Episode 986 Scott Adams: Was Live and Sipping
Date: 2020-05-20 | Duration: 1:07:57
Topics
My new book LOSERTHINK, available now on Amazon https://tinyurl.com/rqmjc2a Content: Howard Kurtz notes polls never move, regardless of events Frank Bruni (NYT) doesn’t care if Biden is mentally declining Did Oliver Darcy admit CNN mandates uniform host opinions? Phil Kerpen notes that it’s still mostly the elderly at risk and dying Is Stacy Abrams a Mike Bloomberg cutout to run America?
If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
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## Transcript
[0:22]
you and I get to enjoy this sacred time in the morning and what I say is sacred Oh
Oh I mean sacred yes I do because we get to enjoy the simultaneous that I almost feel sorry for the people who aren't here they do not get to enjoy the simultaneous it and it's so sad because there's so little that they need in order to enjoy it how much do they need well all they need is a cup or a mug or a glass of tankard chelators Titanic empty Joker flask a vessel of any kind
fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee enjoyed me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine here the day the thing that makes everything better including the damn pandemic it's called the simultaneous epitaph is now go this is my imagination or my zinc levels
[1:23]
is my imagination or my zinc levels rising right now feels like it so here's a little insight so we've been talking about hydroxychloroquine and the president taking it and I've mentioned a number of times that the studies they show at being used without zinc maybe they as if they're mice it matters too but if you test it without the zinc you're testing it without the active part so of course that doesn't work but I'm starting to see some indications unreliably I'll put that unreliably part in front and I'll put it on the back as well unreliably that it might be the zinc that's the only part that matters so it might be the hydroxyl chloroquine was always just a fake-out it was only the fact that it was paired with the zinc it might be just the zinc so I'm seeing some people talking about that online but again I will bookend this with unreliable unreliable everything here
[2:28]
unreliable unreliable everything here about therapeutic vaccines vitamins minerals you just assume every bit of it is unreliable because it is none of it is reliable but keep an eye on zinc I'm going to say that that has caught my attention all right this Joe Rogan moved to Spotify I'm trying to decide how big a deal this is now obviously it's a real big deal for him I'm delighted that he he made that work Joe Rogan I often talk about as one of my examples of a talent stack done right if you were to look at each of Joe Rogan's individual skills you would say to yourself oh that one's that was really good you know that was pretty great you know then that one's good that was great but you wouldn't find that one specific thing that he does better than all the people in the world well you'd find instead is about 25
[3:30]
well you'd find instead is about 25 things that he does better than just about everybody if you could do 25 things better than just about everybody you get to be Joe Rogan and you know probably have a hundred billion dollar payday so what I say he does 20 things 25 things well I'm talking about everything from and to be honest you have to manage your look if you're on a video thing he does that well he's got a great look you know that works for what he does he's got a whole bunch of skills he can talk about he's you know he's he's funny he's good on video he does stand-up he knows how to work you know in an interview obviously knows how to deal with people it was about a whole bunch of topics I mean I don't know how many skills he put together but it's probably something like 25 different sub skills that he stacked together just over time you could just see him building up the you know the power level over time but here's what here's what really impresses me about it aside from the fact that he
[4:32]
me about it aside from the fact that he strategically managed his career better than I know better than everybody you know has anybody ever done it better than that because you know if you look at other stuff like you know Facebook or you know somebody starts a social media platform quite often there's a big piece of luck involved or you know somebody was gonna make a Facebook the Facebook and you know Zuckerberg was there but if you look at Joe Rogan's career I mean he just carved that out of a rock you know that just wasn't there it wasn't gonna happen on its own you know I think social media platforms probably were gonna happen you know somebody was gonna make one and one of them would be the better ones and but the you know the Joe Rogan experience that just didn't have to happen he just carved that out of nothing so that's just more impressive to me so here's the interesting part that I'm
[5:35]
here's the interesting part that I'm tracking I have a theory that one of the biggest forces affecting the civilization is known but underappreciated and that is that our attention spans are shrinking and our attention spans are shrinking for the obvious reasons right our digital our digital devices give us a little quick hits of dopamine to the point where I actually timed and I told you this before I timed how long it takes me to turn on my regular legacy television and wait for the prompts to come on and work through them and find a show and it takes about 18 seconds which I find unbearable 18 seconds of just looking for something to do while you're sitting there is way longer than I'm willing to wait because in 18 seconds I could have 5 to 10 dopamine hits from Twitter or I could go to locals and get you know five dopamine hits and fit in 18 seconds so I
[6:37]
dopamine hits and fit in 18 seconds so I would say that normal legacy stuff is no longer competitive because our attention spans have shrunk below the the baseline that they can get my regular television on a regular TV in my just isn't that fast I don't know how they're gonna make that fast enough but I would say more generally the advertising model is going to decline quite a bit it won't disappear but the problem is that I think advertiser is going to notice it didn't make much difference but they're not getting as much benefit from advertising as they hoped except for the kind of advertisement where you're finding out about something existing which always works yes if you don't know something exists you're not going to buy it but among the generic stuff advertising doesn't seem to make much difference and so there's that but I think the attention span part is the other so I think things are going to move towards subscription services and then here's the big prediction digital warlords so
[7:44]
