Episode 925 Scott Adams: You Know What Goes Well With Coffee? Oh, I Think You Do. Get in Here.

Date: 2020-04-20 | Duration: 50:15

Topics

My new book LOSERTHINK, available now on Amazon https://tinyurl.com/rqmjc2a Content: Test kits…how many do we need and when will we have them? Decisions in the face of extreme uncertainty We need IQ tests, not blood tests…for coronavirus Nancy Pelosi’s weak cover-story
Joe Biden disappears for several days

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> [!note] Rough Transcript
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## Transcript

[0:08]

pom pom pom pom pom pom pom pom well it's time for coffee with Scott Adams and that means it's time to crank up the studio we got the studio lights on the windows are going down
[Music] so cold in here today I can see my breath well happy 4/20 everybody welcome to the best coffee with Scott Adams of all time no seriously this will be the best one you can judge it for yourself but I think you'll agree if by the end now many of you have gotten primed for the day
day guess who isn't commuting today you aren't no you're not commuting today do

[1:10]

aren't no you're not commuting today do you know what you can do today finally you can enjoy the holiday the way it was intended yeah but I started waffle with coffee with Scott Adams and all you need is a cup or a mug or glass a tanker chalices Diana canteen jug or flask a bomb vessel of any kind and fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine hit of the day well maybe the second dopamine hit of the day it's called the simultaneous step and it happens now sublime [Applause] well should we talk about all the things Oh somebody's nephew is born today congratulations I don't know if that's good or bad to be born on 4/20 in the middle of a pandemic sort of little this little that kind of

[2:12]

sort of little this little that kind of good kinda not alright here are some things that are happening today I understand that in this pandemic one of the biggest problems is we don't have enough tests and I'm talking about IQ tests because what we really need is two IQ tests everybody in the country just so we know who to listen to because I get on Twitter every day and I feel like I'm listening to a lot of dumb people and wouldn't it be good to have a filter on Twitter we're just just during the emergencies because I like to hear the dumb people for entertainment normal days but during the pandemics and other emergencies like at least the option of filtering them off so what do you like a filter that just you could you could dial it to whatever IQ you're willing to listen to and I think during the pandemic I'm not really willing to listen to an opinion from anybody under let's say IQ of 130 ish

[3:13]

anybody under let's say IQ of 130 ish now I realize these tests are not totally accurate I'm you know you could you could get a false positive from Jim Acosta for example so I'm not saying it's hundred percent accurate IQ tests but until we have enough IQ tests to get everybody tested I don't see how we can go back to work because without knowing who those stupid people are how do I know whose advice to take should I wear a mask should I not wear a mask kind of depends who tells you they have to of course subtract from the smart people anybody who has a financial and just so I'm sure that the director of the World Health Organization if you were to give him an IQ test I'll bet he do great he'd probably score really high but you have to take him out of the sample size because he has a potential financial interest all right so that so speaking of testing I'm I'm basically

[4:15]

so speaking of testing I'm I'm basically I've reached the end of my patience in not getting useful information from my government and tell me if this is off base but I think the I think the public can listen to its government even when the government maybe doesn't have full constitutional authority in an area maybe it's just a guideline I think it's a real good idea to listen to your government and take their advice if you assume that they have your best interest in they do and that they're there on top of it but your government has a responsibility to be credible they have to act in a way that the public can say oh you know maybe you don't get everything right you know we get that you can't see the future we get that you're working with estimates but you know you're generally doing what looks like a credible job you know nobody else is really doing much

[5:16]

know nobody else is really doing much better except maybe by luck or they have different demographics so it looks like okay it looks like you're doing your job you care about the citizens alright that's good enough what you asked us to do even if it's hard I'm willing to do it because you've established yourself as a credible leadership entity is that what we have today you know I'm willing to put up with a little bit of fog of war early on a printer problem but as of today do you think that Mike Pence should not be able to tell you how many tests we have who has them how many are in the pipeline and how many do we really need before we have whatever we decide is enough to get back to work do you think we'll have any information like that today I'm going to predict and I know I'm going down going out in the lumière I'm gonna predict that we will not hear the most important piece of

