Episode 588 Scott Adams: Independence Day, Earthquakes, Immigration, Biden’s Bullies
Date: 2019-07-05 | Duration: 1:04:35
Topics
History will embrace the long list of President Trump’s strengths Joe Biden’s sad interview on CNN with Chris Cuomo AOC and the detention centers…are BOTH sides correct? Why don’t we activate FEMA to help with the border crisis? FEMA is the correct tool for a humanitarian crisis News reporting intentionally designed to “get under Trump’s skin” “Lunchbox Joe” seems like a boring dinosaur, game-less Comparing Kamala and Joe’s style to Obama’s style Vice President Pence has done an excellent job so far Antifa is a lifestyle choice. They like dressing up and hurting people Political beliefs are the cover story “justifying” their violence
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> [!note] Rough Transcript
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## Transcript
[0:08]
pom pom pom pom pom pom pom hey del Leanne and the rest of you come on in here it's time for coffee with scott adams i'm scott adams and here's my coffee if you'd like to join me in the unparalleled pleasure of the simultaneous hip whether it's your first time or you've done it many times it's easy you can learn it on the first try all you need is a cup of mugger a class a steiner tankard or a chalice do you have a vessel of any kind to be at a thermos or a flask mmm filling with your favorite liquid i like coffee and now join me for the simultaneous if and the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine that's gonna set you off for the rest of the day here it comes now as many of you know there was a fairly substantial earthquake in my state of california and
[1:10]
earthquake in my state of california and although it wasn't really so much in my part of the state I noticed that the the dogs and the cats they always go crazy just before the the earthquake because they can sense it somehow and years ago I started tracking that so whenever the the you know my past cat or my dog would start acting crazy I'd say to myself oh I'm gonna pay attention and see if there's an earthquake after this and then after a while I would start to notice the pattern so I could tell when the dogs or the or the cat whatever it was at the time I could tell if they got a little squirrely it would mean that there was a quake coming but then here's the fun part I would start paying attention to how I felt before the quake and I could feel almost like a like a pressure but not a pressure it was it was some kind of a feeling I could feel and it was very predictive that there would be an earthquake
[2:11]
would be an earthquake and I woke up this morning I was feeling it it was like I'm starting to feel that little pressure that you feel just before her quake yeah I was starting to think I wonder what will happen today because it feels like I don't know I might be wrong but it feels like Oh God do you feel that that's just big hold on hold on it looks like a big one this is like an 8.5 I think hold on hold on everybody be okay it'll be okay wow that was quite a quite an aftershock um
how many of you believe that come on how many of you believed that was a real aftershock and worse yet how many of you
[3:13]
aftershock and worse yet how many of you believe that I can sense earthquakes before they happen all right so many of you probably watched president president Trump's Independence Day one of the things that this is watching your comments because I'm kind of backed up here apparently a lot of people thought that was a real earthquake okay that was fun so if you watch the Independence Day thing I would have to say that the president is a solid homerun of course we live in the two movie world so a lot of the lot of the anti-trump errs are saying my god it's whatever he did was terrible and people didn't show up and I don't know they're trying to come up with reasons
[4:14]
they're trying to come up with reasons why it wasn't a gigantic success well let me tell you the president's fourth of July celebration was a gigantic success it was a gigantic success one of the one of the best parts about it is that he didn't talk about himself at all so I met apparently he went through the entire speech just talking about how great the country was and that he got off the stage and and I think all of the anti-trump errs were deeply disappointed that he didn't do anything to make it about him so this is so that was the funniest part about it it was it was a completely good a good event alright I in your comments you're still talking about the fake earthquake is that I just did so I guess that worked out well so I would say that the Presidents Day was about as good as any
[5:15]
Presidents Day was about as good as any day you could ever have people were saying good things about his presentation for the the speech itself the topic see yet the the the flyovers by the military and all that but here's the surprising part I was promised some kind of a revolution in which he would become a dictator yesterday because of all the tanks am I wrong I'm pretty sure that it in the other movie the reason he was bringing all these tanks in not for the 4th of July I know that was his cover story he was bringing in all of the tanks in the military because it was his move against the country in which he was going to become some kind of a dictator any minute now did he look like a dictator last night did did you feel a lot of dictator stuff going on when he kept talking about freedom I didn't feel much a dictator stuff going on so what is it like to be
[6:16]
stuff going on so what is it like to be a Democrat now when you wake up every morning and the thing you expect it to happen doesn't happen again really again you know as many times as you're sure this is going to be the final straw and this is where it's all going to go along and nothing goes wrong yeah you there's gotta be some point at which they start to question their own judgment now anyway so it's kind of crazy so at the same time I guess I guess Joe Biden was doing an interview yesterday for CNN and did anybody watch the Joe Biden interview with Chris Cuomo I can't help thinking that the point of the interview with Biden was to knock him out of the race it felt like maybe CNN is trying to you know put it in the
[7:16]
