Episode 486 Scott Adams: HOAXES, Buttigieg, Healthcare, Israel, Candace Owens, More

Date: 2019-04-10 | Duration: 50:24

Topics

Ted Lieu’s despicable, out of context clip sliming Candace Owens Pete Buttigieg, the new media endorsed Democrat candidate
Zapping nuclear waste with a laser to neutralize it’s danger Bill Gates promoting Gen IV SAFE nuclear power options NO danger of meltdown CAN safely burn existing nuclear waste for its fuel Healthcare and President Trump…waiting for the 2020 elections Persuasion: A+ Grade: F (he has no plan so far)
Healthcare plan suggestion… Competition is what’s badly needed Allow people to buy into Medicare at reduced rates? Existing plans would need to compete with Medicare plan
Medical technology startups for consumer cost reductions Technology reduces costs, improves results 12% of people say CNN isn’t politically biased…wow Prime Minister Netanyahu wins election DEBUNKING Update: Showing people the “Fine People” HOAX The afflicted push back when shown it was clearly a HOAX The “Hoax Funnel” I use for debunking the HOAX President Trump’s recent firing of cabinet people CONCEPT: The bad day strategy of aggregation Obama is a REALLY BORING public speaker Nobody realized that, till we saw President Trump speak

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> [!note] Rough Transcript
> 
> This is an auto-generated transcript and may contain errors.

## Transcript

[0:04]

but in pom pom pom pom pom pom pom pom pom pom pom hey Janice come on in here I hope you have for your beverage and the rest of you gather round there's still space come on be near jdj yes Tyler Brad Andrew and Jen it is time Ryan and John and and Tony it is time for the simultaneous it grab your cup your classroom ugh your dying you're jealous your tankard your thermos your flask fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join before the unparalleled pleasure of the simultaneous sip oh it's better when you make the sound afterwards just being grateful grateful to the day alright let us start with my

[1:09]

to the day alright let us start with my favorite story of the day I hope you all saw Candace Owens just to use a to use Jack pasaba --ks term in this tweet Candace Owens just absolutely torched Ted live in the MV testimonies now if you haven't if you haven't seen it yourself it's just one of the greatest things you'll ever see live you know in terms of political activity so the setup here is as some time ago there was an event in which Candace Owens made some kind of a Hitler reference when explaining how nationalism that she sees that the American kind of nationalism has nothing to do with Hillary alright so what she was saying in context if you understand what she was saying and here the whole question in the year the context is that American nationalism has nothing to do with whatever Hitler was

[2:10]

nothing to do with whatever Hitler was doing perfectly acceptable statement nothing to say about it ted Lieu totally catches her by surprise I was but I would say and plays the clip out of context and if you just hear the clip out of context it makes it seem in and I have to be honest it makes it seem to dumb people right nobody smart would have this interpretation but dumb people here at and the context and they say wait a minute I think Candice Owens just praised Hiller now let me say a few things if there's one rule that can help you a lot in understanding the world and what is true and what is not true and it's the Scott Alexander rule and they talk about this all the time Scott Alexander being the nom de plume of a anonymous blogger who first introduced

[3:10]

anonymous blogger who first introduced me to this idea and the idea is that when you see a news story that on its surface seems impossible almost every time you're going to find out it wasn't true so here's the example just a perfect example so ted Lieu in front of the world believes that he's found the only black woman in the United States who's willing to praise Hitler in public knowing that she's a political figure and that her job is to talk in public and ted Lieu believes that a young educated black woman stood in front of people with the cameras rolling in public and praised hillier ted Lieu thought that happened now did you need to hear the full context of Candace's actual comments to know that that never happened no you should not even need to

[4:15]

happened no you should not even need to hear the details of the story you should just hear the story and say an educated successful black woman whose in public for a living and knows that she's in public and talking and that everybody's gonna report what she says and you're reporting that she praised Hitler no you don't need to dig into the details you you don't need to know the details to know that didn't happen and indeed it did not happen so ted Lieu and i usually don't say this about people who are just playing politics and you know they're they're taking they're taking in the team sports seriously so there's some amount of ted Lieu that i can handle and in fact he and i have traded some tweets and although we disagreed most things he seemed like a nice guy you know just on twitter you seemed like a nice guy just doing his political best to support his team but

