Episode 711 Scott Adams: The New Trump Campaign Ad, dilbert.com Blocked in China, Shampeachment

Date: 2019-11-01 | Duration: 49:35

Topics

My new book LOSERTHINK goes on sale 11/5. Pre-order: https://bit.ly/2NRammu dilbert.com reportedly blocked in China? Amazon orders for my new book, Loserthink OLDER orders cancelled for lack of inventory …and NEW orders are still being accepted? My publisher is investigating Elizabeth Warren’s plan to pay for her Medicare for all proposal Is it REALLY fiscally impossible? President Trump, new campaign commercial The gist…he sure gets things done! #Shampeachment call witness, Tim Morrison…nothing illegal Is China harvesting organs from Uighur prisoners for huge profits? Advertisements for “organs on demand” President Trump moving from high tax NY to low tax Florida Dr. Michael Baden’s autopsy conclusions on Epstein death

If you would like my channel to have a wider audience and higher production quality, please donate via my startup (Whenhub.com) at this link: https://interface.my/ScottAdamsSays

> [!note] Rough Transcript
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## Transcript

[0:08]

um hey where is everybody did you all over sleep because of Halloween that's no excuse I love that the kids get a day off after Halloween the schools just gave up they're like ah they're not gonna show up anyway hey everybody I know why you're here probably has something to do with the simultaneous sip I like to think it does and if you'd like to join along it's easy all you need is a cup or a mug or glass snifter Stein cellist ikura thermos last guillotine Grail goblet vessel of any kind fill with your favorite liquid I'm partial to coffee and join me now for the simultaneous if the dopamine hit of the day the thing that makes everything better go do you feel yourself connected to all people around the world who just simultaneously sipped I think you do mmm

[1:09]

simultaneously sipped I think you do mmm I think you do well let's talk about some of the things that are happening so I hate to be the suspicious one okay sometimes I like to be the suspicious one I I hate to start a conspiracy theory no that's not true either I'd love to start a conspiracy theory I'll just tell you what's happening and you can fill in your own conspiracy theory so I'm getting reports from a number of people that they ordered my book loser think from amazon and amazon has without an explanation cancelled their pre-order based on lack of supply now here's the interesting part some of the people who are getting cancelled for lack of supply ordered it a month ago the people who are ordering it today are saying it's

[2:10]

are ordering it today are saying it's just fine do you believe that people who ordered it
it a month ago are getting cancelled for lack of supply while the people who are ordering it you know this week are not does that sound right to you there's something happening here and I don't know exactly what it is but I asked my publisher to look into it I guarantee that the answer will be we don't know it's just one of those things for some reason must be a glitch in the system what are the odds that Amazon the most sophisticated you know shopping platform of all time what are the odds that it can't tell the difference between we have supply and we don't have supply or that they can't keep the order straight that the people who ordered first should be first in line should they have a supply there's not really much chance

[3:11]

supply there's not really much chance that it's just a mistake in the system there's something else happening I don't know what now let's put it in context I found out today now I still need confirmation of this because I've got a single source and that's always sketchy but it's a reliable sounding single source and being told that Dilbert hub just got blocked in China think about that Dilbert calm just got blocked in China obviously for things I've been saying including in the comic now take this to sort of the the next level of implication imagine if you will that we continue trading with China and because China is a gigantic country doesn't everybody become the NBA eventually and what I mean by that is eventually if we

[4:13]

what I mean by that is eventually if we kept trying trading with China we would all have some kind of entanglement with China either through our employer you know our employers vendors you can think of thousand ways that we would be connected with China and then imagine that China can just cancel you for speech yeah you see yet the the NBA situation is a situation that the entire country will be in the freedom of speech in the United States will become a decision that China makes in the future at least on topics that that relate to that so that's a pretty big deal that's a pretty big deal at the same time we know that there's one of my followers who once a week he goes to a certain tweet of mind that he's liked continuously for I don't know weeks now

[5:14]

continuously for I don't know weeks now and he likes it make sure that the like tanks then he checks back to next week and it's gone again and then he tells me I liked it again now we're having him try a different device and in a different place just in case there's something special to him but you you remember I did a survey to ask how many people have followed me only to be automatically unfollowed and I think 1500 people said they'd been unfollowed and that's just people who answered the survey imagine how many people didn't bother to answer it never saw the survey didn't notice because they didn't see the survey because they had been unfollowed so there's that then of course you saw what Google did to me in the image search I'm not even going to talk about that because it'll just happen again that was pretty bad and just an update on YouTube I'm still pretty much routinely demonetized on

