Episode 702 Scott Adams: The Winningest President Ever, The Sim Takes Over, Lots of Loserthink

Date: 2019-10-23 | Duration: 52:54

Topics

My new book LOSERTHINK goes on sale 11/5. Pre-order: https://bit.ly/2NRammu Steven Crowder reports Google restricting Tulsi in US Angela Merkel says multicultural society efforts have “utterly failed” A list of things where President Trump has been proven correct Hillary’s email server may NOT be a big deal…as I predicted President Trump should push 2 Ukraine call points 1. It’s his job 2. It was his top priority Republicans clever response to Tayler’s secret testimony Words that work well together…”Do Nothing Dems” Joe Biden is going UP in the polls? Are Democrats in complete panic mode? Matt Lewis “digging up dirt” comment @Lurchspun has a clever phrase “Shampeachment” The word…”lynch” and other offensive words Hong Kong government drops extradition bill

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> [!note] Rough Transcript
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## Transcript

[0:03]

pom pom pom pom pom hey where's everybody oh there you are hey Harry come on in good to see you the rest of you come on in you seem a little slow this morning what's going on what's going on but I do notice that you all look a little bit sexier than usual I think that's probably just from the exposure to coffee with Scott Adams you have that effect but before we get going I think you know what you need you need a little thing called the simultaneous sip and you can do that without much preparation at all all you need is a copper marker glasses snifter Stein chalice tanker thermos flask canteen Grail goblet vessel of any kind solid with your favorite liquid I'm partial to coffee and join me now for the simultaneous sips the dopamine hand of the day and the thing that makes everything better go better than ever

[1:13]

everything better go better than ever oh well let's talk about a few things I mentioned in the title of this periscope that the simulation is talking to us every now and then I feel as though we're just as sort of a simulation where as the writer is writing hackneyed sort of obvious plot parts where you say yeah that part's obvious I saw that comment that's exactly the way I would have read it here's an example kim jungeun has decided that the resort that he built with the help of South Korea some some years ago is too shabby it was to tear it all down and start over and build himself a new better resort do I have to even finish the rest of this kim janggun needs help building a luxury resort come

[2:20]

needs help building a luxury resort come on are you telling me that this stuff is randomly happening there's got to be somebody writing this this reality because what could be more perfect as an opening for President Trump than to say you know I know a guy let's just get together and talk about you resort would it be the coolest thing ever this is not going to happen but just you can imagine it in this weird world would it be the coolest thing ever if the president invited kim jungeun over to the White House just to talk about the resort and then just then that's it yeah we just wanted to talk talk about the resort see if we can help now you're saying to yourself wait wait wait that would be a waste because what about nuclear weapons is everything but here's the thing you don't have to worry too much about a company or a country that has nuclear weapons if they like you that's how it works people point

[3:22]

you that's how it works people point their weapons at people they don't like so if President Trump just continues to like kim jeong-hoon as long as he's president we don't really have much of a problem now the next president might be a problem but what are the odds that kim jongwan needs to wants to build up a quality resort that's just too perfect steven crowder YouTube personality I don't know what to call him but he's got a youtube show with a lot of lot of followers and he claims that he has discovered that Google is restricting searches for tulsi gabbard but only in the United States so apparently if you search in Europe you get lots of results if you search in the United States you get fewer here's my problem with that I do not for a moment doubt that the allegation is true but is that the only way

[4:23]

that the only way this could happen the answer is maybe not this is one of those situations where the other explanation could fall into that big gray category of things you couldn't have imagined things you never thought of things that are caused by other things you didn't know were things so it's certainly completely feasible and fits all observed everything there Google would be intentionally suppressing some candidates none of that would be surprising none of that would I think even be new but is this one of those cases the trouble is for every one of these situations where you're sure you use you've caught them I got you now now there's there's no way you can explain this away sometimes there are ways to explain it away they're just not obvious now I don't know if there is one in this case I'm

