Episode 456 Scott Adams: Best Week Ever for President Trump, Maybe the Country?

Date: 2019-03-19 | Duration: 49:47

Topics

GREAT news week for President Trump, and America Montana’s successful capitalism test for healthcare cost reduction Gavin Newsome likes President Trump’s opportunity zones CNN study, 34% of Latinos support President Trump “Mr. Kellyanne Conway” gets mocked by Brad Parscale, President Trump Beto is too busy running for President to help raise his own kids? ADL, a left leaning org, finds right-wing extremism has DECREASED Elizabeth Warren, supports reparations for black people “Sonic weapon”, does it exist? Lots of people believe it exists Nunes lawsuit against Twitter Mass murder by gun: How many were by NRA members? NONE Gun added to drone stories are beginning 2020 Presidential Prediction: LANDSLIDE for President Trump “Socialism is Risky” is a kill shot that guarantees re-election We discuss what products do for us, like efficiency, functionality
Uber is brilliant, SEEING your drivers location, can text them DoorDash has similar great feature tracking arrival of your food WhenHub Approach has peer to peer version of this function Meeting attendees, how soon will each arrive? Dinner with friends or family, are they on their way? No need to call or text while they’re driving, Just check WhenHub Approach for location

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> [!note] Rough Transcript
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> This is an auto-generated transcript and may contain errors.

## Transcript

[0:07]

bow-bow bow-bow bow-bow bow-bow bow-bow hey everybody come on in here Lena Hannah basket and Tyler and Andrew and Miriam get out of here today we have fun news sometimes the news is not as fun as it is today but it's all kinds of fun news today so it'll be fun it'll be fun because the news is fun hello from Grenada do you have your container for liquids some call it a class maybe a mug you could call it a diner jealous possibly a thermos but if you're prepared you filled it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the simultaneous up good stuff all right

[1:08]

the simultaneous up good stuff all right so I promised you that this was I was going to talk about one of the best weeks ever for the president but you have to you have to sort of pick and choose your news and read between the lines and forecast a little bit so I'm going to do that for you to show you that this was really an amazing week an amazing week let me tell you why number one there's a story I think cheryl atkinson our report of this but out of montana so montana is doing their own experiment with healthcare expenses and they actually found somebody who knew enough about how the whole system works that they they fired their healthcare insurer for that for the state health care so I'm only talking about state employees I believe and they managed to negotiate and find out what real costs were at hospitals and they managed to cut out middlemen and do a number of things and

[2:09]

middlemen and do a number of things and through completely capitalist methods meaning that there was no socialism involved all they did is negotiate harder get better information push more find out where the where the waste is they they so substantially reduced their cost of healthcare that they were from a deficit to a gigantic surplus now why is this important it's important because they prove the concept I've been telling you forever that if you're arguing that you should have this kind of health care or this kind of health care for the country that you're not one of the smart people in the conversation doesn't matter which side you're on if you're saying we should definitely have you know the single-payer health care or you're saying we should definitely not have it you're not part of the intelligent conversation the intelligent conversation goes like this we've got 50 states some of them are

[3:12]

we've got 50 states some of them are gonna want to try some different stuff let's let them try let's let them try their own method see what works Montana tried their own method it was a capitalist as opposed to a socialist version of of a solution and it worked and it worked really well now what it apparently the bottom line is that there are so many people involved in the healthcare world that are just stuff in their pockets with profits it turns out there's a lot of extra money out there that you could just suck out of the system and put it give it back to the taxpayers so what is the biggest problem in the country well some would say health care I mean that's in the it's in the top three no matter what one of the top problems in the country looks like the capitalist system where you test things small the smart way has

[4:13]

you test things small the smart way has already produced a tremendous opportunity so other people are going to study what happened in Montana they're going to pick the parts they like now what I don't know yet is how scalable this so we'll find that out it sounds like it could be but we'll see so it's one of the one of the most important things that's happening in the country and I think cheryl atkinson will be the only one talking about it you know as usual because the thing is that it looks like a small story but the big story is that everything big like health care should be tested small and if you get a good result from the small test that's a big story even even though it has it become big here's another piece of good news gavin newsom no friend of the president in terms of politics they might like each other personally but in terms of politics gavin newsom Democrat governor of california said that he actually