the big prediction digital warlords so I'm going to make up that term and see if it sticks digital warlords so a digital warlord would be now somebody who's interested in war that I'm just using it as a colorful term but rather somebody who has a community that is defined usually by a subscription so now Joe Rogan is going from an advertising model on wherever he is to Spotify and I don't know exactly how that's going to be handled I guess if you're a member or maybe if you're not you can watch it there but whatever the deal is I think he's just being paid directly by Spotify so he'll be leaving I think I think he's leaving the advertising model behind I - by going to locals have a subscription model that I'm pursuing and what happens in both cases is you end up walling off the people who care from the people who are just trolls which is a gigantic
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just trolls which is a gigantic breakthrough if you're if you're creator having any kind of environment where the people who want to be there are there and the people who are just trolls aren't there it's sort of like heaven so I would not be surprised to see more sort of digital tribes if you will Tribes of preference people say yeah I'd like to I'd like to be behind that big wall pay a few bucks a month and be part of that thing so I've got a feeling that depending on who the personalities are and what the purpose of forming these little digital warlord fiefdom you know they don't have any power they're just maybe influence it could be a big deal imagine if you would somebody putting together a subscription base that a million people in it you know if you had a million subscribers to your online whatever your content you would
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online whatever your content you would have a lot of influence over stuff because you could make anything viral all you'd have to do is say here's my tweet and your million subscribers would say I'll retweet that I like this person so kind of look for that that that's my prediction that you'll see you'll see community slash tribes behind subscription services where there's like entire power bases built up how much does that matter well let me give you two examples today in the news we find out that the president has signed an executive order to look into the regulations that got temporarily canceled for the coronavirus to see how many of them should stay canceled now one of the ones on the list is allowing telemedicine across state lines now if you've been with me since the beginning of the crisis you know that that came from this so the idea to drop that
[10:50]
from this so the idea to drop that restriction of telemedicine across state lines happened because I happen to be aware of that issue because my own startup one hub tribe we dealt with that so I just happen to be aware of it as a big deal so because of you the audience you allowed me to have higher visibility so my visibility in the world is completely dependent on how many of you there are you're the ones making the you know making this a thing you're the ones who retweet me you're the ones who basically give it all the energy because you gave it energy that allowed me to have a a channel if you will through Jonah Shumate who was helping me connect the good ideas that were coming through me I wasn't coming up with them all but a lot of people were suggesting things to me and then Jonah who had watched this periscope and he's associated with I'm
[11:52]
periscope and he's associated with I'm sorry he's working in the office of Representative Crawford and so he was helping me get the good ideas to the people who are asking for good ideas and in the middle of in the beginning of a crisis the people in charge are really looking for ideas like okay you have an idea anybody so it was a perfect time for good ideas to get to the right place and the the telemedicine idea came from this experience you know through Jonah Jonah set it up to Mark Meadows Mark Meadows had good idea it's on the list and next thing you know telemedicine is legal across state lines boom how big a deal is that might be a gigantic deal I mean that's the sort of deal that could change the entire cost structure of healthcare that's how big a deal it is and I'm not sure it would have happened without the crisis and without you know
[12:53]
without the crisis and without you know without noticing that there was this little crease of opportunity and I you know I aimed for the crease because I thought okay this is you you can see that there's this little crack you know in reality where if I can get through it this telemedicine thing you might be sticky might be able to make this change you know otherwise regulations and I don't the AMA who I don't know who else would be involved with it but obviously it wasn't going to happen on its own so somebody said New York is not allowing telemedicine you nothing's easy is it all right so here's another example
mark Snyder was pointing out recently and I noticed as well that Jack Dorsey co-founder of Twitter tweeted out an article about the Department of Energy started a new office of nuclear energy project so there
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project so there so the government is basically putting in 230 million dollars to to boost generation for the so-called new generation of nuclear development that will be resistant pretty much impossible to melt down at least melt down in the normal way that that you think about it so they'll be designed that if they fail they just stop working which is the big problem with current nuclear designs if they fail they they can release radiation and be bad for the neighborhood but the new designs would be designed that if they stopped working they just stopped working which is a good thing and they could be designed to be modular and smaller and have a whole bunch of you know cost and safety benefits that would be way beyond anything that we're looking at the current generations which are actually also pretty safe generation 3 I think is at zero problems and that's the current generation anyway here's this story
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generation anyway here's this story about this that so mark is speculating and I think this is reasonable that maybe Jack's exposure to generation four and the fact that he would retweet that article probably I don't know probably is too strong but you may have heard it from here because I know jack watches this sometimes so if you're watching Jack hi now what's interesting about this is that not only is of course anything that Jack tweets is going to make news because because it's Jack but he would be associated more with you would imagine in your own biased of thinking you and imagine that Jack would be associated the political left now I would say that's probably not let me see I hate to categorize anybody else's opinion so I want to be really careful the way I said I would say that trying to pigeonhole
[15:58]
I would say that trying to pigeonhole Jack into a category would be a mistake and that he is in the category of free thinkers who I believe would just follow the follow the data so if the data excuse left I think he'd go there if the data happens to be compatible with something on the right but the data is of the data I think he'd go there now you can't say that about a lot of people you know I would say that about Joe Rogan I'll just to throw him back in the conversation I believe Joe Rogan is neither left nor right but would look at an argument and would judge it and go where the argument takes them I don't think there are a lot of people in the world who do that try to do that or even can do that you know navall rava Conte you'd be another example I would always trust the Vall to look at the whole field look at the data and then make a decision that you know common sense and reason and wisdom and and and data taken to I would never expect any of the guys
