Episode 302 Scott Adams: Bipartisanship Blooming, Facebook, Monkey Attacks, Much More

Date: 2018-11-15 | Duration: 40:45

Topics

Daily Beast fake news edited photo of Jack Posobiec Facebook hired political operatives to blame things on… George Soros Non-military invasion of the caravan Avenatti arrested for beating up some woman Performance-wise, his denial appeared truthful Van Jones positive tweet about President Trump and prison reform Black Caucus no confidence vote on Tom Perez
Tucker Carlson and Ocasio-Cortez agree on Amazon headquarters Bipartisanship is breaking out Saudi Arabia identifies the people they will punish for Khashoggi 2016 Prediction: Once election is over, national hysteria would come down Whiteboard comparison, 2016 worries vs. 2018 worries Global warming’s 3 components: 1. The Science 2. The Models 3. The Economics The models and economics…are not science The Wall: Building and testing design options on a small scale first Should make both sides happy, test and observe results

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> [!note] Rough Transcript
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## Transcript

[0:07]

[Music] Hey Thomas get in here Janice grab your coffee today is going to be a very special coffee with Scott Adams now they're all special but this one might be more special than most because the news the news is just serving it up today some days I get on here and I think maybe I wish there were more news more more interesting news and then there are days like today where I look at the news and I go there's not enough time in the day to drink all the coffee I need to drink to talk about all this
news so please will you join me grab your cup your mug your chalice your glass your container fill it with your favorite beverage and join me for the simultaneous
ah now some of you are seeing me sideways are you not some of you are

[1:09]

sideways are you not some of you are seeing me sideways I have determined that that problem is not on my end because I've used different devices in different ways and I get the same thing if you want to fix it I know you can fix it in replay mode but possibly not in real time in real play mode all you have to do is uh forward the video toward the end
end and it will fix itself and then you take it back to the beginning and it will be the the correct orientation from the beginning all right so if you're watching this sideways on replay it won't work it live I don't think but on replay if you're watching it later fast forward it to the end the orientation will fix itself and then just take it back to the beginning and it will stay fixed uh so it's a problem with Periscope apparently I hope they fix it there's so much news let's start with the monkey attacks and of uh in India in uh Agra the town of Agra

[2:09]

in India in uh Agra the town of Agra which is where the Taj Mahal is there are
are literally uh one of their biggest problems is monkey attacks and monkeys are actually killing people monkey attacks all right well we don't have that problem here I just have to mention that because it's not every day you get to talk about monkey attacks but today I got to um did everybody see uh the attack by The Daily Beast on uh Jack pabic this is one of the one of the worst despicable things you've ever seen in your life so there's a photo of Jack in which he's pointing as something and I'm not going to do the gesture but imagine if you had your finger out point pointing and imagine because I'm not going to do it imagine if your hand was outstretched such as you were reaching for something in that

[3:10]

for something in that direction if they clipped off the hand in the photo it would appear that your arm is out stretched in sort of a salute of sorts so The Daily Beast takes this photo of uh of Jack babic they clip off his hand so you can't see that he's pointing at something and they clip out the guy he's standing next to who's this who's an African-American guy who's obviously there with him at the same event for the same reason who's who's got his hand over his heart it was some kind of Peace event and they and the The Daily Beast turned it into a Nazi salute oh my freaking God if you think the the Press could be worse than that I don't know speaking about the press the New York Times had a expose on Facebook I believe it was last night or this morning it published and I I tweeted an article about it so you can

[4:11]

tweeted an article about it so you can see it in my feed but apparently when the uh the Russia uh influence on the 2016 election came out according to the New York Times Facebook Executives Cheryl sander and Zuckerberg they hired um political operatives to to blame stuff on George
Soros and also to blame people being anti-semitic so Facebook was actually hiring people to smear George Soros and also to smear people for being anti-semitic and the evidence for that seems to be pretty strong so strong that the open Society soros's organization has written a blistering letter against Facebook and wow so in summary it seems that the

