Episode 717 Scott Adams: Loserthink in Impeachment, China Fentanyl Crackdown, Whistleblowers

Date: 2019-11-07 | Duration: 26:36

Topics

My new book LOSERTHINK goes on sale 11/5. Pre-order: https://bit.ly/2NRammu Mike Cernovich warnings about the whistleblower…in 2017 CNN, the anti-Trump network, shifts to new outrage attack Anti-Trumper opinions on the amount of ACCEPTABLE RISK… …for economic collapse What qualities do likely Iowa “caucusgoers” want? Compilation clip of Democrats looking solemn over impeachment 2017 Tweets the whistleblower’s attorney wishes he hadn’t made China cracking down on Fentanyl…maybe

If you would like my channel to have a wider audience and higher production quality, please donate via my startup (Whenhub.com) at this link: https://interface.my/ScottAdamsSays

> [!note] Rough Transcript
> 
> This is an auto-generated transcript and may contain errors.

## Transcript

[0:10]

hey you few people who were awake now coming to you at my non-standard time because I'm traveling doing my book tour for hey Peter doing my book tour for loozer think which is available in hardcover and Kindle and audiobook I'm hearing a lot of people enjoying the audiobook on long drives people reporting in I have to tell you well let's get to that in a minute we have to enjoy first the simultaneous it now the great thing about the simultaneous sip is you can do a later on replay it's still simultaneous in a weird way but if you've got a copper mug or glasses dying to tell us a canteen a shot glass a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid well I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine hit of the day the thing that makes everything better the simultaneous sip go I think my

[1:19]

the simultaneous sip go I think my testosterone level just dropped about 3 points using this dainty little hotel coffee vessel but like I say a vessel of any kind as long as it's not leaking it's working so I've got another full day of media interviews wonder how many I have lined up saying so somewhere in the neighborhood of maybe 25 interviews today do you pity me yet most of them are gonna be your radio hits so I'm going to be sitting in a room for much of today taking calls from radio stations or placing calls to them and doing these quick little hits on radio all over the country I believe I'm gonna be on Dana Perino shadow either today or tomorrow I thinks tomorrow so look for that and

[2:21]

I thinks tomorrow so look for that and the Greg Gutfeld show I'll be taping that that will be fun so lots of stuff coming up if you don't have a loser think you should get it now the thing I was gonna say is I've never seen this kind of response for a book certainly I've never seen it from my own book but I've never seen for any book people are posting a package opening videos they're they're posting pictures of them reading the book people are reporting in where they are people are recommending the book after reading a third of it so I've just never had that experience before it seems to be that the best received thing I've done so far so we'll see let's talk about the news I guess everybody's heard the name of the alleged whistleblower by now so given that everybody's probably heard it already it's this guy Eric charmella I

[3:21]

already it's this guy Eric charmella I guess the the interesting thing about this is that Mike Tsarevich was writing about this guy back in 2017 fairly or charmelo somebody was saying he was writing about this charmella guy back in 2017 but he wasn't getting much traction he was sort of the mainstream media was just sort of overlooking it so that's why I tell you you should follow him there are things that I sometimes hear you know way in advance if you're following the the right people you just have to wait for the mainstream news to catch up one of my favorite headlines from CNN the anti-trump Network is this headline front so this is written by one of their frequent contributors who is the most anti Trump person I forget his name but here's the headline that was given for his article the Giuliani

[4:21]

given for his article the Giuliani factor that might condemn Trump to impeachment does it seem to you they've moved on does it seem to you that the whole phone call thing didn't work out and now they're like well alright it wasn't the phone call but what about Giuliani yes I need to move on to another thing so here's a little here's a little persuasion / psychology tip that I think the Democrats are starting to understand and it goes like this people the you know most voters are not going to really follow the details of a complicated story you could probably as a rule of thumb say that the average public will take away maybe 10% in terms of understanding a complicated story so you have to really ask yourself uh-oh what part will people get about the Ukrainian phone

