Episode 728 Scott Adams: Orange Man Bad Shampeachment, Buttigieg Surging in Iowa, Fun Stuff
Date: 2019-11-17 | Duration: 34:11
Topics
My new book LOSERTHINK, available now on Amazon https://tinyurl.com/rqmjc2a The life of a man in 2019 CNN notes PLENTY of…inappropriate Presidential behavior Overly seasoned diplomats New Iowa poll shows Buttigieg LEADING at 25% Biden’s poll numbers fell off a cliff CNN assigning “no blowback” opinion to their viewers Deval Patrick’s Presidential chances Sam Harris, famous for being rational and VERY smart… …thinks President Trump’s success and election just luck?
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## Transcript
[0:11]
everybody do you see what time it is are you kidding me it's time it's time everybody come on in here it's time for the simultaneous sip best part of your day and it just keeps getting better and does it take much to participate no it doesn't it doesn't a very little preparation needed I see some of you are already ready but if you're not there's still time grab your cup your mug your glass you snifter stein jealous tankard thermos flask canteen Grail goblet vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the simultaneous up the dopamine here the day the thing that makes everything better go coffee coursing through my body making my life
[1:12]
coursing through my body making my life better it's like magic so in the big news of the day there was a man from the United Kingdom age 32 and the headline says that he nearly died poor man he nearly died after a parasite crawled up his penis and leg laid eggs as he swam in a lake in in a trip to Africa so here's why when I go to Africa I do not swim in the lake because apparently they have some kind of gnarly parasite that will crawl up your penis and lay eggs and if you didn't have anything else to worry about well you got that now you're welcome there's a trendy hashtag on Twitter today hashtag why men need a break and I saw that it was trending I thought why
[2:12]
saw that it was trending I thought why men need and I thought huh could there be a positive thing about men that would be a trending hashtag on social media is that even possible it's 2019 could there be such a thing as a positive hashtag about men that would be trending and I thought to myself my god I didn't know that was even a thing anymore so I clicked on it eager to find out all the reasons that men need a break as somebody finally realized that men work hard and sometimes they need a break well it didn't work out that way turns out that the hashtag is mostly a way to mock men for being worthless and stupid so at least I wasn't surprised so that's the life of a man in 2019 being told you're
[3:13]
life of a man in 2019 being told you're worthless and stupid in a variety of different ways we have our own hashtag now why men need a break so if you'd like to get in on the telling men why they're worthless and stupid just use the hashtag and you can be part of the whole party because that's what brings us together one of the things that brings us together as a culture is our complete agreement that all men are trash they're stupid and worthless if you don't believe it turn on your television or watch a movie or a commercial they all have a pretty pretty similar theme if you know what I mean so there's this new thing I don't know how to new it is but I see it more and more when people want to be mad at me at social media usually because they see me saying something positive about President Trump they like to come into my comments on Twitter and say bad things about me but
[4:14]
Twitter and say bad things about me but they used to say bad things about me that were based on a rumor that wasn't true or they say bad things about me because my opinion or or they didn't like who I was supporting but now they've just given up on reasons and now people come into my comments and they say with sadness I think they're they're following se Pelosi's lead because she's very sad about the impeachment she feels bad for the president I think she prays for him and people are starting to do this with me too
too instead of saying Scott I think he got a fact wrong or maybe you should think of something differently they come in to Twitter and they tell me how disappointed they are for me no reasons given they're just disappointed and they feel bad for me because I used to be somebody who is worthwhile there was a time I'm told by my critics there was a time when I was not awful
[5:16]
there was a time when I was not awful once but that time that time has passed I'm now a person to be pitied without specific reasons and so to all of the you who are my critics who are pitying me and are very disappointed at me I thank you for your concern
so I'm loving watching the two movies on one screen with CNN mostly I'm watching and Fox News now they're covering the impeachment over on over on CNN it's it's all over the president has been shown to be impeachable why is the president impeachable you say well just listen to CNN or read their website plenty of plenty of reasons for example and if this isn't impeachable I don't know what is he had a phone call that
[6:19]
