Episode 870 Scott Adams: Simultaneous Swaddling and Good Thoughts Before Bed
Date: 2020-03-25 | Duration: 48:06
Topics
My new book LOSERTHINK, available now on Amazon https://tinyurl.com/rqmjc2a President Trump says Easter…we have a date Dr. Birx impressively notes a hardcore rule of management Joe Biden video press conferences If you would like my channel to have a wider audience and higher production quality, please donate via my startup (Whenhub.com) at this link: https://interface.my/ScottAdamsSays
Rough Transcript
This is an auto-generated transcript and may contain errors.
Transcript
[0:10]
[Music] everybody come on in it’s time for the simultaneous swaddle that’s right swaddle yourself in a soft blanket and you’ll feel better it’s a tense scary world out there sometimes but we’ll get through and we’ll get through in style because that’s that we do it well the news is coming so fast and so furiously I feel as if I can fill up two full one-hour periscopes every day because half a day goes by and there’s so much new stuff there’s just mind-boggling I will remind you that there is one statistic that will tell you everything that needs to be known and that is the the death rate in the next next few days the death rate of people were under 60 and otherwise healthy now of course you
[1:10]
and otherwise healthy now of course you always have mysterious deaths you know people drop dead from all kinds of things and they could be young and you don’t know why so it’s not always going to be because the virus killed them sometimes we just won’t know but here’s what to look for look for the number of deaths to start capping out even as the number of infections Rises steeply and if that happens that means that there that they have some medical treatments that are working so look for that almost nothing else matters because the number of infections won’t matter that much if the number of deaths go down and that would tell you we’re going back to work now you saw that you saw that President Trump picked Easter for his projected sort of you know preliminary estimated date to at least get some people back to work
[2:11]
get some people back to work now what are people saying about that well they’re debating it some people are saying well maybe you should be longer so people are saying well you know maybe it’s too long but do you notice how much more comfortable everybody is well they might not admit it but having an actual date even if it changes even if it’s just a stupid guess and nobody knows it doesn’t it make you feel better so I was telling you that earlier today that the reason that you want a certain date no matter how much of a guess it is is that people are happy when you give them guesses this is something I learned when I was doing a financial analysis back in my corporate days and the manager would come in some high-level manager I was a low-level person at the time and they’d say you know what’s the estimate for the q1 capital expenditure or whatever and I’d say no idea we don’t have any data
[3:13]
I’d say no idea we don’t have any data yet haven’t even started collecting it it would just be a guess and then the manager says yeah but what do you think and I’d say well it doesn’t really matter what I think because I have no data upon which to go on don’t even have a an estimate from prior years don’t have anything to go on wouldn’t know and then the manager says yeah but I kind of need a number so you say 25 million and the manager says thank you he walks out and he’s happy I don’t know why because I’m in that situation you shouldn’t leave happy because you didn’t get any information I just made up an upper but he was still leave happy and I could replay this scene over and over and over again one of the most dependable psychological phenomena is that if you give somebody a number they’re happier even if they know it’s not accurate we’re just built that way so the President did just that he gave us a
[4:14]
President did just that he gave us a number and I think it was brilliant obviously you know I don’t think he’ll get credit for how smart that is because he could have said it depends he could said without she said so foul she is up there acting like a good doctor / scientist but he doesn’t have the leadership gene if you know what I mean meaning that when he talks you say okay that sounds credible and you sound like you know what you’re doing and I think you have our interests in mind and you know a lot of good stuff but he’s not a leader this and it’s not his job I mean he’s a I’m sure he’s a leader among you know on his on task but he’s not sort of a leader in the way you know a president is or a general or something like that so foul she was trying to give us there well it depends you know her highly variable he could happen blah blah and Trump just said we’re gonna try to make
[5:14]
Trump just said we’re gonna try to make it Easter might not make it but we’re gonna try to make it Easter and then I think I think Trump let us look behind the curtain a little too much not that we wouldn’t to figure this out but that it’s a little bit obvious that they had an approximate you know zoned and the president at some point maybe somebody suggested at first but at some point the president realized that Easter was in that general area and then it was just over you know what were the odds that this president would not have picked Easter as long as it was somewhere in the range of you know a reasonable guess no he was gonna pick Easter it’s Easter all day long and you have to admit it’s it’s free money it’s just free money again because he ties his brand to Jesus and he’s not saying it
[6:17]
