Episode 816 Scott Adams: Bloomberg’s Odds, Mayor Pete’s Military Service, Types of Nationalists

Date: 2020-02-11 | Duration: 48:31

Topics

My new book LOSERTHINK, available now on Amazon https://tinyurl.com/rqmjc2a Mike Bloomberg “stop and frisk” comments in 2015 audio Democrat parties future if they pick Bernie What if they don’t pick Bernie? Pete Buttigieg’s military service Coronavirus and coincidences Trucks with disinfectant spray cannons in China

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> [!note] Rough Transcript
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## Transcript

[0:10]

them hey everybody come on in it's gonna be one of those days you know one of those days where stuff happens and we talk about it and we laugh and then we go on and have an amazing day and how does the day start oh look what I did I don't know if it looks the same on your screen but somehow magically I have placed my coffee cup where on my screen it looks like all the hearts are coming out of the coffee cup oh could you see it or is that just on my author or screen how cool is that let's call that the coincidence remember that for later because that's part of my topic today coincidence well first before we get to the topic you know if you want to enjoy the little thing called the simultaneous sip I recommend you get a cup or a mug or a glass a tanker challenger's side a canteen Joker flask a vessel of any kind filling with your favorite liquid I like coffee look at those hearts coming out of that

[1:11]

look at those hearts coming out of that coffee put it up to your lips and get ready for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine hit of the day the thing that makes everything better the simultaneous up go oh so people are saying it's backwards on their screen yeah how about this how about that on my screen it looks like the comments are coming out of the cup now but if it's backwards it looks like hearts are coming out of the cup in theory all right let's start with the funniest story of the day the funniest story of the day is watching Bloomberg get eaten alive by his own team there's a trending hashtag this morning called hashtag Bloomberg is racist now turns out that there's a an audio has

[2:14]

turns out that there's a an audio has surfaced an old audio in which Mike Bloomberg is is talking about how he concentrated his resources as New York City Mayor to fight crime and let's just say that it's subject to interpretation
so there are two legitimate ways that you could take what he said and I'm not going to give you is exact words you can you can see them on the news everywhere today but if you were to put a positive spin on it and I'm not saying this is my opinion I'm just saying it's another one of those situations that's two movies playing simultaneously on one screen so the most positive spin you could put on this Bloomberg audio that surfaced is that he was talking about how he wanted to concentrate valuable public resources you know something of value in low-income communities that needed it the most this sounds pretty good doesn't

[3:16]

the most this sounds pretty good doesn't it you know if there's a low-income community and they need a public resource the Mike Bloomberg apparently delivered in the form of law enforcement now who needs the most law enforcement well people have the highest crime rate right so the positive way to interpret what Mike Bloomberg said on the audio the surfaced is that he was taking public resources much of it came from people with money who would pay taxes transferred it from the rich to the low income places where it would be the most benefit and they needed it the most that's pretty great Wow Bloomberg is quite the guy well that's the positive spin that would be one of the two movies that's playing but that's not the one that inspired the hashtag hashtag Bloomberg is racist here here's the other movie looking at exactly the same facts exactly the same audio here's

[4:16]

same facts exactly the same audio here's the other movie he focused on arresting minorities which is pretty obviously racist cancelled so you have to follow if you want a good laugh follow the hashtag and just see the comments and it goes without saying that Republicans and Trump supporters are having a lot of fun with this and are really you know blasting it out there for maximum effect but at the same time the the Democrats who are the most likely to be let's say offended or most likely to be watching the movie where it's the worst possible interpretation they're getting pretty bad they're pretty mad at their Mike Bloomberg now if it turned out that all of those people who appear to be Democrats who are mad at Mike Bloomberg for what they would say is racist policies if it turned out that there were really trolls and that they're

[5:18]

were really trolls and that they're actually just you know Republicans who are pretending to be offended Democrats we wouldn't know the difference and so I don't think you can automatically trust you know the weight of commenting on social media because you're going to see lots of fake fake political identities on both sides all right so this made me wonder how could how could somebody do what Mike Berg Mike Bloomberg presumably intended to do which was reduced crime and the places where you needed to reduce it the most how could you do that without simultaneously really being labeled a racist now I always talked about as systems being better than goals the goal is to be fair to everybody and have no racism and another goal is to reduce crime and apparently we haven't figured out a system where you can get

