Episode 615 Scott Adams: Who Won the Debate Last Night, Reagan’s Phone Call, A$AP Rocky

Date: 2019-08-01 | Duration: 1:10:00

Topics

The tape of President Reagan privately talking to President Nixon Our homes now have devices recording our private conversations Your FUTURE “Thought crimes” are being recorded TODAY Like President Reagan, they may haunt you years, decades later A$AP Rocky’s offensive lyrics and President Trump’s effort to help him Democrat debate: Review of each candidate’s performance, chances Effective super dirty tricks, poison pill, the Dem platform, Submissive candidates, Obama thrown under the bus, Executive hair, executive voice, confidence, “old man” errors

If you would like my channel to have a wider audience and higher production quality, please donate via my startup (Whenhub.com) at this link: https://interface.my/ScottAdamsSays

> [!note] Rough Transcript
> 
> This is an auto-generated transcript and may contain errors.

## Transcript

[0:07]

some pimping pimping boom boom boom Andrew come on in we got lots of seats up in the front take one Doug could see ya Morgan deep southern always a pleasure you're all my favorite people in you here right away well well well we got lots to talk about but before we get into the talking there's something more important than the talking it requires a little talking and a little sipping and they might require you to have a classes time the chalice of tankard a thermos of flasks a canteen a vessel of any kind as long as the holes of liquid the liquid of your favorite I don't know how to that sentence but your favorite liquid how about that and if you have it in a cup or mug or glass or a container lift it to your lips now and enjoy with me the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine hit of the day the thing that makes everything better today is gonna be a good day

[1:07]

good day sip with me now oh shake it off the evening I'm getting ready to start fresh well let me catch you up with the news if if none of you have been watching the news lately here are the stories President Trump racist all Republicans were racist all people who voted for Trump racists Camilla Harris racist Kamala Harris racist Joe Biden racist a stop ASAP rocky racist and Ronald Reagan racist BAM there you go that's your news for the day every single person in the world is a damn racist except you not you whoa

[2:08]

is a damn racist except you not you whoa I'm sorry did I indicate that you were a racist no not you I meant everybody in the world except you you're awesome everybody else I feel sorry for them those poor poor racist bastards every single one of them except you luckily you're not but the other seven billion people make us some explaining to do I'll catch you up on all this but let's talk about well we have to start with the Reagan tape have you all heard the recently produced recording not produced but recently discovered recording of Reagan talking to Richard Nixon and saying the most racist thing you've ever heard in your life
pretty bad I'm happy to say that I was never a big Reagan fan I was a huge fan

[3:13]

never a big Reagan fan I was a huge fan of his communication ability so that part he certainly got right he got a lot of other things right - I think he dealt with the Soviet Union right probably he may have gotten some lucky credit for the fall of the Soviet Union might have happened on his own but in general he wasn't really he wasn't my god you know I I didn't pray to Reagan I never was that guy as you know I'm left of Bernie so Reagan was never my guy but I always admired his his skill you know the same as I feel for a president Trump skill skill can be called out separately character can be dealt with separately politics can be dealt with separately but the the skill of being a politician I wouldn't take that away from him even though that tape is just about the worst thing you've ever heard but it raises an interesting question it raises an interesting question Oh somebody's asking what he said all right so deny

[4:15]

asking what he said all right so deny everybody heard it I'm gonna try to tell you what he said was I was saying it if you don't mind he used the n-word the the amma the MS and monkey and he used it in this context he was talking about to President Nixon he said that he was watching some African nation celebrating and he said that they look like the M word and that they were still uncomfortable wearing shoes yeah that's pretty bad yeah that's pretty bad but here's here's what I want to talk about we have as a basic standard in this country that if you do something if your actions are bad or racist or illegal or whatever whatever your actions are you can be judged by them you can you know be fired from your job you can go to

[5:15]

be fired from your job you can go to prison depending on the action so we do have as a standard that your actions are what we judge the harshest and we've had as a standard that your private thoughts are not judged the same way we judge your actions so you could have some pretty bad thoughts but if you never express them in the real world we generally believe that you could be a you would be called a good person in that case imagine if you will somebody who has some bad thoughts about committing a crime but never does never even gets close but the thoughts are there they kind of wish they could commit this really bad crime whatever this crime is but they don't they never do
do never do anything that's even close to that how do we judge that person do we say I know that person is just like your criminal because the way they think well first of all we don't know how they think that's hard to judge but secondly we say all right we're gonna say it's it's we can only judge you on your

[6:16]

it's we can only judge you on your behavior but then now there's this middle ground that is getting bigger and bigger it was always there but because so many things are recorded and so many things are surfacing that were recorded long ago that we have this middle ground which is not really your actions it's not really your thoughts it's things you said privately to one other or small group how should we as a society judge people's private pronouncements to another person in the context of believing that would never be public is that sort of a private thought which we mostly agree should not be criminalized or is that an action because they actually said it in the real world they didn't intend it ever to be known but it would got out now I'm not trying to defend Reagan like I said Reagan was never my guy I just admired

[7:19]

Reagan was never my guy I just admired some of his skill level but you have to ask yourself how deep do we go in this you know servicing people's private conversations let me tell you why this is important everything I say in my own house privately even when no one else is in the house is all recorded or recordable I have devices several of them not just my phone but the Amazon device that I won't name in several of my major rooms of the house and they can record and do record me so all of my private thoughts the things that I imagined nobody would ever hear could someday be part of the public record as could all of yours things that you said privately to one person should you run for president somebody's gonna