[16:59]
to I would never expect any of the guys I just mentioned to just go left or right because that's where the team is they just don't do that you know sort of itches another one can you imagine sort of it's just taking a team side no just just not part of his makeup he's gonna follow the information have his own opinion so I would say the Jackson that category of a fairly small group of people that you could depend on to just look at the argument and then yeah Matt Taibbi there's another good example Matt Taibbi you could depend on to just look at the whole field so what's the big deal about this is that you know I've been trying to educate people watching this periscope about generation for most of that comes from March nighters work and maybe it made a difference so maybe this is another example we don't know I mean Jack reads lots of stuff so he may have he may have known about this from others and just thought it was interesting but there's a good chance that what we're doing a year to educate all of you is
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doing a year to educate all of you is having an effect right so yeah we can't it's it's a legitimate to trace any one thing back to you know one source because it's a big world with lots of variables but I like to think that we were productive at the very least productive in getting the generation four message out so thanks to Mark Snyder changing the world I like that little the old saying you know the the pessimist says well one person one person can change the world what can I do just one person I can't change the world and then the smarter person says the only way the world has ever been changed is by one person it's always that way one person always changes the world because it starts somewhere the things don't start with a thousand people they always start with one so you know if you want to be the the pessimist you can say that one person can't change the world if you want to be the optimist
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the world if you want to be the optimist that just gave you two examples where it happened maybe alright here's my favorite story of the day this is from a tweet from Trump I think this is today or yesterday Roger stone has been treated very unfairly so it's not the first part of the tweet that's funny it's wait for the end part so the first part is just is set up Roger stone has been treated very unfairly how about that jury 401 does anybody think that was fair disgraceful stay tuned for Fox News and guys and then he says and guys like low ratings psycho Joe Scarborough are allowed to walk the streets open the cold case a cold case so if you don't know what that story's about Joe Scarborough and the alleged cold case Jake Tapper tweeted the president's tweet and gave you some
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the president's tweet and gave you some context so Jake says yet again the press it uses the death of Laurie kizuite sis 28
28 I guess she died at age 28 to attack Joe Scarborough in 2001 she fainted hitting her head an autopsy revealed a heart condition there's no cold case it's a tragedy he cruelly exploit exploits indecent now I won't weigh in on the opinion if this is cruel exploitation or indecent because we're in the political season and it's hard to think of anything that isn't is there anything in this whole political race that isn't indecent to think cruel I mean Pelosi just called Trump morbidly obese yesterday which surprisingly I saw a write-up that says he that says he's actually only just a few pounds into the obese category because he's so tall he can handle it he
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because he's so tall he can handle it he can handle the weight yeah better than most people so there's only barely into the you know you should lose you know good ten or twenty pounds would be good for him I think according to his doctor but he's not morbidly obese so so weird I think we're in a world in which people will say absolutely anything so you know Don Jr used the the pedophile world word against Jose against Joe Biden and of course there's no evidence or even an allegation of that but it's you know and he didn't mean it seriously either yeah it was obvious he didn't mean it in the literal sense but we're in that world where people will say absolutely anything about anybody but and once you've learned that there's no limit on what ridiculous things you can claim why would you stock with something that's only a little bit ridiculous right so this is one of the presidents great skills I talked about finding free money
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skills I talked about finding free money and picking it up if you know you live in the world where the other side can say you know the steel dossier might have been real that's the world he lives in
in trumpet did not make the roux there was no point at which Trump said all right let's service agree on the rules do you think it's okay to make wildly ridiculous claims that are even involving illegalities and jail time terms and everything do you think that would be okay he never was in that conversation it just became the standard if you're playing a game and someone else has said here are their rules and then you play with those rules as someone else established are you indecent well you'd be indecent if you made those rules if you are the one who came up with it in the first place or the first one to act and decently you'd have something to answer to I think so I think it would be
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answer to I think so I think it would be fair to say that if you were the one who introduced the idea of going too far and making ridiculous you know legal allegations against people based on no evidence whatsoever if you're the one who started it yeah I think you'd have some explaining to do but I don't think he started it I think he simply said well what are the rules of the game I'm gonna play this game can somebody explain the rules all right all right wait you're telling me I can say absolutely anything I can just make stuff up I can make an allegation to somebody murdered and raped and you know genocide anything and the answer is yep you can say absolutely anything in a political context apparently there's just no no restrictions whatsoever not only that but if you were to artificially limit yourself and the other side did not you can't even win so