[6:19]

figured out a system where you can get one without offending in the other way so here's my suggestion for a system something that you couldn't have done even a few years ago but the technology would allow this and I'll just this is just brainstorming don't you know don't imagine necessarily that this is my preferred way to go just brainstorming suppose you said that you're going to you're the mayor and you're going to assign police resources based on two criteria number one how much crime there is in that neighborhood so it's just sort of a formula right if there's this much crime we'll put this many police officers and then what if you added a second element you give everybody a neighborhood app maybe it already exists but something that would allow people to say I live in this neighborhood this is my identity you'd have to you'd have to say who you are so you could be you know verify and as a resident and

[7:21]

you know verify and as a resident and you and you'd have let's say three or four choices for how much policing you prefer in your neighborhood so if you lived in a pretty safe neighborhood you'd say you know I don't want to see the police unless we call them so that would be the lowest level it was a little more dangerous neighborhood just a little bit more you might say you know it wouldn't hurt to have a car come by every now and then that would be similar to where I live where I live there's a little bit of crime and it probably is useful to have a cop car go by every now and then just to remind us that they exist but let's say at the highest level you'd have the option if you're a resident of a community you could say give me the maximum I'm a law-abiding citizen and all this crime does nothing for me does nothing for me I'd rather I'd rather have more police and less crime so then that would give the mayor two objective things first of all they'd have to be a higher crime neighborhood

[8:22]

have to be a higher crime neighborhood to get more police that's the only fair thing to do you don't want to have a lot of police in a low crime neighborhood just because that's where the rich people live and then the second thing is did the did they request it and you can actually show the community look I got two things I got a high crime and here's the community actually requesting it you know by a by a majority they've requested the highest level and the highest level corresponds to this many police officers roughly so I think Mike Bloomberg's instincts and again I'm not a mind-reader so I'm not going to say what his private interior thoughts are but if the let's say the objective is to reduce crime you need to go where the crime is unless they don't want it and I would think if a community really had a serious problem with more with more police presence there should be an option to have less of it and then as long as people have an option of moving

[9:23]

long as people have an option of moving which of course not everybody has how here's another here's another trade-off suppose a high high crime community could vote again using an app so you'd have to connect everybody so you've got the the will of the people expressed in a way that you can measure suppose they said we'd like public surveillance cameras with facial recognition so that if criminals come into our neighborhood police know it and maybe that's a trigger for how many patrol cars are in the neighborhood let's say the cameras picked up an unusual number of criminal elements the suppose you saw two or three criminals on the same street corner or in the same car as they're parked at a park tantalite well maybe the police say let's let's take a drive through so you could imagine a number of systems that would give you some kind of

[10:23]

systems that would give you some kind of objective data some more intrusive than others yes I know you don't want your privacy you don't want your privacy violated that way but the point is we could probably come up with systems that would make nobody look like a racist and still would put the law enforcement resources were there where they would have the most impact anyway so that's the first idea let's talk about predicting Bloomberg's odds you know there are a million ways to predict what's going to happen everybody's got their own little variable this variable is the one that predicts everything in truth they're probably there probably is no such thing as one variable that is too predictive because it's a it's a big soup of variables so I don't think anybody's good at predicting any of this stuff including me but let's talk about the theories of predicting for Bloomberg one theory that I see like sort of it's

[11:24]

theory that I see like sort of it's tweeting about and it's a strong one is that the amount of money that Bloomberg has is so powerful in other words if he weaponized as his his money or a portion of it and we can't really quite even imagine but probably can't even imagine how much influence that could have and we see his poll numbers going up because he's spending you know enormous amounts of money on that now working against that that the theory that money can buy you anything including the nomination and then including including winning in the general election that's a pretty strong theory if you were going to make a prediction that was based on one and only one variable that would be right up there I think a smart person could could put some money on that but it's not a one variable world we got other stuff going on and you know will that amount

[12:24]

going on and you know will that amount of money to be enough to let's say legally bribed with people in all the ways that our society lets you legally bribe people you know buy opportunities and suggested and suggested lack of economic opportunity if you write a bad bad let's say a bad article about Bloomberg so a lot of subtle and direct and direct ways the money can influence things but mostly it can brainwash you can literally brainwash people with money how you just repeat your message enough until it just becomes truth repetition repetition translates into truth if you do it enough and he has the money to do it enough
all right but the other theory uh-huh and here would be another example of using one variable to predict this the issue of whether Bloomberg has a problem with the black vote let's say in particular because of his policies his