CNN is trying to you know put it in the kill shot because by now everybody's noticed that the more you see a Biden the lower his poll numbers go so I think CNN said all right let's get this over with let's take Biden out let's do a log interview with him and that should take care of it so I watched some of the interview and there are some things that Biden does that are so amazingly dumb that I don't know how else to say it you know normally I would not be the person who would call someone who was so successful that they'd ever senator for a long time and then a vice president I wouldn't normally call them dumb but he does things that I just don't know how to have a categorize in any other way one of them is that he calls President Trump a bully and then he talks about his own experience with bullies and how he got bullied a lot in school but he would slap him in the mouth or punch him
[8:17]
would slap him in the mouth or punch him in the mouth or something and that took care of it and I thought to myself if you had a choice for your leader of a person who got bullied or a bully which one do you want to be your leader [Laughter] think about it both choices are suboptimal let me agree if you only had two choices somebody who had been bullied and was obviously scarred by it or somebody who might be a bully those of you two choices you don't have a choice as somebody who wasn't either a victim of a bully or a bully who are you gonna pick well I don't think you picked the victim of the bully that's the weakest sounding thing I've ever heard in my life so just the fact that he brings up that that framing of the situation he actually frames himself as being less powerful than the president simply by describing himself as the
[9:20]
simply by describing himself as the victim of the bully you couldn't do a dumber thing if he were running for president now intellectually and logically and reasonably we know exactly what he means if you were to put it on paper and score it like an academic you'd say oh yeah that makes perfect sense you don't want a boy and he has experience with bullies he knows how to deal with them yes on an academic level that makes perfect sense but we're not really academic people right we're a population of very emotional basic primitive brains that that just got socialized a little too quickly and if I look at the person who's the bully versus the person who's the victim if if both of them are running to work for me I'd rather have the bully working for me I mean ideally you wouldn't want a bully right but if the only other choice is
[10:21]
right but if the only other choice is the victim of the bully I'm kind of going to pick the one who's more powerful so that's the sort of thing that President Trump does correctly every time and this will be you know in there's going to be a long list of things the historians will long after the fact say Trump was the best ever at this is going to be a long list his public rallies for example historians will say okay okay even if we didn't like his policies we have to admit his rallies were the best we've ever seen okay we'll give him that you know they'll be you they'll be people saying okay we didn't think his tweeting was gonna be a good idea but you know time has gone by and now we have to admit his tweeting was the smartest thing the president never did okay okay and one of the things on that long list of things that people are going to say Trump got right and everybody else got wrong is that he never portrays himself as weak
[11:23]
that he never portrays himself as weak never even when you're sure he should even when you're sure he should apologize even when you're sure he should act a little bit humble he just doesn't and historians will record someday when there's enough distance from the you know the emotions of it they will record that it was the smartest thing a president ever did and in that category by never ever showing weakness people simply over time got the impression that he was strong and it's also a trip you know if you base it on his his administration so far he's a strong leader I think everybody would everybody would agree with that statement all right apparently he made I saw the clip of the president referring to these back to the Revolutionary War and taking over the airports so it looked to me like he was
[12:26]
airports so it looked to me like he was reading the teleprompter did the teleprompter really say that there were airports during the Revolutionary War if somebody says he meant ports so maybe he just read just read the teleprompter wrong so I don't know I don't know exactly what was going on there but it isn't it's certainly not in the important category let's talk about Iran so Britain has seized an Iranian oil tanker that they think was bound for Syria which would been a violation of his sanctions now what's interesting about this is that it was Great Britain doing it because if the United States had done it it would looked it would have looked more confrontational than if a Great Britain does it well if I had to guess it's probably true that we could have done it too I'm sure we knew about it I'm sure we had a resources there but it makes it look like an international
[13:27]
makes it look like an international effort if you can get one other country to do something you know compatible with the United States so it sort of probably made sense that Great Britain was the next actor in this play with Iran so that part was good but here's the thing I want to I want to put out there if you study economics you have a different filter on the world than people who didn't and if you say to yourself okay Iran has all of these ships and if we just catch you know one or two of their ships how much difference is that going to make because it's just one or two ships they have lots of ships no real difference but if you've studied economics you don't see it that way these ships are really expensive and and you don't have to stop up many of them before all the rest of them say a ten percent chance of losing my entire ship
[14:29]
percent chance of losing my entire ship is something I want to avoid at all costs because you don't take a ten percent chance of losing an entire oil tanker or even to delay it for six months while they're working things out it's super expensive so the companies that are that are involved in trying to get around the sanctions are gonna have to think twice about it so you have to look at the I would call the insurance effect if one out of ten of your tankers gets taken out of action just one out of ten it is incorrect to say well that's not many we still have you know nine out of ten that can do the job the way to look at it is if one of the ten gets taken out of action the other nine lose their insurance right because if you're an insurance company and and no boat anchors never go down you know it's just the rarest event you say sure I'll give you insurance but if one in a 10 gets taken out of action because of the sanctions that's a little
