Episode 641 Scott Adams: How to Beat Warren, China Fentanyl, G7, Homes for Low Income People, HOAX5
Date: 2019-08-26 | Duration: 53:52
Topics
China is NOT a country other countries can trust in business 23 tons on Chinese Fentanyl busted on way to America What was the intent for that much poison? NYT planned to spin EVERYTHING as racist for the next year #HOAX5 Low cost concrete homes have a MAJOR concept flaw WhenHub’s exciting new features 1. Callers can now suggest a time for expert availability 2. “Interface Pro” allows organizations to provide experts Elizabeth Warren the weak campaigner…is a learning machine Dump the “Granny glasses” and she’ll jump 5% in polls Do NOT vote for Elizabeth Warren if you like your current healthcare Who wants LESS QUALITY care for the currently covered? Healthcare for ALL means WORSE care for the currently covered Almost NOBODY lives their life as if climate change fears are real Yet…EVERYBODY says they have concerns or fears? Kamala Harris campaign performance so far..a “C-“ or a “D”?
If you would like my channel to have a wider audience and higher production quality, please donate via my startup (Whenhub.com) at this link: https://interface.my/ScottAdamsSays
> [!note] Rough Transcript
>
> This is an auto-generated transcript and may contain errors.
## Transcript
[0:08]
um yes it's the special Monday version of the theme song for coffee Wisconsin as luck would out of it I am coffee with Scott Adams no I'm I'm so tired oh my god I'm tired as luck would have it I'm Scott Adams sometimes I forget Who I am for the first few hours of every morning but I'm pretty sure that's who I am at the moment and if you'd like to join in for the ceremony I call the simultaneous it it's probably something you call it too you don't leave much you don't need much and you're probably ready because all you need is a cup or a mug nerd glasses find the chalice tankard a thermos of laxatives canteen the festival of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine hit of the day the thing that makes everything better the simultaneous Impa go good good stuff
[1:09]
the simultaneous Impa go good good stuff so let's talk about all the exciting things that happened at the g7 summit and now we're done because there were no exciting things that happened at the g7 summit oh there were gossipy little stories about who talked to whom and who who had what kind of attitude in blah blah blah and the the Iranian Foreign Minister made a surprise visit blah blah nobody cared so the g7 was a big nothing literally literally nothing happened there's a fake news story today that China is signaled on Monday meaning today then it was now seeking a calm and to his ongoing trade war with the US they're seeking a calm and to the trade war and so our stock market went up what
[2:09]
war and so our stock market went up what exactly does that mean they want to come and to the trade war nothing doesn't mean anything who doesn't want an end to problems you might as well not not even if asked the Chinese should have go and say hey we need a quote for our story say something about the trade war we wish we didn't have one great I'll tell that story and our stock market will zoom there's no actual news there apparently the Chinese of the same position they always had it means absolutely nothing so here's my prediction on the trade negotiations with China there will be no trade deal not today not tomorrow not next week not by the end of the Trump administration and not by the end of you know a second term specifically maybe not after that you
[3:15]
specifically maybe not after that you know you don't want to say never because never is a long time but I don't think that we're heading toward an agreement I think we're heading toward a divestiture meaning just separating our ways it'll take a while until then we can just tear off each other and rattle our sabers and stuff like that so I say no trade agreement with China is forthcoming and here's the surprising part you might not know the difference you may never know the difference there will certainly be individual companies that are going to get hit hard and nobody is happy about that very unfair because companies build a business around a certain set of international assumptions and they should be able to depend on that but apparently in our world they cannot depend on China to be a good player now there's a bigger there's a bigger thing happening here and I haven't talked about this before yeah every now and
[4:16]
about this before yeah every now and then I have a topic that I think well this could totally end my career and destroy my reputation forever but let's do it I'm game if you are let's take some risk so I told you I've been reading this great book called American Nations about the founding of this country and some of the cultures and influences during the colonial days and earlier what what formed the country one of the most striking things is how New York City was formed I guess it was the Dutch who were the primary settlers in New York City originally and the Dutch brought with them a let's say a business philosophy if that's the best maybe a business set of manners expectations I don't know exactly what to call it but a a belief system and a set of preferences around how to do business and the primary thing or things that they held
[5:19]
