that i say it to myself i didn't work hard enough but the next day
day it's like seven o'clock at night and i'll say to myself ah i have not exercised today i got busy i wanted to but i didn't so now you say all right i would never exercise at seven o'clock at night but i'm not going to be laying in bed again tonight and tell myself i didn't work hard enough so workout clothes on hit the road walk run ride your bike lift some weights go to the gym back when people had gyms and they could go to them and they didn't die from going to the gym so that mindset if you start programming it into yourself will cause your day to be more productive because instead of saying what's the easiest way i can get through things you'll start managing your energy in a way
way that by the time you hit the bed at whatever your bedtime is 10 o'clock you're only going to want to sleep i

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you're only going to want to sleep i i push myself to the point where i know i will sleep well that's one of the ways i manage energy i've said before and a lot of people have found this very useful that you should not manage your time you should manage your energy now of course you have to manage your time to show up to appointments but think in terms of managing your energy to to create the best energy for the task and then to make sure that you've used your energy up by the end of the day when it's time to go to bed and that you haven't used it up at noon because it's going to be a tough day you use it all up early but you've you've made sure that you did a physical physical work and mental work that will get you in the sleeping point of view so that's the advice sleep is a skill and that skill starts when you wake up right so your skill of sleeping at night starts when you wake up and you manage

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starts when you wake up and you manage your energy in your day to get yourself in the right condition to sleep it's an all day process so if anybody tries that let me know if it works for you i think it's the kind of framing that will appeal to some kind of uh mindsets that are already already in in place it won't work for everybody all right um tony schwartz who's some kind of a political commentator i think he's on msnbc he said this in a tweet it might sound like a familiar sounding tweet who who has ever said something vaguely similar to this before see if it rings any bells he said in a tweet tony schwartz did if somehow some way trump is re-elected i won't consider it safe to continue to live in the united states that will be true i believe for many of those who have publicly opposed trump does that sound familiar

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it's kind of what i said if biden won the election now let's compare thee to assertions so i've said that trump supporters would be unsafe in a world in which biden became president and let's say the left became emboldened and tony schwartz is making the exact same claim except saying that it would be
be unsafe to be a vocal democrat in a world where trump is reelected which of those claims seems more true would it be more dangerous to be on the left or more dangerous on the right if you're not the one
one whose preferred candidate is in power well how can we figure out which of those seems more reasonable is there any kind of
of test you could do before the election to see what the mood is in the country well i would suggest a test how about tony schwartz uh puts on a uh mega hat

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uh puts on a uh mega hat and goes to a public place and then i will do the i'll do the opposite i'll wear a biden bite it for president hat
hat and i will visit the same public place or
or or any other place in fact i'll go further i will put on the joe biden hat and i will attend a trump rally in a joe biden for president hat and i will be completely safe let's just try it let's let's make it more fun let's say that tony schwartz has to wear a
a make america great again hat to a biden uh event if there ever is one it's not on televised uh that's not just digital and so he'll take a mag ahead to a democrat event and i'll wear a joe biden hat to a mega trump event and we'll just do an experiment and see who gets the shipping out of

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and see who gets the shipping out of them i'm going to go out on the limb and say that i would give some mocking and i would get some looks from going to a trump rally but i'll also bet you that the people who were mocking and maybe looking at me at the trump wait for it are smiling right if you went to a trump rally wearing a biden hat the first thing people would do when they saw you is they would smile because they would think it was funny they would think it was funny and they might say hey what are you doing here you're in the wrong rally and give me a hard time would i ever feel physically threatened at a trump rally not even a little bit wearing a biden hat not even a little bit it wouldn't feel the slightest bit physically dangerous but of course they'd give me a hard time but i guarantee they would be smiling