[15:32]
because of the sanctions that's a little too much even an insurance companies can say pass I'm out I'm outta here that's too big a risk so you can be very close to the tipping point while looking like you're barely making a dent so that's the first thing you got to keep in mind so these sanctions on Iran might be don't know but might be more important more effective than it looks if you're just looking at the raw numbers let's talk about the border once again thanks to a OC and a number of other people there are two completely different movies running about what's happening at these immigration detention centers what I don't know why you processing centers whatever we want to call them and I'm not going to call them a concentration camp even though they do concentrate people in the camp this is but I'm not going to use that language so so right now we have one view of the world in
[16:35]
now we have one view of the world in which it's a human tragedy and we have another view of the world in which everybody is doing the best job they can there are enough supplies there is enough fresh water and the only problem is that too many people came in at once we're trying as hard as we can to do the best thing we can for these people two completely different movies so what do you do what do you do somebody says both sides are right you know that's where I'm leaning I'm leaning toward both sides that right because both sides are right would mean that if you just put that many people into a facility that's doing the best I can it's a bad situation and it also might be true that there are individual facilities in which temporarily somebody can't get a diaper somebody can't get a glass of water I would believe that all those things were true so there's probably something something like both of them being a little bit true so let me let me ask a
[17:38]
little bit true so let me let me ask a question that's in the form of a implied suggestion why do we treat this situation as an immigration problem because it seems to me that we have two problems that we're treating as one problem one problem separately is that we need to control the border whatever we do in terms of how many people we let in what types of people they are that we let in you know in other words what qualifications etc that's one question what do you do with immigration have you controlled but a separate question is the humanitarian act thing because because of the numbers of people that came all at the same time it became a humanitarian crisis at a much larger scale than what would look like just immigration problems and so here's my question and maybe somebody in the comments can answer it for me why don't we activate FEMA because here's how I would approach it um you
[18:39]
here's how I would approach it um you know how Republicans like systems and you know how Democrats like goals Democrats say everybody should be treated fairly but they don't really have a way to get there Republicans will say you know a good system is free markets and follow the Constitution and rule of law etc we don't know exactly where it's all going to end up but we know it's better than not having those systems so there's a big difference in this is the Republicans or systems people and the Democrats are I just want the goal it doesn't matter how you get there doesn't matter if it violates incentives doesn't matter if in the long run it's worse I just want this but with the border security what is the system that you see the Republicans music I don't see one I mean we have a system which is you work through Congress to get more funding more people to handle the situation I
[19:40]
more people to handle the situation I suppose you could call that a system but it's a system that we clearly see doesn't work right it just doesn't work and we also don't have trust because of the two movie problems every time an A or C goes down there she's gonna come back with a story of something that's going wrong and she might not be wrong I mean there I'm sure there are plenty of things going wrong everywhere so here's what I would suggest I would suggest that we break it into two parts one part is a humanitarian crisis in which you would activate FEMA to to add some instant extra resources could be instant resources in terms of delivering materials could be the extra water and beds and tents and whatever else you need but here's the better part as a system it works better than treating this as an immigration problem because if you have FEMA who is acting as the
[20:43]
if you have FEMA who is acting as the let's say the the backup to immigration then you have two organizations to make sure that people are treated right so you've got the regular immigration people doing the best they can with limited resources and if they can't get it all done you'd have FEMA who would come to them every day and say what is it you can't get done today and immigration would say well we've got a hundred more people than we want to cram into these cages then FEMA says I got some tents we'll put some tents up what else you need well we're a little short on diapers today and FEMA says we got diapers solved what else you need so so I'm just looking at your comments to see if there's any objections to it here's here's what I like about this idea it changes it from simply an immigration problem which makes the Republicans look like terrible menial turds it just makes
[21:44]
like terrible menial turds it just makes it makes Republicans look terrible because they're treating a humanitarian crisis with the wrong system the wrong system is the is the Border Patrol they're not they're not geared for this they're geared for immigration control so you bring in the people who are the right people for an emergency and then you say to AOC hey AOC I hear what you're saying think how powerful that is hey OC we hear what you're saying we don't believe things were as bad as you said but we don't want to be the kind of country that leaves any doubt if there's any doubt because of AOC or because there are actual problems the it's hard for us to know as the public why don't we remove that doubt why don't we be the country that we think we are we think we're a kind country we think we're a generous country we think we're
[22:46]
