Episode 839 Scott Adams: Black Voters Saved the Country, Coronavirus Expectations, Facemasks

Date: 2020-03-04 | Duration: 48:27

Topics

My new book LOSERTHINK, available now on Amazon https://tinyurl.com/rqmjc2a Black voters just saved America Rigged Super Tuesday results? Bernie appeals to voters least likely to vote Coronavirus, facemasks, air pollution, genetics

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## Transcript

[0:09]

bum-bum-bum-bum-bum hey everybody come on in it's time for coffee with Scott Adams that would be me and you already know who you are and you know why you're here and I'll bet you're prepared if you're not prepared if it's your first time welcome you just made it to the best place in the world congratulations on that good day for you those of you who come here every day already know it's the best place in the world best time to be in the best place in the world doing the best thing and all you need is a cup of margaret glass a tanker challenger stein I can't even jugger flasks a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now I feel my immunity building coronavirus I would like to take a page

[1:11]

coronavirus I would like to take a page from Jesse waters who was absolutely hilarious yesterday on the 5 on Fox News in which he said and I'm paraphrasing if the coronavirus is the corona virus attacks me I will beat it I will beat it he's right probably will I was looking at my odds of dying from the corona virus because it's that kind of a day and my odds of dying from the corona virus at my age so it's age adjusted now 4% not bad but that's 4% if I get it and it probably also is people who have you know more health problems than I have so that's probably a 50% chance I'll get it so that cuts them in half down to 2% probably the people dying are sicker and older I'm on the early the early end of

[2:11]

older I'm on the early the early end of the 60 so I'd say my chances are 1% something like that yeah 1% of a problem and I've probably got a greater chance of dying from well just about everything else so if you break it down my personal odds are pretty pretty good all right let's talk about the big news from last night Super Tuesday yay I would like to take this opportunity with no irony whatsoever I know you're gonna suspect that I'm saying this for humorous purposes I'm not it is kind of interesting in the light and amusing way but that's not why I'm gonna say it thank you to the black voters of the United States for saving the country from Bernie Sanders and disastrous social policies and I don't think that's too much of a overstatement the black

[3:14]

too much of a overstatement the black voters of this country the ones who voted on Super Tuesday I believe did a really solid service to the United States because keep in mind that because of differences in socio-economic situations a lot of black voters were voting against transferring money from other people to themselves because you have to think that a lot of people who voted against Bernie we're voting against a direct transfer of money from other people to themselves now if that's not good work I don't know what is alright so thank you teammates black citizens who saved the country that's literally true right is there any hyperbole and what I just said I don't think so I think black voters just saved the country literally so thank you and I

[4:15]

country literally so thank you and I mean that so let's see what else happened there question about whether the results have so far been rigged by the Democratic machine and it's kind of an interesting question because what is the difference between let's say the important Democrats al-madinah room and they made phone calls and they all talk to each other behind the scenes and decided hey Amy Klobuchar and people judging in bed oh if we if we all you know if you all drop out the ones who haven't dropped out and endorsed by Dhin you know we'll we'll get Biden over the finish line and we'll get to keep power and all that now that would be rigging it I mean people would it's all legal I mean anybody can talk to anybody and make any kind of a legal deal but it would feel rigged but what if it didn't go down like that what if everybody just knew what to do

[5:17]

what if everybody just knew what to do is that different I mean I do you process that differently did anybody need to tell Amy Klobuchar that this was exactly the best time to quit and endorsed by didn't because she wasn't gonna win because you know he was the closest to what she wanted for the country I don't think anybody had to tell her right and and after Budaj edge made his move it was pretty obvious it was pretty obvious what the move was so is it rigged if everybody simply does what they know is good for their team if they don't have an actual conversation and somebody didn't call them and say you do this or I'll give you this I think it's kind of all the same
Bloomberg is reportedly considering what he's going to do this is a more interesting question than you think because we'll talk about this in a moment but Biden's speech did not

[6:21]

moment but Biden's speech did not suggest he could necessarily make it all the way to the election or even really all the way to the the convention there is something so wobbly about about Biden that you actually have to ask yourself mm-hmm can he make it all the way to the convention without having either a health issue or the public turning on him because he seems wobbly and blue Berg actually still has a path doesn't he
he if blue Berg limped into the convention with his you know one delegate or whatever he's going to have and he was simply just hanging out as a person who is in full control of his faculties and has a conservatively say a moderate Biden like position what would happen if we got there Biden had the most votes except for Bernie but I didn't didn't look viable anymore because we just

