Episode 662 Scott Adams: Join Me For Coffee and Fun News Analysis

Date: 2019-09-14 | Duration: 1:00:39

Topics

The top 3 Democrat candidates are all unelectable, lets review Joe Navarro, body language expert…and the candidates 2 Key tips for Kamala Harris to up her game Kamala is STILL the most electable Democrat candidate Whiteboard: Healthcare Cost Rank Andrew Yang’s choice to NOT wear a tie, mistake? Jemele Hill’s provocative comment on candidate Biden Biden says non-violent criminals shouldn’t go to jail What if he’s correct? Maybe that IS a good idea Yemen rebels use of drones to attack Saudi oil refinery Were they full-size military drones from Iran?

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## Transcript

[0:03]

ba-ba-ba-ba-ba right on time look at me filing finally being organized after a week if not yeah come on in here it's good to see all of you grab a seat near the front we're gonna have a fun time today sometimes the news is just fun sometimes it's horrible disasters today few horrible disasters but there's moments mostly it's just fun so you know what to do if you want to have the maximum enjoyment of this periscope it doesn't take much very little on your part actually do you have the peak experience of your day which would make all the rest of the day amazing all you need is the coupler motor of glasses time to tell us attacker to thermos last I can't eat a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the simultaneous up go oh my god it gets

[1:06]

the simultaneous up go oh my god it gets better every day I love coffee can I add Grail yes I can Grail all right so the new new theme song will be covering Margaret Gladstein the chalice of tanker a thermos flask EMT and Grail or a vessel of any kind done now that's what I call responsive to the audience beat that you can't I want to talk about the Democrat debate again because it turns out it's the it's the newzeas thing happening because it gives us something to talk about that people are still talking about and it takes it sometimes it takes a day or two to sink in what it is that you exactly feel about something yes I do smell my coffee like my sense of smell returned after twelve years and it

[2:08]

smell returned after twelve years and it is delightful but talking about the debate so there's some additional let's say observations and analysis coming out the the first thing that I would say is that the top three candidates on the stage the top of polling Democrats are completely unelectable and I think that fact is starting to become more obvious somebody is asking if I'm going to be throwing f-bombs today probably not it's all fun today and so here's why I think the top three are unelectable Biden do I have to even say I mean I even I'm starting to feel not even starting I've been feeling for a while actually bad for Biden and his situation and bad I feel bad for his family and his friends and stuff I think he's been

[3:09]

his friends and stuff I think he's been you know somebody who's tried to be a good servant to the country I don't believe he's yeah I mean you could argue whether he was or not but I think he's you know a well-meaning good citizen Patriot kind of a guy and and I feel bad because he's literally falling apart and from the public now if you haven't seen the clip of Biden answering the question about institutional racism I think it was if you haven't seen his answer to that you don't know exactly what I'm talking about but his answer was so mentally incompetent and I'm not trying to put any spin on this I'm not I'm trying not to speak as a pro Trump guy you know saying oh the other side is so dumb and they do dumb thing I'm being as clinical and trying to be as objective as possible Biden just doesn't have control of his faculties it's very obvious and it's also obvious that the

[4:11]

obvious and it's also obvious that the Democrats see it as clearly as you and I see it everybody sees it now tell me one person who think it show me one person who will go on television on CNN or will go on television and am MSNBC and on the on the risk of their personal reputation we'll say in public they think Biden is the best choice for president I don't think there's a person honestly I don't think you could put one of his one of his advisers is Simone somebody and I don't know that you could put her on CNN and have her look at the public and say yeah Joe Biden is definitely the right he's the best choice for president it's kind of down to no one sony says wad williams you know once he's got a role he has to play so I think that's sort of a special case but I don't I think we can all agree the Biden it has no chance of being president he might get a you know

[5:12]

president he might get a you know anything could happen he could get nominated but he doesn't have any chance of winning his matchup against Trump would just be devastating and I would I would honestly just feel sorry for him I in fact I would say Biden is so weak that Trump might not even run against him meaning that he might not even have to address him you just just say what he's going to do for the country and say you know they nominated Joe they probably wish they hadn't you know what to do like I don't even think he would have to criticize him specifically because it's just so obvious at this point all right then you go down to Warren number two most people assume that she would be the one to get it if if Biden doesn't but I I learned an interesting thing which I guess I hadn't been paying attention enough to the health care policies yeah and I read that Warren's health care proposal and remember Warren is the one with all the plans so the one you trust to have

[6:15]

plans so the one you trust to have complete thought about policies at a time is Warren it turns out that her health care plan and remember health care is really the sort of the biggest domestic topic her plan is to backed Bernie's plan explicitly like actually literally to say she his plan and has actually done so now that's not very leadership II even if it's a good plan and even if it makes perfect sense not to have two plans that look the same but the trouble is that birdies planned for health care is why he can't get elected in all likelihood so she's adopting the weakest part of birdy the health care problem now the problem with health care as a as a campaign topic is this even if you had a better plan let's say hypothetically that

