Episode 595 Scott Adams: The Census, Tech Summit, @Pulte TwitterPhilanthropy, Climate Change

Date: 2019-07-12 | Duration: 1:10:31

Topics

Charitable Direct-Giving model for helping those in need Tech Summit happened…and Twitter had major outage? President Trump’s genuine affection for the group Rose Garden dustup, Brian Karem and Seb Gorka Gathering government database info to determine citizenship Possible 90% accuracy using existing data Reporters BLINDSPOT: NO business background, experience Lack of experience limits your ability to comprehend My non-scientific Twitter poll on biggest threat to low income people What are the intentions and impressions of both sides? Resources are limited, the US does NOT have unlimited resources With limited resources, we need to choose priorities Epstein’s sweet previous deal, and where his money came from We don’t know the full details or full context AOC accuses Pelosi of “racism”…is this a jump the shark moment? Does this reveal Democrats as FRAUDS? Twitter persuasion yesterday…after, they tweeted…”miss us?” BRILLIANT perfect persuasion moment Tom Steyer’s extraordinary lack of charisma CNN Erin Burnett’s facial expressions give impression of distress Tucker Carlson’s comment, “Four morons of the apocalypse” Climate change study concludes man-made change is insignificant Major influencer is NOT humans? Cosmic rays affect clouds? Coast Guard guy pounding on intercepted cocaine filled submarine Wow-levels of bravery and competence Future interview teaser…reasonable sounding cancer CURE system?

If you would like my channel to have a wider audience and higher production quality, please donate via my startup (Whenhub.com) at this link: https://interface.my/ScottAdamsSays

> [!note] Rough Transcript
> 
> This is an auto-generated transcript and may contain errors.

## Transcript

[0:03]

bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum everybody sing along pom pom pom pom okay if you forgot the words it doesn't really matter because the words are pu m pu m pu m pump pump pump pump oh I know why you're here you're here because it's another great day a great day one of the best days if you were to compare today to all the other days top shelf one of the best and that's because you're gonna start your day with a dopamine hit that's gonna just I I don't know it's just gonna last all day it's gonna feel great it begins with the simultaneous imp and you know what you need that's right a cup or a glass or mug Stein attacker - chalice could be some kind of a thermos could be a flask and for our men and women in the Armed Forces a canteen could be a vessel of any kind but join me now for the

[1:05]

any kind but join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of these simultaneous uh well I see in the comments that somebody has has been misspelling pom pom pom pom pom is not with the B as in boy no no it's with the P as in Paul pom pom pom pom pom there's so much news let's get to it you all saw the excitement yesterday when bill pulled a announced his hashtag Twitter of philanthropy he was giving away over a hundred thousand dollars to people who just said they needed it for real good reasons and he's already started giving away gifts of you know a thousand several hundred etc a number of other people mark Schneider I think I just saw a few other people who said yeah I'll give I'll give $100 I'll give $300 so people are starting to jump in but the most exciting one is that

[2:06]

but the most exciting one is that apparently Kanye West is in but Kanye instead of vetting each individual persons request which is a lot of work seems to have delegated that to Bill Paul T's group who will be doing the vetting so Kanye West infer $250,000 which he'll get some help distributing how about that huh so and what the the world is so small so so bill Paul T has this idea he starts tweeting around with his phone I think the the entire technological requirement of everything he's done was the phone that was already in his pocket that's it that was the entire technological requirement you know that plus the Internet to do what he wanted to do and next thing you know he's he's got the President of the United States retweeting him the Internet is lighting

[3:07]

retweeting him the Internet is lighting up people are giving it away and more importantly people are feeling good they're just feeling good about the whole thing and I think the I think the psychology of it is the important thing and you should also look at where does this go you know where what is it what door does it open what what does it make us think about differently and I want to give you a glimpse of what I think might be the future but something I've talked about before and it gets and it's part of this direct giving model that bill Polti is a pioneering here on Twitter but I think this could even go someday to the next level wouldn't you like to see an app in which a poor person or just somebody who's struggling at the moment needs a specific amount of small amount of money just just to get out of the hole if you if they you just get out of the hole they can do the rest maybe

[4:07]

of the hole they can do the rest maybe they just need to finish a class take your trading class maybe they just need to pay off a bill or have somebody to watch their kids something like that but imagine if you will that any poor person could use an app and put in essentially a funding request now GoFundMe isn't quite the model because that's for bigger projects but something about something for somebody who has a job in another state they've landed a job but they can't get there they can't afford it would you pay you know I don't know thousand dollars maybe most of you would not because money's tight but let's say if you're rich would you pay a thousand dollars if all you have to do is push some buttons on your app and you can see the profile of the picture the full requests maybe even tax returns whatever it takes that there's some person who just needs help and maybe you could push a button and you could talk to that person so you could find out if they're real how about that

[5:09]

find out if they're real how about that you just push the button to talk to them say okay are you real I just want to talk to you for a minute because if you are real I'm gonna give you the money that you want it no strings attached it's not a loan it's just a gift I'm mad imagine what that would do to the world imagine every person who needs something can can put it in a little an app and the world can see it and then you can decide whether to help that person maybe you get some updates on how things go wouldn't that feel good maybe you get it up you get a regular updates to the app that gift that you gave to Bob you know he's back at his feet he got his teeth made he's you know he's he's having trouble now it would be amazing all right you saw the Trump came out against cryptocurrencies yesterday did you see that so Trump made a pretty strong stand that the US dollar is the only real money he was I think he was specifically going after Facebook's