[5:14]

and wow so in summary it seems that the people on the right of the political divide are very mad at Facebook for you know uh for uh supressing the voices of conservatives the people on the left are very mad at Facebook for all the reasons that the left are mad so Facebook only has two problems everybody on the right and everybody on the left but the good news for Facebook is that most of the people who care about politics tend to skew older so the people who are older on the right hate Facebook at the moment and the people who are older on the left hate Facebook for a moment but that still leaves all young people who don't care about politics who for the most most part are giving up on Facebook okay so there are three categories there are the young who don't like Facebook cuz it's not really their thing and then there's the old on the right who don't like Facebook and the older people on the left who don't like Facebook I think that's everybody in the

[6:16]

that's everybody in the world okay Facebook has a problem not as bad as Snapchat's problem but it's a problem um so just calling that out as an interesting story now uh we have to mention the Caravan every now and then in our two movie world two opposite things have happened one is that the Caravan is no big deal and it's so trivial and it's so far away and it's no big deal and then the other world it's an invasion not a military Invasion but a a physical practical Invasion if other people get to decide who lives in your country uh I don't know I don't know the the best word for that you know maybe we need another word cuz I've never seen a non-military Invasion before uh but it seems to be a non-military Invasion and it probably needs a word sometimes things don't get settled until you have a word for it

[7:19]

settled until you have a word for it um let's talk about uh avanetti you probably heard the news that Michael avanetti uh has been um arrested and released now but he was arrested and charged with beating up a woman who wasn't his wife but must have been some girlfriend situation uh Michael avanetti went on camera and said he has never done anything like that I have made a habit of telling you that uh people who study persuasion people who study hypnosis are pretty good at detecting lies and so I trying to predict who's lying and who isn't in a variety of situations and so we have another clean situation in which avanatti has been accused of something by a woman he came out and he said in public nothing like this has ever happened I didn't you know it didn't happen um and I watched his performance

[8:23]

happen um and I watched his performance and performance is the right word right because you're doing it in public you're trying to create a profession an impression and I know you're not going to like this but he looked like he was telling the
truth now I'm not taking you aside uh yeah I'm not going to I'm not going to take you aside or anything like that I'm just saying that performance-wise I didn't see any hint of lying now keep in mind that he's a professional lawyer he's he's very good on television so he would know how to lie but it's so it's he either told the truth or he told a lie with so much skill that I couldn't tell the difference right if he had if he had been a regular citizen I would have a stronger opinion about whether whether it was a lie or not cuz regular citizens

[9:23]

it was a lie or not cuz regular citizens are not good at lying but he is a a lawyer he he's a professional television personality I thought his lie was well if it was a lie if it was a lie it was very well constructed and delivered so here's the question I ask you does it seem like a total coincidence that the guy who is the the lawyer for accusing kavanau of doing bad things with women is it a coincidence that as he's running for president or appearing to to do that that he gets an accusation that's exactly sort of in the pocket you know it's like the the simulation offered up something with a little bit too much coincidence all right so there are two pieces of in of information here that I think you have to consider one is that

[10:25]

think you have to consider one is that he didn't look like he was lying but of course he's a professional you really couldn't tell number two is it a complete coincidence that he would be accused of something that nobody else saw they happened to be the perfect accusation to get revenge or to suppress him it might be a coincidence but I'm going to say keep some skepticism on this the 're we're in a world where people like him are being targeted take a look at what I just told you about Jack bobic Jack has been targeted so there are people who are clearly working to destroy him personally as you and you've seen this with a number of different personalities both on the left and the right there are bad people who are creating you know creating stories about people on both sides and you're seeing people getting picked off one by one is

[11:27]

people getting picked off one by one is aanaa being picked off not going to rule it out so I'm going to say on alanati you can certainly have your opinions about whether you like him don't like him uh Etc and I know you have your opinions but on this specific case I'm going to go with innocent until proven guilty all right um I know in general we want to give credibility to the accuser and I will do that so in the same breath let me say you have to take it seriously you can't you can't dismiss something like this so you give it your utmost seriousness of Investigation but keep an open mind on this one let me uh talk about something else um you I think most of you saw by now that van Jones uh did a positive tweet about the president and about the prison reform stuff and let's see if I can find that positive [Music] tweet and it the positive tweets from Van Jones says give the man is due and

[12:28]