[6:16]

pretty much routinely demonetized on YouTube now there's something that oh yeah and then I I assume that was a technical problem but one of the odds that the Matt Gaetz conversation would be the one that had all the massive technical problems is that a coincidence I mean it could be you know coincidences happen all the time in fact I'm gonna be talking about a number of them but it happened you have to you have to throw it in the mix of things that you know and try to interpret it now YouTube continues to D monetize my videos the the Matt Gaetz video was instantly demonetised as most of them are now the reasons that YouTube would give would sound quite reasonable because my understanding is that YouTube is trying to satisfy their advertisers who don't want to be associated with certain types of content especially political content and now it was so far you say to yourself perfectly reasonable

[7:18]

you say to yourself perfectly reasonable if I were an advertiser I would also want some control about what I'm associated with but think about what YouTube used to be and what it is now so why YouTube used to be is a place for creators to create what they wanted to create you know within within the limits of you know acceptable behavior they could create whatever they wanted and if people liked it they would make money because advertisements would be associated with it but that advertisers complained and YouTube responded they're a business they've got stockholders they have to respond to that sort of thing and at the moment my understanding is that YouTube is prioritizing people who do high production stuff that's within the let's say the channel that they want to live in which is more g-rated more generally acceptable now what happens is if the creator's try to conform to that

[8:20]

if the creator's try to conform to that and say oh okay I've got to do a higher production value because YouTube won't promote me unless I do so so you're forced to do higher production values and you're forced to do a certain kind of generic content that doesn't offend anybody but here's the thing at that point are you just working for YouTube do you see do you see the reversal because it seems to be then the old days the individual leaders who were working for themselves they would do whatever they wanted and so long as it wasn't obscene or illegal they could get paid for it as long as other people wanted to watch it also but now that's changed now the only way you can monetize is to make content that YouTube wants you to make you work for YouTube now just like they're your boss they get to tell you what you can do it's a complete reversal from what it was and I'm not sure people have quite

[9:21]

was and I'm not sure people have quite realized that so I don't know to what extent you know being shadow banned on YouTube for my specific political speech or if it's just a political speech is all in that category now so we've got that going on so Elizabeth Warren has released her healthcare economics and I haven't looked into the economics but I can tell you this how many people who write about Elizabeth Warren's economics are credible how many people who look at her numbers are qualified and objective probably nobody because everybody who's not an economist or and also not pretty steeped into healthcare economics specifically they're not gonna know what they're looking at then nobody's gonna know so journalists for example or gonna look at it and say well what does

[10:22]

look at it and say well what does somebody say I'll just repeat that but then economists are gonna look at it too but you say okay we'll forget about the journalists at least the economists will be able to dig into this we'll just wait for that but the economists have all picked a team I wouldn't trust any economist looking at anybody's healthcare planned because for the most part they've decided in advance what team they're on and then they just find an opinion that matches their team so there's almost no way for the public to know his Warren's planned economical was it crazy I don't think we have any realistic way to know that to know that here's what I'll say the the argument that you're hearing from the right is nonsense so the the criticism of the the Bernese of the Elizabeth Warren's etc on economics is complete nonsense then they

[11:25]

economics is complete nonsense then they may have bad plans for the variety reasons but the criticisms are just crazy and the criticism is that there's not enough money in the world to pay for it here's what's crazy about that we pretty much already pay for it you know somebody has a big problem they go to the hospital they get to read it anyway so if all of the big problems are being paid by someone already that money is already in the system the only thing that's not already being paid for is the more routine stuff that people would put off if they don't have health care and that's stuff the price of that is going down every day because you can do a doctor visit by email doctor visit by phone so there's and probably our prescription drug prices will go down so there's something like 12% of people who don't have insurance worst case scenario is that our total healthcare costs go up

[12:26]

is that our total healthcare costs go up 12% but people like Elizabeth Warren and even the President Trump say the same thing which is there's a lot of fat in the system you could probably get rid of 12% you could bring down the cost of drugs you could bring down the cost of lots of things just by making the market comparisons more transparent which is one of the things trump administration is trying to do so when anybody tells you that it's it's fiscally just impossible the numbers don't work to provide health care insurance for everyone just remember these few facts everyone's already getting health insurance so most of the costs are already baked in what we don't have is a way to get to those places where the cost is our being paid and to claw it back as needed for some kind of a government plan for example I assume fact check me on this but I assume if somebody who doesn't have insurance goes to an emergency room

