Episode 529 Scott Adams: Declining Sex, Trade War, Cognitive Blindness, Sleepy Joe, HOAXES

Date: 2019-05-14 | Duration: 1:02:08

Topics

Heard it with my own ears…saw it with my own eyes! No…you didn’t, just watch FULL video, read FULL transcript HOAX VICTIMS: I REFUSE to view proof that I’m wrong! Dismantling a person’s world view in real time… …triggers cognitive dissonance NOBODY says… “I’ll look at the transcript, see if you’re correct” 2 Jewish people I’ve personally spoken too… …attended the Charlottesville event, thought it was about statues They obviously did NOT support Nazis at the event “Fine People” HOAX is a LOAD BEARING WALL for the other HOAXES Debunk that HOAX, other HOAXES will be naturally challenged Troll indicator flags Cat or cartoon icon for their account Followers are around a couple hundred followers They attack the target person…NOT the person’s argument Appears to be a centralized, organized, psychological attack Heartbeat bills, are they compatible with Roe v Wade? Poll says men are having far less sex AOC says that’s because men can’t harass women anymore Are there more obvious reasons for men having less sex? Men are becoming feminized…in general, not all men, just in general Do women want to have sex with feminized men? Tinder allows women to always choose the more attractive guys Why would they pick less attractive guys? 20% of men get the majority of Tinder sex opportunities AG Barr appoints VERY tough, experienced US Attorney John Durham Durham will investigate the origins of the Russia Collusion HOAX 3 attacks on Saudi tankers…no reporting or speculation on who did it? What does it mean that NOBODY is even speculating? China trade talks and the possibility of a deal…eventually Sleepy Joe Biden…where has he gone? Is the media refusing to cover him, ignoring him? Do the Democrat kingmakers think Biden is weak on key topics? Imagine a debate between Biden and Kamala What would the audience be thinking, watching during that debate? January 2020, we might see huge amounts of Democrat depression President Trump might be polling at untouchable levels Nuclear HAS to be a giant part of the climate change solution Twice now, Juan Williams on The Five…can’t hear “nuclear” Cognitive Blindness, nuclear options don’t even register One President Trump tweet about nuclear options Green New Deal people couldn’t ignore nuclear options

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> [!note] Rough Transcript
> 
> This is an auto-generated transcript and may contain errors.

## Transcript

[0:03]

pom pom pom pom pom pom pom pom pom pom pom hey everybody come on in here plain old Mike Joe and that's actually his name plain ol Mike it's not an insult hey everybody Robert Andrews come on in here good to see all of you and I'm pretty sure that many of you are prepared for the simultaneous sip because it's coming at you it's coming at yard if you've got a cup or a mug or a glass if you've got a Steiner a chalice or a thermos some kind of a flask a container of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the simultaneous enter good stuff well the big news the big news of the day I'm sure you've all seen it by now the Weiner is out that's right yes Annie Weiner is free free the Weiner I say that's the entire story of

[1:05]

Weiner I say that's the entire story of course Fox News carries it on their website is like the top story there's nothing funnier than switching back and forth between Fox and CNN and watching what things each of them prioritize and watching Fox News prioritize Anthony Weiner is just always good for a laugh because you know it's just it's just candy for their side there's no story there I mean could we care any less about Anthony Weiner getting into jail is there anything that affects us less than that nothing it's the least important story in the world what is funny let's talk about other things so I spent much of yesterday's playing a whack-a-mole with the so called fighting people hoax the hoax that President called you know Nazis in Charlottesville find people when in fact the actual transcript shows he said exactly the opposite of that now when I show people

[2:06]

opposite of that now when I show people that they have been hoaxed what is the most common thing that people say they say Scott stop gaslighting me I heard it with my own ears I saw him say it live with my own eyes you can't fool me because I saw it I heard it here's the thing we no longer live in an age we're seeing it and hearing it mean anything do you know what I saw and what I heard I saw that Covington kid being a real jerk and maybe a racist to that poor Native American guy that's what I saw saw it with my own eyes heard it with my own ears oh it didn't happen there was no reality that corresponds corresponds to what I saw with my own eyes there there was no

[3:07]

with my own eyes there there was no reality that correspond with what I thought I heard with my own ears we just don't live in that world anymore and the primary source of the fine people hoax is that the first part of what the president said is always shown in which he says something that does sound and beg us but knowing that it could sound ambiguous the president without any prompting and during that same set of statements said unambiguously that I'm not talking about the neo-nazis and white nationalists they should be condemned totally so when that part is cut out people imagine and they have a false memory of seeing something that didn't happen say mr. Covington kids now when I tell you that there are people who see things that didn't happen and hear things that didn't happen do you say to yourself well that's something that happens to other people thank God I'm smart because