[5:24]

know if there is one in this case I'm making more of a general statement that when you see some specific claim about a social media platform might be true it might be true but you don't know all the variables at all so it might not be true let me give you an example where I can't imagine anything but bad behavior being a reason I recently got a DM from somebody who follows me on Twitter both of us are let's say names you might be familiar with so the person who TM to me is somebody you may have seen on Twitter or would know of the person from that person's other work and informed me that he or she had to just keeping some privacy in the conversation there told me that he or she has had to repeatedly follow me on Twitter I think three or four times now and each time gets unfollowed automatically now I say to

[6:28]

unfollowed automatically now I say to myself well first of all this same thing happened to my brother and my brother only follows one person my brother only follows me that's it it's the only reason he's on Twitter just to follow but he is one person he follows and after months of following me one day got automatically unfollowed now do you think there's any chance that that was a fluke or a random accident with Twitter maybe you know maybe but I I can't I can't see it as being possible and then when the the newer one reported it's the same thing when I did a little Twitter poll some time ago in which I asked how many people have have been automatically unfollowed from me and I think I got 1500 people or something whatever was was a big number so it seems to me that twitter automatically

[7:30]

seems to me that twitter automatically unfollowing is a thing but I don't know why it doesn't necessarily mean anybody's intentionally doing it because if you've ever worked with software you know that unintentional consequences are the most common thing in the world so for example let's say the algorithm couldn't handle I don't know a certain volume of things you you would only notice that with some users who have high volumes of activity because it's a volume related bug so I could I could certainly see that somebody like me as I guess 342 thousand followers and maybe if I've got a tweet that's getting a lot of attention this is just a hypothetical I'm not saying this is likely I'm just giving you a hypothetical could it be that there could be a bug that would only affect larger accounts and because I tend to be looking for problems and people reporting them to me because they're looking for problems could it be

[8:32]

they're looking for problems could it be the Conservatives hear about the bug while it's happening at the same rate with large you know left-leaning accounts but they're not looking for it because they don't expect there's any problem could it be just selective attention that it's a universal bug that affects some people under some circumstances but the people on the Left have no reason to suspect the platform's are doing anything wrong so I've just never noticed is that possible totally possible it's it's completely possible that what looks unambiguously like it has to be bad behavior could have some other explanation so to avoid loser think always remind yourself that the most likely explanation for an event you can't explain is something you haven't thought of
of it's just something beyond your experience but it's not that unusual by the way if you have not ordered my book looser think it's available now for a

[9:34]

looser think it's available now for a pre-order and it would help me a lot of you with that so please do because sooner is better all right let's talk about Germany so here's here's more of the the simulation winking at us I I thought this was a fake story when I first read it but I think this is a real story because it was on a real news site was it on Fox News I think Germany's so Germany's Chancellor Angela Merkel said that the country's attempt at building a multicultural society have utterly failed can you believe that so Angela Merkel one of trumps biggest critics and of course everybody in the world is a critic of Trump for wanting to limit the amount of or at least amount or even

[10:36]

amount of or at least amount or even types of immigration because it's a drain on the country it's you know a burden on the country if if it takes too much the simulation takes away from jobs etc you know the arguments but Angela Merkel has just come right out and said that the immigration and the multicultural society utterly failed is that the most mind-blowing thing you've ever seen now she does go on and say that they're committed to continuing immigration and their continued and they're committed to making it work even though it has not worked yet so she has said fairly unambiguously I mean utterly fail this as clear as you can say something she's saying that the thing that has been my primary policy one of my biggest differences with the president who's doing it the other way my biggest policy almost a signature you know event is that utter failure and I'm

[11:40]

know event is that utter failure and I'm gonna keep doing it that's actually what she said it's mind blowing and the thing is that with Trump I think Trump supporters have always had the following feeling that Trump would be excoriated eviscerated and criticized more than you've ever seen anybody criticized for most of his decisions in the short run but that time would vindicate him in other words he's making Trump often makes what I would call adult decisions that really really hurt when they happened but the whole point is that later you'll be better off so I would say that Trump is vindicated on trade negotiations with China for example wouldn't you say he's been vindicated meaning that every the critics said no no you can't have a trade war the economy will plunge didn't happen Trump was right I mean it had a big effect on some segments which we can do