[6:17]

not hear the most important piece of data in the world right the most important piece of data in the world period most important data in the world is probably not that hard to get at least an estimate form the government surely knows who makes the test gets by now they surely are in contact with them they can surely ask how many of you produced too many do you have in the pipeline how many can you produce this month surely that can be obtained if your government does not present that information to you today even in estimate form it could be wrong it could be wrong because we don't ask perfection if you're asking from perfection and you know in this fog of war emergency nobody's ever been here before well that's just unrealistic that would be a child's of you it would be a child's view that your government is going to do everything right and also do it as soon as it could be done and

[7:18]

it as soon as it could be done and better than all the other governments in their brand-new emergency that nobody's seen before and nobody really had the right information it's not reasonable but here's what is reasonable on April 20th many weeks into this knowing that having enough test kits is really gonna be the whole game right because you can't really do anything else without that base information and we don't even have the base information of whether the kits are available or in what quantities so let me give my government a failing grade F that's not to say they haven't done a bunch of things correctly I'm strongly in the camp of agreeing with Trump that closing down travel from at least Wuhan early was a very strong sign that this is a big deal all right there's no way you can interpret an unprecedented closing of

[8:19]

interpret an unprecedented closing of air traffic from a major superpower you can't interpret that as he didn't think it was important all right there's no way you can go back in time and say he closed travel from China without thinking that there was a big emergency you can't reasonably think that now you can certainly look at his language and say we wish he had said it was more of a problem early on but you also have to understand that it is President Trump he's going to put the positive spin on everything even if he's acting even if his actions are proving that it's a big problem and they did he closed you know he did what needed to be do that to be done there now lots of people are saying and I think this is a fair criticism of the government just of the government in general that we didn't have the ability to quickly ramp up testing I don't think it's a criticism that we didn't have a test for a virus that didn't exist yet I

[9:22]

test for a virus that didn't exist yet I mean that's not a fair criticism but shouldn't we have had at least some kind of a quick wrap-up plan for testing in general it looks like we did not so you'd have to say that some that won major part of the Trump administration's responsibility which is to have a a reasonable plan for a pandemic that doesn't mean having enough test kits that means having a plan for quickly having enough you know which is different and I think it's fair to say we didn't have that right have you heard anybody say that we had any kind of a plan for a quickly ramping up testing if we didn't then I would say the government isn't complete failure on that topic now do you say that that is therefore president Trump's failure well the buck has to stop the top so yes yes of the sense that everything is the bosses problem but if we dig down a

[10:22]

bosses problem but if we dig down a level do you think that there was ever a meeting in which somebody in the CDC said to President Trump you know the only way we can really be ready in case of a pandemic and by the way these pandemics are almost guaranteed it's not like we even have to worry if we'll have one pretty much guaranteed do we have you know we would you like to fund the preparations to be able to quickly wrap up testing should we have a pandemic do you think that conversation ever happened and do you think the president said no no I don't think that's worth any money I'm not gonna get behind that I don't think that happened all right so if we could be adults for a moment it's very unlikely that President Trump ever even hot was presented with a decision about how to prepare the country in case of there were there was a pandemic I'll bet you'd never even have that meeting now you could argue that he should have called that meeting and I think that would be a fair point

[11:23]

would be a fair point but just look at the entire context I will go further and say that if we don't hear more about testing in the and today really because there's no reason not to hear today I mean even if pence came out and said I know how important it is to give you visibility on testing you know we're about 80% of the way to adding it up and giving it to you I'll give it to you you know tomorrow that'll be good enough like that would show that they have some sense of how important that is to be not only important they know it's important but important to communicate it if you're if we're in the midst of a pandemic and there's protests in the street and we don't know exactly when we can reopen the economy and I've said this before that if we don't have at least a target date for each area that they can rely on as opposed to if

