Episode 712 Scott Adams: Perfect Phone Calls, China Genocide, 2020 Landslide, Dem Match-ups

Date: 2019-11-02 | Duration: 1:06:56

Topics

My new book LOSERTHINK goes on sale 11/5. Pre-order: https://bit.ly/2NRammu Is China killing people…ON DEMAND…to harvest organs? Has Mexico lost its sovereignty if arrests require cartel approval? Why Ukrainian corruption is important for the US to pursue Anderson Cooper mocking Steve Bannon during interview “Fireside chat” reading of the Ukrainian call transcript Pelosi’s Shampeachment vote confirmed it is NOT legitimate NO GOP voted for it, TWO Democrats voted against President Trump mocks concept he needs Ukraine to beat Biden Wiped Clinton dynasty, Bush dynasty, worried by Biden? “Slow Joe” is a VERY effective devastating label Comparison to the label “sleepy Joe” Kamala substantially cuts her staff…but continues campaign Why was my prediction about her SO WRONG? Elizabeth Warren’s shaky, old, “bleeting” non-leaderly voice Is Joe Biden the obvious deep state choice for President… …because the deep state can control him? Would Tulsi be STRONGEST candidate against President Trump?

If you would like my channel to have a wider audience and higher production quality, please donate via my startup (Whenhub.com) at this link: https://interface.my/ScottAdamsSays

> [!note] Rough Transcript
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## Transcript

[0:05]

bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum
bum oh what a terrific morning it is a great one today you're all gonna just love the next few moments we spend together like you always do good to see you all Michelle Jordie Jim pleasure but before we get going before we get to all the good stuff let us enjoy a little thing called the simultaneous it doesn't take much to participate no doesn't all you need is a cup or a mug door glass and snifter stein challenge tankard thermos flask canteen Grail goblet vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure that dopamine the end of the day the thing that makes everything better the simultaneous sip go ah it might be

[1:08]

the simultaneous sip go ah it might be my imagination but I feel my mitochondria getting stronger I think it was the simp he might be feeling that too all right let's talk about a few things so lately and I think yesterday even I'd been saying that I was skeptical about all these stories of China killing people to make transplants available for other people the people that they would be allegedly killing were prisoners of some sort political or otherwise and I said to myself really they're keeping people alive and then just taking their parts and giving them to other people and my my take on that was mmm that doesn't sound totally right and then as is often the case and by the way I talked about this in my book lose you think what one of the tips in this book

[2:11]

think what one of the tips in this book is if you don't know how to do something right try doing it wrong in public and watch how much free advice you get I do this all the time you see that probably probably a dozen times if you watch this periscope well one of the things that I did wrong in public apparently was my opinion that the Chinese organ transplant story is probably more BS than true and that attracted that attracted a lot of a lot of advice and information so here's my current thinking of it so what I'd heard was and this was the part I was skeptical about that the reason people believed this was happening all these killing people just from their organs is that the schedule before getting an organ over there was so short and I thought to myself that's it that's all you know all you know is that it's easy to get an organ it could be other

[3:13]

easy to get an organ it could be other reasons one reason could be it's not really that easy you just heard it was or it was easy for some people who paid a lot of money to go to the top of the list maybe you heard it's easy but it's not really easy so that was my assumption is that probably just the information is wrong because it seemed to me that you would have some kind of you know direct direct observation somebody would say oh yeah we do it at this hospital or something like that but I heard some stories yesterday I'm going to just put them all together for you and then you can decide whether China has a ongoing massive operation to kill people on demand for organs all right here's what you need to know a few years ago I end of mine needed a heart transplant so I learned a little bit about the system if you're on the list to get a heart transplant you don't necessarily get the heart just because you're at the top of the list and one

[4:14]

you're at the top of the list and one becomes available because there are other variables one of the variables is how far away you are and how quickly you could get to the hospital for the operation so my friend who was not at the top of and not really even very close to the top of the list probably would have been dead in a year or so got lucky and I hate to say that because his luck depended on somebody else dying in just the right place at just the right time so he gets a phone call and they say we got a heart come in then and we'll put you on the table right away and he goes and he was so he could drive at that point you know he was hard it was failing but he was still reasonably functional he had his car and he said alright I'll Drive right in and they said no we're gonna send an ambulance time at time is so critical that we don't want you driving your own car here and won't be fast enough we're gonna have an ambulance meet you at the restaurant where you're eating and it will take you directly to the hospital put you right on the table all right

[5:16]

put you right on the table all right now that's not at all unusual that the timing is so critical that you can actually move to the top of the list just by being in the right place and having the right characteristics that make you ready for the operation here's another fact I learned do you know what you can sell an organ for and fairly in China it could be over a hundred thousand dollars for an organ the major organ how many parts can you get from one dead guy you can get a lot of parts right one dead guy could sell one organ for a hundred thousand dollars how much is the entire Dead Guy worth what a million dollars something like that but let's cut it in half let's say a dead guy if you were selling that dead person's organs maybe half a million dollars what