[6:09]

going after Facebook's idea for their crypto the Libre but he was talking in general about Bitcoin etc now what did that do to Bitcoin let us look cuz it changes so often I have to look at every moment to find out Bitcoin is up so the President of the United States says crypto is crap and it increases in value possibly because he drew attention to it right but there are a lot of people in the crypto world I may have this wrong so fact-check nearness but I think I saw that Mike Serna came down pretty hard on the president for that opinion essentially indicating that it was backwards and under-informed now my take on all crypto whether it's the Bitcoin or my own startups crypto which is a token not a coin called the web I don't know if

[7:13]

coin called the web I don't know if anybody knows I don't know there's it that there's anybody smart enough in the entire world to know what's gonna happen with crypto I'll say one thing that I'm completely confident about there will be crypto currencies in the future and people will use them and some of them will be very successful whether that continues to always be Victorian or it's you theory or something else but I'm sure it'll be something we just don't know what this reminds me very much of and by the way I've said this before if a new country formed today so if somebody could just start a country from scratch from you know empty land and they could make up all the road rules one of the rules you would make up is you would get rid of cash money because cash money is behind almost all crime if you think about it if we did not have physical cash which is the only thing

[8:15]

physical cash which is the only thing that's hard to track most crime would just go away because we would know where everybody is and what they're doing and they couldn't buy illegal guns they couldn't they just couldn't do a lot of stuff so in the future crypto has so many advantages and that it it's here to stay I think the president the president is I'm going to say he's right and wrong he's right to alert people that there's a big risk that's very fair ok if you don't get that you know you could get yourself in trouble so I think that's good service to say there's a big risk it's just not for everybody but at the same time something in that world we don't know exactly what will be around for a long time probably Bitcoin I will refer you back to what I call the Sidman effect feminine being Eric feminine the boy genius Bitcoin millionaire who is

[9:16]

boy genius Bitcoin millionaire who is prescient in his predictions and one of the fins predictions by the way he was one of the first people who saw a president Trump coming before that was obvious but he's also made a call on Bitcoin not too long ago that Bitcoin was going to go on a run in almost exactly the time he made the call boom Bitcoin has been on a and a pretty system sustained rung talking about something else the tech summit happened yesterday at the same time the tech summit happened Twitter coincidentally had a major outage worldwide it was out for an hour so I don't know about you but I felt disconnected in a way that was very unsettling you know it's I'm completely aware of the fact that I'm addicted to social media specifically Twitter or not I'm not addicted to any of the other social platforms but I'm

[10:17]

of the other social platforms but I'm very addicted to Twitter and going in an hour without Twitter and knowing that even if I wanted to check it I couldn't and not knowing when the outage would be over or what caused it so it was also unsettling to know why it was out was was very disconcerting I actually had a little mental anguish about that I was sitting in my backyard in my hammock on a perfect summer day the Sun was out the temperature was ideal I had just the right amount of shade I'm in the hammock I'm under a lovely tree my trusty dog Snickers is next to me it was a perfect scene and as I'm in the in the hammock I'm thinking to myself I don't feel right I don't have access to Twitter what's wrong with me I've got to get out of this hammock his Twitter up yet his Twitter up yet so you know if you ever doubt the effect that the big

[11:19]

you ever doubt the effect that the big tech companies have on you I'll tell you any doubt was removed in that moment anyway so that was just a coincidence it turns out that it was down during the tech summit it felt like it was a weird coincidence but it was just the coincidence and so let's talk about the text on it I didn't know how this tech summit was gonna go this it really could have gone off the rails pretty easily there were there were just lots of ways things could have gone wrong and there weren't many ways if you were to look at all the ways that could go wrong and compare it to all the ways that could go right the ways that could go right that was a little that was a tight little hallway right it was a lot of landmines there right but my analysis is that it went right I think the president was really deft deft d EFT in the way he handled it we'll talk about that moment and I would also say that the organizers

[12:20]

and I would also say that the organizers were very successful in in managing the let's say the the public impression of it here's how have you seen any group photos of the event because I haven't I I think that there were no group photos which was very good idea it was very strong because the whole point of this gathering is that they invited the people who were the the edgy people who were the first to experience any kind of bias because the edge year you are the more provocative you are the sooner you're going to notice any social media bias so of course if you're having let's put it this way if you're gonna have a conference about theft on the high seas you would invite pirates because pirates are the only ones who know know what's happening right pirates are the ones were doing things on the high seas so if you

[13:22]

doing things on the high seas so if you could talk about piracy you invite pirates if you're going to talk about people who get possibly less a shadow band or throttles on the Internet well the only people can talk about that are people have had that experience and the people who are going to have that first are the people who are the most interesting the most provocative the most socially let's say socially non mainline so of course that's who the group was that was the whole point now who can talk to a group of pirates and I'll just say pirates in this generic way of people who are not doing what society wants them to do who can talk to a group of miscellaneous pirates better than the President of the United States this specific president president Trump nobody nobody nobody feels more confident and more at ease in a room full of anything that is one of the

[14:26]

full of anything that is one of the things about this president have you ever noticed him being uncomfortable in a room the only time he looks uncomfortable is when he's visiting the Queen in England he looked real uncomfortable with all the you know all the requirements of good you know good etiquette but you put him you throw him in any any mixed crowd of you know who knows what and he's perfectly comfortable and he was perfectly comfortable there and gave what I thought was a tremendous speech so here's another thing that the President did right I don't have the exact language maybe somebody can put it in the comments but I saw a paraphrase so here's here's the most the delicate thing he had to handle he had to handle the delicacy there's some of the people he invited are not people he would necessarily endorse personally that's a very tight line right because he invited them because they're supporters because they have a legitimate complaint we