brand to Jesus and he’s not saying it you know Trump is not saying he’s certainly not saying anything like this he’s not saying you know compare me to Jesus because I’m gonna resurrect the economy of the the world on Eastern now the beauty is he doesn’t have to say it because it’s just sort of there and you can’t not see it and it’s hilarious at the same time it’s effective because you don’t want it to work right if you say to yourself I get it I see what he’s doing yeah he’s trying to make me think of Jesus at the same time I’m thinking of him because they’re both over it you know something got resurrected in both cases and you’re gonna say I I resist that Association it doesn’t matter doesn’t matter a bit because the Association does the Association once you see it you can’t unsee it then just it becomes part of your code it’s so freaking funny and of course the president is making sure we know it’s
[7:19]
president is making sure we know it’s Easter yeah and that it’s a beautiful timeline as he calls a beautiful timeline and it is beautiful unless you’re trying to run against him for president in which case it’s devastating it’s just devastating because it’s just so perfectly chosen so was it dr. Burks if I say I was hanging her name correctly she also emphasized a point I made this morning which is that the another hard core rule of management and and management is important because we’re trying to manage this virus have managed the country and managed the economy so so knowing how to manage stuff it’s pretty important and dr. Burks demonstrated that she has a deeper talent stack then maybe you guessed I don’t know what her background is but when you hear somebody she’s a medical doctor right but when you scientist doctor which it was she’s but here’s the
[8:21]
doctor which it was she’s but here’s the part that was impressive so when she was explaining the deadline she said a management truism that people respond to deadlines it’s a way of focusing things people will meet a deadline even if it’s a random deadline we’re just built that way you give us a deadline and we’re gonna work twice as hard and get that done and she pointed out that that was just you know sort of a a reasonably smart thing to do because people work to deadlines now that’s not the sort of thing you hear doctors say normally which without checking maybe somebody can check while I’m on here I have a suspicion that she has a deeper background than medical science because that’s very manager ish you know it’s something you just wouldn’t hear from a medical person so much so picking the date is brilliant because it focuses us it makes us feel comfortable even if it’s wrong and it will focus attention and I think I couldn’t have been done
[9:24]
and I think I couldn’t have been done better I was like I don’t think the president could have handled this part better you know coming up with that timeline all right poor Joe Biden I think most of you have seen the the videos now where he’s trying to do his little luck his little video studio thing and it’s just very sad because he seems confused and at one point he said a sentence that didn’t make any sense and you know he’s obviously just struggling out there so for whatever reason you know maybe there’s some production problems we don’t know about maybe there’s something going on but he’s fairly hard I just saw something that said he he cancelled his press conference for Tuesday but that doesn’t make sense maybe it meant Thursday because it was a current tweet I don’t know why he would cancel yesterday’s press conference so here’s the thing
[10:29]
press conference so here’s the thing it’s pretty obvious at this point isn’t it that everybody knows meaning that the Democrats even the ones who support Joe Biden even the ones who love him they can see it now right I don’t think I’m going too far out on the limb you know I you always talked about the two movies you know you can only see your own movie but I don’t think that’s the case here I don’t think so it looks like they’re seeing the same movie and just sort of it might be a little wishful thinking that is not as bad as we think or or maybe he’s just having a bad day so I think the Democrats are are pretty steeped in wishful thinking because I know they see it I think they’re just wishy he goes away or fixes himself or something so I don’t know what they’re gonna do about that honestly but you know Trump’s approval rating for just I guess the
[11:31]
approval rating for just I guess the coronavirus stuff was as 60% Trump is as 60% and we’re not anywhere near the end of it what happens if it’s November and we reopened the economy wisely maybe there were some missteps because of course there will be it’s a big complicated thing full of guesses they’re gonna be missteps let’s say we get you know we write the ship every time we get off and it’s November and we’re not back to where we were but we’re having that way hard and people are gonna say you know President Trump it looks like you you got us through it but more importantly we also got to watch Biden not be able to do you know any kind of live streaming video thing and it was kind of pathetic so I think you took what a week to put up his studio let me let me give you an example of someone who’s not a thousand years
[12:33]
of someone who’s not a thousand years old solving the problem that Joe Biden took a week and his team took a week to solve I will do it in the character of AOC so I will be AOC and I just realized that I’m gonna be you know can’t leave the house and I have to talk to the public how will I solve that oh that’s right it’s in my hand beeping pew pew hey everybody I’m AOC would you like to watch it we’ll eat some popcorn well I talked about your health care 65 million views now you watched Joe Biden you couldn’t even get that that much together now I’m exaggerating there’s a little bit more to what he’s trying to do in his studio but not much and he didn’t have to wait I mean he could have just held up his phone and started talking it works for everybody else don’t worry that’s not coronavirus so as we watched Joe