[5:16]

of california said that he actually likes president Trump's Opportunity Zones and you know he talked about the fact that that's an unusual thing to say if you're a Democrat but the opportunity zones are aimed at who the opportunity zones are aimed at the poorest of the poor in urban areas I think they're all urban areas but it's the poorest of the poor which would be disproportionately beneficial to minorities and the black population in particular so somebody's saying it's urban and rural which should be better but in in both cases it's it's aimed at the poorest among society which is very much beneficial to the black community and works against you know whatever whatever things people think about this president so now you have a Democratic governor a voice very credible voice saying okay I don't agree

[6:18]

credible voice saying okay I don't agree with the President on a whole bunch of stuff but on this thing that's good for the poor and for black people in particular just gives the demographic breakdown he got it right that's a big deal it's a big deal in terms of how you think about the president all right very big deal here's another one CNN did a report about a study that said that 30% I almost can't say this without laughing because it's so funny 34 percent of Latinos support Trump so the American citizens 34 percent of them supports the president now the first thing you should say is well wait a minute that means two out of three do not support the president isn't that the story should the story be that you buy it by a margin of two to one Latinos do not like the president that's

[7:19]

Latinos do not like the president that's the story right well here's the question and I pose the same question all the time but it's it's useful in a variety of contexts if three people are standing in a room and two of those people say look at the elephant and there's an elephant in the room here with us it's standing right in front of us and the third person says I don't see an elephant and the other two say what do you mean you don't see the elephant are you kidding me we're in a small room with an elephant it's right there look at it you know my friend sees it two of us see it you don't see the elephant if that's all you know about the story is there an elephant in the room more often than not no there's no elephant in the room because it is unusual for someone to subtract something from the environments right in front of them in

[8:20]

environments right in front of them in other words you it's if somebody has a hallucination or a we're a false kind of view of the world they're usually adding something to it it's not a hundred percent of the time but as a general rule somebody's adding something to the environment that wasn't there there they're imagining that there's a conspiracy they're adding the conspiracy to the situation if you have one person in the room out of three who can't see the elephant there's probably no elephants if the other two see it is probably because one of them who's hallucinating and convinced the other one that he sees it so there might be two hallucinations going on but hallucinations are viral that's what causes a hysteria you get a hysteria because people feed off the other people's hallucination my god you saw that this my neighbor is a witch well I wasn't seeing it before but now that you mention it I'm pretty sure I do see a witch when I look at her now so if you

[9:22]

witch when I look at her now so if you have two out of three Latinos saying this president is a monster and he hates us but you have one third who are looking at exactly the same information and they say we don't see it we knows it we're looking at the same stuff you're looking at and one third of us don't see it generally that means is not there now I can't say that this rule works in every situation in every way but follow it keep keep this rule in your mind and tell yourself okay you hear a story about five friends go into the forest for them report that they were picked up by an alien ship and probed the fifth one says that didn't happen was there an alien ship no no because the one who's believable is this is the one who didn't see the hallucination

[10:22]

one who didn't see the hallucination there are always the believable one the one the people who are adding something to the environment are usually the ones who are wrong all right here's some more did you see the president's tweet he retweeted Brad parse Cal's tweet in which Brad was mocking mr. Kelley and Conway so the husband of Kellyanne Conway keeps saying negative things about Trump and he said some more stuff recently we don't need to know his first name he's just mr. Kelly Ann Connolly for our purposes today he's just mr. Kelly and Conway so that's what Brad parse Kayla referred to a mess then the president tweeted I think he's just said what a loser
which first of all I love the fact that that's become normalized you know people always say don't normalize that don't normalize this I love the fact that the

[11:25]

normalize this I love the fact that the president can just mock this guy call him a loser and it's now normalized as presidential behavior like we're not really even we're not terribly offended no but nobody's nobody's talking about hey we've got to get that twenty-fifth amendment thing working because the president called somebody a loser on Twitter presidents can't do that my god the president can't act that way now we're just used to it we're completely normalized that the President of the United States tweeted that the husband of one of his closest advisors is a loser totally normal now and I don't see any reason it couldn't be because it doesn't hurt anybody but it takes it takes this you know the job of the presidency and he has literally combined it with a reality TV star mode he does it for the entertainment now the entertainment has a function which is it