[6:17]

organs maybe half a million dollars what is half a million dollars worth in China well half a million dollars worth a lot anywhere would people do things illegal for half a million dollars and remember that's just one body if this is happening the way it's alleged it's a whole operation one of the stories I heard is that somebody who was a an Oregon tourist went there to get a kidney but had some kind of compatibility issue and so had to get another operation and another and another and actually had eight kidney transplants each one with a new kidney until the eighth one was compatible and worked if it's true that China is killing people undeb and four organs that one guy caused eight people to be murdered for their organs maybe they would have been killed anyway never know but that's the sort of thing that's

[7:19]

but that's the sort of thing that's being alleged again I'm just gonna say alleged until I watch it with my own eyes but I'll give you the data so as I often say I think I said it in Wynn Bigley when you have a situation where somebody can make a lot of money and they have a low chance of getting caught you always have bad behavior there probably will never be an exception to this rule huge upside potential gain financial let's say at a very low chance of getting in trouble how often does that cost bad behavior 100% of the time so we have the set up for it to cause trouble Andriy percent of the time unless the government was actively cracking down on it and all of the evidence suggests there's nothing like that happening so you got that so the money is there the incentive is there and there apparently is a large supply of prisoners because there's some

[8:20]

of prisoners because there's some suggestion that the military maybe the military prisons where at least some connection to the military have something to do with it the rumors are also that the phlume got religious organization if you can call it that they're sort of I don't know what to call them exactly cult religion movement but the he so the thought is that they're using the people that they were oppressing for political reasons their issues four parts and cutting them up and selling them so that's the allegation now my first thought was well are we sure that just because people can get things whenever they want them that that's what that really means because I still think there are two possibilities here all right there's still two possibilities one is that they're killing people on demand so hey we

[9:23]

killing people on demand so hey we weren't gonna kill you anyway we weren't gonna kill you before but now we're gonna kill you because we need your parts so that's one possibility and strongly suggested by all the evidence but there is one other possibility okay let's see if you can guess what is the other possibility that would explain the same set of facts but is not China killing people just four parts prisoners let's say there's one other explanation can you think good and they can't be already dead they have to be basically brain brain dead and body alive or or you kill them just for the parts otherwise you can't take a dead person and take their and take their parts and sell them the parts are no good if they're already dead that is correct somebody is guest somebody guest accurately the other possibility is that they murder so many people not murdered

[10:25]

they murder so many people not murdered but let's say death sentence the other possibility is that they kill so many people routinely that they have an enormous pool of parts because they were going to kill them anyway so you know if they were gonna kill them anyway and let's say in China maybe they don't have any rights if they're a prisoner I don't know what the deal is maybe they can just say well it's wasted parts we were gonna kill them anyway so in that case the real the real issue is the genocide so there are only two possibilities that I can think of there may be other possibilities maybe somebody will come up with one but the two I can think of is that they're killing people for parts or there's such a massive gen that's going on as a routine amount of business that they're just saying well we have all these parts underground you might as well sell them and then again the people who are saying they can get they can get organs on demand are probably rich people so it might not be

[11:26]

probably rich people so it might not be that anybody can get a part on demand it could be only rich people because they're paying a lot of money which would mean if you had tons of people you're executing anyway and you don't have that many rich people all the rich people could get apart on demand without anything happening that would suggest they're doing it just for the organs so there's still some question about what's going on but I think there are only two possibilities either China is acting like Hitler or acting worse than Hitler if it's a genocide then they're acting like Hiller if it's a genocide in which they're killing them and using their parts and selling them it's worse than Hitler do you feel me if all he's doing is genocide that's the Holocaust that's that's equal to Hitler but if they're also selling the parts and part of it is financial might be a little worse so

[12:27]

financial might be a little worse so those are the two possibilities why did we do business with China why do we do business with China seriously well by the way I said yesterday that somebody reported that Dilbert calm was blocked in China and then I got a second report from somebody also in China who said it is not a third person said it's possible that both are true it may be blocked in some places and not in others so we still don't know if Dilbert calm it was blocked but if I'm not I'm gonna work on getting blocked because if you want to ignore a Holocaust I guess that's on you and I'm not gonna ignore it it's given the China killed my son I think I might mention that they're involved in a Nazi like Holocaust and we're just doing business with them like it's that's actually happening in your lifetime you're part of a system that is doing business with China while they do

[13:28]

doing business with China while they do genocide on their own population or they're selling their population for parts one of those two things and we're just doing business with them while they're killing 50,000 Americans a year where they're fentanyl intentionally right in front of us no doubt about it when I say China killed my son there's somebody asking about this my stepson died of a fentanyl overdose a year ago and that fentanyl comes from China here's a little update do you remember the story about the big shootout between the cartel and the Mexican police and the cartel won the Mexican police had picked up the son of the of El Chapo I guess El Chapo son was the new head of the cartel police pick him up and the cartel had so much firepower that they brought in immediately trucks you know technicals and trucks with machine guns and stuff that they actually outgunned the police and the police released him