know what is he had a phone call that some people thought was inappropriate that's right I don't know if you've if you've got a whiff of this yet but back in 2016 and you probably didn't notice but there was his president elected his name is Trump and apparently this is the first inappropriate he's done some people are calling it out wait but I'm getting a message that this is not the first inappropriate thing that President Trump is done hold on I'm hearing from the control room okay 27,000 27,000 time he's been inappropriate but this time well he's going too far the other 27,000 times he did something that other people thought was inappropriate was just short of impeachable but the 27001 I think that's
[7:24]
impeachable but the 27001 I think that's the final straw we've had too much of this inappropriate non-standard behavior which we don't want to normalize we don't want to normalize this non-standard behavior because look what it's done to the economy okay the economy is fine but I think it's pretty clear that with all this inappropriate inappropriate behavior thousands and thousands have been appropriate to behaviors I mean that's the reason that Isis is went okay Isis is and winning the caliphate has been completely destroyed but it's certainly the reason that North Korea is firing up their nuclear what they're now firing up their nuclear weapons and naming the Matis they're actually sort of talking to us but one thing I can tell you is that because of all of the president's inappropriate behavior there's no way he's going to be pushing back on cha ok
[8:24]
he's going to be pushing back on cha ok he's pushing back on China all right I'm trying to figure out what all the inappropriate behavior has done to me personally ah
anything any of you have anything for me has the president's inappropriate behavior of which there are 27,000 examples have any of you felt any pain because of it has anybody lost a job anybody lost a spouse did anybody's children were they late for school is that anybody littering more what exactly is the inappropriate behavior doing fill in the blanks I don't know but I know it's very irregular it's irregular and inappropriate and if you can't be and preached for being irregular and then appropriate I don't know what you can be
[9:25]
appropriate I don't know what you can be a peach for oh that's right bribery reverse bribery you know reverse bribery where you try to get somebody else to do something in return for a large amount of foreign aid now it seems to me that the Democrats have as a party they're starting to define themselves the following way we should give a lot away from foreign aid but apparently we're not supposed to ask for anything in return if it would also be good for the sitting president but I can't imagine anything we would ask for from any foreign country in return from foreign aid that wouldn't also coincidentally be a plus for the sitting president whoever that might be so I think the Democrats want to simply give away money with no conditions there's any kind of condition it would be good
[10:26]
any kind of condition it would be good for the sitting president that's why we'd ask for it politically it would be good because it would be good for the country so the Democrats want to open our borders invite everybody in pay everybody with the money though the citizens are earning for it to make sure they're covered for health care and everything else but also if there's any money left over after that we should package it up and give to foreign countries that they can spend anyway they want or just the government could just keep it because apparently corruption is not a big deal not something you really need look into so the Democrats are actually running on a platform of giving your money to other countries I am not even making that up there at the the Democrats are actually running on the platform of taking your money and giving it to other countries without conditions
[11:28]
it to other countries without conditions without conditions really I mean that's actually what's happening and that's how bad they want to get rid of the president so I'm referring to this impeachment as the orange band bat she impeachment because they don't really have anything more damning than orange man bad I've got lots of examples every example is a little bit trivial that's just non-standard he had an irregular group of people including Rudy doing some things not illegal as far as we know just irregular so stop all that irregular stuff and this is how a bloomberg puts it a handful of loyalists led by Rudy Giuliani wrested control of
[12:29]
led by Rudy Giuliani wrested control of US policy from seasoned diplomats well did they did they wrest control of US policy from seasoned diplomats or did they do what the president who sets the foreign policy did Rudy do what the president asked him to do because the seasoned diplomats weren't worth the yeah are you watching all of the praise that Jovanovic your honor am I saying it right Jovanovic ambassador Jovanovic is getting have you noticed that all the Democrats are praising her long service and and great character and stuff and I'm thinking I don't have any reason to doubt it and she might be the best employee we've ever had or not or not how many of those Democrats actually