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but i guarantee they would be smiling when they did it do you think it would work the same way the other way i don't think so all right um
let's see uh have you watched a interview on live video with trump's niece mary trump who uh who's got a book that is critical of her uncle donald trump how many of you have seen her on video
i i don't want to be unkind i'm just going to say this
you should see her i think she talked to george stephanopoulos so there's some clips i'm just going to say this you should spend 10 seconds looking at a clip of her talking and again i won't be unkind i'm just suggesting it's worth 10 seconds of your time and

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it's worth 10 seconds of your time and i'm not even going to give you my opinion of her book because in 10 seconds of listening to her talk you will have the same opinion i do [Laughter] so i don't need to talk you into anything just spend 10 seconds see if you can get the vibe of what's going on here see if you could just get a feel for the person and then you're going to have the same opinion i do and i'm not even going to state it brad parskal apparently has been replaced as the head of the campaign for trump we don't know what is behind that but if you believe rumors on on twitter there might be some personal relationship situation going on there uh not between trump and parscale but there might be something personal going on and one wonders how i especially wonder when there is a

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i especially wonder when there is a suggestion and i don't know who put this idea into the public's mind can somebody tell me where did this idea come from like why are people even thinking this there there's some kind of a widespread thought that there are these secret trump supporters that are lying to pollsters where does the public get ideas like this it's crazy oh wait i might have been part of that um this is how this is how cnn writes a headline for a story about the the belief by belief by voters that there are shy trump supporters it's called 2020's latest boogie band secret trump's voters 2020's latest boogie band so i guess that means that if you're a democrat the republicans are trying to scare you by telling you that there's this boogeyman

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boogeyman in the form of these hidden trump voters that are going to get you they're going to get you they're hiding and
and there was a monmouth mon mouth poll maybe you heard of it in which they gave joe biden a 13-point lead in pennsylvania so you say wow he's really doing great in these competitive states and then uh but then they also asked pennsylvanians uh whether they thought there was a secret trump voter out there you know a lot of them and 57 believe there's there are hidden trump voters 57 of pennsylvania's pennsylvanians think their neighbors are lying to pollsters 57
but then cnn after giving it a headline calling it a boogeyman which would suggest it's not real further down in the story on their website they say the idea of quote secret voters is not

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the idea of quote secret voters is not entirely far-fetched in the aftermath of trump's 2016 win one study suggested quote the people who kept their vote a secret overwhelmingly voted for trump did you need to see a survey to tell you that the people who wouldn't tell you who they were voting for voted for trump look at all the uh look at all the undecided voters how many undecideds are there or let's say independents because independents are really fake undecideds they're really decided they just pretend they're not
somebody says 43 of pennsylvania voters are poorly informed that sounds about right anyway uh we'll see how big that boogeyman is uh because you know i i can't get past this see if i'm on the wrong page with this the the reason that i think the the hidden trump vote

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hidden trump vote is bigger than it was in 2016 and and potentially really really big two reasons one it's more and more obvious that it could be physically dangerous and economically dangerous to admit you're a trump supporter so the first thing is that the danger has gone up what do you agree the danger has increased for admitting your trump supporter so if nothing had changed but that there should be more hidden trump supporters this year than 2016. but that's not the only thing that happened another thing that needs to happen for persuasion is to think about it you have to actually think of it so if nobody had ever suggested hey maybe you could just lie to the pollster if nobody had ever suggested that then people would have to think of it themselves some of them would some of them would just say i'm not comfortable with this and they would just naturally lie to the pollsters but what happens

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lie to the pollsters but what happens when you suggest it what happens when you put it out there as a national story you know last time there were a lot of people hiding and how'd that turn out for the people who were hiding how did it turn out for the people who were hiding you know the secret trump supporters in 2016. the way it turned out was better than anything that ever they've ever seen in their life politically the the unexpected win of trump and the night that you learned it and the way that you felt if you were a trump supporter and especially if you were a hidden trump supporter was something that i would describe as really really good you would feel really really good like your whole body would feel good you would be exploding with uh you know dopamine and serotonin and whatever else makes you feel good those people got a physical reward that lasted for months you know speaking

