Episode 737 Scott Adams: Talking About Bloomberg, The Next HOAX, The Trump “Cult”
Date: 2019-11-25 | Duration: 33:28
Topics
My new book LOSERTHINK, available now on Amazon https://tinyurl.com/rqmjc2a Why has Michael Bloomberg joined the race for President? Predicting the next HOAX…what will it be? The Democrat need to understand their confusing world Does “free will” make sense in a world determined by physics? Simulation theory explains every otherwise unexplained mystery Cybertruck thoughts and sales orders
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## Transcript
[0:08]
come come come come pom pom pom hey everybody come on him it's a sleepy Thanksgiving week here in America and well thank you good day to all of you I think you would like to enjoy a little thing called the simultaneous end and if you would like to play along I know you do
do all you need it's all you need is a cup or a mug your glasses snifter stein jealous tankard thermos / canteen Grail goblet vessel of any kind fellow with you favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine today the thing makes everything better the simultaneous sip go so first I would like to clarify update that that excellent meme we saw the president
[1:09]
excellent meme we saw the president tweet where it looked like Chris Chris Cuomo mom was with Trump
that was a carpe Noctem meme so carpi duncan duncan has another home run there i would like to update you on my predictions remember i told you that your filter on life is probably subjective like everybody else's but you can tell if you have a good filter but whether it predicts well so I like to make predictions in public and then see if they're right or wrong which I talked about in my book loser think one of the ways you can tell if you're in a bubble is by making predictions and then putting those predictions out in the real world to see how they do and therefore your predictions are always wrong well maybe you should rethink your a world view but if your predictions are often right maybe you're onto something so track your predictions let me let me
[2:11]
so track your predictions let me let me update you on mine so unpredicted the online betting market I have one two three four I have five bets so I'm going to tell you what the bets are now all of these except one that I updated recently by adding to it are all ones that I've had for months and months so you have my word then nothing on this list was recently bet so these are all older bets with the exception of one that I added to so one of the best I have and I've had for many months is who will be the 2020 Democratic nominee a year ago I thought it would become Lee Harris and I had a bet on that that bed is not looking good but it's the bet that I doubled down on because the price of shares is so low and I had some extra cash in the accounts there wasn't use so I thought
[3:12]
accounts there wasn't use so I thought what's this throw some more money in there now the thing is when you say to yourself there's no way that she could get elected remember that you're also saying that about all the other candidates if there were one candidate that I thought was were likely to be elected I would say well you know that's a dumb bet because why would I bet on somebody who's unlikely when there's somebody in the race who's likely and the answer is there's nobody likely there's just nobody in the race who you could say yeah this is the one so I'm gonna I'm gonna keep my bet alright so we don't know if that's right or wrong it looks like it'll be wrong but all of the reasons that I made the original batter the same because she's still the one who could bring together this so-called Obama coalition maybe as well as anybody else can so we'll leave that
[4:12]
as anybody else can so we'll leave that will leave that bet and we'll see how that does here's another bets ayat I actually bet on whether or not Trump will still be the president at the end of this year which is you know a month or so so it looks like I'm gonna win that bat I couldn't believe when I made this bet I couldn't believe it was even available as a bet I had trouble believing that there was an actual market for the question of whether Trump would still be in office and I think I did this bad in the beginning of 2019 somewhere around there so of course that bets doing well it looks like he'll be president at the end of 2019 that I also bet will Trump be the 2020 GOP nominee he had like 95% approval level of the GOP again I couldn't believe that that was available you know the the odds for this one in the last one were not very high but I just looked at it and I thought I think
[5:15]
just looked at it and I thought I think that's free money I think I think all I have to do is put some money down and they'll give me more money back so I've got a bet on that that's looking good and now this was interesting I had a bet again this was many months ago that's a 2020 Democratic nominee will be a woman so you could bat whether it would be male or male or female I bet female so I will win if it's Warren or Harris or Klobuchar or Tulsi Gabbard now obviously I have more of a chance of winning I suppose Warren than the others but I'm keeping that back then I had a bet you can use your own judgment about why I made this bet but there was a bet as to whether NASA would record that 2019 was the hottest year on record and I bet yes now
[6:20]
hottest year on record and I bet yes now I don't know if it'll be the hottest year on record but doesn't it seem like they're gonna say so it just seemed to me there whether or not it's the hottest year on record I feel like NASA's gonna say so I feel like they're gonna say it is so at the moment that bet is down its way down actually so apparently the temperatures have not been cooperating so those are my bets you can see how they're doing
apparently there's there are two two polls out they say that Trump has thirty four percent black support what so the Rasmussen and Emerson polls I think those are the two separate polls about the same time and they both came to the same conclusion the Trump has thirty four percent black support now do
[7:25]
