Episode 955 Scott Adams: Extra Cussing Tonight. Put the Kids to Bed. Close Your Windows

Date: 2020-05-05 | Duration: 49:45

Topics

My new book LOSERTHINK, available now on Amazon https://tinyurl.com/rqmjc2a Content: Hydroxychloroquine as a game-changer Winning a Pulitzer A logical back to work metric Yearly flu death numbers aren’t real Remdesivir does NOT change survival rate The FBI’s reputation

If you would like my channel to have a wider audience and higher production quality, please donate via my startup (Whenhub.com) at this link: https://interface.my/ScottAdamsSays

> [!note] Rough Transcript
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## Transcript

[0:05]

boom look a little bright in here hold on a second just the right amount of darkness and makeup too much it's without putting any on can you tell me why periscope and zoom and Skype don't have snapchat filters so that I could look like I have TV makeup on all the time is there a reason you can't build a snapchat filter into these zoom and conference calls why not why not I say well you've all been warned you saw my tweet some of you warning that there might be extra cussing you saw the title

[1:09]

might be extra cussing you saw the title of my periscope which says extra cussing I am now warning you directly that there will be extra cuffing cussing cussing not cuffing cussing I recommend that you put the kids to sleep close your windows and get under a heavy blanket because the cursing could come out at any time at any time there will be no warning I asked this question today and it bugs me that I didn't know the answer does anyone know since we know that a lot of front-line health care workers are taking hydroxychloroquine do we know if any of them have been hospitalized and the answer is nope nope wouldn't you like to know of all the many medical professionals who are around the coronavirus all the time

[2:10]

coronavirus all the time have any of them been hospitalized if they were also taking hydroxychloroquine don't you think that's pretty pretty important we don't know I did talk to a doctor just moments ago on Twitter who said that who said that he has heard of people who were on hydroxychloroquine and did contract the virus so anecdotally anecdotally it looks like you can get the virus so it's not a preventive I don't think we necessarily thought it was likely to prevent it some people were hopeful but that didn't seem likely to me the more likely is that it would help you deal with it once you've got it and that we don't know amazingly however I was conversing with dr. Jeremy II Samuel Faust and he was

[3:12]

dr. Jeremy II Samuel Faust and he was filling me in on some stuff and after listening to his description because he's he's following things pretty closely he does not have much confidence that hydroxychloroquine is going to be a game changer now he asked me to define game changer because I said are you saying it won't be a game changer so he said well define game changer and I said well something that would allow us to go fully back to work and still not have our hospitals crashed so I said let's just make it that the hospitals stay intact and we still go back to work that would be a game changer if the meds allowed us to do that and his opinion were not anywhere near that in fact if hydroxychloroquine works at all it's sort of going to be in the statistics and he made a good point which I will make to you if the people

[4:14]

which I will make to you if the people because you know there are lots of hydroxychloroquine tests going on right so there all kinds of tests all over the place and as the doctor pointed out to me
me if any of those tests had shown it obviously works meaning that you don't need to do the statistics it's just obvious everybody who takes it gets better or something like that we would already know now that's why I had lowered my my estimate of the likely hood that hydroxychloroquine is going to be a big deal I lowered it to 40% chance that's my current current ass no 40% chance it makes makes a significant difference and the doctor was saying you know if you could notice the difference like the doctors could just tell without any statistics we would already know because first of all they tell us and secondly for humanitarian humane reasons they would have stopped the test because

[5:16]

they would have stopped the test because if you get such good results with a drug that has been used for so long you have a pretty good idea what the the safety profile is if it worked that well they would have stopped the trials already and they would say oh it's just obvious we're not going to finish this we'd better just start giving it to everybody that's not happening so I'll stick with my 40 percent chance that hydroxychloroquine is a big deal so the New York Times 16:19 project got a Pulitzer Prize so the 16:19 project was basically rewriting the history of the United States sort of to make us look like bad slavers I guess was the main thing and I guess historians ripped them apart for having bad history in there so they weren't very accurate about history and it was a total political nonsense and they got a Pulitzer Prize they got a