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that lasted for months you know speaking for myself from the day of that surprise trump victory and i had more more skit in the game because i had been publicly predicting it for so long but the feeling of that you got with that surprise victory it lasted months now all of the people who lied in 2015 and 16 do you think they're lying again of course of course why wouldn't they because their reasons to lie are better than ever and it worked out and
and if the prank works again because the first time i think it was just people hiding but this time there's another motivation the prank right the prank is really attractive and the prank is the surprise because as much fun as you had when it looked like hillary clinton had a 90 percent chance of winning toward the end and oops there you go i guess 90

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guess 90 wasn't good enough we're heading toward a place where the polls are so wide that on election day it might be a 99.99
predicted result that biden will win how will democrats feel if there's a 99.99 prediction from the experts that biden will win and trump wins again again how are the how are how are they how are they going to take it the democrats well you're everybody remembers these screaming voters the democrats who lost you know that there's this famous iconic picture of the the woman going ah and uh being upset you can't tell me if you're a trump supporter you haven't looked at that picture 100 times since 2016 and laughed every time every time so the situation is sort of picture perfect

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the situation is sort of picture perfect for the biggest prank ever played in political history if this is what it looks like and it definitely looks like it to me i i think it's hard to say that's definitely what it is you know we don't live in a world of certainty but if i were gonna have to put money on it i would say that the hidden trump supporter is far and way bigger this time than it was last time and maybe bigger than any election ever because there's a genuine fear it's in people's minds it's a bigger fear than it was before and the prank the prank of it just the surprise that could be coming just could be the funniest thing you've ever experienced in your whole freaking life honestly and that's so attractive we'll see so here's how uh cnn handled an interview that um president trump did in which he was

[40:55]

um president trump did in which he was asked about was it was it catherine herridge or somebody asked him this question um so here's the headline from cnn trump gets upset when asked about police killing black americans what what would you think the story is going to say if the headline is trump gets upset when asked about police killing black
americans doesn't the headline suggest that the president doesn't care about police killing black americans that doesn't feel like they're they don't say that but the ways phrase is sort of suggesting that they can tell his attitude and that he doesn't really care about black people being killed by police but is that what happened well let's talk about what actually happened so during an interview this is from cnn with cbs news president donald trump responded to a question about why black americans are still dying at the hands of law enforcement by saying

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enforcement by saying quote more white people are killed by police and calling the question terrible now of course they took him out of context so that you wouldn't know exactly why he was saying the question was terrible it's a little unclear so they they've mucked up the their description so you don't know what he was really getting it right they just took the meaning out of it and put their own meaning on it now if you saw live what he was getting at is that the terrible part is that you would focus on only the deaths of one group of people when the larger group of people were white is that an unfair thing for a president to say maybe we should focus on the largest group of people who are getting killed not the smaller group or maybe we should at least include the larger group in the conversation he didn't say you should focus on the larger group he said it should be in the conversation which is completely fair so how did caitlyn whatever on cnn report on that she summed up the

[42:57]

on cnn report on that she summed up the piece because it was part of a video package on jake tapper's show and she sums it up by saying that police kill black americans at a rate of 3.5 times more than whites is that true no it's fake news because she does the same data analysis mistake that caused all the protests it's the same mistake do you think it's a really a mistake or do you think it's a it's an intentional lie well what she says is technically correct but it's used to mislead obviously and i'll tell you why so that what she's doing is saying that if you just look at the percentage of the population black citizens are killed at 3.5 times more higher rate than whites that's true it's also the wrong thing to measure because the only police are not stopping people for no