[13:29]

have insurance goes to an emergency room and they do get treated that the hospital just eats that right is that right can somebody confirm that that the hospital eats the extra expense of people who don't have insurance and then never pay they build them but let's say they never pay so you would have to tax the hospital to claw that back you know if suddenly everybody had health care so the hospital got paid every time the hospital suddenly makes a whole bunch of money that they were making before so could you tax them somehow and call back I don't know probably and then that that leaves maybe the 12% of the 90% of whatever it is of people who don't have insurance but are already getting health care so the only part that matters is just 12% of the public and maybe maybe only a fraction of that total cost for that 12% is not being paid already so

[14:32]

that 12% is not being paid already so maybe a 5% increase in price from what everything is now wish you could easily squeeze out of the system by lowering you know just being a more aggressive on negotiating prices so I'm gonna say this nobody is gonna understand the economics nobody's gonna explain it well nobody is credible talking about it but I will say with complete confidence that there's plenty of money in the system meaning in the United States and various hands that's already being employed for healthcare then if you could get at it and some kind of a tax or a clawback the government would have everything they need while at the same time the rest of the public would just break even they wouldn't be worse off so if the hospital went from paying for these people who don't have health care insurance if the hospital was paying it and now don't have to pay it but the government clawed it back in attacks well hospitals

[15:35]

clawed it back in attacks well hospitals right where they were anyway same place but it might be hard to do any of that stuff which would be a fair point all right let's talk about Trump's new campaign commercial which even the Democrats have said ooh that's really good and it's not so much the commercial but the the message and the approach and the new message is and this is the Dare ager says over it after there's a montage of accomplishments I guess the the quote is sometimes it takes a Donald Trump to change Washington and they they talk about basically the approaches you might not like his personality he he might you know break some dishes he might be a little bit of a bully these are my own words just but in general the messages you might not like his methods but he sure gets things done and sometimes you

[16:37]

sure gets things done and sometimes you need that personality to get things done so even the Democrats said oh wow that's pretty good that's pretty good and I think the Republicans agree it's good it's really good it's really good because let me give you an example if you've you're familiar with the show it's back on the air but in the old days Simon Cowell was one of the judges on an American Idol and he was the mean one he was the one where you'd say to yourself my god he's narcissistic he's mean but because he was sort of playing a character he was actually the most popular person on the show because he was always consistent he was always honest you know in his opinion anyway he was honest and it just made him kind of interesting Trump is doing a similar kind of a branding play and I think it's gonna work because you've noticed that he's run the White House sort of like it's a it's a

[17:39]

House sort of like it's a it's a wrestling match you know the kind that not real wrestling but rather where you play a villain and you take on our persona now you stay in character while you're doing your wrestling match and this seems like the president understands that the country would get it if he just said yeah I can be a dick look at look how successful and maybe you need somebody who's a dick sometimes maybe you need somebody's a little bit of a bully to bully the other team so I think it's really strong and then and it works really well with this impeachment situation so the latest person who who testified was a Tim Morrison testified that in his words let me get his exact words basically it wasn't concerned about anything illegal happening during the Ukraine phone call now I don't have

[18:41]

the Ukraine phone call now I don't have to tell you that I don't believe the president was accused of doing anything illegal and well right fact check me on that but the Ukraine phone call was not considered by anyone actually illegal was it it was only you something you shouldn't do that was that's the claim so by the newer the new guys saying yeah I was there on the phone call and I didn't hear anything illegal to be concerned about that's a very specific comment and also it agrees with everybody else they didn't hear anything that was illegal they just say you shouldn't dig up dirt on your opponent by using other countries to do it for you which of course is only part of what he was doing the other part was just doing his job yeah the abuse of power part is what they're talking about so but here's the thing the public can't really follow this story right the public doesn't they