thirty four percent black support now do you believe that now I don't know how that translates does that translate into anything like votes because it might not translate into votes but if anything like that's true and nothing else matters do you remember you probably remember that I was saying way back when Trump first got elected that if he could move the black vote all the other variables don't matter because that's sort of the big one if the Democrats can't really really win the black vote completely overwhelmingly decisively they can't win so I just don't know if this is true does it does it feel true maybe and it's not impossible but it's in the category of things I want to believe is true so therefore I'm totally you know subject the subject to confirmation bias because
[8:26]
the subject to confirmation bias because I want it to be true I say keep a little skepticism on that one but it's fun to watch so the Secretary of the Navy got himself fired for apparently I'm not sure if we know the details but he either quit or he was fired for disobeying an order or disagreeing with the president something about the pardon and so far everybody I've seen his the same talent which is good I feel good about the country because of this it's weird that little things like this make you feel good but the fact that the Secretary of the Navy didn't want to obey an order and it wasn't really a terribly important order it had to do with one person it wasn't about a war or battle or something but the secretary of Navy decided he didn't want to obey that order for the commander-in-chief and so the commander chief immediately fired
[9:26]
the commander chief immediately fired him he fired him for that now you can't it's hard to think of any other job where you would get fired for what is a relatively small thing but everybody I saw who commented on this was happy about it and I was happy too now I don't know if it's a good Secretary of State whether he was doing a good job in general I have no opinion but I feel safer in a world where the civilian elected commander-in-chief can fire a top military commander at the drop of a hat and for disobeying orders even even though it was in the in the larger scheme of things it was a small order because it was about one person it was a small order but I just love the fact that even though even disobeying a small order you're fired nothing else matters don't you like that
[10:30]
nothing else matters don't you like that there's something terribly encouraging about that that that I don't know they you know that there's an elected person who has complete control over these military people who are not elected so I like that Mike Bloomberg is in the race as you know I predicted you would not be so there's another prediction that didn't go my way but I still think there's more we need to know about this I'm wondering if someday we won't hear that Mike Bloomberg didn't expect to win and that he got him for some kind of strategic reason do you think that's possible Am I am I trying too hard to find something where there's nothing there
[11:30]
something where there's nothing there because the simplest explanation is Mike Bloomberg thinks thinks he could win and thinks it's worth getting in and it's at least worth a try so the simplest explanation is it's exactly what it looks like he just thinks he can win doesn't think the others could win thinks it's good for the country could be that it might just be that what I feel as if yeah it's somebody saying yes you're trying too hard and I can certainly I could respect that opinion but let's just speculate is it possible there's a more clever play here because I think one of the things that we'll do is take Biden down at the race right because Bloomberg is sort of that middle ground reasonable person and so Biden should be hurt the most now what would happen if Biden is taken down would someone else
[12:35]
Biden is taken down would someone else emerge I don't know Buddha judge probably has a cap on his total support he doesn't have much black support so that's a losing proposition I feel as if it's almost as if Bloomberg is coming into some kind of a spoiler to make it possible for someone yet maybe we haven't even heard of to run I mean it just doesn't make much sense to me I can't quite figure it out it could be that he's 77 and he's not making good decisions anymore and it could be as easy as that you know I caution you in my incredible book the best book you've ever seen in the world everybody's talking about it leaders I think I I caution you about I forgot what I was gonna say um but I'm sure it was really good it was really good
[13:36]
see he's mayor of New York City why wouldn't he want to be a politician again while he's 77 that's that's why anybody who decides at age 77 to run for president I don't know I mean that alone is an indication of bad judgment isn't it do we want a president who has a high likelihood of not surviving the entire term I don't know so let's keep an eye on that that'll be fun
I'm trying to figure out what hoax will be next because it looks like the impeachment thing completely failed it looks like the polls are moving opposite shifts direction in other words the president is picking up support is that yeah he's got a he's got a record economy and all-time high Republican support I mean he's really in good shape the president is really in good shape for the re-election so the Democrats are
[14:36]
for the re-election so the Democrats are going to have to come up with another hoax because the hoax is that they've tried so far I've not worked amazingly enough so let's try to predict what is next and I'm starting to see some tests balloons go up and I thought to myself if you're a Republican how can you explain your world based on what you've seen all right so my world view is completely consistent so my world view says President Trump did not do anything impeachable and therefore will not be removed from office now if he's not removed for out from office my world view will be consistent but what if your world view is that you're your Democrat what if your world view is not only they he the president did something that's impeachable but several impeachable things and their worldview is it's all obvious there's no question about the facts it's
[15:38]
there's no question about the facts it's just all obvious what would you think about the president not being removed from office how would your world make sense in my world he doesn't get removed from his office because he didn't do anything that would warrant that but if you think he did plenty of things that weren't it how do you explain it yeah year from now when he's still in office well but we're sick we're seeing the answer to that you already know the answer right the answer is that the Republicans are a cult that's that seems to be the answer they're looking for to make their world make sense because if Republicans are a cult and not looking at reason then that makes sense because the Republican majority in the Senate will never vote to support impeachment but not because there's not evidence according to the Democratic view of the world it's because it's a cult and I
