Episode 653 Scott Adams: Climate Change Debate Winners and Losers, Hong Kong

Date: 2019-09-05 | Duration: 1:04:04

Topics

One-half of a percent of military budget diverted to build the wall Thoughts on each candidate’s performance and policies Projecting a leadership image, policies and appearance Only what the media decides to promote, matters Science believers…believe scientist climate change reports Science believers…do NOT believe scientists on SAFE nuclear power? Our Space Force will require nuclear power development Do anti-nuclear Presidential candidates know that?

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> [!note] Rough Transcript
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## Transcript

[0:09]

hey everybody hey Tyler get in here grab a seat gather around it's time to talk about the big climate debate who are the winners who are the losers well you'll find out today so I just just thirty seconds ago I saw something on Twitter this says that a group of criminals used artificial intelligence to imitate the voice of a CEO and then they called the CEOs subordinates and got them to wire them a whole bunch of money so it seems to me the first AI crime or somebody used a deep fake voice to do a crime over the phone I haven't read the details so I might have some of that wrong but that's not why you're here you're here for the unparalleled pleasure of the simultaneous that doesn't take much to participate all you need is a couple more glasses tiny Charles tacular thermos flask I can't even if we're a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee join me now if you're ready for

[1:14]

coffee join me now if you're ready for the simultaneous sip all you have to do is lift it to your lips in a simultaneous way and you'll have a dope immediate that will last you all day go oh it's better every time am i right I'm alright so Debra Messing and Eric McCormack continue to prove to the world that they don't have smart and friends to talk them out of doing whatever the hell they're doing every day the latest is Debra Messing apologizing for something she tweeted about a sign that was offensive I guess and in her tweet apologizing she mentions the fine people hoax but not as a hoax as if it's real and I'm thinking to myself I don't know if there's another level of stupid like when you've climbed the the summit of being completely hoaxed about everything and not understanding the slightest thing about politics not knowing the basic facts of what did or did not happen

[2:15]

facts of what did or did not happen maybe you should stop talking in public maybe it's time time for an intervention you should make some friends Debra and Eric make some friends who can tell you to just maybe be a little bit quieter let's talk about Hong Kong so Hong Kong there seems to be something that people are calling a victory as the chief executives Carrie Lam so she's a I guess the leader in Hong Kong decided to withdraw the controversial extradition bill the one who said you could be grabbed from Hong Kong and tried in a Chinese mainland Court and that started all the the protests so that was withdrawn problem solved right right well here was my prediction and we won't know if my prediction was right yet what is kind of looking good my prediction was that China wins in the end but here's the trick the end is as long

[3:19]

but here's the trick the end is as long as you want it to be it could be a hundred years could be 300 years but China will have full control of Hong Kong or Hong Kong will destroy China from the inside one of those two things is going to happen and I think China is certainly have the upper hand here so while it appears that this particular obnoxious extradition law has been sidelined it's not over or even close to over a related story that's in the news is that apparently China is flooding Hong Kong with mainland immigrants that's right China is playing the long game they're going to change the people who live in Hong Kong overtime until there are enough regular mainland Chinese over there that there's not enough of a majority to resist just they'll just say well we're trying to do so why should it be different so yes I'm

[4:22]

so why should it be different so yes I'm calling them immigrants but they're immigrants from China to China you the sense that they're going from the mainland to Hong Kong no I don't know if that's what that report is true that could be hyperbole too but my larger point is that China doesn't have one lever to push one lever to pull they have lots of levers and they have infinite time so if you have lots of levers an infinite time it doesn't matter if you had to temporarily move one back in place it's gonna happen it'll just take longer people complaining about President Trump diverting some of his military budget 3.9 billion over to building the wall now let's say that that doesn't get stopped by the courts I don't know if there's a legal challenge there always there's always a legal challenge to everything but let's say it goes ahead they and they start building some wall with that 3.9 billion is that a big pain point for the military that they had to

[5:24]

point for the military that they had to give up that money from from what it was previously budgeted for construction projects in the military yeah I'm sure it will cause the pain but let's put it in perspective shall we let's put it in perspective 3.9 billion is what percentage of the total military budget well I don't know I just off the top of my head I think it's half of 1% so I believe that half of one percent of the total military budget got diverted to the wall says seem like a lot well it's a lot if the entire amount came out of one budget let's say the construction budget but is there anything that would stop and there might be so this is a question not a not a rhetorical question is the right thing that would stop the rest of the military from saying you know what we'll kick in half of one percent of our budget to make that military budget whole again maybe that's

[6:27]

military budget whole again maybe that's illegal maybe you can't move move buckets then you know there's a good chance that's not legal but in a practical world in a practical sense if the other if the other budget categories within the military just said you know I'll give up Apple what half of 1% I'm not even going to know the difference and then your military budget is whole again so it's not the end of the world it's just may be inconvenient a little bit so I think Trump Trump very much like mainland China in this case it seemed the Trump was going to pull every lever push every door turn every doorknob you know kick every wheel to try to find some money to work on this wall it looks like he did and best of all he's making Mexico pay for the wall by making Mexico mobilized their military in that in essence it's paying

