Episode 463 Scott Adams: Sheepinions, Hallucinations, Fake News, Traitors, Conflaters

Date: 2019-03-23 | Duration: 52:59

Topics

“Slaughter Meter” is pinned at 100% if election was held today Untrue but widely reported “fine people” HOAX and false memory Golan Heights now being recognized as Israeli territory Moving the embassy didn’t impact peace discussions Golan Heights recognition, will it impact anything? Time is on President Trump’s side and he knows it NO new sanctions on North Korea, what’s the President’s play? President Trump’s enemies maneuvered into arguing against… Free speech Capitalism Default back up position of TDS victims shown “fine people” HOAX Once it’s clear they were hoaxed, what do most say? Biden signals the weakness of his bid for the nomination Wikipedia editors (currently) agree, allowed “fine people” hoax info Steve King, Republican, nice guy, but kind of an idiot FAKE NEWS PUNCTUATION…changed what he meant Anderson Cooper last night, still pushing that fake news Steve King’s Iowa people comment also spun by fake news It was city people compared to rural people, nothing racial Whiteboard1: Conflate, Isolate, Advocate Whiteboard2: Coincidence?

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> [!note] Rough Transcript
> 
> This is an auto-generated transcript and may contain errors.

## Transcript

[0:06]

[Music] hey everybody come on in here I don't know if there has been such a fun day
day since oh November 9th 2016 it's just one of those days that's so
so delicious uh that this is no joke I woke up at 3:30 this morning and I was so excited to experience today that I couldn't get back to sleep so I've been working since about 4: this morning which isn't that unusual for me however I wanted to be here right on time to enjoy the simultaneous sip so if you're prepared you have your cup your mug possibly your chalice your Stein maybe a thermos a tankered perhaps and you filled it with your favorite liquid I like coffee you you are ready to enjoy the simultaneous

[1:10]

zp ah so we got lots to talk about I'd like to start out with what I call the slaughter index the slaughter index I introduced this on my another Periscope and if you haven't already yet the idea is this instead of a poll for how the 22 presidential election will go uh I use the slaughter index and it will be a moving scale and it will move depending what kind of news is happening between now and election day and the idea is that it's a straight line prediction that says if all the variables stay the same here's what it will look like in terms of President Trump slaughtering whoever he's running against as of today the slaughter index is is pinned at 100% meaning if nothing changed and all the things we know today just keep going the the economy stays strong Isis stays

[2:11]

the the economy stays strong Isis stays defeated North Korea doesn't test another nuke if just everything just went the same way it is now 100% chance of Slaughter the president would win in a major Landslide now keep in mind that there's no way that the variables stay the same so it really doesn't mean anything in terms of an actual prediction because it will be so much that happens between now and 2020 but it's kind of interesting every now and then to pause and say what if everything just stayed the same what would that look like now I would think that the president's best argument is to Simply rank all the things that people care about and say are they better or worse the economy better military strength stronger let's use stronger as our as our word the economy stronger employment stronger military stronger

[3:12]

employment stronger military stronger Homeland Security probably stronger um National borders probably stronger not nearly as much as his supporters want but
but stronger um see what else we have healthc care do you imagine that more people have health care or fewer well if the economy is stronger I haven't really seen reporting on this but my guess is there are more people with Health Care stronger somebody said debt um if he's running if he's running for re-election he probably doesn't want to mention the debt but you're right the the debt is worse how about relations with our allies not bad how about trade negotiations stronger so there are a lot of things that he can argue are stronger one of the question marks I have is environment now the critics of President Trump say and quite reasonably they say

[4:14]

Trump say and quite reasonably they say that the administration is getting rid of some regulations that will hurt the economy and when I read that stuff I say to my or not the economy that the Trump Administration is reducing some environmental regulations now when I see that it's such that's off an alarm right the last thing you want is more pollution but I never see in those stories the Counterpoint I when I see a story like that I see that the administration got rid of a regulation that was intended to protect the environment that sounds pretty bad what the story never includes is why they're getting rid of the
the regulation because probably it didn't work or didn't make a difference or the difference it made wasn't worth whatever the cost was so I would say that's a question mark I would like to see accurate reporting that maybe measured somehow the water quality and the air quality and just see if it's better or