[6:18]

and they got a Pulitzer Prize they got a Pulitzer Prize now are you impressed because they got a Pulitzer Prize let me tell you what the Pulitzer Prizes do you want do you want to you want to get read pilled on the Pulitzer Prize
in approximately three minutes you're gonna think the bullet surprise is so stupid you wouldn't even want to win one even if you didn't have to do anything to get it the pulitzer prize is the little group of people who volunteered and had to be selected of course they volunteered what were also selected to be on a little committee where they would read 0.0001 percent of the work that was created that year just the stuff that was submitted most people don't even submit so they'd see this tiny tiny little sliver of work that was produced and then the I don't know six or eight of them it's a small group they

[7:18]

or eight of them it's a small group they would vote and they'd say we like this one best and then they talk about it and they decide that that one gets the Pulitzer Prize now they're different little groups for each flavor of Pulitzer Prize for each category so each category has little judges how prestigious is it to win award that's six to eight people sitting around in a living room saying you know I like this one the best of these few choices it's meaningless it is absolutely completely without value it's just some people sitting in the living room saying well there were a million things created I read seven of them of the seven things I read of the million things that were created I like this one best of the seven four out of seven of us agree Pulitzer Prize is the most ridiculous

[8:21]

Pulitzer Prize is the most ridiculous prize so he says is a Pulitzer for cartooning there there have been Pulitzers awarded to cartoonists I think birth breath had got one I think Gary Trudeau got one if I'm not mistaken so at least two strip cartoonists and of course there have been other cartoonists who do political cartoons who have gotten them so there are Pulitzer for cartoonist and for a long time I wanted one I stopped wanting one when I met the husband of one of the judges so the husband of one of the judges was in my living room one day he was also a reporter and he was writing a story about me and we were chatting and he talked about his wife who was on the Pulitzer committee and he just described it like I described it to you and that was the last time I cared about winning a Pulitzer Prize because I said seriously it's just six people sitting

[9:23]

seriously it's just six people sitting around who haven't seen even 1% of the stuff that's been produced that year and they decide that's it useless all right
so speaking of dr. Jeremy Samuel Foust he he suggests along with his co-writer in The Washington Post they wrote a piece with Carlos Del Rio in which they say that maybe the best metric to track for going back to work is net deaths so instead of looking at just coronavirus deaths just look at the net compared to the historical baseline and say are you keeping it you know close to the historical number because there are lots of variables in net deaths to which I thought to myself that's not bad that is not bad I don't see anything wrong with that approach to you I mean I would have

[10:24]

that approach to you I mean I would have said hospitalizations but you could attract deaths but then you have a trouble of knowing if you're counting them right so counting the total net deaths and comparing it to the prior year baselines not too bad not too bad are you wondering where the swearing is going to come in oh it's coming it's coming and here it comes so here's a new thing I learned from a doctor so there's a doctor who worked in an emergency room for 70 years this is a different doctor so I'm not not talking about doctor Faust a different article in I guess it was in Scientific American and this doctor had been an emergency room doctor for four years and you know attending physician for three so he had

[11:24]

attending physician for three so he had seven years of doctoring and he treated coronavirus patients and he saw them die and he asked this question why have I been a doctor for seven years especially in an emergency room and I've never seen anybody die of the regular flu have you ever heard anybody say that before have you ever heard anybody say huh I know people have died of coronavirus why don't I know anybody who's ever died to the regular flu there were 80,000 of them last year there's something wrong right doesn't quite make sense now when I said it I said well the obvious reason is because I'm not a doctor right probably doctors see it all the time didn't you assume so the doctor says he'd never seen one not one so he called around to his other doctor friends and he said have you ever seen anybody die

[12:27]

he said have you ever seen anybody die from the regular flu what do you think they said well there was this one case of a pediatric situation that we heard about and then a few of them may had seen one or two over their lifetime over their entire career anyway they'd seen one or two but the other doctors had never seen one not one now how could it be that there are about the same number less item in a very rough terms of over dosis every year but we all know people who died from overdoses how many of you know somebody who died from an overdose doesn't have to be last year just in general all of you every one of you right you all know somebody who died of an overdose and that's about the same number as died of the flu allegedly but why do we all hear about Odie's we all

[13:28]

why do we all hear about Odie's we all know people who died in drunk driving accidents most of us know people who have been shot do you know anybody who has been shot you know in some kind of a crime or or murder anything I do I do I've had guns pointed at me several times myself so there's something that's not adding up right so you may have heard President Trump asked exactly the same question at his Town Hall he said why is it that I know three people who got coronavirus and his friend died and he said I've lived my entire life and I've never heard of one person who died at the regular flu but this coronavirus hits and all of a sudden my friend dies and two other people I know have it I don't know if the others died and I think they maybe just had it so he noticed it too so this doctor who noticed it who was finally somebody who knows what they're talking about as