[7:28]

military in that in essence it's paying for border security on behalf of the United States uh you know I like to think that if this situation were reversed I would have the same opinion but in my opinion as we're watching Mexico's it to spend a lot of money to mobilize their military to control their southern border at least it looks to me exactly like Trump got Mexico to pay for the wall you know it's just not a physical wall it's just border security now if this were reversed and there were and let's say Obama had said I'm gonna make Mexico pay for the wall okay they didn't pay for the actual bricks or the you know the metal for the actual wall but they did mobilize their entire military to guard the border and it's as good as a wall in many ways and it's faster would I say in that case just because it was Obama and not Trump would I say oh no Obama no nice try nice try

[8:28]

I say oh no Obama no nice try nice try you said you were gonna build a wall that Mexico is gonna pay for the wall they didn't pay for the wall they paid for something that was just as good but and faster so you lose Obama they didn't pay for the wall they paid for something else that does the same thing but much faster because you can move troops faster than you built a wall what I have said hahaha Bhama another broken promise I don't think so I mean I'd like to think I wouldn't have because as a you know a trained economist I see things as somewhat fungible meaning that some things are perfect replacements or nearly perfect replacements for other things and that I I would reasonably treat them as similar so troops on the border wall on the border largely similar and they both require money so I'm gonna give credit

[9:31]

require money so I'm gonna give credit to let me let me call they let me call the game right now I call the game in favor of Trump his primary campaign promise is now kept that's my that's my ruling and I swear to God if this had been reversed and this has been Obama doing everything that Trump is doing and it made the same promise I would have said Obama okay credit Obama you did exactly what you said you do didn't look the way we expected it but yeah that's it that's exactly what you said you do you get Mexico to pay for the wall but they use troops instead just as good and you've got money for the wall and you started building it that's why you said you do I give I give Trump the wind a clean win I don't even I swear to god that's not even a gray area in my mind of course it might be in other people's minds but in my mind that's not a gray area Trump made a promise and it looks like he kept it

[10:34]

promise and it looks like he kept it even if you don't like it it looks like he kept his promise so let's talk about the seven hours of climate debate now like most people I could not struggle through the entire debates but I caught a lot of the you know clips I was I was dipping in and out you know during the thing and I was trying to get a sense because most people are not going to watch the whole thing you know very few people watch CNN to begin with and and even fewer of those who love CNN are going to watch that entire thing so you can't say that the entire body of the debate affected the outcome what you can say is whatever bubbles up as the clips that will be played and replayed or the quotes which will be picked out of it those things which are very selective summaries and at a context and anecdotal that stuff might make a

[11:35]

anecdotal that stuff might make a difference because that's the stuff that will travel you know everything that was said that did not get picked up as a as a video clip or a quote that stuff's dead nobody saw it it doesn't matter what you said during that debate if it didn't turn into a news story a clip or a video that people are going to see didn't happen it was as if it didn't happen so let's talk about just the things that other people so it doesn't matter what you and I thought should have been pulled out of that debate as important let's look at what was pulled out by the major news industries and by by social media especially and I know you want to talk want me to talk first about Biden's bloody eye all right I'm a little confused on this story I'll tell you the story but with doubt in my voice so everything I'm going to say put a put a big doubt around it I don't think anything I'm about to say is credible but I'm gonna say it anyway with that caveat so I saw in social media so talk

[12:38]

caveat so I saw in social media so talk about Biden's eye one of his eyes literally bleeding as he was talking on stage and so I said to myself what his eye not bleeding externally but turning red and I thought well I'll look so I pulled out my phone and I've got you know a big screen phone and I called it up and I watched the section where people said his eyes turning red couldn't see it couldn't see it on video now I thought well maybe that's just because my phone screen is small so I can see it later I saw on some right-leaning web
web sites a photograph that was more of a close-up and it showed that one I had a bunch of obvious redness and I thought to myself well is that photo real because you know you can't trust anything right the fact that there's a photograph and it's being reported in a

[13:40]

photograph and it's being reported in a website you've heard of you know one you've read before does that mean it's real I guess was on Drudge etc does that make it real because you saw a photograph of it not really not really so just the fact that it was the photograph and it was on a major new site which is generally reliable I'm not sure I believe it yet I will tell you this two prominent pundits shall we say who will remain unnamed but to people you've heard of that you know name names you've seen on Twitter and in the world I'll just say that two of them independently messaged me during during the climate debate and they both said and I thought this is the interesting part they used the same phrase he's done about Biden because of the bloody eye so two people who just had our bloody eye done now I don't know if that means

[14:43]

done now I don't know if that means everybody was thinking that but it's weird that I got two messages and they used the same language he's done that that's clearly the end of it but here's the thing see now my eye is hitching because I'm thinking of by dihn's eye and I'm reading all your comments about his eye and I made by I go weird from suggestion like literally literally that's what happened your suggestion and talking about his I've made my I feel free strange and then I was like what's wrong with my eye so and then I said okay I'll wait wait for the morning and I'll see if CNN or Fox News is reporting on this alleged bleeding guy and they're not now it doesn't surprise me if CNN doesn't report on it
Fox News didn't report out it either I'm not sure it happened or if something happened I don't know if it happened on stage or if he just had a little red eye problem that's literally nothing I mean