[4:09]

other people thank God I'm smart because I see things that really happened I hear things that really happened is that what you think do you think this is sort of a weird thing that happens to other people because that's a problem if you think it's only happening to other people you you have another level of awareness which you probably will soon discover which is that it happens to everyone right now sometimes happens to you sometimes undoubtedly happens to me in fact the Covington kids case is a case where it did happen to me and temporarily I lived in a reality that didn't exist I thought something happened I thought I saw it it just didn't happen but here are a couple that I submit to you if you think that AOC really believes that the world will end in 12 years because of climate change well you could think that because of the larger context or the the sum of all the things she said perhaps but if you think

[5:10]

things she said perhaps but if you think you heard it with your own ears and you saw it with your own eyes think again because I saw it and I heard it at the same time you did and it didn't look like that to me to me it looked like she was using hyperbole to say we better get on this aggressively and soon in the next ten years etc or else were in big trouble which is consistent with what scientists say
say likewise with that alleged law that would allow that would allow a doctor to execute a baby after birth the baby being one that would otherwise survive if you believe you heard the governor of Virginia say that with your own ears and you saw it with your own eyes I just want to tell you I saw it and I heard it too except that's not what I saw and what I heard what I saw it heard is somebody talking in the context obviously of hospice meaning a baby that

[6:13]

obviously of hospice meaning a baby that wasn't going to survive under any conditions how long do you let her survive when you know it won't survive that was the context I saw now many people say but that's not what he said that's now what I heard and he right that's not exactly what he said but the context was still obvious and by now other people would have confirmed if anybody actually believed that it would be okay to execute a baby so here's all that would ask of you I know that some of you just got triggered because you said no those other examples you gave me I know those other people are mistaken that they heard or saw something but this one this one's true why is it you because I heard it and I saw it it doesn't mean anything anymore stuff you hear with your own ears even when you hear it correctly the actual words even if your every word correctly and you see it with your own eyes doesn't mean anything anymore we don't

[7:14]

doesn't mean anything anymore we don't live in a world we don't live in a world somebody made me laugh sorry just reading the comment somebody made me laugh we don't live in a world where you can believe your eyes or believe your ears you have to know the whole context or you don't have a chance of understanding what's going on so somebody's somebody made me laugh by saying that I was gas lighting and they were chanting when they said it now I like to teach you when to recognize cognitive dissonance the cleanest best example of a tell for cognitive dissonance this is this is this is triggered by somebody being exposed to a fact or a truth that is so opposite of everything they believe to be true that they can't incorporate the new information they have to hallucinate to create a new reality in which they can still be right all along even when the the the facts are clearly proven that

[8:15]

the the facts are clearly proven that they were wrong all along and what people will do instead of saying I will check your fact oh I guess your fact is right now that I have this new fact I will I will you know change my opinion that never happens instead they imagine a new reality and the most common one I'm seeing now is this gas lighting thing so it's actually a word that's been invented and I don't I'm not kidding about this this will sound like an exaggeration but it seems like a word which of course did had a real meaning that came from a movie etc but it's been repurposed that word gas lighting to be a word that's an escape valve for people who had their worldview just annihilated now you don't often see people have their worldview annihilated do you know why that is why is it that people rarely have their worldview on island it's

[9:15]

have their worldview on island it's because there are very few people who know how to do it most people are just arguing in the usual political way I say this you say this and and nothing happens it's just two people who are throwing facts at each other and fake news at each other and then they go away mostly people do not are never presented with an argument or a set of facts that actually just dismantles everything they believed it's very rare but I do it fairly regularly i dismantle people's entire worldview right in front of them in real time all the time it's because I'm a trained hypnotist right not everybody can do it in fact it's pretty rare but you've watched me do it and you you're watching me do it publicly with this fine people hoax now when people have their worldview annihilated and you actually show them the transcript then the transcript is unambiguous if you

[10:16]

the transcript is unambiguous if you look at it there's nothing else to say you can tell your entire worldview was just wrong so what do people say they say I'm gaslighting they actually hallucinate a word a world in which I'm making up an alternate reality for the intention of convincing them that they have a mental problem so they've convinced themselves that they can stop looking at the facts even when the facts are unambiguous here's the transcript you can listen to the actual video and see that it's at this accurate that's as that's as objective as you can get you can't get more objective than here's the transcript here's the video listen to it yourself
so people will retreat from the the fact case when they see that there's no there's no way to get out of it there the facts are so honor big ewis and they will start saying well you just drive the gas light us which is just a change

[11:17]

the gas light us which is just a change of subject and an entirely new imagined world in which I'm using my powers to make people think they're crazy now why would I be doing that well I don't know I guess they imagined I had to have some motive for making people artificially feel they're insane I don't know what that motive would be I would have to be a pretty evil person to have that kind of motive so when he when you see people say gas lighting it means that they have completely they've completely caved on the facts of this situation the other thing you see is the the word salad and then you see the people the other thing you'll see on the fine people hoax is that people will retreat to the following argument they'll say Scott yes I see what you're saying technically technically the president didn't call the actual marching neo-nazis find people but still anybody who shows up for a white supremacist