[13:29]
how many of those Democrats actually know what her record is on the job Annie I don't know she's getting a lot of respect from people who don't know one way or the other now I do think we should show respect to our public servants unless there's some reason not to and I'm not aware of any reason not to but it's kind of weird how confident people are that she's the best employee we've had recently or one of the great ones she's one of the Great's might be true I have no reason to doubt it but if you've ever been around employees they're not all that great not all of them all right here's the most interesting part about the orange band bad she impeachment you'll think it's not connected but it is I'm going to connect it right now there's a new poll and of Iowa of likely caucus-goers so
[14:31]
and of Iowa of likely caucus-goers so the people who might matter now it's only 500 people but still that's enough probably statistically Pete Budaj edge is now leaving the field at 25% and who did that come out of well a key man of Bernie and it also came out of Warren know it came out of Biden I think mostly right Biden and Bernie does Warren is still in second place so connect the dots now Joe Biden just fell off a cliff in the polls why what has happened recently that would make Joe Biden fall in the polls is it just because Budaj edge is doing such a good job maybe could be that can be part of it buta jej is doing a good job
[15:35]
but here's the other I don't see everybody nobody's connected the dots yet
yet there you go I'm watching in the comments yeah you just connected the dots let me put it this way Democratic voters and here's the key it's not not just Republicans Democratic voters in Iowa just told the country that the Biden situation with Ukraine was important which means the president Trump asking to look into it is what even the Democrats wanted because even the the fact that the polls had been so consistent in fact Biden was you know writing writing a new high and that then this week he falls off a cliff what else happened did Biden have a big gaffe no nothing unusual did Biden come out with a new policy nope
[16:36]
a new policy nope did somebody who's a Democrat attack Biden in a really effective way nope nope there is exactly one thing that happened exactly one thing the Sham Pietschmann and the and the knowledge and that doubt the rest of the public is filling in the Biden had some questions that needed to be answered now I'll say again I'm not aware of any evidence that Joe Biden committed any crimes with Ukraine or anywhere else I'm not aware of anything like that and I'm not going to do what Democrats do and use the word yet I I freaking hate that because because the way they would say it if this were them they'd say oh there's we've discovered no evidence of a crime by Joe Biden yet you throw that yet in there and you need to be off the air
[17:37]
there and you need to be off the air I mean you throw if you're a professional and you throw it yet at the end of that sentence you you need to lose your job that's not a yet sentence that's just slamming somebody for no reason so I'm not going to say yet on Biden because I don't think I don't think anything will come of it but it's certainly something that the voters wanted to know as soon as those voters in Iowa found out that there was some kind of a burr yzma thing did they care it looks like it now I can't read their minds and certainly I would expect there will be other interpretations of why Biden this week people were saying he might lose Iowa anyway so maybe there's no surprise here at all what Buddha judge you know topping out there might be a little surprising might be a little surprising all right now let's see if let's see if it in this coming week any of the
[18:38]
it in this coming week any of the Republicans make the case that I just made which is that Biden falling in the polls proves that even Democrats cared about the burr yzma connection which means that the president asking about it is doing the people's work let's just like I've been saying from the from the start if you and I care about the berry' schmuck connection even if all we care about is understanding it better I think that's fair we won't understand it better and you know make sure that we know the facts it's proven now I would say that that's a done deal right i watch with amazement as CNN assigns opinions to their Watchers now of course Fox News does that they all do that but sometimes is a little more heavy-handed than other times here's one of the assignments for the opinions that are
[19:38]
assignments for the opinions that are trying to assign to their their viewers and it's that there will be no blowback from the impeachment so there's a there's a one of the pundits wrote an article on CNN site today in which he's saying that there should be no blowback because they're doing such a good job on this impeachment that no matter which way it goes it will be no blowback now do you think that's predictable first of all if I had to bet I'm gonna bet there's blowback because Joe Biden just dropped in the polls in Iowa now again there could be other reasons for that but it sure looks like blowback to me I think it blew Biden right out of the race didn't it that's the matter as blowback he as you can get and I wouldn't be surprised if some people in Congress have a little having a little struggle because this the CNN is trying pretty
