Episode 317 Scott Adams: Lying Pictures, Chinese Super-Babies, Senator Hyde-Smith

Date: 2018-11-26 | Duration: 42:33

Topics

CNN cropped and created a misleading tear gas photo Alan Dershowitz says Mueller report will be “politically devastating” AOC makes a provocative statement White supremacist article on CNN…now taken down Chinese gene-edited baby has been born that’s HIV resistant Our gene-edited future…is guaranteed Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith said some racially insensitive things Climate change report continues to amaze An example of Cognitive blindness? Report said GDP impact in 80 years will be 10% GDP will increase 700% in the next 80 years Is a 10% pullback from a 700% increase “dire”? Why would anyone want to be 140 years old? Someday, 140 will be the new 60

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> [!note] Rough Transcript
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> This is an auto-generated transcript and may contain errors.

## Transcript

[0:06]

yes I'm a little late this morning took me a little extra time to find my coffee you know if you don't have your coffee sometimes you can't find your coffee you might be wondering why I've got one cup in my hand and one coffee mug over my shoulder it's because I like coffee you should too and hey you know what time it is it's time for the simultaneous sip it's time for coffee with Scott Adams it's time to grab your mug your cup your container your chalice your Stein your beverage holder lift it to your lips and join me for the simultaneous
zp now as you know it's the holiday season and the news is getting squirly and less fun in in some ways in other words the news is not big anymore but there's still lots of it so let's talk about the News That's not that big but

[1:07]

about the News That's not that big but there's lots of it you may have heard that uh Eric balling who lost his son to an opioid opioid overdose I believe is having an event with Melania uh at Liberty University talking about the issue and I'm just going to call that out to give some uh kudos to both Eric balling and to Melania for raising this issue so uh the the higher its priority goes the more likely we're going to get something productive done so good work by Eric balling and by Melania who is definitely being best all right um have you ever heard the pictures don't lie there's a photo on the front of CNN they their page where there's a photo of a woman with two young children and she's running in fear from a a cloud

[2:10]

running in fear from a a cloud of uh what is it uh smoke uh teargas so there's tear gas she's at the border she's part of the Caravan uh and she's running from the smoke and it's a it's a scary picture now did you see the picture before they cropped it this is a cropped picture I saw the original before it was cropped um and if you see the wider picture uh right so they've got a it's narrowly cropped so you can just see the gas and the the the woman with two young girls you know running in fear from it now first of all distance-wise the gas looks to be maybe I don't know 50 50 ft away and it's just a little cloud of gas on the ground and it's just dear gas sobody he says it's not gas but what

[3:11]

gas sobody he says it's not gas but what whatever it is that the police use to disperse groups somebody says it's a smoke bomb not a tear gas oh I wonder if that's true could be it could be just to scare people into running so that would be even smarter probably but here's thing I saw the picture before it was cropped and in the background there's something like several hundred young men trying to climb over the wall and invade the country now I know you don't call it invading because they don't have weapons and they're they're trying to they're trying to escape their country and stuff like that so I get you can play with the words and not call it an invasion but this is one of those clear situations where photos lie and more than that it's an intentional lie you know sometimes a photo can be misleading sometimes you can interpret it wrong but in this case

[4:13]

can interpret it wrong but in this case it's obvious that a a decision was made to crop out all of the things that would refute the photo itself so that my friends is a lie that's fake news even though the photo is photographing an actual event these are are real people and and I do feel sorry for them I feel can you imagine having two young kids and you know being essentially homeless in a in a different country and you don't know if you can get into this one and so from an empathy perspective I've I've got plenty of empathy so you know I would like to see a good outcome for these folks as well as everybody else but the photo is a lie is the real story that the photo would tell if you saw it was that it's very there just a very few people are even female or children I don't know what the percentage is but that photo would make it look like they were literally the only ones there and the rest were men that's not true that's

[5:15]

the rest were men that's not true that's just what the photo would have looked like if they hadn't cropped it um somebody is prompted me to talk about apparently Alan dtz has predicted that the Mueller report will be politically quote devastating for the president politically devastating and somebody asked me hey are you going to change your opinion on the meller thing now that dwit says it will be politically devastating and the answer is no cuz that was always my opinion does there anybody think who thinks that the Muller report will not be politically devastating I I don't believe there's anybody who's on any side of this who believes anything else do they um I certainly agree with jtz that there's no legal risk that we've seen in other words there's nothing we know of directly or indirectly that would suggest that the president is any in any

