Episode 900 Scott Adams: Why I Have Decided to Identify as Woman to Lower My Coronavirus Risk

Date: 2020-04-08 | Duration: 55:15

Topics

My new book LOSERTHINK, available now on Amazon https://tinyurl.com/rqmjc2a Content: Debunking the pneumonia death chart, kudos Tyler Morgan! Overruling non-data based requests for ventilators and PPE Coronavirus net death estimate Dr. Birx and how deaths are classified President Trump’s response to an unprepared reporter

If you would like my channel to have a wider audience and higher production quality, please donate via my startup (Whenhub.com) at this link: https://interface.my/ScottAdamsSays

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## Transcript

[0:04]

[Music] bump bump bump bump hey everybody come on in it's almost time for coffee with Scott Adams this is the place it is have you noticed that not a single person who regularly watches coffee with Scott Adams has died from the corona virus it's true if there's anybody on here who can refute that claim please let me know but for now I'm gonna say that watching coffee with Scott Adams and the simultaneous hip has some protective qualities that are just as proven as hydroxychloroquine unfortunately that's true but it's a good thing you hear because you can enjoy the protective value of the simultaneous if evaluate is a cup or a mug door glass a tanker challenger stein a canteen junker flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee enjoyed me

[1:05]

favorite liquid I like coffee enjoyed me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine the end of the day the thing that makes everything including the pandemic better I just realized so you can't spell pandemic with our damn probably doesn't mean anything but aside for the simultaneous up go the pain damage but I guess you can't spell it without damn but you can't spell it without damn wait a minute wait a minute you can't spell a pandemic without them all right so here's the most fun story of the day most of you have seen on social media a chart that seemed to show that the number of pneumonia deaths of this year fell off a cliff just when we started reporting the coronavirus deaths and the

[2:08]

reporting the coronavirus deaths and the implication is that regular pneumonia was being classified incorrect as coronavirus deaths because why would the pneumonia death suddenly just disappear when they've never done that and the other year this month all the other years had a somewhat you know a similar curve except this one one year Boop now to catch you up I saw that chart and said to myself that looks like a fake chart and so I challenged the world to debunk it or not debunk it and pretty soon there was a debunk er but then as I reported yesterday there was a debunk er of the D bunker so I started out thinking well it's debunked and then somebody debunked the debunking and I thought well maybe it's not but I'm gonna show you how to end an argument you've never seen an argument ended as elico eloquently as the one I'm gonna end right now and this is with the help of Tyler Morgan whose profile says he's

[3:15]

of Tyler Morgan whose profile says he's a freelance data scientist software developer business analyst and mining engineer so he's a freelance data scientist so that's exactly the right skill set to look at this chart and then look at the data and tell us if this chart has accurately reflected the data all right so it's the right job the right guy but wow talk about nailing it I have to show it to you and I don't know if you'll be able to see it I'm gonna see can you see this if I hold it let me see if I can I'll change the lighting setting on here and darken it and then I think you'll be able to barely make it out because you have to you have to see it moving so here's a chart made by talented Tyler Morgan data analyst and see if you let's see if you can see it I hold it just right I think you can all darn it oh this is such a good chart I have to try one more time to see if I could let you see that cuz

[4:18]

to see if I could let you see that cuz this is just so good how about now Oh kind of all right sue damn it I have to hold it just right this is so annoying correct oh I guess it probably color adjusted that's what happened yeah all right well this would be really impressive if you could see it let me describe it for those of you who are just listening so Tyler Morgan who is a freelance data scientist took all the data from the CDC and this is the source the same source that the allegedly misleading graph used and what he graphed it he graphed it in the same timing as the other years had been graphed in other words he built his graph to show the the curve being built up over time as his reporting came in each month for prior years and what he found somebody said turn blue light go

[5:21]

found somebody said turn blue light go off let me try that Alexa turn it off studio all right so let's see if I go dark if you can see that I didn't know almost there it is you can almost see it moving in the dark there all right so you see the little line below it's actually a different line for each year you can't tell that they're different colors for the year but what you can see is that the line starts out seeming to have this inexplicable dip when it reaches the middle there this seems to be dipping down but that's a fake dip caused by the known lag and data so as the the data comes in the curve just goes back to where all the other curves are for the prior years so this is I'm glad whoever said to turn off the blue light that was exactly the right answer so thank you for doing that but look how perfectly this ends the argument because that line is for not