[7:22]

look viable anymore because we just watched him a little too closely since since today and maybe people say you know I wasn't seeing it before but I'm not as comfortable as I was even a few weeks ago it looks like things are going going bad quickly so Bluebird he actually has a play which is just hanging around and not be crazy and not be burning and not be Elizabeth Warren I suppose now that would probably make the candidates who who backed by Danang gree but so blue brick has a play my if I had to guess I would guess he's gonna drop out maybe today but soon so my prediction will be Bloomberg drops out but the reason he hasn't done it already is he's probably mulling the fact that there's actually still this tiny little channel for him to get through it's hard to imagine though all right the youth vote did not show up for Bernie

[8:23]

vote did not show up for Bernie so NBC was reporting that the turnout among young voters the ones Bernie attracts the best they they didn't really turn out
somebody says blueberry just dropped out oh so while I was talking about it did that happen while I was talking about it let me just call up see it in here take a look should be the top story it's not there yet so it might be subdued it's not even online yet alright well we'll look for that sorry way birdy has this strategy of attracting young voters and I remember from the very first that I realized that Bernie's strategy was to attract young voters I said to myself who would have a strategy of attracting the people least likely to vote now I suppose if you did

[9:24]

likely to vote now I suppose if you did something miraculous you could get them to vote but it would require changing their basic nature or changing something about the way you're doing things that's so different that you could motivate them but just being a good candidate and having policy as the young people like I think we know it doesn't make them go to the polls in in large numbers like the elderly so would you want Bernie to come in and re-engineer the entire economy if the one thing you knew about him for sure is his plan to get elected was to appeal to the people least likely to show up and doesn't that tell you there's something wrong with his system thinking right there he's not a system thinker he's a goal thinker a goal being you know we'd like everybody to have health care we'd like everybody to show up to vote but what's your system to get there it's the system that's the the broken part well we got to talk about Biden's

[10:26]

part well we got to talk about Biden's victory speech say yes is a victory speech because you won most of the states and took the lead from Bernie and delegates although the rate the race is still very much on but he's got the lead at the moment and he gets up there and you probably also the clip by now so his wife and his sister are standing slightly behind him on either side and he confuses which one is on which side and he goes this is my wife and he starts to hold her all right now this is my sister and he starts to hold his wife's hand and then the wife is like oh no I'm not the sister and then Biden realizes it and he goes this is my wife no this is my sister no they switched on me and then he's trying to explain why the very first thing he says is in his victory speech his old man nonsense confused old man nonsense is how he started his victory speech then he used the word which he's been busted for before instead of saying exponentially he says exponentially and

[11:27]

exponentially he says exponentially and he says it so clearly you know he doesn't know what the word is yeah it's because he said it in the past lots of times he says exponentially he actually says that word very clearly then he was talking about Amy Klobuchar who he called Amy Globe ajar yeah Amy Globe ajar and and of course he was slurring words and stopping the middle of sentences and confused and shouting and gladdened Glenn Greenwald is hilarious on this topic I tweet I retweet him a lot and I don't I'm not a big fan of Glenn Greenwald's personality at least you know the public version of it that we see he's pretty unforgiving and unpleasant but he's really good at what he does can't take that away from him and his tweet you should follow him on Twitter because his tweets are spectacular but even even Glenn Greenwald is saying you

[12:28]

even even Glenn Greenwald is saying you know what are you Democrats seeing and Biden that makes you think this is okay I've been I'm paraphrasing he didn't say it with those words but he's kind of he put up a poll on Twitter to literally ask Democrats what the hell are you seeing here what is your so his curiosity which I share is what are Democrats of thinking when they vote for Biden now of course they're a think he can win so that's obvious they think his policies or whatever and that's obvious but what do they think about his mental acuity I'm actually curious do Democrats not see what's going on and part of the curiosity is do they look at a Trump and it looks the same I don't know that's an actual question I'm not saying I'm not saying that to make a point I don't know do Democrats look at