[15:45]

problem that's literally nothing I mean have no idea so I'm right in the middle of somebody says Fox did a report on it it's not under Fox News site so they may have done something live but if they didn't commit it to print or did not commit it to a story on their website that might indicate that they have some question about it all right so yeah the fact that it was talked about on air would be a different level of credibility because you can talk about what people are talking about on air and you can speculate and stuff because it's life but by the time it's committed to a website story it means they're fairly certain that they're talking about something that's real and I haven't seen that yet so I got a problem that I don't know what this means what really happened how read it was I just have my questions why it's being ignored now I don't think the CNN would ignore it even though it's a Democrat because they they were there

[16:47]

a Democrat because they they were there was a story on CNN today which they were showing the Stephen Colbert interview with Joe Biden which was not good for Joe Biden because the interview was about all of his gaffes etc and I thought well if CNN's running something about you know Biden's gaffes and losing his mind they're not really Pro Biden so there's that and so if CNN didn't mention it Fox News is sort of playing it down I don't know if it's a big deal let's talk about how some of the other candidates fared I would say the big loser of the night was Elizabeth I'm sorry the big loser of the climate debate I thought was kemal Harris she's terrible it's really terrible you know my my prediction from a year ago that she would end up being the nominee because

[17:48]

would end up being the nominee because the other ones would fall apart for different reasons and it would just be you know she's one this left that assumed a minimum level of capability which she is not demonstrating now when I say a minimum level of capability I mean somebody who could be a senator I mean she is a senator but I think you could you know throw a dart into Congress and find almost anybody who would have more charisma and more leadership skills when talking in public here's what she does wrong number one body language terrible she's all you know like playing with her hands she's doing some of their hands and yeah she just looked uncomfortable and weak up there that was terrible she doesn't dress well she's unfortunately eight to make a fashion comment but we live in a shallow

[18:49]

comment but we live in a shallow civilization in the same way that president Trump's haircut and fitness and an age were part of the discussion and should be because people are influenced by those things likewise Carla Harris has the potential to be like really well put together in in every sense from fashion to Fitness to just naturally having a having an interesting look but she's not using it she's just not putting it all together I don't know what's up with that but she speaks tentatively she doesn't speak like a leader she doesn't seem to understand power and and leadership she has no leadership instinct whatsoever they you can see within live questions she's much better when she's she's grilling people from prepared questions in Congress and I got fooled by that act because when she had prepared questions and she was in her her element she was

[19:49]

and she was in her her element she was actually strong and and she looked very capable but as soon as she gets into the wild she can't handle the questions she's too giggly so the the entire you know event was about climate change and the reason that was the event a reason that there was the focus is because it is presumed by all the people involved that it's the biggest existential problem to the planet Earth if you've got only a few minutes on stage to talk about the biggest problem on the planet the one that might kill millions or billions that's that's what they believe right they believe this is a threat to the planet and it's not a small threat it's not a remote threat it's like a real immediate freakin threat the whole planet so that's what they think it is so what did canola use for a limited time to talk about straws straws she

[20:50]

time to talk about straws straws she talked about she was trying to sort of paste the people and say how bad it was to use these paper straws but they they have to be eliminated anyway the plastic ones now could you talk about something less important than that is there anything less important than the United States talking about eliminating plastic straws first of all I don't know if this is true but they're you know they're there's reason to believe that Asia and someplace else is is responsible for 95 percent of all the plastic straws that end up at the ocean you know wherever they end up maybe that's true maybe it's not here's the way I look at it I have personally spent a lot of time at beaches over my life if you count every time I've ever gone to the beach every time I've ever been in vacation where there's a beach I've seen a lot of beach in a lot of different places I've been

[21:50]

in a lot of different places I've been in a lot of seawater I've been on the water I've been on you know little excursions and which you get in a boat you go somewhere and I've never seen a straw in the water I've never even seen one did they float they fall in the bottom where the straw is going my entire life I don't believe I've ever one straw in the ocean now I'm not saying it's not a big problem pollution in the ocean presumably is a very big problem I mean you know I don't I don't see it visually but one assumes that it probably is so if you're a voter and you're looking for leadership and you see Carla Harris talking about straws and you've never even seen the straw in the ocean you can't even imagine if you were tasked with trying to come up with the least effective thing you could say on the topic of climate while the public is

[22:51]

the topic of climate while the public is watching it is the least effective thing you could do is talk about the quality difference between a plastic and a paper straw and that's what Camille Harris did with her limited time on stage it was one of the most jaw-dropping failures of leadership instinct I've ever seen in my life now you might say to yourself okay President Trump does these little diversions too he talks about you you know in some of this don't even make sense because he talks about for example if the windmill stops you can't watch TV but when I watched the president say that I receive it as a joke he doesn't literally mean you can't watch TV when the windmills stop he doesn't literally mean that and that's what's funny about it
it it's just Gordon sort of weird and he's sort of making the the point the larger point that you know the renewables are not consistent the television part just turns it into a funny anecdote or yeah a