[6:24]

argument because that line is for not just this year but it's for every prior year and you can see that every year at this time there's an unexplained dip which actually is explained by the lag and
and all of them will be the same so Alexa had turned on studio sorry I'm triggering all your devices at home but since you don't have a studio probably ordered anything hi so I've never seen an argument ended so perfectly have you have you ever seen an argument on Twitter that actually came to some kind of a conclusion you usually you could argue forever and if we'd only been arguing without the benefit of an animated graph because it was the animation that brought it alive now I'd like to tie this point to the point I've been making since day one about the task force you've seen me just complaining endlessly that the task force gives you

[7:25]

endlessly that the task force gives you raw numbers and doesn't put them in context so I don't care how many masks you delivered unless I know how many you need it doesn't tell me if you've got ten percent of what you needed or 110 percent and my point is that they had the wrong people working so that the task force simply didn't have anybody on their on their team who was as talented as Tyler Morgan so you know guy on internet just totally nails this data visualization what honestly this is the best data visualization I've ever seen in my life in terms of getting you to you know an answer in a way that just ends the conversation it's probably the best one I've ever seen so somebody like him
him should have been working with the task force to give us a picture give us a graph give us some kind of visual sense of are we getting close to getting enough supplies or not here's my sense of it I think we're gonna overshoot the

[8:25]

of it I think we're gonna overshoot the supplies and I was happy when dr. Burks was talking about the system because you know I always obsess about a system you know rather than saying it's our goal to get everybody enough stuff I always say well it's great to have a goal but what's your system if you don't have a system you're not going to achieve your goal so dr. Brooks the first time gave a little detail of the system so apparently the at the federal level they do have some visibility into the hospitals it's becoming apparent that at least part of the problem for them getting numbers about how much people have and how much they need and I think this is very clear now is that the hospitals were lying to them and it must have been obvious in other words hospitals were saying AHA yeah we're gonna need a million masks when they might have thought they needed a hundred thousand but they didn't want to run out so everybody's sort of maximizing their their their selfish individual Hospital benefit and that's

[9:28]

individual Hospital benefit and that's not that's not a flawed the people the system causes everybody to try to maximize their individual benefit and you hope things work out in the long run but in but if they start hoarding that doesn't work you know capitalism works even when everybody's selfish because the the rules of capitalism and the transparency and everything allowed that to work there doesn't always work all right so so Cuomo was saying he needed 30,000 ventilators so what I think is that now that Burks has described the system in which the federal government has some visibility and they're overruling the requests from the individual areas which i think is exactly what I wanted to hear because in order to make sure that the places with an immediate need can get you know get ventilators and stuff transferred to

[10:30]

ventilators and stuff transferred to them is the government needs to look at their numbers of all the hospitals reporting and then act like an adult and say you don't need a million of these I know you want a million and I know you'd feel better if you had a million and I know you can pay for a million but maybe this isn't statistically where we need a million masks so when Burks the doctor described that that was their system where the federal government was had jazz ability that was the first thing I needed to know that I didn't know I didn't know that they had visibility and they're also they were doubting doubting the requests that makes me very comfortable I want the federal government to be playing the adult and you know doubting the the need of individual things and putting a larger you know analytical frame on it so they're thinking just things with that system in place and absent the government saying oh we have a big emergency in this one supply if if

[11:33]

a big emergency in this one supply if if the government thought they were gonna run out of supplies at this point yesterday as of today's vantage point I'm almost positive you would be hearing something like this we'd you know we're really short on this supply but you're not hearing that right you're hearing sort of a general we need more of everything the fact that it's only general and nobody's saying my god we ran out of this one thing we got to get these tomorrow suggests that the government might be comfortable that we'll have enough everywhere and that comfort might come entirely from their newfound ability to overrule the hospitals and move things where the federal government
but the National Guard at 7:00 so I get it I'm gonna give the taskforce a C+ for reporting about how many materials that

[12:34]

reporting about how many materials that we need I did give them an F yesterday based on the fact that they provided no context for us to know whether the numbers every reporting were enough for too much but I'm revising that today because now with the with the understanding of that they have a system the system is completely rational from you know me as an observer I would say yeah that's that is exactly the system you need it I believe it exists I don't think dr. Brooks is you know lying or misleading us that such a system exists so with the knowledge that that system exists and the fact that the government isn't calling out some specific supply that's the extra emergency and the fact that the the estimates have gone way down strongly suggests that our government thinks they'll have enough of everything would you agree by the way would you agree they're just sort of reading the hints suggests that the government does