[5:19]

political best to support his team but this time he crossed the line oh my god this is not politics what ted Lieu attempted and failed to do to candice Owens is not politics it's just despicable or it's mental illness and I'm not sure I can tell which one it is but there are only two possibilities that I can think of there may be other possibilities as well that I can't think of you always have to keep that possibility open but the two explanations for what Ted did were either that he's a horrible human being who doesn't care about the health of the country or the well-being of people in general I mean just you want interpretation that would explain the facts would you be these just one of the worst people who's ever lived I mean what he did if that if he knew it was not true and he did it anyway that is despicable on a level that we rarely see

[6:22]

despicable on a level that we rarely see and so I don't think that's what happened right consistent with my Scott Alexander theory I'm going to say that the most the most outlandish explanation of what happened there is that ted Lieu knew exactly what he was doing and did it anyway now you can't say there's no chance of that happening but you also can't say there's no chance that a educated successful black woman who talks in public for a living praise Hitler I mean it didn't happen and you should have known it didn't happen as soon as you've heard it but likewise let's take the same thinking let's be consistent let's take it to Ted is it likely that he knew it was fake he knew that she did not praise Hitler and that he did it anyway in public and knowing of course knowing that he would give fried for it

[7:23]

give fried for it maybe maybe so people are saying Scott you're naive what I'm saying is that the most predictive rule you'll ever see is that if it looks really really unlikely that that could be true it probably isn't not every time but almost surely it isn't because the other explanation is totally ordinary all right you have an extraordinary explanation that he said this in public knowing it's false no politicians live in public all the time but this particular one was so awful that you'd really have to think twice before doing this intentionally maybe maybe he did but there's an ordinary explanation that he's just like everybody else who is an anti Trump er and he's experiencing an actual hysteria we know that that's universally not universally but it's massively true for

[8:24]

universally but it's massively true for lots of people all right so I don't think there's any question that a lot of people fall into that category so I'm going to accept as probably true don't know for sure can't read his mind but probably he's acting in the most normal ordinary way that we've seen lots of people act which is he believes that happened they actually believed that that a an educated black woman who talks in front of people for a living praise Diller actually believes that now that is scary but it's also ordinary because you can see lots of other people believing a variety of hoaxes about Trump but I wanted I just needed to if you haven't seen it I just need to play the clip because you're gonna see one of the greatest public demonstrations I don't know just public mastery you're ever gonna see so I'll set it up for you so so Candice

[9:26]

so I'll set it up for you so so Candice here's her self get slimed by ted Lieu and if she can't speak right away because the rules allow other people to speak before she gets her say-so by the time she gets to talk you can see from the longer video you can see that she's just seeing like there you can see the you can see the power kind of welling up inside her you know you it's just wonderful to watch just her her actual expression because you can see just the power forming uh-huh and then what she talks she just kills it she just slays him she was lying and it's just a play to remember the

[10:44]

and it's just a play to remember the committee all right I had to tap to stop there so Nadler interrupts her and says you can't speak disparagingly of of somebody and so it and so nether old nadz as i like to call them thinks that Candace just called ted Lieu stupid that didn't happen so net ler actually is experiencing a hallucination right in public he imagines the Candace said something that she clearly didn't sank what she said is that Ted Lou is smart because well not I I guess this is the wrong way to put it or that she's accusing him of trying to be clever in assuming that black people will not go and check the full video now she's right and so is ted Lieu people were not gonna go check the video we are but most people won't right so she's right about

[11:46]

people won't right so she's right about that so watch so first of all you see you know Nadler push her off her for a game right so she starts talking she gets them to her zone and he just pushes her off her game now watch her recover
you know watch purposefully extracted he cut off and you didn't hear the question that was asked of me he's trying to present as if I was launching a defense of Hitler in Germany when in fact the question that was asked of me was for turning to whether or not I believed that Hitler was a whether or not I believed in nationalism and that nationalism was bad or what I responded to is I do not believe that we should be

[12:46]

to is I do not believe that we should be characterizing Hitler as a nationalist he was a homicidal psychopathic maniac that killed his own people a nationalist would not kill their own people that's exactly what I was referring to in the clip and he purposely wanted to give you a cut up similar to what they do to Donald Trump to create a different narrative that was unbelievably dishonest and he did not allow me to respond to it which is worrisome and should tell you a lot about where people are today in terms of trying to drum up narratives by the way I would like to also add that I work for Prager University which is run by an Orthodox Jew on a single Democrat showed up to the embassy opening in Jerusalem I sat on a plane for 18 hours to make sure that I was there I'm deeply offended by the insinuation of revealing that clip without the question that was asked of me oh god that's good so good how old is she
she I imagine when she is 55 I meant you know that that's that skill level just you know she's 29 just fast forward that