primary thing or things that they held as important or that if you have money I'll talk to you now that doesn't sound like a big deal in 2019 does it if you have money maybe we can do business that just sounds like that's just what businesses but you have to you have to take yourself back in time all the way to the you know the days when slavery was common I mean if you can even wrap your head around that this slavery was common doing business with everybody just because they had money even if they were a different religion different anything was a big big deal and it's what allowed commerce to work now part of that is trust so it's not good enough to say yeah I'll do business with anybody the anybody that you plan to do business with has to trust that if you give them money they'll give you a product and that the product will be roughly what it was they promised they give you or else they'll make it good so a certain set of sort of very 2019
[6:22]
so a certain set of sort of very 2019 customer-focused ways of looking at things now I may be over interpreting a little bit what things were like back then but the basic idea is that there were a set of assumptions about trustworthiness about you know transparency in your deals and making sure that both sides got a good deal and then dealing with everybody if money was involved that's all we care about we don't care about your religion don't care about anything do you have money yes or no so that was a super powerful set of ideas that I would argue as powered the United States for a few hundred years and when somebody from the United States comes into the room and says I'd like to make a deal that person from the United States no matter who they are brings with them the entire history of the United States think about that if you're an American and you go to another country and you you want to make a business deal you're not there alone you
[7:24]
business deal you're not there alone you are there with the entire history of the United States as part of your brand when you go in there and say I'm gonna be good to you if you make a deal and something goes wrong I'm gonna fix it the person on the other side they're gonna say you know if this wasn't some crazy American saying that I wouldn't believe that at all but I actually believe that these crazy Americans they understand that you know making the customer happy is how business grows I think I'm going to trust this this cat I'm gonna make a deal so it's super powerful that Americans who go to do business overseas bring with them the entire history of the United States which is in many ways a continuation of the the Dutch philosophy that the money can be separated from all of your other bigotry if I could put it that way now take China China is in the midst of
[8:25]
now take China China is in the midst of let's say this long-term shift and brand from communist to capitalist with a with a dictatorship sort of situation I'm not sure what you'd call China exactly there's nothing quite like China and they're developing their brand for which every Chinese businessperson who wants to leave the country and do a deal is going to be taking with them so all Chinese business people will be bringing with them the brand of China and Chinese history of doing business and if you don't trust China you're not going to trust that individual business person who wants to make a deal and at the moment China is looking pretty dish what would you say they're being discredited by their actions in Hong Kong because Hong Kong was a deal and it's a big deal it's one
[9:26]
was a deal and it's a big deal it's one of the most noticeable high level everybody knows about it deals in the history of all deals you know there have been big deals in the world but the deal in which the United the UK turned over a Hong Kong and the terms with which they turns it over to China is one of the most notable agreements of all time now the narrative at the moment and I'm not close to the details but this would be how the rest of the world sees it is that China reneged on one of the most high-profile deals of all time at the same time as this is very bad timing for them it appears that the reason that they won't do a deal with America and the following the following statement I'm going to make I don't know if it's true or accurate or leaves down too much context but the way we see it the way it's being presented to the US public into I would imagine to European allies
[10:26]
into I would imagine to European allies as well if they're watching the news the way it's being presented is that we can't make a deal with China because they won't agree to stop stealing our IP intellectual property now I'm not saying that accurately characterizes the situation it might I mean that might be exactly what's going on but whether or not that's exactly true or I would understand it differently if there were more context on it what's important is this is becoming China's brand so the 2019 China brand is if you buy our huawei equip we will spy in your country imagine having that in your brand that your brand is if you let our products into your country your national security will be lessened could what could be worse for your brand at the same time they make a huge international deal with Hong Kong and apparently they're breaking it right in front of the world they're breaking the most high-profile deal
[11:29]
breaking the most high-profile deal you've ever seen right in front of us they just are breaking the deal yeah changed your mind that way if they had a better reason for it it would look differently now you look at you saw a president Trump broke our deal with Iran but an objective person could look at the Iranian deal and say why the hell'd they make that deal in the first place or they could look at TPP and saying okay the president broke that deal well why was that deal even in place it was so flawed we saw the president broke the at least got a nathie Paris Accords climate change but again reasonable people can say well it didn't make any difference it just wasn't important that the United States was in around because we lowered our or lowered our output of co2 other countries didn't and didn't matter if we were in the agreement or not so China is shaping up to be ruining