[15:26]

they have a legitimate complaint we don't know you know what's accurate what's not but it's a legitimate concern let's say but he did want to say therefore I believe everything you believe or I you know your conspiracy theory is my conspiracy theory he didn't want to he didn't want to attach himself too strongly to all the various opinions there because they were all over the place it wouldn't make sense so he gives his speech and he says I'm paraphrasing again some person does that's he looks at the crowd and says you know you're you're all amazing incredible people and that in the same sentence without stopping he goes not all of you I thought that was the most that was like the best brain surgeon you've ever done slicing just the smallest part of the brain off so he gets all of the tumor without affecting the brain the level of skill it took to thread that needle will never be

[16:28]

thread that needle will never be appreciated because it was such a small moment you know in in the larger tapestry of life that I don't think he will ever be recognized for how clever that was I'm saying again he looked at the crowd in person you could tell that he had affection for them all right so the first thing he did right was he was it was clear that he had genuine affection for this crowd even talked about the things they produce he said man that the crap you produce and he just laughs because he was saying a lot of it is just crap but his funny crap is creative crap it's well-intentioned crap he liked their crap he was even essentially calling a crap not all of it but you know some of it he said it was crap at the same time he was kind of happy about it who could pull that off really who could pull that off and and then he looked at the crowd and he literally insulted them in such a funny way not all of them he said that you know this is you're great you're amazing well not

[17:30]

is you're great you're amazing well not all of you and as soon as he said that everybody felt like a moment of honesty right because I think he does think a lot of the people in that group do gray things and in fact got him elected you know they were a big part of it so he I think his gratitude seemed since here I thought his affection seemed sincere and then somehow he actually gave himself some distance by saying well you know you're great well not all of you it was really brilliant it was one of his best public performances I think but my favorite part about this was IO and the reason that it was smart not to have all the group pictures is because when you have that kind of a group anybody who's standing next to somebody else becomes a news story like wow look who's standing next to somebody else and somehow they avoided all that apparently there were some rules in place about who could be photographed the photos we've seen is of the backs of heads and then it's actually the best

[18:31]

heads and then it's actually the best photo they possibly could have engineered it's the backs of heads of all the supporters so you can't really tell who is who perfect and then the genuine will say is that the right word no let's say the mainstream press we're all forced to stand in the back they don't have chairs and there and of course they're getting abused the whole time so that photo is just perfect which is perfect so that was like a plus plus for how to handle that situation but here's my here's my favorite part you know I'm gonna talk about Sebastian Gorka right so there was a writer for Playboy a credentialed reporter who was there and I guess he yelled out something maybe he wasn't happy about the reporters have to him to be in the back or something I don't know what it was it doesn't matter but he got into it in the Rose Garden at this event with Sebastian Gorka who you've all

[19:32]

with Sebastian Gorka who you've all probably seen the clip by now who started yelling at him that he was a punk and you know coming toward him like he's calling him out you know let's let's make this physical so it was the strangest scene to see you know a shouting match calling for essentially directly and directly calling for a physical confrontation at this you know peaceful little Rose Garden event Gorka Hulk somebody say now there's some there's some let's say ambiguity or confusion about what actually happened there it's a little unclear what the Playboy reported kerim is that his last name it's a little unclear what he said and it's a little unclear what he meant because he said something like take it outside which I think Gorka interpreted as let's go outside and fight because his his response to it was as if they had been said but then the guy who said

[20:33]

had been said but then the guy who said it said no I didn't mean to go outside and fight what I meant was take the conversation outside or something like that now I have no opinion on who said what what anybody meant what anybody should have done I I don't know doesn't matter here's the part I love what's the only visual and the only video that's worth a damn they came out of the event well there's the President's speech that's always good for the president because the focus was on him and he was he was really magnificent in the way he worked that particular crowd that was that was just real strong performance but the only other thing that was a visual element and the news needs visual right it's not news if it's just a concept and you're talking about it's boring news nobody wants to click it nobody wants to see it you need a picture and the only picture that anybody got into that was Gorka yelling at the mainstream reporter who probably

[21:34]

at the mainstream reporter who probably had it comin now you could argue that you know maybe you know maybe Gorka overreacted or anything but none of it matters none of it matters to my point in terms of how we received this event you saw Gorka yelling at a mainstream reporter you probably thought he had it comin you know if you're a trump supporter you probably just assume that I don't know if he had it coming or not all I know is that Sebastian Gorka got a lot of attention it's probably going to is probably going to help his ratings on his on his show and it was a Salem radio he's on there and it also sort of demonstrated a key theme of Trump supporters which is don't back down don't apologize that's the sort of becoming the unofficial theme don't back down don't apologize you know it'll never be a campaign theme and and shouldn't but among supporters you guys

[22:36]

shouldn't but among supporters you guys that a lot and and he demonstrated that so he demonstrated it in a big visual way that you'll remember and I I just thought it was sort of perfect obviously it wasn't planned but the only video that came out of that whole event was something that would totally entertain Trump supporters and other people would say uh you know it's just a guy yelling they wouldn't care one way or another so that was perfect accidental but perfect all right so we got a decision on the census issue about whether the census would include the question about citizenship the president decided and the Attorney General bar decided that because of logistics and timing and they had to get the census out and there was no way to work the process through the courts again to get to get the question on there they knew they could and I think they're right about that that if they've gone through

[23:37]

about that that if they've gone through the process they could get that question on there but there wasn't enough time and they didn't want to wait so they decided to take their temporary loss in the courts and rather than try to reverse it which I think they would have succeeded and eventually they would have taken too long so they decided to the president issues an executive order to tell the rest of the government to provide their databases to the Commerce Department because the collective databases of all the different government entities will actually tell you who is the citizen now where did you hear that idea before anybody anybody so I'm just waiting to see ya okay so watching your comments now right so I'm pretty sure the first time you heard that as even the suggestion was from me