[14:30]

the police and the police released him and then yesterday I found out that the reason that El Chapo son was picked up is wait for it he was starting he was in charge of the fentanyl so the main I think the main he might have been one in the main or they mean fentanyl connection the Chinese fentanyl goes to Mexican cartels first and then they ship it into the United States but this guy seemed to be one of if not the main fentanyl guy in China so he was picked up because the American that because the United States asked for extradition so he was whatever the legal process is so the Mexicans were picking him up before the United States but they got outgunned now let me ask you this given that we just saw amounts of fentanyl in the United States that could wipe out every person in a state if not the whole country clearly these are weapons of

[15:31]

country clearly these are weapons of mass destruction the Mexican government is outgunned and clearly is killing 50,000 people a year in our country and we know the name of the guy and probably we can locate some assets owned by the cartel why are we not going in there militarily now I assume we're trying other mechanisms but I would say we are completely clear to send send drones in there and take out as much of the cartels as we walked I and in fact I would love that conversation I would love the Mexican government to say to us damn it to the United States why are you defying our sovereignty well I'll tell you it's because you lost your sovereignty you don't have any sovereignty if the if the cartel can decide who goes to jail and who doesn't there's no Mexican government why why should we please the Mexican government

[16:31]

should we please the Mexican government where it doesn't exist and in the cartel held territories there's no Mexican government so if anybody wants to complain about us droning the cartels it would have to be the car there it is so so I'm in favor of military action against the cartels but I'm sure there's lots more to know then I don't know let's talk about I tweeted around a humorous video that appears to be Joe Biden looking in the wrong direction while he's on stage speaking as if he doesn't know which direction he's supposed to be facing I deleted it because I was informed that it's misleading because apparently there was an audience on both sides of the stage but only but the camera was only on one side so when Joe was had his back to the camera the the implication was he was confused and they didn't know which way it was up but actually he was just making sure he

[17:32]

but actually he was just making sure he gave some attention to the people who were off camera below him so that was a little misleading but how easily we believed that Joe Biden didn't know which direction the audience was in let me tell you the oh darn it I think I lost something here I needed oh here's here's the worst comment on you the Ukraine situation that I've seen this was on the internet and I like to point this out because when you see really bad opinions there's they're somehow entertaining so I give you this bad opinion for entertainment wholly so somebody said and it's bad because it uses sort of a a mocking sarcastic tone while being a really dumb comment which is the perfect combination you know cuz he's acting a little arrogant and really wrong at the same time which

[18:33]

and really wrong at the same time which is hilarious here it is and I'll read it like an arrogant guy I'm just kind of curious and just kind of curious uh-huh why don't you explain to me Scott I'm just kind of curious when Ukrainian corruption and potential interference became a top priority for the nation it's certainly not one they that ever gets talked about or that ever got talked about by this administration until now right why is it a top priority suddenly Scott can you explain that why didn't nobody cared about Ukraine before but suddenly Scott Scott you're telling me now it's a top priority what changed why do we care about Ukrainian corruption now huh because Biden is leading in the polls and Biden has a connection to Ukraine is that not kind of obvious that if Biden were not leading in the polls and he did not have

[19:34]

leading in the polls and he did not have an obvious publicly known connection to financial goings-on in Ukraine and there were and there were not some information about CrowdStrike having Ukrainian thing I don't know that's the worst comment about the Ukrainian thing that I've seen is that years if you saw this Steve Bannon had an interview with Anderson Cooper on CNN and it's really interesting because Bandhan does a better job than most people in making his case what happens when somebody does a good job of making their case for Trump on CNN did you see what happened they Anderson just talked over him because Bennett was doing this do such a good job making his case the Anderson wouldn't even let him talk now I'm gonna say now what why Anderson

[20:37]

now I'm gonna say now what why Anderson doing was doing was mocking him for acting as though the real reason for the Ukrainian situation was we were concerned about corruption versus the more obvious interpretation which Anderson apparently would would back which is it was done for the election that it was done just again Abidin I believe Steve Bannon came really close to nailing this answer but missed it because I think Anderson's mocking hit the target because if you're claiming that the only reason he did it was because of corruption in Ukraine you're not really being credible because let's face it it is a hundred percent obvious to everyone then at least one of the big reasons he was doing it is because he's running for election against Biden if you don't acknowledge that one of the purposes of this in the President's head

[21:37]

purposes of this in the President's head can't read his mind but we can say that we know what his interests are when running for election it's obvious that one of the interests is that you'd like to win an election but here's where Bannon got it wrong and here's where so far every single pundit who's trying to defend the president seems to get it wrong it's also the president's job it's perfectly allowed that he does something most to get elected if by coincidence it's also one of the nation's biggest priorities protecting the election making sure there's no undue interference there was public information about it you can't ignore public information about a potential conflict of maybe the next president of the United States so while you can speculate all you want about what the president was really thinking it doesn't matter it's just that relevant it absolutely doesn't