[5:22]

people get about the Ukrainian phone call we're what will they understand versus what will they not understand because the complicated stuff because the only stuff this is gonna matter is that little part they think they understand even if they're wrong and it seems to me that given that as far as I can tell even the Democrats are not really making a strong case that there's any kind of crime involved I think what people are going to remember is that the president made a phone call and there was no crime involved how would you like to defend impeaching a president because he made a phone call in which no but everybody agrees no crimes were committed that's a tough one what would happen hypothetically I don't think there's any chance it could happen because the the Republicans in the Senate will stop it but what would happen if you actually had an

[6:24]

happen if you actually had an impeachment and the only thing that the public could remember is that they didn't like the way he worded a phone call it had no effect on anything yeah there didn't cost us money didn't affect the economy change our our security didn't change our international relations didn't have any effect had no effect on anybody how would the public feel about removing a president because he worded something on a phone call in a way that people didn't like but there were no other consequences that's the very definition of illegitimate now I get that the anti choppers can piece it together with words and make it sound like it's bad and they might even be right I won't even I won't even debate the the substance of it but what the public is going to remember is that they tried to impeach a president for the way he worded a phone

[7:24]

president for the way he worded a phone call that's all they're gonna remember they don't care who Bill Taylor is whose name I just bothered to bother to learn today I've been watching this story because you know of course I do these periscopes and talk about it all the time but even I as much as I'm interested in this stuff and I'm I'm probably in the top I don't know 2% of people who care even I wasn't even learning the names of the players I'd be like yeah there's a guy that guy diplomat said some stuff didn't matter and then there was the other guy who talked to the guy he heard the guy and doesn't matter just doesn't matter so I asked this provocative question on Twitter and of course if you've followed me for a while you know that the way you frame something ends up being the answer so if you frame something right you you

[8:26]

so if you frame something right you you require people to think inside your frame if they're dumb enough to accept it and then they're trapped in your frame and they're going to come to the conclusion you want them to because they move their brain over to your way of thinking that leads to the framework so here's the framework that I put on on Twitter yesterday just for fun I asked people what percent his risk of an economic collapse would they be willing to endure to remove Trump from office now think about it think about it do you think there's no risk to the Republic or at least of the economy do you think there's no risk of removing a president for the way he worded a phone call that's a pretty big risk you could impeach a president for an actual crime and the on the side that didn't like it would still live with it

[9:28]

didn't like it would still live with it they would still live with it because at least it followed the rules if there's one thing I can tell you about conservatives and Republicans having sort of lived among them for so long they like rules if if you break the rules there's going to be a consequence if you break something that's not a law such as the way you worded a phone call no law broken conservatives are going to be very reluctant to punish you for not breaking a rule but but man could you imagine what would happen to the country if the if Republicans felt that a president was removed without without proper respect to the Constitution now if you think that's zero risk to the Republic or to the economy that's hard

[10:30]

Republic or to the economy that's hard to support now it might be a 1% risk it could be a 10 percent could be a 50 percent but it's a risk and so this is an example that I talk about in my book loser think the specific example of loser think here is that there's there's no consideration of the cost so the people who want impeachment are thinking of the benefit at least as they see us the benefit is they remove President Trump and they're really focused on the benefit but there's either a cost or a risk of a cost which can be treated the same by the way if you were if you are trying to calculate what this looks like you do you would do a calculation in which you would multiply the the risk if something happened times the probable cost if it happens so if there's a 1% chance that you would lose a trillion

[11:31]

chance that you would lose a trillion dollars you would treat that as an expense of 1% of a trillion or whatever that is what's 1% of a trillion it's not a billion I can't do math in the morning so let's say you thought the risk to the Republic was 2% would you still want to remove the president it turns out at least online people will say yes and there even people who said that they would take a brief recession because hey it'll cover Ilyn recover and other people say well president pence isn't so bad in terms of it's not going to destroy the economy if you go to president pence but that's not really the question the question is not whether pence could manage the economy I'm sure he could yeah I'm sure he wouldn't break anything the problem would be that hypothetically an American president was removed econ 101 is wrong