[7:15]

plan let's say hypothetically that Medicare for all was a better plan for the whole country now what I mean by better is that it gives access to everybody and and it's and it's affordable right so that would be better access for everybody and affordable sure there might be some quality differences and asked me factored in maybe wait times and other things so that all has to be factored in let's say hypothetically you could make a case that on average Medicare for all was a better system birdy actually says it'll save money let's say economists this is just hypothetical I'm not telling you this is true I'm just saying hypothetically if you could imagine Medicare for all being unambiguously better for the country in general is still wouldn't work as a campaign thing here's why the people who have private and health insurance through their companies and are happy

[8:17]

through their companies and are happy with it are going to vote against anybody who wants to change that so you have too many people who were above average in health care who would be brought down to the average the people who are below health care in other words they don't have any or it's too expensive might be brought up to a better average all of those people could be reasonably could be reasonably expected to have a preference for the person who would bring them from no health care up to having some health care right but all of the people above the line many of them Democrats don't have a single chance of voting for the thing that takes away their good health care you know they work for a big company they've got coverage all they're doing is taking their good health care taking all their advantages away bringing them down to the average and taking their money their money after they were brought down in the quality of their health care they still have to take some extra money and give it to the people

[9:18]

extra money and give it to the people below the average to bring them up to the average so you can't win with Medicare for all as you were campaign central theme because the people above the average aren't gonna know what's going on and they're gonna say you know I can vote for my self-interest our system not only allows that it kind of encourages it you know we're allowed to vote for what's you know good for me I'm a voter I'll just vote for it what's good for me that's our system we all agree that's the system so with that health care for all just can't win so Warren is not competitive because she's not going to back off on that that's sort of central to the whole deal then you go down to Bernie and Bernie's the funniest comment I saw about Bernie I don't know which sort of captured it all for me well as I guess it was I think it was a B Huntsman said this on the view here's her quote she said quote Bernie looked like he crawled out of a garbage can

[10:19]

like he crawled out of a garbage can last night nailed it that that's the clever the more clever version of what I was saying on periscope which is that you can't discount the look of it all you people want their President to represent them not just militarily economically not just politically but them you want your president to be a reflection in some way of you and Bernie does that worse than anybody because he's such a bad visual that you say to yourself I kind of like his policies maybe but I don't want him representing me he's not my brand he looks like he crawled that in the garbage can as Huntsman said and then he was all red and screeching and boring with his statistics so you his popularity is

[11:19]

statistics so you his popularity is capped he can't possibly win also because of the socialist policies so what do you do when your top three people really can't win maybe there's still some Democrats who are thinking well maybe Elizabeth Warren can pull it through but I'll bet that belief will fade over time as well at the moment they still have the polls in their favor because the polls are very artificial now because when you're really pulling against President Trump you're not really comparing the two candidates at this point in the process what you're really saying is you know do you want Trump to be President it's sort of just that and then people say no I'm a high Trump but until he gets a specific target to to demolish you have no idea what what the polls are gonna end up we have no information until until the Trump is over the target site and starts opening the bombuh to your doors so if

[12:20]

opening the bombuh to your doors so if you've got your top three are sort of clearly unelectable and I think that's a view that honestly I think the Democrats already share at least the people with money don't you think give me some feedback here do you think that the Democrats already know that the top three polling Democrats have no chance of winning do you think they know that because I think they do it feels like it's obvious now so that takes you down to number four so number four in the polls is Harris Harris is one of the worst campaigners I think I've ever seen now I remind you that a little over a year ago I predicted her as the nominee the nominee who would go on to lose to trump now I'm gonna stick with my prediction because the prediction always depended on the people polling ahead of her to to

[13:20]

on the people polling ahead of her to to fail and we're watching that happening right now am i right we are watching the top three fail and that was the prediction the prediction was the ones above her would fail so I looked at a analysis by Joe Navarro he's an expert on body language I recommend him in one of his books in my list of persuasion reading so if you googled the persuasion reading list you'll see Joe Navarro's book on body language and he and I we've had some conversations on Twitter just brief I would say disagreements on some body language stuff so I would say he's definitely the expert compared to me but I'm not too bad myself you know I'm more of an advanced hobbyist on body language where he's literally you know a published expert here's what he says

[14:21]

published expert here's what he says about so you went through the body language of the various groups and let me give you some of his takeaways so his main takeaway is that leadership body language would look like this so your your arms would be wide and it would be slow you know smooth motions you say blah blah blah so those of you who can see me I know that if you're listening to it you don't know what I'm doing but imagining I'm putting my arms out wide and I'm moving them smoothly and not too quickly so that's what Joe Navarro says is more typically a leadership look do you remember Bill Clinton he used to do the thumb and he'd be like it was the thumb was gave them a little space basically the more space you take up and the less for an etic you look you and the less jerky you look the more leader lead early you look if you look at Trump he does the you know the hands out like this and he does some of this so Trump does take up some space as well