[19:43]

this story right the public doesn't they barely know what impeachment means much less an impeachment inquiry that turns into a vote about impeachment rules that might turn into an appeasement but did you know when Pietschmann doesn't you lose your job the Senate has to vote the public has no freaking idea what any of that's about they kind of generally know that an appeasement means you lose your job if you're the president that's about it they may not even be following that there is anything called an impeachment going on so when there is complexity the best simplifier wins let me say that again when the situation is complexity the best simplifier and Brander wins because nobody can discern the actual truth and when you can't discern the truth in a complicated situation your brain just sort of reflexively gravitates to something that's simple and is compatible with sort of what you wanted the truth to be

[20:46]

sort of what you wanted the truth to be so all this impeachment stuff to the public is just gonna look confusing the democrats are gonna say he abused his power he did some things and people are gonna say exactly how did he abuse his power and and he did some inappropriate things and it was unpresidential and he broke a precedent do you know what all of those things sound like all of those things put together sounds like what Trump is actually promising to bring more of Trump is actually promising in his new ad that if reelected he would bring you more of the thing the Democrats are complaining about and he says it's how you get stuff done now if you're just an ordinary person who lives in the ordinary world and you maybe you've had a boss you just had experiences with people haven't you seen a million times in your own life the

[21:49]

a million times in your own life the biggest complaint or the person who's the strongest personality who you might not like that much personally gets stuff done we all know in our personal life there are certain bullying like personalities who were just really good at getting stuff done you don't have to like it but they get stuff done so when the president makes that claim that yeah what if all of it's true what if it's all true what if I did bully what if I did do inappropriate things what if I did use some language this unpresidential what if I did I don't know any number of things that were that somebody's going to call abuse of power etc and he says yep probably do more of that look how well it's working black unemployment just reached a record historically low black unemployment do you want some more of that well if you want some more of that you probably have to elect the guy who's got this

[22:49]

to elect the guy who's got this personality that you're having a little trouble with it's really good it's really really good I I can't say enough how strong that is now what is the thing that I keep telling you that Trump does well he does the flipping around thing you know I've done the examples all the time the when fake news was a claim used against Trump and then he flipped it around and turned it into a weapon to use against the fake news of all things and you seen him do that before it looks like he's doing it again it looks like a good play I'm sure that they've tested all this stuff with you know test audiences and polls and stuff so I would hate to be running it against this guy I would really hate to be running against this team but one of the things that Trump doesn't get credit for is we're watching a reelection campaign that

[23:53]

watching a reelection campaign that might be better than anything we've ever seen I might be too early to say that but is there anybody here who would disagree with that at this point let me ask you this Brad parse Cal is sort of a superstar running the Trump campaign when was the last time the campaign had was like a celebrity
right it's sort of like Johnny Ives you know sort of a celebrity and Apple because he was the designer for a lot of the Apple products you know what when was last time a designer was a star and a company well Johnny Ives was the only one I can even think of except for actual fashion companies and now the Trump campaign is so good they've raised so much money and they have such a strong team that even the guy running the campaign is sort of

[24:53]

the guy running the campaign is sort of like a star is that good so you got that here here's a here's a little thing I would love to say this is sort of maybe could be a what is a campus humor who's the group who always does the on the street interviews with people who don't understand politics at all they can't name the vice president that sort of thing well let me suggest a humorous person on the street interview process you go to a person in the street and they don't know what the context is you start asking questions and you say this do you think foreign interference in our elections is a bad thing everybody says yeah it's a bad thing foreign interference they say do you think if a president had any kind of financial dealings or his family had

[25:54]

financial dealings or his family had financial dealings let's say a son with another country is that something you would be concerned about now at this point everybody's gonna start thinking is Trump right and they're gonna say yeah I'd be concerned about any president whose son had a financial tangle man with another country of course I'd be concerned then if you said
whose job is it to make sure that that concern is not blackmail or undue influence on our electoral process and on
on our government whose job is it what would the person industry say well if they knew a lot they might say well I think that's FBI and Department of Justice and then you say who's the head of those groups in the executive branch the president so you could get people a person on the street to agree with the following things for an interference is

[26:55]

following things for an interference is bad it's the President of the United States job to look into it if there's evidence of you know for an entanglement of a family member it's worth looking into and you could get them to completely agree in concept with everything the President Trump did it was a high priority every person in the United States thinks that's exactly the sort of thing you should look into who I'm talking about hunter Biden and Joe Biden everybody would agree it's the executive branch everybody would agree it's a top priority you can get the person on the street to 100 percent back Trump on this impeachment thing simply by asking the questions without Trump's name involved because they would be seduced into thinking you were talking about da jr. because your brain just goes to trump first in all things right you so you're just what about if the