[13:30]

point I don't know do Democrats look at Trump and see him as mentally incompetent even though the experts who are both left and right facing have unanimously finally come to the same conclusion that Trump's style of communication is super good super good but are the Democratic voters not seen with the experts see and they say well he uses simple sentences and he doesn't complete his sentences you'll start something and then he'll turn left and you'll turn right and the experts have all agreed at this point it totally works so there's no there's no confusion anymore among experts on the left or the right the president Trump really really is good at this this being communicating and persuading but nobody's saying that about Biden are there any communication experts who are saying oh ho you public I know you're laughing at his gaffes but look at his

[14:31]

laughing at his gaffes but look at his technique if you would look at his technique you would see that he's really good at this but maybe you don't understand because you don't you don't understand that the right technique nobody's saying that a hundred percent of people are saying it about Trump everyone every every good communication expert left and right says Trump is great zero people have said that about Biden what are they thinking about his mental ability I don't know it's a great question all right trey gowdy apparently I didn't hear this live but I think it was was it Martha McCallum who quoted him he was on her show I think and said that trey Gowdy had the greatest line about watching Joe Biden give a speech and just listen to have it just feel how visual this is I always tell you that good persuasion is visual trey Gowdy on Joe Biden he says it's like watching a chain-smoker fill a gas tank now could that be any better

[15:31]

now could that be any better that is so visual and it tells it's not only visual but I make this point often too it's one sentence but it's a movie you can see the movie it's got a beginning it's got a middle that's got abandoned which doesn't end well and as and it's it's just spectacular now I don't think I don't believe Trey Gaudi Trey Gaudi invented that folksy saying I think that was an existing saying but boy does that fit because it does feel exactly like that I I have let me ask you if you've had this experience yet prior to a few months ago the only politicians that I would watch were were ones who are really interesting so if Trump was to giving a rally I would actually watch that for a while just cuz he he holds my attention he's just so interesting all the time same with a oh say I might be disagreeing with her but boy can she hold the tension same with Matt gates just to use

[16:34]

tension same with Matt gates just to use another example he could hold your attention like nobody I mean these are really good people at holding attention but I've recently started really enjoying watching Joe Biden speak I are you with me but I'm not looking at him because he holds my attention in the classical way that the others do he holds my attention because I'm waiting for the chain-smoker who's filling his gas tank to blow up and and and I'm very aware of it while I'm watching it the whole time I'm watching her go come on he starts a sentence every time biden starts the sentence III have the same feeling like okay this is a good one it's a complex sentence let's see where this is going oh okay he landed that one here's another one another complex sentence and okay he took a left turn and just missed going all over the cliff here's another sentence I'm fascinated by Biden now I

[17:37]

sentence I'm fascinated by Biden now I can't stop watching him use I watched that whole speech last night all right some people are saying that Bloomberg wasted his half a billion dollars or whatever it was because his money he proved that money doesn't make the difference because Biden won you know with practically no spending in a few state states where Bloomberg has spent a lot but is that really what we found out I'm not so sure that's what we learned didn't we learn that money plus no personality whatsoever doesn't work I think that's what we learned was there anybody in the world who was saying you know if Charles Manson were still alive and he had enough funding he could become President of the United States was that anybody thinking that because I would say no there was nobody in the entire planet who was thinking

[18:39]

in the entire planet who was thinking you know if you had enough money it doesn't matter who you are nobody was thinking that no folks the lesson that we got from Bloomberg is not that money doesn't help it was the opposite the lesson we got from Bloomberg is that you could look like a desiccated turd with no charisma whatsoever no game plan and no policies that the people can even remember and you can still get 18 percent of the vote without even running in most of the primaries Bloomberg proved money works unambiguously so everybody you see who's saying that Bloomberg proved money doesn't work is an idiot thank you you usually I don't like to say somebody's an idiot if they disagree with me but sometimes there's not really room for opinion you know sometimes you it really is subjective this is something subjective this isn't

[19:43]

this is something subjective this isn't subjective because there's nobody who's disagrees with me on my characterization of Bloomberg as low charisma with nothing exciting to say I believe even the people who voted for him say that I mean that's not too subjective that's kind of describing him and it's also true you got 18 we have whatever some some percentage in the teens votes would no skill at all no skill maybe got that no political skill at least a presidential type he doesn't bloom Berg does have considerable management skill which is more appropriate to a Maori old job I I think Bluebird is probably a perfect personality to be mayor of New York City so that it's no no accident that worked out all right Bloomberg also said yesterday that he's not upset with many Trump policies it's just his style now I didn't want to crow

