Episode 553 Scott Adams: Why President Trump Will Win 2020 in HUGE Landslide

Date: 2019-06-03 | Duration: 1:00:23

Topics

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Rough Transcript

This is an auto-generated transcript and may contain errors.

Transcript

[0:05]

[Music] bump bump bump bump you know you know yeah I’ve been studying the International sign language I don’t have all of the language yet I’m so I keep I can’t sign as well as I’d like to I’ve only got some of the basics for example this is International Sign Language for would you like to have coffee with me I think I’m sort of guessing I didn’t really read that anywhere but it seems like this would be it so if we’d like to have coffee with me if you’d like to enjoy the unparalleled pleasure of the simultaneous sip which comes with dopamine you’ll be providing that yourself with my help if you’d like to participate grab your copy of glossy mug could be a Steiner chalice or a tankard maybe a thermos maybe a flask filling with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the

[1:06]

unparalleled pleasure of the simultaneous simple goes well with gratitude and optimism two things that I have plenty of today let’s talk about all the fun things in the news number one I love it when this president goes goes to Great Britain first Great Britain of course has the quote special relationship with the United States and we do we certainly have a special relationship but part of that special relationship is that the the Brits have a certain sense of humor that I really enjoy and the United States has a certain sense of humor that I also really enjoy so when the funniest person in the United States president Trump takes a visit to probably the funniest country that isn’t the United States in terms of a sense of humor it gets fun

[2:08]

terms of a sense of humor it gets fun now I remember when everybody was complaining oh I hate it you know we don’t want to be in a situation where the president’s rhetoric becomes normalized let’s not normalize the way he insults people well few years later here we are totally normalized are you worse off you are not worse off you are not worse off you can’t tell me that you did not have fun listening to President Trump trash talk Sadiq Khan the Mayor of London after the Mayor of London had trashed trash talk to the president you can’t tell me you didn’t enjoy that now you might have enjoyed what he said maybe you enjoyed more on what Trump said maybe you enjoyed the interplay but it’s totally normalized didn’t change anything nobody nobody nobody died nobody lost any money it was nothing but

[3:10]

nobody lost any money it was nothing but entertaining I’m glad it’s normalized when did Trump called the the Mayor of London stone-cold loser now I don’t want to live in a world where my president can’t call a major leader of another country who’s an ally a stone-cold loser I don’t ever want to go back to those days yeah he he said he was like as dumb is building he was as dumb as Bill DeBlasio and half is a half install come on if you don’t think that’s funny just the fact that you’re saying it I’m not I’m not saying that as a punchline it’s the funniest joke or anything but just the fact that it’s happening at all nobody’s getting hurt nobody’s getting hurt it’s just fun and if you can’t see

[4:12]

hurt it’s just fun and if you can’t see that well you’re missing a great show there was an article I was alerted to you today by J Frank bullet in the issues of insights online publication and he asks the question why are Democrats and liberals and and journalists who were largely the same group why are they so angry and I wonder the same thing but I also wonder if it’s imagination would you say it’s true that the people on the left are angry and the people on the right are sort of upbeat sort of optimistic and is that is that only because Trump is in power or is that sort of a permanent situation I actually don’t know it feels like it’s because who’s in power but does it seem true to you that people on the right are kind of apt too optimistic kind of happy things go and well I can’t wait for

[5:13]

things go and well I can’t wait for tomorrow people on the Left are well if you don’t get killed by a racist today you just wait because climate change is gonna fry your brains so the people on the Left are living in this world of doom and gloom and you know tragedy and unfairness that I just don’t experience I’m sort of living in the other world where people are doing well and making progress and sure there’s a lot of things we need to do a lot of people that need to get helped well we’re making progress that’s my world so but I also don’t know if this is just a perceptual thing and everybody’s just as happy I did a little experiment yesterday you know which I was trying to see if the title I gave these periscopes which will be translated over to YouTube after this is downloaded later so you can see the replay on YouTube or here on periscope but on YouTube I was experimenting to see if the title I gave it would change the traffic now I don’t

[6:16]

it would change the traffic now I don’t mean in a clickbait way but rather in a pro-trump or anti-trump way and so the experiment was and this is totally non-scientific so I’m not sure you can well I’m sure you can’t make any definitive conclusion from this I’ll tell you what happened so I experimented with a title this seemed to be anti true because the words Trump and impeach were in the title and it seemed to me if somebody somebody somewhere if they were trying to influence things they would give more traffic to things to say impeach and Trump and less traffic to things that say something that might be more positive to Trump on average so I put impeachment and Trump in my title last time and what do you think happened to my traffic up 22% so compared to my average video when I put impeachment and Trump in the title it was up 22% now I

[7:21]

