Episode 326 Scott Adams: China, Mass Migration, Peak Climate Change, Fusion Power, Misandry

Date: 2018-12-05 | Duration: 23:31

Topics

President Trump’s tweet on Fentanyl death penalty Unlimited power from fusion reactors is getting closer to reality Yellow vested French workers will be out of work in 10 years Countries who do and don’t control immigration in 10 years Other countries are beginning to want their own President Trump Populations are reaching peak tolerance for taxes Climate change feels closer to resolved, rather than dire Kirsten Gillibrand tweets “our future is female” A Senator is allowed to say that? The future is NOT equality, that ISN’T what we seek? The future is men against women? 48 hour rule is in effect for clarification

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> [!note] Rough Transcript
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> This is an auto-generated transcript and may contain errors.

## Transcript

[0:04]

didn't intent thing but boop-boo-boo-boop Uncle Joe am always in here quickly you've got the fastest fingers in all of the planet hey Ryan and Ray Brian Tyler do you all have your coffee or the beverage of your choice I'm very permissive with my simultaneous hips get in here and enjoy with me the simultaneous up it's time for coffee with Scott Adams grab your mug your stein your glass your cup your container your chalice fill it with your favorite beverage I like coffee and join me for the simultaneous sip mine is prescription strength I would like to start off with a tweet from my

[1:06]

like to start off with a tweet from my president I'm calling him my president today because I like what he did in this tweet and what he did that he's talking about I will just read it to you if you have not seen it this is a tweet from this morning from President Donald J Trump it's a two-parter he says one of the very exciting things to come out of my meeting with President Xi of China is to promise to me to criminalize the sale of deadly fentanyl coming into the United States so far so good it will now be considered a quote controlled substance this could be a game-changer on what is I'm now moving to the second part of the tweet considered to be the worst and most dangerous addictive and deadly substance of them all last year over 77,000 people died from fentanyl that's a little bit of an exaggeration but it's in the ballpark if China cracks down on this quote horror drug using the death

[2:07]

quote horror drug using the death penalty did I say the death penalty for distributors and pushers the results will be incredible and so I drink to effective government one that listens to the people one that takes bold action to get things done this is how it's supposed to work now we're not done we don't know if China is going to do what it's supposed to do but so far it's looking promising share a drink with me
now there was some reporting last day or two in which people were saying hey how come China is not reporting the good news or the progress made in at the g20 whereas the United States is growing that we got some things but China is kind of silent on it my guess on that

[3:10]

kind of silent on it my guess on that this is just a guess because I live in the real world is that nobody in China was willing to write a story until they were really really sure or President Xi said and what he would be okay with them printing cuz it's China and President Xi may have just been busy he's got a lot of he's got a big country to run he's traveling around so yeah so they made remarks today that apparently were were positive but it would make sense to me that they would not have an immediate response because it's a complicated topic you know who gave wire to promised what who's doing what in terms of the tariffs in the trade war so I think the press in China probably just waited because they couldn't afford to get it wrong there you know you don't even want to be ten percent wrong because it looks like it's coming from Qi and and that would give away their negotiating position if they said oh yeah we're giving away this was that could have

[4:11]

giving away this was that could have been embarrassing people could get in trouble so I think they were quiet just because they needed to wait and make sure they really knew what the what President Xi had promised or not promised now let's read some more of my so I've got another tweet I tweeted around about nuclear fusion if you don't know nuclear fusion is that long-promised technology that's always promised but never arrives and the idea is that instead of nuclear nuclear fission which we have now which is wasteful and dangerous in some ways that you could create unlimited energy in a fairly safe way through a different technology called fusion now the reason that we've never been able to create these so-called fusion reactors is because apparently the biggest engineering challenge was the magnets so

[5:14]

engineering challenge was the magnets so the way the way they have to contain the reaction is through enormous magnetic fields because it's the only way to contain it and apparently there have been breakthroughs recently in materials you know in the material science that would create new types of magnetic materials which at least on paper they think they can they can engineer something in the next three years to to refine the engineering to the point where it can reach this level of magnetic strength to hold the reaction in now that as I understand it is the last of the engineering challenges and on paper it's pretty close to working meaning that it might be just some fiddling with the engineering of it so whereas it used to be science fiction meaning somebody had to invent something that didn't exist in order for a fusion