[14:28]

knows what they're talking about as opposed to you know us he decides to look into how did they calculate that number for the regular flu do they count it do they look at the records and see what is you know what the death certificate says and if it says died of the flu chick that's one and then they add them up do you think that's what they do no no they don't do that it turns out that they use a algorithm they do an estimate they don't count them and their estimate could be wildly off which they acknowledge do you know how many you would get if you counted them the way they count coronavirus where you actually got a name and a and a medical record and it's this guy do you know how many you'd get maybe four thousand high end fifteen thousand but even have fifteen thousand a year I feel like I would have heard a

[15:30]

a year I feel like I would have heard a one somebody I know I mean fifteen thousand still a lot that is closer to four so do you know that the entire premise of this whole shutdown is that we didn't want to have a situation there was much worse than the regular flu which we believe to be in their neighborhood of I know fifty to eighty thousand a year or something turns out that's just the most basic thing our experts wanted us to understand was a lie it was as much of a lie as masks don't work it was as much of a lie as this does not pass from human to human thank you you China so almost everything that we've been told about this thing has been wrong all of the important has been wrong and

[16:32]

of the important has been wrong and let me tell you as confidently as I can don't wait for testing don't wait for testing to save you there's not going to be any testing not sufficient because we know what the number is that would be sufficient we're nowhere close we don't have a plan to get there there's no plan there's not even the path there's no ways that testing is going to save us nobody has a handle of it nobody knows what we're doing nobody thinks we're going to have enough it's not a solution how about the vaccine maybe we'll have one by the end of the year do you know how many times we've successfully made a vaccine for a coronavirus type of situation well what would you guess how many times in history if we successfully made a vaccine for something of this type how about zero zero in the whole universe the history of mankind we've never made a vaccine that

[17:33]

we've never made a vaccine that works on this sort of thing do you think we're gonna make one now because we're trying harder maybe maybe but if we do we're gonna accidentally cure the whole common cold because that's a corona virus - now I'm not saying we won't do it because there's a lot of genius and energy being concentrated on it maybe we do but would you count on it I'm the liars who were telling us see how the vaccines coming be they medical be they politicians every one of them they're not making us a vaccine it's not even a thing stop lying to us stop lying to us you have lost all moral authority you've lost it moral authority moral authority comes not only from you know the organization of things where you have a leader and people say well the leader we elected him that's he's got moral authority but you must also

[18:34]

moral authority but you must also perform you must show that you are capable to maintain your moral authority just as you were elected that doesn't give you moral authority if you can't perform and they're all lying to us every goddamn that tells you they're an expert - politician that are all lying to you about all the important stuff it's all a lie
lie every bit of it so do you have a right to defy your government when they have lost their moral authority yeah you do you do you can do anything you want to do morally now legally you can't there would be consequences and I'm not going to suggest that you go get yourself in trouble but from a moral standpoint they're lying to us and they're not performing did you know that we don't even know why viruses ever peter out did you know that

[19:36]

viruses ever peter out did you know that we don't even know why what about this REM does appear it's great stuff right I just heard that study says REM does appear that'll that'll cut down on that virus baby you got some virus in you they've tested that REM does severe will reduce that virus in you and therefore obviously it helps you survive right no no REM des aveer does not have any indication that it changes the survival rate forget it if it doesn't change the survival rate it's not a drug it's just some some company that's trying to make money do you really need to pay a thousand dollars to get better three days earlier when you were going to get read it better anyway if it doesn't stop you from dying it's not a drug it's not a therapeutic it's of nothing it's a it's a scam it's just I don't know what is it a vaccine some pharmaceutical company has figured out

[20:37]

pharmaceutical company has figured out how to gauge the the public again they're lying about REM does appear all right probably there's lies all over the place on hydroxychloroquine probably in both directions totally unreliable information we have on that we don't know what causes the virus to stop we'll never have a vaccine stop lying to us we don't have any therapeutics that are working we have one option to suck it up do the best we can and try to save the economy now that's obvious everybody knows that and I don't know that you necessarily have to push your government to do something quicker because we're only talking now you know what three and a half weeks to the end of May for most of the states by then we'll have a lot of information about the other states so we might be able to feel our way through this you know with some starts and stops I'm not sure that