[12:42]

effect on some segments which we can do what we can do to help ease them such as the farming segment but apparently it didn't hurt our economy at all Trump was right and as we learn more about China's bad behavior the country has been persuaded by Trump from hey leaves China alone it's just business - oh my god China is a real problem on a lot of different levels from fentanyl to you name it and stealing our IP - bad bad trade negotiate so now I think Trump has been completely vindicated no matter what happens with China if we get a trade deal he'll be vindicated and if we decouple he'll also be vindicated because remember the starting point is that we don't want those old deals which I know they're not a good partner he's right I would say he's been totally vindicated when Trump became president even before he was sworn in the experts said the economy is

[13:45]

sworn in the experts said the economy is going to crumble crumble I say did it no it did not the all the experts were anti Trump we're all wrong here's another one just to blow your mind it looks like things are gonna work out in Syria as of this morning so maybe that'll change by tomorrow but as of this morning it looks like Russia and Turkey have decided to work together to patrol the the the safe zones which will allow Turkey to repatriate people it will create a much more stable situation and it killed exactly zero American troops to get it done none how many Kurds got killed have you heard because my news sources don't tell me I don't know if even one has died do you I mean I assume people have died because it's military action

[14:45]

have died because it's military action bombs are going off I don't know how nobody would die but why if we heard zero estimates reliable ones you know from some kind of entity that you would trust zero estimates of death maybe there weren't many maybe there weren't many because that looks like they've worked it out and it looks like the president is gonna be totally vindicated again meaning that shaking the box and just saying all right we're out if you can't make a deal with us in make a deal with us out so he took us out I think history is gonna love him for this let me ask you another question
this is for the historians historians please weigh in is there any American president who has had fewer military troops for our country died during his first three years as any president had

[15:47]

first three years as any president had fewer military deaths for his own country in his first three years probably there must be some periods where we weren't fighting much but he might have the record yeah you might have to go back to the silly Senate Van Buren Calvin Coolidge you might have to go back a while you might have to go back a while and if you do go back you end up with a lot of accidental military deaths I mean my guess is that if you go back you know 100 years you had military people dying from all kinds of things that they didn't need to be dying from that were not necessarily military related so somebody says Jimmy Carter I don't know maybe tell that second simultaneous it without the simultaneity was great too
so it looks like we're heading toward a situation where the Trump might get

[16:47]

situation where the Trump might get impeached at the same time he may have the best record of any president for preserving life you know military life on in our country he might have the best economy of all time the best policy about trade negotiations and then I talked about this before even the left is agreeing that Trump made Mexico pay for the wall even those critics agree that he made pact Mexico pay for the wall now what I'm talking about is actually paying for their own troops to guard the southern part of Mexico to keep the caravans from coming up which effectively is a big explanation there's a big expense so I don't know it just seems like one thing after another Trump is being proven to be correct in the wrong in the long run what do you think of this story

[17:50]

long run what do you think of this story that Hillary Clinton's email server there were a bunch of improprieties by a bunch of people but none of it raises the level of you know a legality I guess so there won't be any legal anything for Hillary Clinton based on her email server now let's all check our predictions what was your prediction about the outcome of the Hillary Clinton email situation once you knew that Republicans were going to be looking into it all right remember it's not Hillary's own inside her team that was looking into it it was Republicans and Democrats too but what did you think was going to be the outcome well I'll tell you what my prediction was does anybody remember what my prediction was for the emails no big deal that was my prediction my prediction was it's no big deal it'll never turn into anything because there's enough there you know there are some things they shouldn't been done the way they were done but there just isn't