[6:16]

that didn't exist in order for a fusion to work at this point it looks like everything's been invented now I told you this maybe a year or two ago that I know somebody who's a major investor in this space somebody who's actually investing in fusion and one of the smartest people you'll ever meet his name but you know hugely successful richer than richer than God type of person who told me privately that now wasn't wasn't involved it told me privately that fusion is reduced now to an engineering problem meaning that the science has actually been solved if they can get these magnets to actually work in an actual engineered way so I would liken it to building let's say somebody decided to build a building that's twice as tall as all current buildings well we don't exactly know how to build that

[7:17]

don't exactly know how to build that building probably you know the architects would have to play with the engineers they'd have to adjust things because you wouldn't do it exactly like the existing buildings and just make it taller you probably have to do extra engineering to make it a strong enough but we know how but you know if we wanted to build a building that was twice as tall as all existing buildings it could be done it's an engineering problem it's not a science problem so it looks like fusion has been reduced to an engineering problem and we might see something in ten years now the fusion is a big game-changer because what happens when you have self-driving cars and unlimited to cheap energy you see what did you see all those people rioting in France they were wearing the the green jackets so those are the green jackets that everybody who drives for a living in front in France where so whether

[8:18]

in front in France where so whether they're truckers or a cab drivers or whatever all of those people are going to be unemployed all of them because the self-driving trucks and cars with their unlimited inexpensive energy will take over that entire industry now here's one of the one of the filters of the world that not everybody shares I'm going to tie together a few few points so we talked about fusion will make you know the driving industry just go that between you know self-driving vehicles plus unlimited energy people are just going to be looking for other jobs here's a point in economics that I have not heard anybody say as clearly as I'm going to say it right now
are they yellow vests somebody say when yellow green a hundred years ago almost

[9:24]

yellow green a hundred years ago almost all immigration was good because a hundred years ago you didn't have technology and if somebody came in and they didn't have an education you can still put a right to work you could clear a little extra farmland and grow a little extra stuff because now you have more employees you also had not much in the way of social services so if somebody came in a hundred years ago they added to the economy immediately because they could do the work and we needed workers there was no you know no room constraints because the country was still you know it just seemed to be like there was lots of room and there were no social services so nobody was paying taxes to support them today the situation is reversed because we're right at the point where even the people who already have jobs the people in their yellow vests for example they're not going to be employed in ten years they won't have jobs in ten years at least not same ones they have and the

[10:26]

least not same ones they have and the people coming into the country will only be able to do the types of jobs that don't exist and they'll be coming into countries with robust welfare systems so everything that worked about the economy economics of migration in the past the fact that we didn't have a welfare support system and the fact that there were unlimited manual jobs this completely reversed so now there's a huge welfare system and all of those jobs are going away in fact there might be enough for the people who are already here so I was checking my portfolio this morning and I realized that if you're if you're trying to invest for 20 years 10 or 20 years that and by the way I'm not this is not investment advice so please don't consider this any kind of investment advice but the question you have to ask yourself is what would be

[11:28]

have to ask yourself is what would be the difference between countries that control their immigration and those that don't for example if Europe continues treating immigration the way it used to be a hundred years ago which is that it's all positive it's good for the economy it's good for the people it's just it's just all good in in a situation where it will have massive upheaval it will tax their social systems and jobs will be so so it was sparse in ten years at the lower end it's going to be problems so you really have to think about whether you would want money in a country that was very permissive immigration wise so and I'm also going to predict that more countries are going to want their own Trump you know I'm watching the the fentanyl news that we just talked about and Canada has also a huge fentanyl

[12:31]

and Canada has also a huge fentanyl problem so their their problem is big you know it's um it's smaller and total numbers because of the population differences but Canada didn't get this done Canada did not convince China to criminalize fentanyl that was President Trump and they're going to be the ideally there will maybe benefit in some ways from that so I think you're gonna see and you see in France that I think the people writing probably wish they had a little bit more Trump and a little less McCrone so you might see a big wave of countries saying oh let's be more like I think that's coming now I I made a bold prediction a bold prediction on social media yesterday and I predicted that we have reached peak climate change

[13:33]

that we have reached peak climate change alarm now I'm now saying we've reached peak temperature that's a separate thing I'm saying that in terms of our alarm over it I think we've peaked and here are the things I'm looking at to make that calculation number one what just what just happened in France you saw that the population that is going to take the brunt of anything we do just decided they're not going to they just decided that they're not going to take it so I think other countries are going to look what happened in France and they're going to say well you can make a law to tax our gas but it's gonna look like France when you do you know there's going to be a riot so I think the population has reached the the peak tolerance for raising their taxes to deal with something that they can't quite feel and see and touch the way they can their paycheck so that's the first thing second thing I think you're

