Episode 400 Scott Adams: Northam, Russia, Spartacus

Date: 2019-02-02 | Duration: 48:48

Topics

How’s your week been Governor Northam? 2 rules apply. 48 Hour Rule: Clarify and/or sincerely apologize 20 Year Rule: Current behavior can redeem prior bad behavior It’s a 35 year old story, was he racist…and now he isn’t? Within the last 20 years, who is he, what are his actions? Our laws agree, we have the right to become better people Prisoners serve their time, are released and get second chance Has Northam been a race baiter and promoted lies like Charlottesville? If so…and it’s within the last 20 years, he’s gotta go “Offensive” and “racist” aren’t necessarily the same thing Unintentionally, a person can say or do offensive things CNN chyron identifies Dem Governor Northam as a Republican Did chyron creator do it intentionally? Did the chyron person’s mental bias assume racist = “R”? Has President Trump EVER had a better week? Great job numbers report Northam story is Christmas every day for President Trump Abortion painted in the worst possible way Chuck Schumer staffer got a “me too” INF treaty pullout, being tough on Russian treaty cheating CNN caught in chyron fake news Dems looking racist as they defend Northam Don Jr. phone calls proven innocent Venezuela and socialism branded worst possible way Huffington Post, Buzzfeed, Vice all had layoffs Cory Booker always looks surprised Wide-eyed surprised expression is persuasion technique Trying to persuade people of something you don’t believe

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> [!note] Rough Transcript
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## Transcript

[0:09]

hey is anybody around I'm coming to you a little bit later than normal because I'm in a different time zone and I can't get up that early still dark where I am hey everybody yes I'm I'm traveling so this week I'll be hey Pleasanton uh I will be a little later than normal oh you're having wine in Switzerland well why don't you raise your glass of wine for those of you who are not alcoholics in the United States raise your coffee your mug your glass your thermos your container your Stein your chalice fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me for the simultaneous sip
ah did you see in the news that there was a Hawaiian uh Airlines Hawaiian Airlines plane that

[1:11]

Airlines Hawaiian Airlines plane that took off from La for Maui and had to turn back three times uh that day I was on a Hawaiian Airline and in San Francisco to Maui so of of the two planes that were going to Maui from the two places on the West Coast one of them did not do well I was on the other one so I got lucky this time all right um somebody's asking me about Jack dorsy interview on Joe Rogan and somebody else said he mentioned the simultaneous sip but I don't know anything about that I I haven't I haven't seen that clip but I'll I'll look for that I I always like to catch up on my Joe Rogan um so let's talk about Northam shall we
has anybody ever had a worse week than Governor noram you know I shouldn't be laughing

[2:11]

noram you know I shouldn't be laughing about it I should not be laughing about it but it's so bad that I can't stop laughing at how bad it is and I swear to God even if this story was about me you know thank God it isn't but even if I had a week that was that bad I think I even I would laugh at it it's so it's so absurdly ridiculously bad I mean it starts out with uh being accused of wanting to kill live babies after birth now if nothing else had happened in his life except being accused of wanting to kill live babies after birth he'd sort of be that guy forever so what is the only way that you can get that reputation you know pushed down a little bit the only way you can make people stop thinking about your reputation as a baby killer is just to

[3:11]

reputation as a baby killer is just to have somebody dig up a photo when you were 25 of either in blackface or in in a KKK outfit we don't know which one now let's let's put all this in context uh there there are of course many layers of this story so on the political level he's toast right there there's no realistic way that he has a future in politics now I assume he'll be driven out of office uh because if he's not it's the best thing in the world for Republicans there is nothing better you could do for a president Trump or for Trump's reelection there's nothing the Democrats could do that would be better than keeping this guy his job it would be the ultimate so I'm expecting president Trump to say why why don't you just keep him
him there give him a pass um but of course it's

[4:14]

pass um but of course it's politics and so there there's no forgiveness in politics if you're on the other side so on a on a social level and on a political level there's not much to say about it cuz he's he's as toasted as you can get um
but let's talk about it on the persuasion level right now remember when we talk about the persuasion level uh on letting you make your own moral and ethical judgments right so so don't don't uh don't imagine that you're seeing my ethical or moral opinions here I'm just talking about what's persuasive and what is
is not if you had been him and you got caught with that photo did he handle it well well his approach was to take full responsibility and I kind of like the fact that he didn't clarify which which which one he was he did not clarify

