Episode 750 Scott Adams: Trump’s 3rd Term, Mind-Reading Impeachment, Persuasion Trick

Date: 2019-12-08 | Duration: 54:02

Topics

My new book LOSERTHINK, available now on Amazon https://tinyurl.com/rqmjc2a President Trump’s directionally correct hyperbole
North Korea takes denuclearization off the table Suggestions to put it back on the table Mind-reading Loserthink dominates the impeachment report Excellent analysis by Joel Pollack Adam Schiff and 500 Democrat lawyers demonstrate Loserthink John McAfee announces Presidential candidacy…from exile Tehran experiences Pre-suasion periodic horrible odor The “small ask” persuasion technique

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> [!note] Rough Transcript
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## Transcript

[0:11]

oh hi hey everybody come on in yes it's time for another round of coffee was Scott Adams the best part of your day you could probably feel your body chemistry starting to ramp up you feel your dopamine getting ready to just launch a big dose into your bloodstream that's how you feel when you see coffee with Scott Adams and that's not the best part no the best part or one of them involves a beverage and you can participate without too much trouble at all
all all it takes is a couple marker glasses if there's time teller stanker thermos flasks in team Grail goblet vessel of any kind filled with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the simultaneous sip the thing that makes everything better the dopamine head of the day Wow it's gonna be a good one to go oh yeah simultaneous caffeine

[1:13]

one to go oh yeah simultaneous caffeine for some of us others simultaneous sipping all good let's talk about some stuff as you know from my prior periscopes I took the Joe Biden push-up challenge and did 25 push-ups and posted my video it took all of one day for Tom Sauer to publish to post a video of himself at Trump Tower I think in DC dropping and get and doing 50 perfect military push-ups to which I said damn it Tom's hour and so I did another video in which I used Tom's technique which apparently is allowed in the military where you can pause at the top of your pushup as long as you don't lose form too much and so I paused and I tried it again I've got 237 and had to admit defeat

[2:13]

I've got 237 and had to admit defeat so good job Tom sour and oh we're not done I hope you could do more than 50 cause I'm just getting started so more on that later so in Trump derangement syndrome news SE Cupp who works for CNN and pretends to be a conservative but doesn't do a very good job of pretending and she tweeted remember when Bloomberg demanded a third term as mayor and got it Trump will do the same beware the same autocratic impulses beware now here's what would not be crazy so if this tweet had said Trump could do the same Trump might do the same there's a nonzero

[3:14]

might do the same there's a nonzero chance that Trump would try it those things would be things I would deeply disagree with but they wouldn't be crazy but you know it is crazy Trump will do the same once you go all the way - he will I try to become a dictator and not leave office that's no longer part of the same world here's some other Trump insults that I hear a lot and I'd like to test them with you if you'd like to test these other criticisms about Trump all you need is your beverage let's test them the way we're going to do it is are read each claim about Trump a criticism and then I want you to taste your beverage and see if it's any different number one Trump is insincere tastes the

[4:18]

number one Trump is insincere tastes the same I don't know did anything change into your world do you check your wallet do you have less money do you have less money now because President Trump is insincere anything tastes different anything at all but we better do for you or Trump is incompetent nope it's all the same what's going on here these are gigantic problems that are threatening the world and I can't see anything different how about he hurts America's standing in the world
nope nothing nothing check again check your wallets check your 401k are they down because Trump has hurt our standing in the world that's got to hurt right why am I not in pain here's another one

[5:19]

pain here's another one Trump cares only about himself ok and here's another one the world is laughing at him meaning Trump okay and yeah what they didn't laugh at Gerald Ford really how about Trump is impulsive he's impulsive not only is the impulsive but he takes a really long time to decide whether to release aid to Ukraine so he's impulsive and he takes a long time to make decisions apparently they're both true check your beverage still the same he wants to be a dictator okay what are the odds of that happening still zero still zero he's