Trump in the title it was up 22% now I had to do the counter experiment which I’m doing right now so I put Trump will win in a landslide in the title and you can see that the the native traffic on Twitter is off the chart so notice notice that the apparent yeah the periscope slash Twitter traffic is much higher so keep that data point mind because in a few hours this will be downloaded and put on YouTube YouTube has an entirely different algorithm will the high traffic that you’re clearly seeing it’s way above average right now will this high traffic also be duplicated because it’s the same content same content will it be duplicated on YouTube or will YouTube do the reverse will the traffic and YouTube be below average even though it’s clearly above average here and you know you would expect that they have different algorithms so that’s so I would suggest

[8:21]

algorithms so that’s so I would suggest that this might be one way that you could test for bias because you could do the same message on two platforms and there there are mechanisms for you know hypothetically if there were any shadow banning hypothetically if there were any throttling you might see it in the differences between platforms wouldn’t be conclusive but it would tell you if you saw a pattern there that’s like that it was always better on one than the other would certainly raise a question here’s another data point you all know Anthony’s garelu Chi right you had a very short short career with the White House uh Anthony’s gurgler Chi I noticed today followed me on Twitter why is that no worthy well it’s noteworthy because it’s Anthony’s Guruji and if he followed you on Twitter you’d be very happy but here’s why it’s noteworthy he followed me years ago you see where I’m going in

[9:23]

me years ago you see where I’m going in this Anthony scare Lucci had to I think reef ah lo me it looks like and I don’t have confirmation maybe maybe he can confirm it later if he sees this but do you think they Anthony’s Guerra Moochie intentionally unfollowed me after he’d been following me for a few years years right so that’s not there’s certainly not any any chance that it was a system error because sometimes there’s not a handshake when you first follow somebody so so you think you follow them but it didn’t didn’t follow through what are the odds the Anthony scare Moochie looked at his God knows how many followers and said you know I think I’m gonna unfollow that Adams guy and then some for whatever reason months later decided to follow me again I don’t think that happened no I don’t know what happened so without confirmation you cannot make

[10:24]

so without confirmation you cannot make a conclusion but what are the odds the Anthony’s care about you who by the way I know right we’ve we’ve talked so I’ve we have had a long conversation with Anthony’s scared Buchi on the phone but he knows me I know him at least you know as as acquaintances on the phone he record by the way he recommends my book fairly often in public what are the odds is someone who recommends my book fairly often wind Bigley in public would unfollow me pretty low pretty low so that’s just something to watch for here’s another one again these are all everything I’m going to mention is not confirmation of any kind of mischief they’re just things which could certainly be confirmation by us they all fit into that category of well just because I don’t know why it happened doesn’t mean there’s only one way it could have happened right so my my

[11:25]

could have happened right so my my ignorance of why I’m saying this is not proof of something just keep that clear but they’re questions it raises questions there’s another one I don’t know this for sure but it seems to me that I’m gaining about the same number of followers that I’ve gained since maybe 2016 so I’m getting the same number of new followers as I have since 2016 why is that noteworthy well back in 2016 I had about a total of I know 50,000 followers now I have a total of three hundred and seventeen thousand if 317 a thousand people are following me and retweeting and interacting with me is it likely that the number of new people I get would be the same every every day roughly as when I had only 50,000 followers is that likely it’s possible it’s possible but is it likely

[12:27]

possible it’s possible but is it likely I don’t know again doesn’t prove anything I just wonder it’s a lot of questions so here’s the thing that you should be wary of if in fact social media platforms we’re trying to put their finger on the scale I wish there were some better metaphor or analogy for that but I’ll use that one if they were trying to influence 2020 when would they start right now because if they start too late they don’t have enough influence and it would be too obvious it would be too much of a big change in 2020 around the election it would just be too noticeable but if they start now and they just start tuning it a little bit just a little bit of tuning little beater tuning by the time you reach 2020 the lobster is boiled and lobster never knew that the Watergate had gotten harder so don’t have any idea if any of

[13:27]

harder so don’t have any idea if any of this alleged shadow bearing or throttling is real but the fact that we can’t tell eliminates your confidence in the system and a system let’s say the system is the United States and the Republic and our Democratic / Republic system can the system survive if you can’t tell what’s running the system I can’t tell I literally I can’t tell I don’t even have I don’t even have a confident guess if our votes are what in our own opinions and the citizens are we even running the country anymore I cannot tell legitimately I can’t tell who’s running in the country is that a good system no it’s not a good system talk about some bills Kamla Harris I’ve said for over a year has the best

[14:29]