[5:14]

quality and just see if it's better or worse than it was you know four years ago once we get to 2020 all right um the president is having an amazing week which may not be reported that way because people don't report good news for this president but uh here are the things I love if you followed The Saga of the fine people hoax in which I and Joe bollock and and now a number of other people have tried to correct the permanent record on the fact that it was widely reported but it wasn't true that the president once called the racist uh who were literally marching with tiki torches in Charlottesville the they imagined he called him they call that the president called them fine people that didn't happen he specifically excluded them from the fine people comment without any prompting he was very clear that he was not talking about them but it was

[6:15]

not talking about them but it was reported the opposite that he was talking about them and it became this huge false memory that became the the Lynch pin for you know I'm not going to that's a wrong word it became the foundation for all of the other false beliefs about him and I'm going to talk about those in a minute um but in in the context of us trying to straighten that out uh Trump announces that we're going to recognize the Golan Heights as part of Israel which was disputed territory that Syria had claimed but there is no real Syria anymore so the United States Trump apparently just said all right we're just going to recognize that as Israeli territory now in fact it was de facto Israeli territory but people are going to complain as they are and say you can't give territory to people that they won in a war like you just can't make that precedent it's pretty good point

[7:16]

that precedent it's pretty good point it's a pretty good point but it also emphasizes that this President is pretty pro-jewish he's pretty pro- Israel he's he moves the embassy which nobody thought he would do and now he just said all right Golan Heights we're going to treat it like it belongs to
to Israel which nobody saw coming nobody saw that coming so the um so the the beauty of it is that it works so far against the idea that he once um complimented the people who were who were in in Charlesville with anti-israeli slogans like how do you keep how do you hold that in your mind that fake news with the real news that he moved the embassy to Jerusalem and he just declared the Golan Heights part of Israel those are extraordinarily pro-israel moves now

[8:17]

extraordinarily pro-israel moves now some people said hey you know isn't that bad for any kind of a comprehensive peace deal over there because you're taking sides with Israel in such a way that you're no longer a credible broker of Peace here's the genius of trump moving the embassy was free meaning that he could just take it off the table because if they did a comprehensive peace plan and he had not settled that issue it would still sort of be in play so he just took that variable and he just said okay that's no longer on the table but take as long as you want to come to the peace table and then nobody comes to the peace table time goes by and he says okay the Goan Heights would have been a subject of a comprehensive peace agreement but now it's not takes it off the table um the president had been giving

[9:20]

table um the president had been giving Aid to the Palestinians I don't know the details of this so I might get a fact wrong here but I believe he stopped it because the Palestinians were rewarding uh
uh terrorists and didn't make any difference he took it off the table so little by little the president is taking variables out of the equation they're just no longer subject to debate and if you are if you are the Palestinians and you're watching the Ark of History you're seeing Israel get bigger you're seeing Israel get stronger you're seeing your your own side just becoming discredited losing support in the in the Arab world and at this point should they wait so I've talked to you about how our psychology is far more influenced by the direction of things than where things are where things are can be bad but if

[10:22]

are where things are can be bad but if the direction is good people are happy it's like okay we're moving in the right direction so if you if you look at Israel as a static situation it looks impossible to ever get to a better place if you look at it as a moving picture you see Israel getting stronger and stronger without much effort they're just getting stronger and stronger without much effort meanwhile the Palestinians are losing support every day they're losing money they're losing negotiating chips they're just going the wrong direction so Trump I believe understands the importance of Direction and he's creating a situation where if they don't come to the table they just keep losing forever if they do come to the table which I think might be unlikely they have a chance of at least stopping the loss so basically instead of the Palestinians now have something

[11:23]

of the Palestinians now have something to gain the situation has completely changed to they better hurry up because every day that goes by they have less they they have less and that's where they're going to freeze it if they ever negotiate for something like peace so that part's interesting um the president announced that he wasn't going to add some extra sanctions to North Korea I guess he did it by a tweet and did not consult with people and said because it's based on his his relationship with Kim and that he basically is being nice to Chairman Kim now how do we interpret that the smart way to interpret that is we don't really know what's going on so that's the smart interpretation because we don't know what conversations are happening with North Korea or South Korea we don't know what's happening with China we just don't know the

