Episode 929 Scott Adams: The Green New Deal is Dead. Joe Biden Still Hiding. Carl Stories.

Date: 2020-04-22 | Duration: 1:06:57

Topics

My new book LOSERTHINK, available now on Amazon https://tinyurl.com/rqmjc2a Content: Andrew Cuomo’s daughter asks him a funny/humanizing question Leading model death estimate is only up to August? Iranian gunboats harassing American Navy Joe Biden Insult Bot @BidenInsultBot Green New Deal decimated by…Michael Moore backed film WaPo Philip Rucker promotes massively debunked fake news

If you would like my channel to have a wider audience and higher production quality, please donate via my startup (Whenhub.com) at this link: https://interface.my/ScottAdamsSays

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## Transcript

[0:15]

hey everybody come on in it's time for coffee with Scott Adams and the simultaneous it best part of your day no doubt about it we got lots of fun stories today sometimes the stories are sad sometimes they're fun today is more fun than sad let's go with that you can watch sad stuff on the other on the other channels you know you got plenty of sad stuff but come here for the optimism glass is half-full speaking of a glass if you'd like to enjoy the set will take me a sip all you need is a cup or a Margaret glass a tanker chelators time to get to your flask if that's all the penny kite even fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine the other day the thing that makes everything including the freakin pandemic better it's called the simultaneous it go better every time

[1:18]

the simultaneous it go better every time just like I promised you all right we got fun stories all kinds of fun stories there was a a wonderful little human moment from a Andrew Cuomo Governor Cuomo of New York and he was telling the story so he's got three daughters I think at least two of them are teenagers and he was telling the story about how their home and they're watching the news and he saw the news of another governor of Maryland Larry Hogan talking about how Larry Hogan had cleverly acquired a bunch of test kits from South Korea and and Governor Cuomo who's like the you know the talk of the town and he's really got the highest profile of any politician who has a good reputation he's like the star of the show so it's you know Andrew Cuomo he's really he's just killing it in the public opinion taking charge he's a leader and his daughter turns to him and says why did

[2:18]

daughter turns to him and says why did you do that and then as Andrew Cuomo tells the story and then his other daughter says yeah that looked very smart why didn't you do that now what he tells the story he's practically crying because he feels guilty because it just diminished him so much like you know you have to know that you know even though he's going through a tough time with with all of it you have to know that he at least felt he was important at the very least he thought well it's a tragedy and you know nothing about this is good but at least I'm killing it you know I'm just killing it and everybody says so and then his daughters go yeah what do you think of that [Laughter] yeah as I often say yeah there's one

[3:19]

yeah as I often say yeah there's one criticism that just always works which is if you do something that's right you should have done it sooner and if somebody else does something right yeah this is sort of the cousin of that if somebody else does something right well why didn't you do that why didn't you think of that last week so there's there's some criticisms that are just universal you can apply them to every situation like no matter how much you did right why did you do a server so I love that story but it's also a it's and also because it was so human it also highlights why Andrew Cuomo was so popular at the moment because this is one of those occasions in history where you need somebody who's just really really human because the people need to know that they're leaders you know I sort of understand them they're human too they feel your pain etc so I think

[4:20]

too they feel your pain etc so I think you Andrew Cuomo might be like a perfect leader in the perfect situation but what's also funny about this is that the if many of you have watched the interviews in which his brother Chris Cuomo of CNN was doing with his brother and one of the dynamics of those interviews that made them so interesting in my opinion they were great television you know people complained bla bla bla but it was great television just on entertainment alone because it gave you two levels we were getting the news important news at the same time we were seeing this brother dick which I found fascinating fascinating because both of the brothers were operating at such a high level normally it wouldn't be this interesting but when you've got somebody who's like a you know top anchor on CNN the governor during an emergency and their brothers and then it was just sort of cool so you could say it was done casting but it was still interesting but here's what I found that the most interesting about it the dynamic that

[5:21]

interesting about it the dynamic that they that they displayed on-screen was sort of a competitive sibling thing so they were always competing and and they would mock each other and you know it'd be sort of like a sports trash talk which is what made it fun but here's the best part so imagine these brothers compete with each other to be the you know the the Alpha of whatever the situation is and Chris Cuomo is in the position of being the inferior brother and when I say the inferior brother I mean just in this situation the person who is the governor and the leader and the role model of all governor's everywhere is sort of the star of this situation but the person who's simply asking him questions is not the star if you had asked me you know two months ago who is the more famous Cuomo I might have said Chris Cuomo because he said everybody sees him on CNN but not

[6:23]

everybody sees him on CNN but not everybody pays attention to the governor of New York but at the moment that's reversed so you've got this great dynamic of the children and I thought to myself well is there anything that Chris Cuomo could do that would fix this situation where instead of his brother is the most famous person during the coronavirus situation what is it that Chris Cuomo could do that would make him more of the story and less of the person asking about the story which is not so noble oh I've got an idea how about Chris Cuomo becomes the most famous person who has coronavirus could that be more perfect the the one and only thing that Chris Cuomo could have done to you know to level up with his brother who was just killing it is to become the most famous person with coronavirus and started filming from his