[22:38]

that relevant it absolutely doesn't matter if his secret thoughts were all about himself doesn't matter as long as it's also his job that's our system our system is designed so the people who people can do things that are completely good for getting reelected so long as they're also the things that the president is supposed to do and following the priorities of the job which he was so nobody has gotten this right yet and I don't know what's going on I'm actually kind of confused about it is there something about what I just said that has some obvious counter to it does anybody have you've seen me say this a number of times now I've never seen anybody push back in any way that was even slightly sensible does anybody have a push back on that give me an argument against that that it was it was of course good for his reelection and all even except that that was his primary motivation doesn't matter it was also his job and a top priority of his

[23:40]

also his job and a top priority of his job and he was acting on public information with an ally using a process that's well established for this
somebody says I hear this daily I haven't never heard anybody say it as a defender on TV or in the media Tucker said it I missed him saying that I did see him do a great piece Tucker did a great piece on AOC which I tweeted around yesterday you should see that I was impressed by the writing I assume he wrote it and it was really well written and
and performed all right so the president has floated this idea he says quote at some point I'm going to sit down perhaps as a fireside chat on live television and I'll read the transcript of the call because people have to hear it he said when you read it it's a straight call

[24:42]

when you read it it's a straight call sprayed meaning there's nothing suspicious going on now all that what do all the experts say it doesn't matter if you're a pro Trump or anti Trump all the experts say don't do that that's a terrible idea that's the worst idea ever what do I say I like it kind of like it here's what's good about it you ready you and I believe because we're normal it's the normal way people think is that other people think at least a little bit like you do in other words you think that because you understand this Ukrainian phone call situation because you're at least interested enough that you're on this periscope you probably follow the news you're probably into politics you're in this very thin band of people who are paying attention to something as technical as the Ukraine thing and

[25:43]

technical as the Ukraine thing and impeachment very few people are paying attention at a detail level it's things they've just heard of if the president goes on TV and reads his live letter as a defense obviously the whole context of it would be here let me show you as clearly as I can that there was no problem here and then let's say he reads the letter Judge Napolitano says that the letter and the context are completely impeachable it's obvious when you see the letter or the when you see the transcript not letter transcript transcript e thing I know it's not technically a transcript but some would say no that that transcript is totally damning because in the context of it you're saying oh you know you should be good to us be good to you whatever the wording is and that it's obvious that if he reads that he will be convicting himself because the letter is so damning and

[26:44]

because the letter is so damning and other people say well the letter is pretty innocent why not why not read it on TV I think I think maybe nobody says that actually except Trump here's my take the same thing that causes nobody to that causes let's say 99 percent of the public do not understand the details of this impeachment Ukraine thing won't change if he reasons on TV they still won't understand the details they won't understand why it matters they won't be able to connect the dots but here's what they will do they'll say to themselves if the president is reading it on television it can't be bad so here's what I swear I will go to my grave claiming that this president is a genius and I know that I will I will never be believed so you know maybe on some level if you gave them a physics test or

[27:45]

if you gave them a physics test or something he wouldn't be you know he wouldn't score in the top 30% or whatever I don't know maybe he would but when it comes to this stuff man does he understand the human mind he understands how people think like nobody ever did and I guarantee that if he did a fireside chat here the things that would come out of it number one everybody would watch and he would bring in people who didn't care anything about watching the news but they might watch the fireside chat because it's not exactly the news and so he would reach all the people who were not paying attention and he would reach them before the news gets to him because remember they're not following the news that so if the first thing you saw was the president getting on TV and saying people are real concerned about this this phone call so much so that they want to impeach me I'll tell you what I'm going to sit next to my fireplace

[28:47]

to my fireplace and I'm just going to read you the transcript and you decide now when he reads that are people smart enough to make a decision based on the transcript and their detailed knowledge of the Constitution and impeachment laws now now but they're not going to see a crime if you're if you're a regular person and you're here and read the transcript are you gonna hear any criminal activities they're nothing you're not gonna hear anything that even sounds a little bit wrong if you're just a person you know you're not into politics that much you're just a citizen so because he knows that people understand the scene the show how they feel the fireside chat is brilliant because he could pull that off like nobody's ever pulled it off all right here here's an idiot who's coming in to say that I'm an apologist these

[29:49]

in to say that I'm an apologist these are the dumbest people and blocked because if you spend even just a little bit of time watching my content you'll know that even in this conversation I said that the president and all of his people are totally blowing the Ukraine phone call persuasion the whole context here is that so far they've failed on one of the most important things they're doing I'm talking about the president's failure to persuade well so far on this Ukrainians stuff so that's the context does that sound like apology an apologist and now telling them explaining how he could do a better is just a description of talent really so I like that idea newt gingrich says that pelosi made a huge strategic error by having the vote

[30:52]

huge strategic error by having the vote on the impeachment rules not impeachment itself but just a vote on the rules because the vote went along party lines but even worse two Democrats defected over to the Republicans and it's generally considered good form that you don't move forward with impeachment unless you've got some buy-in from the other side that's really basic to the system it's the thing the framers of the Constitution worried about that it would just become a political process so they tried to make it hard for it to be a political process you have to have such bad behavior that even the other team would say oh that's not bad we can't even support our own president anymore and we're not there so by having the vote they have proven to the public that it's not legitimate because if it were even a little bit illegitimate have we not seen that the Republicans are willing to break ranks with the president have we not seen in lots of