I’ve said for over a year has the best natural advantages for becoming the candidate to run against Trump I don’t think she can win but I said she had the most natural advantages now what I meant was she would start with the advantage of being a woman and by the way let me ask you this again I got to give credit to Hillary Clinton you no matter what you say about her I just have to go back to what an amazing accomplishment it was of how she broke the glass ceiling even though she didn’t become president she got the most votes and I think she forever changed what you think about the possibility of a woman for president let me ask you this so all of this annoy is about all the candidates running for president etc have you heard one person in your private life not not in public in your private life have you heard one person say I don’t think a woman can be President have you heard one person say that opinion I haven’t and I’ve heard every

[15:30]

opinion I haven’t and I’ve heard every bad opinion you could possibly hear think about that that’s that’s Hillary Clinton’s accomplishment you should never take that away from her she you know I’m I’m I have a let’s say a system that I like to use and I would like to suggest you use it too and the system goes like this if there’s somebody that you really dislike in terms of their politics try to find something you do like and call it out all right take somebody that you’re not a fan of and you don’t agree with them and you wouldn’t want the season in office find something you do like and call it in why do you do that because it keeps you unbiased if you can’t say something good about somebody you don’t want to be president you should check your own thinking because there’s probably something wrong with you right and in my opinion Hillary Clinton changed forever how we see female candidates for president and she eliminated from the

[16:32]

president and she eliminated from the conversation woman can’t be present it never made sense in the first place but she eliminated even even the stray thought it just doesn’t even happen so let’s get back to calm Alerus fuse she’s a woman so she had that advantage because nobody talks about being a woman in any way except that it might be an advantage all right think about that whatever you hear a woman is running for president it’s always couched as a positive like oh there’s an advantage she’s got that lock down likewise if you hear that somebody is a person of color and they’re running for president what is the first thing that people say about that is the first thing that people say about Cory Booker well uh no he’s black so I don’t think his chances are good no nobody says that even even racist don’t

[17:35]

nobody says that even even racist don’t say that everybody says being black well that’s a plus think about that think about the fact that you live in a country where if somebody’s running for president and they’re either a woman or a person of color the first thing you think and the thing you think all the way through is well that’s an unfair advantage that just sort of snow comma snuck up on us didn’t it just totally snuck up on you there’s suddenly suddenly we don’t live in that old world where that’s just automatically a disadvantage anyway back to Kabul Harris there was a story I think was on CNN which makes me think they’re trying to take her out of the race but I’ll ask you for your opinion so I’m going to ask you for your opinion the story on CNN about camel heiress was about her husband and I thought to myself huh I’ve not heard one thing about her husband and that’s good right how good is it how positive is that that

[18:35]

how good is it how positive is that that Camel Harris is one of the top people running for president he hadn’t even heard of her husband wasn’t even part of the conversation great right that’s sort of the way you’d want to be you know unless it was some problem you you know just it’s just not relevant in the case of peed Buddha jej hear more about his spouse because that’s just more of an interesting story it’s course I’m a special case but here’s what I found out about coming up Kamala Harris Camila Harris’s husband he is a he’s an old white guy lawyer here’s my question if you’re a member of the of any person of color community would you think less of Carla Harris for being married to a white guy I actually don’t know the answer to that question I wonder if that’s ever been studied because on paper it should be a plus so if you were looking at this as a logical person you’d say oh she’s a person of

[19:37]

person you’d say oh she’s a person of color so she has all that appreciation of what that’s like at the same time the ideal situation is she’s married to a white guy so that she’s got you know she she’s certified open mind she’s certified you know good with all kinds of people that should be nothing but good but is it so that’s my question if you if you could get an honest poll on that sense and that sort of thing would would people who are black would they say oh who cares you know the spouse isn’t the president anyway why do I care or do they say I don’t know that’s not quite as genuine as I might want it to be might be you know so that’s a question is that a plus or minus I leave that to you there’s a very funny story about the Philippines president do tarty I can never pronounce that right do charity duty

[20:39]

that right do charity duty he’s got one of those names that you should change his name you should just make call him you know Duke or something but dude it’s out of the— i can’t pronounce that you know you should change his name so i can pronounce it better that’s the standard i give to everybody for their name but apparently he’s going public with the bizarre claim that he used to be and i’m quoting talking about himself a little bit gay that’s right so duarte somebody’s helping me there with a phonetic spelling so Duarte has said in public that he used to be a little bit gay but he cured himself by meeting a beautiful woman okay this is one of those stories where I’m tempted to add a joke to it it’s like well watch me add my clever little thing to it to