[12:36]
not so China is shaping up to be ruining their prospects for competing properly on the international stage so let's say you are oh let's say Greenland I'll pick a ridiculous example and no I don't think that anything I say about Greenland is likely to happen or realistic just an example let's say Greenland has it as an option of dealing with the United States we're dealing with China on some future business whatever that business is who are they going to trust well you shouldn't trust anybody you know you should always put yourself in the position where Trust is not that necessary if you can but you always have to have a little and I would argue that the United States is in a stronger position in terms of the the Dutch model of we're going to do what we say we're gonna do and you can trust us to do a deal China's not running in the opposite
[13:36]
China's not running in the opposite direction and it looks very much like China is creating a brand that you wouldn't want to do business with and they're gonna have to deal with the consequences that all right so the news that China signaled then it might want to you know calm down the trade war doesn't mean anything they don't show any willingness to work with us and therefore we should not work with them we should not you saw the story that the u.s. I guess was the customs people they captured something like 23 tons of fentanyl coming in through a Mexican seaport but it came from China that's right China sent in one shipment China sent enough of fentanyl through Mexico to end up in the United States to
[14:37]
Mexico to end up in the United States to kill half of the planet I think somebody calculated that over five billion people could die of an overdose from that amount now some people have asked is that an amount you would send for recreational use is that amount of tonnage what you would expect to see if it was normal drug traffic enough to kill five billion people or is that weapons of mass destruction level because just in quantity it looks like massive weapons of mass destruction I'm not going to suggest any ideas for how to weaponize that you they have their own I'm sure so yeah we're they making any suggestions how they might use that should we see that as just a drug problem because apparently China's some official said hey United
[15:37]
China's some official said hey United States you should work on your demand and lower your demand yeah we should lower our demand of course that doesn't you know understand that most of the people who take fentanyl don't even know they're taking it so it'd be hard to reduce the demand for something that you didn't know you were consuming in the first place because the fentanyl gets put in other pills that you think of other drugs that's how people died from overdoses they don't know that are getting fentanyl in the first place if they did that wouldn't take so much presumably so I've got a real question about what 23 tons of fentanyl shipped into this country is intended to do is it intended for political instability is it intended as a trade negotiation tactic is it a weapon of mass destruction is it just a you know destabilize the entire government what heck is 23 tons of fentanyl for but
[16:39]
what heck is 23 tons of fentanyl for but it all gets back to the same thing that China because in its knowingly shipping this in I say knowingly because the government of China knows who makes the fentanyl precursors they know who they are we know over there we know their actual names and probably their addresses so China certainly knows it and they could stop at anything they want just go over there and close the closed the factory arrest the people they could do it any time so it's intentional and this is not a country that we can do business with so I'm gonna I'm gonna take China out in the place that it hurts the most China is not a country you can trust for business BAM China is not a country you can trust for business that's way more damaging to them than saying you can't trust them militarily which everybody already knew because nobody really trusts anybody militarily that's that's why you have the military if you could
[17:42]
why you have the military if you could trust people you wouldn't need a military and place but China is no longer a country that other countries should trust to do business they're shipping shipping 23 tons of fentanyl into a country that should be their customer for legitimate products if if you or IBM and you were doing business with another company and they were buying your IBM products and then IBM said you know I think I'll just send a few tons of fentanyl to the employees of your company why I don't maybe I don't like your employees would you still do business with IBM if they poisoned tens of thousands of the employees of your company no you wouldn't no you wouldn't if it would you make a deal with IBM if IBM made a deal and then just broke it no no you wouldn't I think I've told you this story before early in my career I was a
[18:44]
story before early in my career I was a contract negotiator so it was actually my job to negotiate contracts with vendors for the the big bank I worked at and I was in negotiating with IBM they were gonna provide the big expensive computers that we needed for our data center and I was negotiating the deal and they wouldn't negotiate I would say okay here are the things we want in our contract and IBM would look at me and they'd say yeah we don't do any of that and I'd say no we need these things because what would happen if we buy your product and it doesn't perform and the IBM representatives looked at me and they said if it doesn't perform we'd fix it and I'd say no no I knew this in the contract and they'd say no we don't do that were IBM here's the deal if it needs to be in a contract you should be dealing with another company in other words IBM was so dependable and had such a track record of doing what ever it