[12:37]

president was removed econ 101 is wrong learn about real options and read talib I blocked a Talib for you don't need to know but I don't consider him a legitimate voice on a lot of stuff that's a longer story we don't need to get into it I just no longer respect his opinion so I shouldn't have said that in public actually if I could take that back I probably would so there's risk if the president is removed I don't think people are considering that risk it's not zero I don't know what it is but it's definitely not zero here's another fun story CVS the the pharmacy chain CVS has delivered their first prescription by drone now what the story doesn't mention is obviously it's a three drone operation one of the drones from CVS delivers the actual medicines

[13:38]

from CVS delivers the actual medicines and the prescription but then there are these two other drones that follow it and approximately a quarter mile distance from each other and one has each end of the CVS receipt and then they they fly over the home and then the first drone delivers the package and then the other two that are holding the receipt about a quarter of a mile apart one will drop it and then the other one will fly up and be directly above the chimney and then drop it and then the the CVS receipt which is a quarter of a mile long we'll slowly snake itself down the chimney and burn up in the fireplace because who needs a piece of paper anyway it's a digital world but so CVS says that it's sort of a three-three drone operation damn it all right so here's a funny Pole likely Iowa Democratic caucus-goers and by the way today I learned that caucus goer as one word I guess that's

[14:41]

caucus goer as one word I guess that's the thing now there's such a thing as a caucus goer there was a poll and they say then here's their priority for the candidates so people were voting for Democrats have these these priorities in Iowa 33% said their top remark priority is one who can win okay that's good they want somebody who can win and only but only 25% to have their top priority one who's honest keep in mind the primary reason they want to remove the president as they think he's not honest but only 25% care if the person replaces him is honest are you following this 100% of Democrats or something like that would like to remove the president for not being honest but only 25% of them ranked as their highest priority that who replaces him is honest but it gets better here's the next priority

[15:44]

gets better here's the next priority below honest is one who cares about people I don't know what that means have we ever had a president who didn't care about people do you think Trump or anybody else doesn't care about people it's just a stupid question everybody cares about people and it's and it's a top priority all right does it is that shouldn't even be in the poll and the and then the fourth priority that got only 15 percent votes is one who has good leadership so they're prioritizing ability like fourth place in their own candidate their own candidate they're not looking for capability that's what the poll says the poll says that they don't put a priority on capability it's like fourth well you know as long as he wins doesn't have to be that honest I mean I'm not I'm not

[16:45]

be that honest I mean I'm not I'm not obsessive about it it doesn't have to be completely honest and caring about people I'll be nice I'd be nice about leadership and capability yeah yeah not so important what we really need is to get rid of that Trump monster so that was pretty funny the simulation is so entertaining because there are days when I wake up and I have this thought in my head and then I laugh about it and I you know move on with my day but today I'm gonna tell you what it is which is how would you like to be a Democrat who is also in the LGBTQ community because you kind of conflicted aren't you because if President Trump is removed hello president pence is the LP gqt community waking up everyday and fighting hard to make Mike Pence their new president because it

[17:46]

Pence their new president because it feels like that it feels like that and I think to myself what what kind of mental process is happening that would allow you to I don't consider that as your worldview they're working waking up every day and fighting hard to make Mike Pence your president is a good thing for the LGBTQ community now to be fair I'm fairly Pro Mike Pence I think he's been a terrific vice-president one of the best the vice presidents I would say he's doing a solid job and I think that his views on the LGBTQ stuff probably are gonna evolve you know I have I have some optimism that he doesn't have any bad feelings about anybody and that his religious beliefs and modern society may come and they may they may line up a

[18:46]

come and they may they may line up a little bit better in the future so but it's just weird that the the outcome of a successful impeachment would be President Mike Pence there's a very funny compilation video going around I just tweeted it before I came on periscope of showing the Democrats pretending to be sad about impeachment and there are all such bad actors you know the and so it's it's funny because it's a compilation clip so you can see them one after another saying the same thing this is a solemn day I take no joy we cannot be happy about an impeachment vote it's very solemn a sad day for the country and you look at it and you think to yourself there's such bad actors you know I realized that all politics is a show but like do you practice that in