Van Jones says give the man is due and he's talking about uh uh president Trump uh Trump is on his way to becoming the uniter in
Chief wow on an issue that has divided America for Generations congrats to everyone on both sides who fought for this and that he links to his story on prison reform that the president has embraced now the prison reform story is interesting in and of itself but I don't feel like I know all the details all I know is that both sides seem to like it and the president likes it so it's probably something pretty positive it is the first piece of unambiguous bipartisanship we've seen certainly since the midterms and maybe the best one maybe the best case of it um I had predicted that having a split you know House and Senate having them in different parties would lead to an Era of bipartisanship that would be

[13:29]

bipartisanship that would be surprisingly good for the country prison reform seems to be the first example of that we have also uh coming up maybe marijuana oh and by the way it seems that Jeff sessions might have been one of the biggest um obstacles to bipartisanship apparently he was an obstacle on this prison reform stuff he left it move forward he was a I'm sure he was an obstacle on marijuana um I don't know if you'd call it reform but um decriminalizing it at the federal level now he's gone that can happen we also have at least the potential for some good stuff on infrastructure so there might be three bipartisan examples of good stuff happening now there's some other bipartisan things happening listen to this

[14:29]

this the uh well I'm not going to call this bipartisan but it it sort of leans in the same direction the black caucus so these are Democrats the black caucus voted no confidence on the Tom Perez the leader of the democratic party so the black Co caucus is making a break with their own party not a big break they're not leaving the party or anything like that but they've sent a warning shot a vote of no confidence to their own leader Tom Perez right at the same time that van Jones is tweeting about the uniter in Chief what have I told you about van Jones in the past I have told you that van Jones is probably the smartest person in the game on the Democrat side so much so that if van Jones ran for president you Trump supporters better be worried cuz he does have the full game I

[15:31]

worried cuz he does have the full game I don't think he's running I've seen no evidence of that but um I'm going to describe van Jones's strategy and it's one that I've described before but it always helps to give examples of it um I've said before and others have said this that uh the African-American population in the United States gave away its power by voting for Democrats no matter what and just sort of Tak taking that side no matter what if you take a side no matter what you're the least important person in the conversation because you're your your vote is not in play tell me who's the most important uh Senator right now the most important Senator today is Jeff Flake why is Jeff Flake the most important senator cuz he's the only one very few of them but he's one of the very few who who is willing to go either way that makes him the most important

[16:33]

way that makes him the most important one all right so yeah so uh yeah Joe Mansion also important so anybody who's willing to change sides is automatically the most important one in the
the conversation van Jones has done what I will call the Anita strategy Anita is somebody I worked with who who became the uh model for my Dilbert character Al now what she was famous for the the real person not the Alice character was that she was one of the most effective people I've ever seen in the corporate world and the and the strategy that she used was she would create an extreme contrast between being good to her meaning doing what she wanted agreeing with her being on board giving her stuff when she needed it answering questions that sort of thing so if you were good for her she would go to your boss tell your boss you should get promoted and what a great job you've done sing your

[17:33]

what a great job you've done sing your praise and even I've seen her buy flowers for co-workers just for doing great jobs now imagine having a coworker on your side like that somebody who's becomes your your best promoter for your career and and talks about it all the time this person's great man you know the I asked for something it was perfect now here's the good part she didn't Just Praise people lavishly and loudly and effectively if you were not doing what she wanted and there were a lot of people in that category she would literally destroy your career she would go to your boss and say I can't get any anything done CU somebody who reports to you is completely worthless here's the example and by the way I'll be back in your office tomorrow to tell you more about this person until you fire them I'll be back to your office every single day telling you have to fire this person until I get what I want I know what you're saying you're

[18:34]

want I know what you're saying you're saying bully right but let's just concentrate on the technique for a while there was a huge contrast between being her friend and being her enemy so on any on any anything in the Middle Ground what's going to happen you're going to do her stuff first the biggest problem in a corporation is everybody's too busy to help people who need help and everybody's got a project everybody needs somebody to give them something to do something to show up for a meeting but I'll tell you people did stuff for her because doing stuff for her got you promoted and and keep in mind she wasn't your boss she just worked with you doing stuff that she didn't like got you fired so you did what you wanted van Jones is using a version of the Anita contrast strategy by by publicly tweeting this and praising the president specifically for one

