Episode 878 Scott Adams: The Simultaneous Swaddle is Not Clinically Proven to Cure Coronavirus

Date: 2020-03-29 | Duration: 57:55

Topics

The Simultaneous Swaddle is Not Clinically Proven to Cure Coronavirus, But I Feel Good About it

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## Transcript

[0:07]

bum-bum-bum bum-bum-bum bum-bum-bum hey come on here Jeff do you have your blanket it's time to swaddle self swaddling is in the house yes we're doing a little social distancing it's not easy for anybody well come on in here and we'll answer your questions and talk about yes Greg Gutfeld on but so is your DVR or you could watch this later after you watch Greg go film that's a good idea too yes we're in our soft blankets we're feeling better about the coronavirus situation I was just watching a video from a doctor who's in the front lines of New York City and it was very interesting so yeah he had some tips and information that I had not heard before and I forget his name but he's he's an actual doctor working on the front lines and he's into baiting people and putting them on ventilators

[1:10]

people and putting them on ventilators and all that stuff so he seemed to know what he was talking about and here are the things he said that you sort of suspected were true but you wondered in no particular order one was that he's not seeing anybody under 14 who's having a problem but he's definitely seeing people like in their 20s so he says it's affecting all age groups but you know the older you are the worse but under 14 basically saying we're just not seeing it so that's good news the other good news is that he recommends wearing masks more than more than recommendations you've been seeing up to now primarily so you don't touch your face which is a good point I think the other point is if you happen to be asymptomatic shedding it would be good to have a mask on too if you're going outside but he had a very sort of an upbeat opinion of how we can manage this if we modified our

[2:11]

can manage this if we modified our behavior and his take was that the primary primary primary mode of transmission was people touching something that people somebody else said breathed on you know little droplets or sneezed on her coughed on or breathed on and then touching their face soon after and he said if you if you could just take that part out you'd remove so much of the transmission that it would basically be done but how easy is it to not touch your face I tell you you watch a video about not touching your face and you're gonna have the same problem right now it's just really nation won't touch your face so anyway he suggested that if you wore masks and that's just common sense it might help train you to do that so that that's encouraging the other thing he said which directly counters one of the bad pieces of information I'd seen

[3:12]

the bad pieces of information I'd seen on somewhere on the Internet I'd read somebody said that when people go on ventilators that it's basically just the beginning of the end and that once you're on a ventilator well you're not gonna make it you know accept dead it's just sort of stalling the inevitable but this doctor said directly the opposite directly the opposite he said we put you on the ventilator with the intention of getting you off the ventilator and most of the time it actually happens so directly opposite what I had heard from nan credible sources is that if you get put on a ventilator even even as bad as that is apparently you know the strong majority of people get on a ventilator also get off and get better now I he didn't seem to I don't remember him mentioning the hydroxychloroquine which seemed conspicuously missing he also seemed to

[4:13]

conspicuously missing he also seemed to think that any kind of mask was better than none you know which we're hearing so are you following the weird disinformation coming out of the World Health Organization apparently you know the people say that China is their it they're a puppet of China or something I don't know if any that's true but they certainly don't seem like a health organization there was even up until today they're telling people that masks don't help and every person who's not even an expert is just saying it's even slightly believable that they wouldn't have some impact you know it's not nothing's 100% so at this point we're being lied to by health organizations we're being lied to by our own government although I don't but I don't mind it so much if the intention of the lying is to prevent hoarding I

[5:13]

of the lying is to prevent hoarding I think that would be allowable in my my my ethical judgment of things because sometimes you do need to lie to your public for their own benefit if that was the intention I'd be okay with that but nonetheless we're getting disinformation from other countries we know China is lying to us we don't really trust anybody's number so we're not even sure our own numbers are good or our own recommendations so don't trust anybody for a while there isn't there's a group of people who are the heroes of the moment that I don't think you're getting enough attention as a group and that's the engineers if you think about it the the body human you know all of humanity together is banded together and everybody's sort of spontaneously filled their their little areas of expertise