[7:25]

coronavirus and started filming from his basement and and he becomes the story so he crossed the line from talking about the story to becoming the biggest one of the biggest elements in the whole country biggest in the sense of attention not not in importance everybody has that everybody who has the coronavirus is equally important all right leaving us model the one that everybody talks about for the coronavirus desk it just inched up from 60,000 to 66 little clause in the sentence here that I had not noticed it before I'm gonna plug in my iPad which sometimes causes me to drop off so if my iPad goes blank for a while that's technical difficulty alright so it didn't stop from 60,000 to 66,000 but here's what I had never known before that that death toll is by August so by the end of August and I'm thinking to myself is at the end of the death

[8:27]

myself is at the end of the death because we've been using this 60,000 number as the number of deaths didn't you think that's what that meant isn't the whole point of predicting the number of deaths that you're predicting the number of deaths what am I missing when they predict the number of deaths but it's not the number of deaths because the number of deaths as all the people who are gonna die not the people are gonna die by the end of August what's that all about and what a week when we compared the proposed or predicted deaths from coronavirus to the annual flu do we say we'll compare it to the annual flu up to the end of August is that what we do now with the annual flu maybe that does make sense because the regular flu kind of Peters out in the summer right so if you were to measure measure the regular flu maybe measuring it through the end of August gets you you know 98 percent of what you

[9:27]

gets you you know 98 percent of what you need but with the corona virus we're already talking about the second and third wave and coming back next year if the if the best estimate is 66 thousand by the end of August isn't it a safe bet that the total is going to be over a hundred thousand do a fact check on me please am i incorrect that if the model says sixty-six thousand by the end of August it almost certainly means over a hundred thousand overall I mean what would this second wave be if not that and why are we even talking about getting a vaccine 18 months from now unless we believe that 18 months from now this thing will still be killing people if it's not killing people in 18 months why are we even talking about a vaccine so obviously it's going to kill people for at least 18 months and longer because it would take you know not everybody could be inoculated on day one so what would happen to how we understand this if it

[10:31]

happen to how we understand this if it definitely absolutely is going to be over a hundred thousand deaths doesn't that start to change how people feel I'd asked Adam Adam Townsend on Twitter to give me a number just in his own opinion because he's on the the anti alarmist side of the debate I guess you'd say it is view is that you know while it might be bad it's not so bad that then it matches the the amount of pain we're putting on the UConn me I don't want to characterize his opinion but let's just say that he's on the opinion that it won't be as bad as the as the bad case and I asked him what would change his mind what what death number would convince him that this was actually a big deal so he's a he's in the camp and it's really I really hate characterizing anybody else's opinion because it's fairly nuanced and I don't

[11:32]

because it's fairly nuanced and I don't think it's easy to characterize a nuanced opinion but it is fair to say he's in the anti alarmist camp let's just say that so I said what would what would move you from the anti alarmist into the oh I guess the alarmists were right after all how many deaths and I believe he said 200,000 and I thought reasonable that's reasonable you know he I think a reasonable per you could disagree with this but subjectively and from a personal opinion if it was under 200,000 deaths then maybe you could conclude the you shouldn't have closed the economy except that if it was 200 deaths with the 200,000 deaths with the economy closed for a long time really in the case it would have been a million if he hadn't closed it right sort of maybe half a million at which point it makes sense that it looks like closing the closing the economy made sense anyway

[12:32]

closing the economy made sense anyway keep an eye on that but that end of August thing threw me because I don't think that's been accurately reported
here's a just change of pace for a moment so yesterday and my evening periscope I aligned a plan for a digital free college which would involve making a new major which would be a sort of a life strategy major it would it would be comprised of all the subcategories that make you more effective I'll just give you some examples so learnings say persuasion and communication economics business management design twenty other things so the idea was you could create a major that's digital and online if you have a search engine like a Yelp for classes they can find you the class online from all the different platforms they have online teacher and then you could just say oh this is my

[13:35]

then you could just say oh this is my major go to the search engine pick the class that you like based on ratings oh this is the good class they're all the same class but some of them are just better than others so you pick the good one and it might only cost you a few bucks and so therefore you have basically free college and it might only take a year so it might be a one year college degree and then you get the government to say give it some accreditation and you're good to go and I would argue that if you could give me and I said this last night so I'll say it in case somebody missed it I'm gonna make a provocative claim if you were to let me design that major I could design a major and then present it to and I'll just pick four you know social reasons it's obvious well I'll do this if you said okay Scott take your college major and you can have a hundred let's say low-income black kids from America and you can rub them through this major

[14:35]

and you can rub them through this major and then we'll compare them to people who've got to pick their own major made their way in life a different way maybe they went to college maybe they didn't go to any college because they couldn't afford it yeah the online one was basically free it's so cheap so compare up now subtract from your comparison anybody who went into it stem field or became a doctor or a lawyer I'm talking about the people were preparing for a life that could be an entrepreneur working in a big company where they train you to be to something specific I'm talking about all the generalists if you were to compare the generalists who go their own way to the generalist I would train with this you know new proposed college major that would be sort of the standard major for the people who don't go into specialized fields I would propose that if you come back in ten years after they've completed their let's say it's a one-year degree that they would have to be earning far more than the control group so that so this is my this is my