[12:25]

with China we just don't know the background of why he would do that but if I had to
guess uh it seems that we have to give North Korea something in order for them to feel free to get back to the table and to be talking about something so if what the president gives them is a a a non- tightening of sanctions and if North Korea doesn't test any more Rockets or nukes you're kind of creating a situation where maybe they can start talking again so my guess is that since he can always just reapply the the sanctions anytime he wants I mean basically the entire expense was a tweet so what the what the president gave up was 30 seconds doing this tweet that's what the United States gave up right because it's not like it's in

[13:27]

up right because it's not like it's in our benefit to have sanctions under North Korea we just want them to cooperate that's we don't want sanctions we want cooperation so for the price of a
a tweet he can at least test if he gets any
any cooperation if he doesn't get cooperation what did he risk he spent 30 seconds with his thumbs that's it that was the whole the entire the entire investment was 30 seconds of thumb work and it might have it might have solved a nuclear North Korea now not by itself but the point is that it was a good it was a good probably a good risk reward thing to try because he can always go back to the the sanctions um I love the fact another topic here that Trump has passed some vague some kind of vague uh uh I guess executive order

[14:27]

vague uh uh I guess executive order about uh College is they have to they have to recognize free speech in order to get Federal funding and people are saying it's too vague how how do you even measure such a thing and I just thought it's freaking brilliant because he's creating a situation where he's making his opponents argue against free speech he's he he's totally boxed in the the opposition they have to argue against freedom of speech like actually literally freedom of speech so it's bad enough that the Democrats are going to have to argue against capitalism that's pretty hard but they're doing it right and they're doing pretty well I would say the the Democrats are actually doing a surprisingly good job of arguing against capitalism the the the engine that's created everything good in the world practically but he's also making them argue against freedom of

[15:29]

argue against freedom of spe and by doing things that are so pro-israel like the Golan Heights like the embassy he's making use critics argue that he is anti-jewish at the same time he's the most pro-israel president of all time and they have to explain that so that's funny I've noticed that um I'm jumping around here a little bit I've noticed that when um I and other people has shut down the people on Twitter who think that the fine people quote actually was real and that the president called racist fine people the people actually believe that when you send them the transcript and you and the video which I've been doing over and over and you show people that they're they have a false memory and that he never said what they thought he said do you know what people do they all say the same thing it's it's it's amazing watching it they all default to a backup position which is

[16:31]

default to a backup position which is well yeah there might have been some people there who were not technically signed up for the neo-nazis but how can they be fine people if they're marching with them now there is no evidence that the non-nazi the non-racist who were there for the purposes of supporting Free Speech supporting the historical importance of of the statues which by the way I completely disagree with I'm I'm opposed to statues they're offensive but I'm just describing the situation um certainly they were not marching with the racist so the way I've been answering that is to say uh people can be in the same zip code for different reasons it's the most normal thing in the world indeed there were many uh many members of the press who were there were the members of the press

[17:32]

were there were the members of the press marching with the racists no they were just in the same zip code for different reasons was antifa marching with the racists no they were in the same zip code for different reasons were the militia who were the the Free Speech people who dislike the racist were they marching with the people they dislike no they were there for their own purposes with their own message now I'm going to talk for a minute about why somebody could amazingly back up to the marching with hallucination but we'll get to that in a minute oh uh I love the news there's a suggestion that Joe Biden who's leading in the polls uh might be considering uh announcing with a vice presidential pick the idea of course is that he's not strong enough everything about this is funny so

[18:35]

enough everything about this is funny so if Joe Biden announces his uh his campaign with a vice presidential pick what does that tell you about Joe Biden what's the message that Joe Biden would be
sending the message that Joe Biden would be sending is that he's not competitive by
by himself that if you were to if you were to do president to president apparently he thinks he would lose in other words he has to use a gimmick that nobody's ever done before to be competitive with the president so the first thing is it's it's a huge signal of weakness that you would even have to try a gimmick such as announcing your vice president first now the person that is rumored that he's considering is Stacy Abrams who I guess narrow lost her her election bid and is considered a rising star now she's African-American she's