[15:23]

so Trump does take up some space as well but let's get to let's get to Harris you've you've already heard my criticism of her physical demeanor on stage and you heard me say that she looked jumpy like literally I seemed like her shoulders were going up and down when she talked and it made her look unleash early because she was jerky I watched it again just this morning of the video clip and there was there was something happening that she needs to correct right so here's some free advice for a camel Harris if you look at again you'll see that she was wearing that sort of a shiny blouse underneath their blazer the blouse was a little just rumpled by just the position the shoes standing or a jacket or something the the rumple's on her her blouse were exaggeratedly jumping up and down because she was moving a little so the little bit she was moving when she was talking you

[16:24]

was moving when she was talking you could see her shoulders sort of going up and down cause this whole ocean of motion on her blouse and she's got to change her blouse I mean actually get a different material and design of a blouse because it made her look less leader literally yes that's not the sort of thing she could have possibly seen coming so I wouldn't I wouldn't call it a mistake in the sense that she should have seen it as a problem because nobody would have seen that as a problem now Jo tomorrow I've made the following comment that she that she kept her hands to claw her or elbows too close to her body when she spoke and I had not picked up on that but he's totally right the the elbows in and the jerky motions are totally non leadership body language and I and you know how I kept telling you that she's terrible at this when I said she's terrible at it did you ever hear me say that her words are bad no well

[17:28]

me say that her words are bad no well I'm saying she's the one of the worst campaign you know public campaigners I've ever seen and I've never once said that the words are wrong the words that she uses are good enough you know you could argue that whether they're the best in the world they're not but they're totally good enough earth her her ideas are good enough she's medium enough you know she's she's close enough to the the center of the Democrats that she's better than the top three I remember I'm not telling you that you should agree with her words or thoughts from policies I'm saying that as a Democrat running for president they're pretty solid they're not great but they're at least Hillary Clinton solid wouldn't you say they're at least as good as Hillary was which was pretty good you know Hillary wasn't a great campaigner but she had enough to get to win the popular vote so that's good enough but when you combine Harris is

[18:28]

enough but when you combine Harris is laughing at her own jokes a huge problem let's be honest the laughing at her own jokes will prevent her from being president it would prevent her from getting the nomination if she can stop two things and here's the trick they're both easy they're both easy first thing she has to stop is laughing at her own jokes she can do that now that might not be easy she might not be able to do it like in a day but pretty much people can learn to stop laughing at their own jokes she just has to know it's a big deal I don't know that anybody close to her is telling her Carla I you know I don't want to ruin your enthusiasm but when you laugh at your own jokes you look like more of a dork than a leader
stopping laughing at your own jokes is probably one of the easier things you

[19:30]

probably one of the easier things you could do if it became a priority so I think the only thing that keeps her from from discontinuing that terrible you know public tic is that nobody has told her honestly how it looks so if there's anybody in her campaign who wants to clip out this part of the video and give it to her you will increase your effectiveness about twenty percent on one one day with you could show her 30 seconds of what I'm saying in her effectiveness would go up 20% in one day because I guarantee she can do it she just needs somebody to be honest with her and say don't do that anymore like zero times there are no times you should do that secondly the body language the body language is really easy to change I know that because over my lifetime of you know public presentations and speeches and various public appearances I have

[20:31]

and various public appearances I have learned to intentionally modify my body language until it's my normal body language now I don't have what I would call normal body body language I have a a trained body language for at least for public purposes so you've noticed even when I talk on interviews even when I'm here on video if you notice how much he had an ocean motion I do that I wasn't born to that but I also don't think about it when I'm doing it I'm thinking about it now cuz I'm talking about it but normally if you see me waving my hands around it's not a conscious thought it's now just what I've trained myself automatically to do now the training is easy you just tell yourself larger motions are better smaller motions and tight to your body and jerky motions are bad you have to practice it and it might not be the first day that you can do it but by the third day you can it's not that hard it is really not

[21:31]

can it's not that hard it is really not hard to simply open up you open up your chest you you put on a more serious demeanor you learn to get your motions right and I would say that calmly Harris if she is she corrected two things number one or laughing at her own jokes and maybe and maybe not even try so hard to tell jokes I would love to see her same witticisms I haven't seen a list of them but I would love to see her same level of witticisms delivered with a wry smile you know understanding that it's the audience we should be laughing not her just to see if it works because I don't know if she can deliver that the joke and if she can't deliver she should just avoid it all right so at this point after this last debate I would say that Harris's odds of getting the nomination are the highest they've ever been and