[15:36]

so that so this is my this is my provocative claim that you could create this major that would give better performance now here's the new point as of today I don't want to don't want to just reiterate what I say yesterday I've often said that the way you can tell a good idea from a bad idea is if in its bad form before it's even before it's even the engineer to be good if in its bad form it already gets people to do something with their bodies and it's the body test so for example let's say you design a comic strip you decide to become a become a cartoonist so you show your friends some comics that you've made if your friends look at the comics and say yeah this is great you should try to do something with this you have nothing because they haven't really done anything they just they just talked and of course they were expected to say something nice but if you give some give your friends some comics and say what do you think you know do you think I could make a good career out of this and your friend says oh these are great

[16:36]

friend says oh these are great can I make a copy of this I want to send it to my friend that passes the body test because in order to make a copy and send it to your friend yet your body has to be involved so if you create a product which involves somebody's body spontaneously you don't have to ask them to do anything they just volunteer to use their body to do something with this product you've got a product all right says one of the most reliable indicators of something that would be good is if bodies are moving in some way and of course the Dilbert comic that was the the towel as that people were literally physically cutting them out of the newspaper and physically putting him on the refrigerator or the cubicle wall so it was the physicality of it there was the the predictor so after I did my little demonstration about how college could be free this morning I got on Twitter and I saw that Donovan Loomis who's been on my

[17:37]

who's been on my periscopes had taken my whiteboard that I just sort of scratched the ideas on and turned it into a proper graphic flowchart now in order to take my whiteboard and turn it into a proper a graphic that he then tweeted he had to involve his body he had to you know be looking at the one thing and typing physically probably a lot of arranging things to get it just right playing with the fonts so if you can if you can come up with an idea that causes somebody on the other side of the planet and literally Donovan's in South Korea so he's literally on the other side of the planet if on the other side of the planet somebody's body is moving like literally physically the body is doing something that is a really strong indicator of something that will grab other people's attention as well so it's out there now and let's see if the idea moves any more bodies and I'll let you let you know how that goes apparently

[18:39]

let you know how that goes apparently Trump ordered the US Navy to shoot down any Iranian gunboats that harass our our fleet so I guess the Iranian czar trying to you know take their gunboats too close to our our boats and now the Trump is just said to just basically kill them just kill them now is that the right decision from our commander-in-chief if the Iranian gunboats keep doing this just kill them all I think so I think so and and I would be disappointed well that's the wrong word I would expect Iran to keep doing it right because they sorta have to test that so don't you sort of expect that in the next few days you're gonna hear that one of our ships obliterated at least one might be more than one but don't you think we're gonna obliterate at least one or rhenium gunboat cuz we sort of have to right

[19:39]

have to right you know if they keep it up at this point I mean it's it's an order from the commander in chief so they have to all right
the funniest account on Twitter at least at the moment is the Joe Biden insult bot if you have not experienced the fake account called the Joe Biden insult bot you really need to what the way it works is if you if you tweet at it it's a real person on the box but if you tweet at the account it will insult you in the form of a Joe Biden in the insult which are all just crazy talk and it's the funniest freaking thing you've ever seen in your life I'm gonna read you a few of them now these might not come across is so funny when I read them that would give you a flavor of them and there's something about reading them all in the list that makes you giggle to the point where it hurts all right so these this is from

[20:40]

hurts all right so these this is from the Joe Biden insult these are just various tweets one at years one taken to the bank you cobblestone crunch and gravy guzzler here's another that's some real potatoes skinny a yellow snow even corn snake here's a go amble in some bramble you dribble mouth scuttle flipper go on get you horse jacking tri-corner hat thief easy on the mustard your gravel scratch it and clam Pfister take the slow boat to Tinseltown you pick it Dylan grass gobbler so I tweeted this yesterday you should just follow this account that's pretty pretty darn funny now the thing that makes this funny yeah demonstrates a principle of humor and I was going to do a humor and lessons around this but I'll give you the quick version which is that one of the things that makes things funny yeah

[21:40]

the things that makes things funny yeah here's like one of the most illuminating rules you'll ever hear the this is this will be really looking behind the curtain of reality a little bit and then behind the curtain that's behind the curtain it goes like this the main thing that makes somebody laugh at a joke is that there's a logic to it that doesn't make sense but still make sense so the best jokes are theirs they're sort of kind of a joke logic and you get what the joke logic is and you're trying to reconcile it in your brain with real logic but you can't get there so it's near logic but not quite in your brain the the thing that triggers the laugh reflex is your brain can't fit it into logic it recognizes it as logic but can't make it logical so those are the you're roughly speaking those are the requirements it feels logical emotionally but it's not and your brain knows it and then you have

[22:41]

your brain knows it and then you have this conflict and then it fights it out in your head and it causes a laugh reflex yeah buzz killington jokes right so when you read these what makes them funny I think is that the author of these found a format that you could very very easily fill in new words and it's the same joke form and it always works and what makes it works is that all the words in the sentence don't work together but they feel as if they make sense but they don't well let me read you a few with that in mind so the rule is that your brain sort of feels like it makes sense but it doesn't here's one easy on the mustard you gravel scratchin clams histor so your brain is trying to figure out what mustard and gravel scratching and clam Fister have in common and the answer is nothing but

[23:42]

common and the answer is nothing but your brain can't accept that because it understands the sentence get it you understood the sentence but it also doesn't make any sense at all so that's that's exactly the what would you call it the formula you understand it and it doesn't make sense at the same time so that's that's probably one of the strongest rules of of humor all right
I I saw this story in the New York Post and I swear I've never loved my country more than this you know I'm quite patriotic you know down to the DNA level but there are moments there are moments when you love your country like more than just the citizens loves their country there are moments when you're not just loving your country but you're in love with your country do you know what I mean like it goes that extra level where you say I don't just like the United States and appreciate its