[18:51]

way they were done but there just isn't enough there that no law would become a legal now was that your prediction because one of the things I recommend didn't loser think is they you track your predictions even if you didn't make them even if you didn't make them in public as I did track how many times you're right and how many times you're wrong because if you find out that your predictions are consistently wrong maybe do something differently I would say that this is the situation in which my prediction was exactly right yeah it wasn't perfect people did some things there were some things categorized wrong but not much there just nothing there now what do you think will come of the Ukraine phone call situation well for those of you who say I never criticized the president or this administration let me criticize the president and the administration right now and

[19:52]

and the administration right now and this will be a pretty big criticism so again store this away when you when you're tempted to say Scott only agrees with the president and says whatever he does is right it's all good I am starkly going to disagree with how the president and his staff have handled the Ukraine phone call situation all right here's what they're doing wrong they should have gone directly at it they almost did the front the president has said it was a perfect phone call and then Mulvaney did his confusing thing where he thought he was talking about one thing but then he tried to clarify it and made it worse so I would say that the administration has completely blown an easy layup here's the layup now there might be some lawyer who tells me that this is a bad idea but this is my opinion for now the president should have said and still can and his

[20:53]

have said and still can and his administration should have said and still can and the pundits who support him should have said this and still can that it was absolutely the president's job to look into any problems with the Biden's and the Ukraine's it's his job and here's the here's the key part its his top priority so you need to throw that in don't don't just say well it's the president's job to make sure that there's no foreign interference in our political system Biden is still leading in the polls not just against other Democrats but against Trump according to all objective major measures if you take your subjectivity out of it for a moment Biden is the most likely next president does Biden have some things which needs some explaining it may not be illegal but certainly we need some visibility on it with his connections with Ukraine yes unambiguously yes there's no question

[21:55]

unambiguously yes there's no question that because hunter Biden had an association there was a lot of money for we can't tell what presumably political connections that alone the stuff that we know the public knows is by far enough for the president to say can you look into Joe Biden is there any Joe Biden anything that we need to worry about with Ukraine and look into his son in particular now have you heard the president say that somebody said he said it I have not heard the president say these two things it's my job it's my top priority that's the key part the top priority part is the making you think past the sale part if you just say it's my job they'll say I know it's not maybe that maybe the FBI should be doing that they'll argue it even if their argument is bad so if you just say yes my job to look into these things that's not enough take it to the next level level - it was my top

[22:58]

next level level - it was my top priority because you want them to argue not whether it was your job yes or no because you know they'll say no it was his job but they'll say no you want alright you want them to argue past the sale of whether it was his job and into the sale of was it his top priority or just something important top priority or just something important top priority or just important if you can bring their minds there then you have them exactly where you want them because it's either top priority or just something important but to hear them let me say I've got a little quote here from somebody on the other team talking about this in the worst possible way so who said this was it in some political piece today somebody said that bomb doesn't matter that that the Trump supporters

[23:58]

matter that that the Trump supporters are being forced into a fallback argument right so this is what the the anti-trump are saying saying that what he did was inappropriate talking about the Ukraine phone call and asking them to look into Biden agreeing that it was inappropriate but falls short of the state for high crimes and misdemeanors needed for impeachment is that the fallback argument to say yeah okay he did it but it's not that bad it's not impeachable bad that's not the fallback argument that's a terrible fallback argument how about using the argument instead of a fallback argument it's not a fallback to say it was his job to look into foreign interference there was plenty of evidence that says that should be looked into and it was his top priority it's not a fallback argument it's the argument it's never been made why am I the only person saying this but does

[25:01]

the only person saying this but does anybody by the way I've set this now a number of times in public maybe not as clearly as I'm saying it now I've not seen it anybody argue against what I'm saying is there any legal reason that he can't claim that keeping the country safe from foreign interference especially when it's so blatant it's so blatant in the sense that there's enough there that you need to look into it which is different from saying it's blatantly illegal or it's problem don't know if it's problem do know I want to look into it it is his job to ensure that foreign aid is not wasted in corruption correct but off point so those people were saying but he was doing his job by asking them to look into CrowdStrike and the 2016 election that's not the part anybody's arguing about so you don't need to defend the part that nobody's talking about that part's fine it's only the part