[13:35]

hints suggests that the government does think they'll still have enough now that's probably a new opinion based on the fact that the death count estimates also went down and they built a system for adjusting where you need things went so I'm gonna give them a C+ because I think there might be a valid reason for not giving us the details one of them is they don't believe the details coming from the hospitals so if they were to report it they would have to simultaneously say but we don't think the numbers are real we think all the hospitals are lying to us to pad their supplies although I would have been okay with that but given that they have a system I'm okay with it without the details because I don't think there's a problem and I also think it's completely sensible if not completely ethical no I will say this let me say this if the government thinks that we're gonna make way too many ventilators and masks they should still keep pushing as hard as they are even if we're not going to

[14:35]

as they are even if we're not going to use them in the United States because remember even though you know we want to be America first it's a global problem and if we don't get a control on the rest of the globe or they don't get a control on it it does come back to us right so for selfish reasons you have to help the world it's an enlightened selfishness but you do have to help the world so if we make 10 times more ventilators than we need and we can share them with countries that don't have enough I'd say that is ethically and morally required I would say that's required at this point what do you say you know if we have enough of the United States but we could make more I think we're I think we're at eclis morally required to make them if we can so at this point I'm pretty good pretty good with what the task force is doing with supplies let's see I'm already seeing the debate of the people disagreeing whether the death counts are

[15:36]

disagreeing whether the death counts are going down because we estimated them wrong from the beginning or because the mitigation works right I told you that this debate will never end and when it's done we still never know we'll never know I mean you might think you know but you might not speaking of death has estimates dr. Chris Murray director of the Institute for Health metrics and evaluation at the University of Washington so there there's more than one model of death but this model is at least notable enough that it was it was on TV so and the TV news and their model says that the new predicted death count is around 80 mm so the u.s. death count by this model which is one of the big ones is lower to 80 mm now that's 82,000 gross so that would be the number of people who were coded as dying from crota virus in the United States but

[16:37]

crota virus in the United States but over that period which will be a few months there will also be and we know we know for sure that a number of regular deaths will be avoided so a whole bunch of regular deaths won't happened so you have to net the 80 mm and how many regular deaths won't happen during this period I don't know the exact number but it's in the tens of thousands so let's say let's say it's fifty thousand so let's say there are fifty thousand avoided 82,000 coronavirus deaths so you take the difference so you'd be has 32,000 deaths net so and this is an official estimates this is somebody who does this you know it's not the Imperial Imperial model but it's it's one of the ones that gets thrown in that conversation and if it gets down to thirty-two thousand deaths that's just the current estimate that's

[17:38]

that's just the current estimate that's not the estimate assuming that we give even better at reducing the deaths and do you think that will get even better you know do you think we'll do you think that it will get even better I might so whose estimate will be the closest when we're all done remember my estimate was five thousand or less net suppose the number comes into the 32,000 net who had the closest estimate the experts who said maybe one hundred or two thousand two hundred thousand maybe a million or the cartoonist who would be somebody says there is somebody restating it down to the sixty thousand level oh my god I feel like I'm gonna I'm gonna I'm gonna kill somebody somebody in the comments says have you

[18:39]

somebody in the comments says have you given up on your five thousand net
I'm not gonna block you because you're just confused but let me tell you it's always 5,000 net if you ask me in a hundred years that will still be my prediction it could be right it could be wrong but it's never gonna be gross it will always be net always has been 5000 that please never ask me again if I've changed it because even if I update it I will be saying that the 5000 net was wrong so it would be it would just be a new prediction if I change it but this one is it's it's hard-coded that's my prediction right or wrong now if I change my prediction that would be a second prediction that could be judged right or wrong but the first one will be wrong if I if I change it all right

[19:47]

there's also CNN is mocking the conservative people for saying that the death count may be over counted and this is brian Stelter on CNN so I have to read this because I think it's always funny the way C and then biases their their opinion stuff well I guess opinions are biased by nature but this is brian Stelter on CNN he says some of the biggest names in right-wing media are questioning the official carbon 19 death toll all right so some of the biggest names in right-wing media so later he goes on to name who he's talking about these biggest names in right-wing media and the alyssum he says rush limbaugh and i'm thinking yeah yes that's that's about the biggest name and right wing well conservative anyway i wouldn't call him great wait mark levin yeah yeah big name on conservative taco carlson of course britt hume yeah and they throws in diamond and silk now i love diving in silk and what they do