[23:54]

turns it into a funny anecdote or yeah a funny comment basically turns it into a joke form that you can understand so his are completely different President Trump never leaves and has never left since the beginning of the his campaign leadership mode in other words when Trump showed up he never left he never took off his suit Trump never took off his suit even to visit Iowa he's the smartest one to visit Iowa because he didn't take off his suit other people have done it before but he never once became a person of the people he never once became a dad or a grandfather you know he does he does he waves his hands at those things as pictures with his grandkids but he's never even when he has a picture with his grandkid he's wearing his suit so Trump knows that if you want to sell yourself as a brand you don't leave the brand take camel Harris so she left the

[24:55]

brand take camel Harris so she left the brand entirely to talk about the difference between straws it wasn't a funny anecdote it just was useless but then she also had this comment about your babies see if I wrote that one down she says something about you know think about your babies and your grandpa oh yeah here it is
so this is another thing Harris said she said as it relates to those Republicans in Congress where I've now been for two and a half years okay so that's stupid she should not say that she's only been a senator for two and a half years because if you didn't know that you might assume she'd been a senator longer so that's the first stupid thing I mean it's just a mistake there's there's no other there's no other way to say that she should not use her limited time to say that she's only been in Senate two-and-a-half years because nobody is gonna think that's a long time nobody is going to register that as ready or experienced now I realize Obama hadn't

[25:56]

experienced now I realize Obama hadn't been in office long either but Cobb lares is not Obama you know she doesn't have what he had which is a whole set of tools that she's not even close all right so he goes on she says every one of those members need to look at the babies and the grandbabies in their life and then look in the mirror and ask themselves why have they failed to act so here is Komal Harris going into what I would call mom filter so she leaves the leadership filter and she goes into a mom point of view and the mom point of view is look at my baby look at my grandkid so I guess you call it grandma mom point you now there's nothing wrong with mom point of view if you're running to be a mom if you're running to be the leader of the nation don't talk like your mom that's leaving best that's getting off-brand so even if everything she says is true and valid and it's perfectly

[26:57]

is true and valid and it's perfectly reasonable through the filter of a mother or a parent's eyes that's all fair to say but it takes her end of leadership mode you just can't see her as a leader you just see her as a mom complaining about stuff and then it got worse for her so Kamala was asked about nuclear power which I'll talk about with the other candidates as well and she demonstrated in my opinion that she has not looked into it let that register for a moment the entire event was about climate change the existential threat to the planet and say the people who were there and the most important variable to whether we can solve this problem that they say exists I'm not saying it doesn't I'm just you know trying to I've tried to avoid the question of whether it's true or false I'm just talking about what they believe and and the biggest variable nuclear energy

[27:59]

biggest variable nuclear energy literally the only thing that these smart people say could get us to where you need to go fast enough and is popular on both sides Democrats and Republicans could probably get behind it she showed that she hadn't looked into it that's as hard as you can fail what's your let me show you the hardest failure in the world Scott what's your number one issue in the world climate change Scott what do you think we should do about the number one most important element to your most important subject climate change yeah what what is what do you think of nuclear the most important variable and I say I haven't really looked into it all credibility is go now she didn't say I haven't looked into it but you could tell from her answer that she had sort of a I haven't really paid attention to it answer she said

[29:00]

paid attention to it answer she said well I'm very concerned about storing the nuclear waste she did not say it can't be done she did not say and here here's your tell I'm gonna give you a tell for finding out if somebody has even looked into nuclear energy now if they even looked into it ask them what person how much real estate you would need to store all of the nuclear waste that we'd be generated if we replaced our entire grid with nuclear we're not going to do that but let or even say half let's say to replace half of our grant or half of our power need with nuclear energy what would be the total real estate you need to store all every bit of the nuclear waste that's made from all of that is it a thousand miles is it one acre now I don't know the exact answer to that but

[30:02]

don't know the exact answer to that but I will tell you it's closer to one acre it's a lot closer to one acre than it is to a mile over a hundred miles or something now there's certainly an issue about where you put it but where are we putting it now who asked that question where are we putting the nuclear waste now because suppose the nuclear waste all the nuclear waste we have has filled up in its various places collectively two acres I don't know if it has taken that much but let's say all of it together takes two acres what if we just put a few more barrels where that stuff already is are people gonna complain extra because you put some extra barrels there I'm not sure there's any problem there I feel as though she hadn't looked into it she just took the top level things she'd heard I'll say something about nuclear waste so I don't have to commit to nuclear power because I don't know how to defend it totally didn't know the most important