[16:39]
world it's because it's a cult and I think that most of us when we hear that our first reaction was the laughs right it was just laughs because it's on first blush it's just sort of humorously ridiculous but see then see then actually had a cult expert on to describe how Trump supporters actually fit the definition of a cult now it's a cult leader that I actually who actually interviewed me recently a few months ago and I think I'm in the book that was mentioned or at least he interviewed me as part of that I don't know if I made it into a book or it was just for his website I'm not sure but I did talk to him so part of his evidence the this cult expert part of his evidence that the GOP is a cult is that they have an all-powerful leader a leader who's you know like got complete power that's that's one of the definitions of a cult
[17:40]
that's one of the definitions of a cult to which I humorously tweeted I
- a call - whose leader is so powerful that he almost got fired for making a phone call that's how powerful Trump is he almost got fired for making a phone
call that's not exactly the most powerful leader in the world do you know what Putin never almost gets fired for making a phone call do you know what President Xi of China and never gets almost fired for making a phone call do you know what I almost never get fired for making a phone call Trump's the only person in the world who could lose his job for making a phone call now of course I'm using a little hyperbole but the point is in what world does Trump look like he has all this power he can't control the border on his
[18:42]
power he can't control the border on his own he can't get a bill passed on his own he can't get a trade deal done he can't get the u.s. MCA signed he can't do anything on his own it seems so the thought that the GOP is a cult is laughably laughably predictable and funny all right because it's a slow news week I'm going to challenge you - I guess this is a challenge you know I often say that well let me come at this from a different angle I've been been watching a lot of nerdy shows on YouTube lately and looking at different clips of new studies about physics and and all these weird things in physics so here are some of the mysteries of the universe if you
[19:44]
of the mysteries of the universe if you will and I'll just list them and then I'll make a point about them one of them is do we have free will now without getting into the details does freewill make sense if we live in a universe there's physics because the rules of physics should apply inside our skull as well as outside so how does it make sense we have free will and yet we think we do that's just one of those mysteries of the universe why is there no boundary to our universe that we could get to have you noticed you can't get to the edge of the universe interesting we can't get there what would it look like if we could have you noticed that at the smallest level if you looked at the subatomic level that there's nothing there there's nothing there only probability what are the odds that if you drill down into the smallest components of Earth the building blocks of a reality that you would find nothing there that's what
[20:44]
you would find nothing there that's what scientists have found there's nothing there there's only probability and if you and here's the other part reality apparently is objective there have been some studies to show that and subjective what I mean by that is that your observation of things collapses the wave or whatever they call it but reality doesn't exist until it's observed that's actually a known thing at the small quantum level until somebody observes it it's only a probability how does that make sense right I'll give you some more dark matter 85% of the universe is made of stuff that seems invisible and doesn't and we can't identify 85% it's just sort of dark matter whatever that is why is that we can't see other see intelligent life on other planets because we would certainly expect we would is it a coincidence that we haven't run into them it's a mystery
[21:45]
haven't run into them it's a mystery did you know that scientists have shown some studies recently that you can change the past now it's on some small level like the level of photons or something but there have been some studies in which they showed that they could alter the past under special conditions and what in what normal universe can you alter the past
there can also be multiple histories that can both be true and then there's a Bell's Theorem where you have entangled particles and if you if you make an observation on one it collapses the other one no matter where it is and it does it instantly as in faster than the speed of light so so you can change something in one part of the universe that makes an instant change to the you know entangled particle on the other side of the universe with no time no time transpired it happens instantly on the other side of the universe
[22:46]
the other side of the universe how's that possible right it's a mystery how about a magnetism I talked about this one all the time magnetic if you were to put a let's say some kind of barrier between two magnets magnet on each side and a barrier you could not put any kind of a barrier between them they would reduce the magnetic attraction there's nothing you can put between two magnets nothing there even reduces it even in a theoretical way there's nothing you can do to stop a magnetic force how is that possible it doesn't seem possible does it
it so now let me ask you this is there any way to explain all of these I don't know paradoxes and mysteries with one theory yes there is simulation Theory actually answers all of these every one of these mysteries is solved or could it be explained by by a
[23:52]
solved or could it be explained by by a simulation theory that we're actually a software world somebody asked about move metal somebody is a good engineer new metal mu metal is a magnetic shield but it's not a shield in the normal sense it's a diverter it diverts the force it doesn't reduce it so you can divert a force P can't reduce it are you impressed that I knew that I know my loot medals all right electric field disrupter magnetism yeah you can disrupt or add things to the magnetic field that changed the whole situation but there's no there's no material you can put in the middle that reduces the attractiveness well oh and the the moon metal thing let me answer it better the