[12:26]

entertainment has a function which is it moves your attention to where he wants it to be wants it to be so it was probably a slow news day and wasn't much else to tweet and and he was looking for an opportunity to slap down kellyanne's husband but here's the fun part do you think that the president tweeted that without talking to Kellyanne first now maybe not that day but I can guarantee you that the president and Kellyanne at some point recently had a conversation where the president said look I'm gonna have to hit him back you know that right and Kelly and Conway probably laughed and said of course well why would I expect you wouldn't of course you have to hit him back so the funniest part of the story is imagining the conversation between the president and Kelly and Conway before it happened because you know they talked about right so that's the funniest part of that story here's a another fun story is that

[13:33]

story here's a another fun story is that Ben oh it had to apologize for his I guess you'd call it a joke in which he said his wife was raising the children sometimes with his help and people said what do you mean sometimes with your help men you know the man has to be fifty percent involved to which I say one of them is running for president the other one is not running for president I always think I would think that whichever one the man or the woman which everyone is running for president might have a little less time might have a little less time so what I'm suggesting is that beto start campaigning with one of those BabyBjorn things you know the things where the is usually the dad when I see it it could be the mother but it's usually that where's this little contraption where the baby is attached to your chest he should just take that

[14:33]

to your chest he should just take that on the campaign trail now I know what you're saying his youngest kid is I think nine years old still he's a big guy he could probably strap a nine year old he's pretty tall right he can strap a nine year old to his BabyBjorn and just have that nine year old just hang in there and just walk around with with your nine year old just strapped to your chest it would be amazing that's not going to happen all right the ADL which is I understand a left-leaning organization did a study and they found that right-wing extremists murder is actually down under under Trump's administration now they don't report it exactly that way because apparently right-wing extremism has been high in the recent years so compared to say twenty years ago the rate of right-wing extremism or white supremacy

[15:34]

right-wing extremism or white supremacy extremism is higher than his bed but here's the interesting part it was way higher in the last two years of Obama so without exaggerating it is a fact that right-wing extremism in terms of killing went way down as soon as Trump got elected now I saw somebody I was in Twitter saying oh yeah yeah but that's because the last two years of the Obama administration you know Trump was already starting to campaign at least in 2015 so so really it was about Trump campaigning in 2015 to which I say that's a pretty weak argument if it's true that the last two years of Obama's presidency had much higher white supremacy right-wing violence than the first two years of the Trump presidency it's kind of hard to pin it on Trump

[16:34]

it's kind of hard to pin it on Trump kind of hard alright I saw that dallisa with Warren came out in favor of reparations I don't think she's alone right maybe you can help me with the names of the other Democrats who have gotten on that position but if there's one thing I can tell you this predictive we're not going to have the next president the next president will not be somebody who ever said hey let's think about reparations now some of you know that I've actually written about reparation and I've sort of done the mental experiment of could you do it it is there a way to do reparations which could be beneficial to heal some you know historical wound but here's the important part could you do it without taking it from white people who don't have any money it wouldn't make sense to

[17:37]

have any money it wouldn't make sense to tax white people who don't have anything or have very little to give it to black people because of because the legacy of racism and maybe because of an institutional racism that persists when the white people aren't doing well you know at least the bottom the bottom part of the white people category so could you could you come up with some way to do it where maybe only the richest are taxed or maybe there's only some category of thing that's taxed could you imagine for example that let's say we charge immigrants to come into the country and that that's the only tax and it goes toward reparations so you could imagine the tax we're the only people paying it are people coming into the country from the outside so you could you could game the system until there's something that looks like reparations without taking money from white people and just transferring it to

[18:37]

white people and just transferring it to black people all right which would be the the the pot the unpopular way to do it so but here's my point there is no situation in which somebody even using the word reparations can become president so if you want to do you're predicting of who might become president you can subtract everybody who said well I think about reparations I give a reparations to spend then nobody's going to become president with that plan they might get nominated but there's no way they can ever win the election so we have a report about I guess 60 minutes did a report about the alleged sonic weapon allegedly used in what the Cuban embassy in Canada and China or something and on Twitter when one of my Twitter buddies said well doesn't this show that

[19:38]

buddies said well doesn't this show that is real and so I looked at the transcript and I thought no it doesn't show that what it does show is that there are lots of people who think Israel what's missing are a motive of the the weird places that have happened like what what what government or person is concerned about the u.s. having embassy personnel in Cuba like what Cuba doesn't want to start trouble the Cuba would be the last country that wanted to do something like attack American diplomats it's the last thing they'd want to do what about Russia probably about the last thing they'd want to do what about anybody can you think of anybody who would want to do it even if you go all the way to Islamic terrorists even they wouldn't do it in those countries they'd do it somewhere else right so there there's no