[6:18]

suggest that the president is any in any legal risk but if you put enough lawyers on something and you have them talk about it long enough and they produce a report for non- lawyers to read it's going to be filled with stuff that they can jabber about almost exactly like the president's tax returns it if you said to me what will be the outcome of the president releasing his tax returns which by the way I don't think he's going to do but it suppose he was what would be your prediction about that well my prediction would be there's nothing illegal in there and it would be politically devastating not because there's anything illegal in there but because it's so much to talk about so much to be taken out of context so much to be spun the wrong way so much to be misinterpreted so when dot says the uh the it will be politically devastating whatever comes out of the Muller report

[7:19]

whatever comes out of the Muller report doesn't everybody think that I mean you don't have to be the finest you know legal mind in the world which you know dtz might be it's just sort of obvious of course it'll be politically devastating now let's put politically devastating in context politically devastating for a normal politician would mean that's politically devastating what does politically devastating mean in the context of President Trump it's Tuesday that's it in the world in the world of President Trump politically devastating just means something to talk about for a week and then there'll be more news do you know how much do you know how much news the White House will generate at the same time that the Muller report comes out with its political devastating

[8:21]

comes out with its political devastating stuff you're never going to see so much progress made in this world than the week that that report comes out because it'll be you know trying to take the energy off of the report so unlike a normal politician who faced with something politically devastating would have to crawl under a rock or would have to you know just give up or something um the I think the smart money says and of course there there's no way to be certain about any of this stuff but the smart money says that Trump will uh just create so much activity at the same time time that you can't look away from that the the Muller report will look boring by comp comparison so while Trump cannot make the Muller report go away and he can't make its conclusions any more politic any less politically devastating in terms of you know the content he can certainly make them

[9:22]

certainly make them boring so I would look for that so compared to whatever else he's going to be doing that week when that report comes out the report is just going to look tedious you know trust me on that um so Alexandria Alexandria Octavia Cortez back in the news surprise surprise um she made some reference to the Holocaust uh and the Caravan or something I didn't even have to read it cuz it doesn't matter what she said what matters is people react to it and the way people react to it is ah how could she say that she's so stupid that that AOC that we can't stop talking about that person we're obsessing about she's so dumb wait what is she trying to do oh she's trying to make us only talk about her never mind of course she's saying provocative

[10:25]

mind of course she's saying provocative things did he think that was going to stop does it matter whether her analogy is a good analogy no doesn't matter does it matter that it might be factually inaccurate I don't know if it is I don't even know what she said it doesn't matter none of that stuff matters all that matters is that you're talking about her now uh I I know I'm going to get in trouble for this next thing but I don't know what what is it about me that I can't keep out in trouble there's um there's a white supremacist writing for
for CNN let me see if I can find his opinion piece um now you're probably saying to yourself wait what what did you say there's a white supremacist looks like it's already taken down oh my god did they already take this article down it looks like I'm sorry I don't

[11:27]

down it looks like I'm sorry I don't mean to be ignoring you for a moment
huh it looks like they got rid of it 10 minutes after I read it which would not be the wrong idea so let me explain what it was I'm not even going to give the name of the person because apparently CNN's too embarrassed about about this opinion piece that they even took it down it didn't last that long maybe they were going to take it down anyway no way to know but so the the point of it was that Fox News is using AOC as their new their new whipping person according to this white supremacist who was writing for um CNN um that Fox News was doing it to you know get all of its white Watchers white people watching it all worked up about the invasion of brown people and so that was his point of view but here's why I'm calling the author whose name I won't use a white

[12:28]

whose name I won't use a white supremacist I'm actually using his own definition so the the way he defined it in terms of the content of his article was that it would include himself quite quite clearly so his definition of a white supremacist goes like this if you say I'm not talking about race but there's a a cultural thing that has to be considered about immigration then you're a white supremacist if you're white and if you're obsessing with race instead of talking about things other than race you're probably a white supremacist now the article itself did exactly those things it talked about culture as being separate from the question of race that's exactly what the author used as a definition of somebody who is a racist and is a white supremacist so the the author was modeling the behavior that he was