[24:38]

that as even the suggestion was from me the other day and I was noting that we probably don't need to ask people if they're citizens as long as they're willing to tell us their their name and where they live and that sort of thing if you have that stuff you can compare it to your Social Security database and if they don't have a Social Security number well probably not a citizen and remember that the census doesn't have to be a hundred percent accurate you're just doing the best you can everybody knows it's an estimate in a number of different ways and sure enough that was exactly what the administration decided to do now here's the funny part the funny part about this is that the the opposition to putting that question on the census was entirely about that it would discourage people from filling it out there everybody everybody banked on that reason the opposition you know who may not be a legitimate in the sense that they automatically disagree with Trump no matter what the question is but what they had settled on is that putting

[25:41]

what they had settled on is that putting that question in the census would make people not fill it out if they were afraid of being deported I'm not sure that's the case but it was enough of her worry that it was I think it was a legitimate worry but having the government just do it with its own data completely eliminates that problem it doesn't just eliminate it a little it completely eliminates it because people will just be saying stuff that they say all the time what's your name blah blah and there are some people estimating that doing you through the database will get you a much more accurate count so the president managed to find a solution that has no objections and is more accurate and completely feasible as far as we can tell now we might find out later that yeah it's harder than we think maybe some parts of the government will resist who knows maybe the databases are not that compatible but here's that I

[26:41]

not that compatible but here's that I want to give you a thought that forms the the basis of my upcoming book that won't be out until November called loser think this is just an uncorrected proof this is not the actual book and one of the central themes of the book is that if you have experience in a number of domains let's say economics and marketing politics whatever the domains are if you have acted if you have some experience in more domains you can see the world more clearly than people who are have only seen the world through one domain so for example I often say that reporters miss business concepts if you're a reporter you probably came through a a path of learning to write and literature maybe had an English degree you haven't had a lot of experience being a manager or an entrepreneur in most cases and to me that creates a blind spot because when they're covering business people they

[27:43]

they're covering business people they don't quite always understand why they make the decisions they do and when they're covering President Trump President Trump is the perfect example of someone who has experience across all kinds of domains you know he's done he knows how to put on the show he's done business he's done politics you know money finance you name it he's been involved in so many things that he's got he's got some visibility on all those domains now here's here's why this is important on the census question we were all focused on the question of whether or not you could put a question on the forum and it became like a magic trick because a magician's trick is that while he's distracting you with this hand the actual magic is happening with the other hand while you're not watching it's like oh I'm doing something this hand don't look don't look it's redirection somewhat accidentally the census question became a magic trick because we were all focused on that question about

[28:44]

were all focused on that question about citizenship question yes or no and it it it accidentally limited your thinking about alternatives because the alternative of just using the databases you already have it was always there it was always completely there there was nothing to discover it the moment you heard it let me ask you if this is true when I explained this idea the other day the moment you heard it did you did you say to yourself oh god that's right yeah why wouldn't that work did you have a feeling like that because you should have because it's completely practical and as soon as you hear it you say why weren't we talking about that before here's the blind spot to get back to this concept of people having limited visibility because of the the skill sets they have I would I would say that my experience in corporate America in which

[29:45]

experience in corporate America in which my my normal everyday job was often the discussion at the phone company about whether this database could be compatible with this one what's the differences between these databases why does our customer database not line up completely with the billing database can we combine two databases to find something new can we mine the databases to get something else if you had a corporate job sort of a headquarters job you probably had that sort of discussion a lot of times let me see in the comments how many of you have had a day job you know just your career one where you you've routinely had the had the conversation about what's in the database how do you get this out of a database how do you compare these databases you know look at all the yeses going by so here's my here's my bottom line because I have that experience I matically primed to ask the question hey do we already have a database with that

[30:45]

do we already have a database with that information it's just automatic I would argue that if you would replace all the people in government who were asked who are focused on putting a question on the census if you just replaced them all with a randomly selected people who just work in cubicles just ordinary cubicle people who have ordinary cubicle jobs you just take them and say okay you're in charge of the government for a day you have no experience except your own experience which is working in a cubicle for a corporation now take care of the census thing it would have taken five minutes am I wrong in five minutes somebody in the of somebody from the cubicle world would have said have we looked at our databases you know I'm right right it would have been obvious anybody in the cubicle who had experience with looking at databases and trying to manage them etc which is most people because it always comes up it's the most common

[31:46]

always comes up it's the most common thing that comes up they would have said hey maybe we already have a database let's let's see what we already have how far can we get with that before we do something that's hard to do so I would say this was always hiding in plain sight it was hiding in plain sight and that's what this book is about this is how you get in the bubble you get in the bubble and you stay there because you don't have vision through other lenses and whoever came up with the idea to use the databases in the government I'm going to assume that it was an obvious enough idea that you know that there's somebody in the administration who had the same idea I would think that that's somebody who probably had a little bit more business experience and when they told other people the other people said oh why wasn't that obvious until you told me and then they and then they and they implemented so that was that was just a delightful little conclusion to

[32:50]

just a delightful little conclusion to that question all right I got a retweeted the other day by Ann Coulter now Ann Coulter does not follow me on Twitter so it was unusual that I got a retweet but of course the topic was about illegal immigration so that was sort of inner inter wheelhouse
and I don't know why I mentioned that I just I'll tell you I mentioned it when you're on Twitter and you have a big account you have all these weird little objectives that don't really have any purpose that you sort of keep in your mind and I always wondered huh I say so many things about Trump you think that Ann Coulter would probably retweet mute now and that but so - no - no important reason whatsoever I was excited just because I'm a big fan so let me let me close that point by