[20:39]

somewhere else right so there there's no motive for it but you also have strong indications that some number of people who complained of symptoms do not have symptoms that could be traced to anything except no chance you know just normal symptoms so you know you know some of the people complaining are not the victims of a weapon so that would be you know a requirement afford to be a mass hysteria is you can confirm some of the people who believe the weapon was used in them you can you can know for sure that that's not true so that's I think that's the case there's some people who are definitely not credible claims you would need something like a motive even if you've stretched your imagination and I can't stretch mine enough to find a motive you would need to assume it's probably something like a state actor because it would be hard to build such a weapon and it would be even harder to smuggle it in what three different countries and set it up and

[21:40]

different countries and set it up and then get away with it you would need something like direct evidence in other words not just looking at the people but you'd you know like having on camera somebody running away with a sonic weapon or something so here's the bottom line so 60 minutes has reported basically that it's a sonic weapon no I don't think they go so far as to say it's true I think they stopped short of that and the evidence suggests you have that kind of an approach I'm gonna stick with my original prediction that they will never find direct evidence that they might find lots of indirect stuff like people complaining about things they might find people who have brain damage but I predict there will never be a direct to finding of an actual weapon now if I'm wrong add that to my list of wrong predictions if I'm right well there you go
go the news today says that Devin Nunez has

[22:41]

the news today says that Devin Nunez has filed a two hundred fifty million dollar lawsuit against Twitter the allegations are that I guess he doesn't like Twitter keeping things up there that are bad for conservatives but taking down things quickly that are would have been bad for the people on the left so that's his claim I don't know what the fact is behind that that's the claim and then something about channel banning during the election I think that's or maybe continuing so as shadow banning and it's that of the claim now I have a strong interest in Twitter not going away so the last thing I want is for Twitter to go into business I definitely don't want that most of you don't want that either because Twitter is really it's it's no longer just a product it's it's sort of evolved into the public mind it's almost like you know the public brain is now

[23:43]

like you know the public brain is now merged with Twitter you know it's that like that the thinking that happens in this country is largely informed by Twitter interactions and then it becomes the news and then everybody ears about it so in my opinion Twitter is sort of the brain of civilization right now so I don't think you want it to go out of business who knows what that would look like but I'll make a prediction there will be no finding that the senior levels of Twitter were aware of shenanigans with the algorithms meaning that there will be no finding that Jack Dorsey in particular was aware of anybody tinkering with anything for bad purposes he's certainly aware that there are lots of people on the Left who work for the company so that part's already in evidence he said that a number of times my best hypothesis based on my own experience is that the so called algorithm probably has a lot of people's

[24:45]

algorithm probably has a lot of people's fingers in it meaning it's probably a big complicated thing and when I say a lot of people maybe half a dozen maybe a dozen that most could be could be just two I don't know but maybe half a dozen people at Twitter have any control over any variable that goes into the algorithm that's just a guess now it's only based on experience working for big companies sort of a sort of a general knowledge of the world all right so I'm not you know I wouldn't bet my life on that but probably a small number of people have control over the algorithm and I think that we may someday find out that one or more of them had there had their finger on the scale but I don't think you'll find that it's in your senior management that's my prediction all right here's a interesting question of all of the mass murders by gun so if

[25:51]

of all of the mass murders by gun so if you look at all the mass murders by gun in the United States how many of them were performed by a current member of the NRA I've never seen that stat have you wouldn't you like to know if being in the NRA lowers your risk of being a mass killer to zero because I think it kind of does doesn't it and this this suggests an interesting an interesting path that's completely not obvious an interesting path for reducing gun violence and the path goes like this let me I'm just gonna throw this out here the this is an incomplete idea those of you who follow me know that I sometimes throw incomplete ideas because it changes how you you know think about things and maybe somebody can say well your idea is not quite right but if you added this change that could actually

[26:52]

added this change that could actually work so what I'm going for is the bad version of the idea and then think about it for a while and maybe there's something you could add to it that would slightly change it into a good idea and here's the bad version of the idea what if a requirement for owning a gun or let's say buying a gun requirement for buying a gun is he had to join the NRA
now you should say to yourself well that doesn't make sense because just the fact that you're forced to join the NRA that doesn't say anything about your intentions right if it's just something you have to check off on the list but my my belief is that the NRA is sort of a positive brainwashing organization meaning that they influence their members toward peaceful use of guns and even if you were just forced to join and