[6:21]

happening still zero still zero he's corrupt and what way that actually affected you blah blah blah Trump University didn't affect me even the people who went there I ended up making money into the deal how about he's a con man
and affected me how he's a liar how did that affect me what what statistic is suffering because of all of these horrible horrible horrible things that orange man is doing and it gets worse believe it or not Trump was caught lying I think it was yesterday or a day before Trump was caught out flat-out lying about the number of times you have to flush a toilet these days damn lie the correct number is once or sometimes twice Trump

[7:22]

number is once or sometimes twice Trump lied he lied his liar he said that sometimes you have to flush your toilet toilet 12 to 15 times now I have to admit I was at the gym when I heard I heard the the first time I heard the video clip and I'm working out on one of they used their machines and that video collect comes on watching Trump talked about in light bulbs and toilets and he gets to the part where he says these modern toilets you have to you have to flush them 12 to 15 times I just I just frickin lost it I just started crying I was laughing so hard and I'm in the gym and I'm trying to you know of course I've got my earphones in my earbuds so nobody knows why I'm laughing I'm trying to they're trying to I'm trying to not fall off the stair machine and not look like I'm having some kind of manic mental breakdown so I'm losing the machine and I'm like tears are coming

[8:24]

machine and I'm like tears are coming down my cheek oh oh he really said you have to check you have to flush your toilet 12 to 15 times and the reason I was laughing is if I've said it once I've 70 million times that Trump uses hyperbole of course but he's also directionally correct now when he's not directionally cracked it's just because you know maybe the the facts don't agree with them or something but you typically may be always is is exaggerating in a in a direction that's positive in some way now the the issue here is that there are some places the country where they don't have a water shortage and the president saying if you don't have a water shortage why don't you have a better toilet that you know does the job better so that's that part is not crazy so but what he says you've got a flush your toilet twelve to fifteen times okay that was just funny there's because I as soon as I saw it I

[9:28]

there's because I as soon as I saw it I realized that it was gonna be a headline Trump says toilets need to be flushed twelve or fifteen times and then they would fact check it I don't know it struck me as funny we have more information about Epstein's guards so apparently there are some I guess lawsuits or something against them so that allows us to see more information about what the guards were doing now remember my theory my theory is that he did kill himself it was suicide and that we should not think there was anything unusual by the complete and utter and thorough and competence of the staff because what I said is and remember I'm the author of Dilbert so every now and then I talk about a subject I actually know something about and I do know something about big incompetent organizations and

[10:29]

about big incompetent organizations and one of the things I know is that if you find a little bit of incompetence the odds of finding of a lot of incompetence are pretty good incompetence travels in bunches and when I when I read the part about at least one of the guards who was sleeping during the epstein suicide allegedly that the guard was working the second eight-hour shift if you work 16 hours in a row and your job is just to sort of be there your security guard let me guarantee that you are planning not just accidental but if you're working too
too our chefs and one of them is overnight you're planning to sleep it's not an accident that you fell in sleep you take those two shifts and one of them is overnight and there's just nothing happening typically you're you know you're planning to sleep I say that as

[11:29]

you're planning to sleep I say that as someone who once worked as a security guard when I was in college I worked as a security guard at a resort so I was the only one who was supposed to be awake did I ever take a nap during my eight hour overnight shift when nobody else was awake yeah I might have been some napping in there you know might have been a little napping so everything about that situation looks like you know a typical incompetent organization first of all who takes the job of sleeping in jail or even being a you know a guard it's sort of a job that you don't take if you're well I'm not going to say it I don't want to insult prison guards but let me just say that if I had to guess that for every really highly qualified and sincere and hard-working prison guard of which I'm sure there are many

[12:30]

guard of which I'm sure there are many there's at least one who is not that so and apparently there was some kind of a security camera that was working that could tell with certainty that nobody else got into the epstein area so if nobody else got in that area and we have perfectly good reasons why guards were falling asleep looks like suicide to me don't tell me about broken bones and necks because I think Epstein would be clever enough to do a really good job of killing himself all right let's talk about North Korea so North Korea says it's taking denuclearization off the table and president Trump is a dotard again and they've tested something but we don't know what but it's really awesome and and Kim jong-un Road and Whitehorse up a mountain in the snow now I think what's happening with North Korea is that everybody is waiting for everybody else to go first and