[20:48]

i love diving in silk and what they do is tremendous i mean there's a there's a reason that they're successful they're very talented and charismatic and they're great all right as far as the in the same category with Tucker Carlson and Brit Hume but yeah that's just what's funny is that CNN likes to you know just love everybody together so that for their purposes anyway here's this point he saying that all these conservative types who he calls right-wing but there that's I would just say they're conservative they're suggesting that the numbers might be inflated in an effort to paint president Trump as doing a worse job and I think that the the evidence of that is that dr. Burks said at the press conference that if somebody comes in with two conditions let's say diabetes and also a corona virus and they die that they call that a corona virus death not a diabetes

[21:50]

that a corona virus death not a diabetes death if they come in with hypertension and coronavirus they call it a corona virus death now i think that a lot of conservative people are saying wait a minute between the fact that you've already admitted that you can't tell what they died of and yet you're coding them all as coronavirus death just because they have corona virus in them there must be a lot of people dying coincidentally you also have an infection so they're saying well that's an obvious way that you're over counting and then they look at that graph that's been debunked and they say well there it is there's the proof dr. Burks has admitted that they're coding them coronavirus without really knowing and then you look at the graph and it shows there's a big drop-off in pneumonias boom you put those two things together and therefore it's obvious that the number of pneumonia deaths have been undercounted and that they they illegitimately counted them as coronavirus deaths and therefore the

[22:52]

coronavirus deaths and therefore the number is inflated here's what's wrong with that point of view everything alright so the whoever whoever is associated with that point of view that's just dead wrong as far as I can tell number one remember two points of data that they're using number one is that graph that I talked about earlier which is completely debunked so in terms of looking at the data as its presented on the graph it's just fake there's that data so half of the argument I don't know if this is true for all the individuals that I mentioned but in general half of the argument is based on a graph which we know is based on lagging data and not accurate I won't call it a fake some people some people object to becoming a fake because that sounds like it was intentionally faked but fake also just means untrue so the graph is untrue I don't think anybody necessarily to

[23:53]

I don't think anybody necessarily to that intentionally secondly what do you make of the fact that dr. Brooks admits in public that if somebody comes in with two conditions either one of them could kill you but if one of them is coronavirus they call it a coronavirus death does that inflate the number of coronavirus deaths I think not but every one of you thinks yes right probably probably almost every one of you at least 90% of you are saying well duh if they come in with two things that could kill you and you you don't know which one killed you and they're not checking they're not doing an autopsy obviously that gets you accidentally over counting right just obviously it couldn't be more obvious right I disagree I'm gonna side with dr. Burks and here's why
why statistically speaking what are the odds

[24:53]

statistically speaking what are the odds that your diabetes was gonna kill you that day yeah what if you had diabetes you probably didn't get it on Tuesday you've probably had diabetes for 15 years if you have diabetes for 15 years you go in one week for coronavirus and you die is it statistically invalid to say well we can't guarantee it was the Kuroda my but one of the odds that you've had this problem for 15 years and this is the week you died so I'm gonna say it is true that you can't tell you cannot be a hundred percent sure that somebody went into the hospital died because of the Kuroda virus but I do feel confident there from a statistical point of view it's probably well over ninety percent accurate well over ninety percent anybody disagree now add to that how

[25:56]

anybody disagree now add to that how many people died at home of a heart attack who also had corona virus but it didn't make any difference because they died of a heart attack and nobody checks for a corona virus yeah that the EMTs come to your house they see I had a heart attack you've never been diagnosed for corona virus how did they code it well sure they coded as a heart attack because that's what it was so you have a troop had this problem in coding these things but it could work either way could it could be a little you know a little little push and pull not necessarily equal but I'm just saying that there might be inaccuracies in both directions and in my opinion dr. Burks is on completely sound statistical ground because the odds that you've had cancer for six months but this is the week you died could be because of the cancer could be but if you're also struggling for oxygen and your lungs are collapsing exactly like a corona virus patient and