[13:28]

particular because of his policies his crime-fighting policies and his record in New York City how likely is that that that one variable especially when it's being promoted by not only the Republicans but it's being reported you know promoted by anybody in the Democrat side who has a problem with that sort of thing and there are a lot of them so is that enough that all of the money in the world can't help you what you which of those would you bet on would you bet on his I don't know whatever billions he ends up spending you know a couple billion he could if he wants or would you bet on the fact that the Democrats are so predictable with their with their approach to things they're going to see another old rich white guy and they're going to see this this vulnerability as at least in their point of view it would look like a vulnerability and they're just gonna tear them apart well let's say it gets to a brokered convention do you think do

[14:31]

to a brokered convention do you think do you think that the the Democrats if it got to a brokered convention do they have the option of picking Bloomberg or do they in other words could they get away with that or would it rip the party apart because I got to think two-thirds of the people in the Democratic Party would say we're not exactly the brand that picks the old white billionaire and why would you pick him to run against an old white billionaire who's got you know accusations that are gonna sound a lot like you know the Bloomberg once it feels like the worst matchup you can ever have so if the Democrats picked the guy who I think you could make an argument he's one of the worst matchups because he's in order to get Mike Bloomberg you'd have to with Trump and remove everything that's interesting you know you make him boring making shorter make you more

[15:32]

making shorter make you more black-and-white instead of orbs you just have to remove all the interesting stuff and then you'd get you'd get Mike Bloomberg but he's older he hasn't he hasn't quite you know debated on the national stage with you know national topics Trump's had a lot of practice Bloomberg has never been you know up against somebody like Trump who again has had a lot of practice by now so I would say that the the odds of a brokered convention picking Bloomberg that seems unlikely because I think it would rip the party apart but suppose suppose Bernie didn't get quite enough support to get across the finish line and it's a brokered convention what would happen if he didn't get picked if Bernie has the most support but it's still not enough and it gets to a

[16:33]

still not enough and it gets to a brokered convention and they pick anybody else what are the Bernie supporters going to do well after they complained in protest and trying to rip the party apart they're not going to show up they're not going to go to vote and if they don't even show up they're not going to automatically you know click for the House of Representatives and the other the other Democrats so if they don't pick Bernie that probably lose the house if they do pick Bernie in my opinion he has no chance of winning the presidency because at least half of the Democrats are going to understand and certainly Trump would make them understand you realize half of you Democrats are going to be worse off and Bernie's telling you this directly you know he's not even disagreeing with this point he's gonna raise the taxes on people of money and transfer it to people who in some cases made decisions

[17:35]

people who in some cases made decisions you think they shouldn't of let's say student loan or didn't work hard enough in your opinion to get a job that has health care or whatever so I think there's just a ton of Democrats who are not going to you know give Bernie enough support no matter what they thought of the president so if they do pick burning they can't win the presidency but they might get enough people to well yeah they still might get enough people to show up to vote so might not be so bad for the House of Representatives all right so we'll see what happens and I wonder if Bloomberg would be a good match with complex because Bloomberg has the you know the same problem but then that would be sort of you know two people who were tough on crime yeah I don't know if that would work that would be probably a bad bad matchup all right um there was a Wall Street Journal

[18:37]

um there was a Wall Street Journal article that was kind of critical of Peabody JJ and his military service in the sense it would not critical in the service per se but critical of the fact that he may be lets say explaining it in a more in a hyperbolic way so the reality apparently is that he got commissioned in through some you know special way that you don't have to go through boot camp and you get I think maybe it guarantees you cushy or assignments mostly work behind a desk but it did spend seven months in Afghanistan including you know leaving the compound and vehicles and stuff and it's a pretty dangerous place so some people say oh you know that will that will take one of the main things about the Budaj argument away you know it will take away the you know the great respect that his military service automatically gets if