[21:41]

me add my clever little thing to it to to put a funny spin on this but there’s nothing you can really do with it you just have to just let it lay there do you say used to be a little bit gay but now he’s not attracted to good-looking guys he says that’s you know that’s his that’s why he says so now he is he’s all Heward because he’s not he met a woman so beautiful that it cured him of being a little bit gay okay let’s assume that’s a real thing alright here’s my favorite story of the day do you remember my prediction about the so called alleged execution of Kim jong-un’s nuclear negotiator so there was a story that said unconfirmed report of a unreliable source so it was an unreliable source with an unconfirmed source saying that that North Korea had the kim jog that had executed his nuclear negotiating team but then today we see a picture of that guy he should have been who was allegedly executed

[22:42]

have been who was allegedly executed sitting in the same room with Kim jong-un and all the special people at an event so let us check the fake news filter that I suggested the fake news filter I suggested was that it was too on-the-nose it’s a Hollywood script writer term and it means that if you were going to write write this as a story it would be a little too perfect it’s like well that just fits a little too well doesn’t it so when I heard the story the first thing I heard was unreliable source and how would you even know write unreliable source too on-the-nose I predicted it was fake news today we have a confirmation with fake news so keep track keep track of my predictions I’ve been making predictions in public for three years or so and so people keep bringing up when I talk about my

[23:42]

bringing up when I talk about my predictions they talk about how I was wrong about the Covington boys let me say this about that if any of you are ever fooled by a fake photograph or a fake video I think they were both in this case a fake video and a fake photograph you should not feel embarrassed about that never feel embarrassed that you were fooled by a good fake that was a good fake fooled a lot of people you should be judged by what how you respond in my case I immediately said oh I’m completely wrong I apologize in public that’s it quick clean unambiguous I was totally wrong I apologize in public done this so if you judge me by how I handled it I would prefer that but you should also be keeping track of the accuracy of my

[24:43]

keeping track of the accuracy of my predictions I did not make a prediction about the Covington kids I simply said I had a reaction to it now if you recall my reaction was not ever that they were being racist all right so I never fell into the I never fell into the trap that the left it wishes to say hey what’s going on here is racist dear do you all agree I never said the kids were acting racist to me that was fake news so did I correctly say ok this is being interpreted incorrectly because this is not racist I did say that so when I took when I took full responsibility for being wrong about it I took responsibility for saying the kid was being a jerk I never said he was being racist I said he was being a teenage kid and teenage kids could be jerks now when

[25:44]

and teenage kids could be jerks now when he saw the full video in the picture it was obvious that he was not being a jerk he was actually sort of not sure what to do and that’s all it was they were smiling sort of uncomfortably so I yeah that was my exact word so I apologized for thinking that the kid was being a jerk and that the other kids were being jerks when is clearly not not true but I was not one of the people who thought he was being a racist so not one time did that ever enter into my mind as even a possibility so I was half hoaxed and apologized for it but I would put that a slightly different category than a prediction right all right let’s move on independent journalist Tim Poole announced he’s going to be setting up a fact-checker slash database database of journalists and news organizations and that a semi will randomly sample a hundred articles and give a score of you

[26:46]

hundred articles and give a score of you know however many are good out of 100 and any violation of journalistic ethics will result in a strike the scores will look like for example 73 n of a hundred articles are credible and ethical how would you like to be a journalist and know that somebody is going to give you a percentage of your articles that are credible and ethical what do you think Maggie Haberman would get under this under this standard would Maggie Haberman have a score maybe 10% I don’t know I have no idea because there’s a lot of subjectivity at this and but even before Tim decided to do this I thought to myself is there a conservative fact-checking organization because factcheck.org or comm I forget what it is and Snopes the fact checkers I’ve now all lean heavily heavily left and you could argue

[27:48]

heavily heavily left and you could argue that Wikipedia is a fact-checking organization and they they leave left as well is there a right-leaning fact-checking organization and if not why not that would be weird so somebody knows one let me know on Twitter and if not well maybe Tim Poole will be the one who creates that but you could have a real question about you know who it is who’s scoring these things president Trump made news by arguing that can you hear my cat my cats out the door I’m gonna let my catheter the door will I continue talking so President Trump decided to call on CNN as a potential problem over in Great Britain and his point was that that apparently Great Britain doesn’t get Fox News I’m guessing somebody’ll

[28:51]

get Fox News I’m guessing somebody’ll have to confirm that all right letting a cat in I couldn’t think when she was yelling here we’ll let you look at the cat yeah boo she comes in the Ellesmere just like this until she gets some playtime yeah well she have to wait so back to my story so president Trump’s that go into London he was talking about how CNN is over there and apparently CNN is the primary news source for for people in Great Britain understand the United States and the president called that out as a problem and I thought to myself my god that is a problem