[26:58]

exactly like a corona virus patient and you've got the what the ER doctors call that distinguishing your red eyes apparently your eyes get red around the edges and it could be a coincidence that you died of something else but I think statistically I'm gonna say that there is no evidence to support the conservative point of view that there is obviously over accounting there could be over counting but the evidence that's used to suggest that there is is completely invalid somebody says Scott I disagree oh you're so close to getting blocked if you had said Scott you're wrong I would have blocked him because you know I always tell you that you can tell me why I'm wrong because even though you don't have that much room in the text you could suggest that the topic of which I'm wrong so you might have said for example I think you're forgetting this factor um you don't have to go into details you could say have you

[28:00]

details you could say have you considered this doesn't take many characters but if you're just telling me I'm wrong you get blocked whoever said Scott I disagree you're right on the edge of getting blocked but I'm gonna let you go with a warning okay
who benefits from extended lockdown crazy talk that's crazy talk alright everybody who believes that the lockdown is some kind of a clever scheme by some kind of political or other operatives in my opinion that's crazy talk and you should just stop doing it alright now that's not to say that there are people who are thinking well if we had to have a crisis might as well get something out of it I'm sure there are those people but in general I think nobody's doing this for advantage I think people are you know biased the way they're biased CNN will always criticize the president

[29:03]

CNN will always criticize the president no matter what but you sort of discount that in your mind speaking of the press and the president there are some a couple of funny things if you watch the press conference you saw President Trump go full Simon Cowell now you could argue this Simon Cowell is really just Trump because they both like to insult their their critics but the thing about Simon Cowell is that he'd be he would be cruel to people who were just you know we're just trying to do their job you know just trying to sing so he had so Simon Cowell had that like special kind of cruelness there wasn't anybody who did anything to Simon Cowell president Trump generally has the kind of cruelness where he's just getting back at people who criticized him first so Simon was worse in the sense that he'll criticize somebody that didn't do anything to him first so with that in mind there was a reporter for I don't know who it was I didn't recognize him

[30:03]

know who it was I didn't recognize him so the reporter starts to ask the question of President Trump and he starts he goes quote checking on oil again today and then the president cuts them off in mid-sentence he goes where is it today give me the price and the reporter says I'm not sure to be honest and then Trump says how could he ask a question would you know the price then the reporter says I'll look it up and Trump cuts him off in disgust just let me go to somebody else it was it was the coldest thing I've ever seen the president do once the price of oil you don't know I'll go to somebody who knows how to ask a question and oh my god I was watching that and I just thought to myself oh my god because I was putting myself in the shoes of this reporter and again I don't know what Letty was from maybe some maybe somebody here can tell me but since they have to take turns even to getting into the press room so first of all it's the hardest thing in the world to get into the room in in a

[31:05]

the world to get into the room in in a normal time in a normal time it'd be hard to be important enough to be in that room with the president at the press conference but because of social distancing they're only letting them sit you know every third chair or whatever it is so to get into the room under these conditions is very rare and I didn't recognize him so I don't know if he's ever been in the room before it might have been the first time he's ever asked the question to the president on live TV I don't know that but I've never seen him before and I'm thinking it might be imagined what his day was like the reporter imagined when he found out okay is this very rare honor but you're gonna be in the room can be national TV and it's not a regular press conference the whole country in fact the whole world is watching these these are really highly rated only a few of you are chosen the end of all the reporters in the world you're one of the I don't know 810 how many were in the room and you get to ask

[32:06]

many were in the room and you get to ask a question on national TV make it good make it good this is your moment to shine checking on the oil yep where is it give me the price I'm not sure to be huh how can he ask you a question would you drop the price I'll look it up let me just go to someone else oh my god now I've said before that I could watch this all day long and it's true because I think the president knew what I don't let this person was problem and he probably knew in advance it wasn't going to be a real question right it probably wasn't gonna be a real question it was just gonna be another gotcha question I'm guessing the president sniffed it out because of who he worked for the reporter so that was pretty funny the other repressed failure is there's reporting that President Trump could gain financially by the hydroxychloroquine drug and apparently it's true it's true apparently the

[33:08]

it's true it's true apparently the president could gain financially if people use this drug that he's promoting that has not passed all the scientific clinical tests sounds pretty bad doesn't it president the United States promoting an unproven drug that he has a financial interest in Wow Wow the press nailed him got him they got him this time let's see how much how many millions did he does he stand to make on this well let's see it's a blind trust and it's a managed portfolio so he doesn't directly on the stock it's in a managed basket of stocks by some other company that doesn't investing for him and how much more percentage well if you do the math it looks like the president if everything went well instead if he you know their stock went up I think the president could stand to and this is just an estimate I mean I could be off a little