[27:56]

you so you're just what about if the president's children we're trying to make money off the presidency you would immediately go to Ivanka and Don jr. even though they haven't right it's just your brains are wired that way to just jump there all right um so you saw all the news about employment is just amazing apparently we've added like twice as many jobs as they thought they've even they've adjusted upwards the last two months there were ninety five thousand more jobs than were reported and it wasn't bad either and I guess wages are still going up 3% which is strong I mean we're just killing it now the GDP is kind of weak compared to earlier in the year and the SBA blamed on chyna uncertainty and I think we'll get over that because I think eventually we'll will realize we have to decouple people keep asking me about this issue

[28:58]

people keep asking me about this issue of China doing transplants on live prisoners or I guess killing them on demand now the the evidence that China was killing people for the purpose of harvesting their organs and selling them is that a good organ you could sell for over a hundred thousand dollars so if you had access to a transplantable organs you could sell it for over a hundred thousand dollars so so where there's money somebody is going to do something illegal so that's your first piece of evidence piece of evidence but the strongest piece is that apparently China has advertised organs that are available sort of undemanding all the smart people say there is no way that you could have all these compatible organs on demand unless you're killing people on demand

[29:59]

unless you're killing people on demand to take their organs because there wouldn't be enough people who coincidentally died coincidentally where organ donors coincidentally were close enough you know and the right match and all that they're there aren't enough coincidences to have some kind of immediate Oregon availability and therefore the only way you could you could understand that is they must be killing people and probably the the flung Jew what's wrong food what's the name of the religious groups that they oppress in China flung gouf along float along the food I don't know something like that somebody will put it in the comments and all I'll say it correctly somebody's spelling it wrong for me just falutin God okay so that's the thought that it's the weekers and the floon god they're using just for organs here's my take on that while I do not

[31:01]

here's my take on that while I do not doubt this somewhere at some time China might have taken an organ from a live prisoner or somebody may have I don't know that that they're necessarily still alive when they're taking the organs out maybe I mean maybe I wouldn't put it past them I don't think you didn't necessarily believe they're still doing that but here's here's the thing I want to just put into the thought process I think you know that there's no one who would like to believe this is true in the sense that I'd like to have something bad to say about China than me I mean nobody hates China more than I do right I think y'all know that my stepson died a year ago from a fentanyl overdose nobody hates China more than I do so I would love to say that China is killing people for organ transplants I'm willing

[32:02]

people for organ transplants I'm willing to say there's evidence of it because there is there's the evidence is pretty strong but I can't I can't get myself to release on the possibility that is just bad advertisement isn't it possible that they simply advertise that they can get you an organ at a short amount of time but maybe if you went in and tried to get it you couldn't so I wouldn't rule out that when they say they can quickly get an organ maybe that's not always true now it might be that the people we hear about who do quickly get an organ might be well-connected rich people so it's possible that they're the ones we hear from and maybe and maybe there's something where if you're a well-connected rich person you can go to the front of the line so it might be that some people can get them pretty quickly because they paid enough to go to the front of the line which would be enough to make it happen fairly quickly

[33:04]

enough to make it happen fairly quickly compared to just being at the bottom of the line so I gotta say that the whole organ transplant thing in China strikes me as the sort of thing that is more often false than true doesn't mean it's false because you know if I told you that you know back in World War two if I'd said are you you really say that Germany's rounding up all the Jews and it's going to systematically kill them in death camps if I had been alive at the time the first time I heard that I don't know if I would have believed it which probably has happened to a lot of people don't you think in World War two a lot of people said well I'm not sure I believe those reports because we heard about it we meaning people heard about it I think a lot of people just said that's too wild I can't believe that's actually happening so I'm having the same response with the the forced

[34:05]

same response with the the forced transplants but that doesn't mean it's not happening it feels like something that isn't happening but it could be something that's happening here's what I'd look for it seems like our government isn't complaining about it a lot the thing I would look for is our government officially it doesn't even have to be Trump maybe a cabinet-level somebody Secretary of State something if you see somebody in our government saying yeah there's forced transplants happening over there then I'd be a little more inclined to believe it but I don't believe that our government has endorsed that as a fact can somebody fact check me on that as I believe there are international organizations who have looked at the statistics and and believe that it's happening but has the government of the United States somebody said yes but not do some confirmation of that send me a link on Twitter if you know that our