[19:34]

for one thing what has Van Jones done van Jones just became the most important black person in the United States right just like my cooworker did she became the most important person at her level by being willing to go EXT scream on either direction and making sure everybody knew it it's the public aspect of what van did that makes him powerful he he was one of the president's strongest most vocal critics and I praised him at the time for being what I consider the most genuine of the people who had a problem with the president he his criticisms to the president consistently felt to me like an accurate expression of how he felt and and also Al you know expressing other people's similar views he didn't look like the political hack who was

[20:36]

look like the political hack who was just going to say stuff on his team you know he didn't seem like that and now he is he sort of uh shown that to be the case because when there was a positive thing to say about this President he didn't simply just go along with it he went all the way to the left he went further to the left than you thought he would go by twe tweeting give him give him his due on this topic alone he's not saying anything about other topics he's limited it to the topic that's smart he said give him is due he's being the uniter and chief on this now who's now let me ask you when when the Administration has another big Topic in which they need some help who are they going to go to who are they going to go to first they're going to go to Van Jones why cuz he's the effective one he's the he's the the one who is willing

[21:37]

he's the he's the the one who is willing to go where the truth is he's he's the one who's willing to go where the solution is he doesn't care who he talks to right have I told you before that the superpower of being willing to talk to people that you don't agree with is is just an amazing power the president demonstrated that when he talked to Kim Jong-un right he showed the power of talking to the person you're not supposed to talk to Van Jones showed it to you again van Jones talked to the person he's now supposed to talk to in this case president Trump and he got probably a really good result for the for the prison community and for the country because I think this is good for everybody um so so here here are the the small parts of bipartisanship that are break that's breaking out um as I said the black caucus is showing some Independence small just a signal but it's important it's an

[22:37]

signal but it's important it's an important signal we see that um the that Facebook is sort of being disliked at the moment by both sides in a weird way that's bipartisan you know it's it's a small thing by itself it doesn't mean anything but I'm starting to put together the Clues here um then you see see that uh uh apparently Tucker Carlson and aazia Cortez are in agreement on the Amazon headquarters issue so the issue is I guess uh Amazon headquarters is going to cost the taxpayers $2 billion somewhere and kazio Cortez said hey they're a big rich company why are the taxpayers giving them money when we need this money for social purposes and T is saying um yeah why are we doing that how does that make sense now I'm going to you know the main point here is that

[23:38]

to you know the main point here is that you're seeing the left and the right find a very specific thing to agree on it's a very specific thing they're not saying I love everything you do I'm saying I'm willing to say that that one thing is good it's a big deal because you didn't see a lot of that right how often do you ever see people on those two sides just saying okay on that one thing we agree it's rare so I'm calling it out now my own opinion is that it's hard to analyze these things meaning that the whole point of having the headquarters there is that it should produce a lot of income for the local um local environment now without knowing how much they will gain by putting in two billion you don't really know so I'm not so I don't agree or disagree with either of them on this issue I think we don't know enough I'm not sure we can even do that math to figure it out here's some more good news maybe uh

[24:39]

out here's some more good news maybe uh if you're following the kogi murder problem Saudi Arabia has decided that some some group of people are going to take the fall for that so there is now complete admission that he was murdered that the murder came from Saudi Arabia that there are highish Level people behind it and that they will go to jail or be punished severely now I told you when this first happened that the probable Arc of this is that Saudi Arabia would need to find somebody to punish for it who isn't Prince salon and it looks like that's the direction they're going now in order for the United States and for other countries to go along with what might be a little bit of theater if you know what I mean in order order for other countries to be okayish with something that nobody should be okay with Saudi Arabia is probably going to have to be a little bit flexible in

[25:40]

have to be a little bit flexible in other areas so I've said that that the first dominoes to fall in what could be a really good larger Middle East um you know stability or peace plan or or some kind of a deal like that would be something with Saudi Arabia um and maybe something that happens in Yemen that that could be the the first couple of dominoes so we're seeing the first signs of something that could had it in the right direction too early to know but it's a positive sign um let's talk about uh let's talk about the general mood of the
the country I've got a white board talk for you coming up you know you like your white boards uh I and I mentioned this before but I wanted to put some meat on this a a Critic of mine was saying that my predictions are bad and he picked one in particular to say you predicted X and look what happened except that the thing