[31:05]

totally didn't know the most important so cover here's I'm gonna say this is why you listen to me this next thing I'm going to say I don't know if I'm gonna say it yeah I'm gonna say it I'm gonna say it for entertainment I'm going to say this is an opinion right so the next thing that comes out of my mouth cannot be supported by science and facts this is purely an opinion calm layers has a submissive personality that's it now you don't have to you know take that into the bedroom further your interpretation but the fact is she has a submissive personality you can see it in her body language you can see it in the way she talks and I don't see that she has a fire in her belly to be a leader she looks like a follower and she looks

[32:07]

she looks like a follower and she looks like she would be more comfortable as one now that's an opinion but remember we're you know the voting public is going to be looking at all these characters and they're going to be forming opinions which are not always fact-based some of it's just the impression you get so that's I guess that's as far as I'll go I'll say it's the impression I get but of course I can't I can't read her mind right so I can't know that it's true because I can't see what's in her head but what she's projecting is pure submissive energy and there's just no way that becomes president so I'm not going to change my original prediction that she gets the nomination because that wouldn't be fair because nothing you know they you know I made the prediction based on the the people above her being completely unelectable that's still true but it might be there whoever gets the nomination is even lower in the ranking than Harris's because they might have to

[33:07]

than Harris's because they might have to go right over all right let's talk about the other people let's see Bernie Sanders is anti-nuclear and Elizabeth Warren are both opposed but in different ways Warren said that she would oppose nuclear energy as a way to combat climate change should she collected and she said we're not going to build any nuclear power plants and we're going to start weaning ourselves off at nuclear energy and replacing it with renewable fuels Warren said adding that she hopes to phase out nuclear power by 2035 that is basically surrendering the country let me give you an argument that you haven't heard but you're gonna hear more of it sometimes I cheat because I know about things before you do so I can tell you what's coming before before you see it here's an argument that you haven't heard before then you're gonna hear for the first

[34:08]

then you're gonna hear for the first time and when I tell you you're gonna say this oh you ready you're gonna say that to yourselves quietly or maybe out loud but as soon as I tell you this this way of thinking about nuclear energy in the future of the United States you're gonna say oh I didn't think about that here it comes space force you can't militarize space without nuclear power and you're not going to be able to dominate space without having a very robust nuclear industry that's not only producing nuclear experts but it has enough of them that some of them are working on on space force if we don't have control military control of space we will have given it away to China to Russia maybe to India maybe to somebody else look at

[35:11]

to India maybe to somebody else look at the comments am I wrong I'm not wrong if you let your nuclear industry atrophy which is Warren and Sanders intention they are intentionally ceding outer space to our biggest military opponents if we give up our space we're also giving up the country because whoever owns space owns the planet there's no getting around that whoever owns space around the planet is in control of the planet for all practical purposes because it's hard to shoot stuff up but it's kind of easy to shoot stuff down if you know what I mean so I would say that Warren and Bernie have explicitly surrendered the United States to China I mean that's as clear

[36:15]

States to China I mean that's as clear as it could possibly be if you don't have a robust and and in and continually improving nuclear industry you can't you can't populate space can't be done so we'd be giving up space you haven't heard that before had you to tell me you've ever heard that argument before you're gonna hear it in the future so mark my words on that here's the the most fun part both cory booker and andrew yang are I guess I could say pro-nuclear yeah I guess I could say pro-nuclear now yang gets to another level of detail so yang talks about a thorium and you know there's a conversation about whether thorium is is the future or where it has problems but he at least knows what it is how many of

[37:16]

he at least knows what it is how many of the candidates running for president could have a conversation about thorium reactors compared to standard light water reactors how many could even be in the conversation I think - probably Booker because remember Booker is super smart and he's not explicitly here's what he said about nuclear it needs to be part of the fight against climate change and he said blah blah blah the people who oppose it are quote aren't looking at the facts so Cory Booker brilliant guy you know even if you don't like his politics even if you don't like your style or whatever he's a brilliant guy like super smart you know credentials for educational credentials etc and he says that you could only be against nuclear energy if you haven't looked at the facts ouch how do any of the non-nuclear

[38:19]

ouch how do any of the non-nuclear candidates you know how do they contrast with that and not look like troglodytes because first of all they don't understand climate change they just know what people are saying about climate change and they certainly don't understand the primary a variable that could change the climate change situation if it's what scientists say it is so I have to say that cory booker and andrew yang just just just rose above the crowd because if you're having an entire event about let's believe science and you haven't looked into at least the pros and cons of nuclear energy if you don't even understand the topic the way the way apparently weren't harris does not understand the topic you can't make any claim to be having science on your side so here's why yang and Booker have done right if you're going to go out

[39:19]

done right if you're going to go out there and say climate change is a real big problem and science says so and if you don't agree with science you're you're a freakin idiot so that's the Democrat argument right you have to be on the right side with science if you can say that sentence and then you can also say and and science is also very clear that at the moment there is no better solution than a robust nuclear energy if you can say both of those things you're at least consistent with science that doesn't mean you're right right that's different but at least it makes sense if you say I love science you've got to say I you know I agree with the scientists on climate change but I also agree with the scientists on nuclear energy that's consistent but he but look at poor Elizabeth Warren who's got to run on this platform I believe scientists when they talk about climate change but I don't believe scientists when they talk about nuclear