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other side did not you can't even win so it's not only not only is he playing by the rules he's playing by the only rules that can win the hard rules you know the ones where you can say anything so and so he and so he is so I just look at this as funny because when Trump accuses Joe Scarborough of this and I should say as clearly as possible I would imagine you know I wasn't there but I would imagine that Jake's framing of this is accurate meaning that it probably is true that there's nothing that would suggest a crime even happened much less than anybody in particular was associated with it so I think it's true that there's literally nothing there but the fact that the president calls it a cold case you have to know that's tongue in cheek right its tongue in cheek because a he knows people will believe it B might make a difference I mean in
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it B might make a difference I mean in terms of you know the the back and forth of how people feel about things it might change people's opinion of Joe of Joe Scarborough so the fact that he would be so ballsy to throw in the suggestion that Scarborough murdered a young woman in his office so yeah I don't know how you could take it too seriously but somebody will somebody's gonna believe that really happened all right let's say so here's an interesting story so dr. Carroll it's a man's name Carroll ka ro L Sakura he's an oncologist and former chief of the World Health Organisation's cancer program so he's looking at the data from around the world where the some of the lockdowns have ended and he is puzzled he is
[26:13]
have ended and he is puzzled he is puzzled because if you look at where the lockdowns ended and people have gone back to work the death rate is not spiking and apparent according to him he says it's a it's as though something has changed meaning there's something that's keeping the virus from raging it says so something has changed and none of us can explain why did you remember when Trump made that statement he's been continually mocked for that we might say the virus just go away and people said that doesn't happen viruses don't just go away and then there was some other famous virologist who said the same thing he said you know sometimes these things just go away and and here's the funny thing you don't know why so even the top experts say they don't know why any virus goes away they know it does no somebody's saying herd immunity but apparently the experts do not say that apparently viruses go away with you
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apparently viruses go away with you doesn't think much herd immunity so if that's not the the primary thing there's always some but apparently that's not the explanation it's part of the story but I guess we don't know why some viruses just go away if I had to speculate I well I will speculate I'm going to speculate that some people are more likely to get any particular virus and there could be the you reach herd immunity at like this is just speculation with no background whatsoever it could be that for some kinds of viruses you reach a an effective herd immunity that may be 30 percent infected now if everybody could get every virus 30 percent wouldn't stop anything but if it turns out that viruses can affect some people and sort of not affect others maybe 30 percent is enough so maybe there's some mystery like that that's just speculation don't
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like that that's just speculation don't take that seriously but I love the fact that all we after everything we've learned and studied and all the experts and everything that we could do the one thing that everybody agrees should make the death rate go up a hundred percent of experts agree they're loosening the restrictions on travel and everything you should make the death rate go up but maybe it's not what if it doesn't so this is what I've been telling you for the last day or two in two weeks if if things if everything's loosened up and in two weeks the death rate either declines a little bit or stays flat it's over we're back to work because you're not going to be able to keep anybody home if after a few weeks of loosening up there's no change in the data in terms of worsening if it's not worsening two weeks from now I think if things are
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weeks from now I think if things are gonna open up now when I say things are gonna open up I don't think large events are gonna happen right away you know but things like school for example and go to work and open your restaurant but do things smart I think all that's gonna come together pretty quickly if this holds which is we don't know why but the rates are not going up as much as possible here's my best guess about why the rates are not going up it's not much of a guess actually it was another study team of scientists non-kin kong they did some tests with I don't hamsters or something and they determined that wearing masks is 75% effective it reduces droplets by 75% doesn't it seem to you that with all the masks people are wearing and the attention they're giving to social distancing that and also learning what the worst things are we've learned now that if you're around somebody who's
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that if you're around somebody who's singing or talking loudly for a long time you're gonna get it you now have an excuse not to be around loud talkers if you've got a loud Howard and you're into your life you know that person who just talks too loudly all the time apparently they're the spreaders if you had it you could probably live with somebody it was a soft talker and didn't talk much I I'll bet you know Christina could have the coronavirus tomorrow but because she doesn't talk much and she's a soft to talker there wouldn't be much coming out of her mouth but apparently the the loud talkers and the and the the choir singing so if they're singing involved apparently there's more volume and you could be a super spreader just by being a loud talker so just knowing that knowing that if you stay out of those specific environments you know probably nobody caught the kuru Navarre at the beach this weekend duh don't you
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at the beach this weekend duh don't you think they just doesn't nobody got it at the beach I'll bat I'll bet there was something close to zero transmission of all the people who went to the beach all weekend so now that we know stuff like that and of course every fact that I give you is subject to being changed tomorrow learning new things but don't you think that between mass being 75 percent effective and that we've all learned what to do and what not to do for a while I wouldn't be surprised if we could go back to work and keep infections dropping all that we can so I've got a feeling you're going to see nonstop good news for the next few weeks
I'm watching the Susan Rice story about parently we've got new new documents or something and it turns out that Comey was selling the idea of general Flynn being maybe suspiciously tied to Russia