[8:20]

you run for president somebody's gonna find out about it so we should make a decision as a society how important we're going to treat that I'm not sure I have an exact decision on that but it seems to me that we should treat it as that middle ground it is and not treat it like an action and maybe not treat it like a private thought because he you know if you say things out loud you're sort of you're sort of releasing it into the world even if you're releasing it to one person but I feel like the offense is closer to the thoughtcrime it's not because it entered the real world but in terms of severity I think we should judge it currently in terms of how long ago it happened that does matter I think we should count that it should matter how long ago I happened and whether it was closer to a thought crime or a real-world crime so I don't I'm not going to give you an opinion and how you

[9:20]

going to give you an opinion and how you should treat those but I think we should put things in context properly speaking of context there are some criticism going around the internet about ASAP ASAP rocky somebody discovered that the lyrics of one of his songs was very critical of President Trump as it turns out likening President Trump to the KKK and some people say that the lyrics suggest a desire for assassination specifically in the song I think the line is that we are hoping for JFK but we got KKK and some say whew you mentioned JFK didn't you give us a sedated were you hoping for JFK meaning were you hoping that the president this president gets assassinated or are you just saying we were hoping for a very progressive president now I think that's a good argument the people say no no the

[10:22]

a good argument the people say no no the JFK reference the way I read it is not assassination is rather that he was a progressive you know kind of president the one that you would want but here's the question you have to ask yourself why wouldn't he say Obama if you were going to mention a president that you wanted one that gave you everything you wanted and was inspirational for you no you were let's say your demographic part of society why wouldn't you mention Obama if I said to the typical African American voter in this country hey name a president that you respected somebody who was really progressive and and stood for the ideals that you stand for would they JFK no somebody says it ride was better oh yeah that counts it rhymes better but later in the song he mentions assault rifles so if he

[11:23]

he mentions assault rifles so if he mentioned JFK you mentioned that this current president you believe is in the KKK you know in in essence not in reality and you talk about ar-15s in the same lyrics and your lyrics were a little bit ambiguous because it's not uncommon that you read song lyrics and you don't know exactly what the artist meant yeah I'm acknowledging here I'm seeing in the comments yes JFK and KKK they fit together better as a as a lyrical scheme so I'm gonna go I'm gonna say that you can't tell it's ambiguous so my opinion is I can see why people think he is referring to assassination it's easy to see how people think that but I could also easily imagine that he wasn't thinking anything like that at all he did however say that the president was in the KKK I mean not literally as an a member but in

[12:26]

mean not literally as an a member but in in essence what does that do to those of you watching this video does it not paint a target on your back for violence it does it does yeah if somebody who's a prominent artist says that the personally you voted for is a member of the KKK in essence is he not saying that violence against you would be justified I say yes I say yes so people who have been on ASAP Rocky's side might look at that lyric and ask themselves if they have been targeted for violence by that song I say yes so I would say the ASAP Rocky's lyrics target me for violence actually me personally for violence and am i okay with that well I'll tell you what if he didn't if

[13:29]

well I'll tell you what if he didn't if he didn't commit any crimes in Sweden yeah you know if it turns out that Sweden fries him then I say well the legal systems done it's it's done his duty if Sweden decides that he did commit a crime and they've got the evidence and he gets a fair trial and he goes to jail in Sweden I'm okay with that if he committed a real crime and it's a real trial and they have real evidence and stuff I wouldn't want anybody to get railroaded American or otherwise but if he committed a crime I'm okay with that and I I don't think we should hold him up as any kind of a role model and honestly I wouldn't spend a half a second of my time and I regret that I ever tweeted anything in his supports right so I deeply regret that my first impression was that we should put a lot of resources into helping him because he's targeted me and many of you for

[14:31]

he's targeted me and many of you for violence by his artistic expression um so I can't I don't think that not even a little bit I don't forgive that a little bit so let the legal system in Sweden do its thing I say all right although I do you know the fact that the president you know put in some effort to try to get him out of there is a good look especially given what he said about the president it's a good look for the president to try to get him out and that is the president's job so I guess he played it right anyway
would you like an update on my scandal did anybody come here for a scandal update I'm not even gonna you know reiterate the the the scandal that you all know but I said something in a tweet that was poorly received

[15:32]

that was poorly received I apologize for find it you know that it was taken differently than I intended it but it doesn't make me less doesn't make me less responsible for tweeting it it's just that it wasn't quite the way I intended it so I did my duty I explained in detail what I was thinking I said that I wouldn't do it that way again and I apologized to the people who were relevant to the apology but not to the not to the outrage tourists that the people who just enjoy being outraged and the people were just being outraged for political purposes because you know they're picking off targets before 2020 so those people I don't apologize to because no apology is needed they're not really the the offended class they're just actors essentially but traffic is up you're looking at the periscope 2.8 thousand people on here that's substantially better than before traffic