[13:29]

modeling the behavior that he was labeling as white supremacy and I think maybe it's possible that somebody at CNN caught on to that now the of course the point of the article was to paint some I'm not even going to use their names but he pointed out some uh hosts at Fox News who he said were were complaining about the quote Browning of America have you ever heard probably most of you have seen Fox News have you ever heard a host of Fox News complain about the Browning of
America no no you have not heard that if there was ever a Fox News person a pundit or a host who ever complained about using this word the Browning of America bam I believe that they would end the broadcast in the middle wouldn't they like I don't even think that show would get to the end of the hour they

[14:30]

would get to the end of the hour they would be yanked off the air that they would like put a commercial on and they would yank them off the air I'm pretty confident that that would be the case I mean maybe they'd go to the end of their show but they would definitely be fired like fired forever if anybody on on Fox News used that term or even that concept if anybody even referred to that they'd be
be fired in a hot minute who used that word a writer for CNN so simply talking about these topics is what makes you a white supremacist and the author was talking about these topics and so by his own definition would be including himself as a white supremacist so I guess I'm not too surprised not too surprised that that article is no longer at least featured on the front all right I had to mention that um next there's a story that I'm not sure

[15:32]

next there's a story that I'm not sure how true it is yet but uh because there are some denials on this story but there's a story that a Chinese hospital has been involved in creating a gene edited baby I'll just let that sit there for a while so the hospital seems to be denying it but there are reports that it happened that uh a baby was born with some Gene editing the specific editing that is alleged is that the baby has been created to be uh resistant to
HIV think about that a baby who is Gene edited to not be able to get
AIDS now I don't know if it's true or if it's something that's so close to being true it's going to happen any day day now
now but what does that say about the next 80

[16:34]

but what does that say about the next 80 years let's let's say you're looking at the
the economic uh impact the economic impact of climate change let's say you're looking at that we'll talk about that in a minute too if you try to look at the economics of the world and you're saying hey in 80 years we'll have a 10% hit on the GDP from climate change even if that's true who knows of what's true in 80 years but even if it were true what would it do to health care costs if the baby's born in the next 10 years can't get diseases what would happen to the total health care cost in 80 years if all of the babies born let's say 10 years from now and onwards are all Gene edited so they just can't get the worst diseases that cost too much money

[17:35]

what happens what happens uh in a 100 years if you have one country that is all Gene edited because let's say it's a developed country and their rules allow it but they have a competing country that has no Gene editing either for religious reasons or because they don't have the economics to do it what would be the what would be the uh defense implications of that because one virus could wipe out one country and not have any impact on the other one because the other one would have all Gene edited babies that can't get whatever disease that is does that become a defense problem there are a lot of implications here to think about uh my take on Gene editing is that it's guaranteed meaning that because it can be done and people will want it and there's money and you know has all the all the qualities will make it a guaranteed Trend there there isn't the slightest chance you know this is one of

[18:35]

slightest chance you know this is one of those things you can predict with 100% certainty which is rare usually things have you know well 80% chance this will happen but Gene editing is 100% there isn't the slightest chance that in the future when it becomes easy to edit a baby's genes you know in the womb I guess not in the womb I they must do it in the test Tu before it gets in the womb but once it's possible and practical and affordable it'll be legal somewhere so if you have the money to do it you might have to let's take for example let's say the United States says it's illegal to do Gene editing I don't know if we will but let's just say that for a thought experiment if the gene editing happens in the embryo and you know in the egg and the sperm let's say that's where it's happening it's in a test tube it's not in the person can't we just ship that stuff

[19:36]

that stuff offshore 12 miles offshore do the gene editing offshore and then ship the package back to the United States put it in a human being would that still be illegal because the gene editing didn't happen in the United States so if you're thinking yourself we will have laws that will stop that Gene editing good luck with that good luck with that I don't see any way laws can stop Gene editing it's going to be here all right
um uh will they edit for super athletes of course they they will edit for intelligence for health for performance um maybe for for
happiness and all that stuff but you know even before that I think I think