[24:53]
metal thing let me answer it better the moon metal is attracted to the magnet so it's actually just part of the magnetic situation there's nothing that's non-magnetic that you can put between two magnets that has any effect on their their attraction their attraction so there you go every mystery in the universe can be explained by us being a software simulation all of them
somebody says mooo metal can conduct divert or shield yes all those words are correct but it's also magnetically attracted to the magnet so I should have said there's nothing that that there's nothing that's not magnetic itself that affects the magnetic field all right because the simulation explained Epstein's death well you know you heard bill Barr now what what did all of you think when
[25:57]
now what what did all of you think when you saw that bill Barr believes that Epstein's death was definitely a suicide what did you think of that remember I told you it was a suicide so I'm the one person in the world besides Bill Maher I guess um you know there are a handful of us who think it was suicide what did you think when Bill Barr said he looked at the video and there was nobody else who got in there I'm as certainly like year the details of where that video was and you know is it really to nobody else could have gotten in there without going through where the video camera was I don't know so when you saw bill bara say it was a suicide did it change your mind
bar has conflict of interest I don't know what that would be why do I have so many people here is it because you're on vacation today now the Moon medallist is called nu-metal
[26:57]
nu-metal I'm very impressed too how many people on your effort of Miu metal a magnetic shielding material that's very impressive
now that you sent it I'm good oh so there's somebody here who's actually convinced by Babar summer most of you do think it was a suicide right oh no oh no somebody just pointed out an obvious pun so you've heard of epstein-barr or syndrome we actually have in the news an epstein-barr story one of the odds of that and why did it take me so long to realize the epstein-barr was the story in the news oh my goodness so let's talk
[28:03]
in the news oh my goodness so let's talk about the cyber truck apparently there are 200,000 orders for that thing and I told you last couple days that I started with a that that thing is ugly and a day later I was starting to think well maybe I wouldn't mind having one of those cyber trucks and then the third day in really what one I totally want one so whatever magic Elon Musk uses to make us want his products he's doing it again you know he always was amazed at the the old PayPal mafia that it was called so Elon Musk and Peter Thiel and other folks were part of the PayPal startup years ago that's where they made their first money and the thing I always wondered about PayPal was yeah that's great that you can make technology to send money to people the technology is great but how did he get people to use it how do you get people to trust the
[29:05]
it how do you get people to trust the first financial app that a I'm sending money through buying a little app well I guess wasn't on the flour it was on computer how did they ever get anybody to trust it wasn't that the magic the magic was getting people to trust it it wasn't the technology they probably had to talk big banks into you know working with them and stuff there's some kind of magic that all of those PayPal mafia people have that they can recreate they can make you want stuff and that is really interesting people are agreeing that the truck is growing on you no I don't think the truck is ugly I think the truck is just different than what you expected and that's I think that's what hit us all it's like oh I didn't expect that and then apparently there's
[30:06]
expect that and then apparently there's a reason why it's so angular you know sort of straight lines Musk tweeted something about the the super hard metal that they're using is hard to bend and stamp so there aren't that many shapes you can actually make if you want your metal to be that strong so now here's a question for you what happens when that truck runs into a regular automobile if you have a high-speed collision and you're in the cyber truck and the person that you have the high-speed collision with is not do you end up like your truck is unhurt and you're just like you have to use the wipers to wipe off the other person's body parts from your your windshield and then you just keep driving it's a serious question what happens if you an accident with a cyber trunk does the car that hits the cyber truck get completely destroyed because there's no give on the other side it's just a solid
[31:08]
give on the other side it's just a solid object that never dents I know could be an issue all right
I'm buying the truck somebody says for $100 refundable you can say you ordered one it looks like explain novelty mmm I don't know what that question means
so I guess PayPal was in the eBay thing at first mmm okay all right you know I don't have anything else to talk about but I have two point seven thousand people here say if I have any questions any questions on my book by the way I'll be on Tucker Carlson's show tonight so
[32:09]
be on Tucker Carlson's show tonight so look for me tonight I'm Tucker Carlson
refer to the law of physics oh yeah Eddie get rescued yeah suppose there's a jaws of life situation and you're in a crumpled siper truck can anything get you out maybe never crumpled son I'm fascinated by all of your comments that truck is a lot of comments look how many people are interested can you imagine any other product that I would mention and everybody still wants to talk about it's kind of weird all right I'm gonna bore you all to death because I got nothing else it's such a slow news week can I talk about Gemini's well I I am a Gemini
[33:10]
talk about Gemini's well I I am a Gemini as you know there are many powerful leaders who are Gemini's Kanye West President Trump John Kennedy but there are powerful leaders of all astrological signs so it doesn't mean much and I'm gonna go do something else and I will talk to you later