Episode 462 Scott Adams: The Mueller Witch Hunt is Evolving Into an “IF” Hunt

Date: 2019-03-22 | Duration: 24:37

Topics

Adam Schiff seems sad that our President isn’t a Russian puppet Real bad week for CNN…their 2 best hoaxes are down They lost the Russian Collusion Hoax They’ve (almost) lost the “Fine People” Hoax My “Slaughter Meter” reading on if the 2020 was held today The IF Hunt that used to be the Mueller Witch Hunt

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> [!note] Rough Transcript
> 
> This is an auto-generated transcript and may contain errors.

## Transcript

[0:07]

Oh Annie John come on in here Nicole it's good to see you or it's good to see your name go bye virus Joe always a pleasure Andrew good to see you alright so I can't tell you that I have something exactly you planned for this periscope I just wanted to share it so I'm only here to share the moment so that those of you watch my periscopes can can come in and just just experience the moment just sort of enjoy it now the thing we don't know and I feel a little anxious about the fact that we don't know exactly what's in the model report so maybe there's something bad in there but the indications that there's not anything bad in there goes like this number one CNN is really depressed today

[1:08]

number one CNN is really depressed today and I'm gonna do a thing where i'm gonna play whatever CNN clip is playing at the moment and i want you to see how sad they sound all right this is unplanned and i'm just going to turn on CNN and i want you to just hear the the sadness whoever's talking i don't know i don't know that was wolf he's no good i want to pundit so the the on-air personalities will will be a little bit more like they always are they're professionals but the pundits you you just gotta listen to the pundits so we'll wait for the way for a pundit to come here eight members of congress what happened now they're mainly a sweat subset of

[2:09]

they're mainly a sweat subset of information that they is it just me or it is Schiff not sound as happy as normally you would be on a Friday afternoon is it just me or is Adam Schiff a little bit sad that the President of the United States is not a Russian spy he seems so sad that the president the commander in chief is not a Russian puppet he feels so bad poor Adam so the other indication we have that there will not be a problem for the President and say he's already said he wants to release it now it might not get fully released but he he says so and he probably wouldn't want to say that as clearly if he thought there was something bad in there so probably they've signaled to him there is no big deal next we have the

[3:09]

there is no big deal next we have the information that Bill Barr who just got the report the Attorney General is saying that he might release at least a summary of the findings as soon as this weekend do you think there's any chance he would have said that if it was a problem I think if any of it looked sketchy he would have said gotta give me some time I'm not quite sure how this is gonna go gotta show it to the president's lawyers they might take some executive privilege got it right up my summary give me some time that's what you would say if there was some bad news in there good news given the you know he's on Team Trump Accession essential he you know being a Republican type good news travels fast so the fact that he wants to do it quickly doesn't guarantee it's good news for the president but it's a strong implication so now that none of

[4:11]

strong implication so now that none of these the individual hints are guarantees but they all are pointing in the same direction including the sadness that we hear from the Democrats
now as Mike sort of it's just tweeted very recently two of the biggest hoaxes let's say or fake news whatever you want to call it the fake news or hoax - the biggest and most dangerous ones in the history of the Republic were the weapons of mass destruction I mean look how many people died look with that cost and then the Russia collision who was a principal character behind both of those John McCain John McCain was a principal figure behind the two most damaging hoaxes in all of history and I never I never made that connection that was Mike sort of tweet that

[5:12]

that was Mike sort of tweet that was it was like a slap in the face to me to me that makes it okay to say anything you want about a man to me you know that I'd say the seal is broken war hero sure he can keep that but he owns the two biggest disgraces and lasts I don't know 30 years whatever it says so those are his now Scott always in spin mode have I said anything that isn't true you know if I say something that isn't true you should call me out
so now the other thing I'm watching is watching CNN try to turn this into well we told you all along there was something here even though there isn't so they've got several lines of attack that they're sort of a/b testing live

[6:14]

that they're sort of a/b testing live one of those lines of attack is that sure you showed us Muller's report but you didn't show me the raw evidence that Muller looked at and Adam Schiff just before I came on was trying to explain why in this case they should see the raw evidence when normally that would not be the case and Schiff said well it could be that there's something that didn't rise to the level of being illegal but the problems the president still did it and it's bad to which I say the president is still a citizen of the United States all right you got to draw a line somewhere yes the president is a public figure and nobody is above the law and nobody would claim that should be the case but is it also the case that he's not below the law the president doesn't get treated worse than other people under

[7:14]

treated worse than other people under the law that's not acceptable and would you want to be the subject of a criminal investigation and you know technically this wasn't a criminal investigation would you want to be the subject of an investigation the conclusion is that you've done nothing wrong and then your critics get to see all of the evidence because you know if unskilled people dig through the evidence they're going to imagine they found all kinds of crimes that Muller being an expert said no that's not a crime that's not a crime that's out of context so if you wouldn't want that to happen to you and I sure wouldn't want it to happen to me you should not want that to happen to anybody you shouldn't want to tap into the President or anybody else now the other thing that CNN is is trying out is the old well what about those was it 16 people who