[22:32]

are the highest they've ever been and she's a terrible campaigner to think about that she's literally like very she's notably bad at her public appearances and I still think she has the best chance of getting nominated as of today now that could change because it's sort of a straight line prediction that says the top three are unelectable she's terrible but terrible is still better than unelectable and her two biggest problems are easily fixed somebody just has to tell tell her to do it is somebody she trusts all right so let's talk about health care I had this questions I'm gonna go to the board for a moment excuse me for the bad image you're gonna see here here's more of a question than a point I was trying to rank in my mind as an ignorant consumer of news which health care plans in a very general sense are the ones that are likely to be the least expensive and I

[23:32]

likely to be the least expensive and I have a preliminary opinion and so I want to see if I can give some fact-checking so here's here's the thing our current system you can see at the top and Medicare for all are two that you could argue one is more expensive than the other and people do now problem is that it's apples and oranges our current system is more expensive for some types of people but of course it doesn't cover everybody so the savings come from not covering everybody if you want to cover everybody Bernie says that doing so will be so efficient you can actually save money overall but he's talking overall he is not hiding the fact that some people will pay more money and some people will get free healthcare and not pay any money so so you'll argue all day long about these two things all right which one is saving money but really it's apples and oranges they both

[24:32]

really it's apples and oranges they both save money but in different ways for different people so it's sort of an unsolvable dilemma of which one saves money because we don't really know we're not smart enough economists will disagree and some people will pay more some people will pay less either way but here's my curiosity the third plan is sort of I think a few Democrats were pushing this comma lose won some kind of competitive situation where everybody can get it covered through the Medicare for all if they want it they just have to take it and but at the same time you can keep your private plan and then those would compete so you'd have competitors competing on cost etc so here's my question how is it that we the health care is the biggest deal in the country policy wise and you and I don't really know what any of it would cost even in a ranking sense it's one thing

[25:33]

even in a ranking sense it's one thing if you don't know if it's going to cost you fifteen trillion or thirty trillion well that's a big deal you know fifteen trillion dollars is a big deal but you could still make the decision if you can at least rank them right you wouldn't have to know which ones 15 trillion which ones thirty trillion if you knew for sure which ones were the most expensive and the least expensive because then you would do whatever you could do you take the least expensive this still gets you everything you need and and you'd know you made the right choice even if you could not estimate with any kind of accuracy as long as you could rank them so why can't we why can't we rank them what's why are we at this point and the news business has failed us so much that you and I and consumers in this country can't even tell which is the most expensive let's give us a little hand here we need some help all right did you see that nearly every state's

[26:35]

did you see that nearly every state's attorney general attorneys generals are going after the big tech companies I think Facebook and Google for antitrust jealousy that story I don't think it got enough play in that in the news but just think about that there are almost every state's attorney generals so that's Democrats Republicans but we finally found something that everybody agrees on that Google and Facebook might have too much power monopoly power in particular so that's happening let's keep our eyes on that the other thing Gamla main news for is that she noted that in a three-hour Democrat debate the ABC host didn't ask one question about abortion think about that it was the three hours 10 Democrats talking mostly to their base now once mentioned female reproductive rights it didn't even come up are you kidding me

[27:37]

didn't even come up are you kidding me now maybe ABC would defend that by saying they're basically all on the same side which actually wouldn't be a terrible response because ABC could say yeah but you're sort of all on the same side there's not much to debate on that which might be the case now the other thing that Joe Navarro said is that Andrew Yang's choice did not wear a tie is unambiguously a mistake do you agree I love to see your opinions give me your opinion in the comments hey kitten in the comments say had do you think that yang were not wearing a tie was that a good move or a mistake
I'm looking at your comments now so I'm seeing a difference so the people are on both sides let me tell you why this is easy there Eddie it's easy to know

[28:40]

easy there Eddie it's easy to know whether this is a mistake or it's good here who's gonna vote for him because he because he didn't wear a tie how many votes do you get for your for being tireless none right there's not a single voter who's gonna say you know I don't like use policies but man I love that fact he doesn't wear a tie because I don't wear a tie none not wearing a tie earns you zero zero how many votes might he lose by not looking as presidential according to some voters who may be a minority there might not many of them but do you think there's anybody out there who saying I know I like my President to look like a president I'm a traditionalist and I think that matters some the answer is some so here's here's why it's an unambiguous mistake this was

[29:42]

why it's an unambiguous mistake this was easy and you know it's a no-brainer I even I would wear a tie in that situation I would wear a tie nobody is more anti necktie than the guy who draws Dilbert right the first thing I did when I left corporate America is I took all of my neckties and and literally threw them in the trash and said to myself I am never going to wear a necktie again now of course I lied because when I visited the White House I bought a necktie I think that's maybe I kept one around for emergencies but I you know I ended up buying a necktie to visit the White House just out of respect but even I the most anti necktie person you will ever meet in your life so that is just a clear mistake all right so Navarro was right yang made a an error it did give him maybe a little attention but it probably didn't pay for itself in terms of votes [Music]