[24:44]

the United States and appreciate its system of government I think I love it and that happened when I read this headline and then they are tossed de Blasio social distancing tipline that's the one where you can call in and say I saw somebody who's not socially distancing so de Blasio's a social distancing tipline flooded with penis photos and Hitler beams I've never loved my country more I swear to god there's moments like this where I just fought I just love this country so that's the most American protest I've ever heard of what could be more American that de Blasio the mayor of New York basically asks the citizens to rat on each other and and then the rkers flood is tip lined with penis photos and

[25:45]

is tip lined with penis photos and hitler beams now they help wooden beams being you know calling calling de Blasio Hitler oh god I love this country I really do sorry so funny I think you just can't stand today more all right ah you know I tell you nothing gives me more encouragement about the future of the future of the United States then stuff like this like as much as I don't think it's a good idea to be protesting the social isolation I love the fact that we are like I can't separate the fact I can't separate the fact that my head that we should not be gathering in groups without masks to protest social distancing we just shouldn't be doing that at the other hand I love the fact that we are I can't I can't separate those thoughts I can hold them both

[26:52]

anyway the Canaries of the coal mine for what I would call the the Left leaving world and I've said this before Michael Moore Bill Maher baby Matt Taibbi you could think of a few more these are people who would be the first to realize that their own side was full of crap if it is now if it's not of course they won't but I would call them the the people who are most likely to be able to call out their own side for being wrong now on the conservative side I would say maybe Tucker Carlson and Greg Gutfeld would be similar on the you know more right leading news in the sense that they would be among the first who would call out their own side for being dumb if they saw something that was done so there are several people that I just watched for a leading indicator because if Tucker goes hard in a direction it kind of predicts doesn't it it kind of

[27:54]

kind of predicts doesn't it it kind of predicts where things might go and likely likewise if Bill Maher or Tybee or Michael Moore make a change and also I think signals something and so that brings us to the Michael Moore backed documentaries he's the executive producer not not the talent in it of this planet of the Hugh documentary that I mentioned it but I had not seen it until last night I saw all but the last 10 minutes and I don't think I missed anything in the last time is but here's the basic thrust of it so it's somebody that Michael Moore decided to back you know as executive director and the the essence of it is that the green technologies are all bunk and this it's just smoke and mirrors and it's really not real then it could never replace fossil this mostly depends on fossil you still need fossil you still need your electrical lines you can't

[28:55]

need your electrical lines you can't really get off the grid doesn't work when it's rainy it's hard to dispose of them that solar panels only work for ten years they're big you know big solar plants that were built with great fanfare that are being taken down a different kind of solar so basically the the documentary essentially completely eviscerates the academic argument or even the moral argument for a green energy and one of the biggest things that I learned and I didn't know this was that we have a huge green so-called green energy in biomass I didn't know anything about this did you know that there I don't know hundreds or hundreds of biomass electrical generators around the country and the reason that they use biomass is that it's it's sort of right on the border of being is this renewable it's

[29:55]

border of being is this renewable it's renewable because it's trees but it uses so many trees that I don't think you could redo them so it's sort of an anti renewable thing that people call renewable because you can argue that you can grow a new tree but I don't know if you could argue that you can grow them fast enough so that part was missing and
so here's here's some of my overall comments on this number one I think this ends any chance of the green new deal I think it's over I think it's the second biggest story of the year that because it's not coronavirus but the second biggest story of the year is that when Michael Moore turns in a you know fairly full throated way against standard green Energy's solar and biomass and windmills when Michael Bohr goes that's the end of it isn't it because any okay or si can

[30:58]

it isn't it because any okay or si can argue all day long that it's a good idea and the whole argument is going to turn it to this did you see Michael Moore's documentary you're the one the one he backed that's the whole argument the green New Deal is actually dead it's completely dead now you could have argued that baby was dead anyway because the coronavirus because we spent all our money so we couldn't do much about it and you know maybe we stopped trusting long-term prediction models because of the corona virus which would make people more skeptical of climate change models so I was thinking that that green New Deal might have been dead anyway and then the Michael Moore documentary comes along and by itself it would have killed the green New Deal but if you add it all together this is the biggest story that's not being covered the green New Deal is just totally banned now how credible is the documentary and now

[31:59]

credible is the documentary and now here's the bad news the bad news is it's not very credible at all so if you're looking at the quality and credibility of the documentary itself I would say it's very low very low and I'll give you some specific reasons for that but nonetheless because it exists and because the the general thrust of it I think is probably accurate the general thrust of it is that the green energies are not as promising as the people promoting them would like you to believe and the general thrust is that a lot of the people pushing green technologies are in there for the money it makes the case that Al Gore is the bad guy can you believe that a Michael Moore film backed film makes the case the Algor only did it for the money and it's all and that's I'm paraphrasing but that's the sense I got from Newt you know it I watched it and I thought the movie was telling me that Al Gore was a fraud he