[33:52]

so let me let me close that point by saying whether or not you ever agree with what in Coulter says and I often do not agree with her she is a wonderful writer I would say one of the best writers this country has ever produced just an amazing communicator so a respect on that level even when I don't agree on the details but I did a little Twitter poll the other day this is what she retweeted and of course a Twitter poll is non-scientific a Twitter poll doesn't tell you you can't rely on it for anything right so we're not claiming there's any science to this but I thought it was interesting and I asked the question in your opinion what is the biggest long-term keywords long-term long-term threat to low-income people in the United States and I gave four choices of course there are lots of potential choices but I wanted to see how people would select among these four and I said climate change national debt economic slowdown or illegal immigration

[34:54]

economic slowdown or illegal immigration now of course most of my Twitter followers are Trump supporters and you should not be surprised that they said that the biggest threat to low-income people was illegal immigration and they said that at a 70% level the other ones climate change 5% national debt 10% economic slowdown 15% now of course they all overlap right you know each of these influences the other and somebody said hey you left out etc somebody says what's my choice good question you know oddly enough I'm not sure I have one you know all of these things could end us and they could all end us pretty quickly you know I am NOT going to give you my opinion because it would sort of be a weird boring mix of I wouldn't want to choose one it's all about risk management spread across multiple risks you don't want to hear

[35:55]

multiple risks you don't want to hear that so I'll just say this here's what I was trying to get out of this survey what I was not trying to get out of the survey and also the reason you don't need to hear my answer to it is that I didn't really care what the right answer is so there's no right answer because we're not really good at predicting this sort of thing no right answer but I did want to know what the intentions were of the people who are Trump supporters because I wondered if the intentions behind wanting a border wall were purely crime racism whatever whatever's the worst thing you could think of or is there actually some altruism that's baked in there now I don't think this unscientific Twitter poll can captain that right so I'm not going to say that we've concluded anything but I'm fascinated by the question of what do

[36:55]

fascinated by the question of what do the people on the Left think that the people on the right are thinking when they say we need strong border security what do they think they're thinking what do they think they're intentions well they're intentions the people on the Left believe the intentions on the right are entirely racist I believe there are some people on the right whose intentions are sorta racist so certainly those people exist the David Dukes etc you know might just want and fewer fewer non-white people so that's real but by far my impression is that it's some tiny minority and that other people are just sort of team players and they buy into the the the larger stated purpose that is good for the economy and good for the economy means very much good for the lower end of the economy of the people and who need the help would be the jobs

[37:56]

and who need the help would be the jobs and so I would love to see if there was if there were any way to create an actual scientifically statistically valid poll I would love to see if you could tease out the intentions on the people on the right because imagine you're you're a person on the Left let's say let's say you're you're an African American citizen of the United States which I guess is the same thing as being African American and and you're looking at this border a question and the people on the Left who are your people for the most part are saying hey these Republicans that are all racist and that's why they're doing it now what would you conclude if you you're a black citizen in this country what would you conclude I think you might look at it and say yeah you know I'm a little suspicious of why they want this and if they're going to be prejudiced against immigrants well they're probably prejudiced against me too you know a

[38:58]

prejudiced against me too you know a bigots a bigot so I can imagine it would be easy to have that opinion but what would happen if black Americans saw a valid poll that said that by far a huge majority of conservatives are primarily interested in employment and good economic outcomes for the people at the lower end which is you know there's a greater concentration of African Americans and lower end of the economic spectrum and the intentions behind that are really pretty good they're really pretty good intentions and I don't think that that question gets asked or answered you know we we have the discussion and you know people make their claims and other people make their claims but doesn't if you are if you're a black voter in the United States doesn't it all come down to the intentions you think it comes down to the economics the numbers the crime

[39:58]

to the economics the numbers the crime you think it comes down to the data you think it comes down to the facts but not really you know we're not that kind of species our species doesn't use facts to make decisions we make decisions because people things feel right and then we rationalize them with our facts that's who we are if you're a black voter don't you really want to know what conservatives are thinking are they thinking let's get a strong barter so we can keep out all the brown people are they thinking that some undoubtably some some people on the right or to think he exactly that but one of most people thinking cuz that's why you care about right you don't care about the outliers you don't care about the Pirates you don't care about the you know the provocative people what oh what a most people think conservatives intentions are and there's there any way to get to that is there any way that if you're a black American you could find some way that you would believe that would tell

[41:00]

that you would believe that would tell you what the intentions are for for most of it you know again they're going to be a portion of people who just have the intentions that no you know you can't support but I think it's important I think it's important questions and let me give you a framing suggested framing for the people on the right let's say you're the President and you want to you want to sell your border security plan whether it's a wall or just longer border security whatever it is and you want black Americans to feel comfortable with the decision and to feel that that their interests are being served how would you frame that let me suggest this I would say that resources are limited so this statement everyone in the world agrees with resources are limited the United States doesn't have unlimited resources we have to decide where to put if we put it with illegal

[42:03]

where to put if we put it with illegal immigrants that would a very kind thing to do it's the sort of people we are being kind to immigrants is who we are and that's one of our choices we can be kind to people were not citizens who want to come into this country with our limited resources that's one of our choices but I say to you the black citizens of the United States I choose you I choose you resources are limited we could give it to people we're not citizens we could have more left more resources for people who are in this country I choose you that's a very powerful thing to say because it's not just some concept that's personal it's not a concept it's personal if you say well I'm looking at the numbers and the best thing for the economy in the long run and our GDP and our unemployment people here are