[29:52]

myself my god that is a problem think think about the fact I mean just just for a moment think about this if you live in Great Britain what you know about the United States is largely influenced by CNN and CNN hates the United States there are exaggerating CNN doesn’t hate the United States then certainly hates the Conservative government of the United States and that’s the part that interfaces most with Great Britain so isn’t that a serious that’s a serious problem isn’t it I don’t know what I have a label that problem but if the primary news source that are our allies are seeing are is CNN that’s very damaging for the country because they’re not saying any counter point and they’re not seeing anything like news or balanced balanced news certainly so see you then has I know it

[30:55]

certainly so see you then has I know it if somebody’s watching this who doesn’t the news and and isn’t really sort of steeped in the media as I am you probably would hear me say the CNN is biased and say to yourself right leaving cartoonists blah blah blah the other side’s biased but I think I think we’ve moved way beyond the question of whether or not they’re biased haven’t we haven’t we left that way back in history and now it’s just obvious this CNN is is essentially attacking the president and all he does because it’s good for a business and has nothing to do with what the news is right I mean we are well past the point where that’s a question anymore just as it is equally true the Fox News caters to an audience on the right and that they’re friendly with the president those are not opinions right would you say it’s a fact the Fox News

[31:57]

would you say it’s a fact the Fox News leans right and it’s a fact the CNN leans left imagine your Great Britain all you see is CNN saying that our president is a psycho racist misogynist how does that help us overseas that’s a big problem I mean really politics aside you know not not taking sides wouldn’t it be just as big a problem if they only saw Fox News right if I’m being fair it would be just as big a problem if all they ever saw was Fox News because they wouldn’t understand the United States because they would have missed this whole other half of the country’s point of view so the president suggests this since 18 t home CNN that maybe people should boycott a TMT now I’m almost never in favor of boycotts I just as

[32:58]

never in favor of boycotts I just as soon as you enter that world of boycotts are okay and everybody’s boycotted and I’ve been boycotted however many times for however many things I’ve ever said that people didn’t so boycotts is not the greatest idea but this is a unique case this is a case where our actual foreign policy is being hurt by CNN and there’s no doubt about it our foreign policy is being hurt by CNN would you agree that that’s a an objective statement would you now I think you could have said the same thing when Obama was president I would have said you know if the only news that that that the UK was seeing was from Fox News and Obama was president I would say exactly the same thing I would say Fox News is giving you a damaging view of our president when our president is

[33:59]

our president when our president is trying to work with the UK it would be very damaging so the president has accurately called out I mean it’s political but it’s also accurate that att a major u.s. corporation is very deliberately and I’m going to be very let me be clear on this this is deliberate they know what they’re doing there’s no ambiguity here AT&T and major US company is working very hard against the interests of the United States it’s all legal you know free speech they own a company everything’s everything’s out in the open completely legal so I don’t know if there’s any recourse certainly there’s no government recourse because free speech but the president is suggesting that AT&T should pay for it in other words they should lose business because they’re operating against the interests of the American public in

[35:00]

interests of the American public in intentionally they are intentionally acting against the interests of the United States think about that now and again I would say the same thing when Fox News was beating up Obama every single day I would have said the same thing about that we just happen to not be in that era right now so how could we be ok with that so I’m not I’m not going to go so far as to say you should not give your business to AT&T but I will tell you that I wouldn’t I would I would not I’m not recommending you do anything differently well I wouldn’t give my money to someone who’s damaging of the United States intentionally the intentional part is the part that puts me over the edge if somebody was just you know doing business and maybe you had some effect on the United States then I didn’t love but they were just sort of doing their business and there was some side effect

[36:01]

business and there was some side effect it was just really the side effect that was bad I’d say well maybe I live with that free world nothing’s perfect everything’s got a little rough edges I’ll live with that but when you know people are sitting around the room and saying well should we continue doing things bad for the United States yeah it’s good for our business that’s not cool I’m not cool with that anyway here’s great news Oh before I get to that let’s talk about aoc retweeted a little whiteboard chat from representative Pramila jeyapaul I don’t know if I’m pronouncing it right Ramallah jeyapaul Democrat she was doing a whiteboard talk about the cost of Medicare for all versus current costs now before you before you jump in and the comments and say it I’ll say it first I have no reason to believe that

[37:03]

first I have no reason to believe that her facts and her interpretation of things is accurate I also don’t have any reason to believe it or not I can’t tell I can’t judge so I’m only going to judge the quality of the presentation the quality of the presentation a plus right so here is a smart Congress person who seems to have dug into the details enough to present to the public in a very simplified whiteboard presentation with a few with a few images just what the situation was like how big of a problem is it is it a solvable one as small as a big just sort of sizing the problem of universal health care I don’t believe that she gave us a an objective down the middle approach I’m sure it was you know shaded or bias toward you know the aoc version of the world so I don’t tell you that it was accurate but in terms of how well it