[20:36]

know even before that I think I think one of the biggest uh here's my prediction one of the biggest improvements in health outcomes that you're ever going to see will be when we've got big data on what everybody is eating and doing so if you had complete data on the population and you say okay all the people with this kind of genes are eating this kind of food and doing this this kind of exercise and breathing this kind of air and they're having this kind of problem but if they take this kind of drug it works but if they take this time the drug it doesn't work as soon as we have big enough data about what works and what doesn't work in the real world it's going to be the biggest change in health care since maybe washing your hands you know I mean what are the biggest changes in healthcare probably you know the discovery of germs that sort of thing but the moment we can tell that uhoh a person with your DNA shouldn't be eating strawberries not when you've got a cold

[21:38]

strawberries not when you've got a cold stuff like that I'm just making that one up but once we know that stuff um yeah you will everybody please stop saying GAA uh we all know there's a movie called Gatica where there's Gene editing blah blah blah um the only reason the only reason I resist your hundreds and hundreds of comments about GAA now and in the future is that the world doesn't really conform to movies like that level yeah it may tell us a little bit about the future but probably not a lot so gadica exists but it is not useful or worthy of mention I I note that you are thinking about it that's all

[22:39]

um hello hello oh let's talk about uh Cindy Hyde Smith now if you're not following the story Senator uh or I guess she's running in the um hold on let me answer that um so she's said some things that are considered racially insensitive so apparently in 2007 she said some good things about uh uh somebody who was the last remaining daughter of the Confederacy and she said something about um if somebody invited her some to a public hanging she'd go to the front row indicating that she would do anything this person asked just in a colorful way so people are saying wait a minute you're running against the black candidate how can you even mention public hangings and then they said how can you uh how can you glorify the

[23:40]

uh how can you glorify the Confederacy you know when that's was obviously a racist situation and let me give you my opinion on this usually I have a cleaner opinion you usually if you watch me long enough I'm usually you know One Direction or another and I can commit but the Cindy hiy Smith stuff oh and then there's also reports that when she was a kid she was sent to schools that were created specifically so she didn't have to go to an integrated school so it's easy for me to explain away any one of these things like if you look at any one of those things individually they're all meaningless they really are whatever she did as a child I don't care right I it wasn't her her decision where to go to school um so I use the 20 year rule which is anything that happened 20 years ago I don't

[24:41]

ago I don't care then um her her use of the word a public hanging I would consider dumb in other words it was a mistake it was a dumb mistake but it was a mistake and then the way she handled the reference is to the
the Confederacy I would consider possibly something that locally didn't sound like a mistake but perhaps nationally sounds like a bigger mistake in terms of politics but it seemed dumb to
to me um and so I've got really mixed feelings I've got mixed feelings which is uh is she doing things which you can unambiguously say are racist and the answer is no no she's not so there's there's no evidence presented which a a reasonable person should say oh yeah there's some racist stuff going on there has she done things that don't come

[25:42]

has she done things that don't come across as racially what would be the best word uh does she seem racially toned deaf yes so it it does appear that she is not sensitive to do something that the country is very sensitive about should that matter probably probably you know it's one thing to not be a racist versus being racist that's important are you a racist yes or no that matters a lot but then you secondly have to ask the next question um the next question is can you can you treat this topic the way the country wants it to be treated if you're a representative of the country and the country clearly has an opinion of what's what's in the acceptable Zone and what isn't so of course there are lots of disagreement in the middle but broadly speaking people want their leaders to speak in a certain

[26:44]

want their leaders to speak in a certain fashion has she done that I think you can make an argument that that she's uh she's fallen down on that so I suppose you could make a partisan argument that you'd rather have a
a republican uh and all that that and and that you're not too concerned about her political incorrect approach but um somebody says the GOP should be embarrassed by this candidate yeah that's that's sort of what I'm saying I'm saying that this is this is not something you should be too happy about but that's way different than saying she's a racist somebody says check her record I have not looked at her record is her record uh which way does her record indicate does her record uh does her record indicate that she's got some problem with race or that she's been on the right side of that I don't know the answer I only know

[27:44]

that I don't know the answer I only know what's being reported all right
um so I don't have an opinion about whether she should be reelected so if you heard it if that sounded like an opinion I don't have one on her I'll let I'll let the uh I'll let the great state of Mississippi decide who they want to represent her but I don't see anything that um at least on its surface looks racist to me it does look terribly toned deaf and that should matter as well but matter in a different way climate change yes thank you for reminding me so I continue to be amazed by this latest report on climate change and I talk about the the fact that we're in this we're all watching two separate movies on one screen and I asked myself is the climate report like a magic trick now a magic trick one of the ways that you can trick somebody with magic