[43:04]

our unemployment people here are statistics numbers they don't hear anything about intention just sounds politics but if you say money isn't unlimited it's limited I can give it to these people and they're great people we love immigrants we're a country of immigrants love them but no we don't have unlimited money I juice you my limited money is going to go into your direction if you don't mind somebody saying in the comments that Acosta just resigned I don't have a confirmation on that maybe in your comments somebody can confirm it I would say that bordered on guaranteed right did it did anybody think he wouldn't be out of a job yeah I think the heat was too strong I don't see there's any way that a cost that could have stayed in the job so if he hasn't you know let's talk about something else let's talk about apps team since the Acosta thing

[44:05]

about apps team since the Acosta thing came up the more we hear about Epstein the less we know I mean we know more and more about the allegations against him but we don't know where he got his money and we don't exactly know why he got such a sweet deal in the first place we hear information we hear facts we hear explanations we hear rationalizations but I don't know why do you it feels like in the rumors of course are that he either he had some kind of blackmail over somebody important or that he was an intelligence resource or you know somehow he had some value or he was that what was the third thing an intelligence resource he was blackmailing people or he had helped law enforcement with Bear Stearns or something so going after some other group and he got a deal for that now we don't know and I think that's a big deal

[45:07]

don't know and I think that's a big deal it's a pretty big deal that we don't know why you got a good deal and it's an even bigger deal that we can't figure out where his money came from now if you were Epstein and you watched the entire country concerned about where does money come from and then of course all the legal stuff from the blackmail wouldn't you at the very least tell people where your money came from even if you were lying right at the very least you try to make a case that the money was legally made so you might say well I don't like to talk about it but let's say I you know do this kind of work and I stay under the radar for good reasons but this is what I do for a living it doesn't he doesn't do that he's got some kind of you know weird I'm a hedge fund guy but we don't know much about that so everything about this is a little concerning and I'm trying to I'm trying to pull back my

[46:12]

trying to I'm trying to pull back my full opinion on this because I'm so aware that we don't know the real story here we certainly know that something bad happened in terms of the allegations but we don't know the context because that other stuff might be equally bad as well
let's talk about the debate between Pelosi and AOC now other people have covered it and it's it's fun because watching AOC accused Pelosi of racism this might be the point as they say in television where the Democrats jumped the shark you know that's that's an old TV saying meaning that your show used to be good but then you got crazy because you ran in and have ideas so jumping the shark means you ran out of ideas so you start building crazy things into your plots for your TV show the Democrats appear to have jumped the shark because when they start accusing each other of being racists that that really reveals

[47:17]

being racists that that really reveals them to be frauds as long as the Democrats were united in calling Republicans racist the worst you could say is that they were wrong about it or that you know most people weren't and they were exaggerating it you know but but it was in the realm of normal politics or at least normal the way we've come to expect it one side is accusing the other of being bad people blah blah blah but as soon as the Democrats start blaming themselves for being racist and even the Republicans are looking at it and saying um did you just call Nancy Pelosi a racist because I'm pretty sure she's a lot of things you know we may not agree with all of her you know her policy preferences but even the people on the right are saying come on Nancy Pelosi a racist same way you will about Nancy Pelosi and and Republicans have said a lot but even Republicans can't get on that bus you

[48:17]

Republicans can't get on that bus you know even they're saying ah you know we'd love to join you a OSI in criticizing your own leadership but even we can't go there I mean that's so batshit crazy that even even we can't jump on just for fun I mean even for entertainment we can't agree with that so I feel as if that might have been we might look back at it and see that as an important point in other words the the cries of you're racist you're racist you're racist which is the entire fuel of the Democratic Party when they're not saying misogynist it's the entire of fuel of their party it looks like it just you know flamed out yeah maybe it just goes on forever like a zombie idea and I would say that's there's a good chance to that but maybe just maybe we saw a turning point there and it was somewhat accidental here's one of my favorite bits of

[49:19]

here's one of my favorite bits of persuasion yesterday and it came from Twitter so as I mentioned before Twitter had this major outage the entire world was talking about and it was you know headline news if turned on you know fox or CNN they were talking about Twitter's I would adjust your there are millions of us all over the world hundreds of millions looking at her phones trying to refresh what's wrong what's wrong it was a big big story and if your Twitter and the tech summit is happening and it's the biggest story in the world that you went out and then you get your system up what's the first thing you say well if you're a normal company normal meeting boring you say well we had the sort of outage and our servers were doing this and we're so sorry and we love our customers and we're doing what we can to you know be more reliable in the future bla bla bla bla bla bore me to death that would be what a normal company would do Twitter writes two words miss

[50:22]

would do Twitter writes two words miss us and even funnier and even better the em in missus wasn't even capitalized like it was you know they they made this statement the smallest the statement could be two words not even capitalized miss us it was brilliant so compliments to whoever it was at Twitter who's in their messaging Department I guess they probably have some communication staff but whoever it was who came up with that idea to minimize the statement - really is so personal that you can't not love that you can't not love that it's it was just perfect because what it does is buy it by going so small say miss us it it turned that whole thing into a personal event yeah it started now as a

[51:23]

personal event yeah it started now as a corporate event and where the customers or the users I guess and and that's the one level of how to think about it but when this the response comes up missus it was so personal like I felt like a connection to it so this is again this is the sort of thing that nobody's gonna write a book about you know nobody but me will even mention it again but it was genius I don't know it was you know just one person probably who said why don't we just say miss us and then probably somebody said let's let's not even capitalize the M like I would love to have been in that meeting when it was discussed because somebody is really really smart at this stuff so I'd love to know who that was alright Tom Styer as you know as announced he's going to run for president were likely to run I don't know but does anybody have less charisma