[12:20]

who shows up for a white supremacist rally is clearly a white supremacist Scott Scott Scott can't you see that anybody who shows up would have to be a white supremacist otherwise why would you go to a white supremacist rally unless you were a white supremacist well what's interesting about this this retreat to that position is that it makes the opposite assumption about Republicans then Democrats make every other minute of their life what is the primary thing that the people on the Left think about the people on the right what is the one thing they are positive is true about the people on the right go what is what is the one thing everyone on the Left thinks is generally true pretty much everybody on the right dumb you you get partial credit for saying

[13:22]

you you get partial credit for saying dumb and racist so yes they think the racist but they also think they're dumb right another educated etc but in this one situation the left has built this artificial world in their mind in which for just this one topic this one event the unite the right event that was in Charles Ville it's the only topic for which a hundred percent of the people on the right who saw what was going on interpreted it correctly here here are the names of the people that were on the flyer for the unite the right I get a read off the names of the people who are listed as speakers because this was the only clue that you would have that this was a racist event now some of the names on this list you and I will recognize as people who have racist histories but ask yourself this of the general public if you were to pick you know just a hundred

[14:23]

you were to pick you know just a hundred people randomly from the United States adults how many of the people and of a hundred would recognize even one name on this list and no knows something about that person right here are the names Mikey Enoch he's listed first as the speaker how many of you knew who Mike Enoch is I don't never heard of them second speaker was Augustus and victus have you ever heard him do you know about his terrible past I don't even know I don't know if he has a terrible past does he have no idea how many people out of 100 would recognize those names they were the top two names on on one of the versions of the Flyers I think there were different Flyers but people saw a different stuff then you get down to the ones that become more likely to be recognized Richard Spencer and Jason Kessler how many people in the United States would recognize those two names well if you're

[15:24]

recognize those two names well if you're a political junkie like I am and like many of you are because you want be watching this periscope unless you cared about politics I would say probably 75% of us are the people watching the people watching this periscope while I be asking of the people watching this periscope who are by far in the you know the most informed political people just by the factor that you're watching this periscope how many of you would recognize even those names how many have even heard those names before well for this group I'd say at least 75% for the public in general five percent I'm guessing that the number of people who would even have heard of these names and recognized them to be attached to something they didn't like would be something like 5 percent and yet the general assumption the general

[16:25]

yet the general assumption the general assumption on the left is that a hundred percent because this is important that it's important that it's a hundred percent because their whole worldview falls apart if it's only 98 percent is there anything you could say about a large gathering of Americans that would be true of a hundred percent of all the people who showed up for anything can you ever get a hundred percent of Americans to show up in a large group and they're all the same person or the same point of view that's never happened in the history but this is a one time so that's how the the folks who believe the finding people hoax they're trying to retreat to okay the the top line of the hoax is as a hoax he didn't call the neo-nazis find people he said the opposite in clear words but why did people show up and the answer is I talked to you personally two people with Jewish backgrounds who showed up to a neo-nazi rally let me say that again I

[17:27]

neo-nazi rally let me say that again I personally be Scott Adams I have personally talked to two people who showed up for this rally who are Jewish I think one is practicing one is Jewish bye-bye ground and both of them told me the same thing I didn't know what the hell's gonna go on there they were kind of surprised that they showed up at a neo-nazi rally now have you heard that in the news when you watched the press reports do you remember all of the press reports in which they interviewed people who showed up to the events you've never seen one you tell me and all the news about the Charlottesville event tell me how many people they interviewed who showed up four you know unless a on the opposing the statute or the supporting the statue side how many people did they talk to I'm not a reporter I've talked

[18:31]

talk to I'm not a reporter I've talked to two people personally and I have the name of another guy a black guy who showed up I haven't talked to him yet but I could contact him if I want to so I've done no research I just put it out there somebody wanted to contact me and sure enough I got contacted by people who attended the event now if you're on the left you have a little trouble believing that a Jewish guy showed up at a neo-nazi rally but if you've lived in the real world you know that if a bunch of people show up anywhere it's gonna be a diverse crowd they came for their own reasons half of them don't know why they're there some of them are there for exactly the right reasons many are there for yeah some are just locals who wandered by they had an opinion they didn't realize what kind of an offense it would be they thought it would be about statues they heard it from a friend there is no world in which a hundred percent of the people believe anything and the president's assumption that there were some people who were

[19:33]

that there were some people who were there for you know purer reasons is quite confirmed at this point all right people ask me why did I spend so much time in this because I spent much of yesterday slap it down the trolls who we still believe to find people hoaxes why do I spend so much time on it it's because it's not like other things it's not like other things the fine people hopes is like the load-bearing wall for the mental prison the tedious prison that people are in a lot of the other things that people believe that aren't true about President Trump kind of depend on this fine people hoax being true because if they can hold on to that one thing as being definitely true then all the other things they wonder about like well when he said countries was that racist or was he really just talking about the economic situation in those countries when it said ms-13 or animals was that really just talking about the criminals