[20:46]

just his style now I didn't want to crow about it but thankfully a number of people have been following me for a while corroded on my behalf because long ago I predicted and I'm gonna say that I got the prediction wrong because there was a time a time window on it and the time window was completely wrong and I said that by the first year the end of the first year of the Trump administration I said that the dominant opinion would be that he was effective but we don't like him
him Bloomberg just said now three and a half years in Bloomberg said I'm not upset with many Trump policies I don't like your style that doesn't sound too far off from he's effective but we don't like him does it it's not exactly the same but it's pretty close a lot of people noticed that and he didn't get a lot of pushback which is the other interesting thing so blue bloomberg got pushed back for not being different from Trump he got pushed back for you know not maybe not being as critical as Trump

[21:48]

not maybe not being as critical as Trump or not being as as novel as you should be if you're gonna run against him so you got pushback for that but I don't think he got pushed back for the fact that he didn't disagree with Trump's policies I think about that the a major candidate a major Democratic candidate just came out and said he didn't have a problem with his opponents policies and the Democrats yeah Bloomberg's amped it happened while I was on here I guess but and nobody pushed back up the fact that Bloomberg said Trump's policies are okay nobody pushed back what's that tell you
apparently Tulsi Gabbard qualifies for the next debate because she got one delegate from American Samoa which is where I guess Bloomberg got his delegate and I guess she was born there I didn't know she was born in America Samoa but I

[22:52]

know she was born in America Samoa but I wonder if she'll be in the debate because you probably have been wondering why is Tulsi still in the still in the campaign at all you know you're probably wondering and I think that's a good question she doesn't seem to be playing for Vice President does she it doesn't look like it I don't know who would who would be the best fit with her as a vice president but I don't really see that as the motivation doesn't seem like it so I'm not sure exactly what her motivation is so it's hard to predict whether she'll stay and we get out when you don't know why she's there in the first place at this point if I had to guess it's because she thinks her message is important which would be a good reason and wants to take the opportunity to keep that message out there that'd be good all right let's talk about coronavirus because I know you want to I know you want to and I'm going to give you my predictions for things but we're also going to be

[23:55]

things but we're also going to be amateur investigators all right so before I start this next segment talking about coronavirus let me say what you're all going to be thinking Scott Scott Scott Scott let me do this entails voice so this is just so you don't this is just a save you time in your comments later because you're gonna make the same comment and it's gonna go like this well you're not all gonna make this comment but many of you would it goes like this Scott Scott Scott leave it to the experts to talk about expert things you're just making things worse you're a cartoonist stick to cartooning cartoon boy don't don't confuse things we're the experts seen with that with that said let us talk about the

[24:56]

that said let us talk about the coronavirus with our complete lack of expertise but let's talk about what we know I'll try to call out the things that I think are true but I don't know you can keep me honest with your fact-checking in real time let's talk about the face masks as you know the CDC has not recommended their citizens use medical face masks to protect themselves that was misinterpreted as face masks don't work that misinterpretation was accentuated by medical professionals coming in and saying no the reason that may face masks are worn by doctors is to protect the patient from the doctors own you know germs now so that's what the all the officials and professionals have been telling us and a lot of people adopted that view and on online people are reminding me of that so but I have

[25:58]

are reminding me of that so but I have some questions I have some questions it goes like this a lot of smart people are telling me that the reason the doctors where the mass is to protect the patient so how is that work is this one of those masks that only works in one direction is that the sort of mask that will stop a virus or whatever bad bacteria or germs or whatever else we're talking about from getting out of the Basques but it would not stop anything from coming in the other direction is it a magic mask that only works in one direction now it turns out that the actual high-end medical masks actually are they actually do work differently in and out so they've got a little filter on them and they're there they're closely fitted by professionals and stuff and those are allegedly 95 percent good at stopping a virus from getting in and so should you

[27:03]

virus from getting in and so should you get a face mask if the professional masks the ones you probably can't buy anyway that the medical professionals use and they fit carefully that protects them 95 percent from viruses should you get one
well suppose you couldn't fit it as well as the professionals would that be a reason not to get one no no we're talking about err if you can reduce the amount of air that's coming in from the outside and and it's the air that's got the virus of course it would help even if it's not perfectly fitted of course if 10 or 20 percent of the air is sort of coming around are you still more protected by having you know if if 95 percent protection is is good enough I think I would still settle for 75 what if it's just 50%