[5:15]

which one he was he did not clarify whether he was the the person pictured in blackface or the picture person the picture the person pictured in the KKK Hood I actually thought it was smart of him to not say there's a difference because if he if he tried to you know make any distinction between oh this one wasn't as bad as that one that would just be far worse so oh he's now saying he wasn't either oh he says he doesn't believe it was him but he apologize for it well maybe that's the better play um
um okay what would what is the only thing that could be worse than than being pictured either in blackace or in a KKK uniform while you're sitting Governor the only thing worse is to is to admit it was you and then later say no I definitely would have done those things so I took responsibility but turns out

[6:18]

so I took responsibility but turns out it was a picture of somebody else being a
a racist now given that he also had uh a racist sounding nickname which I'm not even going to say on here which started with the the sea um you know you all saw it given all that yeah given his nickname that was also in the the year the yearbook it would be pretty hard to imagine it wasn't him or at least he wasn't part of a group who talked and acted this way all right so if we can ignore for a moment the question of whether it was him and let's assume that it was what would be the best defense if you were him so he took the apology route and we're going to talk about the 48 hour rule and the 20year rule in a minute here would have been the better defense and again I'm not defending him cuz he's toast right there's just no way

[7:19]

cuz he's toast right there's just no way he comes back from any of this um but we're just talking about persuasion and what would be effective he missed I think an obvious play what kind of costumes do you wear uh on Halloween let's see if you can get there before I finish the thought what kind of costumes do people wear on Halloween and somebody says it's indefensible yeah it's indefensible on a political level no doubt about it and on the social level it's indefensible but what what's the best thing he could have done
right here's the answer Halloween is when you dress up as a
monster Halloween is a day that everybody agrees you dress up as a monster meaning that the the context was that it was the most monstrous thing

[8:20]

that it was the most monstrous thing that they could think of and as is often the case people people sometimes go as paars so if you were uh who who are the guys who had had the lion the tiger act and got Maul Sig freed and Roy do you remember after Sig freed and Roy whichever one it was Roy I think it was Roy who got attacked and eventually died from the tiger wounds well I went to a party with no I didn't go to a party but I saw a costume of somebody who shall remain nameless wearing a Sig freed and Roy costume where they went as a a pair uh no actually I think he just went as Roy and it was the most offensive horrible thing and it was too soon but that was kind of the point right so Halloween is a bunch of people trying to dress up in the scariest you know worst costumes

[9:23]

scariest you know worst costumes so uh the smartest play and I'm not saying it's true I'm not saying that's what he was thinking I'm not defending him he's he's definitely toast no matter what it's it's offensive no matter what you say but his better defense would have been um stop making excuses right I'm going to block anybody who says apologist we're making excuses because I've so clearly demonstrated that that's not what I'm doing right if you can't get that simple point I'm going to block you just because you you haven't pass the you haven't passed the listening test all right so um keep in mind that he's being accused of wearing the most offensive costume you maybe probably the most offensive thing you could possibly do I don't know how you could top that his best offense would be to say that's why I did it it was the most

[10:24]

that's why I did it it was the most monstrous thing and 35 years ago uh we were all idiots and we didn't realize how we didn't realize how bad it was but time has gone by I've become smarter and I certainly you know wouldn't do that today I'm embarrassed that I did it then but you have to understand the context is that I did it because it was so awful that was the joke now uh I see uh now tell me would that defense have been better or worse than what he did cuz what he did end his career by taking responsibility for
it all right secondly it doesn't really matter how yeah so there's no somebody somebody mentioned but he wouldn't be able to um explain away his nickname actually he could because if his nickname came

[11:24]

could because if his nickname came about because of uh if his nickname came about because of the costume he wore then that would be a nickname assigned by other people based on the costume so it would be an offensive racist uh nickname but it wouldn't be one he gave himself it would be it would be a nickname other people assigned to him based on his offensive uh costume all right so I'll say again just for those coming in late uh nobody can defend his choice he was an adult and he did possibly the most offensive thing you could possibly do by today's standards and it should have been standard then but it wasn't meaning that people were people were just worse people back 35 years ago pretty much all of us um so now let's talk about the 48 hour rule and the 20-year rule these are two things which um I've concocted to