[30:48]

is it Jamel Hill I hope I have the right name right there's an african-american I think she was a sports commentator I me have some of the facts wrong here but what she said was so provoked I want to quote it so I think it was Jamel Hill fact check me on that you said something along the lines of it I'm paraphrasing that the reason that Biden has so much respect from the black voters is that black voters they don't think he's qualified but they think he's the only one that white voters will vote for now I laughed when I read that because first of all I can't I don't have a sense of it myself because she's talking about you know the black community and I'm not going to pretend I can get in other people's heads but does that does that ring true to you because I've never heard it quite expressed this way and the reason they laughed is because it was a a novel way to look at

[31:48]

because it was a a novel way to look at it so that my first reaction was not that I agree or disagree it just that it was novel and so I automatically liked it just for that but do you think it's true that black voters are I have no love for Biden whatsoever but they just think he's the only one that other ones that white people will vote for so they want a winner against Trump maybe maybe I like it as a thought I don't know if it's true this was the most this is the TEL that explains everything about our environment right now every once in a while to be some small thing that happens that even though it's a small thing it sort of describes your entire like reality for a moment at least the political reality and it's this it and again if you didn't watch Joe Biden's answer to the legacy of slavery question you don't quite appreciate what I'm

[32:49]

you don't quite appreciate what I'm going to say but he was completely incoherent and babbling and it was clear he didn't have control of his mental faculties you know I'm going to say that yeah I think we can pass through the opinion on that and state that as fact I think that's fair because I think the Democrats are seeing the same thing at this point and despite that he's the leader in the polling and and despite completely breaking down mentally in public a complete mental breakdown you know a complete mental failure to even be able to form sentences in public what is it that that his own team is saying disqualifies him they're saying he's disqualified because of his old-timey reference - or you know playing the record player in black households - to teach them more language skills in other words complete mental incompetence

[33:50]

words complete mental incompetence here's the funny part complete and obvious and total mental and competence did not disqualify Biden from being their choice for president but his comment about a record player which they can interpret as vaguely racist which it wasn't I'll get back to that that's enough to disqualify them so complete mental and confidence in public doesn't disqualify you from being the Democratic candidate but saying something that wasn't racist but they can interpret as racist is disqualified now the reason I say it wasn't racist is because Joe Biden is not a racist end of story say whatever you want to say about him right say he's mentally incompetent I just did say you don't want him to be your president say all of his policies about say he did you know good or bad things with China or the Ukraine or whatever whatever rumor you want to say sniffs people's hairs too

[34:53]

want to say sniffs people's hairs too much say anything bad you want to say about Biden but let's be honest he's not a racist all right he's an old guy he's an old guy who speaks a certain way and you know maybe he should update that while he's not a racist still that's gonna be enough to take him out all right oh let's here's the most provocative thing that you probably didn't notice there was one point where Biden said that nonviolent criminals should not go to jail now shouldn't that have been like the major headline and everybody talking about that but here's the thing nobody's quite sure if he really meant it are you because they could have just misspoken I mean given his mental frailty I don't even know if he meant it I don't know if he knew what he was saying literally I don't know if the words that came out of his mouth were in any way connected to what he thought he

[35:54]

any way connected to what he thought he wanted to say because you have to ask that question now that's a fair question so I don't know if he meant it and I might and my first reaction to I had to be the same as yours right your first reaction when you hear hey maybe nonviolent criminals should not even go to jail I thought are you kidding me so you know Bernie Madoff destroyed you know how many families completely millions of dollars fraud for years every bit of it intentional you tell me that guy doesn't go to jail are you kidding me and then on top of that we see Felicity Huffman actually he's going to get a little jail time 14 days and then a whole bunch of community service for her violating some crimes related to getting her daughter into college very white-collar crimes were where the victim per se exists in a conceptual sense but not a specific person or at least one we can identify so I'm looking

[36:55]

least one we can identify so I'm looking at these two stories and I had the following thought what if Biden's right and here's why what if Biden was ahead of his time what if Biden actually maybe heard somebody come up with a decent explanation of why we could actually have a jail free punishment for nonviolent crimes I'm going to make the case for it here's the case number one don't count the Bernie Madoff so if we were to say let's let's create a policy where nonviolent crimes don't go to jail just deal with me on a hypothetical level it's a thought experiment I'm not proposing it I know some of you get confused is not a proposal we're thinking through it and here's what's changed jail takes away all of your freedom and it takes away all of your privacy and that's what's bad about it no privacy no freedom now what is different about 2019 compared to all the years before 2019