[34:08]

estimate I mean I could be off a little bit but I think this the president stands to make hundreds of dollars hundreds yea hundreds of dollars now not hundreds of millions of dollars based on the amount of stock he owns indirectly through a fund that owns lots of stocks including this one according to Mike Serta who bothered to do the math and it basically tweets shamed the the rest of the media for not even bothering to do the math yeah apparently the game could be all of maybe a few hundred dollars if everything went right you know best case scenario President Trump could make hundreds of dollars off of this that was world news world news they could make hundreds of dollars if everything went right so your press has not been covering themselves with glory

[35:09]

not been covering themselves with glory let's talk about Pope Francis you know it's good that we have these religious and moral leaders because when you have a big crisis an emergency they they can be very helpful you know and normal times are helpful but you really need a moral and spiritual leader like the Pope to really get on board and be useful during this time of emergency so here's what he said Pope Francis has said that the corona virus pandemic is one of quote nature's responses to humans ignoring the current ecological crisis ok I take back everything I said it turns out that our moral and religious leaders are no use whatsoever an emergency may be making it worse possibly but nice try Pope Francis thanks for playing that didn't work out let's see what else

[36:09]

that didn't work out let's see what else is going on I gotta check that number of deaths it see if it really got really got lowered now I tweeted provocatively I tweeted provocative this and I have to read you my tweet in the exact wording because if you don't do the exact wording it doesn't work I said I would never compare President Trump to Jesus but it is worth noting that they are somewhat comparable in terms of curing illnesses I mean you know talking about the democratic representative who who credits President Trump with saving her life by recommending the hydroxychloroquine and then I go on it said and to be fair I don't think Jesus could have come back after the Access Hollywood tape if you think about it it was pretty miraculous but overall Jesus is way way better than Trump so I want to be very clear I'm not comparing Trump to Jesus it's just sort

[37:13]

comparing Trump to Jesus it's just sort of objectively true that Trump is gonna have some cures Jesus had some cures but we're not keeping score we're not keeping score I'm not saying he's better than Jesus come on don't even think that I'm just saying that they both have some cures and they're coming back from the Access Hollywood tape I don't think anybody expected that come back so just pointing it out but overall overall just so we're on the same page here overall Jesus is way way better than Trump we all agree on that right okay glad we're on the same page so the the New York City Health Department they've been asked whether it was safe to have sex during the coronavirus thing and so they issued some guidelines so this is the New York City Health Department and they they

[38:16]

City Health Department and they they said that you should they recommend that you're only get intimate with someone in your household along with oh well I can't say this word cuz your kids are home but this is coming from a you know an official government source the New York City Health Department so let's put it this way the the other thing that they recommend the last part of the word is Bayesian the first part of the word is bastard so that's what they recommend either only get intimate with someone who's already in your household or you could do the Bayesian thing first part master and I thought to myself well I'm kind of limited to people in my household my fiance is in a different house sort of Snickers and Boo my dog in my cat so I held a little house meeting and I talked to my dog and my cat and I said this

[39:18]

to my dog and my cat and I said this isn't me talking this is an official government source and I said they're recommending you can only get intimate with somebody who's already in your house so I was sort of feeling am out on this and I got to know from both on mid turns out they were both like no forget about it and then they both recommend it and this is weird I didn't see it coming but the dog the dog recommended that I do that Bayesian thing first word master and when the dog said that to me I thought are you kidding are you kidding are you telling me that I've just spent the last month completely alone in this big house of mine and I could have been doing that with all my free time my Wi-Fi and my access to the Internet are you telling me I could have been doing that the whole time I was waiting for

[40:19]

that the whole time I was waiting for some kind of a guideline and man was I getting frustrated but thank you to the New York City Health Department for EM and my dog Snickers for giving me the big okay there I'm just saying I feel a lot better today I'm just feeling a lot better today all right I looked at my odds according to one list so my odds of dying from the coronavirus because I live in California and apparently California is really nailing it on this coronavirus stuff really nailing it and so my odds of dying as a Californian are one in a hundred thousand one in a hundred thousand now of course I'm in the high-risk group so mine is actually higher but it's kind of good to know that for the average Californian it's one in a hundred thousand now if somebody said your odds of dying or somebody to your family the odds are one in a hundred thousand if you go back to work