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being maybe suspiciously tied to Russia based on the fact that they had more communication than Comey expected that they would keeping in mind that these are people who have to work together in a few months because that's the job that Flynn has and that's the job that kids liiike has they they're they were doing the most normal thing in the world which is getting ready for them to you know getting ready for the new administration and these are the very people who would be talking now is that a good reason to suspect somebody being a spy because let me ask you this if it's your job to talk to somebody you know in another organization or country and you talk to them a lot would that be an example of doing your job well would it be an example of not doing your job or would it be an example of being a Russian asset I'm pretty sure that if you talk a
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asset I'm pretty sure that if you talk a little bit more than normal to the person who it's your job to talk to and wouldn't it be if you had more communication not less that's more of an indication of doing a good job do you remember I told you about the new CEO move when Pence and Trump were first elected but not yet sworn in there was a few months there and Trump already started to bring jobs back he wasn't even on the job it was the new CEO move where he went - I guess Ford and carrier tried to talk him into keeping jobs I don't know how successful it was but it left the left the impression that Trump and pence were jobs jobs jobs we're gonna give you jobs even before work or on the job I'm not even gonna take a paycheck and I'm I'm gonna be so fast on this job stuff I'm all over it with the jobs so if you watch Flynn doing exactly the same thing that I praised at the time as somebody
[34:23]
that I praised at the time as somebody doing the job before the job even starts yesterday on last night in periscope somebody was asking me about how to do a job interview I didn't give you this advice but it's great advice one way to get a job is to just do it without getting paid you know if you're let's say you're working at your corporate job and you're doing your regular job but the job you want is some other job a better job just start doing it do your own job and our weekends nights spare time whatever and just start doing the other job because you're that you're gonna be the obvious person to be promoted into it if you're already doing it at least a little bit so I have nothing but the utmost respect for people who start their job before they start their job if you ask me who's the superstar in the administration the one who waited for inauguration day or the one who started hard on day one on the
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one who started hard on day one on the top priority rushes kind of a top priority right you know it's at the top three probably for that kind of job and so if the guy hit the ground running worked extra hard before he was even getting a paycheck let's send him to jail for that that's what happened he was a guy who did extra work before he got his paycheck on exactly the right priority and they almost sent him to jail for it unbelievable anyway so I don't know if we'll ever have enough of a smoking gun that Obama or Susan Rice or anybody we're gonna have to you know answer to it I don't think so I think I think it will end in murkiness where it is and then everybody will just retreat to their side so howard kurtz who talks about media and fox news and elsewhere he was talking about the fact that the the the polls don't move no
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that the the the polls don't move no matter what happens in the real world that no matter what Biden does no matter what Trump does the polls come out and they're just bouncing around in the same little narrow level it's as if it's as if our preferences for voting are completely now disconnected from the candidates and he makes a good case because literally no matter what happens the poll numbers don't change and there's some stuff happening here's one example that Howard Kurtz gives in his article about something that you would expect to change the polling but it didn't and it says he talked about Trump the quote proudly announcing that he's taking hydroxychloroquine against the advice of most medical experts and that you know he said if that doesn't turn public opinion then Trump must be invulnerable now the size sentence capture what really happened would you say that a good description of events is
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say that a good description of events is that the president proudly announced that he's taking hydroxychloroquine against the advice of most medical experts number one the word it proudly is your tip-off from mind-reading did the president say it proudly did you pick up proudly did you detect that because I didn't I I detected matter-of-factness I detected him talking in terms of risk management certainly there was a political dimension but did you see proudly see that that's one of those key words that just says ah whatever follows and the rest of this sentence can be safely ignored alright because if you start out with a mind-reading word it's like alright i'm i've now connected to his mind okay yeah i could see some pride in there about the hydroxychloroquine okay let us go on oh no you don't need to go on once somebody admits there they're
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once somebody admits there they're engaged in mind-reading stop reading there's nothing that follows the word proudly that could possibly help you but here's the rest of the sentence these proudly using it against the advice of most medical experts now is that a true statement yes that is a true statement is against the advice of most medical experts it is not against the advice of the president's own doctor the president's own doctor said yeah if you if you want it risk management makes sense go ahead we're monitoring you so it's not like a regular person don't you think it was important to mention that the president's own doctor was okay with it do you think it would be important to notice how many people on the front line who are medical doctors are using it do you think it would be important to note that something like a quarter of all
[39:29]
that something like a quarter of all doctors would and that it's an off-label use so any off-label use is going to be seventy five percent of doctors think it's a bad idea you know that's an exaggeration but the point is if it's an off-label use you're not going to get everybody to agree what would be the other example of an off-label use where all the doctors are on the same page probably not a lot of them might be a few so here's my and he also talks about Joe Biden having a complicated life and oh well this is something else so there's another story on CNN I think it was talking about Tara Reid the accuser of Joe Biden and it was saying how she has a complicated life and there are conflicting accounts that muddle the efforts to understand Tara Reid's allegation against Joe Biden in other words CNN hired two women to research
[40:33]