[32:59]

telling me that Al Gore was a fraud he did it for the money and that the technologies that are being pushed just can't work and he made lots of money off pushing that's what that's not my allegation I think that's what the the film is saying but here's why the film lacks credibility I'll just give you some examples imagine if you will somebody makes it an entire documentary about green energy and not once mentions nuclear power I mean seriously there is a comparison of fossil fuels to these traditional green energies an entire movie about energy and they don't mention nuclear power do you know why they don't mention nuclear power it's because they know it's the answer and they can't go that far I think now I can't read minds so when somebody says something like I just said your first thought should be well you're not reading the mind you don't know they

[34:00]

reading the mind you don't know they think that and of course I don't but what would be your other explanation for why people who are let's say getting read build on their own people who thought these green technologies were the bomb and now they're saying okay we were fooled maybe they're not the answer how would those people do an entire documentary on energy production and not even mention nuclear what's it what what's the other reason they would not mention it I can't think of one the only reason I could think of and again it's speculation because I can't read their minds my speculation is that they're either convinced or leaning toward it being the answer and they can't say that because if you're Michael Moore it's a big stretch to say did you know solar power isn't what you thought it was that's a big movement now he's been pacing his side doing things they agree with for years and years and years so maybe he can lead

[35:01]

and years and years so maybe he can lead them you know maybe he's exactly the right maybe you know this is Nixon can go to China sort of thing maybe Michael Moore is the only person who could convince some solar and and wind are not the answer but could even Michael Moore take them all the way past that to nuclear I don't think he could and maybe you know one can speculate that he would be smart enough to know that and may have just said you know that's a fight for another day so it's so conspicuous by its absence you know that it had to be a conversation that the filmmaker had probably with Michael Moore at some point where they said you know the only way I'm going to be able to do this is to just not mention nuclear energy like it doesn't exist because then at least I can make a clean argument without that getting in the way so it could have been just a filmmaker decision but it's so obviously missing that it destroys the

[36:02]

obviously missing that it destroys the credibility of the entire operation the other thing that it's missing is any kind of an economic comparison that would be credible so while it is true to say hey these solar powers only last ten years they're heard in terms of waste etc I'd still like to see the comparison just because the Solar has downsides that's true of every option just simply pointing out that there are downsides to green energy doesn't get me all the way to and therefore is not a good deal I can't get there all I know is that it has some downsides so no credibility for the the economics of it simply it's saying that it has problems and we already knew that here's another problem he used as some of its examples it went to some green energy promoted concerts and the concerts were billed as being sort of off the grid and using solar power to power the concert

[37:04]

using solar power to power the concert but when the documentary maker went behind these seeds he learned that they had backup generators and they needed him because it wasn't sunny all the time so the backup generators were to fill and for the times it wasn't sunny and so the filmmaker sort of concluding that maybe a lot of these green energy things are frauds because behind behind the stage literally behind the stage was a backup generator using in that case biomass but it wasn't enough I think they had to use fossil fuels or something and I would say that is totally illegitimate so using those examples as examples of white green energy is maybe a fraud completely illegitimate because nobody makes the claim that you could do a concert on solar panels nobody makes that claim so do debunk a claim that nobody's making and to throw it in the mix I don't think that's honest that really detracts from your credibility so I would say that whether

[38:07]

credibility so I would say that whether or not you can put on a concert with solar panels doesn't really tell you whether you know whether a permanent installation in which solar is part of the answer could ever be economical so he doesn't really close the gap to you know finish the economic arguments that's a big problem here's one that's really big in my opinion he shows a Elon Musk claiming that his gigafactory would be 100% green energy self-sufficient and then to debunk that claim from Elon who said they had accomplished doctor percent you know green mean energy he shows that he shows that the gigafactory is actually connected by wires to the regular grid and so his conclusion is well you must not be 100 percent green energy you know using your solar or whatever locally if you have to be connected to the grid then somebody's

[39:08]

connected to the grid then somebody's saying batteries and Senator right so here's what's missing if you were completely self-sufficient with a hundred percent green energy you would still be connected to the grid that one preclude the other why would you be connected to the regular grid if you were making a hundred percent of your own energy well if you'd looked into it even this much you would know that there are several reasons that potentially that's true number one if you say that you can produce a hundred percent of your energy what do you do with the extra right I did Elon Musk ever make the claim that they were producing exactly a hundred percent of their energy as in they don't need any extra from the outside ever but they also don't make any extra did he make that claim do you make the claim that every day no matter what's happening with the Sun the exact amount of energy they're making is just the amount they need no he never made that claim and if

[40:10]

need no he never made that claim and if you can't make exactly the amount you need every day what do you do well if you're making too much every day you connect to the grid and sell it back to them that's how it works the panels on my house are not off the grid the panels on my house go directly into the grid I sell them electricity essentially by just giving them electricity and then they they measure how much I give them and then I use their electricity off the grid for my household appliances but they say oh we won't charge you the full price because you gave us some free solar panel energy you know separately that's how it works so if if the gigafactory is like anybody else who uses solar panels they have to be connected to the grid that's how it works you give your energy to the grid and and that helps balance out the load at the grid and then the grid gives you a consistent amount back including at

[41:11]

a consistent amount back including at night here's another reason that they could be attached to the grid even if they have their own power how do you build the plant in the first place this plant is out in the middle of nothing how did they construct it if they didn't have power well I would think the very first thing you would do is you say well I'm going to build this giant facility in the middle of nowhere I'd better get me some electricity first thing you do is run the connection from the power grid to you know build your solar plants and your factory right so it could be just left over from when they did construction then why would you take it away once you built it you could just leave it there in case you need it could be built there as just a backup what if even if they're getting 100 percent of their energy from solar panels what if they said to themselves you know it might might break someday someday it might stop working so why don't we have a backup to the grid at which we needed to build anyway during