[19:46]
a track record of doing what ever it took to make the customer happy they're putting it in a contract would actually lessen their credibility because why do you have to write it down if you don't trust IBM enough the they'll go fix it don't do business with them so what happened in the end you know my boss allowed me to make the deal without getting what I thought were normal contract requirements and sure enough something wasn't pretty wrong you know we got the computers I don't remember the exact problem but something didn't work we didn't have the right mix or something what did IBM do whatever it took whatever it took I don't remember exactly but whatever people they had to send they sent whatever money they needed to spend they spent and they did it right away they did it fast they did it completely they never complained and they never asked us for extra money and they never said look at the contract that's it would I recommend IBM to
[20:50]
that's it would I recommend IBM to another company hell yes hell yes this happened what 25 years ago I would still recommend IBM to anybody absolutely because they brought with them the history of IBM if if you were and there were famous stories of IBM employees who I think the story it became sort of a legend so who knows it was even a real story about some IBM employee who once you know was trying to fix a customer's problem and he worked overnight he was so exhausted that you know he'd been up for 24 hours so he just he couldn't fix the problem but he he had to sleep and so he went home and took a nap and he was fired immediately because he left the customer period no I don't know if that story was even true right you know those stories get exaggerated but if you're dealing with a country whose history has that story in it that they're gonna fire their employee who if he even takes a nap
[21:50]
employee who if he even takes a nap while you still have a problem that's a company you want to deal with right China no I don't want their Huawei products that might be spying on me I don't want to make a deal with them if they can't make a deal with with Hong Kong no they can't keep a deal with Hong Kong and I absolutely don't want to do a trade deal with them if they don't have any interest in it something that looks balanced so trying to shooting themselves in the billion two billion feet they have I guess all right let's talk about something else so you know New York Times got busted for cranking up the hoax 5 so hashtag hoax 5 which they got busted for was they actually planned literally had a meeting to plan that they would shape the news in the coming year around racism and that they would four stories into that narrative
[22:52]
would four stories into that narrative and this of course was all to make President Trump look weaker so that he could be beaten in 2020 but have you noticed that after a few the you know they fired a few shots did some articles but then it sort of got quiet on that hoax five front did you notice that got a little quiet and it makes me think that it was just too embarrassing now maybe they'll just you know they'll pull back for a little bit and you know wait a few months and then it'll come back stronger than ever it might have to depend on natural events in the news that they can you know they can jam into their narrative and maybe there just weren't any natural stories this past week but it really looks to me like they pulled back on the on hashtag hoax 5 I'd like to think that giving it a hashtag hashtag hoax 5 it's pretty it's kind of be kind of
[23:52]
pretty it's kind of be kind of devastating because the first thing you have to ask is what were the other four and once you hear the other four everything from the Covington to Russia collusion you know you name it to the fine people hoax once you hear that that they were all hoaxes hashtag hoax five is pretty dismissive so that'll be fun anyway so keep watching that because it's possible that they're flailing for some other hook because hashtag hooks life didn't get them the the distance that they hoped their uh I tweeted around a couple of stories about concrete houses so that company that could 3d print a inexpensive little shell of a home for probably people not this country but maybe third world
[24:53]
this country but maybe third world countries they can now print a whole village so they can just line them up and print a bunch of them now these homes are going to be limited right they're not going to be the types of homes that would get permitted and you could live in the United States but still exciting somebody sent me an article that said Thomas Edison had a weirdly similar idea so Thomas Edison had invented if he could call it that concrete homes that you could pour in a short amount of time for a low cost using the same molds so I guess you would use the same framework or setup and then he would pour the concrete in and it would be the walls of your home so even Thomas Edison was trying to do this now here is my complaint with both of those processes here's my complaint to a Thomas Edison and this is my same complaint with the 3d printed homes here it is they're starting with the technology if any of you who have worked
[25:53]