[12:23]

that they can rely on as opposed to if you meet these conditions you could go back to work if you meet these conditions comes with a condition of its own you have to have test kits that you don't have so the government has created a situation and presented it to the public like this here are the guidelines to get back to work by the way it's not possible to achieve them that's what happened right am I wrong because you would need a certain amount of testing to be able to achieve it and we have no information that would suggest we'll ever have that ever right now one assumes that we're working toward it but what information do you have so if your government is just telling you that hey you could go back to work as soon as you complete this checklist what's on the checklist well one thing that might be impossible we don't know if I know I would be solved before the economy totally crashes thanks for nothing

[13:25]

totally crashes thanks for nothing thanks for nothing so without the information on the testing your government is in complete fiduciary default and if Trump loses the election because of this totally fair now I don't want Joe Biden to be president that's a problem in itself but if Trump loses the election because he won't tell us basic information remember they wouldn't tell us about the ventilators but he got lucky it turns out it didn't matter because we made so money it didn't matter but that was a complete failure of management that we the public didn't have visibility on that and now we're in another complete failure we don't know much hydroxychloroquine there is or really even if it makes a difference for sure and we don't know anything about tasks that's a complete failure there's no other way to to say that so I would say the government is in complete failure federal government as of today easy to

[14:27]

federal government as of today easy to fix could be completely fixed by this afternoon so when I say it's incomplete failure I don't mean it's over I mean if they don't fix this really fast while there are protests in the street largely because of this lack of visibility I would argue you know people are not saying that nobody is saying we're protesting because you we don't think we'll get testing in time but if you haven't given them a practical believable plan with a date even if it changes you have given us nothing nothing and so if the public reacts as though the government has given them nothing don't be surprised you know don't be surprised if you give them nothing and then they act like you gave them nothing that should be what you expect all right I've got a huge influx

[15:28]

expect all right I've got a huge influx of new followers on LinkedIn or doctors most of them followed me from Twitter or someplace else and it's really interesting I guess it's just because of coronavirus stuff and everybody I think doctors are probably more interested today in what the non doctor community is thinking about this than ever before because the doctors fates depend almost I mean to a huge degree the fate of the doctors depends on what people who are not doctors are thinking about medical questions right I'm not sure we've ever had this situation before because the doctors either are in the frontline of course making the frontline decisions but where we go in terms of opening things up etc will be medical decisions essentially you know balanced with economic decisions but medical decisions made by non-medical people so given that I'm one of the people who talks about

[16:29]

I'm one of the people who talks about this stuff all the time kind of makes sense the doctors are pouring in to see what the non-medical people are feeling and try to sample as many windows into that as they can because their fate depends on it if if we the the pundits get this wrong it's a big problem you know it's a big problem because the doctors will suffer from what the public decides ultimately and so I do appreciate that many of those doctors have sort of stepped up to become my become my mentors and informers so quite often I'll be engaging on some topic on Twitter and I'm very very happy to see actual medical doctors pouring into the comments to clarify and fix misinformation so it's a tremendously good it's a really good trend to watch the doctors start following the non doctors because it's important right now

[17:30]

doctors because it's important right now and to fix our thinking specifically you know there's there's gonna be a lot of polls between now and Election Day and I would argue at this point the only thing that matters to re-election is the coronavirus I think you know maybe maybe the Supreme Court but it feels as though because people are more influenced by whatever happened recently and also whatever it was the biggest and this is the biggest and it will be the thing that happened most recently so really I would say that these the the few people were swing voters probably are going to be mostly mostly affected by the coronavirus response but I would say that when you're in the middle of the battle the polling is useful and entertaining you know tells you something about what the middle of the battle looks like but it doesn't predict because the only thing that will predict is winning or losing and by November we're going to have a much better