[35:07]

link on Twitter if you know that our government has officially said that's a real thing that is still happening they may have said it's happened in the past but I'd like to see a link that says the US government says force transplants are happening now in China I'll be surprised if that's actually happened but not completely surprised right Joe Biden has his latest gaffe he confused the parrot Paris climate Accord with the Paris Peace Accord which was more of a treaty 10 - Vietnam War and it was signed in 1973 which was Joe Biden's first year in the Senate now the whoever tweeted this said you know he's not playing with a full deck because he couldn't tell the difference between the Paris Peace Accord and the Paris client climate Paris climate whatever it is but I'm here to say how many times have I done

[36:08]

here to say how many times have I done the same I've said the same thing a bunch of times you've seen me say Paris Peace Accord several times haven't you when I thought I was talking about the climate Accord or the climate whatever the it is so I would say that's the sort of gaffe that is so ordinary I mean people all over the country pundits reporters it's probably the most ordinary gaffe you could possibly make if you saw this gaffe just by itself it wouldn't mean anything just wouldn't mean anything it's such a common one but because it's Joe Biden and because loosely political the democratic political guy who says that Joe Biden's in the candidate protection program where they're trying to make sure that the public sees as little of Joe Biden as possible because the more you see of him the less you like him so I think

[37:09]

him the less you like him so I think that's what's happening there so let's talk about Oh Trump said he's moving from New York to Florida which is kind of interesting I think de Blasio said good riddance but Trump announced it last night and he even referred to New York not being a friendly place to him Oh David Axelrod is
is the one who used the phrase candidate protection programs thank you and it's interesting because Trump moved in part because of taxes I think so we moved from a Democrat lead place to a republican-led state and I have to tell you in all complete honesty if it were easy for me to leave California I would do it now so I'd be ready to go because I've never seen a state managed so poorly I would be out of here so fast and I would head to wherever there's

[38:11]

and I would head to wherever there's good weather and low taxes and I'd probably end up in a Republican state so you know but it's hard for me I've got too many ties here too much going on so I can't really leave but if I were to make the decision today I would get the hell out of California because basically the whole state is just burning feces and just going to hell and the high taxes all right so that's interesting let's talk about Epstein so I've been talking about this on Twitter a little bit I'm still the yeah I got I'm the holdout I'm the holdout in favor of his still being the suicide so there's an outside what he called a coroner who says that the evidence is consistent with homicide the evidence is consistent with homicide he actually says it's more consistent with homicide than with suicide part of it and so the reasons given are

[39:12]

part of it and so the reasons given are some some neck muscles are broken that are more typically broken when somebody else is strangling you then when you hang yourself so it's rare for those to be broken in any situation except for a murder now and it also would be unusual that the cameras are broken and the guard fell asleep and the the roommate had been transferred so there are a whole bunch of coincidences and so the coroner says that's too many coincidences it's most compatible with homicide but I would like to suggest that the following all bad i'll bandit is common for suicides to look like murder and I'll bet it's common for the evidence to be more suggestive of murder than suicide even when it is suzet so how uncommon is

[40:14]

even when it is suzet so how uncommon is it that there is a real suicide but that the evidence is very suggestive and maybe more suggestive than its homicide then suicide I'll bet that happens fairly fairly often I don't know how often but it's not it's not something that's never happened so here's the thing nobody has said that you can't break those muscles with the suicide I believe that the mistake that people are making is that if you look at how high the bed is and the distance that he would drop to hang himself from the bed that that distance is insufficient with to break your neck the neck muscles here's the part I think maybe they are taking not taking into account if you are going to hang yourself from a low object you know an object is not that high off the ground wouldn't you jump up in the air maybe from the bed or whatever the bed is and

[41:16]

from the bed or whatever the bed is and wouldn't you make sure that you got as much height before he came back down now if somebody found you they'd say oh the thing is tied here he fell this far there's no way that could break those neck muscles but if he had stood here got on top of the bed jumped up in the air maybe the distance was three times as much maybe uh maybe now also consider the Epstein was extremely smart probably put some serious research into the best way to do it and probably figured out the most effective way to really really kill himself if you were as smart as Epstein and you had done the things that he is alleged to have done I'm sure he has done and you you had continually your entire life had done one thing after another that normal people probably couldn't have never pulled off from the way he made his money to the