[43:58]

police are not stopping people for no reason and killing them they're only the only time that anybody gets killed is if they have a police encounter so the only thing you should count is the number of police encounters if you do that it turns out white and black deaths are comparable as a percentage so she's simply making a data analysis error that you have to ask yourself is she really so dumb that she doesn't know she's doing this i don't know do you is i forget caitlyn's last name caitlyn something that corresponded the white house correspondent for cnn caitlin collins uh caitlin collins i can't tell if she's actually not good at analyzing or or she's intentionally ignoring the useful number in favor of the one that just causes riots and is not useful i don't know um and so the question i ask for you is

[44:59]

um and so the question i ask for you is this you know we're we're big on free speech and should be but doesn't this get really close to shouting fire in a uh crowded movie theater so you know the old uh the old saying that we have freedom of speech but you still can't yell fire in a crowded theater because that kind of speech would certainly cause people to be hurt you know as they try to get out of the theater and there'd be pandemonium so if we take as a standard that you have complete freedom of speech unless unless it's going to immediately cause people to hurt themselves that's sort of that where we draw the blind no no no you can't you can't do something that people can get killed that's that's not the free speech we're talking about but here cnn is spreading a obviously fake or you know misleading data that is driving protests looting and deaths all over the country why is it legal

[46:01]

all over the country why is it legal think about it why is it why is it legal for cnn to report data that clearly drives protests and violence all over the country while we're having it it's not even a hypothetical theoretical question it's happening right now and they put this on the air as a respectable allegedly news organization it is really close to yelling fire in a crowded theater isn't it because imagine if they had said this i know it's hard to imagine but imagine if they had said this if you look at the number of police stops it's fairly comparable and we haven't asked anybody in black lives matter to respond to that but we'd like to get an interview on that
how different would the world be if cnn were reporting the data analyzed correctly pretty different yeah it seems that cnn has blood on their hands

[47:02]

has blood on their hands the trouble is that you could take this argument pretty far and it would close down the news business because it would be easy to say well what about what about hannity saying something medical that people believed to which i'd say
good point right yeah the the trouble is that if you made it actually illegal to do that what cnn is doing that is clearly killing people you'd have to extend that to the news saying anything that gets people killed and unfortunately is so common both on the left and the right that you know not not because they're necessarily doing it intentionally although i think cnn is doing this intentionally that would be my guess it's hard to know but it feels intentional because i'd hate to think they're this dumb what do you think do you think caitlyn collins actually doesn't know that she is analyzing the wrong do you

[48:03]

that she is analyzing the wrong do you think she doesn't know in the comments tell me your opinion because we can't read her mind and i'm i'm trying to catch myself from doing the thing i most criticize and other people which is no you're not a mind reader you don't know what a stranger is thinking so i'm gonna i'm gonna pull back my statement that it seems obvious it's intentional because i'm not sure it is obvious i don't know that it is obvious
i'm looking at your comments yes no no of course they know yes they know dumb uh swalwell secretly loves goya beans okay that's kind of funny she doesn't know she doesn't know others saying it's intentional clueless 50 50. she knows she knows i think they know she's not trained yeah so she may not have the type of uh analytical background necessary but i wonder if she's ever even heard the argument because i even wonder that don't you it

[49:06]

because i even wonder that don't you it makes sense that people who only watch cnn don't see the arguments on fox but do the commentators and the professionals who actually work there do they also not see the argument on the other side they somebody says she has a boss that's true yeah katelyn collins has a boss and cnn you know is coordinated enough that if anybody at cnn knew it was wrong she would hear about it right if anybody as cnn knew that number was wrong they'd tell somebody else and say hey hey i heard you say that on the air you should correct that so does nobody a cnn know that's wrong yeah that would be a bigger reach wouldn't it all right that is what i have to say for today i would like to give you a little uh a little encouragement uh ask yourself who have been your most