[41:20]

work you'd go back to work wouldn't you I think you would write one in a hundred thousand you'd say yeah that's good enough if it's one in a hundred you might say I'm not gonna kill one in a hundred people by going back to work cuz that's gonna be somebody I know right you know if 100 people died of coronavirus yeah that would include people you know but one in a hundred thousand maybe not all right now I've decided that the other thing is that males have a way higher chance of dying from coronavirus and females and they don't know exactly what's what the difference is you know something genetic but men are dying in a much higher rate than women and that wasn't a risk I was willing to take so from now until the coronavirus crisis has passed I'm going to identify as female it's not that I feel that way on the inside but I'm just

[42:21]

feel that way on the inside but I'm just trying to manage my coronavirus risk because I understand the corona virus is much more aggressive against men so just for a few months I'm going to identify female it's just it's only for statistical reasons only for health reasons then you know depending how I like it if I like it I might keep it but you know probably at the end of the summer I might go back all right there is still this weird fake ridiculous debate and the news about whether President Trump was ignoring the advice of his aides and not acting more aggressively on the coronavirus more early and the evidence they gave is this January 29th memo from Navarro who's getting a lot of credit by the way he's a PhD social scientist he knows how to read studies so even though he's not a health care guy he you know he can read the news he can read the statistics he can look at the studies so he wrote a

[43:23]

he can look at the studies so he wrote a memo saying oh we got big trouble with this coronavirus we should act aggressively two days later President Trump closed the airport and the news is trying to find some distance between January 29th and ade writing a you know persuasive memo that we should close the airport and two days later why the the aegis said it was a big problem but the but two days later the president acting aggressively exactly as the aide would have wanted and the president says he doesn't remember the memo but I imagine lots of people were reading the memo and you know maybe there was lots of conversation around it so I think the memo probably had some impact if only on other aides who took the message to him but I believe him when he says he doesn't remember seeing the memo now is there really any distance there it are those two days between January 29th and

[44:23]

those two days between January 29th and January 31st is that where you're gonna find out that the president wasn't listening to his aides for two days one of the biggest decisions in all of you know in all of the global you know problems in the world one of the biggest questions and within two days he took the recommendation from a top aide who is being credited with getting it right two days really really that that's where we're gonna we're gonna find that if the president waited two days to take the recommendation that was right and that's a criticism are you kidding me so here's something else I'm gonna tell you that I probably shouldn't but I will because I've been talking more about politics I've gotten you know to meet a lot of people and to see behind the curtain on a number of big stories so it's quite common that

[45:24]

big stories so it's quite common that there will be a headline story and the news were reported one way and of course you know CNN reports it one way and Fox reports another but it's fairly common at this point that I already knew the story before it was in the news and I know the real story behind it it's not the story that anybody's reporting it happens fairly often and by the way if you know anybody who works let's say in a government or even for a big big company and you say hey tell me the real story about this big decision something that everybody knows about you almost always find out that the real story it's just never the one that's reported in the news because there's always some context that's deeply important that just doesn't get reported so the news you're getting from the left and the right are typically so out of context and wrong that neither of them are really telling you what's happening especially if it's reports about something that happen behind closed doors now if it's a you know a hurricane

[46:26]

doors now if it's a you know a hurricane or something everybody gets that right but if it's a report about what somebody said or did or felt or thought behind closed doors when not many people are watching and there's various anonymous reports and stuff like that I wouldn't trust either the reporting on the left of the right so my experience is that every time every time you can get the real story from the real people it's not the one that was reported in the news every time every time it's not the one that was reported by the news left or right so this is by way of saying that the story about how the president made his decision there's way more to the story than you know and it goes way beyond Peter Navarro so I was aware at the time of a disagreement within the staff about how seriously to treat it and how to advise the president and how

[47:28]

and how to advise the president and how he should and how he should deal with it so I can tell you just from a little bit I know from the peripheral that none of it's being reported accurately so I wish I could tell you a little bit more of what I know but it doesn't work that way because then you don't get to see behind the current anymore you know if if you report everything you see you don't get to see behind the curtain anymore and I like seeing behind the curtain so I'll just tell you the news is it's just so misleading that you wouldn't really know what was happening but it's more interesting than you think that's all I'm gonna say there's a funny story in the news there's some mayor and doesn't matter where I know Indiana or Illinois or someplace the mayor ordered the police to crack down on social gatherings so the police went to this bar and they basically told the people in the bar hey you can't be in this bar no social gathering go home and one of