[19:39]

military service automatically gets if you imagine that he just sort of snuck in the side door and didn't do what other people did and got an easy assignment that's what some people say I'm not sure that's gonna I don't think that's gonna make a difference because the vast majority of people did not serve themselves and if you didn't serve at all you're still pretty impressed by somebody who spent seven months in Afghanistan and I don't care what they were doing all right if you were to compare how much service I've given the country compared to Buddha jej who actually went to Afghanistan and was there for seven months and doing useful things just as it turns out not that close to the bullets but you're always close to something dangerous if you're in Afghanistan so I think the average person is going to say yeah yeah if you're in the military if you are a marine or somebody in your family as a Marine I get that you're gonna rank people by

[20:39]

I get that you're gonna rank people by you know the the level of Honor but I think people are gonna leave that to the military in military families and everybody else is gonna say you know that's not my opinion to make because he did more than I did so I just don't think that's gonna count against him too much but it was interesting to learn exactly what the situation was there and and of course if he ended up getting the nomination and he ran against Trump his military service no matter where ranked in the you know in the valor and in bravery category it's gonna look good compared to anybody who didn't serve so but Buddha judges big problem is that I didn't know if it was just a fluke they he had that extended debate performance in which he talked nothing but jargon it was just all this empty consultant talk and I thought to myself oh he just had a

[21:40]

and I thought to myself oh he just had a bad moment and he was trying to catch himself but never quite caught himself but he's he's so good you know verbally he's just so good that he you know did a good job of covering given they had no ideas apparently to to answer at least nothing there's nothing useful to say to that question and I think that's fatal can you imagine and I said this before but can you imagine somebody animating an empty suit and then just putting over at the the audio and then just putting over at the audio of his jargon talking they would just be devastating you'd see a little suit with no hands and no head and it would just be like this and then you hear the audio of him talking it would be pretty bad alright speaking of coincidences here are two

[22:41]

speaking of coincidences here are two stories that happened recently there was a man who broke into a Budweiser brewery and got arrested in st. Louis it was a Budweiser brewery the man who was arrested for breaking into the Budweiser brewery his actual name is bud Weiser that's right somebody named bud Weiser got arrested for breaking into the Budweiser brewery in other news I saw an article it doesn't matter what it's about but it referenced the CIA so it was article about the CIA doing some stuff and it referenced somebody who is commenting on the CIA's activity and the person commenting was a historian his name his last name is covert CoV ERT that's right a guy named

[23:44]

covert CoV ERT that's right a guy named covert was talking about the CIA now both of these coincidences were just today the illiterate or at least I saw them today they didn't occur today and I point that out because we're so easily fooled by coincidence and let me give you this example what are the odds that you will win the lottery very very low right one in I don't know ten million or 100 million or something so the odds that you would win are infinitesimally what are the odds that someone will win the lottery pretty high yeah depending on what kind of lottery it is you're either guaranteed or it won't take too many iterations before you get a winner so the odds of somebody winning are close to a hundred percent the odds of you winning there are close to zero now let's talk about the coronavirus which seems to be released coincidentally

[24:46]

seems to be released coincidentally nearer weapons weapons biome of bio weapon facility in China coincidence well we don't know it's certainly enough to raise a flag it's certainly enough for you for you to get suspicious it's definitely enough to ask more questions certainly enough not to trust whatever China's official answer is no matter what it is unless they say it did come from the bio weapons lab so your suspicion is well-founded but keep it in perspective any complicated situation is going to have coincidences you know there's there's probably somebody working on that whose last name is virus or something it doesn't matter what it is so you were guaranteed to have coincidences in the news but there was a very low chance it would be this specific one but don't don't over interpret a coincidence is my point there will always be coincidences

[25:46]

there will always be coincidences they're very common here's a question that I haven't I haven't seen answered yet about the corona virus wouldn't it be a terrible weapon if you had a bio weapon lab and you were trying to make some serious weapons you've heard of anthrax haven't you I mean you've heard of you know aren't there more dangerous viruses it just seems to be that unless this was sort of one that they tested and discarded or or one that they were maybe taking some taking some DNA out of it to make some other kind of virus there's just something that isn't quite explained it could be explained I'm not saying there's no way to explain it but I'd like to know why that's why it seems likely that it's a weapon when it doesn't look like a weapon it looks like the worst weapon you would ever build