[42:11]

which we needed to build anyway during the construction phase so my point is we don't know why Tesla is connected to the grid but we do we do know there's a whole bunch of explanations that are far more likely than it's all a fraud right here's a so given that nuclear wasn't mentioned and these other these other comparisons were just really sketchy I'd have to say it's not credible but it's still gonna be very persuasive at the the larger argument I saw a very clever presumably fake campaign ad for Joe Biden now the really good fakes the ones that the trolls are putting together are the ones that are so close to reality somebody says you debunked nothing
who says I debunked nothing now are you telling me that a energy documentary a

[43:12]

telling me that a energy documentary a documentary about energy that doesn't mention nuclear you said you're saying that I haven't debunked it that alone debunks it you know all the rest is just gravy so I don't know why you're watching if you think that wasn't the book that's pretty debunked anyway there was campaign ad that I think is put together by trolls that have said is just shows Joe Biden and there's like this glow coming from his chest where his heart would be and the words of the posters say his his brains know his heart and people thought it might have been a real campaign ad and that they were giving on Joe Biden's brain being a selling point and they were just going with he's a nice guy he's got a good heart but that again fits the category of a little bit two other those the this campaign ad looks a little bit too close to what his critics would say then his brain doesn't work so I rated this as probably a troll thing and then people

[44:14]

probably a troll thing and then people said that if you click on it goes to a broken link so I still think it was a yeah had to be a parody but look for the parodies that are so close to what you think would be true that that's what makes them clever I guess there's a whole bunch of new rumors about Bill Gates and the World Health Organization and the lab and you know the virus having gain-of-function and stuff I would say another that's likely to be true so you can ignore all that bad Bill Gates sure is a subject of a lot of conspiracy theories CNN is reporting quote the quiet abandonment of hydroxychloroquine on Fox Network because the studies are not giving it enough support so see that as sort of mocking Fox News for making a big deal about the hydroxychloroquine but giving really quiet about it as the new studies come out if you know what I mean but

[45:14]

come out if you know what I mean but this latest study or at least one of them I don't think they're testing it necessarily with the sink there may be one test where they did but I don't know if they're giving it to people early on and they're also giving it with them as it through my Samantha's Inc so be careful when you're looking at the hydroxychloroquine the tests because they're not apples to apples the ones that work have the three drugs hydroxychloroquine as if devices ache I should say the ones that are reported anecdotally not confirmed but it seemed to be effective the ones that seemed not to work at all and maybe it's even bad for people tend to be the hydroxychloroquine the loud or with a zither bison but because the zinc is presumed to be the magic ingredient the thing that works with the hydroxychloroquine then if you tested one without the other you wouldn't actually be testing what you need to

[46:14]

actually be testing what you need to test it's good to test everything but you know presumably you would get a bad result if you didn't include it with the zinc and that's what we saw but there might be at least one where the zinc was there and they still didn't get a good result so a little unclear about where we are on that I'll get her I'm gonna keep my 60/40 odds based on early undependable reporting I would say there's probably a 60% chance it's not effective and a 40% chance it is just just my read of you know how it feels when they'll solid information at this point apparently kim jeong-hoon is not dead or if he is north korea is not aware of it because they seem to be just doing business as usual so there's no sign that North Korea that there's anything like Kim jogo died or even break that that doesn't mean it didn't happen we haven't seen them in a while but it's

[47:15]

haven't seen them in a while but it's actually not that uncommon to have wild rumors that just are crazy and turn out to be false as is you could you could expect this to happen so the Israelis we're shipping various aid medical aid and food and stuff to the some of the the Palestinian Authority and they're trying to help out and what of course happened immediately immediately the rumor spread that the Israelis were not really trying to help that they were putting virus all the stuff that they were shipping to the Palestinians because they really wanted to infect the Palestinians now it just doesn't help - it just doesn't pay to try to help the world does it Bill Gates wakes up every day it just tries to help the world and that he's accused of being basically the devil

[48:17]

Israel is just trying to help the Palestinian Authority and they get accused of trying to kill them I feel like doing good deeds just doesn't pay too much all right let's talk about the president's temporary ban on the immigration yeah apparently 79 percent of the American adults are in favor of it and why would they be make sense so I think the president not only is doing at least something right - ish I'm not sure who's getting banned and who's not it's a little unclear at this point but certainly we should be looking at typing that up during the corona virus but here's the clever part it it baits Joe Biden into giving an opinion what exactly will what exactly will Joe Biden say to the Trump plan of temporarily halting immigration because it might be dangerous and and we need the jobs of this country it kind of puts Joe Biden to the trap right because you

[49:19]

Joe Biden to the trap right because you can make a case you can make a case for it but I don't know if Joe Biden can you'd have to work pretty hard to make an elegant argument for why you would you'd want to do the opposite of what the president's do because Joe Biden has to take the opposite he has to pick the opposite oh yeah maybe he'll just call them racist go back to the go back to the the oldies let's say apparently there's an idea floating around that the Democrats need to counter president Trump's coronavirus briefings because they're too much like the campaign and so that the thought was that Biden could create a shadow cabinet and then they would take turns each of them debunking whatever the president says during his briefing I've read it write that as possibly the worst idea I've ever heard there's so many there are so many bad things about that idea that I'm really