[31:55]

president have we not seen in lots of different cases that not all Republicans but there are plenty of Republicans who are willing to publicly disagree with this president a lot of different stuff and if you can't get one Republican to say this is legitimate and indeed two Democrats have agreed it's not you've already lost so Pelosi has already lost the politics of it and she lost harmed and I think Newt is one of the smartest observers of any of this stuff and I think he nailed it I think she took whatever credibility she was trying to put together for this and just squandered it all on that vote in in the hope that the public would think something's happening and something did happen it was the end of Pelosi credibility that's what that's what happened all right the president and he is rally

[32:56]

all right the president and he is rally I guess was last night he is using mockery to reframe this Ukraine thing and I thought it was pretty clever all right so he was talking about how easily he's he's beaten other competitors and the president said this quote Clinton she was easy meaning beating her it was easy Obama was easy I have no idea what he meant by that the bush dynasty was easy but sleepy Joe I'm worried about yes so then I say to myself gee I guess there's only way one way let's call up Ukraine for help so he's actually mocking the the media and his critics for imagining that after after he's beaten he's been the bush dynasty the Clinton dynasty he's wiped out Obama's legacy he defeated Isis and he's he's he's somehow whipped up the entire Republican Party to have his highest approval of a

[33:56]

to have his highest approval of a Republican going from the lowest approval he's done all of that and oh and oh by the way Moody's just came out with a new prediction that he's going to win in a landslide so Moody's has a prediction that based on economic criteria and forget about policies because they know predict but based on economic criteria the president's heading for a landslide no matter who he runs against no matter who he runs against Moody's the best one of the best predictors of political stuff says it's going to be a landslide it's only a metally a question of how big and the president is is basically mocking the people saying yeah I I was so afraid of Joe Biden that I had to get the Ukrainian involved it was the only way I could win now I do think that one of his motives was of course the election but I also think it's pretty clever to point out that Joe is so

[34:59]

clever to point out that Joe is so inconsequential he would not be worth it cheating for it's not maybe technically as accurate as it could be but persuasion wise it's very good so to say
one more point here I don't know it was but oh I was about slow Joe so somebody sent me a video clip in which the president is introducing a new adjective for sleepy Joe calling him a slow Joe and he he said that Joe is just getting slower and slower and I think to myself I think that's more effective now I'm Twitter people are giving me credit for saying it should be slow Joe I think I probably did say that at one point but I'm not taking credit for the president

[36:02]

I'm not taking credit for the president using those words I don't think there's any connection between me saying and him saying it in this case I think it's just it rhymes with Joe and he doesn't look slow and sooner or later that word was gonna come out well here's the thing a slow is really devastating there are too many sleepy is pretty devastating but slow it's kind of a kill shot the other ones are would maybe wound him sleepy yeah that's a that's a good attempt but I think the word slow yeah I think that removes all doubt because anybody who's watching him is worrying to themselves here's the genius of it they worry to themselves is he getting slower even his supporters are thinking to themselves he I think he's slowing down so the fact that slow

[37:03]

he's slowing down so the fact that slow fits so well with what people are already worrying about or thinking about that makes it devastating but slow is also one of the worst insults you could say short of actually saying somebody has a diagnosable mental disability he's slow it's it's provocative because when you hear that what's the first one of the first things you think is wait a minute is this an ordinary in Seoul where you say oh my competitor is dumb we're just used to that doesn't be much my competitors dumb or is he actually saying that there's a organic mental physical you know part of his brain is not working up to scale at the moment and he's slow cuz that's pretty deep insult for somebody so it's provocative it's ambiguous people can fill in and fill it in with what they they think it means in their own mind

[38:04]

they think it means in their own mind that's always good technique and if it's what they're already thinking it's devastating slow Joe let me let me put it this way when he was called sleepy Joe
Joe there was a nod there was a small chance the Biden could have won if he becomes slow Joe no chance that would that would be the end of the game in fact that nickname slow Joe would take Biden ahead of the leadership on all the polls I think I think he would drop like a rock if slow Joe became his his name now sleepy it turns out this sleepy wasn't such a good fit because when you watch Biden does he ever see him sleepy no because he's in the candidate protection program where he doesn't do peny events he actually for his age or even not for his age but he seems like he has plenty of energy and he doesn't seem sleepy at

[39:05]

of energy and he doesn't seem sleepy at all
all so if you watch him and you think sleepy Joe it doesn't fit because he's that got a lot of energy on stage he just doesn't spend a lot of time on stage so he could focus on his energy but when you say slow Joe you see that every time but you can't you can't wipe that off that's just always there much better all right did let's see what else we got here boom bear with me let's talk about the Democrats so given given update so we all heard that better dropped out no nobody was surprised the better would dropped out of the race then the question is who would get his all of his supporters where would they go I think Dana Perino said this what supporters you went to dropped out if he had supporters but he might have a few