[40:21]

scientists when they talk about nuclear energy that's what she has to run on are you freaking kidding me now look what Trump yeah Trump doesn't do a good job with nuclear you just doesn't really talk about it much but here's what he could do against that well is enough I'm glad you're picking and choosing your science say like science when it happens to fit your socialist ideals and climate change but you don't like science when science proposes a solution for the very thing you think is a problem why why do you like science sometimes and sometimes don't here's what I say I say that reasonable people can disagree on the science but reasons though people cannot disagree with the following statement nuclear energy is the only way we know to meet our nuclear deeds in a clean energy way because it's consistent power as opposed to irregular power of renewables now if President Trump said that he would not have to have an opinion on climate change per se he

[41:23]

opinion on climate change per se he could just say well whether you have climate change problems or not you're still going to need the energy you still want your energy costs to go down because that's good for the poor it's good it's good for the poor if energy costs go down and we need a consistent reliable network etc so the president has a very consistent statement which is we can't be sure about climate change but we are sure that there's only one known way to get us a cleaner better abundant and cheap energy and so let's do it let's look at somebody else Klobuchar so Klobuchar is a kind of an interesting candidate because she seems so reasonable and very much in the Joe Biden let's not get too crazy mode but because Biden has absorbed all of the sort of middle-of-the-road boring Democrats

[42:24]

middle-of-the-road boring Democrats let's call them the boring Democrats versus the aoc and the Bernie Sanders who are the exciting Democrats so the boring Democrats are pretty much Joe Biden people but what happens if Joe Biden drops out what happens if people say ah darn it I wanted Joe Biden but I'm gonna have to go to my second choice because he dropped out if that happens who do you go to as your second choice after Biden well Klobuchar is kind of in there but I would think that if she were ever going to have the type of popularity that would make you present we would have seen more of it by now meaning that she would just she would naturally been popular in the way that let's say somebody like yang or Buddha jej are popular so you see the yang and Buddha jej get a lot of energy they create a lot of energy whereas Klobuchar doesn't

[43:25]

lot of energy whereas Klobuchar doesn't seem to create in the energy so without that it's hard to imagine that she could rise but I want to say one compliment to Klobuchar the people I worry about as leaders are the ones who can't take advice now you don't want your leader to be you know too too dependent on advice you want them to have their own opinions as well but you want somebody who can listen to a better idea and then implement it because it's just a better idea and I've been looking at and I realized this sounds shallow but wait for the whole thing Klobuchar until last night at least that's the first I noticed had the worst haircut I've ever seen on a woman am i right her hair is that the right word for a woman is a hairdo or a haircut for her hairstyle until last night that's the first time I saw the update hairstyle that looks great she she had a

[44:26]

hairstyle that looks great she she had a dumb and Dumberer haircut now I don't mean literally like that movie Dumb and Dumber but if you were going to run for president and you were going to choose a hairstyle you would not choose a dumb and Dumberer hairstyle you know like Jim Carrey and the movie Dumb and Dumber you wouldn't do that because everybody would look at and say well that's not a leader haircut that looks like somebody who doesn't know what he looks like that looks like somebody who's so clueless or has no friends to tell them to change their haircut klobuchar to look like that she looked like somebody who had no friends to tell her to change her hairstyle but I tuned in last night and I thought holy cow she changed her look it looks like she may have changed more than her hairstyle because I don't maybe the hair style changed the whole look maybe maybe your makeup got an upgrade or something so because she's a woman I don't want to dwell on appearance I will say that I would say the same set of

[45:27]

say that I would say the same set of things about a male candidate Joe Biden's hair plugs probably hurt him wouldn't you agree but I would say that whatever work he's had on his face probably helped him because it did you know smooth things out a little bit I would say the president Trump's haircut is certainly an issue there are probably some people who were on the fence and just couldn't get behind his haircut I think that's the thing I think Chris Christie had a weight problem that would have limited the number of people willing to vote for him wear a shallow a bunch of preachers but if you don't recognize how shallow we are and you don't if you don't manage your campaign to to at least take advantage of our shallowness well you're not really trying because if you don't understand that your appearance is part of your package that's not trying right look at Pete Buddha judge he looks great wouldn't you agree Pete Buddha judge

[46:29]

wouldn't you agree Pete Buddha judge looks terrific you know his hair looks good he looks fit he dresses well you know he knows that the package is the whole package there's not a little bit of package a solo package now Bernie's got his own thing going on because because bernie is you know you bernie is aggressively what would you call it unkempt so Bernie's whole brand is I'm just gonna be a mess but listen to my policies now he makes it work I do think that Bernie's appearance probably costs them some votes because again people are shallow and they see their president as sort of an accessory to themselves so you don't want you don't want a bad accessory in the same way that you don't want a boyfriend or girlfriend who has an embarrassing automobile you might say I love my boyfriend or girlfriend but my boyfriend or girlfriend has an embarrassing automobile it would bother you it wouldn't be necessarily a