[6:13]

their their little areas of expertise and doing what we can but I would say the two biggest you know forces in the military if you will are you know the scientists and doctors on one side but then the engineers here's what the engineers have done already if you're keeping score right so the engineers have figured out I had to modify mentally to double or quadruple their effectiveness they figured out how to shrink tests you know down to a little kit that you can spit in swab yourself your own nose engineers have figured out how to make a tabletop thing that'll give you a result in 15 minutes what else have engineers done engineers have figured out you know it had a 3d print parts for ventilators engineers have figured out how to make mass their building engineers are retrofitting buildings to produce all the the PPE and

[7:15]

buildings to produce all the the PPE and the other stuff Dyson completely reinvented a ventilator so engineers are really killing it right now and if you're if you're waiting for the scientists to do their thing that probably just takes a little longer but the reason that my guess is that the reason you don't have plenty of the malaria drug the the so called trump pills is that the engineers need to probably re-engineer and expand the production I don't know if we can get all the all the meds we need just by running the you know the pill printing press more hours maybe we can't but my guess is the engineers are actually just building brand new production fills facilities out of nothing just all over the world for various various things you know you saw engineers build on kind of websites for people to connect if you think about it engineers are killing it oh it apps what

[8:17]

engineers are killing it oh it apps what about apps you know all the various apps we flew suggested etc so if you look at what engineers have already contributed to the the war it's really shockingly amazingly excitingly impressive somebody says my video stream keeps stopping well I can't do much about that yeah there's lots of news about zoom I have such conflicting feelings about zoom because that as a product it's amazing zoom is one of just one of the great products it just is really well made it's bulletproof does everything you wanted to do but they have that problem that they have a lot of Chinese engineers in China and some of the traffic goes through China to a to their servers I guess and that's a pretty pretty big security risk for

[9:19]

a pretty pretty big security risk for businesses we're using it
normal periscope just sucks I don't know what that means all right I'm gonna take some oh you know I forgot to turn on the question mode which means I can't actually take some questions so I did a tweet just before I got on here so I'm gonna read read the questions yes that's what I'm gonna do I'm gonna read the questions that you're putting in my Twitter feed because I'm sure you did that
David angel says I think you left out a word but I think while you're trying to say as a what age did you realize you were smarter than average well you know it's funny about that is if you ask

[10:19]

it's funny about that is if you ask people if you did a poll they asked people if they're smarter than average I think something like 80 percent of people say they're smarter than average so just let me give us some context there the answer that question is m5 ish by five I was learning to you know read and it became slowly I became aware that other kids my age were about reading as well so I think that's when I noticed it is around five yeah I was just learning things a little faster
somebody says they're having a more fulfilling life going on walks and relearning the piano I don't want to go back you know there gonna be some people who believe that or I mean others feel the same way there gonna be some people who if they didn't get you know crushed

[11:19]

who if they didn't get you know crushed or sick or you know the people would somehow avoided economic or health problems are gonna look back at this and say there's kind of some good time off to myself but other people are gonna be suffering mightily alright is the death rate flattening in New York and that is a good question does anybody see the New York mortality rates for today I think it was it was flat flat for two days but then somebody said it spiked again today I don't know if that's true you know there's gonna be a little bit noisy in it so no matter what what direction things are moving you should expect they'll be an update and adonde but if I look down 222 deaths that was today and I think yesterday was much less than that right well I'm getting less of

[12:21]

that right well I'm getting less of getting different numbers today so I have to look that somebody says was a big surge today so I don't know if every day tells you something because you could just have you know coincidental good day when still a bad day so maybe a few more days we'll have a trend has Kovan mutated to several strains some more deadly well I'm not exactly the right person to ask that question but I read I'll tell you what I read which is that there's at least two strains and one is one is more dangerous than the other well beyond that I don't know it's they're supposed to mutate and become weaker over time allegedly

[13:21]

most of your questions about or a lot of about hydroxychloroquine all right what is the recovery rate for those sick enough to be put on a ventilator oh I was what I just said so based on the doctor whose name I don't remember so you know he judged the credibility accordingly will you adopt me Brandon says yes yes I will consider yourself adopted I don't have to fill out paperwork do I can a person get the seasonal flu and Cove in nineteen simultaneously I have no idea but don't you think it's happened to somebody yeah yeah if it's possible at all you know it's happened to somebody and that's got to be a bad day but on the other hand I don't know if it's possible because if you get the seasonal flu does your immunity you know rise to the challenge