[26:01]

that part's fine it's only the part about looking into Biden that the left has been allowed to define as digging up dirt on your political opponent as long as you allow them to define what happened as digging up dirt on your political opponent well that's never right alright then nobody's going to be in favor of that but here are some words that mean exactly the same thing and are 100 percent accurate he was protecting foreign against foreign interference he was doing his job and it was a top priority and we have a deal with with Ukraine that we cooperate on this stuff there's no way that my approach isn't the kill shot on this and I am puzzled why the Trump administration doesn't take it unless there's some kind of legal reason that's not obvious to me I don't know how it would ever be illegal to do your job and also work on your top priority with an ally who has an

[27:05]

priority with an ally who has an explicit agreement for this that we have a coordination agreement on judicial stuff so it blows my mind that the administration has completely I would say completely messed up on their response to all this stuff they had a clear kill shot still do not using it they're letting the kill shot just lay there how about it was my job and it was my top priority and you would be mad if I didn't do it
I'm loving the Republicans response to this guy Taylor who apparently was one of the secrets testimonies so secret meaning that some of the Congress people know what was said but not the public it's all secret secret secret so because it's secret the bad people can define it any way they want so the Democrats can say AHA you would not

[28:08]

Democrats can say AHA you would not believe the secret stuff we heard about the president today I can't tell you but man he's so impeached based on what I heard that I can't tell you now what are you going to do with that there's nothing you can do with it because you can't prove your case you can't show the facts you just have somebody making an opinion so the Republicans have gone with this they're saying that his his testimony was totally dismantled by somebody else's questions is that true there's a totally that the witness tailor and the case was totally dismantled by a few questions from a Republican who knows who knows we weren't there so it's actually diabolically clever to simply make up a lie that woof sets their lie because I'm pretty sure it's a lie that something was said that's you know just as impeachment is your thing I'm sure that's a lie from the Democrats it's

[29:11]

that's a lie from the Democrats it's probably a lie from the Republicans to say that the testimony was so dismantled and discredited it's all done that's probably not true it's probably some gray area in between that's exactly what you thought it would be a big gray area in between but it's a good strategy because nobody can check it all right the president started calling the Democrats that you do nothing Dems and people have asked me is that good good branding does that effect a good persuasion bad persuasion and it's sort of a mixed bag do-nothing Dems rolls off the tongue really well easy to repeat you know what it means it's on target it looks like they aren't doing anything except resisting the president but here's what it doesn't have it doesn't have a visual and it's not scary your two strongest persuasion techniques are

[30:14]

two strongest persuasion techniques are fear this doesn't really have any fear they're the less you're the less that Congress does you know may be the better way off we are right people are not afraid of Congress not doing stuff that's just business as normal maybe they prefer it and there's nothing visual about the concept of Democrats doing nothing doing nothing is literally the opposite of a visual there's nothing there so the president's usual persuasive genius I would call it often has something in there that some fear or a visual the wall etc and he doesn't have that this was but he does have it's got a good sound to it you know it rolls off the tongue do-nothing downs do-nothing Dems it's just that I don't know what you would call that in musical sense but it just the words work well together now that's something he does really well I've talked about that with make America great again makes America great a man almost almost has a percussion beat to it make America great

[31:17]

percussion beat to it make America great again it almost has drum beat I mean that is seriously good stuff make America great again do nothing down do nothing Dems it's got a good percussion what I'd say it's not it's not here's a plus material because it needs a picture or some fear it doesn't have either Joe Biden is I don't know what to make of this but he's he's going up in the polls
Joe Biden is actually going up in the polls he's basically a walking advertisement for dementia and he's still the top Democrat now one way to look at it is well he's got good name recognition another way to look at it is gosh I guess they really want to win because they think he's the one who can win and that's all they care about that's one way to look at it here's another way to look at it how terrible