[52:26]

know but does anybody have less charisma than Tom Styer have you ever seen any human being who had less likability than that guy and I I welcome him to the fight because I don't know it's just gonna be something fun to watch you certainly can't become president but it'll be very fun I was watching Erin Burnett on CNN she did a monologue talking about the tech summit and some other stuff and the reason I pointed out was it was basically a monologue that was anti Trump and Trump did this jump did that blah blah and I I watched her face the the pained expression in her face she could almost not keep her eyes open it was like she was so she seemed so upset that her eyes weren't even normal they were like you

[53:27]

weren't even normal they were like you know squeezed like with some kind of distress now not a doctor and so I'm not going to you know diagnose anything certainly anybody's inner thoughts but I will tell you that as a consumer of the news the impression that she sent me and again I don't know what her inner thoughts are this is not a medical diagnosis but the thing I received was mental health that that she has an actual I don't mean some kind of permanent mental health problem but on this topic it didn't even look a little bit normal because she couldn't keep her face in the normal zone there was some kind of personal anger or stress that was informing what she said that completely stepped on whatever she said like I don't even remember what she said but I remember she looked like she was

[54:28]

but I remember she looked like she was having an actual psychological trauma now again I'm not there's no medical diagnosis here I'm not a doctor I'm just saying I was received so I had the only thing I can talk about is how it felt to me as a listener and it was striking I mean it was actually hard to watch because it seemed like and whatever was she was saying was so weak and ridiculous that the words didn't even matter they didn't even sound rational so I doesn't even matter what she said all right um I heard a good nickname I'm hearing these nicknames for AOC and her there were three freshmen radicals who get lumped together and was that Lindsey Graham who refer to them as you Fab Four and I thought Fab Four yeah yeah maybe this clever nickname but you

[55:28]

yeah maybe this clever nickname but you know it's not really a great one and then I heard on Tucker Carlson's show he referred to a OSI and heard three other freshmen radicals there as the four morons of the Apocalypse the form or odds of the apocalypse I gotta say that's pretty pretty good pretty pretty good so humor-wise it won't change anything but in terms of humor-wise it's pretty pretty good let's talk about I tweeted just before I got on here there's a new study about climate change and it comes from Finnish and Japanese researchers and before I get into this let me give you some context don't trust any individual study you see about anything just period the fact that there's a shocking new study with a provocative conclusion and it's they're real scientists worked on it and at least on its surface it looks pretty

[56:29]

least on its surface it looks pretty like it's credible the first thing you should say about that is there's no more than a 5% chances true now the scientific studies in general about half of them end up being things they should not have been in peer-reviewed journals but were so we know that from studies of peer-reviewed science we know that about half the time peer review doesn't catch something that's a major problem now when somebody goes against the most the most agreed-upon facts and science you have to lower even further the likelihood that the Challenger is correct so I'd put the odds of this new study about to claim the science it's actually debunking climate science I would put the odds of it being true that maybe 5% you know maybe 5% so that's the context you should hear this I'm not saying this study is true I'm saying it's a new study that says that man-made

[57:30]

it's a new study that says that man-made climate change is literally nothing or so close to nothing that it's relevant and this these two researchers are making the claim that cosmic rays influence cloud cover so much that they're the primary drivers of what we're seeing and that the cosmic rays have shifted in some way that we can measure and they're highly correlated with cloud cover for reasons I guess they feel like they can understand and that when you when you include that in your science which scientists don't it's one of the variables that is not in general science and it's not in the climate science models but these new researchers the Finnish and Japanese scientists say that if you do include them they are the major influencers of cloud cover and cloud covers the major influencer of temperature they say now here's what's interesting about that it's interesting first of all because it

[58:30]

it's interesting first of all because it goes against the mainstream science well I see somebody clapping here don't get too happy about it like I said five percent chance this is true or five percent chance it could be reproduced and and become something serious but there is some chance it's not a zero but what I like about this is it seems to be the kind of claim that's easy to check what do you say if if the claim is that cosmic rays are influencing clouds and I think all the scientists would agree that if something was influencing cloud cover and they hadn't included in in their models I think all scientists would agree that if clouds are part of the story that's important so that part there's no controversy the question is do the cosmic rays actually influence clouds now that feels to me like something we could figure out maybe not with the first study but as people start looking

[59:31]

first study but as people start looking at this and say well let me look at it from another way and see if I get the same result let me see if I can reproduce this let me see if this is a correlation or a cause do we know do we know why it would be a cause can we break this down in the lab could we do a lab experiment you know just within lab where somehow you reproduce cosmic rays I don't even know if that's a possibility and just see if the at least the the chemistry and the physics work in the lab it seems to me that this is a very testable hypothesis so that's what makes it interesting five percent chance I would say if you don't know anything else I give it a five percent chance that it ends up being meaningful but could be at least at least we can test it did you see the video that President Trump tweeted out of the Coast Guard entered interdicting a semi-submersible submarine full of cocaine you have to

[1:00:34]

submarine full of cocaine you have to see this video to make you feel amazing about being an American you can't watch the video without having a good feeling about who you are and your if you're American who you are and your place in the world you know I tell people that they should not take pride in the work of other people so for example the fact that white people invented a lot of stuff in the past I don't take any pride in that because I wasn't involved so I say don't take pride in strangers if you're if you're if your favorite basketball team does a good job well you can't take pride and other athletes that's other people you know don't take pride in other people's work but you watch this video and I'll just describe it there's a semi-submersible sub it's a pretty big ship semi submersible means that there's only a little bit of it above the water and most of it is below