[14:21]

immunity you know rise to the challenge and then it gives you some immunity against something else I don't know no doctor do you think anything bad will happen to the World Health Organization well I I think all their credibility is gone what I don't know what they did before they decided to shamelessly lie in public in the most obvious way so I don't know enough about what they were doing before but I hope it didn't depend on being credible because that boat sailed shouldn't we have early results from New York City about the the hydroxychloroquine and the answer is yes we should but if they still have a shortage problem and we don't know about that but if they still have a shortage of the meds they might not want to tell you any preliminary stuff that looks a little too positive not only because they want to make sure and wait longer but probably when why you to get you know too worked up and trying

[15:22]

know too worked up and trying to horde it so in theory we should know some stuff by now in reality I don't know now the other thing I don't know is what kind of test it is because apparently there's a big difference between giving it to somebody at first symptoms it's like a I don't know if the flu or a cold or a cough or it will just take the malaria drug the Trump pills now we're apparently at least anecdotally if you get it early it makes a big difference but then there's also the thought that people on ventilators are getting benefits from it so I don't know which one they're testing and it seems like they would get very different results from them so can social distancing and hand-washing reduce the R factor to blow one in a hot zone I would think yes you know but of course everything's friction that doesn't mean that doesn't mean it's easy but in a

[16:24]

that doesn't mean it's easy but in a theoretical sense could you just do enough hand-washing and enough social distancing and also if the weather is warmer would those three things be enough to get the the spread rate below you know one person giving it to one person theoretically I just don't know how practical it is to get people to be that well-behaved but theoretically yes
yeah so there's news that you literally will have to escape from New York you know paging Snake Plissken was that the character in Escape from New York so do you think you'd live to a day when you couldn't leave New York
I'm hoping this is temporary but and I'm sure that these things are well thought out that was something that I tweeted that I probably just I'm going to remind you every single time I see you nobody

[17:25]

you every single time I see you nobody is really smart enough to know exactly what to do and when is the the time to do it the moment you think that you know what's the right thing to do and the right time to do it that's when you should discount all of your own opinions forever cuz that's a that's just a crazy opinion you don't know I don't know do you think there's anybody in the administration who ever who knows who knows what to do and also when to do it no but I guarantee you there are a variety of different opinions and whatever happens somebody is going to look back and say well you should have done what I said or they're gonna say well you did what I said and it worked out right so I guess I'm a genius but the fact is as long as there are lots of people with different ideas and I think they're you know the spectrum is you know from go back to work soon to to keep the lock down into place longer somebody's gonna be right but that

[18:28]

somebody's gonna be right but that doesn't mean beats because they're smart and I would argue that there isn't anybody smart enough to know what is even right so it's already bothering me in advance that people are gonna claim genius for being on the right side of you know with the right amount of alarm or or not somebody was gonna get it right doesn't mean it was because you were smart it just means because everybody was all over the map it just has to be that some people get it right so it's already bothering me in advance so is Trump running unopposed at this point basically yeah basically Trump is running unopposed you know in the virtual sense that Biden has disappeared and there's not much left of them and you know if you were to plot the curve I was actually gonna make a graph of this but it seemed to mean you know to show that the time time to the convention and you know plot Biden's likely you know

[19:31]

you know plot Biden's likely you know decline and whether he gave make it to the convention it's actually gonna be kind of close because at this point there's not much left of them he's sort of a you know stack of old magazines as my friend once said so
yeah then people are talking about drafting cuomo you know I I would have to say that cuomo is charismatic and he does he does a really good job of empathy and fighting for his people and you know taking responsibility and very literally things so i would give cuomo quite hard quite high marks if i'm being objective quite high marks for how he's handling you know the public communication and probably even the decisions because nobody's perfect you know he's not going to get every colleges right that's not a thing and

[20:33]

colleges right that's not a thing and then people are talking about drafting him but I thought what would happen you know what would have to be the the publicly and generally recognised reason they you would do that could the Democrats at this late stage and it would be even later than this because Cuomo is not going to do anything while he's in the middle of this I mean even if Cuomo got drafted he's kind of busy right if he started running for president next week he's not the guy you want for president because that's not what he ought to be doing in the middle of emergency so it doesn't seem to me there's a practical way that it could be done you know given the timing the emergency the fact that it would be you know how do you explain that by didn't got this far how would the Democrats possibly explain that then let it get this far and you know what I'm talking about you know they can see it the same as you can that Biden you know just