[8:14]

what about those was it 16 people who got indicted for lying to investigators at cetera lying to Congress so they keep trying to say some version of this well you can't say them the Muller thing was a failure because they went out to hunt an elephant and they shot 16 squirrels you can't tell me that an elephant hunt is unsuccessful when I've shot 16 squirrels do you see the number of squirrels I shot don't tell me this was an envoy yes yes we marketed it as a an elephant hunt we brought an elephant gun we plan to shoot an elephant we really really hoped we were gonna get an elephant but don't tell me we're not successful because look at the number of squirrels we shot instead that my friends is success

[9:16]

so they're trying that out then they're also trying out thee if we don't have the raw evidence then you know how can we really know what happened oh and they're also trying out the the trumpet did not personally go in for an interview so their best attack so far is that the president did not agree to a perjury trap he didn't agree to a perjury trap that's the worst thing they have on him and in given that 16 squirrels got killed in the elephant hunt because they all fell into a perjury trap how many of them were smart well just the elephant the squirrels all fell in the elephant trap if you know what I mean but the elephant know the elephant did not go into the trap the elephant said you can't make me and then he didn't go now I have to give some

[10:19]

he didn't go now I have to give some kudos again this is premature but it's starting to look like this would be the case some kudos to the president's legal team now I don't know if they did things wrong but by keeping him from you know preventing him from from going in for an interview it was certainly right and they did get away with yeah they were very patient they just kept chicken you know chipping away they were running out the clock I think you have to admit that the president's legal team was running out the clock because I knew that Muller couldn't just do Muller things forever you know everything's got a end so the longer they resisted the more likely Muller was going to say I can't wait forever I can't make you do it so I think they just ran out the clock down Mahler which you would have to say it was a good lawyer it was exactly the right strategy which apparently and again you know we're looking at it from the outside so we might be missing some

[11:21]

the outside so we might be missing some of the important context here but it looks like it looks like the president's legal counsel brought it home for him but we'll see all right yeah there was no collusion the other thing I expect to hear is when there's no finding of collusion people are gonna say I told you there would be no finding of collusion because that's not even a crime people will continue to say yes but although there was no crime and there was no collusion the president obstructed with the injustice so in other words the treating this treating the situation as if there had been Russian collusion was really based on an injustice the injustice being the steel dossier so what the president did was if anything he obstructed injustice now we

[12:25]

anything he obstructed injustice now we know that because Muller has already ruled we think again getting ahead of myself but assuming there's no collusion he would have ruled in that case that that there's no crime so there was no justice to be had so if you obstruct injustice is that a crime I suppose it would be all right yeah the FISA warrants I don't know if those would be released that's a good question yeah they're going to point to the New York Southern District but I think we would have seen indictments right if there were if anything was going to be in an indictment wouldn't we them when we yeah if if any of that really mattered I heard was it Preet Bharara talking about how if all they have is the Cohen stuff might be a fine

[13:26]

have is the Cohen stuff might be a fine that's it you know if everything that they think they know about the Cohen payments to stormy Daniels are true if all of the facts are true it might be a flying business as usual so I could not even watch Fox News where this news came out because you know Fox News is just gonna be happy and you know it told you so and that's you know you it's gonna be a little predictable but watching CNN deal with their cognitive dissonance is amazing because this week alone they lost Russian collusion they probably came pretty close to losing the fine people false memory and things are going pretty well for the president so I would like to introduce to you a new new prediction mechanism that I'm going to

[14:26]

prediction mechanism that I'm going to be using for 2020 all right I call it the slaughter meter the slaughter meter so it's not an opinion poll it's my prediction of what the election would look like if we if all the variables we see now continue in a straight line so in other words if we froze all the variables today and just you know fast forward two years you'd have a super strong economy because remember we're freezing all the variables super strong economy North Korea would be you know obeying better than they have been before Isis has been the Democrats don't have anybody with any charisma whatsoever it looks like their best plan and the Democrat side is to nominate to try to get rid of Trump who they would consider an old white male their strategy is to

[15:28]

old white male their strategy is to nominate an even older whiter male so they have the worst strategy I've ever seen and they're gonna completely savage each other until whoever's left will be you know a walking husk of a person which trump will finish off much he will finish off I was going to say something terrible but I'm not going to but would be very funny only to me mostly so here's my current prediction which will be updated periodically between now and 2020 the slaughter meter is pinned we are at maximum slaughter if no variables changed in other words if the Russian collusion turns out to be the nothing we think the economy is good the yeah you name it you just couldn't right down the line if all of that sticks the worst