[47:32]

you it wouldn't be necessarily a deal-breaker but it would bother you you wouldn't want to get out of that car so so props to club HR for changing that visual element and doing it very well I thought I thought whoever worked on her or whoever worked with her to get her new look kind of nailed it kind of nailed it yeah I'm not you know I'm not making a comment about beauty or sex appeal or any of that I'm trying to keep it out of the realm of sexism as much as I can I'm just saying that she went from and embarrassingly I mean just awkward looking a haircut to really nailing it looking looking pretty sharp so that might help you might see her I don't know I don't know if her ranking will go up just because she she sort of disappears in the rest let me talk about yang Yang has a little bit of the calmly

[48:33]

yang Yang has a little bit of the calmly Harris problem but a different form of it in the way that Komal Harris doesn't stay in leadership mode she she turns into mom mode and sort of submissive mode and those are off-brand if he tried to be a leader yang might be the smartest or one of the smartest people a cory booker's pretty smart elizabeth warren's pretty smart actually most of the candidates are pretty smart Boone a judge is brilliant so you'd have a lot of smart people there but yang Yang is one of them and his problem is that he slips into nerd mode now I love nerds you know I love my nerds right if you're the creator of Dilbert you probably like your nerds I love my geeks I love my technical people if you're on the spectrum I love you probably a little extra all right so I love engineers I mean it's a it's a personality type that I'm just drawn to because I think the same way you know

[49:35]

because I think the same way you know I'm not an engineer but I tend to think in similar structure so I love Yang's vibe because he embraces the sort of the geeky side of himself without being too technical in other words he manages to simplify and also look like he could handle details it's that's the tough thing to do and I give him a lot of credit for that I would say the yang has over performed more than anybody else's overperformed meaning he's gotten farther than you know the smart people would have suggested was possible and he did it with skill all right none of his luck yang is climbing up through the ranks with skilled alright yeah but and some of them you know the other candidates it's a little bit more

[50:35]

other candidates it's a little bit more about exposure it's a little bit amount more about well I want free health care you know so there are a variety of reasons why people would like the other candidates but there's only one person who's been who started you know way back in the pack and just started to to to just moving himself up a little bit at a time to gathering support all through skill can't ignore how much skillett took for him to get this far into the pack more skill than anybody else has demonstrated but here's the problem that skill is not looking like leadership skill even if you tell yourself I would love to have a leader who has you know that grasp of the world and that ability to communicate and obviously as ability to get people excited he's interesting on stage he seems to have good intentions does not seem to be doesn't seem to be Wed to

[51:37]

seem to be doesn't seem to be Wed to some some ideological you know anchor seems to be mentally flexible like he's got a lot going on that people are noticing and they like it but I don't know if it looks like a leader in other words there's a there's a vibe that he collectively gives off that looks like he'd be a really good senator or he'd be a really good adviser yeah he looks like he would could be one of the most important people in the country in terms of being able to understand topics communicate them you know create you know energy around them he might be one of the most important people that I've ever you know walked around in 2019 but he doesn't give off the I'm never taking my suit off even when I'm with my grandkids leadership vibe that Trump

[52:39]

grandkids leadership vibe that Trump does indeed there was a there was a was that this this set of debates where he hanged in a tweet and he said that he just learned there was no dress code for the debate and you know he said it kind of humorously as if maybe he won't wear a suit to a presidential debate now I love how geeky that is yeah totally it paces me in the sense that I don't like wearing suits either so as a human being I loved his his sweet you know just on the human level I was like oh that's funny wouldn't it be funny if he showed up without a suit but if you're trying to be President of the United States don't even joke about taking your tie off you know if you're a guy and if you're a woman whatever whatever is the comparable to that but you know if you're a woman don't say you're gonna show up to work in your jogging pants because there's no

[53:39]

in your jogging pants because there's no dress code I don't want to hear that I want to hear that you sleep in your suit I think Trump sleeps in his suit if we didn't see pictures of him golfing I would think he actually liked falls in bed with a suit um you know at night so Trump is still putting off the leader alpha vibe and it never it never goes on a character it's always leader it's always alpha even if you don't like it it's always those two things yang is human very smart human very capable human but he's human he's he hasn't quite nailed the Alpha leadership thing he feels like the guy you want working for the leader you know the one who's in the room who says up you know you haven't thought about this yet you know or maybe you should explain it this way because he'd be great at that but I don't know if he's selling himself as the Alpha leader that that people are looking for let's talk about I'm

[54:45]

looking for let's talk about I'm watching with great interest Bernie and Elizabeth Warren splitting votes I will say that I think Elizabeth Warren won the night because there are little there are fewer know videos of her talking so she ended up not making news so Elizabeth Warren didn't make any news which is good because she wants to avoid mistakes at this point and most of the news was about you know people people did something wrong but here's my question if Bernie and Elizabeth Warren are serious about their own
opinions about how to run the country yes if they believe their own speeches then both of them know that eventually one of them needs to throw their full support to the other because they're the closest in philosophy now if you are