[20:33]

really just talking about the criminals so so the fine people hoax is the load-bearing wall this supports many of the other hoaxes that's why it goes so hard at it and I am literally trying to correct history it's one of the most important points of history and will be reported forever about this president and about the people who supported them so part of this is about me being part of it's about you because you were being you're being stained by the same fake news as I am many of you are alright I I have this fascination with understanding the troll activity that comes at me when I when I talk about this sort of stuff so many of you have noticed if you watch my commenting elsewhere on Twitter you can see that if I'm saying non-controversial stuff all the people who were tracked with me or seemed to be actual human beings they can disagree they can agree but they

[21:34]

can disagree they can agree but they seem to be human beings when I say something like this that just dismantles a cherished hoaxes on the on the left there is what seems to be an organized and I'll get to why I think it's organized influx of trolls and the trolls are easy to identify because they they have a common approach and they have a common profile the first thing that you'll note is that their their profile is usually a cat or some kind of a cartoon image as soon as you see the cat or the cartoon image that that's the first tell for control now there are real people who just use the cat or use a cartoon so it's not it's not a guarantee that you're a troll if you have a cat or a cartoon in your profile but it's a flag so when I see that I like to okay who's this the next thing you do is you check the profile and the number of followers that they have is somewhere between 0 and 400 and

[22:38]

have is somewhere between 0 and 400 and usually closer to the 200 range because I'm imagining that the organized trolls follow each other so that they can all get to a couple hundred followers to make it look more real and then the and then the the most telling tell is that they come after the person always and never the argument so the people coming after me in my case they always have the same talking point they all say oh the Garfield guy oh the Garfield guy or sometimes we'll throw in Marmaduke or Family Circus so instead of addressing anything I've said and think how easy would be to address it I'm making a factual claim I'm showing the transcript it's just a fact argument you said a fact here's the transcript that prints the facts wrong they don't address the fact they come after me with what I think they imagine would be the most damaging thing they could do to me psychologically in other

[23:41]

could do to me psychologically in other words it's a psychological attack it appears to be organized and it appears that they're all looking at some kind of central source for what kind of an attack to use now that's the part that I can't say is I can't say that's organized for sure because I suppose it's possible that everybody has something same dumb idea at the same time and that's possible right well I don't see that identical troll by behavior on other topics you only see this very specific troll behavior on the topics that are wait for it the load-bearing walls when I go after something that's not important the trolls don't come out at all I will see exactly zero ax trolls of the kind I just described I'll see zero of them and as soon as I go after a load-bearing wall and I make

[24:41]

go after a load-bearing wall and I make a direct hint boom there's a flood of trolls so I'm pretty sure they're organized and I'm pretty sure that they're so evil that they intentionally have orders to come after the personality and not the facts so it's it's fascinating to watch them now the thing that they don't count on is that I'm not like ordinary people so if they think that shaming me off the platform is going to work well they don't know much about me because I use their activity to magnify my message so yesterday I posted my own blog post about the fine people hoax I don't like dozens and dozens and dozens of times two trolls who came after me because somebody's reading the trolls and every time I put it there it boosts my message and it puts my message which has a factual you know is backed

[25:41]

which has a factual you know is backed up by sources and facts against the trolls message which is you must be the Garfield guy I didn't know you were still working are you still alive so it's a really good contrast because there's just looks silly and small and it boosts my message so more trolls better pragma I'm watching the story switching topics here about the so-called heartbeat bills the bills that some states are I guess several states are introducing bills that would define a an unborn as as being alive this will say a fetus with a heartbeat they would say is alive and therefore you can't have an abortion so that's the intention of bills but of course those we'll both of the Supreme Court I assume they'll be challenged etc so so here's my question am I alone in

[26:44]

so so here's my question am I alone in thinking that the reporting on this situation is completely inadequate why is nobody putting this in context for me and here's the obvious question can like what what law is being let's see changed or modified by these new laws in other words is there enough room in the existing law and precedent for these states to make these changes I don't really understand and I don't see it in the news reports I don't quite understand how these state laws about the heartbeat bill can fit in or be compatible with or what it changes about Roe versus Wade like that there's no context so am I missing it do have any of you seen a good explanation of how these heartbeat bills are or not directly or indirectly opposed to Roe

[27:45]

directly or indirectly opposed to Roe versus Wade like does anybody tried to explain to you how they fit together like I've not seen that so I keep wanting to have an opinion but I can't form an opinion because it's just so obviously I'm under informed and I don't know why I don't know why the laws it's like that anyway there's a story about some publication showed in a poll that said that men are well people are having far less sex so there's way less sex happening and mostly it's among men so there's just a really big drop in men having regular sex and of course AOC weighed in and she said she said if you think your celibacy in quotes is due to quote female empowerment because that was one of the part of the speculation was there's female empowerment changes