[16:33]

substantially better than before traffic at the the app is up signups are up YouTube traffic is way up but YouTube traffic is up while monetization is way down so monetization on YouTube is way down while viewership numbers are sharply up why because YouTube has decided that my content no matter what I actually say regardless of the actual specific content of the videos they're all demonetised automatically until we complain though so they have a process for asking for a manual review the manual review reverses that basically every time and the few times it didn't are obviously mistakes because there wasn't any content on there there was any substantially different than anything else I do so I have essentially a hundred percent clean content in my

[17:34]

a hundred percent clean content in my opinion and I think that's I can say that with confidence there is nothing I've ever produced on any of these videos there would be even remotely against the Terms of Service nothing even close they do have of course responsibility to their to their advertisers to match content with advertising that makes sense so I understand if that's the best a legitimate need but they do have a business model that treats me harshly but also people who would be anti-trump that they're getting treated harshly too because they start talking about the same contents in their own way the same the same content this but in their own way so here's the those of you who gave me advice I want to give you an update so I got a lot of advice when you're in scandal you get a lot of advice I don't

[18:37]

scandal you get a lot of advice I don't think most of you are good at giving advice let me just say that as a general statement people are really good at giving advice yeah we got 7 billion people on the planet and if that's 7 billion the total number of them that are good at giving advice 300 it's really rare when people get good at giving advice and this situation is so unique that people aren't really equipped but they think they are so the common people the common thing that people say is well you've got to apologize and take down that tweet that's really terrible advice it actually is it seems like it's good advice but it's actually terrible advice if you take something down from Twitter you become worse not better that's how Twitter works if you don't understand that you've never been asked to take something down and you've never taken something down if you're in the public eye and you do something

[19:38]

public eye and you do something offensive on Twitter and then you take it down people will take a photocopy of at the screen grab from the archive and they'll start a whole new round of what's wrong with you and and how bad you are and the Cowardly you are for taking it out so you'd never take it down I've made that mistake in the past just gets worse so for all the people gave me advice you should take down that tweet Scott don't you understand why you got no worst advice ever secondly apologies do have a place but you should never apologize for the whole thing if you've been misunderstood you should make sure that your only apologies are in the context of saying clearly I didn't mean it that way because clearly I didn't yeah you know I didn't mean it to hurt anybody and there was a reason I thought it wouldn't and I gave my reasons I had a blind spot and I said oh I have a blind spot I completely acknowledge the complaints of my critics as valid completely

[20:39]

of my critics as valid completely accepted the complaints as valid that's really disarming there's nothing more disarming than completely accepting the criticism of your critics and it should give very close to the end of the topic right once you've said you know everything you say I take that as as a valid criticism here's why I did it here's why I apologized too let's move on but taking down the tweet just sort of erases your history and makes you look like a weasel so I so the biggest complaint I got is from the people who said I didn't complain but of Cour I didn't apologize but of course I was the first thing I did and was pinned to my Twitter and people still like to complain all right so the bottom line is socially I came out behind because people people are mad at me I guess in person zero people have expressed that so in my daily life of just you know

[21:41]

so in my daily life of just you know interacting with humanity zero people had any problem with anything I did so of all the people I meet in real life people would actually talk to me plenty of them think I shouldn't have tweeted what I tweeted but there's nobody really has a problem with me in real life none or at least nobody has expressed it so I don't have any experience of it in the real life it's only sort of an online online outrage thing which make which is part of why I know it's artificial all right so enough on that too much let's talk about the democratic debate who won who lost all right I made a prediction I had a debate I was a small prediction and I put in a comment to a Van Jones tweet and I said this I read lack of confidence talking about Harris I read a lack of confidence in a public persona but if she nails this debate which I said was likely and her poll

[22:42]

which I said was likely and her poll numbers surged looked for a confident kamala to emerge which beat which would be hard to beat so I said it would be likely the Harris would would nail the debate that she would do well because she seems to do well in set-pieces she does well when she's interrogating somebody in Congress she does she did well in the last debate she did not do well in this debates and her biggest problem is in my opinion confidence she doesn't act like she thinks she belongs there and it comes across if she can't act like she belongs there then the voters will will agree with her the voters are gonna agree with her if she looks like she doesn't think she belongs there so there's a lack of confidence in her body language when she was being criticized if you saw her face when she was being criticized by the other candidates which was the normal thing

[23:43]

candidates which was the normal thing that was happening up there she looked bothered and and thrown off her face registered that the other candidates when they would be just excoriated is that the right word they would be getting ripped apart and you'd see their faces and they just have either have a you know what will smile like or they'd be like or they were just look at you like it didn't matter and then those are much better ways to play it but she she projects a lack of confidence and by the way I I was listening to her talk in my headphones without looking at her and I discovered something that I hadn't noticed before when you take calm Harris's voice out of the visual in other words if you're only listening to her but you're not looking at her at the same time it's much weaker so her voice outside of her personal appearance gets

[24:46]

outside of her personal appearance gets very forgettable in week and that's it's tough to get past I've often thought that you could predict the presidency by voice if you just had a bunch of people listen to people's voices talking about absolutely anything you'd do a pretty good job of predicting who's gonna be the next president male and female I think voice and the confidence you put across and the power that you put in your voice it might be 60% of the game I mean it's it's that big a deal we are so influenced by voice quality one of the things I noticed when I worked in my corporate career is that there was not only was their executive hair the executives all seem to have similar haircuts and like good hair and I thought how is it how is it likely that all of the executives have good hair like what are the odds of that but they also had really interesting voices the executives now this was all so years ago