[21:34]

as you can that Biden you know just doesn't have the juice and if they at some point if they have to admit that they knew all along I mean it's just so damning it's like well yeah we knew there wasn't much left there but we didn't want to you know change horses there's just no way to just can't be explained all right
who has impressed you the most during the pandemic yeah this is Adam Cornelius and he says I'd like the VP all around any others well you know I say this all the time because I'm always impressed by it but Mike Pence is like the most solid utility you know six man he is really solid you know not my choice for president you know I don't you know certainly don't agree with him on you know some of his social opinions and I'm not religious so you know I I don't I

[22:36]

not religious so you know I I don't I don't map to his point of view but if you're just being fair and saying okay you know but he's not expressing his points of view he's adopting the president's point of view and doing a job how is he doing if he asked me that question the answer is pretty solid pretty solid I would say that pence look strong actually I think I think Trump Trump is just being Trump it for all the good ways and all the bad ways you know everybody's tolerance for the personality parts of Trump that really make him special frankly and make him interesting and all that make him funny I think just everybody has a little less tolerance for that in this situation but he's but but we also like the fact that he's always him right so sort of a mixed bag it's like you know what you're getting so you know you get some of that

[23:38]

getting so you know you get some of that but if he if you think past that if you can think past the fact oh my goodness is this the first time CNN ever fact-check them and decided he said something that wasn't true so if you get past the little stuff has he made the right decisions I think history is going to be pretty kind to him and I you know I think nobody knew when is soon enough for what to do but the polls are clearly moving in his favor so his support is clearly growing in general and also in regards to handling of the the crisis so whatever he's doing is clearly working politically you could say that and I you know I said from the start I'm gonna be super forgiving of mistakes that get made and had been made and how to deal with this thing because anybody who says they know how to do it this is the least credible person in the

[24:38]

this is the least credible person in the room nobody knows so if they're acting you know boldly you know trying to reassure the public there they can rapidly correct they're not doing anything that's a dead end and it would kill you if it's the wrong decision if they're getting the basics right in terms of let's let's talk to everybody make a decision try it do it fast if it doesn't work you know measure what happened correct it fix it adjust if they're doing stuff like that I'm completely forgiving for any mistakes because this isn't a you know take take a good aim and shoot a bull's eye kind of a situation this is very much of a this is a cage fight and it doesn't matter if you have a strategy if the other thing important it doesn't know you're doesn't know what your strategy is you know you're gonna have to have to improvise when when things get interesting alright so focus advice how to build a

[25:40]

alright so focus advice how to build a new skill well I I would say with micro steps so if there's a skill that you think fits well with your talents doubt do whatever is the smallest thing you're willing to do today it might be Google something talk to somebody write a note to yourself what's the smallest thing you're willing to do toward that skill that would fit well with your talent stack then do it and then the next day do then do whatever is the next small thing if at some point it doesn't start pulling you along then maybe maybe it's not for you but you can prime the pump very easily alright
dang it then he looks for some more comments here all right question what are credible examples of lockdowns

[26:40]

are credible examples of lockdowns working why are so many countries using this blunt tool instead of more precise strategic ways both ah well it's a good question and I'm very suspicious of anybody who can look at the other countries experiences and be sure they know why something worked because if you take South Korea you know is it because of the testing or is it because the masks is it because they're as a society there were more you know willing to do what their leaders wanted did they just comply better did did they use the different meds than we did did they use them quicker was there something about the nature of the way they live that you know none of the nursing homes got you know so you could imagine a hundred variables but the one that feels like the one that would be most impactful so this is the the dumb non-scientists non

[27:41]

this is the the dumb non-scientists non doctor but if you were to say to me you know make a make a list of all the things you know which are the things that mattered the most was that the amount of testing this South Korea did or the fact that they seemed to massively wear masks I feel like you know just my gut feel I feel like it was the masks not the testing but the official story assisted testing so if you want to take the word of the people actually know what they're talking about and looked into it and you know all the experts and the people who were smart they say the testing was the big thing but how many how many people did they test you know I can't make them numbers work in my head where I I don't remember what the numbers were but if you look at the whole population of South Korea and then how many how many tests they did like I can't square it that it was the test that fixed everything but if it was also true that pretty much everybody had