[13:47]

you know she's 29 just fast forward that in your mind she's 30 fast forward that in your mind to how good she is gonna be a 55 because she's already better than everybody in that room I mean she's she's testifying to Congress and making them look like idiots very entertaining all right now let me get a few other topics here we got a lot going on while ago I said that Kamala Harris seemed to be the Pick of CNN and the mainstream media they seem to be sending her love letters but she has gotten forgotten she's been forgotten lately and so I asked myself have they soured on her now there's no rule that says that the mainstream media can't be for somebody in the beginning and then change the mind if that person doesn't get any attraction and that looks like that might be happening it appears and we'll have to keep watching but they're starting to be a hint a little bit of a clue that Pete Buddha g-button gg am I saying that correctly might be the new

[14:49]

saying that correctly might be the new chosen one here's why that makes sense remember that the Democratic Party is the party of identity you've got your women you've got your black people your Hispanics your every other minority you've got your LGBTQ so each of these entities within the Democratic Party want to have their voice heard they would like to have a leader who is like them the two biggest categories I would think would be women who would have most power I would think and the black voters who are who also are big enough unified block the way they vote that they're also super powerful if you get both the black vote and the woman vote on the Democrat side you're in good shape because you probably get the gay vote too because the Democrats you know seem seem more suited for that community and so that would be a good solid group but if you

[15:52]

would be a good solid group but if you don't have the right candidate and your candidate who who checks the right boxes come lares is woman she's a person of color that's that's a strong package and she's a good you know she's got experience she's good on camera but she's boring and I don't know if the news wants to cover a boring a boring candidate or even worse a boring president it's just boring so if you're the Democrats and you can't decide can we get enough people to black to back a black candidate let's say cory booker can we get enough people to back a woman candidate let's say Elizabeth Warren or anybody else and if the answer is no what do you do if you still want to win I think you picked the compromise candidate I think you picked the gay guy because he first of all he's probably the only star as far as I can tell

[16:53]

far as I can tell Buddha Gee Gee is the only one who's got some star quality you know to say some things that get him some information I'm sorry to get him some attention and I would not be surprised if the Democrats decide that he's sort of the compromise and as weird as this sounds I'm gonna say it you know with love there's no what I'm gonna say now I'm not this is no insult intended so if you imagine there is that would be your imagination it seems that women and black Democrats may compromise that gay is as close as they can get to to either being black all of them now don't take that too literally all I'm saying is that he might be the one person everybody can agree on because at least you don't get your straight white male president if he wins right at least you've got something

[17:55]

wins right at least you've got something at least she got something so I would keep an eye out for Buddha gg buddy gg being the new media favorite we'll see if he catches on there is a nonzero chance that the simulation who will will serve up a Democratic ticket that is buddy gg and SWA well I'm not going to add a joke because it would be inappropriate but I'm just telling you that the simulation might serve that up and then you'll hear some bad jokes but I'm not gonna make anything I'm just saying that that might be coming all right
I've been I've been saying to people let me back up a little bit so yesterday i retweeted a tweet that Jack Dorsey tweeted it was an article from the Atlantic I guess and the article was

[18:58]

Atlantic I guess and the article was about a guy who's trying to figure out if he can he can codify some rules for discussions and debate if he come up with some techniques some guidelines some way to more productively debate each other because as you but as you know you've been watching and you can see that you can see that people don't really debate each other they debate at cross-purposes and one of his speculations the person in this Atlantic article is that people such as artists can't can't isolate isolate problems in other words they are combiners by nature so they see everything is connected whereas there some people who can isolate a variable people like scientists people like economist people like engineers and the

[19:59]

economist people like engineers and the idea is that once you could recognize in the public that there's some people who just can't do that you'll understand why they're trying to have the same conversation but they're not and I'll give you my example I I've been saying to people online on Twitter that I oppose President Trump putting children in Obama cages now you see what I'm doing there right I'm personal branding the Obama cages because I think most of them are if not all of them were built during the Obama administration and there were kids in it but for different reasons now people argue and they say why why are you blaming this all on Obama don't you know the president Trump put kids in cages to which I say I just said that I said I oppose President Trump putting children in Obama cages and the people