[25:46]

executives now this was all so years ago so I think things may have changed since then but they had those executive deep voices and even the women who were succeeding had more I'd say masculine sounding at least mannerisms if not voices so voices are very important the best voice is up there our Biden Biden by far has one of the best executive sounding voices if you if you could divorce the things that Biden says and the things that he's done and that his policies if you could imagine all of that away and just listen to the tonal quality of his voice it's really presidential and I haven't feeling that a lot of the reason that people think he's you know their guy and the front-runner knowing nothing about any of the subjects how many of the voters at this point do you think even understand health care immigration how many of them have any understanding those topics I would say none zero and

[26:48]

those topics I would say none zero and of the entire country the number of people who understand health care zero zero including the experts zero how many people understand the exact right way to do immigration I mean we generally have some preferences about children in cages we don't like that part but who understands the whole the whole complicated thing nobody nobody but I do believe people here a confident voice and they say well I don't understand those things but that voice sure sounds like somebody who understands those things and will get to the other the other players a minute so let me just go down the list of who did well and who didn't Biden I think is gonna take a hit in the polls I think that Biden made some old man errors that you can't

[27:49]

some old man errors that you can't really get past they there was they sort of revealed that he's not completely on his game yeah and so what he he and it wasn't wasn't the biggest error in the world but because we're looking for this kind of error it makes it look bigger so at the end I guess you know even Vaux which is a left-leaning entity said that he quote bungled the debate closing statement you know if you hear the word bungled coming from your own team you've bungled yeah that's it that's a bad bumble when your own team says the word bungle because your side doesn't use the word bungle unless you bungled what he did in particular was that he said if you agree with me go to Joe thirty three three zero and everybody laughed and said that's not a website it's Joe 2020 that's the website but of course he wasn't talking about the website he was talking about a phone

[28:52]

the website he was talking about a phone phone line or code that you can call to I don't do something yeah but the the mere fact that old sleepy Joe who probably has never used a computer the fact that he would not distinguish between a landline and a website well that's pretty bad it's as bad as a look there's nothing wrong with it really he just he just didn't clarify that it was a telephone line if he had it would have been fine but it just the fact that he got up there and promoted he promoted a telephone in 2019 if you're promoting using the telephone in 2019 one of the young people say now of course you know some smart phones are you know part of their body practically but just the fact that the way you phrased it was telephonically as opposed to website II you know more

[29:54]

as opposed to website II you know more modern language sort of a tell that people aren't going to love actually it's a it's a text number but just the fact that he's screwed that that makes him look like an old man and then he said you referred to eight more years of Donald Trump will change America in a fundamental way now what he meant is eight years a trump and what he meant was four more years so when he said eight more years very normal verbal slip something anybody could have done at any age at any i q-- but because it's biden it's a national story that he said a sentence wrong that we know what he meant so these are little things but the fact that even his friends you know that people on the Left are pointing this stuff out means they're not all that on that page if you know what I mean the most interesting thing about the debates was that Obama got thrown

[30:55]

the debates was that Obama got thrown totally under the bus I did not see that coming one week ago you would have expected that all Democrats would have supported Obama and all Republican would have said good things about Reagan well two weeks ago is a long time because this week we're throwing Obama under the bus in fact the protesters who were there at the debate were protesting that Obama had deported so many people Obama now I don't know if they were legitimate protesters or you know paid protesters just mess things up from the Democrats I suspect that might be part of it but they didn't want they they were anti Joe Biden because of his connection to Obama and watching people frame Obama as bad on immigration watching the Democrats do it was amazing like not I don't even mean amazing good I mean remarkable so

[31:57]

mean amazing good I mean remarkable so it was like a spectacle to behold and that way and I thought yeah and even Joe Scarborough was amazed that the in his words that they portrayed Obama as quote more heartless than Donald Trump on immigration and they were also against Obama care so the Democrats just went full Trump what is Trump been saying Obama deported more people what is Trump been saying Obama built the cages for the kids what is Trump and saying he's been saying that Obama care was a bad idea the Democrats just agreed with Trump on the most major issues that they care about now they didn't obviously don't agree on all the details blahblah ball but it was amazing watching the party just self-immolate by attacking the things which they were strongest on in

[32:57]

things which they were strongest on in order to get a Biden all right in essence the people who are anti biting the Democrats that are trying to get past Biden for the nomination is it my imagination or did they try to frame Biden as Trump they're not trying to become the nominee to be Trump they just Framed Biden as just another Trump they didn't say just another old white guy but they kinda meant it don't you think I mean nobody's gonna say that well it's kind of easy the lump of Biden with Trump because they're both old white guys so your brain your brain just automatically your bigoted brain just puts them in the same category so it might be effective it might be exactly the thing that things by now I don't know Harris Harris actually accused

[33:57]

know Harris Harris actually accused Biden of working with segregationists that's like one of the dirtiest attacks
first of all there's no one including Republicans who believes that Joe Biden's a racist right does anybody think Joe Biden's racist no no even the people who desperately don't want him to be President they don't think he's a racist but what do you see here say the Biden was working with segregationists and then she just sort of you know moves on to her point it makes it seem as though Biden was agreeing with segregationists no he was working with people who had been elected to Congress because he didn't have any choice once somebody's elected to Congress that's who you work with it's not up to you who you work with you didn't make the decision you didn't vote for the segregationist you're just trying to get something done and the things he was trying to get done were not segregationist policies he was trying to work with them to do something