[19:48]

show but like do you practice that in front of a mirror I do do the Democrats actually stand in their bathroom before they go on camera and think crap how am I going to sell this is a bad thing it's very sad it's a very solemn Davis mm-hmm [Music] so and then of course because they're all using the same words both the media and the politicians it's obvious that they're all working together so that's pretty funny anyway let's see what we got here oh the of course the whistleblowers attorney I swear Twitter has caused more problems for people than just about anything in the history of civilization people who have made tweets that they wish they hadn't made so Mark Zaid the attorney

[20:53]

hadn't made so Mark Zaid the attorney from the whistleblower said back in what was it 20 17 or something he said hashtag COO has started first of many steps hashtag rebellion hashtag impeachment will follow ultimately this was 2017 so the lawyer is admitting that the impeachment the impeachment started before the evidence before the Ukraine phone call that you know it was an impeachment in in search of a reason and then they they grabbed on this little phone call thing and they're gonna ride that see yeah let's see how well that goes so there's a story today about China cracking down on fentanyl now you know that this is very personal to me in fact so personal I said that if the United States signed a trade deal with China prior to China cracking down on their fentanyl I would I would withdraw my support from the president grudgingly

[21:57]

my support from the president grudgingly and reluctantly but that would just be personal yeah sometimes those things were personal and honestly I wasn't expecting anything I was not expecting that China would do anything but apparently working with the US authorities they seemed to have followed up on the leads and seemed to have jailed at least one guy one guy I think got sentenced to death but it looks like it'll be turned into a life sentence probably and some others got some lesser lesser jail sentences but here's the thing is China just sort of going through the steps so they can get the trade deal it's obviously tied to the trade deal is this real what I can't tell is you know where there may be because it's because there's this one guy in China who's known to be the top fentanyl king and I

[22:59]

known to be the top fentanyl king and I don't believe he was part of this so if you remove the lesser dealer who's selling fentanyl but you leave in place the top fentanyl dealer in China does not the top dealers business improve because the competitor is gone so could it be that China knows this will have no impact whatsoever on the amount of fence and all that comes from China and gets into Mexico and then shipped to the United States and they're just doing it for a show so I can't remember his name I've tweeted it in the past and the United States Department of Justice has named him very specifically we know who he is we have a picture China knows where he lives and I don't know that this makes any difference it looks like it could be all they did is do a favor to the top fence and all dealer in China does now he doesn't have competition if

[24:00]

does now he doesn't have competition if that guy goes down and is executed especially I'm gonna say huh this looks real now but if the top fentanyl dealer is still in business simply because the United States has not made it you know put together the case against him I suppose that's possible if that guy stays free I don't know if he could take you seriously so I'm cautiously optimistic that China knows they need to cut this out and maybe they've started to do something but I would say the evidence we have so far is a little bit ambiguous I don't quite trust it there's what I'm saying I think that's about all I wanted to talk about because I've got to go do 25 interviews today does anybody have a question on my book have I mentioned it loser thing I'll be happy to answer a couple of quick

[25:03]

happy to answer a couple of quick questions oh let me see what time is this I think I have to run pretty soon yeah I think I need to get going so why are you up so early oh I'm in New York different time zone I'm in New York City doing interviews today for loser think somebody says there's a hard to manufacturer's fentanyl well I believe that you need professional
pharmaceutical making equipment and of course the odds of killing yourself just by sniffing it is pretty high so I think if it were easy we wouldn't be importing it for China I think if it were easy it would be like meth labs in the United States so I would have to say that meth is probably a lot easier because you know people are doing it in trailers all over the place but I'm not aware of any major fentanyl lab in the United States because I think we control access to the equipment a little bit better will I be

[26:03]

equipment a little bit better will I be doing any book signings I might do some more digital ones but not in person and do I cab or uber usually over you can submit ideas every now and then I will do a tweet ask move for suggestions and you should submit them in a comment
no no public events in New York City all right that's all for now I gotta run I'll talk to you all later