words CNN hired two women to research and write an article the fact that they're both women is important to the story because Biden was accused by a woman and the two women go through Tara Reid's background trying to paint a picture that maybe she's not the most reliable witness so it's basically just a takedown of a witness real nice because what about that credibility by the way you know the the whole all women should be believed but we believe Joe Biden this time blah blah I feel like the way we should be talking about that is credibility which is different than main true something it can be credibly reported and then you find that it's not true but it was still Preda below found at the time and I think that with these these accusations you should say that the accuser is credible if the accuser is credible Tara Reid I think is credible and and then but then you should also be able to say that if the
[41:35]
should also be able to say that if the accused has a pretty good defense you can say that's credible too there's nothing wrong with saying that both the accuser and the accused have credible stories only one of them is true at most they could both not be true but only one of them is true at most but they could both be credible and I think you just you'll leave it there you can be credible turned out you're wrong but you could still be credible all right so here's my larger point it seems to me that Howard Kurtz and most of the world is looking at it as still a contest between two candidates but I think it's ceased being a contest between two candidates some time ago instead it became a contest between the the news media versus the other news media and so I would propose this the reason that no matter what the candidates do doesn't
[42:37]
matter what the candidates do doesn't move the polling what howard kurtz the way he described that is that people have just go onto their team and it doesn't matter what their team goes wrong they're just gonna be on their team so there's lots of evidence for that so i'd say that the howard kurtz interpretation is a credible one meaning that it does look like it's just team play in politics and and we are ignoring the flaws of our preferred candidate to emphasize the flaws of the other ones and that's all that's happening maybe maybe that's all that's happening I would like to give this a different spin the reason that things don't move because the candidate no matter what the candidates do is that the other side never hears it it doesn't matter what Joe Biden does if his team isn't aware of it right that they just don't see the same reporting as the other side so I would argue that we're not we're no
[43:37]
would argue that we're not we're no longer in a system in which you have something like democracy and something like the candidates making their best case and then the public listening to the candidates and then the public making a decision based on the candidates that's probably what it used to be but today this is absolutely nothing but a massive brainwashing operation and you've got two massive brainwashing entities competing so you've got the the left main stream media CNN MSNBC who are doing this massive brainwashing operation if they succeed it literally doesn't matter to the candidate this do I need to prove that it doesn't matter who the candidate is because the candidate is Joe Biden do I need anymore no evidence that it doesn't matter who the candidate is that's pretty conclusive isn't it do you need to there's no questions left if Joe Biden
[44:40]
there's no questions left if Joe Biden as the candidate is good enough then it's not about the candidate we are not in a world where the candidate matters think about that we drifted into a world where the actual quality of the candidate is not a variable because it's not it's not you could replace either candidate with anybody and their poll numbers would be frickin identical anybody now you've got the two most different weird candidates in the world I mean we've never seen anything like this there's nothing like Trump we've never seen anything like that but there's also nothing like Biden somebody decomposing in their own basement on the edge of death who's leading in the polls to be the next president of the United States there's no way this has to do with the candidates anymore we've completely left that world it is just the you know the persuasive power
[45:41]
just the you know the persuasive power of the right entities and the persuasive power of the left-leaning entities and that's the battle the actual candidate you can substitute them and it wouldn't matter now of course because we only talk about the candidates and their opinions and their personalities and stuff it seems the opposite but that's the magic trick to boost bolster my my speculation here's an example so Frank Bruni brunei writing for the New York Times says this and look out direct this is to my point so Frank Bruni says please tell me why I should care whether Joe Biden is declining mentally what let me read that first sentence again please tell me why I should care whether Joe Biden is declining mentally when President Trump bought him down morally long ago he goes
[46:42]
bought him down morally long ago he goes I'm serious I'd rather drink milk past its expiration date than arsenic so here's a Biden supporter who's saying directly and in public that he's supporting something somebody with declining mental ability and that he's happy about it meaning that he prefers it over the alternative because here's the alternative that Donald Trump bought him down morally long ago now suppose that was true what if that was true let's say it was true that his interpretation that Trump bottomed out morally long ago wouldn't that indicate that we would see the the impact of that morally bottoming out by now in other words would your taxes be higher because Trump allegedly bottomed out morally a long time ago remember he's saying that what happened a long time ago so if there are impacts
[47:44]
a long time ago so if there are impacts from all this morally bottoming out we'd be seeing them now did we did Trump not close the airport on time from China because he was a morally challenged no I think he got that right right did Trump not cut the regulations that were limiting us during the crisis did he did he fail to cut some regulations because he had morally bottomed out I don't remember that story I think he just cut regulations really quickly did did we not get ventilators on time because the President had morally bottomed out I don't remember that story I feel like we got ventilators and more than we needed and just go down the line you pick any topic trade deal taxes you name it the Supreme Court find me one example where the events of the world were the decisions of the president somehow would correspond to this horrible problem that
[48:46]
correspond to this horrible problem that he had morally bottomed out what exactly was that can you give me an example of that now I get it that you don't like his person and his character I get it we've heard you say that but can you give me an example of how that how that affected me you know can I have a choice of somebody who you know like I can't see into his soul so I don't know if there's anything dark in his inner soul in his mind but I like low taxes I like being tough with China you know give me an example of where where things went wrong so the fact that Frank Bruni Bruni Rudy I wish I could pronounce his name so I apologize if I'm saying wrong the fact that he would say out loud that he would pick a somebody in a declining mental state in his own words declining mentally and he says why should he care