[21:39]

some starts and stops I'm not sure that you necessarily have to protest your government I'm not saying that but I am saying that the government has as sacrificed its moral authority it just doesn't have it you still might need to pay attention to them maybe they'll correct maybe they'll get it right eventually but they have no moral authority so as I said on Twitter today if a store opened in my town and the guidelines say I can't use that store but if they do I'm gonna go to that store I'm gonna buy something at that store if I don't even need anything from that store alright if somebody wants to take a chance and I don't recommend this by the way I think it would be foolhardy to open a small business because you could get your ass kicked by you know leave the legal system but if you do I'm on your side alright I'll wear my mask you know I'll do pickup I'll do whatever you need wash my hands I'll do all that but if you

[22:41]

my hands I'll do all that but if you open up illegally I'm your customer ok and I don't see any other path to the other side of this so who's lying as far as I can tell I don't know if it's lying or just people don't know it's hard to say alright on another topic on another topic the fakest of fake news and there's a lot of fake news but I'm going to say the fakest of all the fake news and I tweeted this earlier is that every idiot pretending to not understand why Trump acts respectful to dictators when he knows he needs to negotiate with them for something important for this country can you stop pretending you don't know why the president acts super friendly to dictators that he has to

[23:42]

friendly to dictators that he has to negotiate with do I have to explain why that makes sense can you stop acting like you don't understand it what's the further doing why is he sucking up to a dictator before he does important trade talks I don't understand what why does he be nice the biggest country in the world with a nuclear arsenal I don't understand I'm too dumb stop it just stop being so dumb that you act like you don't know why Trump is being nice to the dictators yes to negotiate with God are you kidding me
in other news in other news I think I need to calm down a little bit I think I need to calm down yeah we don't know exactly what's a lie and what's just not knowing but Scott are you really

[24:44]

knowing but Scott are you really surprised no I'm Way beyond I think I've way beyond being surprised all right I'm just looking at your comments right now because I'm sort of all I needed to say
fakers gonna fake okay so I didn't have much else to say so unless you have some questions I'll probably want to wind this down below I'm just watching your comments right now to see if anybody has some anything that they'd like to ask it's funny that part of you like angry Scott Adams you may have noticed me talking about myself in the third person which I've explained before if you haven't heard that if you've ever wondered why famous people sometimes refer to themselves in the third person there's a reason for that and it's not

[25:46]

there's a reason for that and it's not obvious at all until you become a famous person and the reason is that you you are an observer of your famous side just like everybody else so when I talk about myself and the third person I'm taking an observer review because that's actually how I see it too you know the real me my inner thoughts and stuff I'm the only one who knows that that's sort of the real me the public is the the part that's you know designed for external exposure and it doesn't feel like me because it lacks you know critical parts that I keep from the public so I talked about that version of me as a third third party like it's a lexan artificial construct too that's why people do that please redo that as a shareable snippet which part the swearing I don't know which part you mean somebody asked me

[26:48]

which part you mean somebody asked me and hey Ali thanks for the super art somebody asked me to give tips on calming down when you're angry and they said they've seen me do it on periscope and it seems to it seems to be a like a breathing thing so let me explain what I do do what I do do in the old days the old me and I've I've reformed but for most of my life if I got really mad I had one way to calm down which was that I would break something that had some monetary value just destroyed it could be a printer that was you know I needed to replace anyway I tried not to break things that I really cared about I don't think I ever have but there's always that item in your in your environment that the stapler that misfires every third staple that sort of thing you you don't replace it but ah every third staple it misfires I hate

[27:49]

every third staple it misfires I hate this stapler but then I'll get mad and I'll see that stapler and I'll say goodbye stapler your days you had a good run you annoyed me for years but you happen to be in the general vicinity when I got mad so I might take that stapler take it out to my garage where I've got a nice concrete floor and destroy it on the floor probably finish it off with a sledgehammer and what I'm done I feel great hey almost instantly I feel great but it turns out that other people didn't understand my medical process people would see me destroying items people in relationships let's say and they would be horrified and they would think my god am I gonna get hurt is something I care about gonna be broken has he lost it is he insane and the funny thing is that on the inside