[27:52]

even if you were just forced to join and you started seeing gun safety information because let's say you got on the mailing list and let's say you bought a gun and the and you're automatically put into the NRA even though you didn't want to be Oh somebody's saying maybe just for rifles alright but hold that idea so you're put into the NRA even though you don't want to be now they start sending you stuff about Oh for 20 bucks or I don't know how much it costs you could buy a gun lock you know a trigger lock for your gun now this might be somebody who'd never would have thought of that wasn't really on the radar I don't really need a trigger lock but now the NRA sent it to them it along with the article that says it will reduce the number of accidental deaths in your house my you know X percent of whatever so the person says huh alright I'll get a gun look and now that guy's teenage kid can't take that gun to school and the NRA
NRA what about would have been the sort of

[28:53]

what about would have been the sort of the force that stopped it because it just educated the gun owner well a little bit extra passively you know the gun owner wasn't looking to get educated just check the mail and there was a gun lock advertisement it made them think about gun locks maybe they get one alright so the point is could you use what we know about the benefits of the NRA
NRA which is there the probably the lowest level of gun violence of any group ironically right now that's because you don't join unless you're already you know highly disposed toward nonviolent use of guns that's what makes you join right you're not the bad guy but the NRA also has a pretty good idea of what people are up to would they would being a member of the NRA make it easier to know if you are up to no good maybe you talked to a friend and the friends in

[29:54]

talked to a friend and the friends in the NRA and the friend says the stuff I heard from Bob it's starting to worry me and as a member of the NRA the last thing I want is for another member of the NRA to go kill a bunch of people with guns so if you were in the NRA and you knew that your per your let's say your brand was now connected to them and you heard somebody doing something suspicious maybe either they're requiring too many of the wrong kind of guns and you say to yourself well I know they don't hunt wouldn't you be a little more likely to drop a dime maybe inform somebody so it's a general statement and here's the idea the idea is that maybe being a member of a club that is dedicated to peaceful use of firearms would have a number of indirect influences that would cause people to use them less for violence maybe all

[30:57]

use them less for violence maybe all right another topic speaking of guns there's yet another design and the news of somebody who turned a small drone into a rifle so basically they put an actual rifle inside the drone and it just flies where it needs to fly and it shoots the gun and kill somebody now let me tell you where the world's going here's where it's goin pretty soon those little drones are gonna have GPS in them so that even if you jammed the signal they would still know where to go so you you could jam the connection between the the person controlling it and the drone which is the current technology but if the drone were self-contained and just had a GPS on it I think it would keep going if it were designed to do that secondly it won't be long before the drone can do facial recognition so how long will it be before I can 3d print my

[32:01]

long will it be before I can 3d print my own drone and gun I could take it out to my porch I could say there's some political leader who's gonna be at this this geography giving a speech outdoors and here's what his face looks like and I just send my drone from my my own driveway at home and it flies three miles with this gun it goes to the GPS coordinates of the person you want to assassinate and then it starts looking and until it gets a face match it doesn't do anything as soon as it gets the face match it kills how far away are we from that technology it's kind of here it's sort of here if you wanted to make a plastic gun that could fire one bullet I think you could 3d print that now how much of the the actual 3d I'm sorry how much of the drone could you print today with a 3d printer well most of the parts you know

[33:04]

printer well most of the parts you know certainly all the plastic parts all right so that's coming something to look forward to so my guess is that 3d printers will be illegal or at least 3d printers that are that capable will be illegal or your 3d printer can only work by being connected to the internet so imagine the 3d printers by law can only work if they're connected to the Internet and the reason for that would be so that Big Brother can watch what your date with 3d printing alright so they would know if you 3d printed a drone gun I think that's where it's going alright I have a prediction for 2020 are you ready here's my 2020 presidential prediction than a landslide for President Trump now that's a straight line prediction and that