[28:04]

settle for 75 what if it's just 50% because I didn't put it on right don't I want 50% so I think what's happening here is a case of loser thing in which people are conflating different things and they've they've taken the suggestion that they don't work all the time or they're not a hundred percent effective that's turned into don't get one and those are not the same thing not a hundred percent effective does not say don't get one because you know what else is not 100% effective washing your hands but we don't tell people oh don't don't bother washing your hands that's not even a hundred percent effective at best twenty five percent but we don't do that we say it's 25 percent go ahead and do it what about people coughing into their their elbow we tell people to cover their coughs

[29:06]

we tell people to cover their coughs but why because people are still gonna get it so shouldn't we tell people that don't bother cover your cough people are still gonna get it no but we don't we say well it might help a little my help ten percent go ahead and cover it so everybody who's arguing about these face masks don't get one if you're an individual because it doesn't work it is not smart let me tell you what I think is true based on everything we know I do think that the the non professional medical masks are way less effective I think we all agree on that I think that if the virus is airborne and you can you know trap a little bit more of it close to your face because it's you know at least the air itself is not going out past in your face mask and you have it certainly makes sense that if you have a coffee you should wear a face mask whatever kind you can get because at the very least it's going to stop the most of the air from you know

[30:07]

stop the most of the air from you know expressing itself in the furthest possible way and the other thing is so I did a little googling and found out that there have never been tests to find out if non-medical people there have been tests about medical people so we know masks work in the medical environment but that's never been tested to see if a citizen wearing the face mask give avoid a virus never been tested now what would you think is the common-sense likelihood that having some kind of a barrier that's not a hundred percent over your mouth would make some difference one percent ten percent fifty percent we don't know why we don't know how much difference but I would say that it is absolutely it's just dumb to imagine it doesn't work at all or that it isn't worth a shot given given the size of the risk now some have

[31:07]

given the size of the risk now some have suggested that what the CDC and the government are really telling you is not exactly what they're saying in other words what they really mean is that if the citizens start hoarding face masks the professionals won't have them and the country as a whole is definitely better off if our medical professionals are healthy it is way better for a common citizen to get the virus than for a doctor to get it because the doctor is helping multiple people obviously so so certainly it does make sense not to hoard the good ones that the doctors would use I agree with that makes sense it's the better for the whole but that doesn't mean it wouldn't be protective for one individual who happened to have a mask so don't lie to us don't lie to me and tell me that a citizen with that mask even if they don't know the right way to fit it on their face don't tell me that's not going to make a difference because you don't know and all logic and sense tells you what makes some

[32:08]

sense tells you what makes some difference but I also think that it might be wise for the government not to say that the masks do work because it could cause a panic and there aren't enough masks I would not don't be surprised if sometime in the near future we find out that let's say production of the good kind of masks ramps up you could get to the point where we have enough of them for everybody do you think that the government of the United States would tell us not citizens not to wear the good and 95 masks that the medical professionals where do you think that the government would say don't try those if we had enough you know the answer to that you know the answer if we had enough for everyone it wouldn't matter that we're not really good at fitting them to our faces the government would say it's better than nothing you know that right so when you

[33:11]

nothing you know that right so when you hear them say the masks don't work or that they're now amended to put that in context you don't want to take them away from the medical professionals that's that's real and that's probably really important and you don't want to start a panic of people killing you for your face mask because you have one and I don't all right you don't want that so I think the government is lying to you and I'm not sure I appreciated it in this case you mean I could see the utility of it I can see the utility of the lie and I do think that sometimes you need to lie to the public I I don't reject lying to the public if you have a legitimate greater good purpose for it I just don't know if this is it it's a it's an edge case all right
I've noticed something that could be just a coincidence but it might be a correlation and I want to run it by you now here's the part where Dale warned you that I'm not an expert and anything I say from now on or anything I've ever

[34:11]