[21:00]

children in Obama cages and the people who are the artists shall I say camp can't process it because they live in the world where Obama good Trump bad and they don't live in a world where someone like me could say maybe they both need to have done better why can't I say I wish Obama had not put anybody in the cage I also wish president Trump would put nobody in the cage now I don't have the better idea if you're asking me hey Scott what are you gonna do instead of this because you know there are too many people and if you don't do this or that you've got other problems to which I say totally true it's not an easy problem to solve it wasn't easy for Obama it's not easy for Trump and he's got more more people coming none of us good but it's also not my job I'm not the president and as a citizen I get to criticize my presidents so for me

[22:02]

get to criticize my presidents so for me it's a fair statement to say oppose President Trump putting children in Obama cages but watch what people resent how people respond to that they can't get around the fact that you would dislike it in both cases and they can't get around the fact that Trump's doing it but there are Obama cages just watch how people try to process it if you see somebody who can instantly sort those out if you see somebody who can you can isolate those and say oh yeah it's true that Obama did this it was that situation it's true the Trump did this slightly different situation it's both immigration but they had slightly different situations and different numbers of people if you see anybody who's smart enough to break it down like that probably you can end up agreeing but if somebody just can't even process the fact that you could say that both of them should not have put kids in cages but you don't have you don't have a

[23:02]

but you don't have you don't have a better idea you you can watch people spin it's fun alright in no particular order there's a story that there's a Nobel Prize winner so some a scientist that we can take seriously won a Nobel Prize who says that in several years he believes they can figure out how to use lasers to neutralize nuclear waste in days so instead of waiting thousands or hundreds of years for your nuclear waste to decay the scientist is pretty sure that with a few years of work a few years might be ten years but but from an engineering perspective it looks doable they can actually zap the waste with a laser and neutralize it now I'm not saying that will necessarily work you know anytime you hear a report of something that they think they can do in ten years you have to take that with a grain of salt it might be a flying car

[24:04]

grain of salt it might be a flying car sort of thing I only mentioned it because when you're trying to predict 80 years into the future you can't because people inventing stuff you didn't see coming how many of you would have would have said well if we're gonna look 80 years in the future you should certainly calculate that in ten years we'll probably be able to use a laser on our nuclear waste to to make it safe nobody would have thought of that all right that's how the future is it's completely unpredictable because of developments such as that all right you may have heard the let's talk a little bit more about generation four so it's not my imagination is it that there are more and more people who are talking about generation for nuclear now I think Bill Gates gets most of the credit here because I understand he did do a tour through Washington in which you talk to important people and made his case I'm

[25:05]

important people and made his case I'm sure he was persuasive right because as Bill Gates comes to talk to you about nuclear you listen you listen and you should so probably he primed the pump within the government and when you know Mark Snyder and I and others on Twitter are trying to educate people on the fact that a generation four is safe from meltdowns it's designs of meltdowns can't happen even if everything goes wrong in that they eat the nuclear waste from existing nuclear sites you know those are those are pretty hard to refute we would need some development but I'm sure we can get there so I feel pretty optimistic that the green nuclear deal will inevitably become a bigger part of the solution you know we can we can certainly do that if we want to all right

[26:05]

right I have criticized President Trump for saying that he's gonna wait on health care that he's gonna wait and I've said that's that's know waiting is not a policy you get an F for help for health care so I've graded the president and F in healthcare because he has no plan even a bad plan is better than no plan at all now he says he's gonna come up with a plan and I was critical of that I felt like just abdicating his responsibility but I've thought about it a little longer and I'm gonna I'm gonna adjust my opinion it is still a failing grade that there's no planned so I still give the president an F for health care because he doesn't have a plan but from a political point of view it probably is exactly the right thing to wait as long

[27:06]

exactly the right thing to wait as long as possible I hit I don't like it I don't like it but it's almost certainly true that he should wait as long as possible before giving any details because if he does alternately come up with any details close to the election then you still have something to talk about and you will forget that he used to have no details so as long as he does it he's still going to be able to recover from the fact that we thought he was failing right up to the time he comes up with a plan once he comes up with a plan then you can criticize it of course and people will but until then he's got all the Democrats are going to be coming out with their damn dumbass plans and let's face it they're not going to be practical plans and they're all going to be attacking each other and he's going to be attacking them but nobody can attack his plan because he doesn't have one he doesn't have one so