[34:58]

trying to work with them to do something that wasn't segregationist so the fact that she threw him under the bus as quote working with segregationist when it was a day in time when that was the only option was first of all a super dirty trick and second of all pretty darn effective as dirty tricks go a plus so consistent with my trying to separate technique from whether I personally agree with it her technique of matching the idea of Biden with segregationists is really strong it's a really strong technique it's just totally illegitimate totally it just won't matter it works anyway Biden made the mistake of saying that if a PhD comes across our stage I think he meant comes into the country it sounded like he misspoke on that but I'm not entirely sure but Biden said that if if an

[36:00]

sure but Biden said that if if an immigrant who was a PhD comes here we should try to keep them because you know indicating that we want talented people especially we won't tell the people and if they're immigrants let's keep them and then Booker of course tore into him saying that that was just like Trump that if you follow that path and say give me all the PhDs you end up with you didn't say it but the implication was you end up with white people and and then Booker went ahead and used the S word on TV the s whole countries he said you're no better than Trump with his talking about s whole countries and I thought wow wow first of all very effective so Cory Booker had a good night I thought I thought Cory Booker was the strongest we've seen him and he was brutal I mean II really took I think he took he took a

[37:04]

II really took I think he took he took a chunk and a Biden that night now so it was so my overall conclusion on Biden is that he should go down in the polls after this maybe not a lot but I think I think that the Democrats exposed him as being too much like Trump to wind right because remember Biden would have to limp it into the general election let's say he got the nomination if he limped into the general election he would be limping in with this big wheelbarrow full of ammunition that his Democratic opponents have given President Trump and he's just gonna hand it to Trump and Trump's gonna say well let's see let's see Joe let's see what the Democrats say about you they say you hang out with segregationists that's what the Democrats said about they say Obamacare is a huge mistake that's what the Democrats say about you Joe Biden he's

[38:07]

Democrats say about you Joe Biden he's dead in the general election because the basically let me put it this way the the Democratic challengers have put down a poison pill for Joe Biden and feel free to borrow that analogy a poison pill is when that comes from the the merger and acquisition world so well sometimes a company if it knows it might be acquired by another company and it doesn't want that to happen will build into its internal corporate rules that if they're acquired and I'll just make up an example everybody gets a a million dollar bonus all the employees do now of course if that happened the company would no longer be worth acquiring because all of the money that the acquirer thought was they were going to get would immediately be going to the employees and there would be no money left in the company so why would you buy a company with no money so that's a poison pill so a company has created a set of laws that makes them acquirable

[39:08]

set of laws that makes them acquirable it's a poison pill if they try to acquire you they get the poison and they die that's what the Democrats who are challenging Biden have done they they have poison pill him in other words they have criticized him so much as Democrats that that ammunition makes him unviable as a general candidate so he will not be viable because the poison pills that the Democrats just laid down now the public may not yet see that this is going to be the sort of realization they'll sort of emerge over the next few weeks as you know one pundit after another says you know I think they've damaged him so much that if he had never run against anybody in the primaries he'd be a strong candidate against the president but now they've kind of weakened them to the point he can't win and the others have not been similarly weakened they the others have not been weakened to the point

[40:08]

have not been weakened to the point where they can't win they won't win but you know it's a different situation so here here is the thing that really struck me about the night it seemed to me that the Democrats are focusing on the let's say the part of society that they think is in the worst hole so they talked about prisoners quite a bit they talked about prisons and convicts quite a bit and making their situation better they talked about children and making the situation with children better both legal and illegal residents they talked about immigrants who were not legal citizens and making things better for them and they talked about other countries Guatemala etc and making things better for them what do all of those groups have in common have you figured out what all of those groups have in common the ones that they focused on all night they can't vote

[41:11]

focused on all night they can't vote the Democrats have crafted a and it almost sounds like if I'd said this out of context like if I just said this without this actually being the real situation that we're watching right now if I'd said to you that one of the major parties decided to craft their entire election message for the people who can't vote children can't vote convicts can't vote illegal immigrants can't vote if I told you that that had been their actual strategy I think it would have laughed and you would have said you know what ah I'm no political expert but if I'm gonna try to get elected I think I would craft my message for voters people who vote now I certainly understand why they want to show compassion and they want to they want to focus their compassion and the groups that are the hardest hit and those three groups are pretty hard hit kids prisoners

[42:13]

pretty hard hit kids prisoners and a lot of the prisoners of course have addiction problems maybe some mental illness problems and stuff so there's a lot of stuff that's not necessarily entirely under their control and stuff and and you know maybe they got a bad start in life bad just bad childhood experience about everything so I completely get the epithet the empathy makes complete sense but can you win an election by making your entire message appeal for the people who don't vote it looks like a bad strategy guess we'll find out let's talk about yang everybody keeps saying yang Yang and getting my messages here every five seconds somebody says what about yang here's my take on yang his presentation skills and is his speaking in public his persona really really good I gotta say his public persona is dare I say Reaganesque