[13:32]

for everybody else to go first and somehow we got in a situation where both sides imagined that the other side was offering more than they were ever offering so kim jungeun seems to be under the impression that we will start giving him stuff before he gives up his nukes which is sort of exactly what we're not going to do this time I mean that's you know Trump doesn't have any chance of giving of giving anything substantive while they saw the nukes so I guess they're just figuring out that he's not going to do that just because he's friendly so yeah so I asked myself what could break the log jam what would it take for North Korea to put denuclearization back on the table and let me offer a few suggestions now I don't imagine that these suggestions have not already been thought of well I'll just put them out there so you can kind of get a sense of persuasion to

[14:34]

kind of get a sense of persuasion to what might work all right so so kim jungeun needs our side to go first so is there anything that we could do that would be considered going first that would be meaningful and yet wouldn't cost us anything in other words it wouldn't make us less safe in any way but it would seem like a big deal and indeed there is something one of the things that we could give them that wouldn't cost us anything you know and again when I talk about these issues I'm open to fact-checking and adding context you know Scott Scott you don't know the details but just tell me the details you don't have to tell me I'm an idiot you could just tell me if there's something that I'm missing in this analysis so one of the things we could give Kim jong-un that wouldn't cost us anything and would look like we went first is declaring peace how hard would it be to simply declare peace

[15:36]

would it be to simply declare peace secondly now of course we don't want to give him anything unless he's doing some stuff we want and apparently we haven't seen that but could we say to him look here's the deal you can keep your nuclear industry but just say that you're transitioning it to domestic nuclear power and you know we don't know how long that's going to take but you know you can work with the international community and turned it into a money-making domestic nuclear energy kind of a generation for safe nuclear energy a situation and that would still be nuclearization so how do you denuclearize North Korea without denuclearizing North Korea because you know Kim jong-un doesn't want to give up the fact that he's developed this industry that's you know first world competitive and the way to do that is to

[16:39]

competitive and the way to do that is to say we're not asking you to denuclearize we're asking you to make money so you could maybe do with words something that couldn't be done with an actual agreement in other words we could say we're not asking you to denuclearize we're simply asking you to convert those those resources into domestic nuclear stuff why would he do that well he might do it if we declared at the end of hostility you know an official end of the war he might do it if we transitioned some of our troops that are in South Korea into some other function right now what does what does North Korea and the rest of the world think we have troops in South Korea for what why does he think they're there well he I assume he thinks are there because we might want to attack North Korea I'm sure that Kim jong-un thinks that so it

[17:42]

sure that Kim jong-un thinks that so it was there anything we could do that would keep our forces there were some percentage of the forces there by relabeling them just maybe would we real able our forces to something else maybe it's a defensive force against China all right now where I'm going with this is that both leaders Trump and kim jungeun need to be able to say that they're winning even if they're negotiating even if they're both giving something up that they don't want to give so maybe you could create a world in which what Kim is getting is for example let's say a security agreement by let's say China Russia and the United States they could have a security agreement they could have the end of the war and they could remain a nuclear country they just have to transfer it over to peaceful means over time with some inspections you're gonna have to

[18:42]

some inspections you're gonna have to have inspections there's no way around that so could all of that be put together as sort of a first offer we'll do all of these things which are largely symbolic well you do all of these things which are in the short run largely symbolic now if both sides do largely symbolic things in the short run can you ever get to things that actually mean something well yes North Korea could if they gain trust that they're not about to be attacked could over time have no reason to have nuclear weapons so maybe they look to their security agreement with the big countries if they could come to trust those agreements then I think maybe there's something they have to work with and in terms of the US could we ever remove troops from South Korea if we became comfortable that North Korea was well on its way to being no threat at all I think yes so in the short run the