[19:37]

star now she's African-American she's woman so she hits she hits some you know check boxes for the Democrats and the Democrats have been very clear about wanting their candidates to represent you know the diversity that they that they value and there's nothing wrong with that all right that's actually an entirely legitimate thing to do you know make sure you got a good mix of diversity in your party because that's sort of a central theme maybe more than anything else that's their central theme but here's the thing if you have Biden who is by any description an old white man and he's leading in the polls in your party that's supposed to be represented more representative of the diversity of the country country in every way that's a bad look what is the only way you could make that worse what's the only way you can make that

[20:38]

what's the only way you can make that look worse than nominating an old white guy to the party of diversity the only way you can make that worse is to Have a Gimmick woman who is who is a African-American no matter how qualified she is and I think everybody agrees Stacy Abrams is very qualified so this is no comment about her talents or qualifications you know those are established but it looks like a token kind of a thing that you would only think to do if you were an old white guy in other words starting off with such a heavy-handed approach to the vice presidential pick would send this glaring m message you thought you thought Joe Bo Biden was an old white guy look at this he just proved that he's the he's the most stereotypical old white guy you could

[21:40]

stereotypical old white guy you could ever have he just told you he has he has a black friend I mean basically you know starting off with a uh an African-American woman as your vice presidential pick if you're Joe Biden this would not apply to other candidates so what I'm saying would not apply to um really any other candidate it's only because he's an old white guy in the party of diversity uh it just would look desperate and it would send all the wrong message so um the slaughter index is at 100% right now okay uh let's talk about oh so I'm going to go into some really touchy territory and there are some topics that you can't talk about until other things have happened all right so the the environment has to be right or

[22:40]

the the environment has to be right or there are some topics you just can't talk about and I'm going to talk about one of them now and it's only because the environment is right and the environment in this case is that now that we've conclusively seen that the um the Russia collusion thing is fake news as far as we can tell looks like fake news and we've seen that the fine people hoax about Charlottesville is fake news and in fact I believe the edit to make that correct is now a permanent edit on Wikipedia we'll see if it lasts but the Wikipedia editors have finally agreed that it wasn't real and they they added in to to correct that we'll see if that that lasts but now that the world is softened up to this concept of how much they've been duped by fake news I can introduce a new topic that I could not have introduced until that was true Steve King Steve King is a

[23:42]

King Steve King is a republican who I'm going to start right off by saying I think he's an idiot all right based on what I've observed kind of an idiot because the things he says get him in so much trouble and he just walks into one trap after another now somebody's saying he's a nice guy I've heard that I've actually heard that he's a nice guy and the the and but here's the thing I'm not going to defend Steve King so what will follow is not an apologist thing for for Steve King it's not an endorsement of him it's not a um it's not any kind of a spin I'm only going to talk about one thing he said and how the news covered it all right I'm going to read you an exact sentence that's on Wikipedia it's in almost every news site here's the exact

[24:44]

almost every news site here's the exact sentence that Steve King did say all right so what I'm going to read you is True News it's an actual sentence he did speak and listen how terrible this is but you have to wait for the punchline right here here it is this is an actual quote which Steve King has acknowledged he said these words but he says it's a the context is wrong we we'll see and here's the quote from Steve King quote white nationalist white supremacist Western Civilization how did that language become offensive King wonders in the Peace A New York Times interview um why did I sit in classes teaching me about the merits of our history and our civilization now when you read that sentence white nationalist white supremacists Western Civilization how did that language become offensive you interpret it as wait a minute he just said white supremacists that language should that language should not be um