[38:04]

was accurate but in terms of how well it was explained extrordinary there should be way more of that I would love to see members of my government sort of like you saw dr. Shiva do some whiteboard takes they are really effective in fact I’d love to see some Republicans do it I’d like to see other people do it on these big issues that are complicated just have a smart person who can simplify put it in a two minute or a five minute presentation show us some pictures give us the big picture here’s why this was important do you remember I did a periscope a while ago right where I I looked at some big numbers about health care and I saw that or 18% of people don’t have health care insurance I think and I went through some big number of conceptual thoughts in which I said with my current knowledge I don’t understand why it would be so why it would be unaffordable

[39:05]

would be so why it would be unaffordable right so I gave a whole presentation in which I said based on what I know I don’t understand the point that this that this is unaffordable because as far as I can tell it’s very affordable based on what I know but what I know is I don’t know how much how much do I know about health care this much how much do I know about the budget of the United States this much and so the reason I did that was to show how uninformed the public are because you’ve heard I’ve heard variously than it will cost 32 trillion dollars on one side and I’ve heard that it will save money what’s the difference between 32 trillion dollars and negative dollars well that’s at least a thirty two trillion dollar difference in in what the estimates are we are seriously being lied to by I think both sides I’m not positive but it seems to me that let me just say

[40:08]

seems to me that let me just say something you’re not gonna like my current hunch based on very limited information that I see from both sides that’s also unreliable so I’m getting limited and unreliable information about health care and what it would cost from both sides I think the information on the right is 90% lie I think the information on the left is 70% lie something like that in other words they’re both mostly lies both both the way they’re presented on both sides but it feels like the right is almost entirely lying whereas the left has a few things right but not a not a clean story that I could believe now that’s just my hunch and I’d be happy to revise that I’d be happy to completely change it with any new information I’m not locked into that at all that’s just my current feeling so don’t believe

[41:10]

current feeling so don’t believe anything you see about health care expenses I’d love to see to people know if they’re talking about talk at the same time here’s another here’s a fake news filter for you if you see a person from one side present one side on a whiteboard it’s fake news if it’s a if it’s an elected Democrat or it’s an elected Republican or somebody who wants to be elected and they give you a whiteboard presentation or something like it don’t believe it it’s probably a lie but if you see two people and they spend some time do it a little back and forth and somebody makes a claim somebody says this is why I challenge it well you might be seeing something like news in that case but the the one person talking is not anything you should pay here’s big news I’ve been telling you for a long time that we’ll never be able to tax our way to something like a world where everybody could have a good lifestyle can’t tax our way to it just

[42:12]

lifestyle can’t tax our way to it just can’t get there and I’ve been saying that the future is reducing the cost of a good life what’s it cost to have a home What’s it cost to eat What’s it cost to you know have transportation etc and Amazon just started selling $20,000 homes online so you can go online and there are several models of these little tiny homes that they’ll deliver to you as basically a kit and yes snap it together and you got yourself a home for twenty thousand now before you start that doesn’t include the land it doesn’t include any prep doesn’t include sewage or you know any of the site prep stuff or permits or whatever but it does tell you that there’s a movement in that direction and that there’s probably a market and there’s probably something there and that are giant corporations such as Amazon we’re probably going to be a big part of solving this so I would expect I

[43:15]

part of solving this so I would expect I would expect that you’ll see kit homes and here’s the key I think there’s one thing more that they need to do to make this a big deal and that is you should be able to add on to it easily give me that one change get home pretty good pretty good idea it’s more like the the Model T of cars that’s sort of where we are with kit homes we’re still at sort of the Model T model a you know it’s gonna get a lot better but right now it’s Model T one thing I want I want to be able to build a tiny little home with a bathroom in one room maybe something like a kitchen and then I want to easily add on another bedroom with another kit and then add on another bedroom another you know whatever you give me that and you’ve got everything that’s that would change the world is just that one change all right so that’s very very big bill pulled a tweeted that and if his

[44:16]

bill pulled a tweeted that and if his account and of course bill Polti being the blight Authority probably thought leader in this country I would say and we’ve got all this land in urban areas that people people don’t want because it’s a bad area so essentially you’ve got lots of low-cost free land even in Central City places plus a lot in rural places so could these get homes be the thing I predict it will be the thing that’s my prediction kit homes will be a much much much bigger thing might be one of the biggest industries in the next twenty years there’s my prediction kit homes will be one of the biggest industries growth wise in the next twenty years alright I want to make a climate change prediction I’ll try to keep this short and it’s gonna start with me buying a