[19:47]

all I think yes so in the short run the only thing you can do is make promises that seem more let's say theoretical and more about persuasion and more about how it looks but those things if successful could also lead very long-term to something good so maybe there's a way to go there we'll see I've got people coming at me on Twitter saying Scott - you stupid cartoonist why did you think North Korea would ever denuclearize to which I say or what are we done and I didn't know about it because all I see is North Korea walking away just North Korea walking away from the negotiating table just the way we walked away while the the same way they'll walk away again walking away from the negotiating table doesn't mean you're done it means you're in the middle so don't tell me I got it wrong until we know how it ends which might be years from now all right so

[20:54]

here's something interesting have you noticed that if you saw the Saturday live they were mocking the Europeans who were mocking President Trump so they did a skit where McCrone and Trudeau and Boris Johnson are at the cool kids cafeteria table and Trump is ostracize ostracized because the cool kids are making fun of him but what's interesting is it was weirdly pro-american and it was a weirdly Pro Trump even while it was mocking Trump and it feels like there's some kind of shift going on at least that Saturday there live because I watched that skit and I wouldn't I came away thinking oh yeah they made fun of President Trump as they always do but they also made fun of his critics and it looked to be his critics in this case the European leaders it looked to me like he would Saturday Night Live was giving it to them just as hard as they were giving it

[21:55]

them just as hard as they were giving it to Trump which is sort of gentle comic ribbing I don't know if that means anything yeah maybe it means that there's it could be that they're just doing it for ratings but it does seem like a shift here's something else president Trump tweeted that we've done all the work to be able to designate Mexico 8 or not Mexico but the cartels terrorist organizations which would give us more power and dealing with them especially financially and the President of Mexico for reasons unknown talked president Trump out of doing that so we were all ready to get tough on the cartels designating them terrorist organizations and the President of Mexico said not so fast let's you know work together to see what we could do what do you make of that yeah the real story is that we don't know what to make of it because there's

[22:55]

know what to make of it because there's obviously information that we're not privy to but we can speculate one speculation is that the President of Mexico is just part of the cartel or owned by the cartel or doesn't want to make the cartel mad or or you know the cartel will kill his family or something so but if that were the case wouldn't President Trump just go ahead and designate the cartels a terrorist organization there's nothing to lose you know if you know under the assumption that the president was already corrupted by the cartels you might as well designate them terrorist organizations there's a lot I don't see there to be a downside to that so it makes me suspect that maybe the President of Mexico has some kind of a plan that we're not privy to could be negotiating with them could be who knows maybe maybe just better cooperation so that the United States can help Mexico with resources so Mexico

[23:58]

can help Mexico with resources so Mexico can go ahead and and take care of the cartels themselves that way they keep their sovereignty sovereignty so we don't know what's going on there I
tweeted that it looks like it's hugs that is because it looked like the least the least effective thing we could do is nothing so look like we weren't even trying
that's sort of a wait-and-see I'm seeing a movement online mostly from conservative Twitter people to try to get people been mostly to stop looking at porn have you seen that so quite a few smart influential people mostly on the right are I don't know where the movement came from but a lot of people are simultaneously saying the same thing that porn is harmful and it ruins your brain and your relationships and your

[24:58]

brain and your relationships and your energy and stuff and I would just like to add this to the conversation ah porn is probably like alcohol and marijuana in this one sense that everybody's response to it is different and everybody's in a different situation there are clearly people who if they drink alcohol they have the gene they become an alcoholic ruins their life no doubt about that there are clearly people who get into marijuana become not a lazy or whatever ruins their life and there I believe it's also true that people can watch porn until their brains are rewired and it ruins their life so I think that all three of those things have definitely the potential to ruin people's lives but all three of them are legal and it's also true that some people just get all positives so some people can drink to

[26:00]

positives so some people can drink to their whole life they never become an alcoholic they just keep it on the weekends it's a social thing it adds to their enjoyment of life it helps them you know party with their friends so while alcohol is poisoned in my opinion I can't ignore the fact that for some people they get more positives than negatives just just doesn't work for all people likewise marijuana is for some people especially if they have medical use for more positive the negative you all know I'm a big fan of marijuana and but I wouldn't be a big fan of it if I were not a rich cartoonist with a flexible schedule and I've already made my money there's not much downside at my age with my career you know III can pay somebody else to drive I mean I don't really have a downside the way other people have a downside so marijuana too can destroy some