[42:18]

from the way he made his money to the the abuses normal people could not have pulled that off could it be that he simply figured out a better way to kill himself and he had the angles and you know the approach in the distance worked out could it be let me just let me give you another possibility suppose there was something heavy in the cell that he put in his arms and then jumped off the top of the bunk and then the the weight of the stuff that it was in his arms it helped to break his neck but then when he died his arms opened and whatever heavy thing it was rolled onto the floor and if you were the coroner and he walked in would you say that they had the object on the floor was part of the suicide maybe maybe not because you just see the heavy thing and he's saying well that doesn't seem related it's over here all I'm saying is I'm not suggesting that that specific thing is the problem

[43:20]

that that specific thing is the problem all I'm saying is that clusters of incompetence are not unusual so the fact that the fact that the cameras were off the guards were asleep the fact that there were a number of incompetence coincidences I'm not sure that's a coincidence because wherever you have incompetence you're likely to found more of it incompetence tends to cluster in certain places right that's why some companies are a mess some groups are a mess so it is not that unusual to have a cluster of incompetence so the the part about what the jail did not that unusual the fact that the roommate had been moved out well that could be something that Epstein himself bribed somebody so Epstein may have caused all of these competences to happen he may have offered to the guards for example if you

[44:20]

offered to the guards for example if you can turn off the cameras so that you know there's a reason that you're not stopping me from killing myself you will get a big cryptocurrency payoff that nobody can trace let me ask you this if you were Epstein and you wanted to kill yourself wouldn't you bribe the guards to look the other way and turn off the cameras and wouldn't you pay them in cryptocurrency so that there's absolutely no way anybody could ever determine they ever made money you would it be easy to do right so when you say hey it looks like murder because the cameras were off the guards were asleep that's also exactly what suicide looks like because Epstein would have wanted the cameras to be off in the guards to be asleep or pretending to be asleep he would have wanted his roommate to be transferred and he may have just bribed his way into all of those conditions and

[45:21]

his way into all of those conditions and the guards might be so rich now that when they lose their jobs they're saying oh well I lost my job but I got a million dollars a Bitcoin that nobody knows about so somebody says are you an FBI shell yeah no I let me let me say this the possibility that he was murdered is absolutely on the table so there's nothing I'm saying that says it's impossible he got murdered totally on the table you've got motive probably opportunity right so so good possibility but I would say there's more likely it's more likely that he's really really good at killing himself and that's the part that I think in normal analysis overlooks your average person doesn't have hundreds of millions of dollars that he can easily turn into crypto that he can easily pay two guards on any

[46:22]

he can easily pay two guards on any amount remember he's going to die he could have paid that guard just think about it he could have paid that guard ten million dollars nobody would ever know it would just be a cryptocurrency transfer you don't know so I think that's the most likely explanation is she's just good at killing himself alright that's about all I got for now completely unpersuasive you say well I would say this that coincidence is easy to over rate because the world is full of coincidences and you don't notice them until somebody draws your attention to it so don't make too much of coincidence now I'll make a prediction my prediction is that there will never be a time when there's an actual suspect who gets tried and convicted for the

[47:23]

who gets tried and convicted for the murder now how often do you see a murderer that would I mean you'd have to have it be pretty complicated to have a murderer that nobody saw because all you need is one person in prison who's a witness who's willing to sell the story right well let's say let's say it was a prisoner who killed him what are the odds that other prisoners would know about it if one of the prisoners had been enlisted to kill him probably a hundred percent don't you think there's a I don't you think there's a hundred percent chance that other prisoners would know if one of them killed him and how much money could that prisoner make for telling their story a lot a lot if you were the prisoner who knew who killed Epstein how much could you sell your story for name your price you'd sell them for a lot so I predict

[48:31]

well let me ask that whoa wouldn't snitches get stitches well they would have to also negotiate to get into jail probably so they'd have to say you got to let me out and you got to pay me some money maybe and I'll tell my story alright Epstein's brother is rich enough to pay for the truth exactly so if there's somebody who's got the truth remember the people who have the truth would be criminals because they're in jail when a criminal sell out another criminal in jail for millions of dollars and maybe a reduced time what a criminal sell out with somebody for millions of dollars some wouldn't but my prediction is we'll never know who who did it if it's a murder meaning meaning that it probably wasn't a murder all right that's all for now and I will talk to you all later