[25:47]

should that language should not be um basically it makes it sound like he's defending white supremacist and you say to yourself well this can't be fake news because that quote is very clear listen to the words white nationalists white supremacists Western Civilization how did that language become offensive isn't that as clear as it could possibly be that he's he's endorsing white supremacists now he claimed he wasn't but how could that possibly be you say how could that be fake news and I guarantee you he said those exact words let me tell you how they turned it into fake news with punctuation they put a comma between white nationalist comma white supremacist comma Western Civilization Dash and then his statement about Western Civilization if you hear it live it

[26:50]

Civilization if you hear it live it doesn't sound this way if you hear live you understand that the first two words white nationalist white supremacist belong to the prior thought that they don't report what was the sentence right before it because that was what he was answering what he did was he paused a little bit and then he introduced a new thought the new thought was Western Civilization how did that language become offensive in other words he was saying that that some things are offensive white nationalist and white supremacist those are offensive and that's what his prior conversation was about he paused but then he said Western Civilization now Western Civilization is not white supremacy it's not white nationalist it's about the culture right you could argue about this point but I'm just saying what the point was and his point

[27:51]

saying what the point was and his point was the western civilization has been demonized as being equal to white supremacy
that is the opposite of how it was reported by Anderson Cooper last night as recently as last night Anderson Cooper reported with no context that Steve King wondered why white supremacist white supremacist was suddenly bad never happened it is a complete fake news now here's the problem if anybody takes this out a context they're going to say cartoonist supports white supremacist right wouldn't that happen and don't you expect that will happen somebody's going to write the article that says cartoonist supports white supremacist but you just heard me say I think he's an idiot I don't support anything else he said and maybe some of

[28:52]

anything else he said and maybe some of those things are bad and if he said bad things well that's on him but this quote the one that they used to support all of his other quotes being bad literally didn't happen he said it didn't happen and he clarifies he's clarified it before now the latest thing the Steve King said was that he compared the Katrina victims to the flood victims in Iowa and I'm paraphrasing but he said essentially that the Katrina victims were waiting for the government to help them but the good people in Iowa were saying how can I help my neighbors and Anderson Cooper reported that as clearly a racist Trope his point being that if the Katrina victims were more likely to be black and the Iowa residents were more likely to be white that what that what Steve King really

[29:54]

that what that what Steve King really meant is that the the minorities were not as help ful as the good white people in Iowa now let me give you some perspective I grew up in a rural area I did not grow up in a city so let me tell you what Steve King actually meant and actually said and what everyone in Iowa understood all right so what I'm going to say I'll bet you everybody in Iowa understood and it goes like this city people can have low character country people the rural people Farmers people in the midwest people in Iowa they're good people they're more neighbor helping that is what I believed when I grew up that the city people were maybe a little self-absorbed a little selfish country people were generous help your neighbor Steve King was making a

[30:55]

neighbor Steve King was making a contrast between the good rural people of Iowa of all colors of all colors and types he was not saying the white people in Iowa are awesome he didn't say that he said Iowa I'm pretty sure there are some minorities in Iowa he didn't say the black people who were the victims of the flood Were Somehow low character he was saying you know the people in that area it was it it was clearly a contrast to the Democrats in the city versus the good people in the country it's a common thing that people like I like I grew up hearing all the time it did not have a racial element until Anderson Cooper who probably I don't know this for sure but I'm guessing Anderson Cooper grew up in mostly City environments if that was your perspective and you heard Ste Steve talk like that you might think the same thing Anderson Cooper thought what else could

[31:56]

Anderson Cooper thought what else could it mean like what what would be any other way to interpret this than some kind of a racial comment and the answer is ask anybody who grew up in the country ask them how to interpret it they will tell you that there's there's sort of this General belief that the country people are more neighbor oriented than City people that's it now am I a Steve King apologist because I understand what he said somebody's going to call me that now I want to introduce you A New Concept this is a filter for understanding your world because and this will come in really helpful with all of the Russia collusion craziness you're going to see and all the TDS so here's a way to understand the world there are three kinds of people uh at least there more than that of course but for the the con the purposes of this