[28:45]

was there's female empowerment changes the dynamic and you know it's everything from the are too tired because they're working and etc so part of the speculation was that something about women having a better life leads to men having less sex again that's not my opinion that's just what was reported a or C was criticizing that which i think is a fair fair criticism and then she goes on to say maybe maybe it's because far too many people relied on the disempowerment plus silence of women to not be celibate in the first place in other words she thinks that the great drop in men having sex is because they can't harass women sexually anymore so Mayo sees a u.s. whose opinion is that when you can't be full of Harvey Weinstein it takes 20% off of the the sex lives of men in general well you know the provocative thing about this is

[29:48]

know the provocative thing about this is she's probably not a hundred percent wrong so in terms of in terms of a or C's persuasion level and in terms of being a let's say directionally correct because I'm sure that you know it's not her point is not wrong it's just that it may not describe the whole picture it's just a small picture of a much larger thing but what amused me the most is that the most obvious explanations for this effect are just not mentioned and and I feel bad being the person who has to do it isn't there sort of a few more obvious potential explanations for the dramatic drop in sex lives of men is it kind of obvious there are a few that we should be talking about early speculation to say why that might be

[30:50]

speculation to say why that might be happening I'm gonna give you a few now I'm not going to tell you that these are the answer or that there's one answer I'm pretty sure it's a number of things so they're probably a lot of variables but the big ones that are not being mentioned is number one the quality of porn is going up and up and up and up and up and what I mean by that is that the ability to find exactly the kind of porn you want in unlimited amount went from almost zero let's say when I was a kid and when I was a kid even if you wanted to watch porn you could find like generic you know nudity and people having sex but the difference between generic porn and the exact thing that you want to see the the person you want to see doing the thing you want to see dress the way you want them to dress

[31:51]

dress the way you want them to dress saying the things you want them to say is about a million percent difference all right the difference between the very best thing you could ever watch on porn for you the thing that gets you personally is so different from watching generic naked people so the quality of porn has gone through the roof and appears to be continuing to improve because it's technology related of course it would at the same time the porn is increasing like this the value of each other as human sex people sort of declining the value of men for sex is going down and the value of women for sex is going down we are becoming less attractive to each other every year now if that's not immediately obvious let me give you some obvious reasons why I

[32:52]

give you some obvious reasons why I don't think I'm being unkind or cruel to point out that men are becoming feminized not all men not all man right there's nothing I'm gonna say that applies to all of you or every person or every man or every woman but in general men are becoming feminized because the culture is moving more female you know and again I'm not saying that's good or bad
bad I'm not gonna put an opinion on that might be good might be good for something bad for others I don't know I don't even have an opinion I'm just saying that men are becoming feminized as men become feminized do women want to have sex with them no no of course that we're not built like that if women became more masculine would men want to have sex with them so much no and that's not saying anything about the people who were more masculine I'm not insulting

[33:53]

were more masculine I'm not insulting the men or more more feminine this is there's no insult intended in this conversation I'm solidly in the camp who says that people come in all kinds and that you can't it just doesn't make sense to judge them we're all different I'm just pointing out the facts the landscape it used to be the people were more toward the middle you know women were solidly more female or tried to be or you know even if they weren't naturally they would try to be that way to present themselves men would try to be more masculine even if it wasn't how they felt so the things that would cause people to be inspired to have sex or far less than they were at the same time that the competition which is porn and sex toys and stuff are improving every day so it would be amazing if the amount of sex was the same but here's here's the best part and there was some article or study

[34:54]

and there was some article or study about this so the next thing I say is not original so this is not my idea it's just something I saw I can't remember where I saw it it's the idea that in an age of tinder where that you know the 20-somethings 30-somethings primarily ken can quickly look for sex partners based on primarily their picture who gets to decide who's having all the sex well women of course women largely get to decide who has sex because men are more likely to be ready if a wider variety of sex partners and women are a little more a lot more selective so because women are selective and men are a little less elected it ends up being the women making the choice you know yes or no to having sex with this person well what happens when you have a tinder or or just online dating in general if you're a woman and you're looking through the pictures do you pick the unattractive men why would you if

[35:57]

the unattractive men why would you if you're a woman and you've got all these men here's flipping through why would you ever pick an unattractive one even if you are unattractive you'd pick one that's the best one you thought you got it would be pretty good-looking you know or at least average and the men who were the attractive ones on tinder how many sex partners would they get a lot they would get as much as they want and it would absorb all the women who normally would have been distributed across the population so it leaves all of the men who don't look good in a picture without sex gives the primary way that people meet people who have sex is online and if and if your if your photo doesn't work online why would any woman ever contact you because they don't have to they can go up the they can go up the the alpha you know scheduled till they find something they like anyway so it should be fairly obvious that there are

[36:58]

should be fairly obvious that there are a variety of reasons why this has happened happening none of them are good dobar appointed an attorney to investigate the origins of the Russia investigation that's one of those stories that you just chuckle to yourself quietly if you'd like to join me for a reserved quiet chuckle I'm gonna I'm gonna read that same thing again and after I make this statement join me please for a reserved quiet chuckle here it comes Attorney General bar is appointing an attorney to investigate the origin of the Russia investigation wasn't that fun because there's not much else to say about it right yeah you know Stu early to know what that will what will happen but when you hear it all you can all you