[28:42]

also true that pretty much everybody had access to a mask and immediately complied in or them you know just culturally it was just you know easier and faster and wouldn't that get you to a pretty good place pretty quickly I feel like that would be 80% of it about 20% but that's just a gut feeling maybe we'll get some visibility on that later let's see questioned well one of the good things to come out of this world-changing event be the young people learning how to make their own coffee I assume that that's a reference to Starbucks being closed in nineteen eighteen and nineteen are that pandemic the Spanish flu six hundred and seventy five thousand Americans died but soon after we entered the Roaring Twenties so

[29:44]

after we entered the Roaring Twenties so just a few years afterward we're in boom times can something like that happen again and the answer is yeah yeah I mean I don't think the likelihood is that it's just gonna assume up to the moon I don't think that's the top likelihood I think that if I had to a handicap it the most likely thing is that it will be on the on the better side of predictions meaning I think it's going to be better than the average prediction it'll be you stronger faster than the average person would predict but you know I don't think it's necessarily gonna go right to boom towns and boom times and twelve months we got a lot of a lot of territory to catch up but yeah I don't see any reason that we wouldn't come back very strong it's just their rate of strength when things return to normal will Americans be more appreciative of everyday life yes

[30:45]

yes for a little while so the nature of people is that when you can finally go outside and do whatever you want you know assuming it happens in some you know sudden way instead of a very gradual way yeah we don't feel appreciative and man will we appreciate it and it might even last you know a year or two but eventually it's going to wear off so yes we would be more appreciative but it's absolutely not a lasting effect is my experience let's see what other questions we got here pom pom pom sorry I'm just looking are all the governor's banning that the Trump pills Democrats nothing I know of but I haven't looked at that

[31:46]

at that mary-jane says what makes sense this is this is a question what makes sense what doesn't make sense this is a profound question Mary Jane it's all answer for you what is the only thing that you could know for sure I'll give you a moment what is the only thing in this whole reality in this world and your life what's the only thing you can know for sure well if you've taken philosophy 101 you know the answer to it the only thing you can know for sure is that you exist because you're asking the question you couldn't be asking the question if you didn't exist but beyond that you actually don't know so the answer your question to what makes sense is that you exist and nothing else does nothing else does everything else is a

[32:48]

nothing else does everything else is a rationalization all right
let me look at your your comments and I will see if you've got any good questions in here you know a big part of why I do this is just to you know bond with all of you and make us all feel better about the the news and make us feel a little less lonely and I hope that listening to me oh so somebody says a nurse at Kaiser says it's the people on ibuprofen who are getting pneumonia I don't think that's I don't think that's certain enough that we should put that out there but the part that is certain is I do think there's a recommendation not to take ibuprofen but I don't know the specifics of it but that's really interesting think of all the people who take ibuprofen on a pretty regular basis if if you know just hypothetically I

[33:51]

if if you know just hypothetically I don't think we're gonna find out this is a case but I'll just put it out there as a hypothetical if the only thing that made the coronavirus you know covered 19 if the only thing that made it extra dangerous is that it was bad for people who are also taking ibuprofen it would be the most dangerous you know virus we ever saw wouldn't it because there's so many people who take ibuprofen that a virus is a very good chance of hitting one of them so we know it's a bad idea to be on the ibuprofen I guess tylenol is the safer one according to the doctor I just watched please don't get your medical advice from from me I'm simply reporting things I heard with no credibility whatsoever so take no medical advice from me but it's a weird situation because in the emergency we're all kind of deputized to share information so I feel I feel a little bit exposed sharing information

[34:52]

little bit exposed sharing information on the topic that I shouldn't be talking about at all which is health care all right
where the big trucks spraying disinfectant like China yeah I still think that that was just for show I think China was just showing that they had control and assets and they were really all over this thing well Dilbert worried over a Cove in nineteen well the the Dilbert comics that I'm drawing this week do feature Dilbert with face masks and social distancing and he's working from home at least part of it now I had to anticipate one is he ever going to go back to work and I don't know if I'm assuming there'll be some phased approach so at least some people would be back to work so I'm gonna have to gonna have to decide