we're a generous country we think we're a country that can solve problems if you heard the President's speech yesterday America can do anything we can solve problems we're a really really good problem solver but we're trying to solve it with the wrong tool right now Border Patrol isn't the right tool for a humanitarian crisis FEMA is but you don't want FEMA taken over you want FEMA to be the backstop you want you're going to bring them in and have them be the second layer of protection for for the overcrowding for any resource shortage for just another set of eyes so that so that you could say okay Border Patrol says things are going well what is FEMA say because FEMA is there - does FEMA agree that things are going well wouldn't you like to have two opinions I would as much as I support president Trump I have to admit I don't
[23:49]
president Trump I have to admit I don't trust what Border Patrol tells us do you do you trust Border Patrol to give you a perfectly unbiased picture of what's happening at the border if you do you're more trusting that I have no I have no objection to Border Patrol I have no criticism of them but if you have one large organization who controls the information about anything I don't trust them you never want one organization to have all the information and nobody else has it they're the only ones who can tell you what's happening oh and by the way if they tell you they're doing it poorly they all get fired that's not a good system it's not a good system to have the people whose jobs depend on it be the ones to tell you whether they're doing a good job yeah that's no system so put somebody else there push fever there give us another layer give us some humanitarian help and then I think that helps the president make his case on
[24:51]
helps the president make his case on immigration because he's now being completely distracted and attacked on the humanitarian basis carve it out we got a humanitarian problem and we got a border problem there are two different problems that just happened to overlap at the moment all right there's anything else you want me to talk about today I'm just looking at your comments here for a little bit yeah whatever you have a holiday all the news just gets weak and stupid
would they trade the census question for the female activation well you know anytime you add complexity you've got less chance of success so if you say hey I'll throw in the census if you throw in this it just adds another level of complexity so you want to avoid that if you can somebody's saying a or C is a
[25:53]
you can somebody's saying a or C is a screen actress and a fake congresswoman let's talk about that so many of you know that ABC was actually selected in essentially an audition by Democrats which they were looking for young people who could become politicians people who had the right stuff and she was among all the people that they talked to the the she had the right stuff now if you if you criticize her for saying that she's an actress you were making the same mistake that all the critics of President Trump have made when they say hey he's just a con man who's got some reality TV experience what they don't get right is that those were exactly the skills that made him successful so when you criticize President Trump for knowing a lot about reality TV and and
[26:53]
knowing a lot about reality TV and and being a con man those happen to be almost exactly the skills of a good president the only thing you need to be sure of is that he's on your team all right if you if you were working for himself against the country I'd be worried about that because he's good at what he does he's effective so you wouldn't want an enemy who's very effective but if you're picking somebody to be on your team well maybe you want somebody who knows data persuade people he knows how to sell you know he knows how to put on a show there was a good important political leadership qualities so when you say of a or C she's just an actress she's not just an actress she's an actress who won the Academy Award the Academy Award by analogy in this case being that she was selected among lots of other potential actresses or actors you know people who were trying to become a politician it's
[27:57]
were trying to become a politician it's not an accident that there was skills that she was filtered and selected for work it's not an accident that all the things that her her team of selectors found in her it's not an accident that it works that's what they were looking for they were looking for somebody who had exactly her skills all right I don't understand I think those of you who are having a bad reaction and he somebody says stop pushing aoc alright I'm gonna start blocking people who have a problem with any mention of AOC
AOC I completely get you don't like her policies I'm not pushing her policies but if you tell me she's not effective at the very same time everybody's talking about her you're not really I don't know what you are you're not a thinking human being she's one of the biggest stories in the country and she's
[28:59]
biggest stories in the country and she's absolutely effective I mean everybody's asking if people are comparing her to presidential candidates and she's better politics you know basically since lunchtime so those of you who are trying to bully me to not talk about her I'm going to start blocking you because you're not you're just not reasonable participants in the conversation all right yeah somebody says under estimating your opponent is stupid and that is the problem that's going on here and it it does come across it comes across that way I'm sure there are other emotions going on here but it doesn't come across as a good look all right the media is falsely reporting small crowds well probably because the media knows that would be the one thing that would get under Trump's skin does if there's one thing that they like to do they love to report stories about
[30:01]
they love to report stories about something that got under his skin how many stories have you seen about something happened or somebody did something that really got under the president's skin it seems to me that the the Democrats entire it feels like the entire what would you call it the the strategy against President Trump the entire strategy is to call him names have you noticed that have you noticed that the entire strategy now is just to call them names call him a bully call him a racist but they they're trying to stay away from policy a little bit
bit is that my imagination there sure they all have policies and they'll talk about them if you ask but when they talk about the president they don't talk so much about his policies what were they talking about the president they talk about him and one of the other dumb