[13:34]
coronavirus so as we watched Joe decomposing and looking helpless I would say helpless would be the word I would use for what we’ve seen so far he seems kind of helpless wouldn’t you say while you’re watching the president doing these you know tour de force press conferences every single Dave you know working on this problem moving heaven and earth you know the whole the whole world is coordinating and and we’re gonna compare that in our minds to that weak little helpless Joe Biden and I came up with a kill shot for Joe Biden and it’s not even fair because you know the wind would be a kill shot at this point but I think this would be the tagline I would give him if I were running against him for President Joe Biden he’s not good at things right didn’t that feel right Joe Biden he’s not good at things because we
[14:35]
Biden he’s not good at things because we watched him to try to do this you know the home studio thing and he’s clearly just not good at things there’s nothing we’ve seen him do that you would say he’s good at I mean he kind of sort of held his own in a debate but nobody would say he was good at it right they just he didn’t fall apart that was the standard he had for the debates name something he’s good at he’s actually not good at things and when the first time you hear it you probably laughed some of you probably laughed cuz Joe Biden he’s not good at things it’s kind of sticky isn’t it so at this point you know things will change between now and Election Day but if they didn’t Trump would women 50 states I mean at the at this moment you know and they can’t be you can’t you can’t straight line your projection because so much will change between now and Election Day but if you could he’d wouldn’t you know
[15:37]
but if you could he’d wouldn’t you know like forty eight fifty states something like that alright I am still unhappy with the visibility of our supply chain for a critical stuff especially the PPE and the hospital stuff and the ventilators and stuff and again I don’t know if it’s because our government doesn’t have a good handle on it or is it because they’re not good at explaining it I I showed you the other day a graphic treatment so we can see how much is needed you know would be needed at peak of each piece of equipment and then you know in which we have this week and what we expect etc now again these don’t have to be accurate numbers they just have to be the government’s best understanding so that we’re at least at least as up-to-date as the government because if you feel like the government knows stuff and you don’t you’re wondering what’s what’s the point of those two hour or press conferences you know the press conference starts and I have one question usually tell us about the
[16:39]
question usually tell us about the supply line okay that’s a data you know you gave me some data we got you know X number of mass coming compared to what by when how many more do we need how many more in the pipeline are they all good is there anything wrong with the pipeline so all of the pipeline questions for each of the items from masks and gloves to gowns to ventilators I get raw numbers but they don’t make me feel good because I don’t know you know so New York City got 4,000 ventilators now to my mind I say well that sounds pretty good right I mean from the four thousand that seems pretty good but how many do you think they’ll need and because all those ventilators went to the hospital for the rest of the country so I would say the task force is doing a just a flat failing job on communicating
[17:39]
just a flat failing job on communicating clearly in a way that the public understands the supply chain now it’s possible that they don’t want to communicate clearly you know you always have to hold out the possibility that the government maybe don’t want you to know too many of the details because maybe it’s not working as well as we want you know maybe there’s some reason we shouldn’t know but I don’t think there’s a reason and we could probably help if there’s some part of that supply chain that needs a little push so that’s that’s the biggest need I think for the task force is to improve that specific communication about the supply chain for the PPE interestingly when Trump was asked about Congress dick adorned taken around on the bill and not getting it done wouldn’t you have expected Trump to just unload on Pelosi and Schumer no I think he did before but today he didn’t do you
[18:44]
he did before but today he didn’t do you notice that it was it was kind of conspicuous that it seemed like he had decided that being bipartisan at least today he decided that being bipartisan was the stronger play completely right I believe I think he can rely on other members of Congress and social media to put a lot of pressure on the people who are not getting it done by the way did you see did you see Mark Cuban’s tweet i retweeted it and he basically just screamed and caps you know do your do your effing jobs you know he tweeted something showing that Congress wasn’t getting it done and you know I I boosted that signal as well because this is not bipartisan I mean I mean sorry it’s not even it’s not even just a partisan problem it’s just rank incompetence and not caring about the public this is a whole different level of you know you
[19:44]