[26:42]

look what happened except that the thing he mentioned I got totally right more right than anybody's ever been right and I'm going to demonstrate that and here was the prediction I said that things were you know super heated during the election and that once the election happened happened and the president just got to the business of you know being a normal-ish president meaning you know not the worst of what they expected but he would get some things done he would be sort of more of a typical Republican when things got going and my prediction was that the that the national hysteria would start coming down as the president just got on with the job of getting stuff done let me demonstrate how much things have changed since 2016 um if you remember and it's easy to forget something in 2016 right you you just get used to your current day and you forget about what happened two years ago but just to take your mind back to

[27:42]

ago but just to take your mind back to that um this is what people were worried about in 2016 that the trade War would destroy everything that we were electing a dictator in Trump and he would have lgbtq concentration camps I'm not even making that up I am not making that up that that's actually what people were worried about there would actually be concentration camps uh Krugman and others said there would be economic collapse if president Trump came into office he would Deport 14 million uh illegal immigrants there would be nuclear war of course uh he's a Russian puppet oh my God we've lost the entire country he's mentally incompetent we've we've elected the what do you call it the Mad King from uh Game of Thrones uh the Isis is you know still a big problem not not a president Trump problem but still a big problem in the world in 2016 the things we were worried about were really really big

[28:43]

were really really big things scary scary big things that was 2016 now remember my prediction was that the temperature would go down let's jump forward to the current age what is it that's in the headlines today um Melania wrote a memo she wrote a memo about somebody she didn't like in the White House they got
reassigned okay um Jim aosta acted like a turd he might have his press pass taken away for a little while or a long while but doesn't make much difference they'll just put somebody else in that job if if he goes away that's it Jim Acosta um Trump hasn't shown us his taxes we don't know that there's a problem there there's no indication that there's a problem there but hey he didn't show us his taxes um he sends Mean Tweets sometimes his tweets are bad yeah his tweets are

[29:44]

his tweets are bad yeah his tweets are mean um and then of course there's a lot of mind reading there there's an entire article the main article on CNN is that the president is pissed the president is mad at somebody well maybe but that's your opinion of what he's thinking that's it um yeah and then the the Mueller stuff is looks like it's not going to be much of anything right so of course I'm summarizing and leaving stuff out and I'm you know there's a little bit of hyperbole here but the point is there's no way that you could make the case no way you can make the case the things today are the same temperature as they were in 2016 Am I Wrong Am I Wrong right the the country went from my God the wheels are coming off to I think's pretty good now there's still a few wild guards I would call these incompletes we

[30:45]

guards I would call these incompletes we don't know what's going to happen with climate we still disagree on that we don't know what's going to happen with Rover's Wade probably nothing maybe a little bit maybe the states get to decide but you know it's not the same issue it used to be all right now health care of course is still a big issue but I'm not sure there's a big temperature about that in other words people care about Healthcare and they certainly care if it if it affects their pocketbook Etc but it's not like some of these other issues that are destroy the country issues you know the the economic issues or sort of low temperature things yeah we're still worried about the the deficit said and we should be but we don't have a high temperature about it so I'm going to claim complete victory in my uh prediction that the temperature would go

[31:46]

down um Scott was wrong about temperature going down years ago too is somebody arguing that the temperature has not gone down is there anybody who makes that claim if you're if you're arguing that it took a year longer than I thought I will accept that but
but directionally I'm right not the mid the midterms yeah the midterms and the and the recounts and stuff how you doing over there still diing uh and the recounts are not really big
big deals they're all little office Intrigue and maybe somebody left a back box of ballot somewhere Etc am I a climate denier somebody says um how do you deny the
the climate um I somebody since somebody is new here let me let me uh explain to you on the climate science there are three things that must be addressed there's the science the physics and the

[32:48]

the science the physics and the chemistry there's the models that predict which are not science they're just a tool that scientists are using sort of like a chair or a microscope but they're not science if a scientist sits on a chair the chair is not science it's just something a science a scientist sat on and likewise then there's the economic um BR economic uh estimates that are not science also so the three components of the conversation the science which I assume is probably right so I'm not a science denier because I have no opinion that the scientists are wrong about the core SCI science I have lots of doubt about the validity of the models but they're not science and no model of that type has ever been right so the odds of them being accurate are close to zero and they're presented much the way a fraud is presented meaning that they throw away the ones that don't prove their points if it's a model that doesn't show