[31:01]
about him and one of the other dumb things that Biden is doing is he's he's trying to he's trying to appeal to mediocrity so that so Biden's play is that he's gonna be trying he's gonna try to be the most average ordinary person hey I'm lunch box Joe I worked for the middle class and I'm gonna do things that are sort of reasonable and right down the middle and he looks like a dinosaur when he acts like that because I feel like Sciences has moved on and we know that being reasonable and down the middle is the last thing that anybody wants nobody wants that nobody wants down the middle now there may be people who say they want it but the way he's selling it is so uninteresting that is hilarious and so when I hear when I hear him talk it just sounds like I'm gonna raise your taxes and nothing exceptional is gonna happen and we just don't want that mean
[32:03]
happen and we just don't want that mean old President Trump I mean he just doesn't have any any game at all he is game 'less all right now remember one of the things that I told you is that you think that people are voting for the person whose policies they like and on some level you know that makes a difference I mean people are a little bit influenced by the policies but not too much people sort of pick a team and I would like to introduce the following the following filter to understanding the world I believe that many of our decisions are based on style think about that many of our decisions are based on style I'll give you an example if you were a young single male and you want a date and you have an embarrassingly bad automobile what are
[33:07]
embarrassingly bad automobile what are your odds of attracting a high-level date well you might get one date but if you try to if you try to date a woman and you show up with a car that she doesn't want to be seen in a car she doesn't want to doesn't want anybody to see her riding in doesn't want to see her get out of you don't have a chance it doesn't matter how it wasin you are it doesn't matter that the reason you don't have a good car is because you don't want to pollute the world you could have really good reasons for not having a nice car but you will be judged by your accessories because people make decisions based on style so they're gonna look at you and you're gonna say okay well how would I look standing next to that person right i independent of how much I like them around the track that what I look what would people think look I were to look on Instagram when I post the pictures of us together
[34:09]
post the pictures of us together likewise when you see all of the Magda people wearing their red hats it's in the sense it's a style choice they're choosing to say I would like to associate my myself with a set of politics and especially with this president I've decided that I look good in this package so the president is sort of an accessory to the rest of my life because who I am is what I do for a living it's what I look like but it's also who I follow on politics it's who I it's who I prefer in politics that's part of my style it's part of my lifestyle and here's the problem with Biden he's not anybody's style you know if you look at Camilla Harris she is she's interesting right now I'm not
[35:10]
she's interesting right now I'm not gonna tell you you should vote for anything I'm gonna making just a style statement her style yeah I don't think she dresses well but she's got a younger more progressive interesting she's she's female she's got a good hairstyle she's attractive to look at she's got she's got style am I wrong and I think that that counts for a lot but nobody wants to say my style is Joe Biden nobody wants to say you know let me tell you who I am I'm I I'm a guy who likes this band and I like I like you know the environment and I like Joe Biden no he's just not a style statement and if you think that doesn't matter you
[36:11]
and if you think that doesn't matter you might be surprised at the the outcome
I'm seeing somebody argue whether Carla Harris is attractive or not I don't even think that's an argument because remember we're not we're not talking about we're not talking about Victoria's Secrets we're talking about politicians or what I say attractive I don't mean in the sexist way I mean in the human being way because you could have attractive men you could have attractive women in the same way that Peter Budaj edge is attractive all right so it's not about me being attracted it's about being telegenic calmly Harris's telegenic and she looks she looks very good but but a judge looks good kirsten gillibrand looks good so there's a lot of good-looking people who would who would be sort of a plus to your style President Obama President Obama
[37:16]
style President Obama President Obama was one of the best accessories a person we'll ever have style-wise because you could be a Republican and say you know I'm a Republican but this this last time I voted for Obama it's kind of cool Obama for all the things you don't like about him and for all of his you know dad pants and and dorky things he did on that he was stylish he's attractive attractive you know in the human being way right he's attractive and I think that mattered a lot Trump interestingly he's more personality than looks you know in his youth he was a fantastically good-looking guy for his current age he's better than most people but you know you have to you have to grade it on a curve you know after what's your over seventy and I would say that people felt about Trump they his whole style of you
[38:20]
about Trump they his whole style of you know success and you know work hard and America and all that that actually that a lot of people do embrace that style the the same people who would put an American flag an actual flag up on their porch probably like the way president sounds so there's a style issue there all right anything else you'll hear
somebody said they can't stand calmly Harris's fake laugh it's not a fake laugh is it a fake laugh no not any more than anybody else's laugh but it is a sane on confident laugh and I would be surprised if she doesn't lose that during during the election cycle I'll bet you that calmly Harris learns to smile more and laugh less that that's the sort of advice that could make her
[39:20]