technology if any of you who have worked in any kind of a technology business where you're you're inventing products you don't start with the technology it's great to say hey we have a technology let's see all the things they can do that's great I mean because that's more brainstorming sort of things but they're not starting with what do the people need and then building from there until you see that you're not going to find this low end housing thing get fixed and I haven't seen anybody even try that now I'm curious about Kanye's effort we talked about that Kanye built on some of his own property some concrete let's say igloo looking but modern modern designs looking for low-income people now I don't know the process that they used but once again it's a concrete structure and it makes me wonder yes there was some I'm concerned that whoever designed it started with hey let's build domes
[26:55]
started with hey let's build domes because I know one of the requirements was reportedly who knows how accurate this is but reportedly Kanye or his designers wanted to make homes that you couldn't tell were low-end homes in other words if you were to look at him you wouldn't know if a millionaire lived there or a poor person and I like that part I like that part but it's not the critical part the critical part is how much does it cost and how well does it work to produce a good living situation so my question I don't have any sense of an answer for this is did Kanye's design firm start with the requirements or did they start with what they wanted to build and then they don't and now they're testing to see how it works you need to start with the people you need to you need to live with a small family or several small families and you need to write down what they do how often do you walk to the refrigerator how often
[27:57]
you walk to the refrigerator how often do you need to find a broom how often do you need to open a window just all the stuff that they do and then you build something around that set of functions if you don't see that I don't even know if anybody's trying it looks like they're starting with solutions and saying well I know how to build things with wood let's make houses Anna wood that's what it looks like so there's a I'm gonna tell you how to beat Elizabeth Warren or how the president can beat Elizabeth Warren in a moment but first I want to mention somebody my startup went up we've got some new features that are worth mentioning one of them is so first of all when hub is a mobile app it's a free download it's called interface by when hub is what you look for you just look for interface and it allows you to make an immediate video call to get advice or expertise from anybody on any topic so anybody can
[29:00]
from anybody on any topic so anybody can sign up as an expert and anybody can call them what we just added was a feature that you can suggest a time so before you had to either catch them when they were online which was hard and then we added a scheduling feature so that people could say I'll be available during these hours if you want to call and that that helped but it didn't get us all the way and now we just added a feature where the caller can find that somebody signed up they're not available at the moment but they can suggest the time which should vastly increase the number of connections and then you you can have a you can go back and forth them the time until you find one that works so that should make a big difference and then the other thing we did is we introduced the interface pro so it's the same product meaning you can do immediate video call with a with an expert but it's for organizations so a big organization you can contact us and we will set it up so that you could have in your webpage a variety of experts and
[30:02]
in your webpage a variety of experts and some would be scheduled some might be live you know you it could be a variety of available and not available and let's say you were let's say you were an organization in the government and you were going to help explain to people how to have to apply for government grants and various programs for low-income people if you were a low-income person how would you find somebody to connect you to ask a question how do I fill out these forms to get a let's say a special tax exemption loan some kind of a government break you wouldn't know how so but if you could see a button on a webpage there's a little face there and it said I'll help you figure out your government programs for no cost because our product allows you to say your own price could be zero if you're the government could be expensive if your lawyer or doctor or something so right now we
[31:03]
so right now we take all of those profiles and make any anything they charge if there's a charge that's optional go to the same organizations checking account so you could have lots of advisors but all of the money would flow to the organization so we can do that now you would just go to one hub com you'll see links to ask us how to sign up so some of the uses for that would be people explaining how to use the government services could it be mentors for low-income people could be mental health advisors could be advisors on Senior Living could be medical legal construction how to solve a problem automotive I I needed somebody the other day to help me fix a dishwasher you know and sometimes you can fix stuff easily now it turns out all I had to do is power cycle it so if I had found somebody on my app I didn't I ended up paying somebody to come out but if I found some of the in the app they probably would have said crawl
[32:04]
they probably would have said crawl under your sink find where your dishwashers plugged in unplug it wait a minute and plug it back in and it would have worked because it turns out that's all that's all it required would have been nice if I could have just contacted somebody I would have paid I would have paid 50 bucks for that one minute of advice as it was I paid a hundred and ten dollars for somebody to come in and unplug it for me yes I'm that dumb so any big organization that wants people to contact them can use this product just contact us all right and that somebody was saying on Twitter that we need to do more for the underemployed the people who are working but they their wages are low it's not good enough for a quality life and somebody weighed in and said they they need to increase their talents tax and I I think that's true if you could just do one thing to help the underemployed the