[33:49]

points if it's a model that doesn't show just what they want in the range they want they say that model must be wrong let's throw it away and then there's the economic predictions that nobody can make it's just too hard to know the ins and the outs of the economics even whether it would be good or bad
bad so um if whoever came on here as my critic says that believing the models is part of believing science well then you don't understand science and you're worse than a science denier you're a science not
understander uh what would Scott have done if if Al Gore was elected in 2004 what would I have done I supported Al Gore I thought I thought as a politician that he was very strong and the reason I the reason I sported Al Gore was a little bit the same reason that uh I like van Jones uh if you remember in the I think

[34:49]

Jones uh if you remember in the I think it was the first Iraq war do some fact checking on me but I believe in the first direct War he's the only one who crossided and said yeah we have to go into Iraq now it turns out that going into Iraq was a big mistake but I did like the fact that he was willing to cross his party and that looked like um that looked like Independence now if you're asking me do I think that alore is right on climate science I would say he's clearly wrong on um the speed of the predictions certainly things have not turned disastrous yet and I believe he he suggested that they would by now so we can say that with some confidence that he wasn't right about that um so but I I take a slightly different um judgment about someone being wrong about something which seems kind of normal you know even if you're a leader you're sort

[35:50]

know even if you're a leader you're sort of guessing about some stuff you're going to get some stuff wrong but being a smart person who is willing to look to look on both sides is unique and I thought Gore was unique in that way in that he was a strong player and he was willing to look at both sides not a lot of people can do that so you you you can uh you can hate him all you want and I I get that I hear all your arguments but uh I think I think he was a a solid human is a solid human uh Rand Paul too yes Rand Paul's in my uh Pantheon of independent thinkers where is the wall I think we're going to get a wall deal and here's my prediction there's one change that both sides need to make in order to get their wall and to get an immigration deal and it looks like this

[36:51]

immigration deal and it looks like this stop trying to fund the entire wall cuz there's no reason in the world to do that no matter which side you're on if you like a wall or you don't like a wall in both cases it doesn't make sense to fund the entire wall why because it's such a big project and it takes such a long time that it makes far more sense to build some of it let's say 5 billion worth see if it works see if it makes people go somewhere else see if it uh reduces anything that you want to reduce I think you can test it and if you can test it and you can get it for $5 billion it's going to start to look like a
a deal um so whether it's a virtual yeah and and it might be smart to build three types of walls you know a virtual one a physical one maybe a different kind of physical one

[37:52]

so so if you treat it like you're testing it and then you'll decide whether you want to fund it later both sides win because there's nobody who should be against testing something that could work but some people doubt it that's why you test stuff it's exactly why you test stuff the most businesslike thing you could do and therefore Republicans should like it because it's a business thing to do is to test it small 5 billion 10 billion whatever small looks like and then decide did it work did it make everybody go down there to get across CU if it did then maybe it works all right um yes there are other prototypes for non wall stuff and there there's also have you seen the uh there's a is it a microwave or a laser I forget what the technology is but there's some kind of a a beam that you shoot at people and it heats up their body so that they run

[38:53]

heats up their body so that they run away so apparently there's this non-lethal beam that's has been developed that you can Target somebody coming toward the border and just sort of shoot them with it and they go ah my body's on fire but they're not permanently hurt and then they they run away from whatever it is that's that's burning their body now I have my doubts that that doesn't actually um hurt you but it makes me think that there might be some technology there that's worth testing as well uh
there's one that uses sound as well so why not build a little section that uses that build a little section that uses the
the wall build another section that uses drones and surveillance yeah there must be at least three things to test you know if if if the Republicans said we have three plans and we' like to fund a test of all each of the three can the

[39:55]

test of all each of the three can the would the Democrats actually say they don't like that's hard to say no to right uh so I I realize that you you need to do a big ask and ask for the whole 25 billion in order to get what you want but in the end if the public needs this to get settled the only way to settle it is to fund it as a trial and then make a decision down the road about whether to do more of it all right uh an active denial system yes that's the name of it it's called an active denial system where they shoot the beam at you and heat up your body
um all right that's enough for now I'm going to go do something else and I will talk to you all later