[36:00]

probably in the landscaping what I was told my doc they're for respiratory problems this is always true it's not a kovat thing I think you're referring to the ibuprofen so somebody who was also not a doctor suggests that it's bad no matter what kind of flu virus you got oh
you're very appreciative of me I appreciate that so these did you see that there's a lot of attacks against doctor foul Qi now you know predictably right so apparently doctor Falchi allegedly has some financial ties to Gilead which is one of the big companies that would benefit if the drug remember servile whatever it is but if their drug becomes the favored one that would be a gigantic financial

[37:02]

one that would be a gigantic financial windfall for a company that he's worked with you know he has some kind of financial ties with I guess so we'll see how that plays out see if anybody cares
how important is it to have cash on hand I think not important actually the things that I thought would not be in shortage was food in general albeit maybe not your specific thing but it was obviously you couldn't hoard vegetables and fruit and so there's sort of a limit to how much you can hoard of things that go bad quickly so I always assumed food would never be a problem I always assumed electricity water you know that the basics would all be fine so and I I remain 100% confident that the basics are all going to be fine do you know

[38:09]

are all going to be fine do you know that we saw that report that people who weighed more were having more deaths and I was waiting to hear the doctor I was listening to confirm that and he did not which anyway was Elon Musk downplaying the virus wrong hears I'm gonna say this so many times nobody was wrong people had different opinions but nobody could know in other words the the body of information that it would take for you to actually have an informed opinion just didn't exist so in that in that case you could have people who lean one way and lean the others and when you're done you're gonna say well one of them was leaning the right way after the fact and one was not but you know nobody could be right it's all just guesses at first so I just

[39:10]

all just guesses at first so I just reject the I'd reject the notion that in the developing month or two there was such a thing as being wrong I think there were just people who had different guesses but it wasn't enough to use your brain and reason it out and look at the fact just wasn't an option how does the simulation fit in well obviously this is a software upgrade so this software upgrade is changing something about the this game we call the simulation and it's removing some a lot of people from the game apparently that's the bad part and it's giving us new challenges but it's probably hardening us against future pandemics you know think about the next pandemic because I was trying to count up the number of ways we're gonna solve this one think about all the ways that we will solve it it's just a

[40:10]

ways that we will solve it it's just a matter of which one you know gets there first so for example we have a number of different ways to test and some of them are these cheap table top things and stuff so that's a guaranteed way to win if we made enough of them now maybe it takes a while but if we made enough of them that's a guaranteed way to win and we know how to make lots of things so if the test was alright you could have to make a hundred million of these tests because you want them everywhere could we make a hundred million of a small electronic unit yeah we could do that you know I don't know how long that takes but yeah yeah we can get there so that's one way and I'm sure the at least one of the drugs they're testing will work I think the serum immunology thing will work I think if we did more DNA testing we'd know who has more risk than other people that would work so we probably have something like five or maybe six

[41:13]

have something like five or maybe six different ways that would totally work like a very high likelihood it would work but they all take some time to implement for different reasons so it's sort of solved five different ways we just have to weed we just don't know which one will get there first
and I'm just looking at your comments well we stock up on masks after this it seems like it you know wouldn't you imagine that you know I've always had an emergency preparation kit so I've always had you know at least at the very least I would have a commercial kit of you know some basic stuff and you know I always have more food and cans and rice and stuff just in case so I'm always sort of semi prepared but look how prepared we're going to be in the future we're really prepared am I still feeling

[42:17]

we're really prepared am I still feeling the healthiest I've ever been yeah yeah because I've been just a maniac about my fitness just to stay as strong as possible for my immune system I'm actually you know the healthiest I've ever felt in my whole life literally true yeah I'm just bouncing up down the stairs I can I can run all day you know my muscle definition is good I think I've lost 9 pounds since the since the the lockdown started for me it's been great now I would like to clear up something this is maybe too personal but I thought I'd tell you anyway I'm in lockdown I'm in quarantine not quarantine because I don't have any symptoms I'm in social isolation actually by myself so there's there's nobody nobody in this house except me so Cristina you know has as a house of