[20:39]
because this the CNN is trying pretty hard to tell Democrats that no no blowback I don't know if this is the last time you'll ever see me because I'm gonna I'm gonna bring up a topic they could just they could get me cancelled are you ready for that these are the fun ones the ones where you can you can you can detect palpable danger run my partner so here comes the danger part I will try to protect myself with the following framing so when I get quoted at a context this will be the part that has to be left out so that I sound evil okay as you know if you've been watching my periscope so I am super Pro gay super Pro LGBTQ very supportive transgender
[21:41]
Pro LGBTQ very supportive transgender athletes much to your disagreement alright so you know that and you know I've been saying I'd love to see a gay president assuming that the president is qualified and all that right now I don't know that I want to see it instead of President Trump well wouldn't it be great to have a great gay president I think the think the country would feel you know movement forward now again we don't want to elect somebody just because of their gender just because their ethnicity just because their sexual orientation but it would just be really healthy okay I see somebody signing off already you don't know where I'm going with this yet so X Massachusetts governor Deval Patrick is looking like he might be getting into the race now I didn't know anything about Deval Patrick literally nothing
[22:45]
about Deval Patrick literally nothing I'd never heard him talk I didn't know what he looked like and so yesterday I had in my headphones and I was just listening to the news and I heard an interview and wish Deval Patrick came on and started talking and again didn't know anything about him it's the first time I've ever heard him talk and I said to myself oh my god this is amazing we're gonna have two gay candidates for president of which nobody's talking about them being gay I mean except for general description and I thought to myself that's like the healthiest thing I'm so happy about that literally right I'm not joking I was happy about that was like wow the the Democrats via they talked about inclusion and diversity but look what they're filled they've got a bunch of women they've got it well done at least one woman of color they've got you know they've got everything covered
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you know they've got everything covered and now they've got a gay black guy who just entered the race and all anybody is saying is that he's a strong candidate and I thought to myself this is a really healthy situation and then I thought to myself what if he's not gay look that up cuz I don't want to be saying hey it's great that we got a second gay guy in the race if he doesn't identify that way so I googled it turns out he's not gay and bi not gay I mean he's not telling anybody he's gay I think he's got a family and the daughter I think his daughter is LGBTQ but there's no no indication that he's gay so I hope nobody signed off after I said that because the the punch line is the way he speaks signaled to me gay but
[24:51]
way he speaks signaled to me gay but just because of a bias or a bad pattern recognition and so I'm not proud of it right I'm not you know I'm not claiming up right because I heard his so I'm not making any claims about him or his first in life I'm just saying he doesn't have a chance of getting elected and here's why because Pete Budaj edges in the race what's the best thing about Peabody judge and I've said this before what's the best thing about people judge as a candidate he's authentic Peabody judge is the real deal you know if you're gonna run for president and people think you're gay whether you're gay or not if they think you're gay there's nothing better than to say meet my husband because that's as authentic as you can get so Buddha judge is not only nah he's not emphasizing that being gay is some
[25:53]
not emphasizing that being gay is some kind of an advantage you know wouldn't it be good for the country good a judge isn't saying any of that which also proves he's smart because saying that would be a turn-off to a lot of people we don't want to elect people because of their sexual orientation we just want to be able to get to a place where doesn't matter so so I think that the average voter is going to take a look at Duvall and I think they're going to have the same apparently incorrect first impression that I did which is that he's another gay candidate and people will have their opinions about that I have to tell ya I spent most of my time interacting with Trump supporters I've never heard one person say anything anti-gay in terms of not being you know not being electable or not being qualified or anything like
[26:54]