[49:49]
mentally and he says why should he care holy cow
but he goes on so as soon as more of this Frank to Brunei stuff let's say that oh and you're saying that Trump has bottomed down morally and here's an example so so here's how you know that's a big problem the Trump bought him that morally so listen to this he's the example is that that Trump said recently that Biden quote has absolutely no idea what's happening Trump also said quote he doesn't know he's alive so Trump is questioning the mental ability of Joe Biden and that's an example of Trump's low moral standards in the same article the very first sentence the author of the article Frank Bruni question did Joe
[50:50]
the article Frank Bruni question did Joe Biden's mental ability I'm not even making this up I mean I'm reading it to you right here so the statement is that anybody who had questioned Joe Biden's mental acuity is being morally low and the author does that in his first sentence questions Joe Biden's mental acuity in the first sentence and that that's his best example of what's wrong with Trump is the thing he did it in his first sentence now if you're telling me that these people have a great awareness of their own actions I would say maybe not I'm being told in the comments that the pronunciation is bruni I hope that's right and then Frank Bruni goes on to talk about Biden and he says quote besides the precise agility of his mind has nothing nothing to do with the fundamental decency of his values at the end of the day and by the way anybody
[51:51]
end of the day and by the way anybody who says at the end of the day they should no longer be writers you should be you should have to be you should have to change professions if you ever use this this sentence in public writing at the end of the day that's your writers tip of the day the the most hacked writing in the world uses the phrase at the end of the day I mean really you couldn't find another way to express that all right at the end of the day Biden can be trusted to do what Trump didn't and won't quote meaning the stock his administration with qualified professionals now is that true is that true do you think that Trump has not stalked his administration with qualified professionals I would say he's got I would say Steve minuchin is a superstar I would say that all of the
[52:52]
superstar I would say that all of the departments seem to be doing their jobs for the most part I got some questions about the FDA I would say that I would say that Pompeyo is great I would say that I think you could name a whole bunch of people who were actually really really good couldn't you I would put Jared on the list as being a superstar I don't know I've got a feeling that you could pick apart any administration and you could find a number of political hires aren't they're always political hires it's sort of built into the process I don't know the Trump is doing any better or worse in terms of staffing that's just an opinion well what would be your yeah well Perdue okay so there yeah so I'm not gonna argue that the Trump administration had all superstars but is it really different I
[53:53]
superstars but is it really different I mean could you really do you think you could objectively look at the the people that Trump has hired and cycled through and fired and rehired do you think that you could really put any any administration up against any other and that one would look like the incompetently staffed one I feel like no I feel like they would all look like here's my guess I feel like every administration is probably 70% effective people and maybe 30% political you know I had to return a favor but that's also how you get elected if you haven't taken some political favors you probably didn't get elected so we sort of also we all just sort of wince and say yeah I hate that part but they all do it it's how they got elected it's fairly transparent you know when a when a big donor becomes a cabinet head yeah Peter Navarro I'd say he's a star make a good
[54:55]
Navarro I'd say he's a star make a good example so I don't know that this claim holds up it would be interesting if there was any I don't know if there's any way to actually prove it but it all comes down to a very subjective statement that you know some group of people are less talented than others we don't know that that's completely unknowable if you're not there you know you don't really know so and this really sums it up all right so my hypothesis is the candidates have stopped mattering and it's just a brainwash competition between the the left media and the right media and I will put a bow on that point by talking about date Oliver Darcy he's with CNN so Oliver Darcy is tweeting about the fact that the Fox News hosts had a variety of opinion on the president taking hydroxychloroquine which we know to be true so it's a true fact that the Fox News hosts have talked
[55:58]
fact that the Fox News hosts have talked about it differently I'm ambiguous Lee they've talked about it differently but they've also had experts on who also talked about it differently so Darcy writes us Fox can't get its story straight wot can't get its story straight what's that mean did I just describe a network thick quote can't get its story straight what does that mean should there be one story why can't Neil Cavuto have a different opinion than Laura Ingraham is that not allowed why couldn't Tucker have a different opinion than somebody on the five if he does don't know if he does why can't they do that and the fact that a CNN person would start with the very first sentence Fox can't get its story straight doesn't that indicate that if
[56:58]
straight doesn't that indicate that if you work at CNN wait for it yes somebody's already had of me wait for it isn't he telling us fairly directly that at CNN they have to get their story straight what does that be yeah what does it mean to get your story straight well the context he's offering is that everybody says the same thing I believe he's admitting in public that Fox has a diversity of opinions and CNN does not present a diversity of opinions apparently by choice he's saying it directly easy if you use the the phrase get your stories straight as a criticism of the competing Network how do you not interpret that as CNN works hard to get their story straight and again since the story is opinion you know whether you should or should not you know say something or do something with ID rocks chloroquine it's really opinion story given that the experts
[58:00]
opinion story given that the experts have different opinions and we know that should you get your opinions straight I think see that just admitted that they're not even in the business of news and that seems like a pretty direct admission so that's fascinating all right yeah all right let me see if there's anything else to talk about here
fill the kirpan keer p.m. and that's an interesting string of tweets and he's talking about the fact that the the elderly are still the main people dying so even today on May 20th we've known now for how many months have we known that age is the biggest risk factor