[43:24]

yang and I don't mean in the in the racist way yang is funny in a very relatable sort of way that you know makes us all laugh he said that he was literally the opposite of President Trump because he's an Asian man who's good at math very good line I've heard him say it before it works every time the public laughs it's self-deprecating in a sense you know not really but it's self-deprecating him like a funny sense yeah it sort of gets to the point and it makes you like him and then he talks about his it was essentially one idea the dollars for everybody now I think to myself who doesn't want a thousand dollars everybody wants a thousand dollars so that might actually be a much smarter idea than do you think I we get the sense when we watch him that maybe he doesn't have any depth in the other topics maybe he doesn't have a good idea for immigration maybe he doesn't have a good idea for

[44:25]

good idea for health care but I suppose if you gave her everybody $1,000 a month well they could buy themselves health care right well a house another person would buy you health care now how do you afford it well I guess that's the question but he's not what I like about Yang's take on this is that he's the only one who's looking at the future with any realistic view but I don't think we elect politicians who are good at anticipating the future nobody wants that well I think we want politicians who are good at fixing yesterday's problem we don't really want ones that are good at anticipating the next one that's why nobody is voting on climate change that's why the the candidates whose main main thing is climate change are not getting any traction because we just don't care about the future as much as we care about really litigating the past and who was it was a Bennett who chastised the people unscathed

[45:27]

chastised the people unscathed on stage for talking about something that happened 50 years ago with busing and we should be talking about the future and I thought to myself hey that's a nice high ground maneuver the high ground maneuver is when you say something that people can't disagree with and he took it up - should we be focusing on what happened 50 years ago and you say to yourself no we shouldn't cuz nobody thinks you should focus on something that happened 50 years ago until he brings it up though they're gonna do it so yang I thought is an engaging personality he has plenty of style and personality comes across well he looks like a bull for both you know Democrats and Republicans there's nothing to dislike about him but people don't really get the thousand dollar thing and I have not heard I've not heard it summarized in a in a brief way that would convince anybody in fact I don't

[46:28]

would convince anybody in fact I don't even know that I've heard the entire argument I mean I know the basics that automation will take away our jobs we're going to have to do something with all the unemployable people but I don't know how they gets to how we pay for it and that I think he has answers I just don't know what they are and I actually would like to hear them alright let's talk about some other kids aid so you all want me to talk about Tulsi so I thought Tulsi Gabbard he had a good night not good enough to propel her into the lead my problem with Tulsi as a candidate is her mannerism is a little too laid-back Hawaiian I can like everything she says without being the least bit inspired by it do you know what I mean she doesn't inspire she just makes you think oh yeah well that was pleasant and you know I could I see where she's going with that and well isn't she a nice person that so

[47:28]

and well isn't she a nice person that so I have those kinds of feelings about hers like yeah she seems like quite a nice person very very smart looks like she's served her country I like that Tulsi Gabbard but when she talks she has almost I don't know if it's a Hawaii thing we're sort of a laid-back almost a surfer delivery that it doesn't sound serious it doesn't sound like he has the gravitas it doesn't sound like if you put her in the room with Putin the things go well unless Putin wants to date her and then maybe things would go well but just kidding I don't think that I don't think a bird is gonna make it into the top three the the guys was it was it Bennett Inslee I don't know the the generic white guys the governor's I just can't take them seriously yet and I'm not

[48:29]

take them seriously yet and I'm not saying that they're not qualified and nothing they're not talented what I'm saying is that they're they're generic white guys and I just don't see the Democrats going for that the only reason Biden's up there is because of his Obama connection otherwise he certainly wouldn't be there and the only reason Bernie's there is he's he's he's giving free stuff to young people so he has a lot of young people supporting but Bernie won't make it either alright what else was up there oh let's talk a little bit about Corey so I said he had the best night I thought mentally strategically mentally meaning smart strategically performance wise right level of aggressiveness I'd probably give him an a on all that

[49:29]

probably give him an a on all that wouldn't you I I thought that his performance was close to flawless it was really good but here's the thing there's something about Cory Booker you know it's the wide eyes and the way he talks that doesn't come across as genuine is that is that the problem I I don't know exactly what it is but there's something about his persona that is not quite clicking I don't know exactly what it is and I'm curious about whether Democrats are feeling any anything different
I like Booker when he said to do Biden that Biden you can the both ways you can't embrace Obama and then go against Obama I thought the most the most disqualifying thing that Biden did

[50:29]

most disqualifying thing that Biden did is that when he was asked what he advised President Obama before Obama started deporting lots of illegal immigrants and and Biden actually said that it was a private conversation and he wouldn't talk about what if ice precedent tells the president ouch ouch because that puts Biden in a position where he has to be a weak weenie or he agreed with Obama on all those deportations and both of them are come disqualifying so I think Booker or was a Booker who pushed him into that position I think that was a kill shot so I think by can't survive that that debates my guests so here's my prediction I'm gonna say the Biden goes down and I'm gonna say that the winner of the debate was are you ready who do

[51:31]

of the debate was are you ready who do you think I'm gonna declare the winner of the debate who was the winner of the debate the answer is Elizabeth Warren who wasn't there the winner of that debate was Elizabeth Warren because in her own debate she held her own was perfectly competent in her Elizabeth Warren way and I would think of this debate the the lower ranked people who have had maybe a little move up but not enough to make them a challenge and I think that the top two candidates who are opposed to war and both had a less than good night I think Biden's night should take his poll numbers down and I think that Harris's numbers are going to stay relatively similar and maybe go up a little because as Biden's support disappears the Biden sport is going to