[43:19]

so Cristina you know has as a house of her own nearby and so she's there with some family members and for for maximum risk management I'm I'm the one who's the got the biggest risk because of age and asthma and stuff and so I'm actually in just in isolation basically so if I if I see anybody it's from a good distance away so needless to say being away from your fiance is very difficult but it's not impossible and in the you know on the on the scale of things that people are sacrificing to you know for the greater good it's pretty small you know I mean it's bad for me it's very bad for me but on the larger scheme of things it doesn't compare to what you

[44:19]

of things it doesn't compare to what you know every doctor is doing every day
what do I think about the Kennedy Center layoffs it's just all fake news stuff that political stuff care about you know so the Kennedy Center gets twenty five million dollars and then it lays off some people and wasn't the whole idea and that's the lay off people here's the thing if you don't know the whole story you just don't really know anything and the whole story is how many people did they keep what is the you know are they going to give them some severance it could be that they laid them off with severance they plan to bring her back you know so you'd have to know a lot more about what their budget is and what they got and when they got it and what their plans are I just don't want to have even have a opinion on that when is the date for the wedding well I'll tell you what it was I won't be specific but it was going to be in the period that is

[45:20]

it was going to be in the period that is now social isolation period so without being more specific that plan is on hold until we know when people can be in the same room which country openly turns on China first I don't know if anybody will I think the deal with China is you have to act like their friend while you're you know slowly backing out the door I don't think you want to make a mad that seems like a bad idea so he says do you have a weapon and which one I always answer the same way I'm I'm Pro Second Amendment but anybody who has anybody who has a weapon in their house why would you tell somebody else how many you have and what kind they are would that be would that defeat the purpose what would be the point of having weapon or weapons be they

[46:21]

having weapon or weapons be they handguns or be they larger what would be the point of having said hypothetical weapons if you were just going to tell people what you had that would be that would be the worst idea ever well who taught you home defense so let's just say that's the question they shall not be answered get buried on Easter yeah I don't think so so far somebody says none of their friends have died I would say I well I've certainly heard direct reports from people on Twitter saying somebody said they're lost both parents oh my god but I don't know anybody yet why does California have a large testing backlog well I don't know but obviously that that suggests there's some kind of

[47:21]

that suggests there's some kind of centralized bottleneck so I would say it's the wrong technology or the wrong system or both when will we see the study results of the Trump pills well we're speculating that we would already have some early indications but maybe the smart people don't want us to know so it's entirely possible that the scientists and the doctors already have a pretty good idea sort of you know short of rigor but I don't think they're going to tell us it looks like how many weeks until crime picks up you know I don't know it's a good question we haven't seen a crime statistics but don't you assume that the number of let's say drunk driving deaths some traffic deaths and your murders don't you think almost every crime

[48:22]

don't you think almost every crime statistic went way down now there must be some you know anything that happens indoors your own house domestic violence I would think probably didn't go up just because of the pressure but I'll bet there's a whole bunch of categories that went down will Bernie come back to be Joe you know I think if the Democrats were even a little bit willing to accept Bernie as their as their candidate I think it would have happened
you mentioned the government is lying any ideas about the specifics yeah anything that came from our government that agreed with the World Health Organization that masks wouldn't have any benefit that was really clearly a lie and I think it just had to do with the shortage of masks I also believe that there's maybe lie by omission about

[49:24]

that there's maybe lie by omission about what we do or do not know about the hydroxychloroquine so there's there's something going on there and again that might be just managing managing the hoarding you know I have not driven my car and there's no there's no reason I couldn't I can go for a ride but they the streets are all empty let's say my wife my wife works on the health data team working to verify well if your wife works on that team are you telling me she doesn't already know so in the comments somebody said that I guess his wife is part of some medical team looking at the effectiveness and a test I think you kind of already know don't you because if the test has run more than two days you kind of already know

[50:25]

than two days you kind of already know because if it didn't work in two days it doesn't work because everything that we've heard about it is that there's fairly you know rapid results how good am I at tennis well I I stopped playing tennis but at my best I was probably you know four to four to a four point five for those who know what tennis ratings are which is you know not that impressive Cuomo says that the testing is going strong in New York well good what do you make of the 21 million deactivated Chinese mobile phones well I have a number of hypotheses number one it didn't happen so the first most obvious hypothesis is that wherever