whole different level of you know you get you got to fire people if if they keep acting that way so there was some indication you know by the end of the day the markets liked it some indication that maybe something good will happen we shall see so you know the stock work you had a good day if anybody if anybody wasn’t already in the stock market I’ll bet you wish you were today all right what else we got going on I always wondered if you could have a social distancing app that would send somebody by Wi-Fi their distance and just beep when you’re too close to somebody don’t wonder if that could ever be a thing all right we look at your questions because I asked questions Erica says I’ve been at periscope wedding well you know I guess we’ll have to see how things how things go it’s not my first choice there’s this a fun idea but it is sort of a private thing so
[20:45]
but it is sort of a private thing so probably won’t be live-streaming that david says how’s your friend who’s recovering from the Cova 19 virus the answer is a 100% as of today just several days after being treated with the the good stuff he’s 100% and the use of the pretty bad shape before that it wasn’t hospitalized but he was you know he was sort of getting close to that borderline where maybe hospitalization would be in the conversation but didn’t get there who has the most power in the USA citizens the media or the government as a whole interesting and I think it depends it depends you know the government has the power when the people don’t care so anything that the people don’t especially care about you know the details of government the government has all the power because we’re don’t care
[21:47]
all the power because we’re don’t care but if the citizens care then they are stronger than the media and they’re stronger than the government but most of the days the the media is probably wagging the reguar Menten and wagging the citizens too but in a let’s say a situation like this this is a perfect example when the the democrats threw all that pork in the bill and the republicans said nope I think it’s the public that made that change no you I feel the public had the power and just twist into the arms of the government and said yeah this isn’t this isn’t normal sausage making this is an emergency not this time and do you think airlines shutting down domestic flights will be good for fighting the outbreak I don’t know why it wouldn’t be I mean I wouldn’t put a percentage on it but yeah of course anything that reduces travel
[22:49]
of course anything that reduces travel should reduce the spread what we would know about other treatments I don’t don’t know too much about those should we be doing a national scale plan for temperature checks on public transportation you know I would I would defer to the experts of that because I heard I thought I heard foul Qi say that it’s sort of a weak process meaning that there are so many people were not symptomatic and they wouldn’t necessarily even have a fever that you’re hardly ever gonna catch anybody who has it who didn’t know about it you know it’s sort of like if you have a fever you’re probably not going out because you know what the score is at this point and if you don’t have the fever it’s not going to catch it so there’d just be this weird little range where your fever just started but maybe you weren’t quite aware of it and yeah and it was because of the you know kovat so you’re not catching much but I
[23:52]
so you’re not catching much but I thought I’d have to listen to the experts to see if it’s even worth while and all you know I I firmly believe that at least some of the steps the government does are for the psychology and the comfort of the people you know I can’t believe that spraying the streets in Wuhan made a difference because the the germ doesn’t live too well outside in the first place relative to other places did you see Joe Biden sneezing into his hand on obvious how this video press conference and Jake Tapper busted him on it he’s like you know you should have you you tell us to you know Stephen tear your elbow but you just Stephens your hand and and Joe did not have an answer that it was so sad
[24:53]
let’s see feeling so down and keep crying today oh so Cindy says that you need this well I hope you hear Cindy are you swaddling get you a warm blanket looks like in your profile picture you’ve got a guy there get your guy get a blanket do some serious spooning I’m here to tell you that we got this I believe this week will be the weirdest week because we’ll have horrendous news about new people who are having health problems of one sort or another or even dying we can hear a lot of it this week and you’re gonna hear horror stories about the the economy etc but we do have a plan now subject to change but the the Easter date is a gigantic thing and I think the stock market is responding quite rationally in this case the stock market is not always rational but today was very rational I think you’re gonna have
[25:55]
very rational I think you’re gonna have good news about treatments and I think you’re gonna have good news about tests availability and I think you’re gonna have good news about some people getting back to work so Cindy relax we got this there’s actually nothing that can go terribly wrong at this point so let me let me round that up by saying I don’t think the risk of the entire me falling apart is even a little bit high if I’m being honest you know I got a degree in economics and I’ve been around for a while and I’ve been through a lot of cycles of we’re all doomed only to find out nothing of the sort right so if you’ve been at it through enough cycles and Cindy you look young happens but you gotta bend through enough these this is very familiar territory for a lot of us different situations but the same feeling of general alarm but this
[26:57]