[34:05]

straight line prediction and that prediction depends on something that's not going to happen so it depends on no big news between now and 2020 alright so if everything just went the way it's going it will be a landslide for the president here are the forces which are lining up in one new one that I'm going to add the forces are that the the Democrats are going to be savaging each other for months it's going to reduce the amount of negative attention on the president by about half and the reason it's going to reduce the pressure on the president in terms of how the news treats them is because of the shelf space of the news is the amount of hours that they can spend on stuff has to be dedicated to this new thing which is all these Democrats trying to get nominated so because they will suck up shelf space and because it used to be that a hundred percent of that shelf space was anti-trump necessarily just by math the

[35:08]

anti-trump necessarily just by math the the negative coverage of the president is going to reduce by half before the election now of course that half is going to get vicious but it also matters how often you see stuff so the frequency of reports is a big part of what makes you convinced this things true the frequency of bad news about the president could go down by 50% just because you have all this other stuff to talk about and they will be damaging themselves like crazy and trying to get left of each other etc until whoever is left will not be viable the the most likely result of the Democratic primary is the nomination of a non viable candidate what does non-viable mean well as I said earlier if one of the candidates that gets nominated has also been strong on reparations there isn't any chance they can get elected there's just no chance that that's just that a complete loser

[36:10]

that that's just that a complete loser way to go now on top of that you're gonna see a whole bunch of positive news for the president likely know again I'm only straight lining the prediction like if things go the way they're going so if things go the way they're going you probably will see the president winding down military in Syria winding down operations in Afghanistan getting to a better result in Yemen through our pressure you might see you're probably going to see stops and starts with North Korea but I don't think you're gonna see them testing another nuclear weapon so people are gonna say well or at least we're talking so things are going well in that area so you probably could have one of the strongest presidential performances of all time on top of that I think he's going to be able to put together some health care story that is similar to say look what Montana did we're going to take that model where they reduce their health care expenses substantially and we're just going to

[37:11]

substantially and we're just going to try to reproduce it now that would be a strong story compared to the the socialist model so if nothing changes it's going to be a massacre the you know the president is going to win easily but just to make sure that there's no doubt I'm going to introduce to you the kill shot for socialism I've watching all the experts on TV trying to argue against the socialism and I would say failing failing almost completely because it's hard to argue against you know health care and education and the things that they talk about that are the positives you know protecting the economy etc but are you ready for the kill shot

[38:16]

socialism is risky uh-huh one word risky because here are the things that everyone agrees the economy is the strongest it's ever been the United States is probably the strongest it's ever been we are the most stable powerful competent country in the history of civilization we are at our very best in terms of stability strength economics military period socialism even if you believe it's a good idea is risky it's risky because it's a big change to a system that's never been better so you're gonna have the best system that has ever existed in the history of civilization and I think you could quite credibly claim that the United States is that system strongest best economy just the best of everything you know for the most part that's an exaggeration but very sound if you say to voters who are

[39:18]

very sound if you say to voters who are largely older you know that socialism that they're talking about with that green new deal that might be that there might be something to that but it's risky and it's a risk of complete collapse it's really risky now could you sell socialism is risky well yes you say socialism has killed hundred million people though socialism is what gave you Venezuela socialism is what gave you and you could give other examples now let me tell you how people have been doing it wrong here's the wrong way to to argue against socialism socialism has killed a hundred million people in history if that's all you say is that persuasive no because the first thing I say is oh and having universal health care in Canada destroyed Canada what the hell are you talking about

[40:18]

talking about don't tell me about your socialism killed a hundred million people I'm looking at Canada and they're doing fine they got universal health care all right so it's a ridiculous thing to say so the people saying historically in these general ways countries that are completely different and in a different place and time had about bad outcome that's not persuasive that's just that something different happened in a different place in a different time that has no impact on the fact that I I look at candidates say oh they have universal health care what the hell are you talking about 100 million people died how many people died in health in Canada because they have universal health care zero you know so it's a ridiculous argument unless you have first framed it as socialism being risky if risky is the frame then you say I'm not saying that 100 million people are going to die I'm saying that's the

[41:20]

are going to die I'm saying that's the way it's usually gone and that's the risk we're talking about if you say we will turn into Venezuela people say we're not freaking Venezuela all right there's nothing about Venezuela there really is comparable to the United States and again Canada health care right we're not talking about Venezuela dictator we're talking about health care so Venezuela just by itself is not that persuasive because I think people look at and go it's just a different situation where we don't really line up with that situation so why would we get the same result but if you start by saying our system is really strong and it's producing more people under health care and we've got a lot more we can do but this is our strongest game the alternative might have some good points to it but it's really risky and could destroy the entire system and it's risky