I say from now on or anything I've ever said really should be subject to expert fact-checking in correction but this is kind of interesting and kind of fun and watch this so here's a correlation what do these places have in common Iran China Italy South Korea and a cruise ship all right if you watch me on Twitter you know the answer this so I'll say it again what do these have in common Iran China Italy South Korea and the cruise ship now of course you immediately know that's where the worst outbreaks of the corona virus are but what are the other coincidences are there any well it turns out there's one very big one you've got an airborne lung related respiratory virus and the places where it's worse are the places where air pollution is the worst did you know and I just tweeted around a source for this that the air pollution on the deck

[35:13]

this that the air pollution on the deck even if you're outdoors on the deck of a cruise ship I just read an article from the USA Today that the air quality on the deck of a cruise ship in the ocean is worse than the air quality in and believe it or not this story was a few years old and the story actually compared it to Iran coincidentally that was the exact comparison they made so there's something about whatever is bubbling around you know in the bowels of the ship that is causing the air quality on a cruise ship to be worse than Turan so all of these places and by the way if you didn't know who Italy and I didn't know this Italy is the most polluted air in Europe did you draw that about you didn't know that South Korea has terrible air quality did you know that some of you did I didn't know that I didn't know it until yesterday I looked this stuff up so Iran China Italy

[36:13]

looked this stuff up so Iran China Italy South Korea and cruise ships have the worst air quality in the worst problems with the coronavirus is that a coincidence well there are other correlations that might be the coincidence for example as other people mentioned it could be that many of these countries have different standards for social behavior maybe there's more hugging and kissing when you greet people maybe they're just more touching or sharing could be I mean that could be the correlation as people are saying in the comments there's a high level of smoking in all of these countries and that should mean something right that's a high correlation it has something to do with the lung so it would make sense that that would have a correlation here's another correlation they're all dense dense places so maybe it has nothing to do with the air they're just very populated places and we'll see other populated places having exactly the same reaction that's possible we'll have to wait and see and another another

[37:17]

have to wait and see and another another correlation is that those are the only places that are being tested so it could be that we only think those are the worst places because once discovered there was a lot of testing there it could be you know just hypothetically it could be that there's some clean air place and Aspen where there's a ton of it and we just haven't tested it yet could be so here you're the reasons potential reasons and we'll just speculate now so there's no scientific backing well a little bit but not enough so one of the reasons that air pollution might be hurting people is the obvious it degrades people's lungs so if your lungs are already degraded and you get a virus that hurts your lungs could that more likely hurt you the answer is yes of course if you add the air pollution to the fact that there are heavy smokers well now it's twice as bad you got air pollution and you're smoking so of course you get a virus into your lungs that's going to be bad but there's some other more interesting things

[38:18]

other more interesting things apparently vitamin D is I think this is not 100% confirmed but there's a lot of science that would suggest vitamin D is protective in vitamin D you get from Sun and something you don't get when you're in a polluted places enough Sun so it could it be that high levels of pollution are making it more difficult for people to get their vitamin D and you have entire populations that are more susceptible because of the pollution than the vitamin D connection maybe there's also a little bit of science but not enough to suggest that one of the ways that viruses travel is unde us now does pollution operate the way dust does can a virus hitch a ride on some pollution and then travel further did you notice that the Chinese got things under control they say I don't know do

[39:19]

under control they say I don't know do you believe it it's hard to it's hard to know but China says that they're at least reducing the number of new cases if you believe it recently but what else happened recently they said all the traffic stopped because everything's shut down in China enough so that the pollution went away so you've seen the aerial photos the pollution cleared up so at the same time the pollution cleared up the virus stopped spreading at the same rate coincidence it could be remember everything we're talking about is probably a coincidence so we're peering into lots of coincidences to see if there's anything that should be looked at a little bit further certainly we're not going to know anything but we could know what to look at there is also some indication that pollution directly lowers your immune response whether that's from vitamin D or something else so you've got several mechanisms by which

[40:20]

got several mechanisms by which pollution could be a big factor which is really important to you it's important to you because I'm going to make a prediction and here's my prediction that if you're in some place that is not that dense or has cleaner air and you're not a smoker you're gonna be a lot better shape I think your odds of getting it if you live in a clean air environment or probably gonna be a lot better now that this is speculation but it's my prediction as well it's my prediction that this is not an accidental correlation that the that the air pollution probably has some impact now as some some people said hey what about Seattle well I think most of the people in Seattle are from the cruise ship right so the cruise ship is bad air quality and also I imagine there are more elderly people now I saw a video by