[27:01]

so marijuana too can destroy some people's lives I'm sure and but other people just get mostly positives from it porn is probably the same way you will notice that the people who are advising the public to keep away from porn first of all they're all well-meaning and they're all smart pretty much everybody was saying this I would say is very smart very well-informed well-meaning that's all good but I would add this following caveat the people who are saying that you shouldn't use porn are almost totally the people who have options if you have an alternative well that's a pretty good reason not to look at it if you don't have an alternative and that's got to describe a pretty sizable chunk of the population there are a lot of people who just are aren't capable and never will be of enjoying a normal social even physical life for

[28:04]

normal social even physical life for them I would imagine that porn is filling in some gap that they would not really realistically be able to fill in another way so the only thing I will add to the conversation is I will agree that alcohol marijuana and porn can destroy lives I will agree definitely agree that porn can rewire brains and make you let's say it can SAP your energy you know it can divert you from more important things it can make you less social can make you kind of a zombie you can ruin your sex life and get do all those things definitely can do all those things but there are individual differences and that's all I have to say about that all right
John McAfee announced his candidacy for president now Oh is somebody saying in the comments they're also talking about keeping young kids away from it in terms of keeping young kids away from it I'm a

[29:04]

of keeping young kids away from it I'm a hundred percent on board no exceptions I don't I don't think we should even consider in the possibility just as we would not with alcohol you know nobody's going to say well some sixteen year olds they can drink alcohol now nope until until you get your brain at least a little bit more mature if there were a practical way to do it and I don't think there is if you could ban children from seeing it that would be great I'd be all for that all right
the Democrats are preparing their impeachment report and of course we have some you know advanced information and everybody's trying to frame it and spin it Joel is doing a public service by actually looking into it you know most of the news that you hear on this topic will be people who didn't read it people like me who probably won't read the whole thing but there are a few things that stick out even early

[30:05]

a few things that stick out even early will be lots more to talk about this but apparently the report says and I'm quoting the question is not whether you have to listen to this quote this is mind boggling this is one of the main points in the impeachment report quote the question is not whether the president's conduct could have resulted from permissible motives it is whether the president's real reasons the ones in his mind at the time were legitimate do I do I even have to comment on that the impeachment report is literally a loser think document in which they're trying to make the claim that they can deduce president Trump's inner thoughts now really we're going to impeach the president based on the opinion of strangers about his inner motivations

[31:07]

strangers about his inner motivations really is that the country we live in let me make a prediction that's not going to happen now the of course the Democrats might vote to impeach but when I'm using the casual language to talk about removing him from office which would require the Senate so their removal from office there's no chance there's no chat well there's no chance that we're doing for this reason I don't know if there are other reasons that we'll hear but if there was anything that gave up the game more than this I don't know what it is which is that the Democrats went into the meetings to write the articles of impeachment before they had agreed what they would be think about that that the people who went to write the articles of impeachment got in a room together and were not even in agreement about what was impeachable even the people who were writing it they had to reach a consensus in the room of

[32:08]

had to reach a consensus in the room of what things to even talk about now if that doesn't tell you that the whole thing is you know just look for a crime as opposed to you know if it showed me the person I'll show you the crime as we often hear Alan do she would say that should be the end of the story if they went into the meeting not knowing what even though we're gonna write down was the impeachable offenses that should be the end of it but of course we don't live in that world so let's see how often you hear the phrase mind-reading so this will be a test of how much influence I'm having on things I think most of you who have been watching me want for a while know that I believe I'm the first person who introduced the idea that one one part of loser think is imagining you know what other people's motives are because you don't so see how