[42:22]

destroy the entire system and it's risky because it's such a big change to a system that's working well if something is working really well do you break it now people will say what it's not working really well but they still understand that the United States is the strongest country in the world so even if you said well there's all these problems in the United States and you know they're poor people and the difference in income and you know these are all true but nobody's gonna argue the basic point that the United States is the strongest nation in the world on a lot of different levels so here's the kill shot you don't say capitalism is better than socialism that's a losing path you say that I don't know if socialism is good or bad but it's pretty damn risky when you've got something that's working great that argument pretty much guarantees Trump gets reelected unless there's some some new news that we don't know about all right see if we talk about

[43:25]

all right see if we talk about everything so far yes I believe we have one of these days I'm going to do a I'm gonna do a breakdown of of the candidates the Democratic candidates and I'll give you the persuasion filter on all the candidates I'm gonna wait a little bit on that you bi by the way it is inevitable it's just when that happens that's that's the question just when does it happen did I block Talib I did yes I blocked Talib let's let me mention one more thing when when people develop products this is a completely different topic when people develop products they usually say things such as this will make you more efficient this is fun this is does a

[44:26]

efficient this is fun this is does a function it solves the problem right so we talk about a product in terms of what it does for you but we sometimes miss the fact that the big the the objective of life is happiness right and I and ask myself what products would you create and what products would you choose to use if the way you manage your life is for happiness versus solving problems so for example your I'll use let me use Facebook isn't simple Facebook you can say solves a problem per se in the sense that that Facebook allows you to share pictures with people etc allows you know friends and whatever but does Facebook make you happy if you ask yourself does using Facebook make me happy then would

[45:27]

using Facebook make me happy then would you use it but I think the answer is no and and when did we get away from happiness being the thing now I think people would agree that Facebook is closer to a sort of a social requirement or an addiction or something but it's not something that you'd say I want a product that makes me happy so I think I'll go use in Facebook now let me give you the opposite example so Facebook is hugely excessive successful because it's addictive right and take my company is product called approach now but my startup has a few different products you've heard about the interface one that's one where you can talk to an expert or you can donate to somebody so you can sign up for the interface app and you automatically get a button on the app for people to donate to you if you're a creator or an artist so that's a that would be a alternative to patreon it cetera but one of our

[46:29]

to patreon it cetera but one of our products is called approach and it's a little personal app that lets you do what the uber app does but without a car in other words you can just tell somebody where you are and then you can track each other on the way to a meeting now the the app is free it's called approach you can find it in both stores and it works across you know Apple and Android so you can doesn't matter which one you have on either side and you don't need to have the app on the receiving side so if I have the app I can send you a link you never have to download the app you just click the link and a browser page will come up with a map it's not as good as having the app because you can't initiate an approach but for the purposes of meeting is perfect now let me contrast this do you remember the first time you used uber and you could tell that the ubirr car was coming because you can see it on your app didn't that make you happy it

[47:30]

your app didn't that make you happy it wasn't just that you found another mode of transportation uber was not directly just a way to get from a place to another place what uber did was they they sold you happiness every single time I look on the app and I can tell that the car is coming and I know the name of the driver I know the name of the car and I know exactly when he's going to be there and I can send him a message in case something comes up every time I use that it makes me happy all right likewise every time I meet somebody in my personal life and I've used this app both I and the recipient are happy we're happy because this makes me happy I can know exactly where people are now by the way the app isn't free but if you want to brand it the way this one's branded you see at the top it's got a little advertisement from my book if you wanted to brand it as a company so I said Bob's

[48:31]

to brand it as a company so I said Bob's plumbing there's an in-app purchase where you just upload your graphic and then the recipient of it looks like you're a professional business that has your own app so if you were a small company that has several service trucks you could just download this for free and you could use it for Freight and it would make all of your customers happy every time they every time you said you run the way they'd be happy because you were the one service company that actually showed where your truck was right but very much like door - does it Center except a better visual so if you know anybody who's got a small fleet of trucks and they don't want to spend any money and they want to make their customers happy this would do it but the larger point is called the approach app but the larger point is that we don't really think in terms of what makes us happy we think we think in terms of solving problems and maybe we need to

[49:33]

solving problems and maybe we need to step back every now and then and say yeah that product would solve my problem but would it make me happy all right that's all for now and I will talk to you later