the sort of advice that could make her president so listen this advice again because I think this was terribly important if Carla Harris smiled more but laughed her her charisma would just go through the roof because if she can turn that she has a natural power a natural charisma and it only it only gets lessened when she goes into her I would call it her unconfident giggle ha ha ha and of course I'm trying not to be sexist because there's there's some gender differences just the way people laugh and I don't want to make this about gender because there are plenty of people who don't laugh that way you know Hillary Clinton didn't have a laugh like that actually somebody was saying that she does the Hillary Clinton had the same cackle I don't think so when you thought of Hillary you didn't think of that laughs per se where should we be
[40:24]
that laughs per se where should we be looking beyond the media spotlight well you'd have to be more specific on that question I like where that question is going but I'd need more direction can you talk about vitamins and energy yes on the CNN interview I thought Biden had lots of energy and when I see him walking in the parade I guess he had his well-worn running shoes on and he is really in great shape as he I mean his fitness level looks looks very impressive I'm gonna say so you one thing you one thing I will never fault him for this is physical fitness for his age Biden's physical fitness is is very commendable I would say it looks great the question is can he go all day and I think that's where the problem will be so if you've got a CNN interview and I don't know what time of day they held it but let's
[41:24]
what time of day they held it but let's say it was 11 o'clock in the morning here's time at 11 o'clock in the morning a guy his age can deliver for a solid hour but once he gets into the grind of the election cycle and he's got to do a debate at 9 o'clock at night his time after crossed a few time zones how's that gonna look well if he were 25 maybe not that big a difference but at 70 whatever I think it's gonna slow him down a little bit I think you could just I think you're gonna see more evidence of his energy being limited but for his age I just I can't fault him for that he's making sure to be extra not sleepy yeah that's the best thing about the president's attack on his energy is to say that you were sleepy because he has to try extra hard did not be and when Biden cranks up his energy he looks less
[42:27]
Biden cranks up his energy he looks less credible have you noticed that when he's talking in his controlled senator voice you say oh there's a there's a leader controlled senator voice but when he tries to wrap up his energy to sort of address the competitors and address the president's criticism as soon as his energy gets out of his his normal comfort zone it doesn't look right well he he high energy doesn't work with his personality whereas high energy works really well with the president's personality so he can go to a high energy level and he looks like he's right in his in the pocket Biden goes to a high energy level it looks like he's acting that's gonna be a killer for him I don't know how it gets past that mmm will Pence be the VP you know anything's possible but if you
[43:27]
know anything's possible but if you don't start hearing here's the thing to look for if pencil were not going to be the vice presidential choice you would already hear lots of leaks about things that are bad about him right if if President Trump were noodling with people and loud if you were talking to his staff and saying hey look you know really thinking about making a change for the vice president's pop if that conversation were actually happening and and he was serious about it he would be telling people to leak it because you would what a leak you know the the Republicans are thinking that Pence is weak and they say you know he's got a he's kind of this thing he did years ago or we don't think that we want this conversation to be part of the election you would hear all these negatives coming from the GOP have you heard anything I've heard none I I've been saying this about pence from day one if
[44:32]
saying this about pence from day one if you ask me if I want him to be my president the answer is unambiguously now I do not want Mike Pence to be my president he's just not close enough to you know my for my far left social preferences and I just I just don't think he's got quite the goods which makes him sort of a perfect vice president right he's he'd be good enough as an emergency backup he's not dangerous he'd be okay in the short run I just wouldn't want him to be get elected president so he's fine as a backup and if anybody else replaced him that person would bring in new targets so whoever was a hypothetical replacement would have some new weak spots that could be that could be attacked but Pence is a known entity all of his problems have been vetted and he has served I'm gonna say that Mike Pence
[45:33]
has served I'm gonna say that Mike Pence has been a tremendous patriot to me it seems the Pence has done nothing but try to do the best job am I wrong it looks like he just hunkered down and said you know this is my role I'm the vice president I'm gonna do the best you know boring and vice president job I can do I'm not the star I'm never gonna try to take that the limelight I'm not doing anything that's gonna take away from the president I'm not gonna disagree with him I'm not gonna get in some kind of an argument with him I'm just gonna be solid I gotta say every day that goes by that you don't hear about Mike Pence and by that I mean he's not making he's not making trouble every day that goes by and Mike Pence is just solid my respect for him goes up right because that's the job you want somebody who understands the job right and so it seems to me that
[46:34]
the job right and so it seems to me that he has subjugated his you know maybe his own ambition it looks like he's subjugated his his own personality is his own whatever charisma it looks like this guy is a solid solid patriot and under those conditions and absent absent any rumors that there's something wrong with him that you know you would say you know you would see those it looks to me like there's no chance he'll be he'll be replaced so if you want my prediction my prediction is you will see vice president Pence and I think he's earned it wouldn't you wouldn't you agree is there anybody here who thinks he hasn't earned his place in the ticket you know the vice president is not supposed to be in the news right he's not supposed to be the headline and he's done a great at
[47:34]