[33:09]

motives are because you don't so see how many times you hear the phrase mind-reading in the analysis analyses of the impeachment report I think it's going to come up then also as Joel Pollock pointed out apparently the document the impeachment document refers to Andrew Jackson and his impeachment as an example of precedent except as Joel points out and I'm no historian so I'm just repeating what Joel said apparently the Andrew Jackson impeach who was widely considered a sham so the Democrats apparently being either ignorant of history or hoping that the public is ignorant of history which would be a good bet so we can't assume that they were just ignorant because the better assumption is that they do exactly what they're doing by referencing Andrew Jackson and they know that the public won't know the difference oh it's Johnson not Jackson Andrew

[34:11]

oh it's Johnson not Jackson Andrew Johnson Johnson Jackson come on
so anyway so yes thanks for correcting that Andrew Johnson I'm all confused now so I'm not sure that I got that right everybody in the comments is saying Andrew Johnson so just edit everything that I said back to Johnson all right in any case the Andrew Johnson impeachment was considered a sham and they're using that as a precedent it probably will work because people don't know their precedents now there another thing that I think it was Adam Schiff tweeted and I don't have this in front of me but so fact check me this I think you said something like that there were five hundred may be constitutional scholars but at least legal experts that say there are plenty of impeachable offenses that that President Trump has committed

[35:14]

that that President Trump has committed so are you influenced by the fact that five hundred people signed a document and apparently they're experts let's say there's plenty of impeachable material in 2019 to the year 2019 how much weight should you put on 500 experts saying they agree with Democrats the exact amount of weight you should put on that is zero in my book loser think which I hope you are all buying as gifts for your entire family's one of the things I described is if you only know what happened you don't know anything because you don't know what didn't happen so in this case if 500 experts are willing to say that there is plenty of impeach Abul material what's missing what's missing is how many experts are willing to sign a document that says that they don't see impeach you both conduct is that 500 is a zero is it 10 million is it a thousand

[36:17]

a zero is it 10 million is it a thousand I don't know is five right so somebody in the comments is saying 500 out of how many right if all you know is that 500 agreed really here's how you should read that oh there are 500 lawyers who were also Democrats that's that that's exactly how you should read that there are 500 lawyers who are also Democrats that's all that tells you John McAfee has announced his candidacy for president which is interesting because he's not allowed in this country without getting arrested so he he acknowledges that'll be difficult for him to be President given that he can't set foot in the country without going to jail but ban is John McAfee interesting I don't know what drugs he's on I mean he admits to enjoying his drugs quite a bit so I don't know what drugs he's odd but they're good ones and I I saw his tweet

[37:21]

they're good ones and I I saw his tweet and for some reason I wanted to see if he follows me on Twitter and he does so John McAfee actually follows me on Twitter I follow him as well so John McAfee if you're listening to this you should come on my periscope as that would be fun so that's my official invitation just DM me a few DME a few years and you accept I would love to interview you now that you have declared for president admit it can you think of anything more fun than me interviewing John McAfee seriously can you well maybe me interviewing President Trump but of all the people you can interview I might be the most fun so here's a story that sounds like a small story but might be a big story and as here's there's a persuasion lesson in this apparently Teran terrain how do you pronounce or the big city in iran is

[38:25]

pronounce or the big city in iran is that tear and or tear and well it's one of those fill it in in your mind whatever one is right tear and apparently they've got a problem where they have periodically a horrible odor coming from some parts of the capital and they can't seem to figure out what it is they don't know if it's a sewer problem or you know some other weird fact but it's not all the time but it's bad enough that even the ayatollah said to the president you know you need to fix this now here's why this is important whatever happens in tehran in terms of the public and the protests against the leadership is probably the most important thing all right so if i'm seeing some help in pronunciation except that you're giving me everybody's giving me different different answers so i guess i can't read your comments and decide because they're opposites you're some people are

[39:27]

they're opposites you're some people are saying tear around tehran and some are saying tehran and i guess i don't know maybe it's the difference of whether you live there or whether you don't live there alright but back to my bad smell in tehran tehran here's the thing the more senses that you get involved in an opinion the stronger it is so that's your that's your persuasion tip from day the more of your five senses that you can get involved let's say you're trying to persuade somebody if you can get them to see and touch and smell and hear and it was NL five if you could get all five of their senses engaged in something you're trying to persuade this that's powerful Taron quite accidentally has the smell of failure the smell of rot the smell of a decaying old man who needs to be