[45:17]

and it’s gonna start with me buying a new car recently I bought a new new automobile and all I got was I just got the newer version of my seven year old car I think it was nine years old so I like to keep a car for a long time because unless there’s something really different coming out I you know I’m just not interested so I had an old BMW x5 2011 and I just upgraded it to the new version oh my god what a difference that many years make it’s in seven years or whatever it is the eight years of work the technology is just so different but here’s what’s the reason I’m telling you about this this car has human characteristics and is slowly phasing me out of the decision-making so the first of all as I walk near the car they’ve got my key in my pocket the some of the the accent lights turn on my car

[46:19]

the accent lights turn on my car acknowledges my presence when I enter it and enter the area that makes me feel like it knows me my car will adjust its settings to be just for me which makes me think my car really knows me my car listens to me talk understands it changes things you know the heat that radio whatever by talking I can also use gestures so there’s a place I can do a gesture so I fall want to turn up the radio I just go like this with my hands under the under the rearview mirror and the radio goes up in volume my car understands language and sign language when I start my car and I start driving the the seatbelt tightens it literally hugs me it hugs me you feel like a tightening and you feel actually your car hugging you

[47:19]

car hugging you it pays attention to me it seems to be like I’m special and it hugged me literally it hugged me and throughout all of the you know the user interface elements of this car you see something that is getting more and more human and is sort of merging with you what well one of those aspects is that the car will keep you from doing something stupid so if you are if you’re going to drive into something the car will actually stop you from doing it every once in a while I’ll feel the car take control and put me back in the light and sometimes when I didn’t want to so I don’t know if it’s safe because the car seems to take the steering wheel every once a while and get you off like a white line if you’re on it or something you can correct pretty easily but it’s disturbing when you see the car make a decision for you so the car decides the route that I’m going to take

[48:20]

decides the route that I’m going to take through the GPS and make sure that I turn when I’m supposed to turn and it basically is this symbiotic part in which I’m essentially a cyborg went on of the car so me plus my car is sort of an entity a cyborg symbiotic entity in the way that it used to be just a machine and now it’s not alright so that’s my first point that we’re becoming cyborgs this is important to my discussion of of my prediction for climate change because our cell our smartphones have also made us cyborgs we we as long as you have your phone with you you have a brain augmentation you know communication augmentation all kinds of augmentation to your natural abilities we are now inseparable from our smartphones so it’s it’s like we’re one entity from plus persons sort of the

[49:21]

one entity from plus persons sort of the entity and here’s where I’m going to take my prediction for climate change let’s say climate change for whatever reason doesn’t even matter the reason but let’s say the temperature is going up within some range at the bottom of the range we’ll don’t have too much to worry about at the top of the range we do you don’t have to worry too much about the range but when the IPCC makes a prediction they’re making something like an 80 year prediction here’s what’s gonna happen in those 80 years that is not part of the prediction first thing you have to ask yourself is what are the problems associated with climate risk so let’s say the temperature goes up more than we want and again it doesn’t matter why why could be natural could be son could be co2 scientists say it’s co2 but for now that doesn’t matter let’s just say that temperature’s going up and bad stuffs happen what is the bad stuff could we

[50:22]

happen what is the bad stuff could we find ways to deal with all the bad stuff in such an efficient way that we don’t care how warm it is let me ask you this what just to blow your mind a little bit the the current way that we eat as human beings is that we we grow food in dirt and we wait for months and months for food to turn into something and that’ll be packaged in ship it in process and chemicals - that’s the way we currently eat - sassy like the best way to grow food do you think in 80 years food will come from dirt do you maybe I would say the the odds of food growing in dirt outdoors might approach zero in 80 years in ten years of course is still gonna be Farms in 20 you probably in 30 probably still just growing outdoors but by then there will be indoor farms they’ll be underground farms there’ll be all kinds

[51:22]

underground farms there’ll be all kinds of different ways to make food there may be a chemical process for making food that tastes better than any food you’ve ever had we might be just making it an of I don’t printers and stuff right now we slay living creatures and chop them up and turn them into burgers and steaks and stuff and to eat them do you think that in 80 years a primary way the human beings get protein is by slaughtering other living creatures maybe I would say unlikely because it’s inefficient the odds of science coming up with something that tastes better is easier to make easier to produce and way more satisfying as well as nutritious is a hundred percent remember 80 years 80 years I don’t think you’re gonna have to worry about what happens to your farm because nobody’s gonna get food from a

[52:25]

because nobody’s gonna get food from a farm in 80 years maybe but I think not here’s another problem maybe it’s just too hot outside and people are gonna die because they live in places they’re just too hot well in 80 years do you think people will be dying from the heat no matter how warm it is do you think more people will be dying from the heat or fewer almost certainly fewer because first of all we’ll have more air conditioning we’ll have you know more ways to deal with things we’ll have more ways to get energy if you’ve got energy you’ve got air conditioning probably the number of people dying because it’s too hot outside will approach zero in 80 years and we’ll just have ways to deal with it we could get to the point where you can genetically modify people to be better at taking Heat oh yeah that’s possible we’re already right at the point of technology where we could find people who have genes they make