[48:29]

no social gathering go home and one of the people that they found at the bar was the mayor's wife poor guy so I think it's the only way somebody's saying in the comments so this poor mayor orders a crackdown on social gatherings the police find his wife at a bar and reportedly he told the police to you know treat her exactly the way they're treating everybody else and I don't think anybody got arrested probably just kind of sent home with a warning so that's bad luck and I'll tell ya if your wife's at a bar that's not the way you want to find out about it I'm just saying it's not the way you want to find out about it all right those are all the things I think I wanted to talk about today yeah somebody says I wonder if it was with another man well I'm sure it was a with a group but

[49:32]

well I'm sure it was a with a group but certainly you some questions are some questions are raised so since yesterday you all asked me to look at dr. Shiva's opinions so I didn't look at I looked at this Twitter if he'd looked at some of his videos some of his tweets and stuff and I can't figure out what opinion that you're interested in because he has a pretty wide portfolio of opinions on different elements of different things about the whole thing and I didn't see anything there that I could figure out why you needed my opinion on it so maybe if somebody could be more specific I would give you an opinion so if you say so I can't I can't respond to what do you think of dr. Shiva's opinion because there are a lots of them and the ones I looked at looked reasonable to me I didn't see anything that jumped out as being you know had a bounce I think there was you know may the the most controversial thing I saw was he was talking about vitamin A and

[50:33]

was he was talking about vitamin A and vitamin D being helpful in these situations to which I say I don't know that he's probably got some science to that vitamin D is obviously scientifically compatible vitamin A maybe he knows more than I do well of course he knows more than I do on that topic so I don't really have an opinion on it is there something else specifically that you think I'm vouching if I understand his opinion on Falchi it is that fact he has some connections to some pharmaceutical companies that may have an interest and their pharmaceutical the solutions is that what you're talking about because why would I have an opinion on that it's either true or false right it's either true that dr. Fauci has a financial working relationship with a pharmaceutical company that also has I

[51:33]

pharmaceutical company that also has I think maybe their reservoir whatever that one is but that's just a known fact right so why would I have an opinion on it now somebody who works in the business that he works in it should be fairly fairly predictable that he would have connections with major pharmaceutical companies so wouldn't you expect anybody at his level to you know give speeches for you'd expect that at some point maybe he got funded for a trial you know maybe they supported him in some way when he was fighting AIDS so of course in the same reason that you could guarantee that a president Trump probably owns some investment as something to do with you know hydro chloric wind and probably I do too by the way I mean I probably have some you know fund that I don't know about that's got some stock in a company that maybe

[52:34]

got some stock in a company that maybe so I guess I don't have a comment about that it's something you should watch and if you think that that's the reason that foul Qi is saying that hydroxychloroquine is you know unproven and maybe we should wait well I would say he should say that no matter what so you'd have to find you'd have to find something that foul she has said or recommended that he would not say or recommend absent a connection to some pharmaceutical company so here's a question would doctor foul Qi insist that we should treat the hydroxychloroquine as an unproven thing would he insist the way he is if he did not have some connection to a pharmaceutical company that makes a competing drug and the answer is yeah he would every every doctor would a hundred percent of doctors would say exactly what if out she said hasn't gone through

[53:34]

what if out she said hasn't gone through the required testing some doctors are using it the doctor can choose to use it there's a reason that they think it might work it's well tolerated everything vouched you said everything a hundred percent of what found she says any doctor would have said in that situation no matter what connection they had to the pharmaceuticals so but it is true then when people have big financial interests it can bias them it's just that if you're looking for it in whether he should be more Pro hydroxychloroquine I don't think you could ask any doctor to be that way I don't think that's not that you would ask any doctor
ouchy is not promoting vitamins well he's promoted vitamin D can somebody fact check me on that has as doctor foul she never said that it would be good to take a walk and get some Sun get some vitamin D I don't know if he said that but I bet he is doctors I

[54:35]

said that but I bet he is doctors I don't know if doctors push vitamin so much because there's a lot of competing information in vitamins all right
doctors never say light exercise increases an immune system I've heard them say that I guess it depends which doctor you're talking about but I've heard medical professionals on TV during this crisis I've heard them say that light exercise is good for your immune response all right that's it for now I'll talk to you tonight you know the time 10:00 Eastern 7:00 Pacific talk to you then