be the headline and he's done a great at the DMZ Trump said he was inviting him to the White House wouldn't that be a great show that would be a great show I I have a concern that Kim will never come to the United States because the travel and security might be just too hard he might not want to subject himself to the let's say the intelligence risk you know what they could find out about him if he traveled he might not want to be out of the country that long because just being away from the country who knows what people are doing when he's gone right could be a coup you know just being out of the country is probably risky if you're in his position so I don't know if Kim can make the trip so I just don't know if that's a practical option for Kim but I would say if that's not the things stopping them I think you might see something happen maybe this year you know I would be fine if Kim and Trump met twice a year and didn't talk
[48:35]
Trump met twice a year and didn't talk about anything wouldn't you let me just think about this just hypothetically I'm not recommending it I'm just saying hypothetically hypothetically if we don't see a lot coming out of the nuclear program for North Korea if it looks like they're not doing anything and twice a year Kim and Trump get together and just have a good day I'm gonna feel a lot better about the odds of nuclear war I mean I just you know I keep saying this but by far the way Trump deals with the the brutal dictators is going to be the model that all future presidents will be compared to they're going to have to they're going to have to explain why they're not doing what Trump did because nobody's gonna look back at this and say that Trump talking to North Korea made us less safe nobody not not even the biggest critic is going to be able to look at this in the past you know in the
[49:37]
look at this in the past you know in the future they're not going to be able to look back at this and say yeah that Trump being friendly that sure made us less safe because it didn't nobody believes that all right just looking at your comments who comes after Trump for the Republicans that is a really tough question because you almost can't imagine another president one of the things that Trump has done is he's ruined it for boring people you know it used to be the boring people could become president but I don't know if you can be boring and become president now somebody's suggesting Dan Crenshaw that's a that would be a solid recommendation yeah Crenshaw I would say checks all the boxes from Republicans that would be a solid choice
[50:42]
Don jr. maybe I mean I haven't seen from Don jr. what looked to be like interest in being a politician any time right away you know it wouldn't surprise me if in you know 12 years or 20 years or something it wouldn't surprise me if Don jr. ran for president but I don't see him running in 2028 or 2024 Bette Midler was ambient tweeting last night well that sounds fun Rand Paul I don't know the four and Paul has the gravitas to be President I I've been saying this often but there's a lot to like about Rand Paul's right there's a lot to like about Rand Paul but it could be that his greatest service to the country is as you know this president or some future presidents you
[51:42]
president or some future presidents you know buddy and Cochran Congress he's he's rational he's interesting he's a free thinker he's not afraid he's smart yeah Rand Paul has a lot going for him I just don't know if he's got quite the weight to be present
somebody suggesting these Scott Adams Joe Rogan ticket well as long as you've got Joe as vice president that sounds like a terrific idea you know it's it's somebody says is Trump grooming Jared Jared skya he's sort of a dark horse isn't he I don't have any reason to believe that Jared would want to be President I don't have any reason to think he doesn't want it but we see no evidence that that that's an ambition but imagine if you would something productive comes out of the Middle East peace
[52:42]
out of the Middle East peace conversations I'm just I'm because I can't imagine it I'm not going to predict that the Middle East will suddenly turn peaceful but I have said repeatedly and for a while now that the variables to make that happen have never been better you that we have absolutely the best mix of leaders situation timing energy it's just all sort of right right now and Jared's right in the middle of that and if he can if he can make any of that work and he seems to have the game to do it I mean my impression is he does have the chops you know it sees the right person with the right president behind them with the right leaders in the other countries and if he pulls that off I don't know how you don't talk about it for president right if Jared pulls off some kind of a good result in the Middle East which there's got to be
[53:44]
the Middle East which there's got to be a long shot by anybody's calculation but if he did you have to talk about him as a potential president you just have to that that would be too big of an accomplishment to to ignore talk about carpi Duncan white you have us visit well I don't know how much carpet Duncan has talked about that himself so I don't I don't want to take his story but I probably will talk about that at some point oh you know I should interview him I should have carpet dunked him on here and asked him about his experience oh that would be fun
they turned something into the world's tallest US flag I didn't see that Oh somebody's saying Mark Cuban have you noticed that Merck Cuban has been kind
[54:44]
noticed that Merck Cuban has been kind of quiet lately been very quiet too quiet too quiet if I had to guess I think Mark Cuban is probably not interested in being president while his children are a certain age because I think he's he's serious about this you know work-life balance situation I think he'd probably like to be president but I don't I don't know that he thinks the timing is right so if you said you know show me Mark Cuban at age 60 I'd say that's that's gonna be interesting but Mark Cuban right now you know probably has just a family situation that they he'd rather spend more time with him and that would be pretty smart decision in my opinion
[55:45]