[12:25]

two things which um I've concocted to try to make the world a better place and let's see if it applies in this case so the 48 hour rule says that if you clarify something or apologize within 48 hours and it's a a believable clarification and it looks like a sincere apology whichever is whichever is
is appropriate that we accept it and that we don't try to read people's minds it's like oh you say you apologize but I think in your mind you mean something different and if somebody clarifies what they meant you should not say yeah the clarification makes perfect sense but I think in your mind you were thinking something else so it's a it's not a world you want to live in where you don't accept apologies all right so let's see if that applies to his case now in the case of the the abortion situation in the case of the abortion situation um I thought the 48h hour rule was was applicable meaning that he said

[13:26]

was was applicable meaning that he said something that he totally mangled uh in that video we all saw and even if you see it in his full context it's still mangled but to me anyway it was obvious he did not mean killing live babies just because you were upset about it which is the way it was interpreted he did clarify and I want to be very careful that he he clarified it from killing live babies just because you feel bad
bad essentially he said we don't mean that but it was a discussion about late term abortion so you can still hate him you know if you want to hate him for being in favor of late term abortions for any reason you know that's that's a separate conversation but in terms of whether he was clear he was not and then he clarified and I think it would be appropriate to say Okay I accept the clarification as I did you can still hate the policy but at

[14:27]

did you can still hate the policy but at least we know understand what he was trying to say and for those of you who are who haven't caught up yet uh the what he meant to say or meant his reading's mind an accurate description of the bill would have said that the only case that you can talk about aborting the baby in late term is when the mother's life or uh or bodily injury were at stake so if he'd said it that way
way you would still hate it because most of you don't like late term abortions but at least it would be accurate right so uh and the misreported part the most misreported part was the the mental health of the mother and people said are you kidding me if the baby is born alive you're going to look at the baby's the mother's mental health and say she would she would have bad mental health if you keep it alive are you kidding me that's the most Draconian awful thing I've ever

[15:28]

the most Draconian awful thing I've ever heard and of course it wasn't true nobody ever contemplated that the mother's mental state could affect whether the baby lived or died that's not in the bill nobody ever compliment contemplated that what the language that made people think that was that um and I finally saw the actual language somebody's yelling it's true in all caps now here's here's what you got fooled by the people in all caps yelling it's true it's true the mother's mental state now that's fake news the the real the real Bell if you read it talks about um mental damage so if there's a situation where um completing the normal term and normal birth could lead to the mother having brain damage we're not talking about being upset we're not talking about you know some bipolar thing we're talking about actual brain damage uh was the was the consider

[16:29]

damage uh was the was the consider that was the consideration as to whether an abortion was on the table or not so if the doctor said if you carry this this baby to term you could be dead the mom or the mom could have permanent brain damage then the bill would allow the mother and the doctor together to make a decision about basically who lives or dies it' be a decision about whether the mother is more protected from danger or the the baby is more protected so again again I'm not giving you an opinion on it nobody nobody here is comfortable with late term abortions under any under any circumstances I'm sure uh so anyway he he clarified you can still hate him for what he wanted to do but don't hate him for the the things you imagined you know that you most of you got taken in by the fake news and by the way I I checked the Fox News site Fox News is now correctly reporting

[17:29]

Fox News is now correctly reporting um I'm not going to say it was incorrect before but let's say there were a lot of personalities on Fox News who had slightly different takes on this story at the moment what looks to be Fox News official take is that um the the governor was unclear and that some conservative commentators they don't name names but you you probably know what them all and they said some conservative commentators interpreted it as being the worst case scenario as I just described so even Fox News has admitted that we don't know exactly what he meant but he he didn't say it clearly and then he created his own
own problem um so if you're hearing it from Fox News and you're hearing it from CNN that he spoke unclearly that's a pretty good pretty good indication that it was his Clarity that was the problem and then secondarily once he said it

[18:31]

and then secondarily once he said it clearly a lot of people still had a problem with it and that's why he got defeated all right now you've got that going for you and um I would say in that case the 48h hour rule for clarifications Applied if he'd never done anything else bad I would have said you know you can hate him for his policies but don't hate him for one unclear statement that would be kind of harsh the 20-year rule is another rule that I suggest which is that if somebody did something bad and especially somebody in public office so this would apply to everybody but more so to people in public office if there's something they did more than 20 years ago you should discount it and depending on how big it was and how far away it is you probably should discount it to close to zero those of you who um are famili familiar with economics and and financial forecasting