[32:20]

another way to look at it how terrible are the 16 or whatever people running for the Democratic nomination how bad must they be that Joe Biden who I don't even know if you'll survive the primaries I mean God knows he may he may just fall apart what does it tell you that he's like has a commanding lead and and what's what's the other news the other news is that even the Democrats don't think that Biden can win against Trump they just don't think he has the basic capability of you know showing up and performing and so they're talking about all these speculative people jumping in like Michelle Obama and Hillary Clinton and Mike Bloomberg and some governor if your team is talking about canning every person who actually is running in favor of someone who hasn't even decided to run you are

[33:21]

who hasn't even decided to run you are in panic mode the Democrats are clearly in maximum panic mode what would be the worst possible thing for the Democrats Joe Biden getting the nomination can you think of anything worse for the Democrats because first of all even if he wins they get an old white guy who's got some troubling you know racial comments in the past he's not a racist but still you know he's got a little baggage there what would be worse for them losing I don't know it feels like winning or losing they wouldn't care either way they're both bad so the Democrats have to be in panic mode
there's got to be in panic mode so I've said before that none of the top three are viable candidates against Trump certainly not warned certainly not by

[34:22]

certainly not warned certainly not by Bernie Bernie's keeps falling so what happens if one of the top three drops out
out let's game this okay let's say one of the top three drops out and it depends who it is and when right let's say that Bernie's poll numbers keep going down let's say Bernie decides that he can't recover from his lower poll numbers people are too worried about his agent his health and let's say he decides to throw all of his support to Elizabeth Warren would that put Elizabeth Horner than the lead and if it did would that be enough for the Democrats to completely panic and say okay we got it we got to get somebody else in the air because there's no way Elizabeth Warren can win so what might they do well one thing they might do are you ready for this they might talk to Joe Biden and of running they might get him to quit because if

[35:23]

they might get him to quit because if Joe Biden quits his more middle-of-the-road supporters are gonna have to go somewhere will they go to Warren I don't think so I think they're gonna go down to Boone a judge and Harris and depending on whether Democrats think that either Buddha judge or Harris have some chance of winning or maybe cloture but she's even down at 3% or something I feel as though a a possible path is that Bernie goes first and that puts warned in the lead because she would pick up his voters and when Warren isn't the lead over Biden he's no longer the the presumptive winner that he will find some excuse with the help of other Democrats to leave the race and when he leaves the race all of those voters have to go somewhere and if they wanted Warren they would already be

[36:24]

wanted Warren they would already be there if they wanted Bernie they would already be there so I think all those votes go down to the fourth and fifth players and suddenly they're gonna be strong number two one of them will be so could become lares you never know all right this is something that Matt Lewis who's an anti-trump er who said he goes think of it even for a professional spin Meister there is no intellectually honest way to defend pressuring a foreign government to dig up dirt on a domestic political rival did you see what he did there he said there's no intellectually honest way to defend pressuring the foreign government to dig up dirt as a domestic political rival to which I say well that's true you could not intellectually defend digging up dirt on a domestic rival through a foreign entity could you

[37:24]

rival through a foreign entity could you defend a president doing his job and pursuing his top priority which involves finding out more about Biden through a foreign it sure you could could you intellectually support that not too hard since that would be the president's job so every time somebody says he can't defend digging up dirt on Biden you should stop them and say but could he defend it doing his job is that defensible about doing his job can somebody ever defend just doing their job how about everybody can defend that it's easiest thing to defend all right here's some more word thinking of the day quid pro quo we're all talking about what it means and whether it applies but you're seeing more people start to say and I think did Marc Thiessen said this today see more people start to say quid pro quo is every conversation that

[38:26]

pro quo is every conversation that leaders have the quid pro quo part is ridiculous because there's never not a quid pro quo there's no situation where leaders talk to each other and there's not some implied at least in two or at least indirect quid pro quo so the whole quid pro quo thing is trying to win clever latin words because if you can convince people that because it has some words because what the President did falls into the category that those words describe he must be guilty that's a word thinking so the logic was not what is his job was he doing his job that would be good logic the bad logic is we're gonna label it with these at Latin words we're gonna say what he did has these three words quid pro quo and then will you say that the words themselves indicate something bad happened there's no logic there they're trying to use words to replace logic do