[52:32]

disappears the Biden sport is going to go somewhere some of it might go to Harris so even though all the candidates were attacking bite and the the pro Biden people have to go somewhere with their vote if they change their mind and where are they gonna go you're not going to go from Biden to you know very anti Biden positions so I think Harris might actually pick up a little bit of support or at least stay very similar people are saying that Tulsi Gabbard will go up remember if she could double you know Tulsi could double them it just wouldn't make any difference so sort of irrelevant what the lower ranked people do now I will say this I think people are so obsessed with winning that I don't think people are gonna say hey that candidate who had to 2% support I think if we all get behind him or her we can bump that up to 4% I don't think people want to go to the person who's got a 2% of support

[53:34]

the person who's got a 2% of support because it's just a wasted vote even if you're just talking to a pollster it's sort of a waste of the conversation so people are gonna move from Biden to whoever is most Biden like who also could win is that Harris no I'm sorry is it Elizabeth Warren not so much because Elizabeth Warren is sort of the opposite Biden she's more extreme left he's more middle-of-the-road the most the the closest person to Biden who's not Biden Miss Harris who also has the right gender and the right ethnic composition to be sort of naturally popular in a group that the values that stuff so I do not expect the Harris will be knocked out of the race by a less than great performance last night she'll she'll stay where she is I think maybe Warren will have a little bump and Biden will

[54:35]

will have a little bump and Biden will be down a little bit maybe Booker gets a little bump but he's not going to be in the hunt he's not gonna be in the top three so what one of the which was the candidate was a Bennett or somebody else I forget which one he said we have a white nationalist in the White House now calling somebody a white nationalists
that given given what evidence there is you know in the news etc that is such a destructive thing in terms of you know tearing the country apart that even if you believe that's true they should be disqualifying to say out loud well I suppose if it were true it wouldn't be disqualifying but given that half of the country is saying we voted for that and we don't think he's anything like that I don't know how you can win a

[55:35]

that I don't know how you can win a general election by saying that half of the voters put a white nationalist in the office that was maybe so irresponsible that you wouldn't want that guy in charge of the military would you I mean that's that was a look that that's like a permanent state all right so let me give you a kill shot for a Biden if he's not already finished off are you ready for this so Biden is getting a lot of pushback for his getting tough on crime past so he put a lot of people in prison and in 2019 there's more effort especially by the Trump administration to get people out of prison if they've served their time or they're not there for four reasons we think are appropriate but here's a kill shot that has not been used on Biden that could be used by the

[56:38]

used on Biden that could be used by the Democrats it wouldn't work so well for Trump to say it but but just I'm gonna give you one sentence in the form of a question imagine any Democrat challenger asking this question to Biden on stage you ready how many women have you put in prison see the thing is that Biden put more people in prison I assume that it wasn't just all men don't you think he put a lot of women in prison if anybody goes after Biden for putting more women in prison by his policies which I think could be supported by the fact somebody has to fact-check be there because if it's not supported by the facts it's gonna be weaker but it's still work I mean even if it's not true people are gonna think it's true but the reason that kids in cages work so well is that we don't think the same about putting an adult male who committed a crime in

[57:40]

adult male who committed a crime in prison as we do when we talk about a kid especially a kid who you know made any adult decisions about any crimes or anything so I think that Biden would have a tough time explaining why he put so many women in prison you know I think it's supportable by the facts and I'm not sure that those women didn't need to go to prison for their crimes I don't know what the details are but might be an interesting approach maybe you'll see that the other thing that Biden did which really hurts him I think is that he's the only candidate we've seen who as soon as the moderator tells him he's done he stops in the middle of a sentence doesn't that isn't that jarring it looks submissive so remember he was a vice president not a president so a vice president is a submissive position the point of being a vice president is to be submissive

[58:43]

vice president is to be submissive you are literally an underling you are literally the one person in the government who can never disagree with the president am i right every other person from Lindsey Graham to Mark meadow as you name it every other Republican who otherwise supports the president can still can still them criticize them on certain topics and you've seen it over and over right there's no shortage of Republicans who are willing to criticize the president except for one there is only one Republican in the world who you've never seen criticized the president during his administration Pence because that's his job Pence's job is to be the most submissive politician who's running or it was who has a job not running so pence actually ran for the job of submissive politician sort of a

[59:44]

submissive politician sort of a politician in a box just waiting for an emergency Biden for eight years was the world's most submissive politician nobody's arguing that right you're submissive if all you do is agree with your boss and you even tell us what you advised him so Biden will be running as the most if he got the nomination he'll be running as the most submissive politician who is still alive
against the most dominant politician who's ever lived think about that Biden is the most submissive politician who's still alive I don't know if there's any other vice presidents around I guess quails around but he was only in one term right in terms of eight years of submissiveness nobody tops Biden and he'd be running against the most alpha dominant