[19:32]

economics and and financial forecasting you know there's something called a discount rate when you're predicting the future and you say uh what's a dollar worth in today's money if I have to wait 10 years to get it if you have to wait 10 years to get a dollar it's worth 50 cents if you have to wait 20 years to get a dollar it's worth about 25 cents that not really but I'm using you know gross uh generalities here
and and the point is uh that you should not discount distant things the way you would the way you would value current things the problem is when we look at uh northam's story about the blackface and the KKK costume our brains bring that to the present so at the same time you are logically and rationally saying to yourself oh that thing happened 35 years ago your brain is seeing it now and and the now makes much somebody's still back

[20:35]

the now makes much somebody's still back on brain damage uh and
and so the I'm watching your comments so people starting to flip out this is such a triggering triggering uh topic um but wait till I get to my final conclusion here before you decide you hate it uh so we're processing it like it's new news because it's new to us so your the level of offensiveness is a little higher than you know it would be if if you had known all along that it happened 35 years ago um the next next consideration is how old was he and 25 is definitely too old to give him a pass for being a kid all right so I think we'd all agree 25 is not that's literally the age at which you know science says your brain is finally matured right even at 21 I would feel different about it because

[21:37]

would feel different about it because the difference between a 21y old and a 25y old is actually pretty big that could be a pretty big difference now here's the other thing 100% of us who are old enough to be in this age range so let me just speak for the older people and this will be true for younger people as well any anybody in my age or older used to be worse people period used to be worse people everything was different 35 years ago the the things which were mildly acceptable now are the and by mildly acceptable I suppose you could just say you know not many people complained which is different than being acceptable um
um and 35 years ago people were worse people if the governor if the governor is telling the truth and who knows what the chances of that are but if the

[22:38]

the chances of that are but if the governor is telling the truth then he used to be a racist I mean using his own word because he said he did something racist so I guess that would be fair but that he's not now and here's the interesting question here and I uh I've not gotten to the conclusion here yet but here's the interesting question if it's true that he used to be that guy you know more racist more unaccepting more everything if he used to be that guy but he's not now should you condemn him or should you praise him if somebody used to be bad and they've worked their whole life to you know kind of become a better person and to be useful do we discount that do do you want to punish somebody for being a turd more than 20 years ago um I I don't think you want to live in

[23:39]

um I I don't think you want to live in that world now remember we're we're in the context of
um your comments are funny uh we're in the context of we just saw uh bipartisan legislation pass on prison reform now the big thing that both sides agreed on with prison reform is that enough is enough in terms of paying for your crime and that you can have a crime that's too big all right you can have a crime I'm sorry you can have a punishment that's that's too big and too long for the for what the crime was and part of the prison reform thing was to um to create let's say a a national attitude if you will that bad people can be redeemed or that people have done bad things can be redeemed through good work in the future so you did commit the crime you paid you paid a lot of time in jail and now you're going to work hard

[24:39]

jail and now you're going to work hard and learn a skill so that you can get out and and be useful so on prison reform we have decided that what you did 20 years ago roughly speaking it we're going to discount it if you've been good since then in other words if you've been a good prisoner and you've learned earn a skill and you haven't done anything in prison that would suggest you're slipping backwards Society is said it's a better world it's a better world if we allow people to improve so if you take that standard that both Democrats and Republicans embraced that it's a better world if you let people appr improve should they be inclined to do that uh you should just give them that freedom the freedom to get better let's say let's call it the freedom to become a better person and I think 20 years is generous because if I looked at things which I've said or done let's say 35 years ago I

[25:41]

said or done let's say 35 years ago I sure as hell wouldn't support them you know I sure as hell wouldn't say um that I would like to be judged in my current you know would you if you're 60 years old would you want to be judged by your 25y
25y self I I would never want that standard to be something that we accept as a good standard so um so let me give you my bottom line are you ready for the bottom line on the 48 hour rule I accept his clarification I think he he was misinterpreted but it was his own fault because he said it so unclearly maybe he didn't even read the bill you know he looked like he wasn't informed about it or something um but whatever the problem was that was his problem he he corrected it I accept it even if I don't like the bill itself which is a separate question on the the picture of him in