[37:57]

compared to all the years before 2019 and it's sort of a gradual thing so it's not suddenly 2019 but what's different is that today today we can take away your privacy without taking you to jail think about it you don't have to go to jail to have all of your privacy removed imagine if you will and this is just a mental experiment imagine if you will that for the lesser nonviolent crimes I still think you need a separate category for the Bernie Madoff so you should there should be some accounting for the the depth of the victims right yeah the more the victim the worse it is for the victim then you know you have to take that into account somebody mentioned fentanyl dealers those these are good edge cases so what if there's a major fentanyl dealer who you don't know killed anybody but could have you just don't know they were just a major offense until dealer that that person

[38:59]

offense until dealer that that person you know I'm in favor of the death penalty for dealing fentanyl so even if you can't identify this specific victim you know that's my personal preference so let's start with the assumption that there's some nonviolent crimes which by their nature are bad enough that you should still get some jail time so let's all agree that it can be exceptions but that leaves I don't know 75% of all nonviolent crime that you could go to jail for today that are within the the realm of dispute imagine your life if I gave you these two choices are you ready choice number one you go to jail for one year because whatever he did wasn't the worst thing in the world it was some white-collar crime so your choices go to jail for one year your second choice is five years of zero privacy I'm just picking five as to just talk five years of zero privacy now how you would do that there's

[40:00]

now how you would do that there's another discussion maybe we don't quite have the technology maybe you have to wear an Apple watch maybe you have to have your cell phone with you maybe all of your credit card purchases have to be public maybe your maybe you have a record so every time you pay for something you have to pay for it with a a credit card that indicates that you're under the control of the judicial system so now not talking shocked colors I'm talking literally your punishment is a complete lack of privacy now let me ask you would you consider it a punishment for you to have a complete lack of privacy you would when you would you would you want to live for five years with literally anybody being able to go online and find out where you are what you bought and your health records and your financial records all of it every single bit of your entire life that can

[41:01]

single bit of your entire life that can be surfaced in any way through the government involvement or or commercial anything you give away a hundred percent of your freedom your your order of privacy now now go back to Biden's comment that we should look at a way to not jail nonviolent criminals and then you pair it with our current ability to totally punish you while you're free you can be punished pretty darn pretty bad badly you could be you could be deeply punished without being in jail just lose all your privacy now this is one of those things you have to think about for a while I'm watching the comments by the way and the comments are very interesting because usually when I have an idea this wild I'm getting very strong takes on both sides and you know what I'm not seeing I'm not seeing strong takes on either side in other words most of you just said to

[42:03]

in other words most of you just said to yourself some version of holy crap that's not the worst idea I've ever seen now if somebody is not incarcerated what is one of the things that they can do well one of the things they can do is get a job right if you were an employer and you had a choice of hiring somebody that you really couldn't know much about they might take drugs you know they might be a criminal on the side you don't know much about them but they have a good resume enough so you can hire them or let's say you could hire someone who has exactly one crime it was a white-collar crime and now they're completely transparent you will know where that employee is all the time if they tried to steal from you you'd know it because you could see their bank accounts you could actually see their bank account and you'd know if they stole from you just like weird though where did that money come from you would actually it would actually be potentially and again this is this is more of a thought experiment but it's

[43:05]

more of a thought experiment but it's not inconceivable that convicted small crime criminals you know the white collar II nobody got to her kind of criminals could become safer employees than people that you don't know much about because they have privacy think about that so now these people can get jobs now because the president has restricted immigration we need all the employees we can get president says that explicitly as part of his judicial reform he says that we need all the employees where you get including people who have paid their debt so the people who are paying their debt could still get a job could still work and what's the best part pay back the victims thank you comment or pay back the victims so now let's say you're a you're a victim of a non violent crime you have two choices one is your person goes to jail for a year to the person who victimizes

[44:05]

for a year to the person who victimizes you loses all of their freedom for five years and they pay you back a hundred percent which do you choose one do you choose I might take it might take the money now I'm no lawyer so I think you could still sue people you know to try to get your money back in civil court right but if the person's in jail and if they can never get a job again after jail or at least a good month you're not getting your money back so I'm just gonna put that out there I think there's at least a 50% chance that I didn't misspoke and didn't mean anything like that but especially when I saw the Felicity Huffman one is is society better off with Felicity Huffman in jail well we're better off if she's punished right imagine a Hollywood star losing all of her privacy think about it imagine if you personally knew where