same feeling of general alarm but this one is the least alarming of them all you know after 9/11 I have to admit it was scary because you didn’t know if it was gonna happen again and where and and all that but this one has more of a defined beginning and end and and there isn’t any chance that the whole economy is going to fall apart into depression before we get back to work I don’t think there’s any chance because we’re really clever all the assets are there we just have to reinvent them when the time has come we’ll find clever ways to do things outdoors and with the windows open and with masks and we’re going to be good is it’s capitalism dead well you know we’re definitely gonna be trying some socialism so that will be interesting and how it changes the way people think about it yeah there’s a locust plague in
[27:57]
about it yeah there’s a locust plague in Africa right now and somebody is saying that you know a reasonably small effort would would be a big deal I’m sure that’s true but I just don’t know anything is gonna get any oxygen except this for now unfortunately since mortgage payments are being suspended shouldn’t rent payments be I don’t know the details of that or mortgage payments being suspended and but I would agree with you they should be what can we simultaneous sip with you now you can simultaneously swaddle there’s no sipping today will the u.s. end up penalizing American companies for continuing to do business in China or reward those who lose their business back well I guess it depends what you mean by penalize there’s gonna be a lot of pressure the government can put a lot of pressure on you a lot of different ways I wouldn’t be surprised I wouldn’t be surprised if there has to be
[28:59]
wouldn’t be surprised if there has to be some kind of maybe tax pressure or or something to make it harder to do business you know size than the United States could happen top tips for staying positive and what skills to build when quarantined number one oh I doubt it’s Donovan hey Donovan in South Korea yeah so tips for staying positive well you know I say I’ve said them often and they’re worth repeating and by the way are you noticing that a lot of your actual professionals and people who know what they’re talking about or are saying what I’ve been saying from the start which is take a nice long walk and don’t exhaust yourself because it’s good for your good for your mental health but also good for your immune system so you don’t want to exercise too much but you want to get your good walk in every day get it get some air make you feel good so that’s number one I’ve tried it both ways I’ve tried to take in a walk and not take and walk big difference in my mental and physical
[30:00]
difference in my mental and physical state the walk really really helps the other thing you need to do is make sure you get enough sleep turn off the TV don’t check your social media for at least periods of the day it doesn’t have to be all day things are happening quickly so I think it’s it’s good to be tuned in I don’t like to go to much more than an hour without checking the news at the moment but here’s here’s my best advice if you’re watching this periscope it’s probably because you’ve been watching me for a while most most of you are not doing it been around a while and you know that I’m pretty good at predicting things and you’ve watched it with this I was literally I think I was the first person to say close the flights I think Jack pasaba quiz you know talking about closing the border even before I did but I was very very early on that I was also early calling that Donald Trump would become president and you know I was early saying that he
[31:01]
and you know I was early saying that he would probably beat and have something productive happened with North Korea it’s a long ways away still but I would think you’d agree there’s something good sir I thought the president would be good at negotiating trade deals and I told you that the trade war with China would end up okay so if you were to look at my entire body of predictions you should have some comfort that if I tell you things are looking like they’re turning around pretty quickly and that our economy will be back fully at some point but I would say the odds of something like a depression zero just zero just none at all because we don’t have any of the elements that would make that a case people will be back to work you know in a month and a month you can you can put up with anything for a month so you should trust me that it looks
[32:01]
so you should trust me that it looks like we’re in good shape I will also tell you that I might know more than you do and I’m not going to say more about that I’m just gonna say if you’ve ever believed me about anything believe this things are gonna be pretty good now it’s gonna be a tough week it’s not all roses there will be death there will be there will be pain there will be lots of economic disruption and some of that will affect all of us some more than others that’s all going to happen but there is a time certain when things turned the other way we’re getting ready to go on offense and you can’t judge the war before one team started to fight I mean we’re purely in a strategic retreat and divide and conquer all very smart things but while we’re doing this we’re building weapons test kits processes procedures we’re getting
[33:04]
processes procedures we’re getting smarter we’re making we’re building new supply lines for for protective gear we’re testing meds faster than we’ve ever touched tested them before we’re putting vaccines together we’re getting data we’ll probably I imagine at some point will have serum serum therapy where you can get the blood of somebody who’s or the serum from the blood of somebody who’s recovered this is all going to happen really quickly and then we’re gonna be on offense so you’re all gonna be fine all right does yang have a place on trumps task force well you know I would say yes as a consultant you know it’s hard to form teams of people that you don’t you’re not comfortable with they’re on the other team or something but certainly as you know a smart reliable person I