[32:56]

but for the the con the purposes of this conversation there are three types there are people who conflate in other words they combine things just automatically in their minds there are people who isolate in other words they say I'm just going to look at this item here without this other noise and then there are people who Advocate the and basically they're Liars so The Advocates are just liars who are advocating for a cause they don't care about the truth they're just trying to get to a get to a end point now I'm going to make a great generalization and I don't claim that there are individuals who fall strictly into one category you know people can be spread across these categories but there is a tendency to be mostly in one of them if you are for example an artist or writer or a musician you're probably a conflat and what I mean by that is that everything seems connected to you because in your world that's all you see you know a song for example has to all

[33:58]

you know a song for example has to all make sense you can't have a you know suddenly you changing something basic about the song so the beginning of the song and the end of the song are related so a musician says everything's related it's all it's all connected if you writing a novel and you have some foreshadowing in the first chapter like then Bob looked at his watch it was his favorite watch he always looked at his watch if you're reading the novel you say oh that means something all right that wouldn't be in the story unless we were supposed to connect this to something that's going to happen later so I know they're all connected that's not how the real world works it's how fiction works but if fiction is your is your filter on life you start seeing everything connected um and artists artists are combiners they they take things from different places they put it together until everything's combined this is the opposite of what Engineers scientists economists and

[34:59]

Engineers scientists economists and business people do this group of people and their training and their professions tell them that they must first isolate in order to understand so you have to get rid of all the variables that are not right if it's if it's climate change you have to um you have to make sure that you've accounted for you know the Sun and take that out you know you've accounted for everything else now you could argue whether they've done it right but that's that's the discipline you're looking to to separate things so you can look at them individually and then Advocates are usually lawyers politicians and activists and they're mostly Liars now when you're on social media or you're watching the news what types of people are you seeing the most who has the greatest presence on TV news and the greatest presence in terms of uh influence on social media well well it's The Advocates because they have incentive

[36:01]

Advocates because they have incentive right The Advocates you see on TV all the time and you see the conflat who think everything must be connected and there's no such thing as a coincidence and what else could explain it this group are largely underrepresented now how big of a problem is this well here's how it's relevant to you I'm going to show you a specific
situation and you can see how the different people will handle it let's say you've decided that the president is a bad people because he said that racists in Charlottesville were fine people and now you take that person and say oh oh that was a hoax you think that he said the racists were fine people because you're seeing it on your news programs but the news is giving you fake news here's here's the actual transcript here's a link to the video so you can check for yourself that that's fake news he never said that he in fact said specifically I'm not talking about the

[37:01]

specifically I'm not talking about the races so let's say you've you you found a way to debunk this so now this is debunked which of those groups that I talked about would accept the new facts well somebody who is a trained scientist might say okay I get that you showed me the transcript an economist might in fact yesterday or the day before I forwarded an economist who believed this was true looked at the evidence isolated just that situation and said holy cow that was fake news it's proven so the people who isolate can look at this look at the evidence and say I get it the people who conflate what do they do as soon as you disprove this what do they do they say we know it's true not because it's obvious in what he said but because of other things he's done it's all connected so this is the artist view right so the artist view is well all

[38:02]

right so the artist view is well all right what about the fact that he didn't um he didn't immediately um disavow David Duke I mean that kind of proves that maybe this was really true after all right Scott and I say well let me send you a video clip of a compilation of trump disavowing David Duke as far back as years ago now I don't know why that one time when Jake Tapper asked him the question he gave an awkward answer that didn't make sense H he said he didn't know who David Duke Duke was my best guess and this would just be speculation is that David Duke is sort of an ordinary name I can tell you that in my own life people have mentioned David Duke and for a moment I thought David Duke that is and I couldn't quite Place David Duke right away and you know so so maybe there was some of that maybe the maybe the president thought there was a trap coming maybe his earpiece didn't work which is actually pretty common I've done a lot of interviews with earpieces

[39:05]

done a lot of interviews with earpieces the number of times they don't work is actually higher than you would imagine so it's pretty common to have a bad sound so I don't know why he answered it that way but we do know that he disavowed David Duke before that lots of times we know that when he was asked the next day he disavowed him specifically so if you were to isolate this and see all the times that he disavowed him you'd probably say to yourself well I don't know what was going on in that Tapper interview but it's obvious he disavowed him before and after and you know he he's not he's not the kind of personality the president isn't where where uh he changes his mind on things that he really believes so if he really believed that he wanted to praise David Duke I think he would have done it the next day too he doesn't really change that much so the fact that he disavowed him so many times should take that off the table but if you if you say that the conflat will say well I see what you're saying he did disavow