[55:46]

closest in philosophy now if you are Bernie and you're assessing your own odds and you're looking at Warren does Bernie think that he has a better chance of winning then Elizabeth warmed because remember Elizabeth Warren has the female advantage and if you're running as a Democrat being a white old white guy isn't your strongest look for getting out the vote don't you think Bernie has to realize and probably pretty soon that Warren is the better version of him the more electable version of Bernie let me put it this way you're a voter and you have a choice between Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders let's imagine hypothetically he had that choice Bernie Sanders lost to the person who lost to Trump think about that Bernie lost to Hillary and Hillary lost to Trump he

[56:46]

Hillary and Hillary lost to Trump he said he's a double level loser in this exact race right because the last one was about Trump - you don't pick the person who lost - the person who lost to the person you're gonna run against Elizabeth Warren has never run for president and therefore she has never lost anybody and people would relish the matchup because because Trump has been mocking her for the pocahontas thing forever people would love it so if you're birdy there's got to be at least some part of your mind because Bernie's you know he still has all of his faculties unlike Biden Bernie looks like he still has his entire mind Bernie has to know that if he wants his policies or some version of the things he wants to become policy the very best thing can do is to bow well and endorse warrant if he doesn't do that and fairly

[57:50]

warrant if he doesn't do that and fairly soon he's not credible because it means it's about Bernie and not about the country if Bernie cares about the country he will throw all of his support and fairly soon to Elizabeth Warren because she has a far better chance of winning she's younger she can get the female vote more capably and she'd be a more fun matchup so that's what I'm watching I think Bernie has some explaining to do as to why he's making things harder for the very policies he's promoting so his very existence makes his own policies less likely to happen if he wants his policies to win he gets out of the race and puts all of his support to Warren so if you don't see that it's not about the policies alright let's talk about this so I watched I watched Biden answer some

[58:55]

so I watched I watched Biden answer some questions and my feeling was that he's just not all there and I'm not talking about the famous gaffes because you could explain away the gaffes as you know he's always done it and yeah I would be confused too if I were on the campaign trail and I was in a different city every night I'd forget where I was I've given lots of speeches where you travel to a place and you're and you're on stage and one of the reasons I avoid mentioning the city is because I'm not confident or remember what town I'm and when I'm doing my speeches so that stuff doesn't bother me too much what does bother me is just that when he's talking just in general it just doesn't look like he's quite all there it looks like grandpa at Thanksgiving just talking about politics all right so I don't think Biden has a chance I think you know Bernie's gonna have to give his support to Warren

[59:55]

support to Warren now if you had to bet I would say Warren has a lock on the nomination if nothing changed but of course lots of things change right so Elizabeth Warren with Andrew yang as vice president or something that'd be pretty interesting I doubt she'd Dickens but yeah Warren has by far the greatest likelihood of getting the nomination at this point she is consistently capable even if you hate all of her policies and and I'm not a fan she is consistently capable quick name and Elizabeth Warren gaff is there what how much has she been talking in public name and Elizabeth Warren gaff can't do it I can't think of one so although in a perfect world we would have a better candidate I think she's really learning quickly she's strengthening her game and if Bernie

[1:00:58]

strengthening her game and if Bernie gives her her support she would be quite a formidable candidate and then she would lose here's what Elizabeth Warren said last night she said that conversations around regulating light bulbs banning plastic straws and cutting down on red meat are exactly what the fossil fuel industry wants people focused on as a way to distract from their impact on climate change now compare Harris and other people talking about meat and straw and light bulbs that's the smallest in the weeds conversation you can have all right so Warren is correctly pointing out that our competition is in the weeds if you're talking about straws and light bulbs and red meat you're you're doing exactly what the fossil fuel industry wants you to do which is talk about all the wrong stuff and that showed that Warren knows what the high ground is she

[1:02:00]

Warren knows what the high ground is she recognizes it as a strategy because she used it if you see somebody pull the high ground strategy the most import and I'd say powerful persuasion that isn't fear fear is always the most powerful but beyond fear the high ground manoeuvre is solid gold works basically every time and she just high grounded her competition like they were I mean she just she just said if you talk about lightbulbs and straws and red meat yeah you're just basically playing into the enemy's hand and she's right when you hear her say that do you is there anybody in the world who hears war and say stop talking about this little stuff it's exactly what they want you to be talking about when she says that is that does anybody say no no Liz you're so wrong these straws are important they don't they immediately realize that she's taken the high ground and they were like alright maybe I'll change the

[1:03:01]

were like alright maybe I'll change the subject so Warren has a stranglehold on the nomination as of today the slaughter meter is still a hundred percent she can't beat Trump with the policy she has in order to be Trump she would actually have to fundamentally change your policies to be more mainstream or more Biden like if let me tell you this if Elizabeth Warren does a 180 on nuclear energy she might be your next president
because that might be enough if Elizabeth Warren completely reverses on nuclear energy and says well I looked into it a little bit more and I gotta say that the newer technology is safer than I thought and given that I'm gonna I'm gonna say let's let's go for that if she did that she'd be really hard to beat let me tell you she'd be really hard to beat but I don't know if she'll do that alright that's all I have for now I'll talk to you tomorrow