[26:45]

question on the the picture of him in either blackface or the KKK uh the 20-year rule normally I would I would say let's get over it normally I would say 20 years 35 years uh I would I would give him the same Grace that I gave Hillary Clinton the same Grace that I gave president Trump which is if something happened back then let's let's move on because that's not who they are right now but but there's kind of a special case in this case and uh I've only seen this on social media so maybe some of you can confirm it is it true that noram has accused there there we go we see it in the comments is it true that he has accused his uh opponents of being racist now I believe that's true right he's a Democrat so he probably has has he accused president Trump of being a

[27:47]

he accused president Trump of being a racist but he has and if he has he has not apologized for it he has not clarified it and it was not 20 years ago so because he has doubled down on his his own past meaning if he acted like a racist in his own words you know it's not even my interpretation his own words he acted like a racist and he's calling other people racist today uh I'm just going to yeah I'm just going to say that uh that guy's got to go there I wouldn't yeah I think he even brought up the Charlottesville hoax uh by the way some of you don't know that charlotsville was a hoax because it's still reported on CNN like it really happened and really happened what I mean by that I'm not talking about the violence of course that really happened and there were actual Neo-Nazi

[28:48]

happened and there were actual Neo-Nazi white supremacists that all really happened the part that's the fake news is that when the president said there were both there were fine people on both sides of the state statue question the Confederate statute question uh CNN and all of his enemies said hey the president just said uh that white supremacists are fine people which of course is not what he said and then you know in short time later he he clarified it to say of course he didn't mean that no nobody's saying good things about the white supremacist so so if it's true and I believe it is that Northam has been a race baiter and the and the race baiting he's done was based on lies then I say he cannot be forgiven so I passed judgment on Governor Northam and I think you've watched me for a while right you you've been watching me for a while you know that I'm going to give I'm going to give a pass to anybody

[29:50]

give I'm going to give a pass to anybody who is sincerely improved and become a better person but if he's used racial politics and apparently he has he's not a better person he is not a better person and he does not get he does not get my uh he he is not blessed by me so uh I assume he's toast and I I assume that the longer he stays in office the better it is for Republicans because if if if the Democrats can't police their own side uh to that level uh they've got a lot to answer for now I would like to make a distinction that you might not like yeah it's is raining like crazy right now that's what you
you hear um I see in the news that people often conflate racism with being offensive and I think it would be useful to distinguish between the

[30:52]

to distinguish between the two because if you take the the norn uh photos it doesn't matter which one he was the blackface character or the KKK costume whichever one he was we would all agree it's offensive right there there's no question about that that if you say something's offensive that's usually an observation so you can just observe hey Bob are you offended by this and Bob says yes I am that's it you just observed that it's offensive So when you say that those pictures are are offensive that's just a fact people are offended but if you call it racist you're making an assumption about the inner thoughts of the people involved which is not an Evidence you can make the assumption but it would it would only be that it would be your assumption so if you look at those pictures it is very clear that the people who you know were in the black face and the KKK costume un

[31:54]

in the black face and the KKK costume un unless the guy in the KKK costume was a black guy by the way somebody suggested that the the funniest ending to this whole thing would be to find out that the guy in the KKK costume was actually a black classmate now if that ever came out it would be the funniest twist to this of all times because then we'd say oh okay that's okay cuz then you know they're both in on it and that's why the two of them were pictured because they came as a as a pair of offensive you know anac context things I don't think that's the case but it would be an interesting twist to it anyway my point is that there's no question that what he did was offensive but if you take it to the next level and say that it was racist um that's more of an inner thought situation which is not an Evidence because it's entirely possible that he was a 25-year-old in a place where um he didn't think that he would

[32:54]

where um he didn't think that he would run into anybody who would be offended he would be WR probably but maybe he thought he wasn't even going to offend anybody uh and they would just take it as the joke that he meant it today and he may not have had a a racial overt thought now you could argue that not knowing how offensive that is is racist by itself but that's that's kind of the you got to stretch it a little bit so here's my point uh whe whether it's this situation or others we should always make that distinction between things which are offensive which is objectively true when you see that somebody is actually offended versus racism which talks about their inner thoughts which often are not in not in evidence so I think that's we should always have that caution to say offensive and racist don't always have to be together th those could be separate things and you nobody in the