[18:31]

we're going to have a much better consensus of course what the country never agrees on everything but it'll probably be at least a 2/3 consensus one way or the other that what our government did either worked or didn't work so that's all that will depend that you know that's what's going to depend the election the election will depend on that so we don't know how that will go because we don't know if we win or lose and we probably won't know for several months but I like to use this phrase because if it really explains so many situations you've heard it before winning fixes everything I've said that in my books I think somebody famous said at first but winning kind of fixes everything if you win people will almost instantly stop complaining about how you got there if you lose they will complain forever about all the things you did wrong but the day you win if you win then all the

[19:33]

the day you win if you win then all the criticisms of the dumb things you used to be doing they just go away do you remember when when Trump won the election what happened to all those criticisms about the way he was campaigning all the criticisms of all the things that Trump was doing wrong and we were you know we were all little experts right we're all experts of the thing Trump was doing wrong to campaign well he's not spending enough money well he's you know he doesn't have the right endorsements well he seems to be insulting people that can't be good what's all this tweeting about and so we the brilliant pundits had all these criticisms about what the president's doing wrong campaign to be the president and then he won and then all those criticisms went away because as soon as you win you realize they were either overblown or didn't matter or maybe we're wrong in the first place all right I got into an interesting conversation which I don't understand a bit because

[20:34]

which I don't understand a bit because I'm not qualified false-positives versus false negatives in specifically looking at the tests in santa clara that showed there were a lot of people relative to what we expected there were a lot of people with antibodies now when I say a lot it was you know a few percent you know somewhere in that you know one to four percent depending on how you're looking at it etc so let's say two percent and unfortunately that's also right in the range where you could get false false positives but so I then navall was you know dealing with this question and he's smarter about this stuff and he was pointing out that the tests probably are calibrated so that they take into account what they know about the accuracy of the testing so that that's all you know figured into it and then other smart people came in and said well in order to do that the only

[21:36]

said well in order to do that the only way you could be sure your tests worked is to calibrate it against a test you know works but that doesn't exist so there's apparently there are no you know really reliable tests they could be calibrated against something that you know is reliable now I'm not sure I believe that because the manufacturer of the tests presumably is testing it against some other standard and it seems like if you've got a any kind of a positive you would just retest them say okay yeah are we getting too many false positives and they were just retest with other devices until they were sure that it was real or sure that it was a false test so I think the manufacturer could use just a variety of other test kits to see if as the least in agreement and that would get you pretty close to knowing if he had a false positive but if he had a false negative if you tested a thousand people and you got one

[22:36]

a thousand people and you got one positive well it's pretty obvious that you should run that one positive through some other tests just to see if it's real but what about the 999 negatives with the manufacturer of the that we're talking about would they have rerun all 999 through all of the other tests which are available to see if they all get the same result ish and if some don't then rerun again to make sure that you know they know what's going on I don't know I'm guessing not but it would only be a gas I mean you could imagine that they would say yeah that's the only way we would do it of course you have to test and retest and retest against all the standards otherwise you don't really know what you have maybe you know my experience of the real world is that probably not but maybe because it's a medical world and you know one has to assume that they have higher standards than most of the world but my point of it is that really smart people who are

[23:39]

it is that really smart people who are operating at a level that I can't quite reach in other words people who understand this world and can deal with the statistical ambiguities of it more capably than I can are not quite on the same page about whether these tests are reliable or not now I can't really judge because again I'm not qualified but isn't it interesting there's something you would think would be as easy to know the truth of it even that you can't so let me let me back you up to about a bigger thought about all this wouldn't you say that the most standard information you've gotten is that we should use facts to make decisions and we should really know the facts or or anything we do with this coronavirus thing would be just nonsense we got to know the facts but is it also true that all of our facts are unreliable or total