[41:23]

more elderly people now I saw a video by somebody who is not credible so I won't say that this is true but we are not yet seeing full reporting on the the genetic and or ethnic background of the people who are suffering the most as far as I know no african-american has died from the corona virus as far as I know there's at least one person who believes that 98% of the deaths are ethnic Chinese is that true even the ones in other countries appear to be ethnic Chinese who are having a bigger problem with it is that true I would say that is a
a unknown at this point it could be that it just seemed that way because where the source was in Wuhan and people who are coming back and forth from there we're more likely to be ethnic Chinese so it could be a false correlation but here's my prediction you will not see a

[42:24]

here's my prediction you will not see a major outbreak unless there's some kind of a special case such as a nursing home or you know some kind of weird cluster of people who are susceptible so not counting special cases I don't think you're going to see a major outbreak where there's low pollution and where the density is you know less crowded I think those two factors may have something to do with it all right and if it's true that China is getting a hold on this and in the number of new cases is reducing if that's true I mean that is really good news because that must be the hardest situation and if they can do it it means we're probably in pretty good shape here's more of my prediction I believe that the world economy will figure a way out so if you've looked at the range of predictions about the corona virus it goes from hey people it's just a bad chest cold grandma was gonna die anyway you won't

[43:25]

grandma was gonna die anyway you won't even notice so that that's not the the lowest end of worry at the highest end of worry the economy suffers and civilization falls apart I don't think that's going to happen and here's why at most in the United States I would expect that no more then listen this is just an average but just a prediction and I wish I could back this up but this just feels right so feel free to disagree I don't think we'll see a point where any given company will have more than 20% of their employees think at the same time can business go on if 20% of their employees are animal sick and the answer is yeah easily because
business can go on with 20% of the people that was sick because we do it every summer every summer 20% of the people are on vacation and business just goes on so it's actually fairly easy to

[44:29]

goes on so it's actually fairly easy to run a business of 20% of the people are homesick so I think you're going to see a situation where people are gonna realize that it is more important to prevent a depression and it's more important to have an income and to eat and pay taxes than it is to protect every single young person the emphasis on a young person from all exposure so I think people are just going to go back to work at some point take their chances I think we'll probably find better ways to protect our elderly I think we'll probably put more resources and to protecting them but if you're 35 I think in a few weeks you're just going to go back to work and take your chances and you know get a little chest cold for a week probably that's your worst case so
I'm also going to suggest that there might be some kind of genetic marker it might not have anything to do with your ethnicity it could be independent of

[45:29]

ethnicity it could be independent of ethnicity but it could be that not everybody is equally a risk I think we're going to know that pretty soon because we're certainly testing enough people we could get their DNA it won't be long before we know who is the most susceptible and then you can you can plan accordingly you can say okay if you're most susceptible you do this stuff the rest of us will keep the economy running because we're less susceptible I think we're gonna work that out I think we're going to see an end of large outdoor events but i but I predicted that a long time ago based on drones I thought terrorism would become so good in terms of effective that outdoor events with large gatherings would probably become a thing of the past and I think we're getting closer to that this is just one more one more step I do think the travel and entertainment industry is just get devastated of course so but that will be the worst of it I don't think

[46:30]

will be the worst of it I don't think the virus is going to travel on packages and that means that most companies can you know make things and and mail them to you and you're not going to worry about accepting them so you know I guess the virus could live for I don't know up to a day on a package but if it's better than the mail for a while you're pretty pretty safe and I think we'll have a vaccine in a year or so so here's my prediction we're gonna get through this there will be casualties the odds of those casualty casualties being you personally really really small if in terms of death the odds of it affecting you financially 100 percent 100 percent it's gonna it will affect you financially but it's affecting us all financially we're all in it together and I would like to make this offer if civilization breaks down don't think you will but look for me and I will be

[47:32]

you will but look for me and I will be your I will be your benevolent dictator just to get us through the emergency and then we'll set up a we'll set up a constitution after that totally serious offer by the way totally a serious offer almost no chance you're ever going to need to take me up on it but if the government fails if civilization crumbles you've watched me long enough to know that I'm just going to be helpful and I'm not going to become a dictator dictators a bad job somebody always kills you but if you need a benevolent dictator just to get you through the through a civilization crumbling event which I don't think we're gonna have look for me and I'll take you through it you could find me alright that's all for now and I will talk to you later