[50:19]

things about that idea that I'm really hoping they do it because first of all they're they're going to disappear compare it to the president the president brings the show the best they could do is have some talking hat in front of a camera saying he lied about everything like they do after the State of the Union but nobody's gonna care nobody's gonna care and if you and if they're this shadow cabinet everybody's gonna be talking about the cabinet choices so it's just going to give the president new targets there's a new study provocative it is provocative I say I'm not sure I believe it and other people are questioning you too so the new study that that disputes the finding of a new study that suggests Oh Fox News disputes this all right so there's a study but Fox News disputes and says it's a weak study not real and the study alleges that regular viewers of the Hannity show were more likely to

[51:21]

of the Hannity show were more likely to die from coronavirus than those who preferred Tucker Carlson's tonight and their reasoning was that Tucker was early in warning that it was a real problem and allegedly Hannity was less early being as serious as Tucker was and that it actually killed this and that some of Hannity's people died because they got bad advice from watching his show now what if Fox News says they dispute the findings I think you could really dispute those findings people are saying in the comments as I was going to save myself that you have to be careful there might be a demographic difference you know the the Tucker viewers might be over you know so you can imagine there would be lots of reasons why they would be different but I also think a lot of people watch both a lot of people yeah I just don't think you could you can pick out that difference but let's say it's

[52:22]

out that difference but let's say it's true what if it were even Scott was hooked by a hydroxy yeah this will be the part where everybody redefines what I said so that could be wrong and you why watch the evolution of this watch people claim with their false memories that I said hydroxychloroquine was the answer I never said that hey you won't be able to find it anywhere but you'll remember that I did it just didn't happened every time that I talked about it I was always clear to say you know we're optimistic we're hopeful but we don't have studies where am i right now pretty much the same I'm optimistic I'm hopeful we don't have studies but I'm putting a percentage on it now because we have more negative anecdotal so I think it's like a 60/40 40% chance of it working if you're an optimist pretty good pretty good so if you're already telling me that I'm wrong or that I've changed my mind you are misinformed it

[53:26]

changed my mind you are misinformed it is true that I've probably shifted the percentage of my optimism but it's not like it was ever a hundred or anywhere near it maybe it was never I would say I probably do it from 80 to 60% or no ad I probably moved from 60 to 40 my own my own assessment but that was well within the you know the uncertainty range all right
what else we got going on here well if it's true let's say it was true let's say the studies support the fact that people who were warned early about the seriousness of the coronavirus were more likely to survive would that not would that not indicate that I had saved a number of lives wouldn't wouldn't you say that I was the first one who said close those flights from China and I probably was the first earliest pundit

[54:26]

probably was the first earliest pundit except for Jack episodic who said close travel from China because it's serious or until we find out how serious it is but it looks there is and if people who watched my periscope took that seriously is it possible that I saved lives well according to the study which doesn't sound too credible maybe you know if a hundred thousand people watched by periscope and got a more a bigger scare about it and therefore active more more salacious social isolating ly maybe maybe I saved some of your lives but I'm not sure these studies will hold up all right
apparently Russia's got an interesting situation going down there because I guess Russia's not doing the greatest job of informing its people or taking care of the coronavirus and Putin's popularity which is usually sky-high has

[55:29]

popularity which is usually sky-high has fallen to 63% so it's normally in the higher 60s or 70s and so given that you wonder if Putin is actually vulnerable probably that but I'll bet you this coronavirus does change some regimes I would guess that the coronavirus situation will change who runs some countries eventually we don't know which one so we're starting to see what I call the coral stories so a few days ago I tweeted this I said it about a week prepare for none sob stories and depressed like this quote Carl protested the economic shutdown he did not wear a mask now Carl is dead and so is his grandma don't be Carl because you know they're coming well headline today John McDaniel age 60 of Marion County died April 15th and Hospital blah blah he has me he had made several posts about the coronavirus on

[56:30]

several posts about the coronavirus on Facebook last month before testing positive this is from this guy's Facebook posts quote does anybody have the guts to say this kovat 19 is a political ploy asking for a friend prove me wrong and that he got it and then he died so that's your first coral story you are going to see so many coral stories in the next week you're gonna be tired of them you a question I have the reason for a closing immigration is because we have so many people at at work and the theory is that Americans could do those jobs of the immigrants I've never seen any evidence of that I would say that the statement that Americans can take the jobs that the immigrants would not be doing if they're not allowed to come into work I would say there's no evidence of that I've seen evidence against it but I've never had seen evidence is true and here's what I mean if you take the skilled technical workers the reason that skilled

[57:32]

workers the reason that skilled technical workers are hired from overseas is not because they're cheaper I mean they might be I don't know if they are or not but that's not why you do it you do it because you can't fight enough in Silicon Valley finding somebody with technical skills is getting really hard or at least it was during the during the better times now so this might be the only time when we don't need any more skilled workers for a few months but serving that some of the skilled workers got laid off but in general the reason that we have skilled workers come in is that they add to the economy so if you bring in a skilled worker a technical worker I would say they add board in the economy for everybody that they subtract but what about the ones who are you know working on the farms and doing dishwashers and stuff like that well here's my here's my experience somebody says they are paid less that's not the