[24:41]

all of our facts are unreliable or total am I wrong about that having all of our facts so far proven to be either unreliable or you can't be sure yeah might be true might not be true so I don't test or I don't trust any results of the tests I don't trust anything that comes from any guy and source I don't trust anything that comes from a private source I don't trust anything that comes from a pundit so how are we supposed to make decisions with facts when were the only fact we can be sure of is that our facts are wrong and it wouldn't you wouldn't have to have many facts that were wrong to have the wrong decision right so let's say you had all the facts were right except let's say face backs face masks see permit make things much worse or they fix everything so let's say you had all the facts correctly which is impossible but only just one fact was

[25:43]

impossible but only just one fact was wrong well that one wrong fact could totally blow your strategy and we certainly have at least one factor all we don't know which ones exactly we don't even know the denominator of you know how many people have recovered we don't know exactly why this is that we don't know a lot of things we don't know that genetic differences we're not entirely sure if smoking is good or bad for you we don't know how many people really died in China we don't know why Sweden is doing better we don't know why South Korea is doing better we have gases masks blah blah blah we don't know if social isolation works we don't know if it worked great we don't know if it works well we don't know if it's working better in some places we don't know anything so we should sort of abandon the childlike fairy tale that we're going to make this decision based on facts because we're not the reason we're not it's because there are no facts we

[26:43]

not it's because there are no facts we can rely on there are only facts we've heard facts sometimes come from credible sources and are also not true as evidence the World Health Organization the CDC their Surgeon General and our government all of them have told us things that are so insanely obviously not true facemasks being the obvious one that we don't have any facts yeah we're still arguing about dr. Shiva whether all you need is some vitamin we are so far from facts and the the Bill Gates rumors I mean we're not close to facts so here's the question how do you make a decision in the in the face of such extreme uncertainty you know there's some general things we know such as if you do nothing more people will get the virus so we know that so using just those general things plus some risk management you're generally

[27:44]

some risk management you're generally going to look for things that you can test and then pull back if you need to so yeah if you don't know what is the right answer it usually makes sense every situation is different but it usually makes sense to take the strategy that is the most adaptable if it doesn't work out that you can immediately say oops take it back now if we were to reopen the economy and just say all right let's see what happens is reopen everything and the virus took hold and you know a million people got it infected in a week could you easily reverse that not really it could be kind of hard to reverse it once a million people were infected although we're I think we have a quarter million already but likewise it would not be easy to reverse shutting down the economy but which one would be easier to reverse well depends how much you care about the

[28:44]

well depends how much you care about the deaths if you don't care about deaths just open up the economy if you do well you've got a tough decision
all right so we'll have to make a decision without a fax I hope that goes well here's here's one of the things that made me think that we need an IQ test not a blood test for or not a test for the program iris so I tweeted this which is a lot of people a lot of people who believe that Trump talks to complete you know BS 99% of the time so they're his critics believe that pretty much everything he says is a lie it's hyperbole or as BS and yet they can't understand why Trump would say that President Xi is an awesome guy and China is doing a great job at the same time that he's trying to get a trade

[29:45]

time that he's trying to get a trade deal done do you really not understand how that works are there people who are really so dumb that they don't understand the president Trump is standing right in front of you on camera and winking as hard as he can yeah I love President Xi he's wink wink doing a great job great job oh yeah I'll be concerned if they give us bad information but President Qi he's my friend when Frank Hague could he wink any harder do you believe him when he says that China is awesome I believe that he's smart enough to know that you're not gonna get anywhere with China if you try to keep milli eight them that I know do you think the president knows not to humiliate somebody he's trying to do a deal with in the middle of the deal oh sure maybe before and after but not in the middle of the deal if you're

[30:46]

in the middle of the deal if you're actually negotiating with somebody you're gonna be insulting them in public you need to get your IQ checked if you think the president should be insulting the president of China while we're trying to get something done you know check check your IQ at the door there all right it made no sense but you know what I'm talking about I don't think the Roger stone upcoming pardon or whatever whatever the word is worth what's the other word it's a pardon or a clemency clemency I don't think there's any question about it anymore is it the the president has so clearly signaled that he's going to pardon or grant clemency to Roger stone it's just a matter of timing at this point now manna fort there's another situation because you know that's just a darker situation but I think the Roger stone