[38:00]

but when you hear it all you can all you can think of is how the people on the left and especially the people involved we're going to be investigated how do they feel about it and thinking about how they feel about it I I don't want to find joy in their discomfort unless they had spent the last two years making me feel uncomfortable and and threatening to you know cart me off to jail with with President Trump so because I've been on the receiving end of this for two years I think it's worth a reserved chuckle I don't have much else to go to give you but that's what I got from them all right let's talk about some other things there's a report of drone attacks against Saudi pumping stations this is on top of the reports of the sabotage on to Saudi tankers so now there have been at least three attacks on Saudi oil

[39:01]

at least three attacks on Saudi oil operations what is missing in all the stories two attacks on savety tankers and one drone attack on their pumping stations what's missing in the story is it just me is there something missing in the story how about what's missing is who attacked them that's sort of important is it I I don't even see speculation where's the speculation you know are we assuming that Iran is behind it I mean that's that's where my mind goes to but why isn't the news at least saying some people think it's Iran or why isn't the news saying we're looking into it but for some reason it's hard to tell who it is
is isn't that conspicuously missing in this story there's no conversation about who it was as if that doesn't matter at the same

[40:01]

as if that doesn't matter at the same time we're moving you know our fleet into the Gulf yeah you know well why are we not talking about who did it or even speculation is there anything else we don't speculate on have you ever seen a story like this with no speculation if there's something wrong here so let me go on record as saying I don't want to see any military action until I have a lot better idea what the hell's going on over there all right I hope you with me on this no military action until we know what the hell's going on the stock market took a crap yesterday because of the ongoing trade war problems with China now I'll say this is clear even clearly as I can you should never take investment advice from cartoonists and

[41:03]

investment advice from cartoonists and I'm dead serious on that if you had taken my investment advice over your entire life well some of them wouldn't have worked out but some would not so don't do that that's that what is shaping up is a situation that I've only seen once before investment wise there was one time in my adult life when I should have bet a hundred percent of my net worth on one bet I didn't do it but if I had I think I would have maybe tripled my wealth and I looked at it at the time as a sure thing which is the rarest thing generally when you see something that's a sure thing you say to yourself I must be missing something nothing's a sure thing and you'd be right most of the time it's not a sure thing but here was that time and was a 2009 when the entire economy looked like it was going to fall apart in the stock market tanked and I said to myself I should sell all of my stocks all of my

[42:06]

should sell all of my stocks all of my assets and put it all into Wells Fargo Bank and here was my reasoning if we ever recovered Wells Fargo would you know would jump up in value if we never recovered even the banks would be worthless so if everything is going to be worthless including the banks it wouldn't matter where your money was because everybody would be wiped out we don't be dying and eating each other and becoming cannibals but if the economy went up in all the banks and especially the strongest Bank Wells Fargo would certainly have a great run so I thought to myself at the time what if I just sell everything I have and put it in Wells Fargo it would have to be the smartest least risky investment of all time and sure enough and what if I don't tripled my money if I done it but I didn't once again with this truck China trade talk it's a very similar situation but I do not suggest you sell all your

[43:09]

but I do not suggest you sell all your stocks or put all your money in this investment I'm only mentioning it to help you understand that having certain backgrounds certain educational or experience backgrounds might allow you to see the future better so just as I could see the future impact with that Wells Fargo investment I didn't make I can see the future now and I'm going to put it out there so that you can track it so you can see if I'm right or wrong and here's the prediction there is no scenario in which the United States and China don't reach some kind of working stable agreement now that stable agreement could be no agreement we just the market just adjusts to it you know companies some companies go out of business some relocate the the rest of the economy is doing fine maybe we barely notice so there are two possibilities one is that we just don't reach an

[44:10]

one is that we just don't reach an agreement and we just tariffs each other and companies adjust over time the other possibility is that we do reach an agreement maybe it's not perfect maybe it takes longer we think but it's going to get there so my point is that people who were buying stocked on the dip buying stock on the fear of China probably making a good investment don't take my advice don't buy stocks based on what I tell you but if I had to if I had to guess I would say that the trade talks are depressing the market unnecessarily which should be creating an almost unprecedented safe buying opportunity safe meaning that the odds of this potential problem turning into a real problem or about as close to zero as anything can be in our world that is unpredictable now the reason that you should not buy stocks based on this is

[45:10]

should not buy stocks based on this is that there are other variables so you could very easily put you know sell your house and put all your money in this because hey this cartoonist guy who's been right about a lot of stuff and he's saying that the China deal should not be worried about and so it'll go up the thing the reason not to do that is because there could be other things unrelated to any of this that could go bad at the same time so the market is not driven by one variable this just it just seems to me that people who buy stock during the dip are gonna be happy they did but that's not advice all right I hear the Trump is leading in four of the six battleground states versus Biden so a recent poll put Trump ahead in four out of six and the tooth day he's not ahead he's statistically somewhere so too close to call now remember I asked I think yesterday I asked if Biden was still campaigning kind of quiet on the