[28:06]

doesn't have one he doesn't have one so it probably makes perfect sense politically to let the Democrats get out there and just get savaged for every idea that they come up with until he sees what works and what doesn't so by the time the president comes up with whatever he comes up with and not being optimistic that he'll come up with anything but if he does it's going to be the result of having seen all the stuff that didn't work in the public's opinion that's a gigantic advantage gigantic and so
so I'm gonna give him a persuasion maybe it might be an A+ in terms of political decisions in terms of what's good for the country you would like to see the plan and if he doesn't ever come up with on it's just stays an ass so it's great as an F but politically I can't say it's a bad decision just ran as she was let me toss out a plan all right I'm gonna

[29:11]

me toss out a plan all right I'm gonna toss out a plan but I have to check one message first make sure that okay here's my plan for a Republican health care plan and I don't claim this is a good plan this is plan I want to throw out and see how you react to it so here here would be the approach the approach would be to say instead of going in and fixing every little detail of health care the best you can do because it's so complicated and nobody really understands it is to fix every instance in which there is not a market competitive situation so in other words the Republican plan could be nothing more than whatever it takes to improve the competitive situation if they only did that that they'd have a pretty strong case it wouldn't be an immediate benefit but people could see well that makes sense all of our problems are because the competitive situation with health care

[30:12]

competitive situation with health care is broken so if you could just fix what makes it competitive you'd have a good argument even if it wasn't a good plan so here's my suggestion suppose you just added one option which is that you could buy into and pay for Medicare so you keep the free Medicare for the old people just the way it is no change but you add an option that somebody can pay a younger person can simply pay and buy into it but here's the thing the price for the people buying in would be below market rates and it would be even if had to be artificially set it will be set below market and you also keep all of the private plans exactly the way they are so now you've created a situation where the private plans will have to compete against the by in Medicare plan where the costs per month is lower than the private plans so they're gonna have to

[31:13]

private plans so they're gonna have to work on their cost structure or else they're gonna lose X number of people who said you know my private plan is definitely better the private plan is better what is more expensive and I need to save money so I'm gonna go with the one that's say 25% cheaper as soon as you do that you've created a situation where the private industry has to compete harder and here's the benefit it's simple I just explained an idea to you and you all understood it and the moment you understood it you said my god competition was the problem we can't we can't dig into every detail of of how the you know everything works and who the insurers are who's in the middle and payments and the government making decisions so why don't we change nothing except adding a price tag for an opt-in option for Medicare then Medicare can

[32:15]

option for Medicare then Medicare can slowly improve the the private industry can slowly approve and then at the same time you're working on lowering the costs for the entry-level version of health care now as I've said before companies like mine interface by one hub we've got an app where you can talk to any expert for a fee these could be health care experts in fact we have doctors on there now that you could get a second opinion or a first opinion so the technology will continue making low-cost healthcare workable by by creating lower cost techniques so apparently there are a number of sensors and tests devices you can attach to your phone now to make your phone practically a Star Trek Corder you know you can do everything from your AG's dear you know I think you can do maybe some blood sugar tests and stuff so pretty soon if you don't have a

[33:17]

stuff so pretty soon if you don't have a job but you do have a phone you're gonna have 75% of what you need for healthcare in terms of expertise so anyway the point would be that if the Republican plan look like increasing competition and they could do that in a number of different ways it might be a package of let's say ten changes they might be executive orders they might be recommendations for Congress to change the law but in every case the only point of any of the changes is to improve market competition there there's no other objective and and that would be a suggestion for a plan anyway it's got to be simple and it's got to be something that can improve on its own over time and what I described might get you there all right I saw there's no study that said only 12 percent of Americans believe CNN is not biased and has no

[34:17]

believe CNN is not biased and has no political leanings so 12 percent of people said CNN is not politically biased and I thought to myself who the hell are these 12 percent what where do you find 12 percent of the public who believes that CNN is not biased how the hell is there anybody who has that opinion that's the only comment and that was that it was funny if you're following the news from Israel you know that they had a big election and the news as far as I understand that they may still be counting some votes but I understand their Prime Minister Netanyahu has won enough support to remain Prime Minister what they haven't reported is that apparently Hillary won the popular vote that's just my joke all right do what you will with that that's my joke in the day I also wondered if Russia