[31:46]

situation but I think the Roger stone pardon is essentially guaranteed Nancy Pelosi was asked by Chris Wallace yesterday to explain how she was saying that the president was under playing the virus and yet at the very same time she was publically going to Chinatown and telling you everybody to enjoy Chinatown and the big crowds during the pandemic and of course Chris Wallace was calling that out and saying you know you're criticizing the president for not taking you seriously exactly the same time you were doing that not taking us seriously and inviting people to hang around at big crowds and what was Nancy Pelosi his response to that it's a real head shaker she said that the real point of that was to counter president Trump's racism because she was worried that because he was calling with the virus the Chinese

[32:47]

was calling with the virus the Chinese virus or the Wuhan virus that it would stoke racism and so she decided to go to Chinatown and get all the Chinese American citizens infected with corona virus and maybe die so that they wouldn't feel bad that a virus was named after a country that they don't live in so this might be if you could have some kind of a some kind of an award for the most pathetic answer you've ever heard from a politician I'm not even gonna call it a lie because it's so obvious a lie that you don't really need to call that out you should at least if you were gonna lie you should at least take a stab at making it'll sound a little bit believable do you think there's anybody even in the Democratic Party so sorry about that technical glitch is it because of something I said about China

[33:51]

because of something I said about China I don't know we'll find out because I'll test that again anyway so whatever Nancy Pelosi said I'm wondering were there Democrats were there Democrats who were thinking to themselves gosh you know that is a good question Chris Wallace oh why did Nancy Pelosi criticize President Trump at the same time she was inviting people to a big crowd to get infected and trying to tell me why why did she do that and then they hear the answer and Pelosi says oh it's to counteract president Trump's racism is there anybody who was a Democrat who heard that and said oh oh yeah that makes sense now I was thinking God do I want to swear I want to swear so much today I guess I just work too much already I'm gonna I'm gonna pull it back serenity Dale is there any Democrat who heard Pelosi say that she was trying to

[34:54]

heard Pelosi say that she was trying to counteract president's racism by going to Chinatown does anybody believe that is there any Democrat who's dumb enough to believe that really because at least you know to the credit of Trump supporters when Trump says something that we know is not true we kinda know it don't we yeah don't you don't you know it if he says I had the biggest crowd size you know since the gladiators and in the Coliseum you know don't you listen to it you go oh maybe maybe not this is really bad it's not really the point does it doesn't really matter if you exaggerated that I feel like Trump supporters generally know when he's saying things that are complete BS but I don't know if Democrats know it when Pelosi says it I just can't tell has anybody seen Joe Biden since Friday this is an actual question because I don't

[35:54]

is an actual question because I don't know has Joe Biden been televised since Friday I'll wait for your comments because I don't want to see I can't tell if that comment is this was a the last one I was people are still talking wanting me to swear by Esther that question has Joe Biden put Biden in the answer so I know that's why you're answering as Joe Biden has shown himself in two and a half days because it feels like I'll wait for your answer so I'll get it I get over my skis a little bit if we haven't seen them oh let me make a general I'm going to make a general observation if if we did not see Joe Biden for two days and I need a confirmation of that so I'll make it a general statement if there ever is a time that we don't see Joe Biden at least on video for two days it means

[36:58]

least on video for two days it means he's going to be out of the race that's that's my prediction if you ever see a two-day gap with no Joe Biden live video at this point from here until the election any two day gap means he's out of the race that is my assumption now the way he leaves the race of course is a great question but I would think if he went dark for two days and I don't know if he did I need that confirmation of that I saw a tweet of it but he may have reappeared right after the tweet okay people are saying no on Joe Biden so if it's true that we haven't seen it for two days it means the Democrats are talking into leaving the race because I see no scenario that you would stay out of the public eye unless Democrats were talking him into getting out of the race and being replaced I think that's happening right now if he's been gone for two days because