[26:48]

the worst weapon you would ever build anyway people told me that there is some precedent for this and at least one person pointed me to an article about some anthrax that got out of some lab I forget it I don't even remember what country it was but apparently we we know that some anthrax once got out of a bioweapon lab but that was anthrax if you see anthrax you're kind of thinking well somebody knew how to make a weapon that's a that's a weapon but if I see of some but something that gives you the flu 99% of the time and that's it I don't know I'm not thinking weapon but maybe there's something I don't know you've probably seen the videos by now of the super scary trucks spraying some kind of fog like spray I think it's a combination of bleach and water maybe something else that the Chinese are

[27:50]

something else that the Chinese are doing in the Wuhan district that's the the most hit by the virus and when you see that you probably have the same reaction I did and Jack the Sabich tweeted this and you know he wryly commented I think is that tweed said it's just a fire it's just a virus people but you see them dealing with it like it's it's the worst plague they're all wearing the hazmat suits and these these these trucks that you wonder where they came from where did they get all these where would you go to get devices that you can fill with this combination of bleach and water and then it will spray in the right amounts to spray your streets if you wanted to find one of those in the United States could you do it
it do we have those the Dewey I mean does you know if I went down to City Hall and

[28:51]

you know if I went down to City Hall and I said yeah can I borrow your gigantic truck with a spray can and on it and they say well what what do you want to put in it and I'd say no I just want one that sprays anything they say sure you know you can just rent this truck down to Home Depot alright so I got questions about that now I think the interpretation is that the government of China is putting on a show there's some experts seem to suggest that it wouldn't make any difference at least anything that you could you know measure to spray this the bleach apparently is really watered down so I don't think the bleach itself is dangerous but I don't think it helps in other words it just doesn't make that much difference so it looks like it's just theater for domestic consumption but how does it feel to you if you're not in China right now it's really scary

[29:51]

not in China right now it's really scary because it just makes it look like they're it's a sci-fi movie and there's something that hasn't been explained yet and it's not good but it could be just theater that's my guess all right did you see the creepy creepy creepy story of the woman who was reunited with her deceased young daughter I don't know how old she was she look maybe 9 years old just guessing who died who died young and a virtual reality company worked to build a little virtual reality replica so the mother could meet and interact with her deceased daughter and they did a documentary about it apparently and oh my god is it creepy it is so creepy only because you know a deceased child is sort of that everybody's worst nightmare and uh I have real questions

[30:53]

nightmare and uh I have real questions whether this is good for the men health of the people doing something like that but I think people were smarter than I am we'll figure that out I'm just saying that's a big red flag of I'm not sure our psychology is meant to take that kind of a hit you know I don't know that our brains are sufficiently wired to see somebody come back from the dead because we didn't evolve to ever see that you know millions of years of evolution we never saw it it's the most emotionally damaging thing that you can imagine death of a child so what's it do to your head when when one when that person appears and you can interact with it like so I've got questions I don't know if it's bad but I got questions but my comment on this is not so much about that specific application that just gets our attention but the fact that this virtual reality technology which I've sampled enough to

[31:54]

technology which I've sampled enough to really have you know lived inside it for a while it's gonna change everything you in your lifetimes people are just going to be living in that augmented reality virtual reality there's nothing that's going to stop that because it's so good now they have to solve a problem with the headaches a lot of people get headaches wearing the the 3d goggles and it when I say a lot I think most actually I do and I rarely get headaches I don't have any motion sickness problems but virtual reality just kicks my ass and I've got you know motion sickness after you know 15 minutes of that but they'll solve that I'm guessing and at that point our social interactions are our education our work every single part of that is going to move into the virtual reality world because it's better you could go to work without you know combing your hair and

[32:55]

without you know combing your hair and putting on your work clothes because it might be a virtual office and if all you need to do is interact with other people otherwise you're just as good work at home well people are going to have virtual reality offices so they can do all their interacting in casual contact anyway that's coming 100% that's coming that's one of those predictions that you can say with complete confidence I don't know how long all right here's a tricky little topic and you try to navigate this I only I only had about three hours of sleep last night so if I seem like a little slow this morning it's true
there are several types of nationalists and and in the political realm people like to conflate things so that they can they can dam you with words and they can