[39:27]

trying to use words to replace logic do you see that we're just gonna label what this is as quid pro quo quid pro quo and then we're gonna use quid pro quo as something that's clearly obviously bad and then say it's bad because the words we used to label it or what you use for bad things so there's no thinking there but the public is letting him get away with it I saw a word today a made-up word from user lurched spun teller you are CH SP UN if you want to follow lurch spawned it was clever calling the impeachment a sham Pietschmann mrs. sham impeachment it's a sham Pietschmann it's pretty good isn't it
it sham Pietschmann because remember people are very influenced by words we don't have a word to describe an impeachment process that's illegitimate well now we

[40:28]

process that's illegitimate well now we do sham Pietschmann hashtag sham Pietschmann and giving words to things actually is good persuasion as you can see with the quid-pro-quo example it's not logic using word thinking but it can be persuasive that's why people do it let's talk about the word Lynch it's all in the news so president said that lynch mobs were after him to try to impeach him and then his critics said how can you use such a racially charged word don't you know the bad history of lynching of African Americans in this country and so they accused him of his racist dog whistle whatever and I feel as though I need to make a ruling on this are you ready here is my ruling with a little context if there's a group whether they be an ethnic group or any other identifiable group and there are

[41:30]

other identifiable group and there are some specific words used to describe them that they object to I believe we should listen to that for example the n-word is offensive it's a word used to describe you know a group of people and I think that we should all honor that that people hate that word there's a good reason for it I accept that I will not use that word in any kind of a you know and they got it away what about other words here's another one Rhonda Santos once called his opponent who was an african-american man and still is by the way he's still an african-american man he said that he was articulate now when he was called an African American citizen articulate would you know that that's an insult and the answer is some people would lots of people would it says it's considered a

[42:32]

people would it says it's considered a backhanded compliment because you you rarely hear used with anybody else right so it's like suspicious you're like huh I don't hear anybody saying P Budaj is articulate but I just saw somebody say it just yesterday literally that Cory Booker was articulate do you see it I gotta admit I gotta admit you know when I first heard people saying you shouldn't use the word articulate my first reaction was it's just a word yeah you should be able to use words that are just common words that describe an observation but it is a fact that people tend to gravitate toward it more often when they're talking about an african-american public figure and I can't not notice that so my ruling on articulate is the people

[43:33]

so my ruling on articulate is the people will use it usually are doing it accidentally I think because they don't know that it sounds wrong to other people so I think there's a genuine lack of knowledge that other people are offended by that word but I agree that if you do know that it could be offensive don't use it so don't use a word that is associated with basically an insult because articulate is used as kind of an insult in a roundabout way now let's talk about Lynch Lynch again is a common word meaning everybody knows what it means and it applies to a variety of situations of which most recently the the worst possible situation with african-american citizens being lynched in this country a horrible stain on our history but it's also a common word and I think this is

[44:33]

also a common word and I think this is where I'm gonna draw the line I don't think you get to reserved words because this word was very clearly not being used in any sense directly or indirectly about black people the president's use of lynching was about himself I believe that in all cases you should be able to use common words about yourself had President Trump called himself articulate well people might argue that point but would anybody say it was racists no because he's talking about himself if he uses the common word Lynch in any kind of a context that would suggest that even somewhere in the topic are black people wrong wrong wrong wrong wrong I I would not support that in any way because then you know you should

[45:34]

way because then you know you should have known better right but if you use a common word about yourself and there are no black people in the story whatsoever my ruling is approved so of course it's just a fun political thing and of course the Republicans that took them all of the few hours to produce endless video of Democrats using the word exactly the way Chompy use the word right so it turns out everybody uses this word but not everybody gets in trouble for it so people said well it's because the president has this you know this reputation of of trying to stir up trouble racially I don't think that's enough because that reputation was assigned to him it's not something you went out and got so my ruling is that you may use if you were a white person any kind of white person and you use the word Lynch about