still waiting for the yang interview yeah so let me give you an update of that so I followed Andrew yang on Twitter so that I could send him a DM because he's following me as well and I guess he I think I followed him first he may have pre followed me or followed me yeah I set up at the mmm and said you invited him on the periscope and he referred me to one of his staff members for scheduling that person got a hold of me but as you might imagine it's very busy so if his staff person contacted me and I missed it I might have missed it in my email but right now it's not scheduled but we do have agreement to do it what is the biggest negative space right now good question so what is the thing that you would expect to see that you're not seeing in because I always tell you that you you have to pay attention to what's not happening
[56:51]
and I've said before that one of the things that's not happening is big protests now Portland had its protests but have you noticed that the rest of the country not much happening you know you could walk down the street in New York City not much happening it seems to me that the the the energy to protest on the streets has completely gone to only the lifestyle people and when I saved the lifestyle people I mean aunty father aunty five should not be seen as a political movement we thought it was I thought it was for a long time but once you realize that it's a a lifestyle choice to to dress up and have some people that that say the same things you do would look the same and you go to the same places and you travel to the different protests and stuff you have to say that as a lifestyle choice and the importance of that and a lot of people
[57:53]
importance of that and a lot of people criticize me for for saying this the importance of that difference is that as a lifestyle choice you don't have to worry about it if I thought anti-shah was a political movement I'd be worried wouldn't you if he thought it was a political movement you think oh my goodness this could just keep spreading and you know next thing you know you've turned into Nazi Germany but once you realize it's it's more like a Civil War Reenactment you know what nobody could worries about nobody has ever complained there's civil or Civil War reenactors will morph into an actual war nobody ever says hey hey don't dress up as as the Confederate soldier because if enough of you meet every year to dress up as Confederate soldiers and do these mock battles with with guns that don't have any ammo in them it's a slippery
[58:53]
have any ammo in them it's a slippery slope you know you start talking like Confederate soldiers you start dressing like a the next thing you know you've got a simple war said nobody right nobody's worried about Civil War reenactments turning into a problem because it's not a political movement it's a dress up an tyfa has to be understood the same way it's not a political movement they don't have any coherent political ideology they just pick the the lowest hanging fruit which is hey let's go protest Nazis or anybody we called Nazis that will have a reason to go somewhere we'll have a reason to put on their costumes we're going to get this dopamine hit from running around and doing things dangerously but I think they have to be understood that way so to answer your question the biggest negative space is protest the biggest negative space is protest the the level of protests we saw
[59:56]
protest the the level of protests we saw when the president first came to office have largely just drizzled away and the reason that they've drizzled away is you know do I have to give them the list again economy you know Isis Caliphate and trade war negotiations and yeah basically he's just being effective so as long as the president is being effective here's the other negative space when was the last time the president said something that rose to the level of like a national controversy it's been a while hasn't it hasn't it been a while isn't that missing tell tell me tell me if I'm wrong tell me if I'm wrong it seems to me that it's been a while since the president crossed that line from you know from just being his own personality to doing something that the whole country is at my head's
[1:00:56]
the whole country is at my head's exploding because blah blah he hasn't done any of that and if he can make it to election day without doing another one of those things it's all over it's all over every day that goes by that the president doesn't do something outrageous looking like a dictator or whatever every day that goes by the other side gets weaker and yeah it looks like it's going to be a killer all right so some people are asking me about bit shoot so I signed up for an account on bit shoot which if you don't know is the competitor to YouTube and a place where what imagines that you would be less likely to be throttled for your political opinions and I have signed up and but I have not posted a video so I'm using their video tool that will
[1:01:58]
using their video tool that will transfer one of my YouTube files over there and then once it's up I imagine you can find me but last I checked it was just processing and not doing anything so I don't know if my process of porting a video over there just an initial video I don't know if it worked I'll check on that today all right but my intention is to be there and if it doesn't show up there yet who knows there is one Oh somebody says there's one video there so search for me using my same username that I use here on periscope and on twitter which is scott adams says so search for scott adams says if you find i did have a somebody posting my stuff without permission pretending to be me but i think i've entered that now yes the jobs report is great there's not much to say about that except job report is great you know i
[1:03:01]
except job report is great you know i haven't been talking about Kaepernick because I just think his time is time passed you know he's still getting some media hits because it's slow news time and and we always like to revisit the hits but I just don't see Kaepernick as being terribly important it just seems like his time came and it went now he's just sort of a and an aftershock story it's not it's not the big story his original story is just sort of a ripple from the original so it's all news even when it's new news with Kaepernick alright
will you ever run for president I don't expect that I will ever run for president but I could win if I did just put that out there and I'm not sure I
[1:04:06]
put that out there and I'm not sure I would be more I don't think I would be more useful as a president I think I would be more useful as not a president all right that's all I got to say so I think I will hmm I think I'll end now thank you for somebody says my video is blocked on bit shoot I doubt that's true but I'll look into it today and I will talk to you all later