not being qualified or anything like that right people make bad jokes but they they just come across as bad jokes I've never heard any Trump supporter I have any negative thought about anybody running for president because of their sexual orientation which is I suppose a good thing because you kind of expect you might hear that but you don't I'm having heard at one time so so he says your generation is the lost cause I got a delete you for that that's a block so I'm Pro Budaj edge as a candidate because he is moderate he is one of the smartest people in the race and like Trump he just seems to be authentic and people can really put up with a lot you know you can disagree with somebody whose lifestyle you could disagree with
[27:54]
whose lifestyle you could disagree with their choices and you can still be okay with them if they come off as authentic and Buddha judge does and I think that by comparison and this is just a comparison thing it's gonna make devala Patrick look you know authentic even if he's authentic so he's gonna he's gonna suffer from I think people's opinions of who he is and should be that's independent from who he is so this so let me summarize by saying nothing I've said should be considered a an insult or a negative about Deval Patrick I'm just telling you that you know my pattern-recognition heard his voice jump to a conclusion when I googled it it appeared not be true but there you go alright so I hope I don't get cancelled for that but we'll see so here's one of
[29:00]
for that but we'll see so here's one of the funniest cognitive dissonance things you'll ever see it goes like this do you know the story of Chauncey Gardiner so it's a it's a movie being there I think is the movie and the idea is that this guy who's sort of an idiot just gets lucky and through a series of misunderstandings becomes president and so if something when somebody is compared to Tron see Gardner it's basically basically saying they have no talent but they became a leader just by luck being in the right place at the right time and I've heard this from now from two of the smartest people that I'm likely to talk to who have told me directly and both of them Democrats said well one of them told me directly in one of them I just heard on an interview that their best explanation of what
[30:02]
that their best explanation of what they're observing over the last three years is that Trump just got lucky now one of them is Sam Harris so Sam Harris is literally famous for being smart and rational like what what is Sam Harris is brand smart rational scientific follows the facts right and but of course that doesn't make you immune from cognitive dissonance and it could be I Who am experiencing the cognitive distance right now so probably one of us is or maybe both it could be that both of us are in left field but I I actually wonder I wonder a lot about sam Harris's internal thinking process because imagine being literally famous
[31:03]
because imagine being literally famous for being rational and smart and both of those things are true by the way he's rational and super smart but he's watched Trump become president and then have one of the most successful presidencies for the people who voted for him of all time and yet he is current thinking and this because he just said it in an interview I I heard I think it was with Brett Weinstein he said that it was the Chauncey Gardiner thing that Trump just got lucky now how how many things can Trump do in a row that are exactly what he said he would do before you discard the Chauncey Gardiner hypothesis how how much do you have to see before you say okay well maybe there is some technique to this yeah maybe there's a style to
[32:05]
to this yeah maybe there's a style to this it's just a question could we ever get there could sam harris ever get to the point where he says okay i don't like the policies but i can see that the skill is what got in there now again i could be the one who's suffering cognitive dissonance if we're being completely rational if I were if I were the one experiencing it and Sam's opinion of what happened is just right on complete lock the president just got lucky I wouldn't know the difference because my cognitive dissonance would make me see it as an absurd even though it makes perfect sense so that's about all I got for today I hope that you have all checked out my book lose you think a great gift you should be ordering it now for Christmas it's the greatest gift of all time oddly
[33:06]
the greatest gift of all time oddly enough it's battling for numbered number in cognitive psychology so so if you go on Amazon that it's listed in a number of different categories but one of the categories is cognitive psychology it's that it's it's the number one or number two book it keeps going back and forth with Kahneman's thinking fast and small which is funny all right it's funny that I'm in the same list with a book that famous and that good that's what's funny all right
IQ isn't related to judgment somebody says yes it is IQ is totally related to judgment yeah you really believe IQ doesn't help you make better decisions pretty sure it does but anyway this
[34:06]
pretty sure it does but anyway this isn't for another day and I will talk to you all later