[33:56]

they can dam you with words and they can they can read into you opinions that you don't have so that they can criticize them and the word nationalist is one of those it gets used in a lot of ways now I would like to suggest that there are several flavors of nationalists and that it's useful to know the difference and I would put it this way you've got your white nationalists who want the United States to stay as white as possible now I've never met that person I believe they exist because people say they exist and it's a big world and there's somebody who believes anything but as much time as I spent in the last several years talking to trump supporters Republicans conservatives I mean a lot I've never actually met one who in a private conversation would say yeah you know what I want I'm a white nationalist I've never heard that but I believe they

[34:57]

I've never heard that but I believe they exist so that's one flavor there's another flavor that gets confused with the first type that I would call this is just my own word for it let's call them IQ nationalists now the IQ nationalists have a belief that IQ is really predictive of how a person will do in their life how how well a business will be run how well your country will so if you focused on that and said listen let's bring in the smartest people so let's have some kind of a system where we're we're getting that we're getting the programmers the the stem people you know the medical people the scientists so what kind of you know not we won't measure their IQs but we'll make sure we get the people who have passed some kind of you know test of college or education or training so that's that's another group now in that group they of course are accused of being racists but they are open to just talent so there are people who say I

[35:59]

talent so there are people who say I didn't even I don't care where they come from but if you're bringing in people from other countries you're gonna get more Brown people than anything else because that's what the world looks like so the IQ nationalists would probably if they got their way increase the number of minorities coming into the country minorities being non-white just because that's what the world looks like and they only care if you're smart then there's another group and again this is my label I will call them selfish nationalists who who their main thing is remind me why I'm giving my money to some other country or people from another country there's you're selfish now I don't mean that in a bad way being selfish is what makes capitalism work it's what makes democracies work people people get to vote and act on their self-interest and if you built the right kind of system it all works out and we have so the selfish nationalists are

[37:01]

have so the selfish nationalists are completely respectable and they they would just say it doesn't matter who you're talking about sorry my cats gonna make an entrance if you see a tail go by yeah that was boo so the selfish nationalists don't care who their money is going to doesn't matter if it went to British people or you know went to you know Chinese immigrants doesn't matter who it goes to they just would rather keep their money so they would rather not give it to people coming from other countries but again that not about race that's just it wouldn't matter who it was why would I give my money to anybody why can't I keep it and then this last category I would put myself in I would call it a system nationalist as opposed to a goal systems are where you've developed a system that gets you the best result but you don't you don't know exactly where that ends up but if it's a good system like

[38:01]

up but if it's a good system like capitalism like like a democratic system it'll get you to a good place and a system system nationalists that's what I will call myself would say that you need a good immigration border control but that's just the first question what you do with it once once you have good control of your own borders all you've really done is taking control away from the people who are coming in illegally and given the control to the people who live in the nation the other people who are already citizens now that's a good system in my opinion if everybody had a good system where they get to control internally how much immigration and what type that would be good I would love to see immigration controlled by an algorithm that's that's based on economics so let's say you had a board of economists who come up with a set of

[39:03]

of economists who come up with a set of rules and they say now that we've built good border security so there aren't that many people who can get through illegally we can't have control over our own borders then separately you say to yourself what kind of people do we need to to fuel our economy and you can crank it up when you need more workers and you can crank it down when you need fewer um because we're suffering in this country so if you see it as a system it's more about what works best and it should work best in the long run for everybody so I would say that's what I am I like good systems you know the president talks about you being in friendly competition with other countries being a good system and I would agree with that sort of the sort of what makes capitalism work all right
president Trump has been floated the idea of having the death penalty for

[40:03]

idea of having the death penalty for drug dealers in this country and he talked again about China having the death penalty and etc I'm still skeptical that China is really cracking down on fentanyl really really skeptical because as I said too many times we know the top guy the top dealer we know his name his picture and therefore of course China can find them if if if 60 minutes could find him you know in China and interview him yeah the Chinese government can find him that guy as far as I know is still walking around free as long as that's happening they're not taking it too seriously all right David Brooks writer David Brooks wrote a big article was it in the Atlantic Vanity Fair or someplace some high tone magazine in which he talks about the nuclear family not being good for everybody which I agree with I agree

[41:08]

everybody which I agree with I agree with that I've been saying it for a while but I like the fact that somebody else wrote an article about it because I can deflect blame on somebody else because I know how much you hate that idea now his his explanation and framing if you will is pretty identical to my own and the idea is this that the nuclear family is a great idea for some types of people mostly people with money because he noted that the old family structure was more extended yeah you have cousins and grandparents you might have the hired hand working on the farm you might have so you so you'd have like this almost a tribe within the family a very extended lots of kids etc it was mostly an economic support system and then you also have lots of family units connected to other families and sort of network so families so the family unit when it