[40:06]

had supporters but he might have a few so where do you think they would go like who is the closest Tibet oh I don't know I my best guess is they just get distributed somehow and probably we're never going to notice so I agree with Dana on that but there's also news on Carla Harris Carla Harris is substantially cut her staff but unlike Beto she's decided to stay in her at least our numbers are in the I don't know four or five percent whatever she is but let me say this is there any is there any historical example help me in the fact-checking while you fact checkers jump to it here this is the fact you must check for me right now has anybody who is running for president ever substantially scaled back the size of their campaign for financial reasons and then gone on to win yeah and I would

[41:08]

and then gone on to win yeah and I would say win either the primary or win in the the general well no let's just say primary so forget about the general election nobody ever scales back their campaign in the general but in the primary is there any case of anybody ever scaling back a campaign and then going on to win so I see a couple of maybes here and a bunch of knows well okay so it's a lot of somebody says McCain did McCain ever scale back his operation and then go on to win the Oh a lot of people are saying McCain okay so that would be a good fact check I would love for the news to provide that context for us my my take on Kamala now let me remind you that I had a prediction over a year ago that she would be the nominee and then go out to loose in the general election here's what I did not take into account and in

[42:11]

what I did not take into account and in my defense in my defense would you agree it was hard to see this coming I would never have guessed that she would be the worst campaigner in the history of politicians that wasn't predictable and I was trying to think how did I get so fooled because the brief the very brief I don't exposure to her didn't look incompetent at all and I was thinking about that and the places that I've seen her the most before she was deeply into the campaign was I would see her doing her senator job or she'd be sitting at a desk and she and number one she looks better sitting for some reason she's not a good standing president I mean her her posture isn't good or something there's something about that when she stands she's diminished but when she's sitting she is more powerful and she's also asking questions she's

[43:12]

and she's also asking questions she's prepared in advance and her domain that she has to navigate is very narrow as more in her strike zone you know she's more lawyerly and she can just get tough she only needs one mode tough lawyerly sit here look tough and look it looks like a senator in that mode which is very narrow she nails it and so I would see her in that mode and I say we'll look her in that mode she looks pretty capable what I did wrong because I didn't know anything about her even though she's a senator for my state didn't know anything about her I thought to myself well how likely is that that she could be so good in these settings but then she would be terrible in another setting it didn't even occur to me honestly never once did I imagine that those brief sniffing snippets of her where she looked very capable were misleading but why were they

[44:13]

were misleading but why were they misleading because as soon as you take her out of her senator lawyer mode cross-examining where she's really good and she tries to show personality and connect with people and do all the things that a charismatic politician would do she has less of that than anybody I've ever seen literally she's the worst I've ever seen now let me take my lumps this is the worst this is the worst prediction I've ever made I don't think I've ever made a worse prediction for this now you might come up with some examples of where I've made worst predictions but I will think so I don't think so this might be my worst one now it also caused me to sort of replay my prediction record to see if I can figure out why I'm sometimes right and sometimes wrong and I'm trying to

[45:14]

and sometimes wrong and I'm trying to look for a pattern you know is there a pattern to what the times I'm wrong versus the times I'm right here's what I think when the biggest variable is persuasion I'm pretty good so the biggest variable with Trump I think was persuasion and so I got that right with Kamala the biggest variable was unknown to me until now which is that she didn't have any skill I never would have guessed she could be a California senator and have no skill I mean who would've thought let's be honest did anybody see that coming if you didn't already know her it was hard to see coming so completely blindsided by that so here's the thing when when there are variables that are not strictly persuasion I'm not so good let me give you an example were none better in the case of the secret sonic weapon in the

[46:16]

case of the secret sonic weapon in the embassies that was a case that to me if you have a knowledge of masses areas and stuff looked every bit like a psychological event so I got that one right I think maybe we'll never know exactly what happened in those embassies but it does look more and more clear as time goes by that it was not a secret sonic weapon all right and that was my first impression based on what I know about psychology humans persuasion massive masses stereocenter when when there was the Vegas shooter I said before anybody that he wasn't Isis even when Isis claimed credit for him I still said yes I know hisis doesn't typically claim credit for somebody who's not theirs but this time they are and I was right no Isis connection no I did that again based on basically FBI profile that the

[47:18]

based on basically FBI profile that the way he was doing it was so on Isis that he was unlikely to be Isis so I was writing about that where I've been wrong when it was when I was trying to predict who Trump would pick for a vice president for example because there's a there's a persuasion element to that but it also has a lot to do with vetting the people and do they want the job things I wouldn't know about and then a lot of details about what state they might bring along and all that things so that guessing or vice president is really hard very hard all right let's talk about some other candidates I watched Warren's speech in this latest whatever event all the Democrats were at excuse me and do you see this when she talks she seems shaky and old and

[48:21]

talks she seems shaky and old and bleating bleating like a sheep
she doesn't have leader voice she has voice like this we've got to get some health care you don't know we've be bold engage as a healthcare there's something in her voice that betrays her age and doesn't sound leaderly and voices are really important for leadership you know you have to have a good voice you don't have to have a a male voice but you need a confident voice and she sounds she sounds like an elderly woman who's complaining about her prescription I mean she sounds like she's at the CVS counter and she can't understand why she ordered one thing but they're giving her another thing and that's not what her doctor said and and she's getting worked up about it so between that and the fact that her