[14:36]

first thing second thing I think you're seeing is that every year that goes by and we don't see a catastrophe that's obviously a climate change-related thing every time there's anything like a fire or whatever the news will say it's climate change but it's getting less and less believable because the ocean isn't going up every year so every year seems pretty similar to the one before in terms of our experience on it so there's that although the news will keep talking about any any situations where it does look like it's climate change but maybe the most important one is this latest climate report that showed that the biggest risk is a 10% less GDP over 80 years than it could have been so instead of the GDP going this higher this much higher it's gonna go only this much higher in other words we won't even notice it so the most scary and credible current

[15:39]

the most scary and credible current numbers about climate change tell us that looks like we can handle that and then you add on top of that fusion and you add on top of it every other technology that will have some some some role in this and it's feeling like it's feeling like closer to solved then dire that's what it feels like to me and I'm not sure I would even said that a month ago it took I was actually really scared until the latest climate report scared in the sense that it would seem like a real danger we had to worry about and then the climate report came out and it was designed to scare us and did exactly the opposite and said cost a little money will just get better air conditioning yeah I told you that Richard Branson is involved with some kind of a three billion dollar you know

[16:41]

kind of a three billion dollar you know prize for developing the best new kind of air conditioning so if you have the best kind of new air conditioning in ten years and you've got better economies because things are just improving every year and you've got fusion maybe in ten you're looking pretty good looking pretty good I will be flying out in a little bit to snow country myself and I'm gonna have to get ready for that I'll see if I talked about everything I want to talk about yes I did yes I did alright so it seems to me that the biggest problems in the world are being addressed I think health care health care is still the one that seems like it's dangling out there that the Trump administration is working hard on reduced regulations and making things more

[17:43]

regulations and making things more market friendly and capitalism friendly which should lower prices but they need to package that up a lot better Oh a music biz injury yes I'm sorry so there's a tweet this morning from Kirsten Gillibrand Gillibrand Gillibrand
US senator from New York and she actually said this this is her tweet from this morning it's almost it's almost hard to believe isn't it and she says this is Kirsten Gillibrand a sitting senator who says our future is : female intersectional powered by our belief in one another and we're just getting started our future is female now that might be true and you know I'm not I'm not going to argue with the the the fact of it

[18:44]

to argue with the the the fact of it were the non fact of it but are you allowed to say that are you allowed to be a u.s. senator and say that men are going to be left behind because that's what she's saying she's not saying the future is equality she's saying the future is not men she might be right and it would be this kind of attitude that would make that happen but how do you keep your job after this seriously how do you go full sexist anti male as a u.s. sitting senator with with no embarrassment whatsoever this this is you know that she is proudly saying that the future is women imagine if anybody said anything like that for any other category you know I usually don't like

[19:45]

category you know I usually don't like to do there well imagine if somebody else did it I hate that but this is one where you could put it into anything the future is fill it in with anything could you say that I don't think you could say that out loud and keep your job and Eddie in any field in any business if you worked in the corporate America could you keep your job after you said the future is female I don't know could you and she somebody said she has two boys I don't know about her personal life now it could be that what she means is that you know women will do better than they're doing now maybe something like that and of course I give her the 48 hour courtesy because this is one where there could be room for misinterpretation so if she'd like to clarify in the next 48 hours I will fully accept that

[20:45]

48 hours I will fully accept that clarification yes the 48 48 hour rule for clarification and or apology is in effect but this is really jaw-dropping is it feels like how do I say this it feels like I don't think women understand what it's like to be male just as men don't understand what it's like to be women and and just like nobody really understands what it's like to be anybody else so we'll start with that assumption that's true but one of the things that women really don't understand about men is that at least in the United States men do a lot to compensate for the fact that they feel like they have advantages in other words

[21:46]

like they have advantages in other words men make lots of allowances for the fact that they're you know there are advantages to be male you know I can I can pretty much go anywhere without being afraid I can you know I can be alone with anybody without being being afraid that something will happen there are probably some jobs I can get that harder for a woman to get so you know you have you have advantages and what would happen if it just turned into all-out war and I don't mean war in a violent way I mean what if men were allowed to just absolutely compete against women like without any were there any any hesitation without any obstacles without any social constraints no violence I'm not talking about that I'm just saying that all the you know all the social constraints come off and men just say alright it's us against you

[22:47]

men just say alright it's us against you now so we're not even going to pretend we're on the same team anymore it's just us against you like what does that world look like do you want to live in that world that's the world you don't want to live in and I'd be a little bit afraid about trying to materialize that kind of world so Sharia yep anyway I don't have much else to say about that except it's a scary world and I got to go get ready for a trip and I will talk to you all later