[42:08]

so families so the family unit when it worked best was also really connected and a lot of people were involved so is the number of people involved they made it work you could always find somebody to help you with this or that but the way it's evolved as the families get smaller you know it might be two parents and a kid there are two parents and two kids so once you get small and isolated you're not really connected to your other families necessarily it doesn't work as well and it doesn't work as well for people who don't have money because they can't get nannies and tutors and and drive the kids everywhere they need to go etc so and I don't know if you suggested a better situation but I think it's worth looking at I think that anytime you say one size fits all you're probably wrong when it comes to human beings I'm completely willing to believe that the nuclear family is a great solution for a lot of people and maybe

[43:10]

solution for a lot of people and maybe we would even be better off with more of it I accept that but there's still going to be a big chunk of the public maybe a third you know a big chunk that it's just never going to be the best solution for a variety of reasons all right here's an update on my youtube de monetization so some of you know I take these videos and they're uploaded later to YouTube and they get demon in the past they had been instantly demonetised which allows them not to well it causes them not to recommend it automatically so it doesn't get the visibility and then by day two it's no longer today's news which is what I usually talk about so I was getting killed that way now I'm it doesn't it isn't just because I say things about Trump apparently people on the left and the right we're having the same problem but I have made contact with Google's team that deals with this

[44:11]

with Google's team that deals with this and uh now on a they now have me sort of a test program where I self rate the content which is diabolical because the way it works is that instead of being sort of automatically banned because you talked about you know some keywords that get flagged that's the old way and that guaranteed I would get flagged every time instead of that you're on the automatically not flagged but you have to self-report and they check on you to make sure you're not fudging the system so I ended up self reporting myself and I think I'll probably self report this one as well - partially d monetize it because they're simply honest about that which is even though I think I would love a world in which I could say whatever I want as long as I meant well you know I'm not trying to hurt anybody I mean well that I could talk about any any content they want not getting

[45:13]

any content they want not getting monetized but I sort of understand that advertisers want to associate with certain types of content and it's a it's a free world if the advertiser says you don't associate me with these keywords what's Google Google gonna do so that's a it's a work in progress but I wanted you to know that Google is working with creators who are having this problem and right now they're just doing some tests but you might see more of this all right have you seen the broom challenge I don't know if you'd call it a challenge but there's this viral thing where apparently and I hate to tell you it's a prank that there's one day of the year the prank goes where you could set your broom just set it up and then let go and it'll stay up and the prank goes that's because the gravitational pole was different on this one special day of the year it's the only time your broom will stand up now of course you hear this and

[46:13]

stand up now of course you hear this and you say it's today I'd better go test this today because this isn't gonna work tomorrow so you can run and you grab your broom and you stick in the floor you go ah ah it works because it turns out it works every other day it works every day but you've only tried it once because people told you it's only gonna work today so all day long you're trying inside hey they're right this thing's working it's incredible so as pranks go they're very good a Plus prank all right that's about all I wanted to talk about today we will be watching New Hampshire and if there's one thing I can tell you about New Hampshire and you can take this to the bank about the primary sir but whoever wins New Hampshire or doesn't win in other words the results from New Hampshire will be terribly important to

[47:13]

Hampshire will be terribly important to the total outcome in the end and it won't those are the two things you're going to learn today it totally matters yeah unless it doesn't the less of dozens it's the most important thing in the world except might not be so everybody all the pundits are gonna have to give their opinions because that's that's what they do to sell advertisement so you're going to see lots of opinions but people are just guessing you know we've never had a situation where you've got a Biden who you know isn't going to do well in the first few but he's leading in the polls well that's weird well maybe we've had this situation but that you know it's it's less common and then have we ever had a situation where somebody with what 60 billion dollars or whatever Bloomberg has is waiting out the first floor I've never seen that so anybody who says that the New Hampshire results are you

[48:14]

that the New Hampshire results are you know somehow determining the winner except it might it might eliminate a few people that's possible I wouldn't expect it to tell you much but it's gonna be fun to watch just the same that's all I got to say for today you go have a great day and I will talk to you tomorrow