[38:01]

he's been gone for two days because otherwise there's no reason now you could say to yourself no no Scout the reason is he's not mentally capable so they're keeping them off the Airways which I would say is really the same thing I just said because if they've kept him off video for two days because they don't think he's mentally competent at the moment that also means they're having the conversation about replacing them there's no way you separate those two things right and then I saw one article an opinion article on CNN saying that Elizabeth Warren was the obvious best choice for vice president and of course she made things interesting by saying that if Bernie if Biden asked her to be vice president she would say yes which is sort of a weird thing to say usually you say well I'm not talking about that today so what if it's Warren because if they replace if they replace vitamin with warand you end up with birdie right

[39:03]

with warand you end up with birdie right because Warren is basically burning and indifferent clothes so Warren gets you the woman so good for the woman vote and it gets your Bernie so the Bernie voters can say we wanted Bernie but okay she's younger she's pretty close so you could probably get the Bernie bros many of them and I think the the mainstream Democrats have proven by their nominating Abidin that they literally don't care who's running right so you'd have the Bernie bros who would be back in if it's Elizabeth Warren maybe at least you'd have an argument to get him back in you'd have you'd have the bill and then the mainstream people just wouldn't care because they were going to vote Democrat didn't matter who was I don't know if anybody would vote against Warren if they're a Democrat I could see people voting against Bernie but but Warren has that I haven't been a communist all my life kind of vibe so

[40:05]

communist all my life kind of vibe so maybe she could soften her stance a little bit and still get in get in there so words actually an interesting choice I'm going to stick with my prediction of table Harris in part because I think she hasn't been a relationship with Biden and Biden sort of has to be part of the decision all right so Chyna somebody official in China has stated that China is not the enemy of the United States so that's good isn't it great to know that China is not the enemy of the United States but I would point out that China who is not the enemy of the United States has already killed more Americans this year with coronavirus and fentanyl then all of America's enemies added up over the past ten years am I right about that check check my math but I think that China who says they're our friend has probably killed maybe approaching a

[41:07]

probably killed maybe approaching a hundred thousand Americans in 2020 I think well he had a hundred thousand between the fentanyl and coronavirus probably over a hundred thousand and if you were to add up all of the Americans killed in in by every enemy country over ten years it wouldn't come close to a hundred thousand coordinate because you did you'd be adding up you know the the two wars and they don't even come close
yeah Massachusetts doesn't even like war some people say all right you know I'll go back to something I said if I didn't say that it is this on the morning periscope I'd like to reinforce it we of course are going to decouple from China now the question of whether wheel decouple has been answered it's just a question of how long it takes because the government doesn't even have to be involved in it anymore there there's enough social pressure that if you could if you were to move a production

[42:08]

if you were to move a production facility to China from this day forward it would be news in the past that would not be news right if a fortune 500 company moved production to China that wouldn't be news that's old now now it's news so they kind of can't do it so social pressure and consumer pressure will completely stop at a big company from moving to China they could move to another country I mean they could probably get away with Vietnam or Mexico but no the decoupling that's just going to happen so there's no question about that but the way we should present it is to avoid humiliating or offending China because there's nothing in it for us you know I think it's okay to hate China but they have a different reaction to you know obviously every country has people they hate them you know people are sort of used to being hated but people don't like being disrespected and they don't

[43:09]

like being disrespected and they don't want to be humiliated etc so we should look for the the way to decouple this sounds the most like you know it's not you it's me you know when you break up with somebody it's not you it's me and we need a version of that for China when do we decouple and my version of that is we should say our systems are not compatible it has nothing to do with you has nothing to do with you President Xi you're awesome it's just that you've chosen the system that sadly doesn't it doesn't fit with our system and we have transparency and you don't have transparency and those are two systems that can't fit together so if we became non transparent well maybe we'd have something well that probably doesn't work to non transparent systems we're not going to be very successful but if they were to become transparent and of course we're not your boss we're not going to tell China they need to be more transparent we're just not going to be in their game so I don't think we should