[16:29]

line if all of that sticks the worst thing that they're gonna say about the president is that frickin John McCain vote prevented him from maybe doing something good with health care so right now he is in complete slaughter territory now the odds of things staying the same and all of the the variables stay the same between now and 2020 and the election is very low so don't make too much of the slaughter meter right the slaughter meter is unrealistic by design it's just telling you that if nothing changed it would be a slaughter
the the funniest thing is watching the polls they say well here's very important for you by the way you're probably saying to yourself but how does that track with the fact that every single Democrat seems to be trump in a in a one-on-one according to the polls like how could that be possible at the

[17:30]

like how could that be possible at the same time but he's heading toward a slaughter and here's how it's possible if you're saying would X whatever Democratic line up against trunk you're not really comparing those two people it feels like you are cuz they saying consider Biden with Trump you know who do you like vote for one of them it feels like you're comparing those two people but you're not because in those situations people know that there is not yet a real Democrat who's been nominated so their idea of the Democrat even if you put a specific name even if you say what if it's Biden what if it's burning you what if it's come on even if you put a specific name in there they're still thinking how do I like my ideal Democrat versus this this bastard Trump and as long as they're thinking about their ideal Democrat that ideal Democrat is awesome the person who's potentially a

[18:34]

awesome the person who's potentially a candidate against Trump has no flaws they're great but what happens when it turns into a real person by the time it's a real person you're gonna have to compare the real person not your magical notion of what a great candidate would be but a real beaten up flawed person so I think you poll you see today is just sort of a wishful thinking poll about a perfect candidate versus this damn Trump guy you know so I wouldn't worry about the polls too much today now here's my prediction about this whole Russia collusion thing I assume that the results will come out and if things go the way it looks so go there will be not much of any kind of a finding there would be too damaging to the president and I predict that the national polls about whether or not Trump colluded with Russia will not

[19:36]

Trump colluded with Russia will not change more than 10 basis points so right now probably I'm just guessing that the country is probably split about evenly you know the Republicans say you didn't glue the the Democrats say oh definitely occluded once we have Muller's report if this were a rational world 90% of the world on you know both sides would agree with whatever Muller came up with because they'd say well he looked into it I mean he had every tool of investigation he looked into it and if he didn't find anything that reaches the standard that we should be worried about I changed my mind I used to be worried but now the new data has come in I changed my mind based on logic and fairness and new data but you're not going to see anything like that you're going to see the Democrats just as convinced that the collusion happened give give or take you know five to ten basis points so it might go from 50 to 40 but you're not going to see it go

[20:38]

40 but you're not going to see it go down to 10% which it would would if we were a rational species so this will be another one of those cases where you can you can predict and oh by the way I always tell you that if your filter on the world predicts well then it's a good filter my filter says people are immune to data and facts so that the vast majority of them will not change the mind even when the data changes alright I am going o to mer Schumer's speaking oh we've got a sea droopy dog let's see give me a second the integrity apart democracy itself whether foreign powers corruptly interfere in our elections and whether unlawful means were used all right I don't want to play too much for copyright reasons but in my title for this periscope I said that the witch hunt has evolved to an if hunt and

[21:40]

hunt has evolved to an if hunt and schumer was demonstrating that so here's how the if hunt goes there's no evidence that the president did anything bad so they'll say if there's evidence that we don't have and if it shows that the president had an affair with Putin and if as a result of that affair Putin is blackmailing the president that were in a lot of trouble and if the president secretly has a deal with Russia and if we don't get to see all the data in the in the report the molar report and if something is incomplete and if the president had actually gone in and talked to mother in person instead of giving written lessons and if all those things happened that's a problem that's the problem if all of those things happened and so you listen to all this and you come away thinking

[22:41]

to all this and you come away thinking well that's a lot of accusations about the president now there's a lot of accusations if so so you end up you end up after after the if hunt you end up walk away having this bad feeling about the president because so many bad things were just sort of mentioned well if Chuck Schumer is having an affair with his dog and if the dog is not a willing participant and if the dog is tidy let's say a chihuahua and if that tiny Chihuahua is injured with the sex he's having with Chuck Schumer and if we find out about it Chuck Schumer is in a lot of trouble what do you say did I say anything here that is not the truth if he's having sex with his dog if the dog is a chihuahua if bowler is injuring him

[23:42]

is a chihuahua if bowler is injuring him also he's a bad guy I'm not saying anybody suggest as he's done any of those things I'm not suggesting it I'm just saying that if he has and if there was a report on it and if somebody produced a video of it and if there are witnesses how bad would that be I mean that would be bad we certainly hope nothing like that happens and there's no evidence of this let me be very clear there is no evidence whatsoever that I'm aware of but that doesn't mean somebody else isn't aware because if someone else aware of it and if he had sex with his dog and if it was a chihuahua and if he heard it pretty bad pretty pet that's bad
bad alright I just have to come on here and enjoy the moment with you keep watching the news have a fun time I'll talk to you later