[35:19]

day I also wondered if Russia interfered you know President Trump is being accused of interfering in Israel's election because he he made some agreements about recognizing the Golan Heights just about you know ahead of the election which would be good for Netanyahu so people say hey president Trump you interfered in Israel's election and yeah I think you could make a case of that but I wondered wouldn't Russia want to interfere with that election and if not why not wouldn't wouldn't Russia have an enormous interest in what happens in Israel now I don't know if Russia would prefer NAND Yahoo or prefer the other one I don't know but it seems like they would have interfered I mean why wouldn't they wouldn't they what would stop them they have that they have an interest they have the ability I think they would so I wonder if I'll ever hear

[36:22]

they would so I wonder if I'll ever hear anything about that let's say I wanted to talk to you about my my hoax funnel so I call this the hoax funnel and I use it for the fine people hoax which is popping up even again today and I've been commenting to people so when I come in to people that their belief that Trump every called the racists in Charlottesville find people I always take them on a journey that is weirdly predictable if you say to somebody oh you read you you fell for a you fell for a hoax here's the transcript and you can see in clear words that Trump says I'm not talking about the neo-nazis and white supremacists they should be totally condemned so you show them that you can see that their

[37:23]

show them that you can see that their belief that he had not said those exact words is falsified they can play the video they can look at the transcripts and they'll be completely convinced that their prior believe that the president called the racists fine people was false but do they then say my god I've been fooled by the media I changed my opinion you are thank you so much thank you for correcting me they never say that almost a hundred percent of them say the same thing and if you've been watching we trying to straight people out straighten people out on Twitter you know they say the same thing they say but those people were marching with the neo-nazi so nobody marches with the neo-nazis unless they're you know racist and then I say there's no evidence of anybody marching with the racists you've just hallucinatin a second thing so then I

[38:24]

hallucinatin a second thing so then I say no they were simply in the same zip code for entirely different reasons and here's an article from the New York Times where they interviewed one of the people who cared about the historical monuments did not March with the races and do not like races in fact what are their group one of the people in the group was black so are you believing that there was a black guy marching with the tiki torch neo-nazis is that what you think and then I show another article where there's a greater discussion of that group so they apparently go wherever they're historical monuments and free speech issues and that's their deal they don't really care about the topic so much that's the free speech so once I've demonstrated that there were in fact people who were not the racist not marching with them and were there for constitutional support reasons what do

[39:26]

constitutional support reasons what do people say did they say oh my god I've been hoaxed twice once when I believed that he called the marchers fine people and once when I believed that there was no one else there who could have been described as a fine people do they say that now never what they say is but Scott nobody goes to an event that was advertised as a white supremacist neo Nazi event unless they're a little bit neo-nazi etc and of course there's there's no support for that and the people who did go give their reasons they go to other things for the same reasons it's very clear that that's that's not a parent but usually they say they'll end up on something like when I've taken them down the hoax fun so the funnel is at the top they say I called races find people and then no no well okay they he didn't mean the races

[40:28]

well okay they he didn't mean the races but he meant the people marching with them okay they weren't marching with them but there they must be racist because well okay they were just there her free speech and historical supportive monuments you know it's like so it's like being against Isis right nobody likes the monuments to be taken down although I'm gonna post a month to the Confederate statues personally that's just me now once you take them down they will usually get to the point where they just say okay anybody was in favor of racist Confederate monuments in their view must be not a good person to which I say thank you for admitting that you got you got conned by this hoax because you started out saying that the that the president talked about the marching people and you ended up with just an opinion about statues so that's the hoax funnel I always take him down and I did something funny when I was correcting somebody's hopes today I

[41:29]

correcting somebody's hopes today I forget his name some blue cheque guy and I told him his argument ahead of time and I left a tweet thread you can see that it's at the top of my Twitter which I tell him what he's gonna say next and then I tell him the response and then I tell him what he's gonna say next on the response to that it's kind of funny you should see him alright let's talk about Trump and all of his firings of his advisers and cabinet people now the news as reported that Trump is his usual impulsive chaos doesn't know what he's doing he's firing everybody it's a it's a massive layoff blah blah blah to which I say have I ever taught you my trick of never wasting a bad day I've taught you that right so those of you have been following me for a while you know I've talked about this if you have a really bad day and there's nothing you can do about it there's