[51:28]

most obvious hypothesis is that wherever this report comes out that somehow there were suddenly 21 million fewer phones and of course people suggested that means they died my first most obvious thing would be okay it's probably just not true that there that that data point just didn't happen so I'd say that's probably at least an 85 percent chance that that's all it is it's just didn't happen but let's say it did just for fun how else could you explain it well you could explain it this way you might have some kind of a system change this simply made it look like they disappeared and I don't know what that would look like but just you know for brainstorming purposes let's say let's say they got rid of an area code or added an area code and it was some massive switch of phone numbers and it made it look like bunch of phones disappeared but maybe on the next report

[52:29]

disappeared but maybe on the next report they would reappear because they just transferred to another yeah so you could imagine ways that there would just be some system change that made it look like a whole bunch of phones disappeared for a month and then they'd come back I'm not saying that's likely I'm just saying you could imagine other reasons another reason would be and again just brainstorming suppose that the Chinese were using the phones to track track people who were suspected of coming in contact so let's say that the the Chinese authorities said hand me your phone and by the way you're never gonna see it again because I'm gonna use your phone back at the office and I'm gonna track it and I'm gonna you know take your data but it's an emergency and you're just never gonna see your phone again sorry you can buy a new phone but I'm gonna take your phone and you're just never gonna see it again I'm just gonna you know and by the way I'll shoot you if you don't give me the password

[53:30]

you if you don't give me the password but Popol Vuh so one possibility is that they confiscated 21 million phones didn't really have a intention of giving it back or didn't want to or or they're corrupt and they just sold them on the black market I don't know but you could easily imagine that they confiscated 21 million phones just to check who they had been contacting with right so I don't know the answer the question but my best guess is it doesn't mean the 21 million people died I think it's safe to say far more people died than the reporting but I think we would know if it were 21 million so I feel confident in this statement the real death toll is probably a lot more than China is saying but not so much more than it's in the range of 21 million because I don't see there's any way we were to miss that if our intelligence agencies couldn't couldn't figure that out if 21 million people died we didn't

[54:32]

if 21 million people died we didn't notice we'd have to fire all of our intelligence people I think all right I think that's about all I got for today will I be appearing on the Bill Maher show before the election I doubt it I don't get the sense that I would be invited yeah and obviously it's not up to me could I beat Billie Jean King now I couldn't you know even well you know actually let me take that back it only the people who are a certain age know that Billie Jean King you know played Bobby Riggs and he was older and she was the champion at the time and the women's side and so just as a spectacle they decided to play and make it the you know the male sexist pig against the feminists and sort of built as a kind of a cultural thing and Billie Jean actually beat Bobby Riggs but anyway if you watch any of the the old stuff here

[55:35]

you watch any of the the old stuff here I don't know if this is true but it feels like it's true the equipment and the training and the way people play tennis today is so different than they did in let's say in the sixties and seventies that I think just a really good player might be able to beat like a top 10 player from the sixties in the 70s because the ball was moving so much slower back then and they had wooden rackets and you know they just played a different game so to your questions could I beat the Billie Jean King if she played the way she did then with the equipment you know the old wooden racket and I played her when I was at the peak of my skills which might have been around age 55 probably was when I was actually playing the best and I used my modern equipment I think I could've beat her actually but only because the equipment difference which is gigantic

[56:41]

somebody says you were dead wrong about the tennis thing I don't know which part you're saying that about I don't doubt that you're right I just don't know what you're complaining about oh that I could beat her well so here's the thing if you watch Billie Jean King you know hitting the ball in a hard way back in those days it's not as hard as just regular people I would play on the weekends and I could hit it back far harder so if I could return the ball far harder and it wouldn't even be that hard because she didn't hit it that hard yeah I probably could press her and I think I could actually at least it's possible I could have been beating her yeah yeah all right I've not listened to the new Bob Dylan song I didn't know there was one what's your favorite predicted markets for the general election yeah I haven't really

[57:42]

general election yeah I haven't really looked at that too much all right I don't know how much I'll say I'm gonna go do something else and I will talk to you in the morning you know what time for the simultaneous F don't miss it see you that