[33:08]
one thing to help the underemployed the people who have jobs but they're just not very good ones it would be I would think to teach them the concept of stacks meaning that they can add another skill on top of what they already have but there would be a kind of skill that works well with the first skill and generally people can add skills there very few people who can't pick up a new skill so if there were just one thing I could teach people it's find another talent that goes well with the ones you already have add that you know do whatever you need to do to learn that new thing and you will become more valuable let me tell you how to beat Elizabeth Warren so Elizabeth Warren is interesting and I've complimented her a number of times recently I know that makes some of you uncomfortable because you don't always say anything but about Democrats a lot of you are Trump supporters on here but I'm going to anyway because we're not going to ignore reality the reality is that Elizabeth Warren started out I
[34:10]
that Elizabeth Warren started out I thought my opinion as a weak campaigner meaning she just didn't have the charisma of energy gravitas reason for being I know there just wasn't there wasn't any x-factor there whatsoever but as we've all noticed she seems to be a learning machine meaning that she didn't get where she is by accident all right she did not get born into her a good situation being a senator being a lawyer or going to Harvard she didn't get born into it she worked for it she learned and added to her talent stack all the way and what I've observed over the last several months is that her campaign game went from in my opinion poor to a pretty solid a - she's not an a she's not an a-plus she's not Reagan she's not Trump she's not Bill Clinton she's not Obama
[35:11]
she's not Bill Clinton she's not Obama but she's pretty darn good now and who knows how much better she could get so I would say that Joe Biden is going to I think I think everybody agrees at this point that even the Democrats don't really want Joe Biden to be the nominee but
but how do you get rid of them so I think that even the professionals are sort of letting let's say nature take its course I hate to say that with Joe Biden I don't think anybody on the Democrat side wants to sit him down and say you know Joe somebody just has to tell you that your time your time has come and gone and the best thing you could do is make room for whoever is going to be the candidate so I don't know that anybody can sit them down and tell them that honestly that would be a hard conversation for somebody in Joe Biden's position so probably people are just waiting for it to happen on its own because it looks pretty certain that
[36:11]
because it looks pretty certain that it's gonna happen on its own nothing would make the Democrats who actually understand how stuff works you know the advisors the top tough campaign officials that sort of thing nothing would make them less happy than candidate Joe Biden I mean really that that is a losing hand and they would just they would just hate for that to happen I'm pretty sure now I I want to avoid being a mind-reader I'm making this assumption based on the fact that they can see what we can see sometimes that's not the case as we've seen sometimes we live in different worlds but I think in this case you're seeing some hints even from Democrats you know pundits either you're seeing some hints in their language that they don't trust Biden to go all the way so I think and then Bernie I think has a cap in his popularity but Warren might not so Warren I think is going to leapfrog to
[37:12]
Warren I think is going to leapfrog to the top of the position sometime before the primaries open over so how do you beat her here is my suggestion I already you tell voters there are two situations there are people who already have health care so this is the current situation there people have health care and they like it and there are people who don't what Elizabeth Warren is promising is that everybody who has health care or we'll be worse off in order that the people who don't have health care will be better off so that's why she's promising you now does that seem like an oversimplification because if you're going to universal single-payer whatever the the warn plan looks like the only way you can get there is that the people who are already happy with their health care are gonna get a little less so that
[38:12]
care are gonna get a little less so that the people who don't have anything get a little more now you may say well that's not necessarily true you might be right and you might say well we don't know that and you might be right or you might say well it'd be a little different but it's not gonna be that much different maybe you have to wait a little longer for an MRI won't be that much longer and you might be right but does it feel true on a conceptual level and in a practical real-world level does it feel true that everybody who has healthcare would be worse off kind of does doesn't if so I think I think that Trump could say and you would be safe and saying it if you already have health care and you like it don't vote for Warren right because ultimately people are selfish if you say to me Scott do you think everybody in
[39:15]