[28:46]

that you can trick somebody with magic is you get them thinking in a certain pattern and then they can't notice something that's out of the pattern like if people expect something to be true their their brain can't process it it's the opposite there's a famous video of this where somebody did an experiment where there I think four or five people bouncing a basketball in a circle like they're they're each tossing it to each other in the circle and you the viewer is asked to count how many times they throw the basketball to each other what you don't notice because you're counting the them throwing the basketball is that a man I think it's a man dressed in a monkey outfit comes in into the circle and starts throwing the basketball and then walks away like literally somebody in a monkey outfit walks into the small group of four or five people and start was it a bear and start maybe it's a bear and starts uh contributing and then the people who watched it didn't notice the person in a

[29:47]

watched it didn't notice the person in a bear outfit there were only like four or five people in the picture and one of them is dressed like a bear uh and people couldn't even see it they were I like to use the phrase cognitively blind meaning that their eyes were registering it clearly cuz it was right there a big part of the picture but their brain made it invisible because they weren't expecting it to be there and they were focusing on something else which was counting the number of of passes and so it feels like that with this climate report so the climate report came out and the headline said a new devastating climate report comes out it's it's dire consequences and catastrophe so that was how the climate report was framed right now every other climate report you've seen I think or at least the ones that CNN would report on say the same thing right it's dire it's the end of the world uh climate change is going to kill

[30:48]

world uh climate change is going to kill us so the new one comes out and your brain is so primed here comes another one it's dire it's dire it's dire and so you see it as [Music] dire but I didn't see it that way why is that is it only because I'm primed in the other direction because it could be I could easily be the one who's who's experiencing cognitive dissonance I can never rule that out because if you're the one experiencing the cognitive dissonance you can't tell you're in it that's what it is if you could tell you were in it you wouldn't be having it so maybe it's me but I let me propose this I don't know in any world in which a 10% uh impact on GDP over 80 years in a context of the GDP probably going up 700% that it's 10% less than it could

[31:49]

700% that it's 10% less than it could have been so nobody so the report I don't believe said that in 80 years our GDP will be 10% less than it is today that's not what they said right fact check me on that they were a little vague about what that 10% means but I think all they did was count up the dollar impact if it happened today and said wow that dollar impact if it happened today would be 10% of our current GDP was it something like that but the impact isn't happening today it's happening you know spread down over this 80 years so when I read the report I said to myself my God this is the first time we've seen a credible comprehensive report that says the worst case scenario is no big deal a 10% hit to GDP in the context as I understand it and again I want some fact checking on this I could be totally wrong but it seems to me that what they're saying is

[32:50]

seems to me that what they're saying is it's 10% less than it could have been meaning that over 80 years it might go up 7 50% but it could have gone up 83% would we even know the difference in other words if if you could fast forward into 80 years from now and just appear 80 years from now and look around would you say to yourself my God everything's falling apart I don't think so I think if you could time travel to 80 years from now and look around you'd be in a flying car all of your diseases would be cured and and poverty would be eliminated yeah there might be a hurricane or two more than usual but we would be so good at dealing with them that there would be close to zero deaths from any of this stuff so when I heard this report that the worst case

[33:51]

heard this report that the worst case scenario is a 10% less GDP over 80 years when GDP will go up like immensely during that time I said to myself wow I can stop worrying what did you say to yourself did you say to yourself it's another dire attack I guess things are worse than we thought because the information didn't say that it said exactly the opposite of that so did you see the monkey with the basket the bear I guess it was a bear with a basketball or did you not see the bear I saw a bear with with the basketball just as clear as I saw it when I watched that video after they told me the bear was there the first time I watched it I didn't see the bear either uh but after I knew it was there I could see it clear as day and when I see this this climate report it looks to me like the worst case scenario if you did
did nothing is no big deal but since we