[1:00:45]

against the most alpha dominant politician of all time in the United States that's not a good look
let's see what else we got here I think we talked about most of the things here there anything else anything else you you want to talk about somebody says my audio is good today you know I don't really know why the audio is good some days not good others other days because unless I'm wearing the headphones when I'm doing interviews with people and talking to people it's always the same it's just my iPad I just stick this little clip to my shirt and that's it somebody says Trump is not the most dominated politician hint hint Oh somebody said Al Gore yeah Al Gore also did eight years you're right but but he'll girl you know I know

[1:01:53]

right but but he'll girl you know I know was Al Gore submissive not as submissive as Biden because when you think of Al Gore he was he was always framed as a co-president because Bill Clinton was good at this he would say that you know you got Hillary for free and you know and the two presidents not one because he was going to give Gore a big portfolio of important stuff and gore actually did a lot of important stuff he did you know made the government more efficient and and then later he talked about climate change and stuff so when you look at gore you see somebody who had a portfolio of real work and was really respected and you imagined that when he went to lunch with you imagined that when Al Gore had lunch with Bill Clinton that when Al Gore had an opinion Bill Clinton probably listened to it don't you don't don't you imagine if those two guys were talking back in the day that

[1:02:53]

guys were talking back in the day that President Clinton would completely respect Al Gore's opinion and incorporated in what he was doing of course of course he would so even though Gore had the job that's the submissive job we didn't see it that way because she knew he was more like a partner than a subordinate pence I don't know how often pence was even in the room frankly I mean it might be I just don't know we don't hear about it and how about Biden no I guess Biden had some you know had a portfolio - I think he had something to do with the recovering funds but we don't really think of him that way we don't we don't imagine him as anything except the guy who disappeared behind Obama's shining star power so that's got to be a factor so I see somebody still mocking Al Gore with Al Gore built the Internet somebody typed that in all capital letters followed by lol you know Al Gore is

[1:03:58]

followed by lol you know Al Gore is completely unfairly criticized for that the reality is that Al Gore built the Internet I'm sorry that was just true Al Gore built the Internet oh you're saying he didn't do the programming he didn't do the technology he's not an engineer that was all done by technology people not Al Gore well you know Al Gore's who funded it Al Gore is the person who championed the fun to make that happen he was the one who saw that that was important and he went and got the money for it so if Al Gore says I built the internet because he's the one who championed it and got the money that's pretty close to true there wasn't one person who built the Internet you know even the technical people there's you know there is one person I think who was sort of the architect of some of the basics of the technology but that person that one person didn't build the Internet there's like thousands and thousands of people but probably the

[1:05:00]

thousands of people but probably the most important person the one person who had to do what he did was Al Gore say what you want to say about his politics say what you want to say about climate change say what you want to say about any of his opinions but truth is Al Gore was a pretty serious guy he was qualified and and he did make the Internet happen so here's what I criticize Al Gore for he he did what people advised me to do which is sort of fall on the sword and so he made a joke of himself for saying that he invented the internet so he acted as though the criticism were true and he's just haha okay I said that I'm wrong that probably was the wrong approach what he should have said every time that came up is to say I never meant that I invented it as in I never meant that I coded it I meant

[1:06:05]

in I never meant that I coded it I meant that I was you know the one who got the money and the money is important nothing happens without money now if he'd said that we would have said okay he's sort of exaggerated his role but the money part is so important and the end the vision to know to get that money that's a pretty big deal so he didn't take credit for what was one of the greatest things a government a government servant ever did Al Gore funding the the beginning of the Internet is the most important things and the politician ever did and instead of taking his full credit he went with a joke and and laughed at himself I think it was a huge mistake politically because I think he should have taken the credit for that and keep in mind that Al Gore was also I think he was the only Democrat who cited maybe the only one

[1:07:06]

Democrat who cited maybe the only one who sided with Bush senior about the first Iraq war which was the the one people liked so that was sort of the limited one where we just stopped him from going into Kuwait stopped what's his name so yeah I've always liked Al Gore and I didn't apologize for that I think he was the real deal I think he had some flaws as a politician but they were not flaws as a person they were flaws as you know his BS wasn't as good as other people's BS I can't I can't fault him for that and I'm on climate change I think we have to wait and see because there's certainly something happening you know it looks like the climate is changing and we you know we can disagree about the role of humans and all that but if he if he rate rose our consciousness about it and that causes us to let's say

[1:08:07]

about it and that causes us to let's say build more a green technology and have more clean nuclear power if it leads to those things I think it's gonna be okay alright subby said he was wrong on NAFTA that might be that could be you know nastas kind of a strange one because I don't know how you can score NAFTA because I think you could make an argument that if NAFTA never happened you know there might have been massive immigration and dislocation and the south and we would have a bigger immigration problem that we did but because they have to happened yet helped the economy of other countries on their borders while being bad for our apparently or at least employment but did we come out behind there's no way to know we can't judge whether an after was good or bad because we don't have here's an important point for those of you who have not been in the world of science or

[1:09:09]

have not been in the world of science or economics or business if you've never been in those fields you can't really compare something without an actual comparison so we can't say NAFTA was good or bad because what we don't have is those same years with no NAFTA there's nothing to compare it to you can say that something went the way we don't want that would be true but you can't say it didn't work you can only say some bad stuff came out of it some good stuff came out of it we don't like the bad stuff you could say that but you don't know what would have happened if you didn't do it that's unknowable and so I'll leave you with that thought and now I wish you all a tremendous day and go off and have the best time of your whole life