to me Scott do you think everybody in the country should have health care I say yes yes they should everyone in this country should have health care if you say to be Scott in order for that to happen you'll have to wait a month for your MRI should you ever need one when it would really be good if you could get that over with and a day or two but if you're willing to wait a month then everybody has more resources and every we've all got care but your weight goes from two days to a month for some of your more important services are you okay with that Scott to which I say I sure would like everybody to have health care unless it's bad for me all right now I'm talking as a general person you're not just Scott it's hard to vote against your own interest in it in a conspicuous way people do it people do knowingly vote in favor of social services so that's that's the thing it happens but if you break it
[40:17]
thing it happens but if you break it down to the simplest thing if you have healthcare already and you like it you're not gonna like it as much if we're both if Warren is president now does that first of all ring true it doesn't matter it's precisely true because I think it's you know I think it's true in an honest sense in the sense that anybody would say such a thing is not a liar but you know it's a complicated world things are not it not that simple well as a generalization it's pretty good if you already have health care and you like it you're not gonna like Elizabeth Warren being your president because she's gonna change that situation if you don't have health care and you want to get it president Trump gives you away which is you know a good economy get a job maybe they cover your health care maybe you can afford it if you have a job so it seems to me that you could simplify this
[41:20]
seems to me that you could simplify this big old complicated health care thing into that one question and that's a that's a killer simplification one of the most powerful things you can do for persuasion is simplification and then repetition the two things that this president does better than anybody has ever done you know at least from the office of President nobody has ever simplified and repeated better than Trump make America great again build the wall pocahontas all right nobody ever ever has ever been close to as good as this president is as simplifying and then amplifying and repeating nobody nobody's even close so this is a sort of low-hanging fruit that the big I would say it's the signature policy of Warren if he told me he's got what are all the reasons somebody would prefer Elizabeth Warren over Trump well
[42:22]
prefer Elizabeth Warren over Trump well first of all any of people always complaining about the character stuff and hey he's lying and he makes me feel bad and he's you know or injure me and bad so if he get out of the personality stuff there aren't that many giant issues that people really care about at the moment right even even climate change people say they care about climate change I don't really feel it I just don't feel it in the general public and the entire climate change energy is this thin film of people who care about it a lot and then there's 99% of the country who just says yeah I'll take off my jacket if I get warm is that your experience I don't know anybody personally who cares about climate change oh sure if I asked if I asked everybody know do you care about climate change they say yes some of them would say they
[43:24]
they say yes some of them would say they care a lot some of them would say it's their top issue how many of them act like it's their top issue almost nobody almost nobody climate change is a television issue meaning that if you go on television where you go in the media it's a topic people like to talk about somebody says it's a social lie in the comments that's kind of true it's sort of like telling people you are really good at recycling oh yeah that's my top issue because I love science I love science so my top issue is climate change and and by the way I'm not even saying it should or should not be your top issue I'm not telling you it is or is not a giant problem you know we've talked about this too much I can't tell because it's an impenetrable area for me and I've spent you know over a year trying
[44:24]
I've spent you know over a year trying to penetrate it and I can't I can't tell what's true so I have trouble getting I have trouble making a priority they worry about something that I just can't even tell what's true and what isn't the the fact that there's some vagueness to it in my mind whether there's any vagueness to reality is different but in my mind there's some vagueness so I can't really make this my thing because it's too vague but health care everybody knows what health care is everybody's got an opinion everybody's been sick everybody has a loved one they want care the covered everyone's had the experience of waiting too long for some some kind of health care right that's real you tell me that Elizabeth Warren's gonna make my health care and worse if I already have health care I'm done I'm not gonna listen to your I'm not gonna listen to your trade negotiations that I don't understand I'm not going to listen to your complaining
[45:27]
not going to listen to your complaining about the fed that I don't really understand I mean I the general public I'm not gonna listen to your climate change stuff that I I'm scared about but I don't really understand but I understand my health care and I understand that I like it most people would say that don't mess with all right so that's the kill shot for Elizabeth Warren if you have health care she's gonna make it worse boom done and Emmett let's talk about Carla Harris who's in my opinion sort of in the the fourth position now the fourth position for Democrats is really like third position because I don't think Biden can be taken seriously as the front-runner as I mentioned before so it's sort of Bernie Warren and Harris who I would say are the the serious likely to be nominated and you know I I was