[58:33]

says they are paid less that's not the reason you do it you the reason you do it is because you can't you can't find enough technical workers that's a bonus if you if you find a way to pay the less that would be a bonus in my experience running a restaurant you can't find non Mexican workers you can't find American citizens to do a lot of jobs they would rather just not have a job so if you said to the Mexican immigrants well your choice is to have no job or you can have this back breaking labor the Mexican immigrant will say yeah a back-breaking labor that's exactly why I came here I came here to do back-breaking labor of course I'll take that job and then they'll take that job if you say to an American this is my experience right so this is just anecdotal but I would be looking for anybody to give me a counterfactual if you say to the typical American hey I got this you know this job for you it's back-breaking labor you know but maybe it could turn into something better the average American who is unemployed

[59:33]

American who is unemployed and is only qualified for that job will say some version of this yeah I think I'll wait and see if I could get something better so if you think you can get Americans to take those jobs well good luck I think what you'll find is as Americans will prefer unemployment to working those jobs that's my experience my experience is that they will prefer unemployment now somebody says pay them exclamation mark thank you so somebody who has an understanding of economics says yeah the reason the Americans still take those jobs is they don't pay well now the reason that okay well of course is that if they did then the cost of your food would you know be far higher maybe that's the better solution but in any case you're just trading one problem for another but we should be aware of that I in the short run while the because the wages would not be

[1:00:34]

while the because the wages would not be going up that much in the short run I just think farms and other places who require a back-breaking labor are not going to be able to find America's to do it Americans don't do bracket labor if they have an option of you know staying on their mother's couch and eating their mother's cooking we just don't do it that's been my experience there's a a so-called White House bureau chief for the Washington Post and Phillip Phillip Rucker he's claimed even yesterday claimed that Trump had solid arity with Bo Nazis in Charlottesville literally the opposite that what happened this is a bureau chief from the Washington Post and it's somehow not aware of the most debunked fake news of all time it is the most thoroughly completely debunked all you have to do is look at the record you

[1:01:34]

you have to do is look at the record you just have to look at the transcript that's it there's no judgment there's no opinion you just have to look at it there it is debunked and the white and the the Whitehouse bureau chief from The Washington Post was not aware of that or decided to act like he didn't know so Joe Pollak in Breitbart pointed that out and corrected the record yet again how many times do we have to correct that record all right well I think I've talked about all the amazing things I want to talk about now and we're still trying to figure out if so there's a new report that says baby the first person to end Crona virus was much earlier than we thought which would indicate maybe there's more widespread infection that we thought maybe it started back in January which would have given enough time to be more widespread than we think it is I don't believe anything at this point you know maybe maybe it's true but

[1:02:35]

point you know maybe maybe it's true but I also can't distinguish between that and of you know just there's a handful of people who have it and it just took a while to catch on I can't tell the difference so I don't know if this story beans anything or not anyway trope uses the word plague yeah I like it how did a source who outed the source all right just looking at your comments before I sign off don't forget our welfare state okay thank you I want so to think that Phillip Rucker is aware about lying I don't think so if I had to bet on it and it would neither of us know because we don't know what he's thinking if I had to bet I would bet that Phillip Rucker does not know that he was promoting the biggest debunked hoax in politics I'll bet he does not know and it's based on this the silos of

[1:03:35]

this the silos of how much do you think Philip Rucker has listened to this periscope I would say zero times how many times does Phil Rucker read breitbart at least before before today because he's probably reading it today because there's an article about him but before today how much time did he spend reading Breitbart zero now if you didn't follow me you didn't follow Breitbart Steve Cortese was talking about it until it C then kicked him off the air they untied him for talking about debunking this hoax so even if Philip Proctor watches CNN where there was like a full-time debunk er they removed the full-time debunker quickly just so he didn't actually give anybody any information so if you were a conservative I'll give you this a concrete example if you were a conservative and you watch the new Michael Moore backed movie about green energy being largely BS did you already

[1:04:36]

energy being largely BS did you already know that and the answer is if you're a conservative probably yes because when I watched it I was surprised to have any biomass plants that were that part I didn't know about but I wasn't surprised at all to hear that the economics of solar and wind etc are not promising I do that because I've been exposed to do something left I've been exposed to do this on the right but suppose you'd been only exposed to news on the left what would you have ever seen that would have ever told you that this green energy is maybe overrated nothing because there are no reports like that on the left so I would say that people like Phil Rucker I think actually are just not informed of everything that the people on the right think is common sense because they've seen it so many times I mean how many times have you because most of you are Trump supporters watching this how

[1:05:36]

are Trump supporters watching this how many times have you seen an article that says basically what the Michael Moore documentary said that the Greve energy is not such a great deal most of you right probably almost every one of you how many how many people on the Left have ever seen that have ever seen any article that suggests that the green energy is not real probably bad so if you ask me this Philip Rucker know that he is promoting the most debunked most easily debunked non-fact in the world my answer is probably not he probably has never been exposed to that fact very easily it would be about that you could easily imagine it so that's my opinion all right
that's all I got for now and tonight I'll talk to you tonight how I went over time tonight I would longer than one so I'll let you there when my interview

[1:06:38]

I'll let you there when my interview with Dan Crenshaw is live I don't have it time for that but as soon as it is all I'll tweet it so I did get I was on Dan Crenshaw's podcast I think it went well we had a good conversation and I think you might like it all right I'll talk to you later