[40:06]

see what you're saying he did disavow him clearly but I don't believe he meant it do you know why because you know if he said this so they start conflating all the things which are not true to support all the other things that are not true so the artists the musicians the writers are more likely to see this whole picture and think it's meaningful the scientist the engineer The Economist are more likely to say let's isolate this and just don't don't talk about this let's just see if this is true remember that time the president mocked the reporter who had a um genetic condition with his arm he had a bad arm and it looked like the president was doing a hand motion to mock him well you most of you who are Trump supporters have seen the compilation video where the president uses that same hand motion to mock other people it's just a common thing he's done a lot of times in lots of speeches so you show this to somebody

[41:07]

of speeches so you show this to somebody who believes that it must be proof that he mocked a guy with a bad arm and you show them that he always uses this same motion what does the scientist and The Economist and the engineer say okay you isolated that and you made your point Okay I accept that what does the artist the writer or the musician say yeah well obviously that's a lie and your video is a lie and he really did mean it is mocking why do I believe that because I believe this and I believe this Scott you have to look at it all you have to look at the whole picture then you say how about this judge curiel thing where he thought that a judge with Mexican heritage might not be fair and then I say well in the context of legal stuff you're supposed to ask if somebody has bias that's that's the most common thing you do the entire jury selection process is identifying bias and removing

[42:09]

process is identifying bias and removing the president said that he was quite reasonably the most reviled person by people of who have Mexican heritage so if you pick somebody who has Mexican heritage and they've got an answer to their family reunion they've got an answer to their family they're probably you know have more likely to have contact with people who hate the president can he get a can he get a fair Shake now that was reported as he thinks that the president thinks Mexicans can't be good judges he never said anything like that he said that if the situation the
the case has some specific element that the specific person could be considered at least to to observers to maybe have a bias maybe you should think about that maybe you should do something about it completely normal legal strategy which worked because the judge actually ended up ruling in his case in the gray area

[43:11]

up ruling in his case in the gray area probably because he didn't want to be seen as biased so as a legal strategy it was
was fine Central Park 5 people say well what about the Central Park 5 the the you know Trump said that the five black people who were accused of uh violent rape in the Central Park he did a full page ad in which he said they should be executed and he even said that after they were found not guilty so that's proof of racism right to which I say what part of that is about race there's literally nothing in that story that has anything to do with Trump and race it is simply a fact that the five people who were wrongly accused were black Trump didn't make them black he just is he's opposed to any kind of crime he's the most consistently uh Pro police anti-me person you've ever known why would he make an exception because they were

[44:11]

make an exception because they were black of course he uh he doesn't like crime now some people say but wait he still says they might be guilty even after the court found them innocent to which I say and when does he when does he say he was wrong is there are there other situations you can look to where where he admits he was wrong and apologizes he doesn't do that he doesn't do it in this case he doesn't do it in any case there's literally no substance to the claim that this is racially motivated except except you believe it's true why because of all the other things but all the other things are also hoaxes they're not real let's take another one uh did did he really say that all Mexicans are rapists that's the way it's reported no he did not believe that the children and the women were rapists did he think that there were there's too much crime coming

[45:12]

there were there's too much crime coming yes does he exaggerate literally everything yes he exaggerates his crowd size he exaggerates how bad his opponents are he exaggerates how poorly Obama did as a president he exaggerates how rich he is he exaggerates how you know quickly he beat Isis he exaggerates how good the economy is did he exaggerate about the amount of crime coming across the border yes he exaggerates everything the fact that he exaggerates everything should be enough to tell you that this wasn't the one time he decided to be all racist um the Muslim ban people say all right but Scot the Muslim ban that one's pretty clear that's anti-muslim well listen to the entire quote he said he wanted to when he was on the campaign Trail he I think he that's when he was talking about it originally he said that he wanted to do