[46:27]
nominated and you know I I was predicting Harris would be the one a year ago but have you ever seen a worse campaigner than Harris is that my imagination I don't know if I've seen anybody who's worse at this you know we make fun of Beto or work all the time for all of us you know dentist chair stuff and his silly things and he lies about they find people hoaxes just about every day and he's just a big ol crazy clown and everything even he is better than calm lares he's terrible and he's better than her have you read any calmly Harris tweet that didn't sound like it was generated by a I don't know a drunken munkey over you know I shouldn't use monkey because that's people take that into context a drunken animal of any sort so generalize my my animal treatment there her tweets again I'm not calling not calling calmly
[47:28]
I'm not calling not calling calmly Harris any of these names I'm saying that her tweets look like almost not even human being inspired it's like a random word generator or something you you know we talk about the X Factor some people have the X Factor where you can't look away President Trump has that but Carla Harris has the anti X Factor which is no matter what she does it's easy to look away you can ignore her so easily I don't know what's up with that I swear she either has the worst advisors or she's the worst candidate of all time I mean she really should have just coasted into the nomination in my opinion in my opinion she could have just coasted into the nomination just doing if she just did a pretty good job if she just did a solid b-plus she would be she'd be the front-runner but she can't she can't
[48:29]
front-runner but she can't she can't pull off a b-plus or a B or a b-minus if I were to grade her campaign performance so far c- tops maybe a D but something like a you know C or a D and E and remember I'm not I'm not just insulting old Democrats because they're there on the other side from Trump because Elizabeth Warren is the opposite she started as a you know B - and she's already a - you don't want to you don't want to turn your back on somebody who pulled a B - up to an a - in a few months keep your eye on that one right that shows a learning machine that's somebody who can figure dent I've often thought that if Elizabeth Warren and changed her her I wear her glasses her votes her
[49:32]
her I wear her glasses her votes her support would go up 5% in the Democrat polls let me say that again if Elizabeth Warren updates her I wear just her glasses her support will go up 5% on the Democrat side somebody says and her hair I don't know her Harrison I think her hair is great her her current haircut Elizabeth Warren's current haircut it's a great haircut that's really strong I would consider it modern and looks good on her and she's yeah so she has granny glasses so she has granny glasses but the rest of her is not in the same age zone because she's lean and fit and she she does have a youthful you know youthful persona otherwise other people
[50:36]
youthful persona otherwise other people say they don't like her hair but I would disagree with you I think her hair it was really well done it's actually one of her strong points I would say just an opinion no help for the voice though yes actually she could she could fix her voice as well and and she would be in the very short list of people who could do that so he said you know she's got a voice that bothers you apparently I've taught you another periscope how easily you can adjust your voice with voice exercises it's pretty easy given that campaigning is essentially acting you know when you're on the you're giving a speech or you're in public and you're a campaigner you're sort of acting you're putting on a face a public face can Elizabeth Warren adjust her act if you say no you haven't been paying attention because she's a learner she can definitely analyze her weaknesses and then put in
[51:37]
analyze her weaknesses and then put in systems in place to fix them because you've watched you've watched her do it and somebody's asked about her an elephants for clothing it seems to me that she's got sort of a uniform wouldn't you say so she has Elizabeth Warren tends to wear different things underneath some kind of fashionable light jacket so that it's the jacket that gifts are a little bit of you know professional look and then what she wears under it was often just plain black to me it works because it's sort of a uniform it fits her well it's it's not trying to be too much it's not too feminine it's not too masculine I don't say it's in fact I might go further and say she might have a professional advising her on that and doing it well somebody says it's a horrible wardrobe keep in mind that a politician of a certain age is not going to look like
[52:38]
certain age is not going to look like Melania all right so you know if you're saying if you're imagining in your mind hey Elizabeth Warren doesn't look as good as Melania does that's not really fair you know you have to adjust for age you've got to adjust for what job she's running for has to look a little bit professional so there's sort of a maximum of how good you can look if you're running for president and you're in you're above a certain age I think she hits it I think her is pretty strong all right
she dresses plain but that's okay because that lets you read into her what you want she's sort of a her clothing choice is neither distracting nor it's not distracting either in the good or bad direction and that might be exactly where you want it to be so yeah she has a little bit of a schoolteacher look so
[53:39]
a little bit of a schoolteacher look so she's not trying to be exciting but I don't think that works against her all right that's all I got for now I will talk to you all later bye for now