[34:53]

nothing is no big deal but since we won't do nothing we'll actually do a lot in 80 years and and the the pace of technological change is probably so vast that we can't even our brain can't even process what will happen in 80 years the odds of this actually being a problem in my mind has fallen from oo there's a really good solid chance this is going to have some big big problems that's where I was you know what regardless of what percentage is man-made in my mind I was thinking this could be a big problem I you know I agree that this could be a big problem after seeing the report I think it said it's not a problem now of course there's a trick to this I can only feel comfortable if I'm confident that everybody else is remaining worried because it's the remaining worried part that makes them innovate it makes them invent things it makes them work on making sure we can

[35:54]

makes them work on making sure we can manage the climate it makes them you know Harden against future earthquakes so I do want the rest of you to worry I'm not telling you you shouldn't worry I want you to worry as much as you want please worry because the more you're worried the more comfortable I am because the right people that will be worrying and therefore doing all the things we need to do to remediate against that problem now um you're old you don't care um that's a valid point that my my lifespan suggests that I don't have to worry about what's going to happen in 80 years you're completely right about that uh however I'm not so sure I won't be alive because I would be 140 and it is completely within the realm of reasonable expectation that rich people can kind of

[36:56]

expectation that rich people can kind of live forever you know if it if it's not in my lifetime might be the lifetime after mine when being rich means you just sort of don't have to die if you don't want to um well we'll see if that becomes the
case uh why would you want to be 140 so that's an excellent question so somebody said why would you want to be 140 and uh let me give you some context on that cuz I love the question why would you want to be 140 who would want that let let me ask you this did you ever think when you were 20 that you would want to be 61 years old like when you tried to imagine what would it be like to be over 60 holy hell that would be I might as well just die cuz if you're over 60 your body's falling apart you're not doing anything good you're you know it's over blah blah

[37:59]

good you're you know it's over blah blah blah I have unambiguously the best lifestyle I've ever had at my current age there is no age younger that I had a better situation on every Dimension and I'm I'm including health I have the best health right now that I've ever had now you're saying but that's completely different Scott I get it this 60 is the new 40 but you're talking about 140 and my point point is you can't predict what 140 looks like in the old days you could in the old days you could say all right I know exactly what an 80-year-old is going to look like because an 80-year-old looks like every other 80-year-old who's ever looked like that through history but not today today 140 might be perfect health you cannot rule out and in fact I would think the odds are actually pretty good that by the that in 80 years somebody who's over

[39:01]

the that in 80 years somebody who's over a 100 years old might feel exactly the way I feel today completely possible remember we're doing Gene editing I don't know what's possible if you can mess with the operating system once you can change my operating system stem cells Gene editing immunotherapy
what would kill me besides a truck and if a truck kills me by then I will have ported my Consciousness into a computer I'm not even sure you can kill me in fact I I would go so far as to say there's more chance let me say something provocative to end this Periscope if I had to look at the odds and place a bet and you were going to bet on one of these two possibilities one of them is that I will die and I'll just be dead someday just like everybody else right no different than everybody else I'll just I'll get old eventually I'll die

[40:04]

just I'll get old eventually I'll die that's one possibility the other possibility is that I'll live forever in some form or other either my biological body will be continually renewed by you know tweaking the the base code or I'll Port my personality to machines and live forever in some form I would say the smart money says I live forever if I had to bet it's probably a 6040 I think there's a 60% chance I'm already Immortal and a 40% chance I'm knocked in 20 years from now when you ask me again I'll bet my odds of being Immortal are closer to 100% now you're all saying I'll pass on that I don't want to live forever and keep in mind that the happiest people um are generally women in their 40s and 50s could you imagine for those of you

[41:05]

50s could you imagine for those of you who women were watching this imagine when you were 16 or imagine when you were 20 years old and you thought to yourself what would it be like to be 40s in my 40s and 50s wouldn't you assume that it was worse than being 20 like just common sense doesn't you know the fact that you're uh you got kids and you got your your your health is going away and your sex life isn't as good you don't have the freedom you're working a job you got all these problems of being older would you just assume that women in their 40s and 50s would be less happy but the studies show the opposite that that's actually your happiest years of your life is you know that uh 40 to 60 range for women and in fact they stay pretty happy into their older age so you can't predict how you will feel when you hit that age cuz and I'm looking at this from the perspective of if you told me that this age would be

[42:09]

of if you told me that this age would be I would be the most probably having the most influence in the world having the most money the best health best personal life that I've ever had I would have said you're crazy all right I'm going to end on that note and I will talk to you later