[45:05]

imagine if you personally knew where Felicity Hoffman was all the time you would know if she's in their bathroom yeah you wouldn't bill see her but you'd know who's in their bathroom because you could just check her GPS at any time you want if you were a celebrity how terrible would that be for everyone to know where you are you put yourself on house arrest right because you wouldn't even want to leave the house people wouldn't know where you are they they you know they track you down at the grocery store so at least so here's the only takeaway do not rule out that's all I'm saying I'm not saying it's a good idea do not rule out that we could develop a way using technology and privacy and things that are more modern to actually do away with prison for nonviolent crimes now also think about drug offenders drug offenders need something extra well maybe they do need loss of privacy because the loss of privacy for drug

[46:07]

because the loss of privacy for drug users if there were users not dealers a loss of privacy well for either one if you're a dealer or a user of drugs a loss of privacy would certainly put a crimp on your using because part of the loss of privacy might be continuous drug testing here's a question that I thought about I don't want to bring up the whole issue of guns and gun insurance because I did that to death but there was a one takeaway point that was worth visiting number one somebody on Twitter told me and I need a confirmation of this that the state of Massachusetts is actually debating that right now debating the question of insurance and guns I don't know what that looks like but I'll just put put into your head the idea that at least some stranger on Twitter thinks that at least one state is debating at least some form of insurance and guns so I don't know what that looks like but I'd like to know but here's my take away so people said and one of them was a lawyer so I'm going to take you

[47:08]

lawyer so I'm going to take you seriously that it would never be constitutionally appropriate to force people to pay for insurance for a constitutional right which is to own a gun now I'm not a lawyer so that statement I can't even evaluate if that sounds reasonable or not but it doesn't matter to my next point imagine if the model was this instead of making the gun buyer buy insurance directly through an insurance company suppose the government said this we'd like to impose on gun makers just manufacturers a requirement for insurance such that if one of their guns and let's say you could limit it to maybe the the ones that are the most destructive so maybe you would you would make exceptions for shotguns for example or a revolver so you might have some exceptions of what the price would be for the insurance but uh but for the weapons that are let's say generally

[48:09]

weapons that are let's say generally agreed them to be the most dangerous let's say the gun makers were forced to pay a healthy insurance policy and that insurance would pay the emergency services and healthcare for anywhere where one of their guns was used for a crime now you might the first thing you might say to yourself is hey don't do that it's a bad idea so the question I'm I'm not I'm not going to deal with the question whether it's a good or a bad idea that's a separate conversation specifically would that model in which the gun manufacturers were required to have insurance on their own product would it be unconstitutional would it ever be unconstitutional to force a manufacturer to cover insurance for a product that is constitutionally valid so because here's the thing you're the consumer and you walk into the store and you buy a gun that gun has all kinds of

[49:11]

you buy a gun that gun has all kinds of costs passed along to you from the manufacturer the insurance cost would just be one more it would just be one more cost it doesn't feel like that would be unconstitutional so I'm seeing mixed agreements or mixed opinions here so some of you are saying it would be well let me ask you this would it be unconstitutional for the government to require gun sellers to collect sales tax at the point of purchase is it unconstitutional to require a sales tax on a constitutional right to own a gun yeah that through you didn't because there is a sales tax on guns right and if there's a sales tax on guns the government is already imposing limits on your ability to buy something that's a constitutional right now I remind anybody who's new to my periscopes I'm I'm strongly pro-gun pro Second

[50:13]

I'm strongly pro-gun pro Second Amendment but I'm also willing to at least consider all of the different angles on guns so my willingness to consider all angles should not be misconstrued as wanting to take your gun because that's the last thing I want to do all right so that's the question it seems to me if it's legal and constitutional to collect a sales tax on guns it should be at least as legal to require the companies to have their own insurance simply to cover the costs that they have some role in creating through Society I don't think it'll ever become a law but who knows here's some good news apparently the United States killed bin Laden's son one of them I don't know how many have been allotted sons we've killed so far but I'm kind of happy there are a lot of them but my first thought when I heard that we killed bin Laden's son doesn't he have a whole bunch of sons like a dozen or something

[51:14]

bunch of sons like a dozen or something I don't know what the number is but seems like there was a big number and the beauty of this is we can keep killing bin Laden's sons like once a year for years it's like hey okay we killed bin Laden's son again didn't we just do that oh it's another one it's another one and then next year we got we got bin Laden's son which one I think we're up to 23 now and normally I would not feel happy about killing somebody except his bin Laden son and I'm totally and he was a terrorist and so I'm totally happy about killing that guy I I don't know how I could never feel bad about that all right here's an interesting contrast somebody was saying in the news that the Democratic field the candidates are the weakest field of candidates of all time and I would agree with that it is the weakest field of candidates of all time

[52:15]

weakest field of candidates of all time here's the fun fact to compare to it do you remember when Trump ran for president and there were all those Republicans running against him what was the most common thing you heard about the field of Republicans running for president well you heard us consistently it's the strongest strongest group of candidates you've ever seen so when Trump won he beat the strongest field of candidates on his own team ever fielded and I actually agree with that that was a strong field of candidates now there was nobody there who was a superstar like Trump yeah in terms of his ability to move the public but they were all strong every every one of those people I could have seen this president some better than others but they were all president enough in fact it wasn't one person on that stage I think that's true I don't think there was one person on that stage