[46:14]

originally he said that he wanted to do a Muslim ban until they could figure out what's going on here is the context terrorists can more easily hide with it with other Muslims so since he can't tell which ones are the terrorists and which are not he said until we could figure that out until we know what's going on let's just stop it is that bad for Muslims who do not live in the country yes it's bad for the good people who just wanted to escape a bad situation it's very bad for the people who are not Americans who would like to get into the country this president has said very clearly he's going to favor the Americans who were citizens over the people who are not so did he discriminate against non-americans yes that's what he's hired to do we hire him to discriminate against non-americans and to favor Americans and their interests was it bad for the good

[47:15]

their interests was it bad for the good Muslims who would like to get into the country through immigration yes it was bad for them but he doesn't have an obligation to be good to people who are not Americans if it would be bad for Americans to do so so as soon as they did figure out what's going on they realized that they could n narrow it to countries that don't have good records and and he did some of those countries were not even Muslim countries and many of the countries that are not part of the ban are Muslim countries so uh once again if you sort of walk through all oh then there's the housing discrimination back the 70s or whatever a trump entity the the people people working for the Trump organization apparently discriminated by race as far as I know there's no evidence that Trump made that decision there's only evidence that the employees discriminated by race it was their job to get a good result evidently they thought that they couldn't get a good

[48:16]

thought that they couldn't get a good result because their because of their racial racial views or the views that they thought other people had about race so that's the closest you can get is that people he knew were racists or did a racist thing that's the closest you can get is that people he knew did something bad so if you are an economist a scientist and engineer you would look at each of these and you would you would uh ignore all the others and you say all right just prove this one is true prove this one's true um and you could get to something closer to truth if you are an artist you can flate now I've been testing this theory on social media and so on Twitter I try to guess what somebody's occupation is by the quality of their comments and I want you to try this at home because it's funny so yesterday I was talking to somebody who was doing the conflating thing and he was just he was just bringing into the

[49:17]

was just he was just bringing into the issue all kinds of things that just were not part of the conversation and so I thought to myself I wonder what kind of artist this person is so I click on the profile musician there was another person uh the day before who again was conflating all these things that weren't part of the decision and I thought to myself I wonder what kind of artists they are click art director yesterday I was talking with somebody who was again conflating all of these things like like they all somehow support the point and I thought to myself huh wonder what kind of artist this person is Click author writer right and so look for this so somebody says Scots an artist you are right I'm not sure I'm a real artist you I'm barely an artist but my background is I have a degree in economics and MBA in business 16 years of corporate

[50:17]

in business 16 years of corporate experience including you know marketing strategy sales you know all kinds of uh different uh exposures and I worked in engineering for most of that time so my my exposure is across all of those fields and I prefer to be an isolator so when I'm talking about politics I isolate when I'm trying to be an artist I can flate so in the comic I am combining things that don't necessarily need to get combined and that's what makes it funny that's what makes it art you're combining things that are not normally combined so I do both and so I would say to look for this um I would say to look for this effect that when you see people bringing in unrelated things to the conversation click on the profile and see if they are an artist you will be surprised and amused how often that's the case um teachers

[51:19]

case um teachers too well I suppose it would depend somebody says that teachers fall into that category that's probably um a split decision because if you're a science teacher you probably have a different view than if you're an English teacher that's just a just a guess all right
um what about confirmation bias well this is confirmation bias so the the the people who are the artists are far more likely to be fooled by confirmation bias because they live in a world where every clue means something the scientists live in a world where every clue is almost always meaningless it's very rare when a coincidence is actually meaningful you know if you look at all the coincidences that there are very rarely does one mean anything in the scientific world in the artistic world a coincidence always means something the the coincidences are

[52:21]

means something the the coincidences are put there intentionally to mean something so you should not be surprised if the people who come up through the Arts see coincidence as meaningful all right uh that is all for now and I am going to go do something else um and I hope that you will enjoy the ongoing struggle the CNN has in explaining why the uh the Muller report is really is really bad news for the president but it's in Disguise you know really something else is happening so we'll see I'll talk to you later