[50:09]

uh ask yourself who have been your most reliable public figures one of the things i told you early on was
was when the when the pandemic first started closing things down one of the things i told you is that nobody in the united states would starve right i told you that directly i said no no risk nobody's going to starve in this country nobody did now it's it's you know it's hard but everybody's eaten i told you that we would probably be able to borrow or not borrow necessarily but print money massively because we're in this unique situation where demand is so low that inflation can't happen and that's the main reason you don't want to print money sure enough we printed gazillions of dollars and nobody's nobody's you know sounding the warning about inflation because i had accurately deduced that we could just print money and print our way

[51:11]

could just print money and print our way out of it in this weird unique situation that's exactly what happened who told you uh way before we started getting serious about china that china was an enemy not a trading partner i did i told you that two years before it became obvious to basically the entire united states who told you that when the recovery started the economic recovery that it would be faster than the experts predicted i did i the president did too but i told you clearly and often when the recovery starts it's going to be
be impressive in a way you've never seen before it'll be it'll be jaw-dropping and it is right so when you were following me in the in my when i was doing my evening uh periscopes a lot of what i was doing is trying to um try to talk you off the ledge the

[52:12]

um try to talk you off the ledge the things aren't as bad as they look and i and the reason i'm pointing this out is not just to brag although bragging is good i'm never i'm never opposed to bragging if you ever see if you ever hear me say anything like that i would be lying i do think that it is functional and useful for people to especially in the public to tell you what they got right as i get things wrong i'll tell you that too i'll probably spend less time telling you what i got wrong why wouldn't i um but but but think about that now the other thing that i said um i didn't say it often but those of you are regulars will back me up i also said you better not wait for a vaccine uh yeah vaccinations you better not wait for medical science because i don't think you're going to have a vaccination you know in time to save the economy etc and then we're just going to have to live with the virus and it looks like

[53:12]

live with the virus and it looks like it looks like the situation is we're simply going to have to adapt to living with the virus until who knows you know maybe it's a year and a half from now when we've got something so yeah the stock market's at an all-time high and here's the other thing which i predicted it'll take a little bit longer for this to unwind which is the total shaking of the box of the economy and the rethinking of everything from education to the food supply to really everything uh the rethinking of all that will actually be an economic stimulus because it creates all all kinds of new businesses to wind up etc
so i think the economy is going to be a good spot i think that um there really isn't much option except to live with uh a grotesque amount of coronaviru deaths and we're just going to deal with it because we're at war we're at war with a

[54:13]

because we're at war we're at war with a virus and it's the weirdest kind of war because the civilians are all in and the and the most vulnerable among us are on the front lines in a sense because they have the most vulnerability so somebody says it's too soon to tell about inflation that is correct you always have that risk of future inflation but let me say this as clearly as possible if we get to the point where inflation is a problem we've really done well yeah now moderna has a vaccine that they think will work looks promising need a little extra testing we'll see how that goes fingers crossed
and uh the election will be the end i don't know what that means oh and you mean if a uh democrat gets elected yeah so let me update the slaughter meter the slaughter meter is at 100

[55:15]

is at 100 uh if nothing changed between now and election the slaughter meter says there's 100 chance of trump being reelected but of course lots of things will change so it's not a prediction it's just a fun little point in time that says unless something changes but it will change we the last time i mean i started doing the slaughter meter always with the the caveat that until something changes and it will before the corona virus i mean really it was so obvious that there would be big things between you know now and november but i didn't think it would be that big
why should we have to live with the deaths other countries are managing it much better let me answer it this way there's other countries that have gotten it under control it's not going to stay that way there is no scenario that anybody can think of in which the countries that get it under

[56:15]

countries that get it under control don't lose control of it pretty soon you get that right if any country got their infections down to zero they would also have to close all travel it's the only way it would stay to zero and the first thing you do when you're you know when you get it down to zero is you say hey let's open things up if there's any international travel the odds of all the countries getting the infections under control is zero there's no chance there's there's no plan there's nobody has a way to do that nothing there's nothing you can do
all right so slaughter meter at one hundred percent until something changes but you know it will and that's all i got for today and i'll talk to you later