[28:50]

funny thing is that on the inside it was completely controlled because I would be aware that I was seething with anger I would look at this stapler I would judge that it was inexpensive relatively speaking that I would like to replace it anyway because it messes up every third staple and I know from experience that if I just go hog-wild and destroy this thing I'm gonna instantly feel better so that's what's happening in my head it's all it's all positive in a weird way there's nothing negative in my head when it's happening but if you're observing it it's pretty scary I've been told reliably it's pretty scary so I don't I tried to stop that habit as effective as it was and so I needed to replace it with some other mechanism to to take me off the ledge and I do find their breathing works well it's the Mel Gibson trick so Mel Gibson the actor and I've said this before in periscope he teaches that if you want to get into an

[29:51]

teaches that if you want to get into an acting frame of mind that you breathe the way a person would in that situation and that that brings the rest of your body along because the way you breathe is such a I know such a basic central connected to everything process in your body that if you can just adjust that one thing the rest of your body and brain will follow so that works in acting but it also works when you're angry so so you've seen me doing it in real time and it works in real time this there's no there's no pretending there when you see me like my head is about ready to explode and then I I just relax and take a few deep breaths it does make it go away almost instantly so I would say the the the simply relaxing your body just just let all your muscles go loose and then take a deep breath from the you know the bottom of your diaphragm and just sort of you

[30:53]

of your diaphragm and just sort of you know feel your body relaxing and let the breath out it's almost instant I would say almost an instant and going from you know 10 to a 2 you know with just a breath or two now I find that it works for me every time there's not one time that hasn't worked perfectly so try it give it a try
financial incentives for hospitals to code deaths as coronavirus yes I was talking earlier about dr. Jeremy Samuel Faust and his idea that the metric that should matter is the total deaths compared to prior years so that solves the problem of things being miscoded which is a you know a well understood problem or at least the possibility this miscoded i don't know if anything's actually been miscoded but you take that take that problem away by looking at the the net so I think

[31:55]

by looking at the the net so I think that's a pretty productive idea if it's not a perfect idea it's a sort of idea that feels like it moved you in the right direction any comment on what the FBI reportedly did to general Flynn yes yes I do have a comment on that the FBI is a bunch of and I don't know how rotten it is but it's seriously wrong and you can tell me that the rank and file they're good people and it's only the leadership that's bad maybe that could be but do you know any organizations where the leadership is all bad and it doesn't seep into the the you know the workers I mean maybe I would have to say that the FBI almost everybody at the top needs to be fired or jailed so why

[32:57]

needs to be fired or jailed so why should have been our most trusted institution maybe not counting the Supreme Court the FBI should be should be number two of our most trusted institutions and will never trust Congress of the president it doesn't work that way but we should be able to trust the FBI I don't if the FBI came to your house right now what would you think let's let's say you're in a sense of it everything and the FBI says we'd like to talk to you what would be your first thought would your first thought be oh no problem I didn't break any crimes and commit any crimes so why wouldn't I talk to the FBI they're on my side right why wouldn't I they're good guys they have questions I'll answer them help the country what would you do today though if the FBI said we'd like to talk to you well the first thing I do is say no right and

[33:58]

first thing I do is say no right and then the FBI would say but you know you can help us solve this crime it's not even about you and do you know what I'd say not a chance you are not gonna talk to me if I can help it like if if I'm legally forced to talk to them I suppose so but if they asked me for a favor not a chance because I don't trust them they've given up all their moral authority wouldn't trust them even if even if I thought I understood the favor and I understood the favor to be in the good of the country I wouldn't trust it I wouldn't trust that they told me straight I wouldn't trust that it wasn't a setup I wouldn't trust that they're baiting me somehow when trusted at all so the FBI has lost all trust from the citizens they better try pretty hard to get it back it wasn't my fault I'm not I'm not the one that you know performed incredibly unethical

[35:00]

you know performed incredibly unethical immoral probably illegal activities on a regular basis for years which is apparently what the FBI was doing on a number of different fronts that wasn't me I don't take any responsibility for that so if the FBI doesn't have my trust well em em maybe they shouldn't have been scumbags and and and maybe try that for a change maybe maybe people would want to cooperate with you some more so the FBI I think is a completely discredited organization at this point which I feel is just a huge national tragedy it is a national tragedy that they were so poorly managed and as for James Comey yeah there was a time I actually defended him when he when he first announced the you know the email stuff about Hillary I said to myself no he's you know he's definitely going beyond