[46:34]

person and you use the word Lynch about yourself totally approved if you were to use that word in some other context talking about other people and there was any connection to the black population of this country not approved that's my ruling all right let's see what else we got
got so the Hong Kong government formally withdrew its controversial extradition bill do you think that'll stop anything apparently not now that was the thing that got things rolling in terms of the protests but now they have other demands so the protesters have kind of got you know a little taste of blood and now they're not going to be happy with just that one thing being changed because they want they want the people who were arrested to be released as few other things but in the long run I said it before China will win they didn't win right away but they'll

[47:37]

they didn't win right away but they'll win and they will get what they need and of Hong Kong because they're there for a thousand years let's see what else we got here all right I see the critics of president Trump's decisions about Syria saying some version of this that the big winners are turkey Russia Iran Isis and Syria beating Assad now does that does that feel true would you say that the big winners of the u.s. pulling out of that safe zone are these other countries that maybe you don't love so much Russia Syria Isis not quite a country and then Turkey who is sort of a frenemy these days does that sound fair that there are the big winners well let me ask you this

[48:38]

the big winners well let me ask you this it's not exactly free those countries are going to be dying so so their citizens will die ours won't they'll be paying a lot of money we won't and they will have endless entanglement issues that might last forever now we won't does it look to you like they're winning that's a weird way to win the so it turns out that the winners are getting everything we didn't want we don't want entanglement expense and dead soldiers but apparently they do for some larger strategic reasons now I don't see Isis thriving in the situation where Russia and the Turks are doing joint patrols in that region and I'm pretty sure Assad is no fan and of Isis I've kind of feeling that Isis is gonna be in worse shape not better especially since we're still sort of over there yeah we'll still help Tim

[49:38]

of over there yeah we'll still help Tim pin them down so to me it looks like a big victory at least preliminarily we'll see I was laughing I was just watching a clip on YouTube this is pretty random which comedian writer actor Larry David was telling the story about his mother was suggesting he'd make a good mailman when he was young so she was trying to talk Larry David into becoming a mailman she thought he should go down there and take the civil servant pass them get himself a proper job that's what he was saying that maybe he wanted to be a comedian and that didn't look like much of a career why this is funny is that my my father also gave me the same advice at the same age so when I was about the same age my father was telling me maybe I should take these civil servants test and work for the post office as he did because I'd always have health care and

[50:39]

because I'd always have health care and the hours are good and the pay was okay so I asked myself what is the value of parental support
you know in many ways I got plenty of parental support certainly educationally and confidence wise and otherwise but I also have a father who suggested I go work for the post office same as Larry David had a mother did and so it just makes me wonder you know what how much does the environment affect people's trajectory and how much of it is just some people are gonna make it happen and some people are not because I always felt like I was gonna make it happen I didn't know exactly how but I figured I'd make something happen and so far so good all right that's about all I have for today it's another fun day the anti-trump errs are sure that President Trump is on the verge of impeachment I'm

[51:42]

Trump is on the verge of impeachment I'm gonna go all the way to say I favor the impeachment not for the reasons that maybe the critics do my favor impeachment because it will give Republicans the power of Investigation and that my friends will be more fun than anything you've done in a long time so impeachment sure if you want to impeach the most successful president of all time good luck with that I'm good I'm good with that I don't mind that he gets impeached he still is gonna be if nothing changes he's already on a trajectory to be the best president we've ever had by far I mean it's not even gonna be close my guess is if you could fast forward today to the historians assuming nothing new happens right there's always gonna be surprises but if nothing new happened he'd be the best president we ever had by far

[52:42]

best president we ever had by far historians will say economy war trade deals border everything you'll just be the best president we ever had that's it for today and I will talk to you later