[40:30]

a decaying old man who needs to be deposed now is there anybody in Iran in Tehran Tehran Tehran is there anybody there who is thinking that the smell is connected in any way to the protests against the government probably not there's there's probably nobody there who's thinking in exactly those terms but here's where it gets interesting here's where it gets interesting have you heard of a book called pre suasion pre suasion written by robert shell Dini who also wrote the incredible book influence which is about ways that people are influenced pre suasion has follow a book which is a newer one talks about how people can be primed for an opinion with a priming material that doesn't seem to be related to the thing you're trying to persuade now the best example in the book is that people who

[41:31]

example in the book is that people who are exposed to images of the American flag are more likely to vote Republican soon after now the American flag of course is a symbol of the entire country the American flag is not a Republican symbol it is one that the Republicans tend to use more often but I don't think that's why it's priests wases I think that when you you see the flag you sort of hone in your but your brain goes to you know the Constitution and more traditional historical happy thoughts about the flag and apparently those have some kind of weird overlap mind with republicanism or republican values so if it's true there's something unrelated to Republicans at least not directly related a flag can cause you later to vote Republican are there other things that can Prime you in the same way and if there are are they

[42:32]

way and if there are are they intentional for example if you are Israel or the United States and you had read the book pre suasion and you wanted to topple a rotten old regime what would you do to priests wait the people who are on the ground yeah yeah one of the ways you could do it and I'm just speculating because these things all have to be tested so there's no way to know if this would be a good good idea or a bad idea the less had been tested but it's easy to test all you do is you bring people in you expose them to a smell and then you ask their opinion and you see if their opinion is changed because they were exposed to a bad smell now if I said to you Tehran smells like failure and death and old man at the same time somewhat unrelated people are

[43:35]

same time somewhat unrelated people are trying to get rid of their failed government that's run by an old man and that sensation of the smell one of the you know the big five of your senses is is sort of floating around into your brain does that make you more likely to want to overthrow your government here's my persuasion answer probably yes and probably a lot now I've talked before about persuasion being you know a game of millimeters you know you could be a candidate and try to persuade voters all year for a year and you'd be lucky if you can move a sliver of the independence right so persuasion is not always a strong force it's got very weak forces such as a candidate trying to move the electorate and that it has strong forces like a really good advertising campaign for example adding this pre sway civ smell to Tehran if it came from the United

[44:36]

to Tehran if it came from the United States or if it came from Israel I'm just speculating I'm not saying it did but if they came up with that idea to make Tehran smell like failure it's one of the smartest things ever because that would be really powerful I think now I don't think they'd do it unless they had tested it in some way but it's easy to test and I'm pretty sure that if you tested it you would get the result that I imagined you would get you would be priests waited to be more was he more incentivized to get rid of the government and the smell because they would merge in your minds it's the same thing and you would even have some logic to that because you'd say well if we have a good functioning government yeah I'm sure they would have taken care of this smell so I just put that out there I'm not going to say that the smell is intentional but I might ask why isn't it

[45:37]

intentional but I might ask why isn't it because it's probably a really good strategy so the president used another technique which I will teach you it's called the small ask if you were a salesperson and you're trying to get somebody to buy a $1,000,000 item one of the techniques that a salesperson will do is they'll try to get you to agree or say yes to something smaller well try to get you to do anything you know attend a meeting to do your favorite or - yeah anything if you get somebody to do something small for you your prime said to do something larger it's basic salesperson technique President Trump when he got he got some hostages back in an exchange with a random some hostages that had been there for a while and he tweeted taken during the Obama administration despite 150 billion dollar gift returned during the Trump administration meaning the hostages thank you to a