[36:00]

you know he's definitely going beyond his job description so there's no question about he was acting out of turn but my first take was now I think he's trying to be a solid citizen and he just needs the public to know why he knows before they vote and then they can do what they want to do with it but he just wanted to make sure we knew what he knew which I think was fair but as time goes by and we see the fullness of things that Comey has done he's such a horrible human being that I can no longer hold on to my my optimistic take that whatever he did with those emails and Hillary was somehow for the benefit of the country because he's certainly proven that he does not act in the benefit of the country I mean that that we don't have to wonder anymore so why would I assume that he did it in this other situation well I so I retract if you're keeping track I know some of you mocked me

[37:01]

track I know some of you mocked me sometimes for for never admitting them wrong well I don't know if I was wrong about the Hillary Clinton situation because I do think I preferred that he told us what he knew so as a citizen I definitely prefer the way he handled it but I no longer believe that his intentions were one I assumed which was positive I now assumed that he's just diseased and broken individual and that there's nothing in there but you know twigs and snails and snot and Satan and whatever else is in his head I don't know so yeah I could not have a lower opinion of the FBI right now and it's I hate that because I've always had a high opinion of the FBI law enforcement in general I've always had a high opinion you know mistakes and bad actors notwithstanding I never I never felt it was the whole organization I've never felt that but now I do at this point you

[38:04]

felt that but now I do at this point you cannot you can no longer say wow there's this good ones and there's the bad ones the bad ones have so ruined the organization that it doesn't matter if they're good ones anymore you can't trust them but what's the difference there are good ones working there but you can't trust them either because the other ones were so bad they lost all your trust I'm sorry I didn't break the good ones it wasn't my fault that the good people working at the FBI get this bad reputation that's not my fault that happened from Comey and his band of liars and crooks and trees and smashers
your life if somebody says their Wi-Fi router is named FBI van down the street
Lindy's more than a pardon I think Flynn is going to get more than a pardoned don't you don't you think that Flynn

[39:05]

don't you don't you think that Flynn could sue isn't there a wrongful something lawsuit doesn't he have the the cleanest best lawsuit you could ever have because remember if he tried to prove something in a criminal trial you've got this you know beyond a reasonable doubt standard so could he prove could he prove that the you know that something was beyond a reasonable doubt I don't know maybe not but in a civil case proving that the FBI was out to get him turns out to be correct me if I'm wrong but in a civil case it's just you vote for the one you think is most likely as opposed to beyond a reasonable doubt so maybe there's no criminal penalties in the future for these FBI guys but how could flim not be able to sue all of them individually I would think he could win that wouldn't you do I

[40:05]

he could win that wouldn't you do I think Durham will indict I don't have any visibility on that we're insight or knowledge about you know the law or any event but would that stop me from predicting Oh have you met me of course I'm gonna make a prediction based on no knowledge whatsoever I wouldn't be me and this would not be the internet if I would not be willing to make a prediction based on no knowledge whatsoever and it goes like this Durham will indict maybe not everybody probably not everybody at least everybody meaning then the names that you could name right now you know the main players probably not all but I would guess that he's dug in deeply enough that almost certainly there's going to be something so somebody's getting indicted I would say that that's close to a hundred percent then at least one person will get one indictment I

[41:06]

one person will get one indictment I don't know how how deep it will go but yeah there'll be some indictments I think well let's call that my my prediction I think I should call it a guess because when I predict things I like to have my predictions based on a you know a common variable that everybody can see so when I predict that the Trump would win I said it's because he's got the skill set they should win in the long run but when I'm looking at Durham I'm not basing it on anything I'm just like no you know he's a professional prosecutor there's so much material to work with one of the odds that a professional prosecutor type can't find something to prosecute and all of this business I would think that they could find something and that he would want to because that's that's his reputation it keeps him credible it gets him the next job
job I think he's gotta he's probably got a

[42:08]

I think he's gotta he's probably got a indict somebody alright somebody says why have other countries been able to like Japan and Czech Republic have been able to suppress a new infections I was going to talk about that and I'm glad you reminded me and it goes like this we don't know why any country is doing better than any other country like except for the the most basic thing like we know that Italy had some air travel you know from Wuhan and that almost certainly was Rai we know some have older populations but none of these correlations work for all the countries so every time you think you've got one it's like ah Italy has old people done old people are the problem and then you go you know find another country and they don't have old people make it a big problem so so we have all these experts they can't tell