[53:16]

think there was one person on that stage that I would that I would have worried too much about becoming president you know I might have disagreed with her policies and such but I wouldn't wouldn't be panicked by it and then you look at the Democrat group and even the Democrats are saying this might be the worst field of candidates we've ever run so they're gonna run the worst field of candidates and pick the best of the worst to run against the person who beat just absolutely destroyed the strongest slate of candidates in the history of the United States how does that look as a as a match up that's pretty funny alright I think that's all I wanted to talk about today did I cover everything is there anything else you wanted to hear about oh yeah the drones forgot about that so the in Yemen the hoodies the the ethnic booties I think I'm saying that right

[54:17]

booties I think I'm saying that right are in a war with the ethnic group that is nominally the government there and you've got a Saudi Arabia backing the government you've got Iran allegedly although they deny it but they're they're backing the hootie rebels so the hoodie and if just so you got the visual there's Saudi Arabia imagine this you know big country in Saudi Arabia and then along its lower border the the main is main or only southern neighbor is Yemen so Saudi Arabia has a strong interest in Yemen not being an Iranian proxy because it's right on their border it's pretty dangerous situation if they become that so they of course been backing the government so that they can have their person in charge of Yemen so the hoodies who are this scrappy rebel group that I don't know too much about managed to launch a fairly substantial not fairly substantial is substantial drone attack against Saudi

[55:21]

substantial drone attack against Saudi oil refinery I think it was an oil facility and and pretty much destroyed the thing I mean if you if you base that on the pictures it looks like a lot of it was on fire and so the first thing I don't know is what kind of drones were they were they the big kind of drones they're like airplanes or were they the Hobby size drones that they've weaponized to the point that even a bunch of hobby size drones can take out an oil refinery so somebody says was a big drone yeah so we'll wait to find out if it now obviously if they were big drones they came from Iran right if the hoodie's used big military drones they came from Iran and Iran and Saudi Arabia are now at war now they may not use those words but if those were full-sized

[56:21]

those words but if those were full-sized military ones the hoodie's didn't make them themselves is it Houthis and somebody saying somebody is trying to put it correct my pronunciation and that might be the case
so we have to wait to find out what what's the deal with these drones but even if they're not full-sized military drones it seems unlikely that anyone but Iran was helping them so and I wonder about this because if Iran is doing any of this stuff to try to improve their negotiating position it's certainly a bad play so we'll say anyway we'll wait in that I remember 15 years ago or so I made the prediction that the that the terrorists would all be using drones and that they're coming to this country so that attack on the oil refinery you should expect to see those some of those in the

[57:25]

expect to see those some of those in the United States in the next five to ten years at least could be here so you're gonna see swarm attacks terrorist attacks in this country as soon as somebody can put the resources together because all the science is there and they know it works at this point and how hard could it be to smuggle drones into the country it feels like that would be the easiest thing because you could take the drones apart and just you know ship the parts in different combinations just through FedEx and and nobody's going to look at some little single you know component and think that that's a problem so it feels like it just feels like there's nothing you can do to stop it and we can't it would take it would take 50 years before we had drone jamming technology in every large gathering in the United States and every facility just seems like it's not going to happen

[58:29]

locally shut off the GPS I don't know if shutting off the GPS is going to work anymore because my guess is that the drones either have or will soon have the ability to use google satellite to navigate right if you if you have access to satellite pictures just from you know google and you can do sort of pattern recognition you should be able to tell your drone even a little hobby drone that you buy on Amazon if it can't already do this maybe you can it should be able to just look down know where it starts from so as long as it knows where it starts from it can look at the ground and just follow the roads just it should be able to follow the roads right I don't see any any way that that's not completely doable so even GPS can stop them somebody says Gen 4 is safe from Jones relatively so Gen 4 nuclear technology and that's an

[59:30]

Gen 4 nuclear technology and that's an umbrella term for a number of competing technologies we don't know which one will be the good one yet but their deal is that if they lose power they close down safely the the older and current models and nuclear power if they lose power for an extended time and the backup power isn't enough then they start melting down and it's a big problem so the Gen 4 are built opposite of that we're losing power makes them safer instead of less safe so so the answer is yes a drone attack on a gem for plant for that reason alone would be far safer because power loss is your big risk and then depending on the size of the drone could it or could it not penetrate anything that's got anything nuclear on the inside and I guess that's just a size of drone questions all right that's all I got now and I am going to talk to you all tomorrow have a great day

[1:00:32]

tomorrow have a great day oh and buy my book loser thing available for pre-order November 5th