[42:30]

nothing you can do about it there's something that's gonna happen that day or let's say you have to let's say you have to fire somebody if you have to fire somebody it's usually a bad day for you too because it's that's not fun right nobody likes to fire people it's a bad day for you too and there's nothing you can do about it because you've decided you're going to do it what's the best thing you can do that day fire everybody who needs to get fired not everybody who exists but you should do them all at the same time because your day is gonna suck if your day is gonna suck anyway get it all out do all of the unpleasant stuff right away just get it done because you know the president would've got picked to death for every person he fired I just did it all at once just fire a bunch of people make some big changes just get it all done and then the media gets sort of lost in the details it's like well there was

[43:30]

the details it's like well there was this guy and this this woman and this person and that person and then it just becomes this weird detail story that nobody cares about so I think that you cannot distinguish from the outside what is chaos and randomness in the White House from what is the most rational strategy that I've ever used which is I bunch up you know I batch up all of my bad activities and do them at the same time so I don't have the bad a month I'll just put it in a week put it in a week and I'm done all right
I think those are the main things I've got to say anybody have any questions
somebody was funny they said I think it's clear that it's the beginning of the end for a drum oh I'll take that as

[44:33]

the end for a drum oh I'll take that as a joke and not reality how does a passive fail system work so that's a question about generation four how can you have a situation in which everything could go wrong and you would not have a meltdown I'll give it to you in a in a high-level explanation and I'll let March nighter correct me if I get the the high-level exclamation wrong my understanding is that the old nuclear technology you had to keep water under pressure so that you had pressurized things and if you lost power you would lose your pressurized containment and then bad things could happen such as meltdowns so losing power would lose your ability to contain the reaction with the old sites the new generation four is built in the reverse meaning that the only way you can have a

[45:36]

meaning that the only way you can have a reaction is if the power is continually applied and everything is going right the moment that anything changes from that situation you lose power or something else goes wrong let's say a human human action then you've lost the perfect condition to create the reaction so the reaction just stops or slows down in a way that's easy to control because you stopped making it powerful the old ones are the opposite it with the the reaction was going to be happening and the best you could do is put your technology on it to control it so if any of those controls went bad you get a disaster with the new ones it doesn't matter what goes wrong if anything goes wrong it just can't be a nuclear thing anymore it just stops being a reaction at the moment it it doesn't work perfectly so now I can't tell you that some expert on nuclear as I think you could tell by that bad explanation but that's that's the

[46:37]

explanation but that's that's the general idea will I run in 2024 I would never expose myself to that ridiculous edge and I think you would agree that I'm more useful doing what I'm doing
can you talk about Obama's speech making skills yeah so I think a lot of you saw the clip of Obama talking about the circular firing squad did you see that I I have to do an impression first I'm gonna do an impression of President Trump on a rally talking to a crowd and president Trump makes a joke and here's the here's President Trump enjoying the joke the crowd ahahaha laughter people are dying they're screaming they're chanting they're laughing at president Trump's

[47:37]

they're laughing at president Trump's humor and then I watch this clip of Obama and I'd forgotten how boring is now you you lose track of how boring he is and he's giving his speech and he's walking around on stage and he tries to make this joke about the circular firing squad he's like it's like a it's like I called it up circular firing squad and there's no reaction like he tells his joke and nobody's laughing is it you would because you know they like form a circle and then it's like they're shooting at each other silence [Laughter]
you you don't really know I mean you don't remember Obama as being that boring until you've had you know such a dose of President Trump that the contrast is more obvious

[48:38]

contrast is more obvious honestly I used to enjoy listening to Obama talk I thought wow that guy's pretty good at this thing he's he's good at this I could see why he got elected president he's got some skills but then you see him in contrast you go oh I may have overrated his orator his oration abilities all right I think we've got enough for now oh where is the slaughter meter so I've since I revised my thoughts about the healthcare strategy I can still dislike the fact that there is no plan while evaluating the election from a political standpoint from a political standpoint I'm gonna put the slaughter meter back at 100% 100% if nothing changed and everything just sort of went the way it's going which won't happen by the way the slaughter meter is

[49:39]

happen by the way the slaughter meter is not a prediction of the endpoint it's a prediction that if nothing changed that's where you'd end up something always changes right so it's a slaughter meter and right now it's at a hundred percent if nothing changed the the president would have probably an epic electoral outcome all right so that's where we are 100% on the slaughter meter I had it as 50% but ivory reevaluated and one other thing I want to talk about but I'll save that for tomorrow and I will talk to you later