[46:12]

still campaigning kind of quiet on the Biden front isn't it you noticed how quiet it is do you think that's a coincidence do you think sleepy Jeff is not campaigning where is he how come he's now well you know why is he not on CNN
CNN why is he not on MSNBC where's Joe Biden the fact that Trump gave him this nickname sleepy Joe it looks like it's perfect because he doesn't seem to be putting the energy into it now let me ask you this why would that be is it because the media simply isn't focusing on it I mean it might be that could be the entire story it could be the media is just ignoring and it could be that he's just I know maybe he's doing some private fundraisers and he's just not making any news maybe that could be but here's what I think is happening and I'm just gonna speculate I think that privately the the kingmaker

[47:15]

think that privately the the kingmaker is on the left you know the people in the media the people who are you know important in democratic politics I think that when they're in a private room in a private conversation with each other they say something like this I'm starting to think that Joe Biden has no chance of winning because he's weak on the most important things what do people say about Trump he wants to build a wall therefore he's a big ol racist what does Joe Biden have in his background strong calls for building a strong border so that the main thing that they have on Trump they also have on video of Joe Biden saying the same damn thing now it was long ago but that doesn't change the fact that it's either racist or it isn't it doesn't matter that Joe in this particular case it's one of those rare

[48:15]

particular case it's one of those rare cases where it doesn't matter that he's changed this opinion because if he ever thought it that's good enough for political purposes the other thing that they don't like about Trump is his his character but Biden's got this touchy-touchy thing to the point where he's had to address it and and he's awkward in public imagine if Joe Biden had a female running mate Kamala Harris raviel's can you imagine all I would do is when they appeared together as I'd be looking to see if he touched her I wouldn't be looking at anything else it's all I've been looking at it's like oh that's an awkward hug can you imagine Joe Biden and Connell Harris onstage just get this gift get this image in your head it's their first appearance let's say he's chosen her for his vice presidential running mate it's their first appearance he comes up on the left she comes up on the right they're walking toward each other and

[49:16]

they're walking toward each other and they're gonna either get a hug or shake hands or they're gonna do something and they're walking toward each other what would you be doing as a viewer you'd be on the edge of your chairs like oh this is gonna be good I don't think she has exactly the warm personality and then he's hoping for is he gonna go for the handshake handshake in the air kiss is he gonna go for the hug if he hugs how long is he gonna hold her I mean it's it's just impossible for me to imagine that even the people on the left in private moments it's impossible for me to move in against this particular president he could win he could win against a lot of people but he matches up so poorly he's an old white guy he's got all the same problems as Trump and and the only thing that he might have some advantage in is the you know the green New Deal stuff and he's decided to

[50:18]

green New Deal stuff and he's decided to take the middle-of-the-road even aoc doesn't like him I mean if you can't even get a OC on your side and you're a Democrat do you have any chance so I have the feeling that that there are very few Democrats who want to give Biden a lot of attention because they don't feel he can make it to the finish line in this seems to me that the press the anti-trump press has figured that out and that the more time they give to Biden the less chance there is for somebody who might have a chance to rise up and take Trump so let me generalize this I believe that there will be a sense of despair there will be the last year of the election cycle so the year 2020 starting at around January 2020 is going to be this national depression like none

[51:19]

to be this national depression like none we've ever seen in which the folks hadn't left realize a year in advance that it's not going to work out because I think that's gonna happen I think the polls are gonna start to show that nobody can touch Trump it wouldn't matter who it was and Biden would have any chance somebody says Mark Cuban might swoop in maybe maybe Mark Cuban will swoop in have you noticed that Mark Cuban has been very quiet lately does anybody noticed that who has been quieter than Mark Cuban well lots of people are quiet but you expect other people to be quiet do you know who you don't expect to be quiet Mark Cuban so I would say keep an eye on him might be some surprises coming I don't think I don't think Mark Cuban thinks he can win against Trump for root

[52:20]

thinks he can win against Trump for root out in 2020 but the election after that I think he might take seriously all right I've noticed I've used this phrase cognitive blindness before now the way I use it sort of something I made up maybe somebody else is used to term but the way I'm using it is that there are some ideas that are so counter to what we imagine about the world that we actually can't see them like you could actually hand it to somebody and they would be just actually blind to it they couldn't see something that you handed them if it was so contrary to the world view and I'm noticing that with the issue of nuclear energy and the green New Deal it is completely objectively
unambiguously true that nuclear has to be a gigantic part and maybe the most important part but at least a gigantic part of any kind of a climate change

[53:20]

part of any kind of a climate change response and the fun part is that nuclear energy should be just as important and just as push just as much even if climate change isn't a problem it turns out to be this one of these rare situations where the solution is exactly the same no matter what your assumptions are I mean how often does that happen right but when do you have one solution that fits a variety of assumptions that's pretty rare and so I noticed that people on the left are having cognitive blindness - even the topic and the way that you can see that is that somebody will say green new do we need green Y or do we need to do something about the climate somebody else will say yes and nuclear is the answer because it's safe now we figured out how to do it safely and it's the only thing that can scale up and give us all the solutions now what does the person who said green new deal say next nothing they won't say the