[34:05]
you know a smart reliable person I wouldn’t want his opinion to be part of anything of this nature yes how best to encourage an elderly relative who lives alone in another town well contact but video contact the the main thing I think your elderly relative needs is lots of contact especially if they can’t leave the house so you know if they do stay in there pretty darn safe as long as they stay away from people question can high quality hypoallergenic vacuum bags be repurposed as masks in an emergency wouldn’t they be better than a cotton bandana I do not know but among the questions I would ask is is there any kind of fiber on there that’s gonna jump off into your lungs I don’t know that would be the first thing I’d ask but I have no idea I don’t imagine that a vacuum bag would be engineered to those specs
[35:13]
Oh somebody else says there’s an Oxford study that implies yes if you double up with an outer wrap such as a scarf okay somebody’s asking about Justin Amash but I don’t know why his proposals on why not continue the quarantine for the elderly and sick only I think that’s what’s going to happen what do you like on your hot dog I don’t eat hot dogs why is the left so heartless to business that sounds like a joke first industry to decouple should be Pharma of course where’s your rocking where’s your rocking chair all of you people watching and only one of you got the joke so
[36:17]
Steve LL congratulations you the only one who got the joke why would the governor of new Nevada ban the malaria drugs I don’t know anything about that he banned them yeah I don’t know what that’s about does it seem that people care more about re-election than the best solution of the country yes some of them tips on lowering the stress or anxiety of family and friends during this time well the main tip for lowering somebody else’s anxiety is the one I’m modeling right now if you can’t get yourself calm you’re not going to calm anybody else down so so job number one this is the Caesar the The Dog Whisperer method yeah the way you train your dog is to train yourself because your dog is influenced by your your attitude when I’m angry but every once a while I’ll get you know mad or something in the office you know some
[37:17]
or something in the office you know some trivial thing on power and my dog will actually leave the house my dog Snickers actually won’t be in the house with me when I’m in a bad mood she’ll actually leave the house and it’s not like I beat my dog or anything she just can’t be around a negative attitude she just won’t have it so she just leaves the house getting this in the backyard for a while she’s got her own little door there so if you want to get your your relatives to calm down it starts with you and you’re gonna have to come with a real calm attitude and you’re gonna have to show some knowledge because if you don’t know more than they do do you’re not gonna be able to calm them down so you got to be smarter and more well informed you got to be relaxed keep them informed and remind them that the main things I would remind people is that the economy is not broken it’s really not it literally just took some time off all the assets are still there we’ll just repopulate them as soon as we can so that the economy is going to be
[38:17]
can so that the economy is going to be fine relative to you know depression there there’ll be some kind of mild recession there won’t last that long and that in terms of health as long as they’re staying away from social contact they should be fine but I’ve said before that watch the death rate in the next two days and the reason I say that is I think that hydroxychloroquine and as if from eyesand and zinc combo is being tested but probably people are already using it so if you look at New York City and you see the death rate just just start plummeting it means they’re starting to use the drug and it’s working if it doesn’t if the death rate in New York doesn’t start going down pretty quickly you no matter what the rate of infection is well then I’d be worried but until that happens I’m not worried all right
[39:18]
Nevada signed a measure to protect the malaria drug from hoarding that makes more sense it makes more sense that they were protecting a scarce and resource my sister is raging at my uncle and cousin for violating quarantine rules who do we persuade well I don’t know if anybody can persuade elderly people you know you reached a certain age and just nobody can persuade you of anything so if they’re not afraid what are you gonna do because fear is the only thing that would make people stop it and people have different reactions to scary things so if they’re just not afraid what’s gonna stop them now the way I would go is to say you know you were you’re not a patriot so you probably want to find out what you are relatives hot-button is because everybody’s different so let’s
[40:20]
because everybody’s different so let’s say you knew your relatives were very patriotic that’s that’s the pet that’s the path I take I’d say you know I know you don’t think you’re gonna get it and I know you don’t even care if you die but you are just not being a patriot because the whole point is you don’t want to get out there and get it and give it to somebody else you know do you know how many people you could kill personally do the math if if you know mom dad if you get it you’re probably going to give it to some family members and let’s say they’re fine in most cases they’ll just recover it’ll be fine but statistically speaking because it’s spreading so fast you’re gonna give it to two and a half people and each of them is gonna give it to two and a half people and each of them chances are any one person who violates the quarantine and and actually gets infected just that one person could kill dozens right unless you know the the wild card is if