[44:11]

in their game so I don't think we should be in the business of telling China what to do because it doesn't work and it would be humiliating and just there's no upside but we could certainly tell them that while they're doing whatever they want to do that system is not compatible with our system so we're going to take our ball and go home it's nothing personal we would we wish they fit together but transparency and non transparency or just two systems and don't fit no way around it we tried it was worth trying
all right something weird happened this morning that I just have to call out to see if anybody noticed it so I woke up around 3:30 this morning which is not unusual and I just got up went to work because that's not unusual for me I hate sleeping I hate sleeping more than I hate really anything in my life right now I don't like getting at the bed I don't like staying there I don't like

[45:12]

don't like staying there I don't like being asleep I don't like any of it because I like my life and I realized that I get up so early in the morning that I've effectively had two lifetimes when most people have had one and what I mean by that is if you look at your 24 hour a day those 24 hours are not equal right because there's the hours you're asleep that are like you don't exist and then there are the hours that you're you know commuting there are the hours in the afternoon that you're so sleepy you can't get anything done so the hours are all different they're not equal quality and I would argue that because the first hours of the morning are their premium hours of the entire day that people like me routinely get up at 4:00 in the morning by the time the rest of the world wakes up you know let's say people are just starting to you know get up at a dish we're getting to work in a tissue anyway but I've got a four-hour head start sometimes five hours per day on people

[46:15]

sometimes five hours per day on people who who are getting up and living their life and their normal schedule and I often feel that by my current age its shows because I feel like I present myself like somebody who lived two lifetimes because it actually physically feels like that today I have a whole lifetime that I lead before most of you wake up and I do the great majority of all my useful creative and productive work happens before most people wake up now yeah Jaco will X somebody mentioned in the comments and he's one of the people who baby wonder so this morning he you know showed that he was up at 4:00 in the morning and I saw at least three other Californians who were clearly up at about 4:00 a.m. this morning and tweeting hey you know I I send a text

[47:17]

tweeting hey you know I I send a text message my brother and about 4:45 a.m. or whatever it is and I get an instant response you know people that I think I think California is just stop sleeping and I think Californians are just getting up really easy it really early so I don't know maybe they were getting up at 4:20 for a reason
those were my comments what time do you go to bed I got a bad whenever whenever whenever I'd like to be in bed at least during the coronavirus I like to be in bed at 9:30 ish 10 o'clock during normal times it's not unusual for me to stay up later you know stay up till 10:00 but it doesn't matter when I go to bed I just don't like sleeping so I just get up if I wake up anytime after 3:00 and I just stay up yeah maybe that's why I do two

[48:27]

stay up yeah maybe that's why I do two times that eight hours per day he sleep 16 hours a day okay yeah it's easier when you don't have to that's true it's easier to wake up early when you don't have to maybe all the successful people have moved to California well you know California has one advantage which is for getting up early when Californians get up early they have somebody to talk to because we can talk to the East Coast because East Coast has been up for a while if you if you're on the East Coast and you wake up early the only only people you have to talk to you or people on the East Coast all right do you take naps rarely I do I do it naps are definitely in my in my toolbox but I'd say maybe a couple of month I've

[49:32]

but I'd say maybe a couple of month I've changed to get up now for you well thank you thank you for getting up for my periscopes yeah I think people are different I'm not sure that everybody can learn to be a morning person I wish you could because the morning is definitely the best part of the day yes the Brits there's always the Brits that the east coast to talk could talk to if they get up early a good point all right that's all I got for today they're just babbling I will talk to you tonight and remember you can have a great day today