[49:22]

between that and the fact that her policies are kind of wack I don't see her being the candidate well let me let me back up to another point I want to say there is rather than saying she won't be the candidate let me say the conditions upon which one could become the kids a have you ever wondered why Joe Biden is leading in the polls when he's so obviously the worst candidate in the field if you ever wondered that now the answer that you hear in the news as well it's name recognition the the public isn't paying attention they've heard his name they haven't heard other people's name maybe maybe but don't you think you would meet somebody who's supported by didn't by now let me ask you in the comments have you ever met one person in real life not on television but in real life one person

[50:23]

television but in real life one person who supports Biden to be President and and as you're thinking about it consider your view of the world somebody said yes surprisingly okay I I think most of you are having the same experience I did when I first realized this which was leading in all the polls and I've never met I don't even think I've seen anybody yeah I'll make it even funnier you want it to be funnier I've never seen anybody on Twitter support Biden have you have you seen anybody who is not part of the actual campaign or you know part of the pundit class but just people just people who are commenting on Twitter have you ever seen one person support Biden on Twitter anybody well think about it what

[51:25]

Twitter anybody well think about it what are the odds that he would be the leading candidate and you've never seen one person who supports them does that sound unusual to you let me throw out a conspiracy theory what are your a conspiracy theory let me say in advance I'm not saying this is true I'll just say it's compatible with the facts you can you can put the conspiracy theory on it yourself let's say there's a deep state hypothetically let's say there's a deep state you can fill in the names of who the head of the deep state is you probably all would use the same name let's say there's a deep state and there's it's a little bit organized what would be their ideal situation for a president would it be P Buddha judge would he be the ideal choice of the deep state I'm gonna say

[52:27]

choice of the deep state I'm gonna say no here's why P Bert a judge has his own opinions and I don't think he could be manipulated by the deep state so easily what are you gonna do say hey Pete Buddha judge if you don't play along with us we'll help you for being gay good luck good luck here's the conspiracy theory and again I'm not saying this is true it is however compatible with the evidence and the evidence would be that Biden is the obvious choice of the deep state because they can control him do you remember the there was a thought that there Bush jr. wasn't a real president and you know that Dick Cheney was really the president doesn't this remind you a little of that situation where the

[53:30]

little of that situation where the people who were pushing for Joe Biden must be the money people right there must be people with money must be people behind this stage it almost feels like somebody wants him to be president because he's not competent and they can control him maybe they have some compromise on him now this of course conspiracy would require that they could also control the polls do you think that's possible do you think the deep state could control like all the polls because there are they all they all say the same thing well that that would be leap I don't see how the deep state could control all the polls but I certainly can't understand why I don't meet any Biden supporters they do seem kind of invisible all right so I think Biden can't win I think Harris can't win I think Bernie keeps defying all the odds by staying alive and continuing to have you know the most vitality in his

[54:31]

have you know the most vitality in his and his campaign if Bernie gets elected or it gets nominated I feel as though the real thing behind that would be that they've given up so if either Bernie or Harris or Biden if any of the top three actually get the nomination I would take that as a sign that the Democrats have decided to take a by ear you know a Buy in sports means you don't really play a real game you just say okay you won this let's let's move on to the other part of the tournament and I feel like they might be getting ready to just let Trump win because first of all the odds of a of a recession in the following four years are much better than a recession before before an election day so if they can get if they can get a Republican president to be in office when some bad stuff happens maybe that helps them for next time but let's say that Democrats as a group or at least whoever funds

[55:34]

as a group or at least whoever funds them the most and has the most influence let's say they decided to try to win who could they try to win with because the top three in the polls don't really have any any chance of winning in the general let's take Budaj edge who I think is number four now at least in some of the polls could Budaj edge should he get nominated give the president a good fight what do you think do you think people judge could give President Trump a good fight in a general election I
kinda do I kinda do I think that first of all he's getting better and better and he is he's super smart and he's refining this message he would have of course the gay vote imagine if he will that the that the vote is really close except that except the Budaj siphons off gay Republicans

[56:36]

the Budaj siphons off gay Republicans gets I guess mostly the gay Republican votes that's a little bit of an edge now I don't know if he would get the african-american vote so I don't I don't see any of these candidates beating Trump but I'm feeling as though Buddha judge would get really close he could put up a fight yang I believe has not shown us enough beyond his his personality and his common sense and his you know his signature you universal basic income thing I think yang doesn't have the he's not rounded enough I don't see him making a dent let's talk about and we talked about Harris I I would say it would be a miracle for her to get nominated at this point just for fun I'm gonna keep my original prediction in place so you can see how wrong it is when she doesn't get there but if the top three were to get