[43:10]

have all these experts they can't tell us the most basic thing which is look at all these countries look at the the wildly varying results and tell us why why they can't do it if they can't tell you why one country is doing better than another they have theories but they're untested they don't seem to work you know if you apply it to another country it doesn't work so nobody knows I'm gonna take my here's my guess I think there are probably three or four main variables and one of them is you know just age and whether the old people are in in one place so you know a lot of it is just are they are they in the wrong place where they're around too many people in cetera so that's the obvious one well all bad elevators are a big part of it or things that are very enclosed to spaces so it makes me think that maybe air conditioning is part of it could it be that air conditioning is what's

[44:10]

that air conditioning is what's circulating this thing because it lives in the air so I worry about any kind of air circulation that's not externally vented and brought in in other words if you're circulating the same air like that in an elevator you know while it's closed there's not much air getting in and out it's just sort of circulating in there on a cruise ship circulating within the cruise ship in the nursing home circulating within a nursing home so I don't know maybe we'll find out that elevators and closed spaces with other people that's it I mean that might be the whole story wouldn't be surprised yeah and when you look at places that didn't shut down some of them have higher death rates but not so much higher it's very unexplained and I think that genetics is going to be a big aha when do we do that not many

[45:12]

a big aha when do we do that not many cases in Africa which could be because of the more outdoor living what is what is unique about Africa one of the things that's unique is that for a hot place Africa probably has less air conditioning per person than any place else when you say for a place that's also hot so I don't door living not as much air conditioning lots of Sun very young Africa is a young young country could be that people are dying and they don't know it not good reporting I know could be lots of things and then yeah and then people say that Africa has Africa's the least amount of foreign travel could it be just that yeah airplanes airplanes subways elevators it's probably just all that stuff yeah and somebody mentions in the comment super spreaders I have this feeling that 80% of the spreading is

[46:14]

feeling that 80% of the spreading is coming from 20% of the people or worse could be 99% is coming from 1% the fact that super spreaders exist yeah tells you that there's a range right there's the barely spreading to super spreader you would think that the ones that are away on the edge of the super spread spectrum they could take out a whole you know train car they could take out the whole coach section of an airplane they could take out a nursing home it would be interesting to find out that the super spreaders of the people who talk too much cuz don't you sorta think that might be the case you do too don't you don't you think what would make somebody a super spreader and somebody not is it just the amount of virus they have in their body well maybe I mean it might be just the viral load but if it's coming out of the mouth doesn't stand to reason

[47:15]

out of the mouth doesn't stand to reason that the person who projects the most out of their mouth is the most super sweaty so might we find out that the only risk is from big mouths who can't stop talking and I I'm completely serious we could find out in a week it's embarrassing but it turns out the people who are doing 95% of the spreading is that you know loud Howard person who comes into your cubicle and can't shut up but everybody who just talks the normal amount they're not spreading at all it turns out that normal talking doesn't have much danger but that guys how was your weekend how was your weekend my weekend was good oh jars do you like ice cream I mowed my lawn I like your shirt you know everybody knows that person would you be surprised if one of these days you found out that the super spreaders are just the loud talkers who can't shut up you know the

[48:17]

talkers who can't shut up you know the person at the restaurant that you can hear Forte / and it's all you can hear and you can't even eat you're like oh well that guys shut up and guess what it's always a guy so he's a guy that guy who can't shut up in the restaurant so he's a guy
somebody says Chris Cuomo talks a lot well I I'm talking about somebody who's guessing not some you know I don't know if I don't know if you can get it from talking too much somebody says the alcohol makes anyone a super spreader could be is there a correlation with how much you drink Italy big drinkers but Israel doing a little bit better maybe fewer drinkers in Israel said is that I don't know if that's true but feels like it could be true so what about alcohol yeah maybe maybe it's all just down to alcohol could be all right I think I've said enough I've said enough I really

[49:20]

said enough I've said enough I really have I will see you in the morning you know where you know when you know what to bring with you I expect you to be there be punctual we will have the best simultaneous sip the whole week so far and I will see you in the morning