[33:57]

separate things and you nobody in the world is d is dumb enough to say that in public except me all right
um yeah you you never get away with parsing this stuff yeah we talked about the nickname and as I said earlier in all likel in all likelihood the nickname was assigned to him in other words it's very unlikely that he came up with with that nickname for himself uh I had a nickname in college for 4 years that wasn't my nickname it was somebody else assigned a nickname to me and that was my name for four years yeah no M if you say a man in all caps and yell at me it it's not really helping the process here so for those of you would like to yell that nickname at me in all caps because why

[34:58]

caps because why why since we've already talked about it why are you yelling at me like it's proving a new point it does not tell you his internal thought process it tells you what other people assign to him that's what nicknames are people don't make up their own nicknames in college that ends up you know more often than not it's a sign to you it's not something that you come up
with so I'm going to block this person who said that I'm defending racis um so if you came in late everybody who says inaccurately that I'm defending him or defending racist uh they you all get blocked and it's only because you're not listening because I'm so clearly telling you that's not what's happening here uh
right um yeah now the other funny part of the story is that CNN ran a Chiron the little message that goes across the

[35:58]

the little message that goes across the bottom of the screen in which they they labeled as the governor was apologizing they labeled him a
republican now
now um now many of you are asking okay did CNN do that intentionally did they intentionally mislabel him as a republican because he was being blamed of racism and it would be a funny thing um so here's my speculation on that the odds that they did that intentionally meaning that somebody made a conscious decision say oh let's let's label this guy a republican uh and and by the time we apologize for it nobody nobody will notice the correction uh many of you are saying yes I will tell you based on my many years in the media that the answer is all most certainly

[36:59]

certainly no I if you made me bet on it I'd give you uh probably 10:1 100 to1 odds against it being intentional yeah the odds that CNN would do that intentionally are basically zero here's why because the odds of being caught are 100% if you see somebody doing something wrong in which the odds of being caught at that thing they would have known before they did it they would have known the odds of being caught are 100% you don't do that right no nobody's going to make that mistake and not you know nobody's going to do that intentionally and act like they think they're not going to get caught so let us compare two possibilities yeah number one is that the whoever did the Chiron had a bias that if somebody's apologizing for

[37:59]

that if somebody's apologizing for racism they're probably a republican so the by and large by a far away you know not even close the odds are that that was actually a mistake based on some internal bias about who are who are the racists and who are not uh compare that to somebody intentionally put that there and thought that that that that would be good for CNN or good for the world or something how they wouldn't get fired for it and none of that makes sense right no nobody would consciously make that decision it would be a Bad Bet now remember I'm the guy who tells you I'm the guy who tells you uh that whenever there's a situation where there's a big upside benefit and it's illegal or immoral and you can't get caught that that's going to happen every time so wherever you see a situation where somebody thought they wouldn't get caught and there was a big upside

[39:01]

caught and there was a big upside potential you you always bet that people are going to do bad things then but in a case where there's very small upside it's not like a you know nobody's going to get rich over this it's a very small crime with a small benefit even if you imagine they did it intentionally the benefit is so small but the risk is enormous embarrassment and that is not risk it's guaranteed the enormous embarrassment is just guaranteed there was no way it wasn't going to happen so in that situation you can reliably say it was an
accident um I know you don't like to come here and see me defend CNN but you have to I think you have to be a little bit reasonable about what you assume people will do in these situations and it would not be reasonable that they did that int did that intentionally uh it was s successful did

[40:03]

intentionally uh it was s successful did they correct uh yes so I just this morning I watched a uh I watched the video of it and at the end of the video they run a big full page correction that says that the Kiron was wrong on that so they do have the correction now I know what you're going to say you're going to say but nobody sees the correction they only see the original thing hey you'd be right about that uh but although but maybe in this in this particular case there's probably going to be more attention to the correction just because of the the weirdness of the situation all right
uh they are not embarrassed well I can't imagine you know again we can't read their minds but how how would anybody not be embarrassed by that do I have a place in Hawaii I do not but I am in the same place I've been