[57:38]

there but if the top three were to get out of the race suddenly people would start looking at her now let's talk about Tulsi Gabbard could Tulsi put up a good fight probably probably here's here's the problem and I'm gonna confess something to you that I feel actually bad about confessing all right so here's my confession you know how I've avoided talking about Tulsi Gabbard and so many of you have been just bugging the heck out of me why don't you mention her why don't you mention her and I've been saying it's because she's low in the polls and not relevant and I don't want to spend a lot of time about something that's not terribly relevant but her poll numbers are going up and now now we have to say okay let's put her in the conversation and honestly one of the reasons that I

[58:41]

and honestly one of the reasons that I didn't want to talk about her is that I don't want to accidentally make her president because she does have the goods and she she would by far put up the best fights as far as I can tell now maybe we learn more about her Bluff but at this point here's here's the argument for why she would be the strongest candidate first of all she's got a military background second of all she's charismatic she's she's pleasant you know people like her she's just likability thing like crazy which a lot of the candidates don't have they don't have likability but let me ask you this and when you hear it when you hear it you're gonna be mad and maybe frightened alright people this is this is a truth about human beings people like to solve the last problem they like to solve you know whatever's

[59:42]

they like to solve you know whatever's whatever's the thing is bugging him at the moment president Trump president Trump has solved so many problems that you end up moving down the priority list because he's kind of taken care of Isis and he's negotiating with China the economy is screaming that's our big stuff even the AIDS is is being eradicated in this country I mean big big big stuff there was news today that the opioid crisis is actually the the deaths of going down for the first time recently so the Trump administration is even making progress on opioids big big stuff if all the big stuff is taken care of so much so that whoever comes in after the president after Trump is going to be inheriting a good situation what do you start worrying about once all the big stuff is taken care of

[1:00:50]

personality division in the country how people feel about the country how they feel about each other how we feel as Americans our soul our our basic you know our basic goodness to each other those are the things that people are obsessing about because President Trump is by far the best president of all time and he solved so many problems hate to say it it's true he solved so many problems he kinda doesn't need a second term all right having said that so this is the the pendulum theory the pendulum theory is that we've spend so much time arguing about Trump's personality that we all want to break from it so it would it would suggest that even some Republicans maybe many want to break from the one thing that they're just so sick of which is talking about his provocations his tweets his personality

[1:01:52]

provocations his tweets his personality who was the candidate who is the least liked Trump's acerbic personality is a Bernie the least like Trump now Bernie is red and screamy and angry about Warren know she's yelling screaming and angry how about Biden he's slow we don't need to worry about him how about Buddha judge but a judge is serious and angry that's not really quite the antidote to Trump Harris is sort of hard-nosed prosecutor doesn't connect with people it's not really the solution to Trump's personality you see where I'm going right assuming yang is not not quite the public's choice tulsi

[1:02:54]

not not quite the public's choice tulsi gabbard becomes the one person in the race who personality-wise feels like the solution she feels like the antidote for however many years of Trump it's like can we just get along can we just well how about how about a little bit of Aloha are you exhausted yet how about we just be nice to each other for a while yeah how about we work it out and so that's the thing you don't see coming the thing you don't see coming is people try to solve the thing that's bugging them and what's bugging them is no longer Isis what's bugging them is no longer the economy what's bugging them is no longer a lot of stuff because Trump took care of it but what is left is the fighting that the people getting beat up on the streets the anti far they you know the make America great again the people were just you know tired of it all the antidote is the person who is the

[1:03:54]

the antidote is the person who is the most unlike that and that happens to be Tulsi now she can also peel off some Republicans which most of the Democrats could not do a Democrat in the race will get all of the Democrats I don't even think it matters who it is you know whoever the Democrats run for the most part they'll get almost all the Democrats so the only person you should have to worry about is somebody who could get a few from the other team and Tulsi is the only one who could do that now
now could she be trumping in the in the general I doubt it I don't think so but she would be the strongest candidate now here's the question think about this who who are the big-money people giving money to or who were most people giving money to the top three in the polls who have the least chance of beating Trump and the people lower in the polls Tulsi and Buddha judge probably have you could

[1:04:54]

and Buddha judge probably have you could put up the best fight I think all right so that's what I think that's all I got today I'm gonna be doing a little travel this week because my book loser think drops on Tuesday you can or pre-order it now which would help me a lot I had heard a lot of reports from people saying that Amazon was canceling their pre-orders because it was unavailable it's not unavailable we made a lot of them there's plenty of books and amazon has all they need so we don't know why amazon has apparently cancelled the number of pre-orders there's probably some story to it but there's plenty of supply and if you were to buy it this week it would help me the most because that's what gets it on best seller list so I would certainly hope that you do that everybody's going to be talking about it the next week I'll make sure

[1:05:55]

about it the next week I'll make sure that I should be on a few Fox News shows hope to be on the Greg Gutfeld show so look for me there and some other shows to be determined I'll be on Fox and Friends as well so look for me there and my periscopes this coming week might be unpredictable so my my timing for the coming periscopes might be off a little bit but I'll try to do at least one a day the pub somebody says I don't believe this Scott you said Tulsi is a non contender in the past when her polling was 1% I said she was not a contender at the moment because everybody else is so bad that situation has changed so when the when the situation changes sometimes I changed my mind what do you do alright that's all for now and I'll talk to you later