[59:00]
that age is the biggest risk factor we've known that since correct me January have we known since January that this virus really attacks the the elderly like super super hard we've known that right how long have we been talking about the strategy of super protecting the elderly and then letting the younger people take more of a risk we've been talking about that for months and yet today the elderly the very group that we've identified and everybody agrees there's no no conversation on this everyone agrees these are the most dangerous at risk group and we're not protecting them now I have to think that people are doing a lot of stuff there must be a lot of activity going on to try to protect them but we're failing can you believe that
[1:00:00]
can you believe that after three months of knowing exactly who's at risk exactly I mean you could you could list unless a guy here's 185 years old you're at risk we know who's at risk at the highest risk and we're still not protecting that what's up with that is it is there something about the nature of the virus there's just too hard maybe there's maybe you can try as hard as you can and you just can't get it done but today still still they're dying at the at the Wraith are dying do you know what the right do you know what the correct rate of death from coronavirus should be for anybody over 80 if you're over 80 what should be your death rate from coronavirus in the United States
0-0 that's what it should be if there's an 85 year old who's having any contact with somebody who could have also had contact with the coronavirus aren't we
[1:01:01]
contact with the coronavirus aren't we doing it wrong isn't there some way you can make sure that they don't have any contact with the virus there's got to be a way to do that clearly we're not getting it done all right so that's the that's the bad news but we don't like to end on bad news do we we do not so recapping the good news here it is you want to you're really good news I'm gonna give you some real direct reliable good news yesterday I talked to the the most successful real estate broker in my area so it's a friend in the neighborhood is probably the top real estate producer in my area and as of last night I asked what's the real estate market because I thought to myself Oh real estate is gonna get killed right don't you assume don't you assume real estate is going to get
[1:02:03]
assume real estate is going to get killed goodbye troll so I asked her what's happening with real estate sales and guess what strong as ever this week homes are being sold for higher than asking price this week so I've been Northern California just for reference now in Northern California you know where I am in the East Bay outside of San Francisco where we're sort of a Silicon Valley adjacent so it's it's a lot of people who didn't lose their jobs because a lot of you know technology jobs they just worked at home so you know I'm in an unusual area and that we were unusually lightly affected but could you imagine that people are paying over the asking price for homes this week this is not mind-blowing doesn't that tell you that the the economy is going to come back faster of course it is yeah interest
[1:03:06]
faster of course it is yeah interest rates are low so that makes a big difference to somebody says our Beach condo is on fire in Florida meaning lots of demand yeah so here's what I expect look at the stock market did you think the stock market should be I don't know what it's doing at the moment let me let me just take a peek at it so I know if I'm stock market's up so so it's it's up sharply did you see that comment did you see the stock market up sharply and home prices selling above their asking prices there's something happening here that's a big deal now I gotta say I think there's something about the Trump administration that even people who don't like Trump still think he can goose the economy I feel like even his haters in there in their secret moments
[1:04:07]
haters in there in their secret moments would say to themselves I hate everything about this president but if I'm being honest privately if I had to pick one person in the history of civilization to be the president during this exact situation meaning that somebody needs to get the economy going honestly I can't think of a better choice you know and and you know I'm not just cheerleading for the president because I've also wasn't vicious in my criticisms of the early crisis task forces the reporting on them and a lot of stuff about that so I've been vicious about his communication his empathy etc early on so I'm not just you know giving him a free pass here but honestly he is exactly the right person for this next phase exactly and I say this all the time and I believe I'm the only person in civilization who holds this opinion
[1:05:08]
in civilization who holds this opinion there's no such thing as a good president that's my opinion there's no such thing as a good president there is only a lucky coincidence between the the problems and the situations of the time and the right personality you know with the right skill set you can have exactly the right president for exactly the right problem and we have that right now we did not have exactly the right president for exactly the right problem when it was empathy and you're sort of caring for the psychology of the country and saying things that made you feel safe about you know the medical situation and talking about them and the most clinical ways as opposed to getting people all worked up about some drug that hasn't passed enough tests so Trump was not the right fit for that well man is he the right fit for this next part don't you see it
[1:06:10]
fit for this next part don't you see it this is this just me being crazy because I feel like you couldn't pick a better person for this by the way I just saw Bloomberg's name go by in the comments I only recently learned that Stacey Abrams is working for some organization that's funded by Bloomberg so is Stacey Abrams Mike Bloomberg's play to run the country because proves you know a lot of politicians have at least one billionaire that's sort of their friend if you know what I mean so his Stacey Abrams just a Mike Bloomberg cutout and he is actually still running for president but he's going to do it by trying to get Stacey Abrams as the vice president and then Biden would be you know sort of less important that's what it looks like right it looks like a Mike Bloomberg play to run the country that's my take on it anyway I think the economy is going to do great in 2021 and Beyond and
[1:07:11]
going to do great in 2021 and Beyond and the golden age is coming we're gonna have our generation for nuclear energy you've got a OC saying that the green new deal doesn't even have a price tag rather it's a set of shared values do you know what value I share with a OC same ones you do turns out yeah I would like cheap clean energy with no risk of the planet overheating I don't know how big the risk is but I'd like that to be zero and I'd like to do it with generation four nuclear and smarter technology so maybe we're not so far apart at all and maybe the Golden Age starts now I'll talk to you tonight