[41:07]

not but I am in the same place I've been before but if someone heard the story only once uh that is
correct it's not a defense of the bias yeah the bias of course I'm not defending I'm just saying that's the more rational explanation all right now at the same time so let's put this in political context so if you're a president Trump this whole Northam story is the best thing that you could have ever been given like it's it's Christmas every day that we're talking about this so that's amazing um for the president secondly I guess Chuck Schumer's one of his higher-end staffers just got a Meed so you got Schumer staffer we've got mude you've got this Northam thing that's got both racism and late term abortion in it which is just you know politically powerful stuff and uh and

[42:11]

politically powerful stuff and uh and then you've got the Russia situation we we're pulling out of some missile treaty now think about all the things that people say about Trump and look how perfectly all this fits into his his his view of the world you've got see Court in what looks like fake news with that Republican Democrat thing on the Chiron you you've got abortion uh painted in its worst possible you know look you've got Democrats being uh not only looking racist themselves talking about Northam uh but then a lot of people are going to be in the going to be in the uh position of defending them I suppose uh and then you've got the thing where we've canel this deal with Russia and we're acting tough on Russia and and the uh the Don Jr situation where there was this mysterious phone call that they

[43:11]

was this mysterious phone call that they thought was to the president has now been shown not to be about anything about the president so pretty much everything's going right for the president this week mostly by accident yes I am at the Montage good guess
and so I don't I don't think the president's had a better week oh and then Venezuela right so as we're watching Venezuela collapse uh socialism socialism is being branded in his worst possible look we yeah we're seeing we're also seeing massive layoffs at The Huffington Post uh BuzzFeed and I think Vice too so I don't think has the president ever had a better week can anybody think of a better week that the president has ever had uh now let's talk about Cory Booker so Corey Booker has announced as everybody expected um and here's my my take on Cory

[44:12]

um and here's my my take on Cory Booker he's he doesn't have I don't know what it is there's something unsettling about him and it could be his eyes like his eyes are too wide or something uh you know he looks like he's surprised all the time and one of the things I've been looking for is if you see people trying to convince you on television of things they don't believe themselves look at how their eyes go a person who's trying to persuade you of something they themselves don't believe uh they have those eyes so these are the eyes where some where somebody will let's say I was trying to convince you that um of of what trying to think something that's so outrageous that it's not true but that's hard in this world say I was trying to convince you we should uh cut taxes on bald people and i' I'd be like

[45:13]

taxes on bald people and i' I'd be like yeah we should definitely cut taxes on bald people and and look for this in the future look for when somebody's trying to convince you of something that's pretty out there look how their eyes go they they go they get big I haven't decided if that's if there's anything scientific to that so this is just anecdotal but I've been noticing this for years um and could be a coincidence but but look for that I don't think Cory Booker has the weight he doesn't there's something about him and I can't put my finger on it that's lacking a level of I don't know gravity or gravitas or uh seriousness or something I can't really put my eyes on it can't put my eyes on it can't put my finger on it but I don't think he's got a chance now um as the president said um now I want to ask you a question for

[46:14]

um now I want to ask you a question for those whove been watching my periscopes for a while did anybody um confidently predict that Kamal Harris would be the the Democrat Choice before I did have you seen anybody who who has been saying because I'll tell you I I think I've been saying it since spring so maybe eight months or so uh I've been saying that she would be the the Democratic Choice do you have you seen anybody else at least in the pundit class who called her that early I'm just wondering well yeah some citizens did um but have you seen anybody in the professional class who called her early cuz I'm sure there have been I just don't know um I will tell you I probably shouldn't tell you this I'm going to tell you something I'm not supposed to tell you

[47:14]

something I'm not supposed to tell you are you ready so for those of you who waited till the end of the Periscope you you get the thing that I'm not supposed to
to say um you know that I met with President Trump in August and we chatted about a number of things and of course I can't tell you what the subject of the conversations were nothing important you know it wasn't wasn't anything that would change your opinion about anything but um I will tell you that um I made a prediction to him personally and I told him that Kamala Harris would be the person to worry about and that she had the best chance of being the nominee so um that's how early I was calling it Bill Mah or somebody said um if you have a date for when Bill Mah called it that would be cool um somebody saying that she'll Peak too soon yeah

[48:21]

maybe when did so I'd like to see a uh like to see some dates as to when um Bill Maher called it and so we can compare all right um Hugh ht's been saying it for a year yeah if anybody has any dates on those I'd like to compare it but I think it's going to be another situation where I was I was in early okay uh that's all I have to say and I'm going to go do something else and I will talk to you later