[1:01:35]

above the water and most of it is below the water I assume to avoid radar or detection or whatever and there's a big Coast Guard ship that's coming up on it and it's essentially giving chase and they're and they're coming up real close to it and the video is showing this and you say to yourself when you're watching this how in the world is this big Coast Guard ship going to get this little semi submersible that has no windows no human beings looks like it's probably bulletproof how are they going to stop it without just sinking it and I didn't think they were going to shoot it shoot it and kill the people in it and as I'm thinking that you see that the the big Coast Guard ship you know the view from the camera is up from the Coast Guard ship and you see them coming upon this semi submersible sub and the water is going crazy like this and the sea is going everywhere and and the ship is coming right up on it and I'm thinking to myself oh my god they're actually gonna just come up on the ship and maybe like disable it by what crashing into it and

[1:02:36]

disable it by what crashing into it and then all of a sudden you see a uniformed military Coast Guardsmen jump from the military ship onto the top of a semi submersible meaning that his feet are in the ocean the waves are coming up everywhere all over the top of the ship he's they're travelling at a high speed there's a there's a Coast Guard ship right on the tail of that god knows what if he jumps on here with full military gear it grabs onto this thing pulls himself up to the to the I guess the the little thing that sticks up where that where the people in the sub climbed down and you know it's sealed of course and you see him going bang bang bang essentially just warning the people that he's up there and then you see him pull this up and you know that the people in that hole are armed to the teeth and expecting somebody opening this thing

[1:03:38]

expecting somebody opening this thing who could put them in jail who in the world is that brave it was the most amazing thing you'll ever say it was like the bravest thing I mean I wouldn't have done it yes you see some of the comments people saying that their eyes bugged out anyway the fact that this was an American military person I assume a member of the blood of the Coast Guard but watching that level of just bravery heroism
resourcefulness don't take no for an answer determination it was inspiring and you know I just said you can't take credit for the work of other people somebody says it was a seal I wonder if that's true it certainly looked like somebody who was pretty highly trained and didn't have any fear about anything but I don't

[1:04:39]

have any fear about anything but I don't know where was in the military it was just a military person was very competent and I actually felt amazing I felt amazing because our country collectively we created this military group of people we came up with processes collectively in which we could vet people trained them find the best people get the best people for the job so he is this person was among the best of us so we don't get credit for his actual act of heroism but we do get credit for creating and supporting the system that could surface this kind of hero and let him do his work we get we get credit for that I mean we're the back office you know we're the support team but we did support we do pay our taxes we do support the military we support them with our honor we give them you know the holidays we we treat them like heroes that they are and that creates them the

[1:05:42]

that they are and that creates them the fact that we treat them like heroes is what allows them to be heroes let's be honest people wouldn't do this if they knew that doing this would give them no appreciation in in America I I'm sure some people would do it just cuz it's a good thing to do but we make it more possible and a lot easier for Heroes to do what they do because of the way we treat the entire system and we can take some credit for that we don't get credit for his bravery but we do get credit for creating a system that can surface a hero like that and put it in the right place we gave credit for that alright tropical storm is coming it's named Barry is that a coincidence that that you know Barack Obama was of course Barry in high school is it a coincidence that during the Trump administration a major storm that's gonna wreak a lot of

[1:06:42]

major storm that's gonna wreak a lot of stuff was named Barry it could be right because they start with the the alphabetical letters that are closer to a and they they work on it but I wonder do you think there's any kind of a trump supporter in that group who said huh let her be let her be Barry it's just a generic name I think it's just time for Barry now it would only be funnier if it were Barack right and let me ask you this all of our hurricanes are named after people and I believe that they try to use new names all the time and you you end up running out of names know you is there anything that would prevent a future hurricane from being named Barack Barack is a name it's a name we are all familiar with starts with the letter B so we should be one of the first ones that come out of the

[1:07:43]

the first ones that come out of the chute every year because they start with a and and work their way out is there any reason we can't have a hurricane Barack I don't expect it to happen but it would be hilarious if it did it would be hilarious all right I think that's about all we got for today it's it's another wonderful day you know the economy is great there's mostly peace in the world at least you know the parts that America cares about and oh well I gotta tell you I'm gonna tease something that's not coming I haven't nailed this down but there is a credible claim that cancer may be a thing of the past and
and interview I've got a request down I think I think it's gonna come together there's somebody who has a practical idea for virtually eliminating cancer do

[1:08:48]

idea for virtually eliminating cancer do you believe it Oh we'll see if I believe it after the interview but I have a preview of it and based on the preview of it I actually think there's something there and it won't require me to know too much about science stance or the question when you when you hear it you'll understand what I'm talking about I don't want to give it away but there there is a completely reasonable story to at least two people who are not scientists like me it doesn't require too much science it doesn't seem to require testing something in humans it doesn't seem to require a new drug that might have a side effect and I can't give you too much because I don't want to I don't want to ruin it but there seems to be let's say let me put it this way there seems to be a system that we have never used that if we did would kind of be really effective I don't know if that's the case but we're going to talk to somebody I hope next week on that but

[1:09:49]

somebody I hope next week on that but that just gives you an idea of of where things are as somebody says when next week I'll set it up don't have a date yet somebody says it won't happen the industry is too big well just wait and say
say all I can tell you is that the initial description was good enough for me to want them to be on the show it's it's not diet-related right so has nothing to do a diet but will will we'll talk about that anyway there's a lot of good stuff going on and I hope you enjoy your day I hope you enjoy your weekend and have a great one