[46:38]

thank you to a ran on a very fair negotiation see we can make a deal together the president says see we can make a deal together so the president is calling out this very small deal as successful and it's something that yeah Iran probably got a you know result that we're happy about and it's a very small ask now we're not gonna ask you to give up nukes but let's just do this little exchange it's very smart to do little things and then call them out as successful if you're trying to get a big thing done so that's good technique from the president I I assume that the reason there did the the exchange is because they were going to do him anyway I don't think they did the exchange as part of a you know a persuasive package but once you've done it you should do what the president did which is called a nail as a tiny example of progress that you could build on this

[47:39]

of progress that you could build on this is good technique all right
did I talk about se copy yet yeah I think I did all right what else we got here I believe that's all I had I think we've solved all play in the old days yeah so have you noticed that the anti-trump ours are flailing around to try to find some new attack on the president so you see Pelosi she pivoted back to Russia because Ukraine did to work out so she's like back to Russia back to Russia it's all about Putin so apparently they're using the Kevin Bacon six degrees of separation to say that anything that Trump does in the international realm is good for Putin it's all about Putin and SE Cupp tweeted

[48:46]

it's all about Putin and SE Cupp tweeted that you know that that their real reason and what the president is gonna leave office now if if you're throwing in the mix the possibility that the president might not leave office after a second term aren't you an of ammunition isn't that a big old signal that says you know we've got nothing so let's imagine we can read his mind and not only read his mind but that he would do something that is literally impossible and I suppose anything's possible but what are the odds that any president could get a third tournament in the United States and that's as close to zero as you can get so they first of all read his mind and see his intentions crazy then they think you somehow capable of doing that while at the same time being the most you know incompetent president in there in their view of all time what why is

[49:47]

in their view of all time what why is the president so competent on just this one thing being a dictator really he's you know he's impulsive and incompetent and everything else according to his critics but there's one thing he's really good at being the dictator in the future so it's great great all right
you are leaning on mind-reading the way too much which would be the example of what I if you're thinking that I'm relying on mind-reading because I'm saying that the Democrats are out of ammo I will acknowledge I don't know what's in their minds but if you're a monster and you're running as somebody who has a gun and they decide to throw the gun at you instead of shoot you you can usually not always but you can

[50:48]

can usually not always but you can usually assume the gun is empty because they threw the gun so when you see people saying he's gonna become a dictator and stay in office that's a lot like being an of ammo and just throwing the gun at the monster that's what looks like but anybody who says I'm not a mind-reader you are correct I'm not a mind-reader yeah but I will tell you that you should read loser think because the entire impeachment process is going to be nothing but losers who think it's going to be half pinions where people look at the cost but not the benefits or vice versa you're going to see the people leaving out of context you're going to see mind-reading you're gonna see analogies you're gonna see everything in my book loser think this coming week when the piece for your report comes out so that'll be fun yes loser I think is available as an audiobook as well thank you I'm glad you

[51:53]

audiobook as well thank you I'm glad you like the audiobook so some people are saying they've enjoyed it wordy sturdy is ready two three times already yeah I'm hearing that a lot a lot of people are reading and then rereading the book which is a really good sign oh
let's talk about Saudi Arabia so just quickly so I saw a tweet by somebody anti-trump er who said well you know we're being awfully nice to Saudi Arabia awfully awfully non-belligerent after their one of their citizens shot some military people on a base and killed them and and the critic said huh if Iran did that we'd be looking for war but Saudi Arabia does that and we're just like whatever now is that the dumbest comment you've ever heard because there is a difference between Saudi Arabia and Iran lots of differences but one of them

[52:56]

Iran lots of differences but one of them is one of them is our ally and the other is our nemesis why in the world would you treat an ally and a nemesis the same way
way why would you treat them the same but who who can tweet in public something so dumb that they think we should treat our allies and our and our enemies exactly the same based on what they do now I'm not defending Saudi Arabia I'm saying they got some they got some issues they've got some questions that need to be answered but it is nonetheless true that if a Saudi citizen kills Americans you don't really think it's because it came from the top you don't think it was ordered by you know MPs but if an Iranian military person killed Americans you would kind of think it came from the top so why would you treat those two situations the same you should not all right that's all I

[53:57]

you should not all right that's all I got for now and I will talk to you later