[53:25]

find people who have genes they make them more resistant to hot weather take me for example I don’t do well in hot weather could you find a human being who does better in hot weather and give me some of those gene qualities or if you have a baby can you introduce it into the baby so the baby can just take a lot of heat or even a lot of cold absolutely do you think there’s any chance we won’t be able to do that in 80 years do you think there’s any chance we won’t be able to engineer people to just be able to handle the heat pretty well and not get in and maybe not even get sunburns in 80 years will we have clothing that keeps us cool and a hat that is basically like a permanent little air conditioning in 80 years you might be able to buy for $20 something like a you know clothing that just completely keeps you cool so you can’t predict that all right in 80 years we’ll have Amazon

[54:26]

right in 80 years we’ll have Amazon delivering $20,000 homes nobody has to live outdoors because they got their inexpensive home they built it themselves you can have nuclear power everywhere you might have fusion maybe you don’t but you don’t need it because generation 4 and Beyond will be clean enough and good enough so it when you’ve got all kinds of power because nuclear will get us there and maybe solar and other batteries and wind will keep getting better too when we’ve got plenty of energy then we can do desalinization because the big expensive desalinization is the energy but we’ll also have cheaper easier lower energy ways to desalinate so once you have water is climate change a big deal well one of the biggest problems with climate change is people might have too much water or too little water so the people at too little water desalinization might solve it Reverend say two years from now what about the death deserts you know becoming more deserts well we now know

[55:26]

becoming more deserts well we now know how to reforest deserts some of it is just introducing livestock and they just poop on it and carry seeds and stuff and you can redo a desert so we might be geoengineering the planet to actually get rid of major storms I’ll give you one example my understanding is that the major hurricanes that we see in the Atlantic that affect the United States they form because of the northern African deserts that that heat is what gets the ball rolling that turns into a hurricane if you were to cause that desert to be cooler you would reduce it Americans could we do that within 80 years totally totally feasible to make the desert less of the desert and and green it up a little bit how about about one of the problems with climate changes that species become extinct will it be

[56:29]

that species become extinct will it be possible for species to become extinct eighty years from now or even twenty years or even thirty years no there will be no extinct species because we’ll just grab their DNA and if the living ones die off we can just clone them back to life but here’s a better question how many species have become extinct in our lifetime like a million I don’t know it’s a big number right the number of species if you count plants and insects and animals how many of them have become extinct in our lifetime a million we can lose we can lose we can lose another gazillion species I don’t think God I couldn’t tell the difference do I care not really so we could save them if we want to somebody’s saying it’s billions we could save as many species as you want we just saved their DNA we have but technology we own them back if we

[57:30]

but technology we own them back if we want to but the fact is we just don’t miss them we just don’t miss them there might be some point when we do miss stuff but I don’t know where that is take the littoral so we’re losing corals in some places and that can be a big issue for the Barrier Reef etc but we also know there are some types of corals that are resistant to heat how hard will it be in the future to say well these corals seem to be dying let’s let’s dump a bunch of these heat resistant corals in the same place they’re not exactly same but they’re just as good for the fish those corals grow up in 80 years do you think we’ll be able to do that yeah we could do that kind of now I think we can do that now so the and then then the other problem is that coastlines and water rises and you have to relocate things not the biggest problem in the world because it will happen slowly enough and the people with all the money seem to be living near the coast they’ll

[58:32]

seem to be living near the coast they’ll just move a little bit in inland over time they’ll move to better places they’ll move to places that are hardened against hurricanes better than move to places that are better protected it will create a lot of jobs because people will have to do the work of relocating people here’s my prediction even if everything that is said about climate change is true so much will be different about how we can handle those problems plus we’ll be building the scrubbers to take co2 out of the atmosphere should we decide that’s necessary you don’t want to take too much and because then the plants don’t grow but will certainly have that ability so the odds that climate change will kill you approach is zero in my opinion that’s my prediction the odds that things will be better eighty years from now in every possible way close to 100 percent so that’s my prediction 80 years from now everything important will

[59:34]

years from now everything important will be better than it is now not worse there may be new problems introduced into the world that I haven’t foreseen but all the ones that exist will be far far less fewer people dying of heat fewer problems from hurricanes fewer problems from not enough food not enough water all of that will be better in 80 years all right that’s about all I wanted to say for now if you want to check this out on YouTube please do that just search for the phrase real coffee real coffee with Scott Adams real coffee with Scott Adams and then you can see that we play on YouTube if you prefer that that interface and I will talk to you later