[41:21]
unless you know the the wild card is if we get some meds they can really stop it in his tracks but at this point one person violating a curfew is taking an expected value chance of killing people more than one person because the number of people who could be affected just by one infection so so depending on the person you either want to go for patriotism you want to go for fear but it sounds like they don’t have here but maybe you can give them more information until they did oh here it is do you want to scare it and scare people into staying home find an article from nurses who are dealing with people as they die from this I’m not going to give you details but let just let me say that of all the ways you could die I don’t know I’ve heard of a worse one except maybe being on fire right of all the ways you could die being on fire would
[42:21]
ways you could die being on fire would be pretty bad but dying from this is pretty bad too so if you want to scare somebody just guess I’m not even going to give you the details but it’s that the last hours are pretty darn ugly so stay away from them stay away from people all right what does your economics degree you say about unlimited quantitative easing it says there’s nothing unlimited so everything is limited did I talk about Nevada yeah I just don’t know too much about that except they’re probably protecting it from hoarding all right so you could have 56,000 people and affected through one infection well it’s more than that because every person on earth who’s infected came from one person so think about that everybody on earth who’s infected started with one person so if
[43:22]
infected started with one person so if you’re asking yourself how many people could you personally kill if you get it and spread it I don’t know how many people have died so far what’s the total worldwide death count tens of thousands so you could actually be responsible for killing tens of thousands of people that’s not even a joke that that’s just math yeah I’m looking at your comments pretty pretty ugly stuff will you ever leave your house again well let me tell you a little story so just before I got on periscope I decided to check my mailbox so I walked down the hill to my mailbox and it had been raining all day now this is important to the story that had been raining all day so as I’m walking around to the mailbox I see under a bush a package a cardboard box that apparently
[44:26]
package a cardboard box that apparently my shipping company whoever whoever delivered it instead of taking it to my door which would be standard they threw it under a bush in my log it’s a cardboard box that has been sitting in the rain all day but I thought to myself well you know it’s probably some canned goods in there or something of a plastic you know it’s not like it’s not like whatever is in there it’s going to be necessarily hurt because there’s always a package with it and with it the box right but as I approach it I can see that the construction of the box has really taken a hit from the rain and starting to break down and I look through a corner of it and it’s paper goods and I thought I think it’s toilet paper because I think Christine that you know just before you couldn’t get anything she got in an order and it was like you know two weeks to deliver it this was it and I guess I could see it through the corner I’m like so time
[45:28]
through the corner I’m like so time Stood Still as I ran to the bush I tried to scoop up the melting wet box that had paper towels in it as it turns out not not toilet tissues but they weren’t wrapped in anything they were just in the cardboard box and I pick it up and I’m trying to hold the box together as it’s it’s melting in my hands it’s almost liquid and I if I drop any of these precious rolls of paper towels I don’t know if I’ll ever see another paper towel and if it hits the ground it’s going to be rolling because it’s I’m trying and I’m running up my driveway trying to trying to plug the holes as its falling apart in the and the integrity of the box is falling it up like and I I go running into my garage into the dry garage floor and the whole box just disintegrated actually it actually fell apart in just component parts and just fell to the ground and
[46:28]
parts and just fell to the ground and and the and the the towels inside you know fell on the ground mostly dry a little bit wet a little bit on the corners but mostly dry and so I saved my beloved paper towels but there’s a punchline to it I told you that christina ordered them when almost everything was already sold out so I got my paper towels but I don’t know what country these were created him because my normal paper towel has some kind of a soft paper II feel to it whoever made these paper towels did not spend much time converting it from tree to paper towel roll it was still pretty close to a tree I don’t know if I could even unwrap the the sheets they’re like little plywood wrapped around a core so it’s not your highest quality paper goods is what I’m saying anyway I talked
[47:30]
goods is what I’m saying anyway I talked to somebody in Southern California who went to a Costco down there and they had paper towels and they had you know water I think they had toilet paper but you were limited by quantity so as soon as the big stores learned to limit by quantity you know to per customer or whatever that should be the end of the the shortage so I think that’s gonna come to the end and maybe one week it’s my best guess all right that’s all for now and I will see you in the morning bye for now