[54:22]

deal say next nothing they won't say the word nuclear they won't address what the other person said and they will react as though no conversation had just happened you're gonna see this a lot now somebody just mentioned got it had a big I've seen it twice now on the five TV show the five on Fox News now they have wad Williams represents the left on their panel of of other people who are libertarian or right leading and we see we've seen one do it twice you'll say you know the administration has no plan at all for climate change Greg and Jesse at least I don't know maybe Dana sent it to but but it's pointed out loudly and and repeatedly nuclear nuclear the administration is pro-nuclear that is the plan it's the only plan it's the only thing that can work to that effect and what does one do he

[55:23]

to that effect and what does one do he looks at them he listens and then he starts talking as though a hadn't happened as if as if there had been no words in the air and it's really fun to watch because you're seeing you're seeing a genuine cognitive dissonance kind of reaction where he can't incorporate the idea that the thing he thinks is going to destroy the world has already solved now I say already solved meaning that there's an obvious path forward it has everything you need for a solution we could choose not to do it but you don't have to ask whether we have a solution because we have a solution we just have to decide to use it but watch how often you'll see that in other interviews I think watch for other panel discussions let's say any CNN show if there if you see a CNN show in which there's a panel of left-leaning people when they have you know maybe one person

[56:24]

when they have you know maybe one person Steve Cortez or somebody you know one person representing the the pro-trump side of the world watch when that person mentions nuclear energy and watch the other people not argue against it and not accept it but act like it didn't happen that's why you want to watch for it's fascinating now there's one thing that could break this cycle his name is President Trump if President Trump decided to completely kill this topic and own it and take it off the table just vanquish the topic I mean own the topic lay in a way that nobody's ever owned a topic before like just come in and just dominate it all you have to do is one tweet nuclear's the answer we're working on it here's a link to some of the things we're doing to to support the nuclear industry yeah

[57:25]

to to support the nuclear industry yeah that's it this is the way to solve climate or even if it's not a problem it's the same solution some kind of a tweet from the president that's pro-nuclear and says even the green New Deal people should love it because you can't ignore the president if the president says nuclear energy is the way to deal with a climate problem or even not a climate problem he'd have to word it so it's compatible with things he said before they can't ignore it at that point they could ignore for me they can ignore it from you know Greg Gutfeld they can ignore it from any pundit but they can't ignore it if the president says it now I don't know why the president hasn't said it yet because it's you know based on what his administration is doing what the Department of Energy is doing under Perry it's unambiguously clear that they're pro-nuclear but there must be some decision-making that's going on about not including that in their messaging so

[58:27]

not including that in their messaging so from a communication perspective apparently the White House has decided it's not a message they want to sell even though with one tweet and I mean this literally the president could with one tweet that was unambiguously pro nuclear energy if it showed some knowledge that the generation 3 and 4 are safe which would be the important part because the public doesn't know that yet they think they think nuclear energy is the old technology they don't know that there's never been a mistake with generation 3 never there's never been a meltdown in generation 4 will be all you know essentially on meltdown a bulb you know won't even be an option with that design so if he could show some knowledge that that's the case put it in a tweet put it in an announcement it would completely upend the entire conversation and from that point on the Left would be nothing left by health

[59:29]

Left would be nothing left by health care basically they would have health care to talk about that's it and I think the president could take a big bite out of that before the election day two so
somebody says you need to change the word nuclear yeah maybe but you know I'm never a never in favor of persuasion that is so on the nose you know I don't like calling the missile a patriot missile you know I don't like giving things cute names because everybody knows what it is you know everybody understands what you're talking about so it's I find a bad persuasion to try to trick people with a word when they know they're being tricked it just it just feels so ham-handed then I think maybe it works and works in the wrong way it decreases your credibility so I hear what you're

[1:00:30]

your credibility so I hear what you're saying I just think in this case it's just a little too too manipulative you know if you can't sell this by describing what it actually is because what it actually is is frickin amazing right the the actual reality with the right facts should sell this thing like nothing's ever been sold it's an easy sale you should use any word you want and it should be able to sell it just the same because it is that clean a message and just that clear and obvious thing to do all right I think that's all I was talking about let me just look at my notes here for a moment yes I think I have talked about it all all right yeah somebody says is agreeing with me it doesn't look like they're yeah don't look like you're trying to fool people that's a bad look it's one thing to be persuasive and people know you're being persuasive but that whole word thing

[1:01:32]

persuasive but that whole word thing it's like oh well use a different word for it just this is too amateurish all right somebody says it must be a downside to generation 4 I mean there's a downside to everything but not a downside like there are four other technology so it would be whatever it is would be on the small side Garfield energy alright I'm going to go now and I will talk to you all later